Forex technical Analysis

Technical tajzia tareekhi qeematon ke chart aur market ke adad o shumaar ka istemaal karte hue maliyati mandiyon mein qeematon ki naqal o harkat ki jaanch aur paish goi karne ka aik zareya hai. yeh is khayaal par mabni hai ke agar koi tajir market ke pichle namonon ki nishandahi kar sakta hai, to woh mustaqbil ki qeematon ki raftaar ke baray mein kaafi had tak durust pishin goi kar sakta hai.

yeh market tajzia ke do barray schoolon mein se aik hai, dosra bunyadi tajzia. jabkay bunyadi tajzia kisi asasay ki' haqeeqi qader' par tawajah markooz karta hai, bairooni awamil aur androoni qader dono ke maienay ke sath, takneeki tajzia khalstan kisi asasay ki qeemat ke chart par mabni hota hai. yeh sirf aik chart par pattern ki shanakht hai jo mustaqbil ki naqal o harkat ki passion goi karne ke liye istemaal kya jata hai.

Technical Analysis kay faiday or nuqsan neechy darj hain.

Technical tajzia ke fawaid
market mein qeemat ke rujhanaat ke signals ki shanakht karne ke qabil hona kisi bhi tijarti hikmat e amli ka aik ahem juz hai. tamam taajiron ko market mein behtareen dakhlay aur kharji raastoon ka pata laganay ke liye aik tareeqa car waza karne ki zaroorat hai, aur takneeki tajzia ke alaat ka istemaal aisa karne ka aik bohat maqbool tareeqa hai .

dar haqeeqat, takneeki tajzia ke tools is qader aam tor par istemaal kiye jatay hain, ke bohat se logon ka khayaal hai ke unhon ne khud ko poora karne walay tijarti usool banaye hain : chunkay ziyada se ziyada tajir himayat aur muzahmat ki satah talaash karne ke liye aik jaisay isharay istemaal karte hain, isi terhan khredar aur baichnay walay bhi ziyada jama hon ge. qeemat points, aur patteren lamhalh d_hraya jaye ga .

Technical tajzia ke nuqsanaat
market ke ravayye ka aik Ansar hamesha rahay ga jo ghair mutawaqqa hai. is baat ki koi yakeeni zamanat nahi hai ke tajzia ki koi bhi shakal – takneeki ya bunyadi – 100 % durust hogi. agarchay tareekhi qeemat ke namoonay hamein kisi asasay ki mumkina qeemat ki raftaar ke baray mein baseerat faraham karte hain, lekin yeh kamyabi ka koi wada nahi hai .

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Forex Technical Analysis

Forex ke qeemat mein tabdeeliyon ka faida uthane ke liye, aapko market ka tehqiq karna aana chahiye. Samajhna chahiye ke qeemat kahan ja rahi hai, aur us ke buniyad par faisla karna chahiye ke abhi game mein dakhil hon ya mazeed behtar sharaait ka intezar karna chahiye.

Ye wohi kaam hai jo sab traders karte hain, na sirf forex mein. Ek kisaan jo doodh bechta hai, usko pata hota hai ke agar wo market mein ek dhup bhari Sunday dopahar ko jata hai, to wo zyada bechega, aur zyada achi qeemat par, barish ke din ke mukable mein. Usko pata hota hai ke acha mausam aur aik chutti ka din do factors hain jo uske product ki demand ko barha dete hain kyunkay market mein zyada log hote hain.

Isi tarah, trading mein bhi aise factors hote hain jo batate hain ke abhi aapko market mein dakhil hona chahiye ya behtar hai kisi aur din.

Qeemat ki harkaton ka andaza lagana traders ko nakam trades se bachane aur behtar maali halaat ke liye funds bachane ki ejazat deta hai. Wo chart par qeemat ki harkaton ke sath kaam karte hain aur is process mein patterns dhoondhne ka tajurba hasil karte hain.

Technical analysis ek tareeqa hai qeemat ki harkaton ka andaza lagane ka. Aur, aur yeh toh kamal hai - kisi bhi qeemat. Aur mazeed - kisi bhi chart mein duniya bhar mein. Ye method ... hawa ki temperature ko bhi kamiyabi se andaza lagane mein madad kar sakta hai. Aur nahi, yeh koi mazak nahi hai.

Magar technical analysis ka mukhya istemal, beshak, markets ke liye hai. In ke liye hi yeh technology banayi gayi thi. Kai sau saalon se karodo traders hoshyar nazar aate hain aur yeh samajhne ki koshish karte hain ke qeemat kahan ja rahi hai.

Aur kaise na ho? Agar aap ek chawal trader hain aik purani stock exchange par, toh aapko yeh andaza lagana zaroori hai ke aap kab ameer ho sakte hain aur kab market se bachna chahiye. Yeh koi farq nahi padta ke yeh 18th century hai aur telephone 200 saal door hai hone se.

Pehla rukawat hai shabd "technical", jo aksar logon ko dara deta hai. Naam bohot badnasib hai. Kyunkay jab aap gaadi ke andar jhankte hain, toh kya yeh koi kamzor "technical analysis" nahi hota hai kisi makhlooq ke?

Magar chezain markets ke shart lagaane mein, forex mein ya stock market mein, alag hain. Yahan analyst chart par qeemat ki harkaton ke sath kaam karta hai aur is process ke zaroori patterns ko dhoondhne ki salahiyat hasil karta hai.

Aapko pata hona chahiye ke technical analysis utna he aasan nahi hai jitna lagta hai. Aapki peshgoyian hamesha durust nahi hogi. Technical analysis seekhna waqt aur musalsal practice ka kaam hai.

