ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

daily aur weekly charts par zahir hai. Bulls ke liye momentum ka palatna dekhne ke liye, zaroori hai ke price ko haal ke 0.6850 ke kareeb ka uchch par karne ke liye puri koshish ki jaye. Aise ek breakthrough se sirf maujooda downtrend ko mita diya jaayega balki shayad ek rally ko bhi shuruaat milegi jo 200-day moving average tak ja sakti hai, jo ke 0.7000 ke qareeb hai. Technical landscape mein gehri tabdeeli ke liye, 0.6700 ke critical support level ki downside breach aur bhi neeche ke movements ke liye taiyaari ho sakti hai, jo ke agle ahem support zone 0.6600 ke aas paas sthit hai. Ye ahem juncture AUD/USD traders ke liye kafi zaroori hai aur is par considerable psychological pressure hai, jo ek crucial threshold ko represent karta hai. Agar bears effectively 0.6600 level ko breach kar lein, to ye ek technical standpoint se heightened selling pressure ko trigger kar sakta hai, jisse prevailing downtrend extend ho sakta hai.

Essence mein, AUD/USD ke prevailing dynamics pe key resistance aur support levels ke beech ka interplay kaafi zyada depend karta hai. Bullish aur bearish sentiments ke darmiyan tafreeq bhaari tor par market participants ki capability par depend karta hai ke wo price movements ko in critical thresholds ke beech se guzarne mein kamyabi hasil karein. Jabki 0.6850 ke upar breach ek bullish resurgence ko trigger kar sakta hai, to 0.6700 ke neeche ka downside break bearish convictions ko intensify kar sakta hai, jo ke ek sustained downtrend tak 0.6600 aur uske baad tak le ja sakta hai. Traders aur investors ko in ahem levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunke ye market sentiment ke barometers aur price trajectories mein potential turning points hote hain. Iske ilawa, fundamental factors jaise ke economic data releases aur geopolitical developments ka interplay bhi AUD/USD dynamics par additional influence daal sakte hain, jo ke evolving market landscap

Australia ka dollar Thursday ko tawanai se mazid mazboot hua, haalaanki Australian Bureau of Statistics ki maayoos kun economic data dump se. Trade balance aur building approval figures dono analyston ke tajwezat se kam nikle, lekin AUD/USD pair phir bhi buland ho gaya. Isay do ahem factors ka zikar kiya ja sakta hai: global market sentiment aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka hawkish stance. Pehle, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke dovish comments ne market ki umeedon ko barha diya. Powell ne ishaara kiya ke Fed ko afzal nahi lagta ke wo mazeed interest rates ko barhaye, jo ke US dollar (USD) ko kamzor kar diya. Ye riskier currencies jaise ke AUD ke liye aik madadgar mahol paida karta hai, jo ke investors ko zyada pur-umeed mehsoos karte hain. Dusra, AUD RBA ke hawkish posture se taqat hasil kar raha hai. Haal hi mein Australia mein higher-than-expected inflation data ne ye khyal dilaya hai ke RBA shayad saal ke akhri mein planned interest rate cuts ko taakhir de. Australia mein mustaqbil mein mustaqil interest rate hikes ka tasawwur investors ke liye pur-umeed hai, jo ke AUD ko khareedne par majboor karta hai. US dollar index (DXY), jo ke USD ki taqat ko ek sath lekar chalta hai, Powell ke dovish stance ka dabao mehsoos karta hai. Fed ki faisla to May ki meeting mein mojoodah interest rate range 5.25% - 5.50% ko barqarar rakhne ki jis ke mutabiq thi, lekin Powell ke comments ke maamool ki zaroorat nahi hai mazeed hikes ki ne USD ko kamzor kar diya.
Market participants ab anay wale US data releases par tawajjo rakh rahe hain, jin mein haftawarana jobless claims, non-farm productivity, aur factory orders shamil hain. Ye reports amreeki maeeshat ki sehat par taza idaray faraham karengi aur AUD/USD exchange rate par asar daal sakti hain. Thursday ke mutabiq, AUD/USD pair 0.6530 ke qareeb tha. Dilchaspi ki baat hai ke technical indicators ek potential upside move ka ishaara dete hain. AUD/USD phir se aik symmetrical triangle chart pattern ke andar phansa nazar aata hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se oopar hai, jo ke bullish bias ka ishaara karta hai. Ye technical factors suggest karte hain ke AUD/USD resistance level ke qareeb 0.6580 ke nazdeek phirne ki koshish kar sakta hai, jis ke baad wo psychological level 0.6600 tak pohanch sakta hai. Agar AUD/USD momentum kho deta hai, to ye neeche ki taraf mutawajjah ho sakta hai, jo ke ab 0.6509 ke qareeb symmetrical triangle ke lower trendline ke sath milta hai, jo ke nau dinon ka exponential moving average (EMA) bhi hai. Is support level ka tootna aage ka giravat shuru kar sakta hai, jo ke pehle se muqarrar support zone 0.6480 ko test kar sakta hai.

