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Andrews' Pitchfork
Alan Hall Andrews ek famous aur expert trader hain, jo financial markets k study se jure rahen hai, Us k strategy k mutabiq price jo pehle mouqe par mutawaqqa reversal hone ke baad anay wale trend ke mutawaqqa boundaries ko maloom karne ki koshish karti hai. Andrews` pitchfork indicator is masle ka hal hai, yeh tool itna mashhoor hogaya hai ke aaj kal yeh aam taur par zyadatar trading terminals ki standard set mein shamil hai.
Andrews` pitchfork ek MT4 trading indicator hai jo aik chart par price channel ko darust karti hai. Isme 1 midline aur 2 parallel lines hoti hain, jo ke ek doosre se barabar doori par hoti hain. Midline trend ko dikhata hai ya jo ke prevailing trend hai aur parallel lines market mein support aur resistance ke values ko dikhate hain. Iske alawa, chart aapko price dynamics mein mumkin hai koi pullbacks track karne ki ijazat deta hai.
Pitchfork, trading techniques ki methodology mein istemal hone wale price channels ko explore karne ka aik tool hai. Isne apne developer aur chart ke bagh ke auzaraat jese hone ke wajah se apna naam hasil kiya hai.
Andrews` Pitchfork ko Chart par Set Karna
Andrews` pitchfork indicator ko chart par shamil karna
Is indicator ko chart par rakhne ka pehla kaam ye hai ke aapko futures market ya currency market mein aane wale ya pehle se prevailing trend ko dhoondhna hai jisme ke qeemat barabar tezi se ya tezi se girte hue badal rahi ho (isay upward ya downward trends kehte hain). Is movement ki shuruaat conventional point A se shuru hoti hai.
Is ke baad, breakout line yaani price dynamics ka tezi se ulta hona dhoondha jata hai. Price ke minimum (B) aur maximum (C) points ko mark kiya jata hai, aur in dono ke darmiyan ka fasla do barabar hisson mein taqseem kiya jata hai. Midline iss breakout line ke milne wale darmiyan aur movement ki shuruaat ko darust karne wale point A ke zariye draw ki jati hai. Support aur resistance ko dikhane wale doosre lines points B aur C ke zariye midline ke parallel draw ki jati hain.
Yeh figure jo constructions se milti hai, woh pitchfork hoti hai. Is figure ka aik modification bhi hai jo ek zyada narrow channel se bachne ke liye hai - Schiff's pitchfork. Iski midline initial trend ke point A se nahi draw ki jati, balki yeh 50% upar chali gayi axis ke point se hoti hai.
Andrews` Pitchfork Trading Strategy
Latest technologies ka istemal karke pitchfork draw karna asaan hai. Kisi bhi trading terminal mein is indicator ko chart mein add karne ki function hoti hai. Lekin, is indicator ko sahi se draw karna janne se behtar samajh aata hai ke iske components kaise kaam karte hain, aur indicator ki analysis ek trader ko forex ya kisi aur assets mein trading karke paisa kamane ke liye aik flexible market strategy develop karne mein madad karta hai.
Andrews` pitchfork trend ke andar patterns ko dikhata hai. Midline asal qeemat ko dikhata hai, jabke prongs bounce ke possible range ko dikhate hain. Trader dono borders se possible bounce dekh sakta hai. Bounce hone ki imkan seedhi tarah se maujood raqam ke paisay ke sath mawafiq hoti hai. Yeh koi farq nahi parta ke kuch taqatwar players hain ya kai chhote players. Yeh dependency har halat mein qaim hai.
Trend ke andar price ki tabdili trader ko market mein rawani se tabdil hone par majboor karti hai. Is liye behtar nataij hasil karne ke liye lower time frames ka istemal karna mushkil hai.
Andrews` pitchfork ki mukhya trading strategy asset ki qeemat ko midline tak lautne ki asli tendency hai. Jab tak asset ki qeemat midline ke qareeb hai, trend as usual chalta hai. Lekin, agar asset ki qeemat ek doosre do lines ke qareeb aati hai, toh bounce hone aur value ko midline tak lautne ki buland imkan hoti hai. Trend phir bhi chalta hai, lekin trader ko price ke jumps par achhi munafa kamane ka mauqa milta hai.
Taqreeban 10% cases mein trader ko aik false breakout nazar ata hai. Thori dair ke liye price trend line se bahir jaegi, lekin phir wapis aa jayegi. Yeh imkan bohat kam hoti hai aur isay nazar andaz kiya ja sakta hai.
Trend ka ulta hone ka maamla hota hai agar:
- Ek mazeed durust aur muddat ke tabdilat ke lehaz se sustained trend breakout hota hai;
- Doosre indicators ki taraf se tasdeeq hoti hai. Misal ke tor par, trend shift nazar aati hai.
Speculator ko phir bhi agay kaarwai tay karni parti hai. Isay manzoor hai:
- Trade ko band karein;
- Ek mukhalif order lagayein;
- Intezar karein ke qeemat boundaries tak wapas aa jaye.
Andrews` Pitchfork Exit Karne par Price
Kabhi na kabhi qeemat kisi bhi channel se bahir nikal jati hai, yaani use tod deti hai. Aise maqamat par kya karna chahiye? Chaliye is misaal ke saath situation ko analyze karte hain.
Andrews' Pitchfork ko tamaam shaandar candles hokar kam az kam do candles ne channel ke bahir band hone par complete samjha jata hai. Agar pichli trend oopar ki taraf thi, aur qeemat channel ke neeche se bahir nikal jati hai, to aapko ek short position kholna chahiye jab neeche ke boundary ke do candles ke minimum ke baad ka lowest minimum todta hai. Agar upper boundary todta hai, toh iska matlab hai ke aap ek long position khol sakte hain jab do candles ke upper boundary se bahir nikalne wale highest maximum ko todta hai.