Kabhi kabhi aap sun sakte hain ke technical analysis zyada tar ek art hai aur science se kam. Ye sach hai kyun ke jab hum technical analysis ka istemal karke future qeemat ki harkaton ka andaza lagane ki koshish karte hain, toh bohot saare nuances hote hain jo kabhi kabhi mukhtalif nateeje tak pohoch sakte hain.

Technical Analysis Ki Basics (History)

Technical analysis bohot zyada purana hai jaise aap soch sakte hain. Chaliye kahen ke technical analysis ke kuch pravdhan Joseph de la Vega ne 17th century mein vikri ke liye Dutch markets mein viksit kiye.

18th century mein, Honma Munehisa, aik Japanese chawal trader, ne woh cheez viksit ki jo baad mein modern Japanese candlesticks ban gayi. Bas sochiye - ye candlesticks 200 saal se kaam kar rahe hain.

Technical analysis ka pehla zikar late 19th century mein hua jab Charles Dow ne Wall Street Journal mein aik article shaya kiya jismein unho ne kuch aise asool bayan kiye jinhein unka khayal tha ke bina kisi khatra ke khareed o farokht ka faisla kiya ja sakta hai. Ye asool baad mein stock market ki manzil ka tajzia ban gaye. Is waqt sab technical analysis par baat chhod di gayi.

Ye ek maqaamat pehchan ke liye ek faida tha: Great Depression 1929 mein shuru hui aur kuch ajeeb si tarah se, yeh technical analysts ke liye naye darwazon ko khol diya. Us waqt analysts ke paas kam kaam tha aur zyada waqt tha, jise wo naye theories ki daryaft par guzar dete the. Us daur mein kuch aise legendary stockbrokers ke chhaapte hue samay ki gawahi milti hai jaise Elliott, Wyckoff, Gann, aur bohot se aur, lekin koi mushtarka tarz kaare ki ek mukhtasir tarikh nahi milti: us waqt kuch log charts ko ek graphical records of exchange supply and demand ke tor par samajhte the, jab ke doosre exchange mein "secret order" dhoondhne ki koshish kar rahe the. Tehqiq ka natija tha Elliott Wave Theory aur William Gann ke kaam, jo traders ne derivatives markets mein kamyabi se istemal kiya. Yeh legendry the 30s jo technical analysis ke sitaray ki pehli nasl ko janam diya, aur yeh koi hairat ki baat nahi - itni taqatwar thi Great Depression ke asar brokers aur analysts par, ke behtareen tawanaiyan tehqiqi peshgoiyon ke tajzia par phenk di gayi.

Pichle sadi ke 30s, be-ishaara, stock charts ke taraqqi ke liye ek sone ka daur kaha ja sakta hai. Magar technical analysis ko sirf ek set ke tools nahi, balki puri trading philosophy banane mein saalon lag gaye. Computers ke aane ke saath 70s mein, technical analysis ek zyada hisaab se riyazi form lena shuru hua: tajziyati methods jo ke riyazi aksar karwaane aur filtering ka istemal karte hain, tezi se viksit hone lage. Is waqt Wilder Directional System paida hua, jo trends ko dhoondhne aur unki raftar ke mutabiq kaam karne ki jayazat dene ki ejazat deta hai, aur bohot saare indicators, jaise ke Williams' Percent Range, Joseph Granville's Volume Balance, aur bohot se aur, jin ke tajdar koi itihaas nahi hai.

Lagbhag adha sadi guzar gayi hai, aur technical analysis kabhi rukta nahi hai viksit hone se: naye indicators viksit ho rahe hain, is method ke "adepts" ka number badh raha hai, aur technical indicators ka istemal kabhi bhi itna aasan nahi hua hai!

Kya Technical Analysis Kaam Karta Hai?

Technical analysis ka be-shak fayeda yeh hai ke is ke nafis deta jo is ke amal mein shamil hai, seedha un daryaft ki gai qeemat chart mein hai. Yeh postulate "qeemat mein sab kuch shamil hai" is haqeeqat ko behtareen taur par bayan karta hai.

Jaise ke kisi bhi doosri peshgoyian, charts ke tajziya par mabni fazool data ke buniyad par qeemat ke hawaale se nateeje kabhi bhi muqarrar nahi kiye ja sakte. Unki durusti seedha us analyst (trader) ke tajurbe par munhasir hoti hai jo unhein banata hai. Har surat mein, yad rakhna chahiye ke technical analysis qeemat ka aik moatamad jawab nahi deta ke qeemat kahan ja sakti hai, balke sirf is ke harkaton ki ek ya doosri rukh ki mumkinat batata hai.

Technical analysis ke tajziya ke tareeqay istemal karne mein trading ke doosre shaklon ka istemal muhakkam tor par nahi kartay. Khaaskar, is par kiye gaye nateejay trader ko fundamental analysis ki taraf se di gayi maloomat ke saath mukammal tajziya karne ke moqa dene ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Ya phir, ulti seedhi, fundamental analysis ke nateejay hain jo jazbaati tor par technical analysis ke aalaat se waqif traders ki mojooda market halaat ki tafseel se tajziya ke liye moqa dete hain.

Technical analysis ki bunyadiyat ka ilm aik amal se trader ke liye zaroori hai. Is se kam az kam akalmand log kamyaab hone par amal karne ke liye ek qudrati layer ka istemal nahi karte hain jo mojooda aur future ke qeemat ke trends ke mutaliq maloomat ke zariye hasil ki ja sakti hai.

