Fundamental Analysis ko Technical Analyses se Mila kar Trade krna Seekhain
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    Fundamental Analysis ko Technical Analyses se Mila kar Trade krna Seekhain
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    EURUSD Fundamentals + Technical Experience Sharing

    Assalam o Alykum, Friends me 2012 se forex trading kr raha hon, Pehle sirf Technical Analyses use krta tha, Phir jab se fundamental analyses se Technical Analyses ko link kia to pata chala k asal me to Price move krny ki waja Fundamentals hotay hain. Lekin Fundamental moves hamesha Technical Analyses ko sath le kr chalti hain.
    Asal me Technical Analyses, jo k zyada tr Big Banks aur Hedge funds use krte hain, wo aap ko zyada tr Support/Resistance, Fibonacci, DMA, Wagera ka zikr krtay miltay hain. aur price hamesha Support/Resistance aur Fibonacci k levels ko honor krti hai. bas ham ne seekhna hota hai k in ko proper kaise draw karain.

    Kai saal observe kia aur sekha k Hamesha Price move ki waja ko samjhe. 1500 se ziada points ki price move hamesha fundaments ya sentiment ki waja se hoti hai. Jb bhi price 1500-2000 points move kr jae to ye Fibonacci k mutabiq 50%-78% tk zarur retrace leti hai.
    Farz karain Price 2000 Point ooper move ki, ab jb price consolidate krna shuru kr de jo k Pakistan Time k mutabik raat 10:30PM se 11:00PM tk krti hai to us waq aap ye dekhain k ye move fundaments ki waja se hai. Yani interest rate news, CPI, Non farm Payrolls Wagera. Ya phir Sentiment ki waja se hai.

    ab price retrace zarur le gi, app history dekh le k 50% retrace aglay din sham 5:00PM tk zarur hota hai aur baz dafa 60% se 78% tk bhi retrace ho jata hai. Ab jab tk 50% retrace mukhamal na ho aap hr up move pr Sell ke trade len aur 400-500 Point tk TP rkh den, phir jb price oper jaye to phir aisa karian.
    kisi bhi retrace pr aap 2 baar se ziada trade karnay ka risk na len.

    Isi trah jab price down move le jo k 1500-2000 points tk ki hai, to 50% se 60% tk zarur move le gi, jaise hai move complete ho aur ab aap k pass buy opportunity hai. Retrace lazmi hai, to aap 50% retrace pori hony tk 1-2 trades Buy kr k 300-500 points tk TP le asani se le saktay hai.
    Dosto ye mera km as km 7 saal k experience hai. is ko try karain aur apna experience is thread me share kartay rahain.
    is Thread ko BookMark kr len, inshaAllah aap ko bohat kuch seekhnay ko milay ga.
    Is thread me hm Bloomberg, Reuters wagera aor other News sources ka bhi analyses karna seekhain ga aur un se trade decision kaise affect ho sakta hai.

    2 images attach kye hain in se mazeed rhnumai ho gi.

    Warm Regards,
    Kashif Hameed
     
    Last edited by ; 19-10-2022, 09:47 PM. وجہ: Tags forgot to e added
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  • #2 Collapse

    Re: Fundamental Analysis ko Technical Analyses se Mila kar Trade krna Seekhain

    Trade Decision lenay se pehle hamesha bari Move ki waja Dekhain.
    jb bhi koi important news release hoti hai, jis news ka impact us country ki monetary policy pr hota hai to wo news market me 800-2000 points ki move ka bais banti hai. aisi move ko fundaental move kehte hain.
    Aisi news konsi hain.

    Federal Reserve (USA) ka is waqt ka monetary target hai k wo inflation ko control karian jo k 9% YOY ka figure cross kr gai hai. Is ko control karnay k lye central bank k pas jo tool hai,
    wo hai k Interest rates barha de.
    Interest rate ka inflation pr kia asar ho ga.
    USA me ziada lo Loan pr kaam krtay hai, House building loan, Business Loan, Credit card spendings, personal loans to purchase household items.
    jb interest rate barhay ga to ye loan expensive hon ga, to log loan lena km kr den ga, jis se demand me kami ho gi, aur prices kam hona shuru hon gi,
    is tarah inflation kam ho gi.

