elif trading journal

Elif Trading Journal

USD JPY ka bunyadi tajzia:--- is pichlle haftay japani yan mein –apne ahem hareefon ke muqablay mein kami dekhi gayi, nuqsanaat ke pichlle rujhan ko jari rakha. jpy ne guzashta do hafton ke douran Amrici dollar ke muqablay mein taqreeban 2. 3 feesad ki qader kho di hai. haliya hafton mein, khorda farokht mazboot thi, be rozgari ke daaway heran kin thay ( jo ke abhi bhi sakht labour market ka ishara hai ), aur bunyadi Amrici afraat zar ka data chip chapa raha .majmoi tor par, maliyati mandiyon ne anay walay data aur khabron ko lachak ki alamat ke tor par dekha hai, halaank kasaad bazari ke khadshaat poori terhan se kam nahi hue hain. fed ke pasandeeda afraat zar ke isharay, cover pce deflator, is anay walay haftay tawajah ka markaz hon ge. chip chapa qeemat ke dabao ke izafi isharay rate mein katoti ki shart ko jari rakh kar usd / jpy ke munafe ke rujhan ko tole day satke hain . USD / JPY ka takneeki tajzia:--- Fed ki janib se ghair janabdaar sharah sood ki policy apnane ka imkaan bohat ziyada hai, aur is ke nateejay mein, us dollar index ( dxy ) abhi do haftay ki kam tareen satah 103. 21 par chhapa gaya hai. petrol ki qeematon mein kami aur khanay ki qeematon ke wazeh istehkaam ko dekhte hue, hum ne paish goi ki hai ke si pi aayi ki surkhi mahinay ke liye koi tabdeeli nahi rahay gi. jabkay bunyadi afraat zar ka imkaan ziyada tar mustahkam raha .nilami ke adaad o shumaar ke mutabiq, istemaal shuda karon ki qeematon mein guzashta mah aik baar phir izafah sun-hwa, aur hum bunyadi khidmaat mein musalsal mazbooti ki tawaqqa karte hain. khaas tor par, hum tawaqqa karte hain ke bunyadi cpi mein musalsal teesray mahinay 0. 4 % izafah sun-hwa, jis ke nateejay mein May mein 5. 3 % ki thori behtar yoy tabdeeli aaye gi. markazi bank aam tor par maang aur ujrat ko badhaane ki koshish kar raha hai . " 1-h chart h1 chart ko dekhte hue, pichlle haftay ki kam support level 138. 778 hai. is support level se mustard honay ne jori ko 140. 447 ki muzahmati satah par dhakel diya. ab jora is range mein trade kar raha hai lekin muzahmat se oopar ka waqfa jori ko 145. 345 par dhakel sakta hai kyunkay isi terhan ziyada assar walay data ki wajah se, support ke neechay waqfa jori ko 134. 345-134. 00 par dhakel sakta hai. kyunkay jori mazboot muzahmat aur himayat ki satah ki taraf se mustard kar diya jata hai. 140. 00 se oopar ka waqfa taajiron ke liye kharidari ka mauqa peda kar sakta hai aur 139. 500 se neechay ka waqfa baichnay walon ke liye farokht ka mauqa peda kar sakta hai. Amrici dollar par cover cpi aur fomc par bohat dabao hai .