Financial Market Ki Fundamental Analysis Vs Technical Analysis

Fundamental analysis ek tareeqa hai ke security ke asli qeemat ko napne ka jismein intezaami ma'ashi aur maali factors ki tafteesh ki jati hai. Fundamental analysis mein, har cheez jo security ki qeemat ko mutasir kar sakti hai, us par ghor kiya jata hai: macroeconomic factors (maqami ma'ashi haalat aur khaas business industry ka maqami haalat) microeconomic factors (company management ka efficency).

Investor ka aik akhri maqsad hai ke asal qeemat ka ilm ho, jo mojooda qeemat ke saath mawazna kiya ja sakta hai. Is tareeqay se investor dekhta hai ke security moqif mein hai ya ghalat qeemat par hai. Baad mein, trader faisla karta hai ke stocks kharidna hai ya farokht karna hai.

Ye tareeqa technical analysis ke ulta hai. Technical analysis mein, aik qeemat vector tareekhdaar market data (qeemat aur volume) ke buniyad par pesh kiya jata hai.

Fundamental analysis ka mukhya maqsad yeh hota hai ke pata lagaya jaye ke aik stock market mein sahi qeemat par hai ya nahi. Fundamental analysis macro aur micro factors ke tafteesh ke sath kiya jata hai. Is tarah us tareekhdaar ko pata chalta hai jo mojooda market mein ghalat qeemat par hai.

Fair market value ko samajhne ke liye, analysts pehle economy ka general haal aur phir khaas industry ki taraf mutawajjah hotay hain. Sirf is ke baad wo kisi khaas company ki performance par guzarti hain.

Financial market ki volatility ke sath, kisi bhi instrumental ke liye fundamental analysis banana asaan nahi hota. Mukhtalif sharaait ke tahat, wahi macroeconomic indicators alag tareeqay se outlook ko mutasir karte hain.

Kisi bhi ahem maali ya siyasi waqea ke saath kisi bhi wakiye ke natije mein turant baad, muntaqil currency pair ki sharah aksar barh jati hai ya gir jati hai. Aur is harkat par, waise ke kisi wajah se, aap kuch munafa hasil kar sakte hain. Sab se bada sawal yeh hai ke waqt par aane wali events par mustawi rehna aur un par jald react karne ki salahiyat honi chahiye.

Aam tor par, prices tab gir jati hain jab buri khabrein hoti hain, aur prices tab barhti hain jab achi khabrein hoti hain. Magar khabron ki pehli reaction sirf traders ke "market ko hilaana" ke natije hain. Theek qeemat ka rukh baad mein pata chalta hai jab qeemat khabar ki taraf di gayi trend ke mutabiq chalti hai.

Technical analysis ke muqable mein, jahan pe peshgoyian low time frames mein ki jati hain, fundamental analysis aane wale hafton aur maheenon ke liye lambi mudat ki peshgoiyon ko karne ki ejazat deta hai.

Magar sirf ek ammali aur siyasi faaliyat aur mulk ki maali halat ki aam tajziya aik traders ko kafi madad kar sakti hai.

Technical Analysis Advantages

Technical analysis ke fawaid ke baare mein baat karte hue, humein yeh zikr zaroor karna chahiye ke yeh fundamental analysis se asaan hai. Financial markets ki fundamental analysis mein, maamoli hai ke woh mukhtalif countries ki economies ka mojuda haalat pata lagaye, magar yeh zaroori hai ke unke darmiyan milansar ke taluqat ka bhi andaza lagaya jaye. Iska matlab hai ke sirf individual countries ke maqami ma'ashi sharaait ka tajziya karna zaroori nahi, balkay in ke mutasireen mulkoon ke darmiyan rishton ka bhi hisaab lagana hai, aur sirf specialists-analysts yeh task anjam de sakte hain. Technical analysis mein sirf price aur volume ki tabdeeliyon ka graph dekha jata hai; is wajah se woh log bhi jo siasati waqiyat ke baare mein kuch nahi jante aur na he kisi mulk ke economy ke mutalaq hain wo is ko kaise behtar istemal kar sakte hain.

Technical analysis ka sab se hairat angez faida yeh hai ke stop orders rakhna mumkin hai. Ye aik bohot serious plus hai. Aise, jaise ke ye sada samjha jaye, ek aam factor, sirf inkar karne ke anjam tak nahi pohanchta hai, kamyabi ke liye bohot zyada ahmiyat hai.

Yeh technical analysis ke fawaid aapko market ki halat ka tajziya karne ki mumkinat deta hai jo ke aik trader ko currency kharidne ya farokht karne ka behtareen maqam dhoondne ki ejazat deta hai. Is wajah se, technical analysis aik aamal qabile istemal hai jo aasani se kisi bhi maali market par trading karte waqt istemal kiya ja sakta hai.

Technical Analysis Drawbacks

Forex trading mein technical analysis aksar aise waqt hote hain jab aapke technical analysis tools mukhtalif ya mukhalif signals paida karte hain. Misal ke tor par, aapko support aur resistance levels ke tajziya ke buniyad par kharidne ki signals mil sakti hain, magar aapka MACD indicator farokht ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai.

Aik surat jahan traders itni detailed market ko tajziya karte hain ke unke liye sahi faisla karna mushkil ho jata hai. Ye aam tor par tab hota hai jab trader koshish karta hai ke woh sare factors ko suljhaye, jo haqeeqat mein haqeeqat mein kamyaabi nahi milti. Trading mein, hum probabilities se deal karte hain, na ke yaqeenon se.