Is raat AUD/USD market mein thora sa neeche ki taraf tabdeeli nazar aayi, jismay keematain ab bhi 0.6542 zone ke neeche hain. Stochastic indicator ki tajaweez par gaur karne par pata chalta hai ke signal line level 80 tak pahunch gayi hai, jo aaj ke is islah ko darust karti hai. Is islah ke bawajood, overall candlestick SMA100 line ke upar hai, ishara karte hue ke bullish momentum barqarar hai aur mazeed urooj ki mumkinat hai. Iske alawa, keemat 0.6540 zone ko torne ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke kharidar ki tawajju mazboot hai. Mojooda market shorat mein, anay wale market halat ke liye pesh ki gayi peshgoi yeh sugget karte hain ke mazeed keemat barhne ke imkanat hain. Kharidar mazboot trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye mutawazun irtiqa par dam kheench sakte hain, jo candlestick ko unchi manzilon ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Bullish trend ke liye ek mumkin maqami nishana ke tor par yeh peshgoi ki jati hai ke keemat ko qareeb 0.6572 mansab tak pohanchne ka izaz hai, jise ke mazeed kharidar qeemat ko barhane mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Trading position ke liye, munasib hai ke keemat ko 0.6546 mansab tak barhne ka intezar kiya jaye. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke haftay mein keemat ka trend bullish nazar aata hai, lekin is haftay mein keemat apne urooj rukh ko dobara shuru karne se pehle subha ke islahon ki taraf rujhan ho sakta hai. Is liye, traders ko ihtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur market ki harkat ko qareebi nazar se monitar karna chahiye takay malumat hasil karke trading ke faislay liye ja sakte hain. AUD/USD currency pair ne khaas tor par 0.6560 ke ahem resistance level ke ird gird keematon ki dilchaspi angaiz dynamics dikhayi hain. Jab traders is maqami level ke qareeb pahunchte hain, to mukhtalif mumkin manazir samne aate hain. Ek mumkin manzor scenario mein, candlestick pattern ban sakta hai jo mojooda downtrend ko jari rakhne ki nishani ho. Is soorat mein, traders ko keemat ka retracement mojooda 0.6490 support level ki taraf mutawaqif karne ka intezar karna chahiye. In mumkinat ke tajarbayat par gaur karke, traders ko chaukasi se kaam lena chahiye aur market ko mojooda support levels ke qareeb se nikalne wale kisi bhi bullish signals ke liye nazarandaz na karna chahiye. Ye signals malumat dete hain ke mojooda bullish reversal ka aghaz ho sakta hai, jise traders ko market ki harkaton se faida uthane ka mauqa mil sakta hai. Is liye, yeh ahem hai ke bullish indicators ki pehchan aur tabeer par tawajju di jaye, jo mojooda bullish recovery phase ki shuruaat ko ishara kar sakti hain.