    Interest Rate Barhanay se USD Strong Kiun Hota Hai?
    jb aap invester k point of view se dekhtay hain, to invester ko hamesha prices ooper jati achi lagti hai, jis se return on investment parh jata hai. Is lye USD Strong hota hai.

    US Federal Reserve kb tk interest rates barha sakta hai?
    1) jb tk inflation km nhi hoti.
    2) jb tk country ko recession ka fear barh nhi jata
    3) jb tk interest rate barhnay se business sector ka graph nichay nhi jata.

    is lye.
    NFP agar positive aya to USD Strong, kiun k abhi tk interest rate ka asar Jobs pr itna nhi parra,
    CPI agar positive aya to USD Strong, kiun k CPI Federal k interest rate decision ko aur aggressive kary ga,
    PPI Producer Price Index ka Federal k interest rate decision pr itna ziada asar nhi hota, lekin is se Market move 500-700 point tk ho jati hai.

    Lehaza in News ki waja se jo move ho gi, wo FUNDAMENTAL MOVE ho gi.

    hr fundamental move k baad price RETRACE zarur leti hai, jo k amomi tor pr 50% Fibonacci se 78% tk hoti hai. aap is Retrace ka 50% compelete honay tk faida le skte hai.
    Ye Retrace Technical Move hoti hai. Fundamenta jitna strong hoga, move itni hi ziada ho gi.

    Agar tehreer achi hai to Like Zarur kr dena.
    (Meri Tehreerain mera apna Analysis or Forex-Pak k page pr typing hain. copy paste nhi)

    Kashif Hameed
       
    • #3 Collapse

      Re: Fundamental Analysis ko Technical Analyses se Mila kar Trade krna Seekhain

      USDJPY Fundamental Analyses - Information about USDJPY today's intervention by the Bank of Japan to overcome devaluation of japanese yen.

      Friends kuch din se news sunnay me aa rhi thi k Bank of Japan market me intervention k k dollar ko control kr sakta hai, kiun ka Yen ki price kafi km ho gai thi.
      jis ka asar economy pr parr raha tha.
      ab jabke intervention ki waja se price me 5000 se ziada points ki move hui hai. to ye pure fundamental move hai. Lekin is ki retrace bhi itni hi ho gi, jo k next week me complete ho skti hai.

      Lekin ye retrace zaruri nhi. Kiun?
      kiun k kal k Federal Minutes me Fed ne ishara dia k rates hike ki pace km kr sakte hai, kiun k Jobs or construction sector pr asar ho raha hai. mehnga qarz ki waja se logo ki housing sector me investment km ho gai hai.

      Yehi waja hai aaj ka market sentiment bullish raha, aur price ne aaj against move lia.
      JPY ki intervention ki waja se bhi USD ka sentiment Bearish ho gia, aur EURUSD bhi up move kia, jo ka further up ward move ki taraf ishara krta hai.

      Agar Euro zone me Energy prices controll ho jati hai, jo k abhi tk nhi nazar aa rhi, to EURUSD ki down move complete ho jae gi aur trend change ho kr Bullish ho jae ga.
      Next week Federal k lye important hai, kiun k Next Week me Federel ne Interest Rate ka Faisla karna hai.
      Agar Terminal rate barrha dia, to Price .95000 se nichay ja skti hai, aur agar terminal rate km kr dia to USD weak hona shuru ho jae ga.

      Kashif Hameed
      Please Thread me reply kr k apnay swalaat ka jawab hasil kr sakte hai.
      Thanks a Lot for reading the post.