Traders ke liye itne zyada technical tools hone ke saath, kuch log market ko itna ghairat se tajziya karne ka jaal mein gir jate hain ke unhein trading ke faislay lena mushkil ho jata hai. Is masle ka behtareen hal yeh hai ke koshish ki jaye ke cheezen asaan banaye rakha jayein.

Haan ke technical analysts apni primary analysis tool ke tor par qeemat par bharosa karte hain, magar kuch biases woh tafteesh ke daryafat ko kaise samajhte hain us par asar daal sakte hain. Misal ke tor par, agar aapka EUR/USD mein bullish bias hai, toh aap bina jhijhak ke buying opportunities talash karenge aur EUR/USD kamzor hone ki nishaniyon ko nazar andaz kar denge. Isi wajah se zaroori hai ke hum charts ko sachchai se unbiased tareeqe se analyze karne ki koshish karein.

Analysis ko badal sakta hai

Jaise ke humne pehle likha, technical analysis zyada tor par aik art hai aur science se kam. Do technical experts doosre technical experts ek he price chart par dekh sakte hain aur kabhi kabhi do mukhtalif tawilat pesh kar sakte hain. Ye gawara hai, aur ek wajah hamare andar ke biases hain. Also, chart patterns jo hindsight mein saaf nazar ate hain woh real-time mein bohot subjective ho sakte hain.

Fundamental Analysis Ki Ahmeyat:

Bari maqami khabrein aur reports jald az jald market prices ko ek raah mein ya doosre mein mutasir kar sakti hain. Ye khas tor par haqeeqat mein hota hai jab maqami riwayati data naumeed ya tajurbaat se mukhtalif hota hai.

Tajziyati tareeqe ka istemal karke aik analyst ko aik khaas country ki economy aur duniya bhar ke doosre countries mein kya ho raha hai behtar samajh mein aata hai. Ye global markets ki gehraaiyon ki samajh deti hai.

Har financial instrument ya asset ke sath aik fair value juri hoti hai. Aik trader ka kaam hota hai un assets ko dhoondna jahan asset ki asli qeemat aur market price ke darmiyan koi mukhalifai ho.

Fundamental analysis currency analyst ko is mawaqay mein madad karti hai jo ke interest rates, inflation, consumer sentiment, industrial production, aur doosre indicators ki tafteesh se hota hai.

Fundamental Analysis Ke Drawbacks:

Fundamental analysis mukhtalif factors ko nahi ginta, jo ke qeemat ki idhar udhar ja sakti hain. Is wajah se prices ki harkatein aksar fundamental analysts ke pehlaane wale nateejay ke khilaaf ja sakti hain. Har trader ye dekh sakta hai agar kuch saalon tak trading ki ho. Aur ye khaas tor par crises aur global trend reversals ke doran zahir hota hai.

Fundamental analysis trends ki taqat ko nahi tay kar sakta, agar woh unki rukh ko gues karta hai toh bhi, kyunke ye market par supply aur demand ke correlation par munhasir hota hai. Aur ye sawal fundamental analysis se jawab nahi de sakte.

Fundamental analysis ke tareeqay ka istemal finance aur economics, company ke accounting statements ka kaafi gehra ilm ki zarurat hai. Har koi shakhs is qisam ka tajziya kar nahi sakta. Isi wajah se zyada tar traders ko experts ke tawajoat par bharosa karna padta hai. Aur yahan ek aur bara masla khara hota hai jo ke sab investors ko mushkil mein daal deta hai. Ye wo alag alag analysts ki inconsistent recommendations ke hain jo ke aksar aik he financial instrument ke liye keemat ke forecasts par ikhtilaf karte hain. Is wajah se ke alag alag analysts alag tareeqay se aik stock ke haqeeqati qeemat ko tay karne ka istemal karte hain. Is surat mein, nateejay aik doosre se bohot zyada mukhtalif ho sakte hain.

Is maamle mein, investor ko apni raay ka faisla karna parta hai jo unke khayal mein kamiyabi ka sabab banega. Aur yeh kuch nahi balkay asaan shumara hai, jo ke roulette khelne ya kisi khel par shart lagane se bohot zyada mukhtalif nahi hai. Khas tor par agar investor ke paas kafi maali aur maashi ilm na ho. Aise tajziya ka juzvi taur par faida mil sakta hai magar yeh saaloon tak mustaqil buland kamiyabi dastiyab karne ki ijaazat nahi deta.

Ek barhte hue market mein, is tajziya se aam tor par koi masla nahi hota. Is maamle mein, zyadatar tajaweez nafa baksh sabit hoti hain. Masail tab uthte hain jab global trends mukhalif ho jate hain, maslan, maali, maashi, ya siyasi crises ki wajah se. Pehle crises ki tajziyat ka tajziya dikhata hai ke in maqasid mein zyadatar analysts ki tajaweezat nakaam sabit hui. Natija yeh hota hai ke traders ki psychology ka ek aur bara masla hota hai - woh kisi aur nuksan se bachne ke khauf mein tajaweezat par bharosa karna band kar dete hain. Aur yeh am taur par normal nafsiyati rad amal aik qisam ka jaal paida karta hai jismein se bachna mushkil ho jata hai.

Technical aur Fundamental Analysis mein Kon Si Behtar Hai

Ab aap dono tajziyon ko samajh chuke hain. Sahi sawal yeh hai: Kaun behtar kaam karta hai? Koi bhi nahi!