Gold / XAU USD ka takneeki tajzia outlook Gold D-1 TF Outlook:--- Rozana ke frame par, isharay ki taknik ke mutabiq, yeh wazeh hai ke subah ke waqt mansoobah bandi ki gayi kami ko fa-aal tor par injaam diya ja raha hai. filhaal, qeemat amli tor par hisabi himayat - ema50 par 1940 tak pahonch gayi hai. aam tor par, yahan, rozana chart par, kami sir aur kaandhon ke patteren ki soorat mein ki jati hai. is ki zahiri shakal, bilashuba, jungli hai, lekin nazar aati hai. aik waqt mein, adaad o shumaar muqami ema50 se shuru hue thay, jo ke is waqt 1895 mein tha, aur is liye, yahan wapas aana mantaqi hoga. usooli tor par, agar neechay ka yeh safar ab aalmi khareed ke signal ke sath mukammal ho gaya to mein raahat ki saans le ga. mein bhi long charge karna shuru kar dun ga. lekin, fi al haal, is ke baray mein baat karna bohat jald hai. hamein ulat jane ki tasdeeq ki zaroorat hai, aur ahem baat yeh hai ke gardan ke totnay ka intzaar karen. phir hum naye rujhan ke baray mein baat kar satke hain. yeh aik mazboot rujhan ke ulat jane ki tasdeeq hogi. agla marhala Sabiqa ​​support / muzahmat ki satah ke qareeb stap las order set karna hoga. aik baar yeh ho jane ke baad, market mein daakhil hona aur tijarat shuru karna mehfooz rahay ga. Gold H-4 TF Outlook:--- Guzashta haftay sonay ki qeemat ke hawalay se aik mushahida kya gaya tha. musannif ki report mein kaha gaya hai ke qeemat 1930 ke aaghaz se dhalwan support par girnay ka intzaar kar rahi thi. yeh khaas support is se pehlay bilkul theek kaam kar chuki thi. musannif ka khayaal tha ke agar qeemat aik baar phir is satah par pahonch gayi to bail nikal ayen ge. abhi tak, qeemat 1920 ke muqami support par hai. is satah se rebound ho sakta hai, jis se oopar ki harkat ho gi. taham, musannif is waqt koi kharidari karne ka iradah nahi kar raha hai. yeh note karna zaroori hai ke sonay ki qeemat tabdeel hoti hai aur is par assar andaaz honay walay mukhtalif awamil hain. lehaza, market par gehri nazar rakhna aur bakhabar faislay karna bohat zaroori hai . mujhe yeh bhi umeed hai ke aaj aik rule back ka ihtimaam kya gaya hai. lekin fi al haal, reechh qeemat ko bohat mazbooti se daba rahay hain. belon ko $ 1, 970 ke nishaan se oopar jane ki bhi ijazat nahi hai. yeh gole satah se oopar niklny ke ilawa ziyada kuch nahi day ga. aur achi numoo, aur mazeed janoobi manzar naame ki mansookhi ke liye, qeemat ko 1970. 80 se oopar mazboot karne ki zaroorat hai. chunkay yahan aik up trained line hai, aur is ke oopar wapas aaye baghair, koi bhi shumal ko bhool sakta hai. agar hum junoob ke tasalsul ke sath aik mutabadil manzar naame par ghhor karen, to agla fb hadaf 1860. 20 hai, jahan 76 win islaah waqay hai. aur mujhe yeh kehna zaroori hai ke wahan bhi girnay ka imkaan hai. aap ka din acha guzray

USD/ JPY ka tajzia : usd / jpy rech –apne aap ko control barqarar rakhnay ke liye jad-o-jehad kar rahay hain. teen din ke up trained ko khatam kiye jane ke bawajood, jori 140. 50 ke nishaan ke ird gird mazboot hoti jarahi hai. market mein yeh mohtaat mizaaj federal open market committee ( fomc ) ki monitory policy ke ahem ijlaas se qabal mutawaqqa imarat ki akkaasi karta hai. tajir May ke awail se muzahmat se badli hui support line ka gehri nazar se mushahida karte hain, usd / jpy jori ki mustaqbil ki simt ke liye isharay talaash karte hain . Amrici iqtisadi waqeat ne marhala tay kya : Jabkay usd / jpy ne paiir ko aik really ka tajurbah kya, is ka majmoi chart dhancha mandi ka shikaar hai. market ke shurka ab haftay ke liye Amrici iqtisadi calendar par tay shuda ahem waqeat par tawajah markooz kar rahay hain, jis ka aaghaz mangal ko May ki afraat zar ki sharah ke ajra se hota hai. yeh data ahem ho ga, mumkina tor par federal reserves ke sood ki sharah ke faislay se pehlay jazbaat mein tabdeeli ka sabab ban sakta hai . All Eyes on US Consumer Inflation Figures: hafta vaaru ki khaas baat America ki janib se sarfeen ki afraat zar ke taaza tareen adad o shumaar ka be sabri se intzaar hai. ibtidayi shumali Amrici session ke douran baad mein tay shuda, aik ziyada ahem Amrici consumer price index ( si pi aayi ) print federal reserves ke sakht monitory policy ke imkanaat ko taqwiyat dainay ka imkaan hai. nateejatan, yeh Amrici dollar aur usd / jpy jori ko utha sakta hai. taham, markazi bank ke barhatay hue waqeat ke khatraat - budh ko fomc ka faisla aur jummay ko bank of Japan ( boj ) ki meeting ke paish e nazar, fori tor par market ke rad-e-amal ko rokay jane ki tawaqqa hai Technical Outlook and Key Levels to Watch: usd / jpy ke liye marhala tay honay par aik dilchasp midanِ jung ubharta hai, fori muzahmati satah 140. 50 par mazbooti se qaim hoti hai. agar is satah ki kamyabi se khilaaf warzi ki jaye to, rasta 140. 46 par waqay hafta waar bulandi ki taraf khilta hai, jo saal bah tareekh ( ytd ) 140. 93 ki bulandi ko jhanchne ke safar ke ibtidayi sang mil ko nishaan zad karta hai. taham, aik mutazaad manzar nama samnay aata hai agar jora neechay ki taraf shift ka tajurbah karta hai, jis mein 139. 50 se neechay ki kami mumkina tor par aik raftaar ka ishara deti hai jo pehlay se numaya ki gayi had ki nichli had ki taraf jata hai, jo taqreeban 138. 44 par rehta hai . mojooda sorat-e-haal aur mumkina kami ke khatraat : Forex market ke wasee wusat ke darmiyan, usd / jpy jora –apne aap ko tawazun ki haalat mein paata hai, 139. 50 khitton ke ird gird naazuk andaaz mein tayyar hai, jo haal hi mein manoos honay wali had ke andar aaraam se waqay hai. phir bhi, murawaja jazbaat se pata chalta hai ke khatraat mumkina neechay ki taraf jhukao rakhtay hain. jaisay jaisay market forces ka paicheeda raqs usd / jpy mein samnay aata hai, aik ahem mourr samnay aata hai. 139. 50 ki ahem support level se neechay aik faisla kin khilaaf warzi mazeed mumkina nuqsanaat ki aik alamat ke tor par ubharti hai, jo 138. 44 ke June ki kam tareen satah par muqarrar kardah ibtidayi hadaf ke liye raah hamwar karti hai. is ke bar aks, oopar ki raftaar ki taraf jane wala rasta muzahmati sthon ko zahir karta hai jo 139. 77 aur 141. 00 par intzaar mein hain, jo ahem sang mil ke tor par kaam karte hain jin par qaboo paana zaroori hai .