مئی 2 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، آسٹریلوی ڈالر 0.6480 پر پہنچنے والی سپورٹ سے نیچے مستحکم ہونے میں ناکام رہا، پڑوسی کرنسیوں کی وجہ سے رکاوٹ بنی جو فیڈرل ریزرو میٹنگ کے بعد بڑھی۔ روزانہ چارٹ پر بیلنس انڈیکیٹر لائن کی وجہ سے قیمت بڑھنا بند ہو گئی۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر تھوڑا سا حد سے تجاوز کر کے اپ ٹرینڈ ٹیریٹری میں داخل ہو گیا لیکن آخر کار منفی علاقے میں واپس آ سکتا ہے۔



آج، قیمت ممکنہ طور پر 0.6480 پر سپورٹ پر واپس آنے کی کوشش کرے گی۔ امریکی ملازمت کا ڈیٹا کل جاری کیا جائے گا، اور آسٹریلوی ڈالر کے پاس 0.6410 پر سپورٹ کی جانچ کرنے کا موقع ہے۔ لیکن یہ صرف ایک منظر نامہ ہے - بنیادی۔ ایک متبادل منظر نامے میں ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (0.6548) کے اوپر قیمت کا استحکام شامل ہے، اور یہ 0.6627 پر ہدف کی سطح کی طرف مزید بڑھ سکتا ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، بیلنس انڈیکیٹر لائن پر قیمت بھی بڑھنا بند ہو گئی۔ مارلن اس وقت نچلے نصف میں ہے — نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے کے اندر۔ آج، ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت 0.6480 پر سپورٹ تک پہنچ جائے گی۔ کل، ہم یہ معلوم کریں گے کہ آیا یہ کوششیں اہم منصوبے کو عملی جامہ پہنانے میں قیمت کی مدد کریں گی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Kal, USD, peechle din ki minimum range ko update karne ke baad, keemat palat gayi aur, khabron ke aasar ke samne, kaafi bharosa se uttar ki taraf dhakela gaya, jiski wajah se ek poori bullish candle ban gayi jo peechle din ki range ke andar band hui. Bilkul saaf hai ke bechne wale mushkilat ka samna kar rahe hain aur main yeh manta hoon ke kharidar is kamzori ka faida uthayenge, aur aaj woh shayad keemat ko upar dhakelte rahenge, nazdeek tareen resistance level tak. Is mamlay mein, main nazar daalne ka irada kar raha hoon jo 0.65867 par mojood hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do manazir ho sakte hain. Pehla manzar keemat is level ke upar sthir ho jaane aur aur agle ki taraf chalne ka. Agar yeh mansuba kaamyaab hota hai, to main keemat ko 0.66347 ya 0.66677 ke qareeb jaate hue dekhoonga. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main trading setup ke formation ka intezar karonga jo trading ka aur agle rukh ka faisla karne mein madad karega. Beshak, ek zyada door ke uttar hedef tak pohanche ka imkaan hai, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq 0.67289 par hai, lekin yeh majmooa par depend karega aur keemat in door ke uttar hedefon ke zikr ki taraf kaise react karta hai. Keemat ke resistance level ke qareeb jaate hue keemat ki movement ke liye ek mukhalif mansuba, aik u-turn candle aur keemat ke niche uttarne ka plan.

Agar yeh mansuba kaamyaab hota hai, to main keemat ka intezar karonga ke wo support level 0.64653 par wapas aaye. Is support level ke qareeb, main keemat ko upar jaane ki umeed rakhoonga. Zayada door ke darjaat tak pohanchne ka bhi imkaan hai, lekin main unhein is waqt nahi dekh raha hoon kyunke main unki jald shuhur ko nahi dekh raha hoon. Chund lafzon mein kaha jaye to, mujhe aisa lagta hai ke keemat aage bhi uttar ki taraf move kar sakti hai, nazdeek tareen resistance level tak, phir main bazaar ki situation ka jaiza loonga.