Dono tajziyon mein apni taqat aur kamzoriyan hain. Bunyadi tajziya ko nazar andaz karna aksar aise waqiyat mein aapki tajziyaat ko bila-wajah tabdeel kar deta hai jab aap is ki umeed nahi rakhte hain. Taknikai tajziya ke istemal ke baghair, aap charts par behtareen dakhilah nakaar shumaraat aur un levels ko nahi mark kar sakte jahan zyadatar trader ki faaliyat hoti hai aur keemat baar baar ulat pher hoti hai. Isi tarah, aapko dono tajziyon ke darmiyan ek tawazun dhoondhna hoga.

Fundamental analysis ka istemal aik mukhtalif portfolio tak le ja sakta hai jo ke risk se bachne wala aur buland nataij dene wala hota hai.

Fundamental analysis lambi dair takke investors aur short-term traders ke liye kaam aata hai, chunanche woh maali duniya mein naye hon ya tajurba kar rahe hain. Is se pehle kisi bhi invest ya trade ko karne se pehle yeh zaroori hai.

Qabile-e-atbar bunyadi tajziya ko taknikai tajziya ke sath joda ja sakta hai aur sahi khatra nigrani tareeqon ke sath mustaqil kamiyabi aur kam nuqsan hasil kiya ja sakta hai.

Taknikai tajziya agar kisi wajah se, halat baad mein tabdeel ho jate hain, ya asal tajziya kaamyab nahi hota, to additional security faraham karta hai.

Maslan, haal hi mein share market ne aik taqatwar nateeja hasil kiya aur maaliyat behtar thi. Phir aik corona virus ne bari farokht shuru ki, aur maaliyat mein mandi ka samna hua. Cheezein foran tabdeel ho sakti hain aur mukhtalif levels par lagaye gaye Stop-Losses ne sakht nuqsanat se bacha sakte the.

Pehle, lambi muddat tak, bunyadi tajziya market ko tajziya karne ka sirf aik tareeqa tha. Magar phir yeh halat badal gaye, jab computer ke tawanaiyon ne asaan hisaab kitaabon ko ijazat di, aur taknikai tajziya zyada traders ke liye popular hone laga. Bohot se baray investment funds computer modeling ka istemal entry aur exit points tay karne ke liye karte hain. Maali markets mein hone wale transactions ka barhne wala hissa computerized trading systems ke zariye kiya jata hai.

Yeh yeh baat maani jati hai ke market ke bohot se barray players apne trading decisions ko computer algorithms par base karte hain. Haqeeqat mein, kuch anumaanon ke mutabiq, aaj ke tamam exchanges ke volume ka 70% tak computerized trading ke zariye hota hai. Chahe aap ise pasand karen ya na karen, price movement ab zyadatar taknikai factors ke mutabiq hai, aur sirf kuch hi had tak bunyadi factors ke mutabiq. Maarkets hamesha tabdeel ho rahe hain, aur aapko apni trading strategies ko mutabiq tarmeem karna hoga.

Yahan koi sahi ya ghalat jawab nahi hai. Aapko dono tareeqon ko azmayen aur dekhen ke aapke liye konsa behtar kaam karta hai.

Technical Analysis k Basics

Forex market ki taknikai tajziya ki teen buniyadi postulates, jaise teen sair ko sambhalte hain, hain:

• Price har cheez ko mukhtasir karti hai;
• Price trend mein chalti hai;
• Tareekh khud ko dohrati hai.

1. Price har cheez ko mukhtasir karti hai
   
   Yeh qaul haqeeqat mein taknikai tajziya ki saraqi hai. Taknikai analyst yeh mante hain ke woh asbaab jo kisi future contract ki market price ko kisi na kisi tarah par asar dal sakte hain (aur yeh asbaab mukhtalif qisam ke ho sakte hain: maali, siyasi, nafsiyati - kisi bhi), woh is cheez ki keemat mein zahir honge. Iska matlab hai ke aap se sirf qeemat ke harkat ko dhyan se mutalaa karna hai. Yeh zyada biased lag sakta hai, magar agar aap in alfaaz ki haqeeqat par ghaur karenge toh aap samajhenge ke isay rad karna namumkin hai.
2. Price trend mein chalti hai
   
   Trend ka concept taknikai tajziya mein ek bunyadi hai. Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke haqeeqat mein, market par jo kuch bhi hota hai, woh kisi khaas trend ke mutabiq hota hai. Futures markets par qeemat ke harkaat ka graph banana is maqsad ke liye zaroori hai ke in trends ko un ke shuruaati marhale mein pehchanne aur un ke rukh ko un ke rukh ke mutabiq follow karne mein madad mile. Zyadatar taknikai tajziya tareeqay trend-following tabaiyat rakhte hain, yani, unka kaam yeh hai ke analyst ko trend ko pehchanne aur is ke rukh ko us ke wujood ke dauran follow karne mein madad karna.
   
   Is assumption se jo do asraar nikaalte hain ke qeemat ke harkaat trend ke mutabiq hoti hain: pehla asraar yeh hai ke amal mein tendancy ko aage barhne ka imkaan hai aur yeh apne mukhalif mein tabdeel nahi hota hai. Yeh ibtidaai harkat ke Newton ke pehle qanoon-e-harakat ka ek parafrase hai. Doosra asraar: mojooda tendancy apni mukhalfat mein mudalil hone tak barqarar rahega. Yeh pehle corollary ka dobara tajziya hai. Chahe humein jo alfaz pasand aaye, yaad rakha jaye ke tamaam trend following tareeqay is bunyadi haqeeqat par mabni hain ke mojooda tendancy ke rukh mein trade tab tak karna chahiye jab tak ke tendancy kisi mukhalif rukh mein na tabdeel hojaye.
3. Tareekh khud ko dohrati hai
   