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      • #4 Collapse

        Re: Fundamental Analysis ko Technical Analyses se Mila kar Trade krna Seekhain

        Fundamental Analyses ko Forex me kaise apply kartay hain.

        kal ki aik news headline (jis ka link nichay mojood hai).

        "FED's Daly says it's time to start talking about slowing rate hikes"

        is news k sath hi EURUSD ki price jo k 1000 points down ja chuki thi, foran reverse hona shuru ho gai,
        aur aur 1500 points up move kar gai.

        ab is news ka jaiza letay hai. is week se sentiment bullish tha aur price correction le rahi thi, jaisay hi retrace mukammal hui
        aur news release hui to market price foran apnay sentiment k mutabik ooper chali gai.

        Is news me Fed's Daly ne kia kaha.

        4th para me agar dekhain to Daly ne kaha ka ab hamesha hm 75 points rate hi nhi barhain ga,
        hm agli meetings me is se kam pace se bhi rate hike kr sakte hai.
        lekin sath hi us ne kaha k jo Terminal rate projection hai, 4.5% se 5%, to yeh theek hain.

        is ka market price pr kia asa hoga, next week jaise hi market open ho gi, to European Session k doran, price retrace lena shuru karay gi,
        aur tawaku hai k price wapas kl wali low ki taraf jae gi, kiun k traders is level pr trade kr rahe thay jb is news release hui.

        Matlab ye hai, k News k 2 parts hain,
        1) rate ki pace 75 point ki bajai 50-25 point bhi ho sakti hai, "is ka impact aa gia",
        2) terminal rate 4.5% se 5% theek hai, "to is pr already markets priced in hain, to upward move wapas apni price pr zarur aa jae gi.

        Thanks for Reading the Post.
        Kashif Hameed
        (Please keep in touch and reply with your questions).

        Source: Fed's Daly says it's time to start talking about slowing rate hikes | Reuters Click image for larger version

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        • #5 Collapse

          Re: Fundamental Analysis ko Technical Analyses se Mila kar Trade krna Seekhain

          assalam o alykum,

          friends jb se Fed k mukhtalif officials ne rates hike ki pace ko km honay ka ishara dia hai, to dollar weak hona shuru ho gia hai, aisi koi bhi khabar traders or investers foran price in kr dete hain.
          ab agar koi high impact news positive aati hai to dollar strong ho ga ni to dollar k sentiment bearish hi rahe ga, price technical trade patteren ko follow kare gi.

          sath hi agar Federal ne next meeting me ishara dia k terminal rate kam kr rahe hain, to ye EURUSD ke bearish momentum khatam karne ka ishara ho ga, aur price up trend pr aa jai gi.
          Lekin abhi clear kuch ni, ye logon k analyses hain, lekin agar data or Fed decision bhi is k favor me ata hai, to ye anlyses confirm ho jae ga.

          sath hi Europe ki winter me energy ki jo prices han ya availability hai, wo bhi imp hai, ager energy prices bharr gai, to phir ye pair down move le ga, next month nov me kafi kuch clear ho ga.
          EURUSD pair at .9500 oversold status pr tha, jo ka strong fundamentals se hi further down ja skata hai, otherwise difficult.

          is news ka sources Reuters ka aaj ka Article hai, is link pr aap pora article bhi dekh skte hain.
          Dollar slides on expectations of less hawkish Fed, euro at 1-month high | Reuters

          Technical grounds pr trade krnay k lye aap support aur resistance ko mainly follow karain, aur sth me hr barri move k bad Fibinacci Retracement is faida utha sakte hai.
          agar up move thi to retrace me Sell opportunity, aor ager Down Move thi to retrace me Buy opportunity.
          is tarah se day traders faida le skte hain.

          Please comment me apne questions kr skte hain.
          Regards,
          Kashif Hameed
             
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          • #6 Collapse

            Re: Fundamental Analysis ko Technical Analyses se Mila kar Trade krna Seekhain

            Sorry friends, my account is not activated yet by the Admins. will be back when account is activated.
            Regards
             

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