Bazaar ke hissedar ab anay wale US data releases par tawajjo ko mabtala kar rahe hain, jin mein hafta waran jobless claims, non-farm productivity aur factory orders shamil hain. Ye reports America ki ma'ashi sehat par taza idaray faraham karenge aur shayad AUD/USD exchange rate par asar daal sakte hain. Jis waqt AUD/USD pair ab takriban 0.6530 ke aas paas tha. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke takneeki nishanat ko saaf dikhate hain ke ek mumkinah upar ki harkat hai. AUD/USD phir se ek symmetrical triangle chart pattern mein phans gaya nazar a raha hai. Iske ilawa, 14 din ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke upar hai, jo ke ek bullish bias ki taraf ishara karta hai. Ye takneeki factors kehte hain ke AUD/USD 0.6580 ke nazdeek resistance level ko torne ki koshish kar sakta hai, shayad 0.6600 ke nafsiyati level tak pohanch jaye. Is point ke mohtaji se pair ko mukammal taur par March ki unchi 0.6667 tak pohancha sakti hai. Niche ki taraf, agar AUD/USD momentum kho deti hai, to wo symmetrical triangle ke neeche wale trendline tak laut sakti hai, jo ke ab 0.6509 ke qareeb hai, jo ke no day ka exponential moving average (EMA) ke saath bhi mutabiq hai. Is support level ka toorna ek mazeed giravat ko shuru kar sakta hai, jo pehle se wazeh shudah support zone 0.6480 ko bhi imtihan kar sakta hai.

Achi Saturday, saathiyon.

AUD/USD jora dabaav ke neeche hai, 0.64813 minimum se neeche gir gaya hai. Is haftay ke shuruaat mein, Australian dollar ke saath serious masail ka samna hua, jo ke US dollar ke muqable mein tezi se kami ho gaya. Maamooli halat mein tabdeeli ka pesh karna ab tak had se zyada kamiyaab nahi raha hai.

Mazid tawana tareen ma'ashi data US se neeche gire hue ummeedon ko kamzor kar gaye hain ke Federal Reserve is saal bara interest rate kaatay. Maqboza market ab sirf 40 basis points ki kami ka intizaar kar rahi hai, jo ke is haftay ke shuruaat mein intizaar ki gayi 60-75 basis points ke muqable mein hai.

Reserve Bank of Australia ko 2024 ke aakhri dino mein monetary policy mein asaani paida karne ki mumkinat par ghoor kar raha hai. Magar, Australia ka mustaqil mazdoori market aur mustami inflation ke mustaqil muzahirat in plans ko mushkil bana rahi hain. Tajdeed shuda data yeh dikhata hai ke February mein berozgari dar 3.7% tak gir gayi hai, September 2023 se chote darje tak, jabke inflaton teesray mahine tak 3.4% par mustaqil hai.

Rozana candle jo 200-day moving average 0.6541 ke neeche band hone par bazaar ke bullish jazbat ko tasdeeq karta hai, aur 0.6443 support ke neeche girne ke baad, bearon ke liye agla nishana November 2023 ke 0.63394 low hai.

Jumeraat ko, AUD/USD jora naye farokht ka dabao ka samna kiya aur phir se haftay ka minimum ke qareeb gir gaya. China se kamzor trade data ne mazid USD khareedariyon ke darmiyan Australian dollar ko kamzor kiya. Technical setup bearish traders ko favor karta hai aur mazeed nuqsaan ki umeed ko support karta hai. Is ke ilawa, Middle East mein tanazaat ki wajah se chal rahe geopolitical tensions safe-haven dollar ko faida pohnchate hain aur imtiaz ki sensitive Australian dollar ko mukammal karna ke liye madad faraham kar sakte hain.