   Taknikai tajziya aur market dynamics ke tajziya ne mazid milawat kiya hai. Maslan, guzishta so saalon mein alag alag qisam ke graphs ki tajziyat mein mufarqat hai jo market ke nafsiyati haalat ke ahem pehlu ko refect karte hain. Pehle, woh dikhate hain ke kaunsa mood - bearish ya bullish - mojooda hai market par. Aur agar yeh models guzishta mein kaam karte hain, toh yeh ummeed woh future mein kaam karenge, kyunke yeh insani nafsiyati jo saalon se tabdeel nahi hui hai, par mabni hain. Aakhri postulate ko doosre lafzon mein formulat kiya ja sakta hai: "tareekh khud ko dohrati hai" - mustaqbil ko samajhne ki chabi peechle ko mutaal karna hai. Ya phir aap is ko doosri soorat mein rakh sakte hain: mustaqbil sirf peechle ka dohrava hai.

Technical Analysis Charts

Currency market ka kisi qualitative tajziyat aur uske trends ko mutaala karne ke liye, zaroori hai ke aap chart par qeemat ka sab se zyada munasib variant ka intikhab karen. Is mudaafat ke saath saath, yeh masla bhi tajziya strategy ki khaas ahamiyat hai, jis par woh kaam karte hain. Chaliye dekhte hain ke konsa charts kaun se tajziya tools hain aur unka alag alag toolbar par kahaan maujood hain:

• Technical Analysis Line Charts
  
  Pehle taknikai tajziya simple charts ka istemal karta tha. Baad mein, ise line chart se badal diya gaya, lekin tick chart ki tarah, yeh zyada informative nahi tha. Qeemat ke harkaat ka range maloom karna mushkil tha, jo ke grift visual tajziya ki ijaazat nahi deta tha. Line chart do axes ka istemal karti hai draw karne ke liye:
  
  1. Green - qeemat ko dikhata hai.
  2. Blue - waqt ke silsile ko dikhata hai.
  
  
  Line chart points par mabni hoti hai, jo ke qeemat ke kisi mukarar waqt par mukarrar ki jaati hai. Uski kharabi yeh hai ke dosri fayda mand maloomaat ki ghaibi hai, jaise ke intehai/taqseem qeemat index, yeh data ke qeemat kis tarah se taqseem ho rahi thi kisi khaas waqt ke andar, waghaera. Khaas auzar ke bina, taknikai tajziya is chart par asar nahi karti. Magar zaroori tools ke sath bhi, yeh market ke haalat aur qeemat ke pon behaviour ko mutalaa karne ke liye zyada waqt darkar karti hai.
• Technical Analysis Charts OHLC (Bar Chart)
  
  Is qisam ka chart stock exchange players ne aksar istemal kiya tha pehle se pehle jab "Japanese candlesticks" ka dikhawa nahi hua tha. Jaise "Japanese candlesticks", yeh char qeemat - "open", "close", "high", "low" - ko dikhata hai. Yeh visually aik seedha kharor line ke saath hai jo ke choti hoti hai aur neeche se neeche aur upar se upar kai choti kharor dashon ke saath:
  
  1. Line baayein - "open" qeemat.
  2. Line daayein - "close" qeemat.
  
  
  Bar chart zyada informative hai; isliye taknikai tajziya yahaan zyada faida pahunchata hai. Is se aap ko market ki behtareen tashkeelat ka gehra mutala aur mutabiq trading ke behtareen natayej mil sakte hain. Is ki madad se aap aasani se market ka dominent trend pehchan sakte hain:
  
  Is ki kharabiya mein shamil hai ke bohot se bars ke saath bara chart par tezi se tajziya nahi kiya ja sakta. Yeh kaam "Japanese candlesticks" chart se behtar hota hai.
• Technical Analysis Candlestick Charts
  
  Is ka izafa japaniyon ki wajah se hota hai, isliye ise "Japanese candlesticks" kehte hain. Yeh qisam ka chart, "Bar chart" ki tarah chaar qisam ke qeematon ko dikhata hai, magar visual roop mein yeh ankhon ko zyada mutasir karta hai. "Bullish" candle ka jism hari rang mein hota hai, aur "bearish" candle laal rang mein hota hai:
• Technical Analysis Candlestick Patterns
  
  Kai mukhtalif candlestick patterns hain. Sabhi barabar kaam nahi karte aur aksar un ki taayeen kaafi subjective hoti hai. Isliye, aik pattern par trading faislay na karen. Behtareen tareeqa yeh hai ke unhein support aur resistance levels, moving averages ya doosre taknikai tajziya indicators ke saath joda jaye jo market entry signals ko mazid behtar banate hain.
  
  Guzishta saalon mein, japani traders ne mukhtalif candlestick patterns tay kiye hain jo ke aitihaasik qeemat ke harkaat par mabni hain. Har trader ko apna waqt dena chahiye aur in patterns ko mutala karna chahiye, kyunke yeh unhein charts ke mutalliq gehra ilm aur samajh faraham karta hai. Candlestick patterns aapko market mein qeematon ke harkaaton ko samajhne aur chune hue aset ke liye fori rukh ka andaza lagane mein madad karta hai.
  
  Magar agar aap chhote candlestick patterns ko maahir banate hain, toh aap asani se complex patterns par chale ja sakte hain, jaise ke 3 candlesticks ke sath bullish aur bearish formations.
  
  Sada patterns aur complex patterns ke darmiyan mukhtalif hone ka bara farq yeh hai ke inhein bannaane ke liye kitni candles ki zaroorat hoti hai. Jab ek simple pattern, jaise ke hammer, sirf aik candle ki zaroorat hoti hai, toh zyada complex patterns aksar do ya zyada candles ko shamil karte hain.
  