Traders aksar market mein dakhil hone ka faisla is baad lete hain ke qeemat mukhalif trend ke khilaaf channel se bahir nikalti hai.
Is approach ki ek nuqsanat yeh hai ke yeh dynamic Stop Loss hai. Isay aam taur par channel ke andar set kiya jata hai, lekin pair ki movement ke doran, ye trader ke faavour mein nahi move kiya ja sakta.
Ibtidaan mein, Stop Loss ko peechlay local high ke thoda sa upar set kiya jata hai. Yeh variant common sense ko mutabiq hai, kyun ke yeh channel ke andar hai aur us waqt chart ka sabse ooncha point hota hai. Trade lagane ke baad, qeemat tezi se oopar chali jayegi. Agar ye advance mein upar nahi liya gaya toh, channel ka range bhi upar ki taraf chala gaya hai, to order initial Stop Loss ke through band ho jayega.
Bekarar nuksan se bachne ke liye, mashwara diya jata hai ke Andrews' Pitchfork ka istemal karna chhodo agar qeemat turant signal candles ko neeche (shorting ke liye) ya upar (longing ke liye) todti nahi hai, aur lamba waqt tak flat position mein rehti hai (10 candles se zyada).
Line 1 aur 3 ke zariye banai gayi trend line, Andrews' Pitchfork ko todne par ek ghalat dakhil filter ke taur par istemal ki ja sakti hai. Agar ham iske breakout ke bina market mein dakhil ho rahe hote, toh koi order nahi lagaya jata.
Andrews' Pitchfork K Automated Aur Modified Versions
Is tool ke sath kaam karne ki aik key disadvantage ye hai ke is range ko bar bar reconstruct karna parta hai. Ye kaam tab karna parta hai jab trend badalta hai aur jab naye corrective movements aati hain.
Iske baaz versions hain jo Andrews' Pitchfork ko construct karna asaan bana dete hain. Authors standard channel ko thoda sa modify bhi karte hain, maslan woh additional levels add karte hain. KL Andrews' Pitchfork Pro indicator mein, channel ki width ko 50 aur 100 levels add karke barhaya gaya hai (base price channel width ke percentage mein).
Kuch aur aise hi indicators hain:
- Dynamic Andrews' Pitchfork. Ye khud reference points dhoondh sakta hai aur pitchfork ki position ko update kar sakta hai. Andrews ki modified version bhi is algorithm mein shamil hai.
- Andrews' Pitchfork Indicator. A standard indicator standard Andrews' Pitchfork ko dohrata hai, lekin algorithm chart ka markup khud karta hai.
- Auto Pitchfork. Pehle wale indicators ke mukhaalif, ye har din pitchfork ki position update karne ki koshish karta hai, support aur resistance levels ko markup mein istemal kiya jata hai.
Aur bhi kuch indicators hain, aur un mein se zyadatar functionality aapas mein milti hai. Markup ki accuracy optimal nahi hoti, is liye inke constructions ko bina additional corrections ke istemal karne ki tavajjo nahi di jati.
Andrews' Pitchfork k Advantages aur Disadvantages
Chaliye sab se pehle advantages ke saath shuru karte hain:
- Andrews' Pitchfork tool waqt ka azmaaya hua hai.
- Andrews' Pitchfork "tut'ta" nahi hai, ye 10 saal pehle bhi maqbool tha aur mustaqbil mein bhi maqbool rahega.
- Pehli movement par trend ka izhaar karne mein madad karta hai.
- Andrews' Pitchfork ka istemal dono trend ke mutabiq trading ke liye mumkin hai.
- Andrews' Pitchfork ache reference points provide karta hai - support aur resistance lines.
Andrews' Pitchfork disadvantages bhi hain:
- Andrews' Pitchfork subjectivity ka tajawuz hota hai.
- Signals mushkil hote hain, inko filter karna zaroori hai.
Andrews' Pitchfork Istemal Karne Ke Liye Tips
Niche di gayi malumat aapko aise sources mein hi milti hai jo bohot khaas hain. Yahan koi jadoo ka formula nahi hai, sirf aise haqaiq hain jin par traders ne saadiyon se kaam kiya hai:
- Andrews' Pitchfork qeemat ki midline par lautne ki buland imkan hoti hai (Andrews ke taqreeban 80% imkan batate hain).
- Price midline ke qareeb aane par, qeemat iske aas paas badal sakti hai, yeh to entehai taqatwar move ke saath ya to iske qareeb muqawim ho jati hai, ya isse bahir nikal jati hai, aksar gap ke saath.
- Jab qeemat midline se bahir nikalti hai, toh aksar is wapis lautti hai.
- Price aksar ya to midline ke paas badal jaati hai, ya is ke do extreme lines ke paas jo ke iske parallel hoti hain.
- Agar qeemat midline tak nahi pohanchti, toh iske ulte rukh mein mazeed chalti hai.
Moreover, Alan Andrews ne ye bhi notice kiya hai ke jab qeemat channel ke bahir hoti hai (upper ya lower line ke upar ya niche), toh woh aksar iske main lines ke upar ya niche equidistant parallel lines par react karti hai.
Conclusion
Andrews' Pitchfork qeemat ke channels ko analyze karne ke liye aik useful tool hai, jise MetaTrader 4 terminal mein bhi istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Is indicator ki reliability, author ke mutabiq, 80% se zyada hai. Lekin, ek trader ko risks ko kam karne ke liye doosre market indicators ki tajwezat dekhte hue trading strategy banani chahiye. Is indicator ko situation ki system analysis ka hissa banane ka matlab hai.
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