Main pehla nishana 1/2 margin zone 0.64274-0.64202 aur doosra nishana 0.6360 par farokht ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Supply zone 0.64996-0.6536 ki taraf sudhar aur pattern ke bani hone par ek chhota position dakhil karne ka imkaan hai.

AUDUSD


Mukhtasir, AUD/USD ki taraqqi abhi kamzor hai aur agle chand mahinon mein mazeed girawat ka imkan hai. Halankay agar kharidar phir se qaboo hasil kar lein aur agle saal ke andar active downtrend line ko tor dein, to pair lamba arse ke downtrend line tak puhnch sakta hai, jo 100-week simple moving average ke tor par 0.6690 par hai. Is se oopar, ahem rukawat rukawat 0.6700 level aur 200-week moving average 0.6750 par hai. In rukawaton ko torne se, takneeki tasveer neutral ho jayegi aur downtrend mein mukhtalif uljhan ke signals ho sakte hain. Aakhir mein, AUD/USD currency pair ke liye lamba arse ka takneeki manzar saaf nahi hai. Sirf 0.6800 level ko torne se downtrend ko kaafi had tak kamzor kiya ja sakta hai. Halat ki phir se shuruat ki tasdeeq haal hi mein test kiye gaye trend line se kheench kar di jaegi.



Muqammal taur par, AUD/USD currency pair abhi niche ki taraf dabi hui hai, jahan momentum indicators mazeed girawat ka ishara dete hain. Magar, agle mahinon mein agar kharidariyon ko ahem rukawaton ko paar karne mein kamyabi milti hai, to rukawat ka imkan hai. Karobariyon ko qareeb se price action aur ahem support aur resistance ke satah ka nigrani karna chahiye taake asli picture ko samjha ja sake.


Kal phir se AUD/USD ke sellers ke liye ek bura din tha. Kyunki US Non-Farm Employment rate 175K tak pahunch gaya tha. Mazeed, US bay-rozgar rate ne 3.9% tak izafa kiya. Ye manfi data AUD/USD ke buyers ko mustahkam rakhta hai. Unho ne 0.6622 zone ko kamyabi se paar kar liya hai. Mazeed, aane wale news data aur bunyadi tajziya ke mutabiq pace rakhna ahem hai, jo traders ko karobari hawaon aur tabdeel hote hue trends ke beech hilte hue paniyon mein rehnuma ki tarah kaam karta hai. Sellers baad mein support zone ko torne ke liye josh mein aayeinge, jinhe amomi asbaab jaise ke ma'ashi daleel, siyasi mansoobay aur karobar ke jazbat se mutasir hone ki wajah se barhawa mil raha hai. Halat mein, market technical tajziya se mukhtalif hai, jisne haal ke behtar harqatein dikhai hain jo riwayati chart patterns aur indicators ko muqabla karte hain. Ye ahem imkaanat ko buland karte hain ke sellers ko ahmiyat di jaye, jo support zone ko tor ya jaanchne ki taraf rawana ho sakti hai, jabke market mukhalif foron ke darmiyan balance talash karta hai. Aaj, mein ek fori farokht directiv ka paish karta hoon, 25 pips ki choti fasle ko nishana banate hue, jise market ke mojooda dynamics ka faida uthane aur risk exposure ko manage karne ke liye nafaz karne ki raqam samjha jata hai. AUD/USD ke case mein, market ka jazbat samajhna ahem hai, sath hi har trade mein stop-loss mechanism ko amal mein lanay ke sath potential nuqsaan ko kam karne aur capital ko mehfooz rakhne ke liye. Mozi market jazbat ke mutabiq, mein agle trading haftay ke liye 0.6667 ka chhota nishana rakhne ka tajaweez deta hoon. Amooman, market sellers ki taraf raazi nazar aati hai, jo market ke mojooda shiraa'it ke mutabiq mufaad mein aane wala ek mutabiq trading strategy ka taraqqi dene ki zaroorat hai. AUD/USD ke market jazbat ko samajhne ki koshish karein, kyunki US dollar ke manfi data ka market par gehra asar hoga. Is liye, AUD/USD ke price peer ko buyers ke lehaz se mustahkam reh sakta hai. Is liye, apna trading plan mutabiq tayyar karein aur apni trading mein stop loss ka istemal karein. Karobar mein kamiyabi bhari trading hafta guzarain!