T e c h n i c a l _ a n a l y s i s USD / CAD :-- subah bakhair forum ke tamam doston ko jinhon ne mere tajzia ko falo kya hai. aayiyae kam o besh apni takneeki pishin goyyon ke nataij ka khulasa karen, jo kal bohat kaar amad saabit ho satke hain. likhnay ke waqt usd / cad 1. 3352 par trade kar raha hai. is time frame mein, mein ne mushahida kya hai ke usd / cad jora mahinay ke urooj par taizi se agay barh raha hai. The relative strength index ( rsi ) isharay ko dekh kar, kami ki sharah hai kyunkay line mein kami aana shuru ho gayi hai. isi waqt, moving average knorjns divergence ( macd ) signal line ki simt bhi neechay ki taraf bherne lagi hai. orange line aur line jo ke 20-ema line hain aur 50-ema line ab bhi neechay ki taraf ishara kar rahi hain. fori muzahmat 1. 3409 qeemat ki satah par hai, aur oopar koi bhi qareebi jori ko 1. 3639 ki taraf dhakel day ga, jumaraat ke liye doosri muzahmat. is ke baad, 1. 3639 ki muzahmat ke oopar wazeh waqfa qeemat ko 1. 3979 tak daba sakta hai jo ke muzahmat ki teesri satah hai. is ke bar aks, 1. 3255 pehli support level hai. agar reechh apna amal jari rakhen to qeemat 1. 2973 ki support level dekh sakti hai jo ke support ki doosri satah hai. is ke baad, agar qeemat is satah ke neechay girty hai, to hamein 1. 2513 ki agli support level par kuch lambi tigarti karni hon gi jo ke support ki teesri satah hai. taham, mein tawaqqa karta hon ke usd / cad qeemat 1. 3639 supply range se wapas aajay gi aur 1. 3979 supply ke oopar is ki taizi se taraqqi jari rakhay gi . H4 Time Frame Outlook:-- h4 time frame par, aisa lagta hai ke kaafi achi candle stuck ki tashkeel ke sath pehlay hi oopar ki taraf harkat ho chuki hai, lekin abhi ke liye, mein ab bhi kharidari ki position ko bohat kam lainay ki sifarish nahi karta, kyunkay agar mein usay achi terhan se daikhta hon, to aisa lagta hai ke ab bhi aik supply zone hai. mumkina tor par, aap usay bardasht karne ke qabil nahi ho saktay hain. lehaza jab tak supply zone oopar ki taraf daakhil nahi sun-hwa hai, is baat ka imkaan hai ke usdcad market ka rujhan ab bhi mandi ka shikaar rahay ga, is liye ab tak ke tijarti mansoobay ke baray mein, mein ab bhi pehlay farokht mein dakhlay ki salahiyaton ko talaash karne par tawajah markooz karne ka andaza lagaun ga, aur khredar hamesha misali faaslay par stap las set karna nahi bholtay taakay margin cal ka andaza lagana aasaan nah ho .