  Maslan, aik bullish Harami pattern do candles ki zaroorat hoti hai, aur Three White Soldier pattern teen ki.
  
  Phir bhi, yaad rakhein ke jitni bhi complexity ho, in sari simple aur complex candlestick patterns ki raksha ki jagah, chart reading ka sab se ahem pehlu hota hai.
• Technical Analysis Chart Patterns
  
  Forex patterns market price models mein baar baar dohraye jaate hain, kyunke jin ke wajah se aik mukhtalif qeemat ke harkaaton ka aik khaas pattern banata hai.
  
  Dosron ke alfaz mein, trading patterns ko aane waale qeemati harkaat ka rukh tay karne mein kuch percentage faida dena chahiye. To phir aap patterns kaise trade karte hain?
  
  Zaroori nahi hai ke aap chart par patterns ki fanatikana talash karen - thodi practice ke baad, yeh aap ke liye nange aankhon se dekhe ja sakte hain. Ab sab se zaroori baat: agar patterns mein kisi masle ki taraf ishaara ho toh yeh samjha jata hai ke unka koi matlab nahi. Magar patterns ke dauran tayar hone aur kaam hone par chart par kai price behavior ke scenarios banana asaan hota hai, yeh bina patterns ke khali chart par unhein banana se zyada acha hai. Chaliye samjha dein: zyadatar log pattern ko dekhte hain aur apne orders/stops ko uske qawaid ke mutabiq lagate hain, ek cluster of orders banate hain, aur qeemat, jaise hum jante hain, ek cluster se doosre cluster par chalti hai, is natije mein hamare paas do scenarios hote hain - pattern ka taraqqi ya uska tootna.
  
  Basic tor par, yeh zaroori hai ke aap classics ko jaanein (aam taur par taleemi maqsadon ke liye), magar humein unhein unke saf suthre tor par trade nahi karna chahiye, jab ke dakhool/nikhaal ke signals doosre zyada maahir tareeqon mein talash kiye ja sakte hain, jaise ke ek order book, traders ki positions ke correlation, volumes.

Yeh sabkiyaan taknikai tajziya ke buniyadi asool hain jo ke forex market ke upar mutabaqat rakhte hain, jaise ke kisi aur maali markets ke liye. Taknikai tajziya market ki taraqqi ke liye aham hai, aur iski madad se aap market ke trends ko samajh sakte hain aur behtareen trading decisions le sakte hain.

Forex market mein technical analysis ka bohot bara ahmiyat hai, aur iska istemal traders ke liye market trends, price movements aur potential trading opportunities ko samajhne mein madad deta hai. Yeh ek aham tool hai jo traders ko trading decisions banane mein madad deta hai. Neeche di gayi hai technical analysis ki importance aur kuch mukhtalif type ke analysis ke tafseel:

Technical Analysis ki Ahmiyat:

1. Trend Identification: Technical analysis traders ko market trends ko pehchane mein madad deta hai. Trend lines, moving averages aur chart patterns ka istemal karke traders market ke direction ko determine kar sakte hain, jese ke uptrend, downtrend, ya sideways trend. Isse unhe pata chalta hai ke market kis direction mein ja raha hai, jo ke trading decisions ke liye ahem hai.
2. Entry aur Exit Points ka Pata Lagana: Technical analysis traders ko entry aur exit points ka tajziya karne mein madad deta hai. Price patterns aur indicators ke istemal se traders sahi waqt par positions ko enter aur exit kar sakte hain, jisse unka risk kam hota hai aur potential profit barh jata hai.
3. Support aur Resistance Levels: Technical analysis ke zariye traders support aur resistance levels ko identify kar sakte hain. Support levels woh areas hote hain jahan se price neeche girne se rokta hai, jabke resistance levels woh areas hote hain jahan se price upar jaane se rokta hai. In levels ko samajh kar traders apni trading strategies ko improve kar sakte hain.
4. Market Sentiment ka Analysis: Technical analysis traders ko market sentiment ka analysis karne mein madad deta hai. Volume, price movements aur indicators ki madad se traders market ki sentiment ko samajh sakte hain, jese ke bullish ya bearish sentiment. Isse unhe market ki direction ka andaza lagane mein madad milti hai.
5. Risk Management: Technical analysis traders ko risk management mein madad deta hai. Stop-loss aur take-profit levels ko set karke, aur position sizing ko adjust karke, traders apne trades ko manage kar sakte hain. Technical analysis ke istemal se traders apne risk ko kam kar sakte hain aur trading performance ko improve kar sakte hain.

Mukhtalif Type ke Technical Analysis:

1. Price Action Analysis: Price action analysis mein traders sirf price movements ka tajziya karte hain bina kisi indicators ke istemal ke. Candlestick patterns, chart patterns, aur trend lines ka istemal karke traders price movements ka analysis karte hain.
2. Indicator-based Analysis: Indicator-based analysis mein traders technical indicators ka istemal karte hain market ki direction aur momentum ko determine karne ke liye. Moving averages, RSI, MACD, aur Stochastic Oscillator jese indicators ka istemal hota hai.
3. Chart Pattern Analysis: Chart pattern analysis mein traders chart patterns ka tajziya karte hain jese ke head and shoulders, triangles, aur flags. In patterns ko samajh kar traders potential price movements ko predict kar sakte hain.
4. Trend Following Analysis: Trend following analysis mein traders trend lines aur moving averages ka istemal karke market ke trends ko follow karte hain. Is tarah ke analysis mein traders trend ke sath trading karte hain aur profit kamane ki koshish karte hain.

In mukhtalif type ke technical analysis ka istemal karke, traders apne trading strategies ko improve kar sakte hain aur market ke movements ko samajhne mein maharat hasil kar sakte hain. Technical analysis traders ko market ke asal maeyar ko samajhne mein madad deta hai aur sahi trading decisions ke liye unhe guide karta hai.

Fundamental analysis ek approach hai jise investors aur traders market ke asli maeyar ko samajhne aur price trends ke piche ki factors ko samajhne ke liye istemal karte hain. Yeh market ke moolyankan aur trading decisions ko influence karne wala ek important tool hai. Neeche di gayi hai fundamental analysis ke tareeqe aur isko seekhne ke kuch tareeqe:

Fundamental Analysis ka Maqsad aur Tareeqe:

1. Company ke Financial Statements ka Tehqeeq: Fundamental analysis ka pehla qadam hota hai company ke financial statements ka jayeza lena. Yeh shamil karta hai income statement, balance sheet, aur cash flow statement. In statements ki madad se traders company ke financial health aur performance ko evaluate karte hain.
2. Economic Indicators ka Mutala: Fundamental analysis mein economic indicators, jese ke GDP, inflation rate, aur interest rates ka dekha jata hai. In indicators ka maqsad overall economy ki health aur market ki direction ka pata lagana hota hai.
3. Industry aur Market Analysis: Fundamental analysts industry trends, competitive positioning, regulatory environment, aur market dynamics ko bhi ghor karte hain. Yeh jaankari industry ke performance aur company ke future prospects ko samajhne mein madadgar hoti hai.
4. Qualitative Factors ka Amal: Fundamental analysis mein qualitative factors, jese ke company ke management quality, brand reputation, aur customer loyalty ka bhi tajziya kya jata hai. In factors ka asar company ki long-term growth aur stability par hota hai.

Fundamental Analysis ka Seekhna:

1. Online Courses aur Webinars: Bahut se online platforms aur websites fundamental analysis ke concepts aur techniques ko samjhane wale courses aur webinars offer karte hain. In courses mein basics se lekar advanced level tak ka material hota hai.
2. Books aur Reading Material: Kai books market analysis, financial statements interpretation, aur economic indicators par available hain jo fundamental analysis ko samjhne mein madadgar hoti hain. Traders ko relevant books aur reading material padh kar fundamental analysis ke concepts ko samajhna chahiye.
3. Mentorship aur Guidance: Experienced traders aur investors se mentorship aur guidance lena bhi ek asan tareeqa hai fundamental analysis ko seekhne ka. Inse traders practical knowledge aur real-world examples se faida utha sakte hain.
4. Practice aur Research: Fundamental analysis ko samajhne ka sabse asan tareeqa hai practice aur research karna. Traders ko regularly financial statements ko analyze karna aur economic indicators ka tajziya karna chahiye. Isse unki understanding improve hoti hai aur analysis skills develop hoti hain.

Fundamental analysis ek mukhtalif aur mufeed tool hai jo traders ko market ke asli maeyar ko samajhne mein madad deta hai. Isko seekhne ke liye dedication aur consistent effort ki zaroorat hoti hai, lekin agar sahi tareeqe se istemal kiya jaye to yeh traders ko trading decisions mein madadgar ban sakta hai.Forex market mein analysis ke baghair bhi kuch traders success hasil kar sakte hain, lekin yeh kisi ko consistent aur sustainable profits nahi deta. Neeche di gayi hai kuch details:

Forex Trading bina Analysis ke:

1. Random Trading: Kuch traders bina kisi analysis ke randomly trades execute karte hain, jisme unka decision making process emotions, guesswork, ya bas chance par mabni hota hai. Aise traders ki success kaafi limited hoti hai aur long-term profitability kaafi mushkil hota hai.
2. Short-term Luck: Kuch traders ko kuch waqt tak short-term luck mil sakta hai jisme unki kuch trades profitable ho sakti hain. Lekin aksar yeh luck temporary hota hai aur over time unki trading accounts loss mein ja sakti hai.
3. Lack of Consistency: Bina analysis ke trading karne wale traders ki trading approach mein consistency nahi hoti hai. Unke trades ki basis kuch bhi ho sakti hai aur unka trading strategy clear nahi hoti hai, jo ke long-term success ke liye zaroori hai.

Analysis ke Bina Trading ki Challenges:

1. High Risk: Bina analysis ke trading karna high risk ke saath juda hota hai. Kyunki traders ke paas kisi solid strategy ya basis nahi hota, isliye unka risk of losses bhi zyada hota hai.
2. Emotional Trading: Bina analysis ke traders ko apni trades par emotions ka zyada asar hota hai. Fear aur greed ki wajah se traders wrong decisions lete hain jo unhe nuksan mein daal sakte hain.
3. Lack of Understanding: Analysis ke bina trading karne wale traders ka market aur price movements ko samajhne ka level kam hota hai. Is wajah se unhe market ki complexities aur dynamics ko samajhne mein mushkil hoti hai.halanki kuch traders bina analysis ke bhi temporary success hasil kar sakte hain, lekin long-term consistent aur sustainable profits ke liye analysis zaroori hai. Analysis ke bina trading karna high risk aur unpredictable hota hai, aur aksar traders ko losses ka samna karna padta hai. Isliye, agar koi trader consistent aur successful trading karna chahta hai, toh woh analysis ka istemal karna zaroori hai. Analysis ke through traders market ki trends, price movements, aur potential trading opportunities ko samajh sakte hain, jo unhe sahi trading decisions lene mein madad karta hai.