AUD/USD

AUD/USD ke baray mein, kal ke din qeemat ne bara hosla afzai ke sath neechay ki taraf move kiya, ek mazboot bearish impulse ke sath, jo ek mukammal bearish candle ke janam dene mein kaamyab raha, jo asani se support level ko toorna aur mazbooti se uske neechay qaim karne mein kamyabi hasil ki. Mere tajziya ke mutabiq, yeh support level 0.64809 par tha. Mojooda halat ke mawafiq, main puri umeed rakhta hoon ke aaj farokht karne wale aaj bhi qeemat ko janubi rukh par dabaane ki koshish karenge, aur main yeh maanta hoon ke mazboot dollar se mutaliq khabron ka peechha kar unhein madad milegi. Abhi, main is support level par ghor karne ka iraada kar raha hoon, jo meri tajziya ke mutabiq 0.63623 par hai, aur support level 0.63386 par bhi hai. In support levels ke qareeb do mumkinah manazir hain. Pehla manzar qeemat ko in levels ke neechay consolidate karte hue aur aur janubi rukh par mazeed chalte hue shamil hai.




Agar yeh mansuba kaamyaab hota hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke qeemat support level 0.62856 ki taraf jaegi. Is support level par, main trading setup ka intezar karunga, jo agle trading rukh ka tay karega. Beshak, main tasleem karta hoon ke qeemat ko mazeed janubi rukh mein push kiya ja sakta hai, support level 0.61702 ki taraf, lekin yeh haalaat ke vikas par aur qeemat ke isharon ke maamle mein kis tarah ka reaction hota hai par munhasar hoga. Support level 0.63623 ya support level 0.63386 ke qareeb pohnchne par qeemat ki harkat ke liye doosra manzar ek reversal candle aur qeemat ki harkat ko upar ki taraf dobara jaari karne ka ek mansuba shamil hai. Agar yeh mansuba kaamyaab hota hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke qeemat wapas resistance level 0.64809 par jaegi. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main janubi ishaaray ki talash jari rakhoonga, jo ek muttafiq janubi rukh ke tezab ke mutabiq phir se neechay ki taraf qeemat ki harkat ka intezar karte hain. Mukhtasaran, aaj ke taur par, main puri umeed rakhta hoon ke qeemat janubi rukh mein mizaaj aur qareebi support levels ko imtehaan dene ki taraf jaegi, aur phir main bazaar ke halaat ka jaiza lagaunga.

events ke asar par mabni mukhalif mulaqat par lagayi ja rahi hai. Market momentum 112-muddati aasaan moving average ke neechay se ek farq dikhata hai, jo traders ko mustaqbil ki price action ka tawajjo denay par majboor karta hai. Candle ki doranayi harkaat 0.6524 ki taraf ek sakht market correction ka ishaara deta hai jo short- aur medium-term trading strategies ko mutassir kar raha hai. Ye tamam tafseelat pair ki chart mein wazeh nazar aati hain. Kharidne ke bajaye farokht ke liye muavzaati kaamon ko zyada faida mand samjha jata hai, jo doosre MACD indicator se zahir hota hai, jo buyers ko sellers par faiz dete hain, aur humain MACD se farokht ka signal muntazir rehne par majboor karta hai. Mujhe lagta hai keh aaj market mein dakhil hone aur munafa kamane ka acha mauqa hai. AUD/USD pair, jo keh chhota triangle figure pattern ka upper edge se neechay dakhil hua aur ab lower edge ke neechay jaane ki koshish kar raha hai, ab Time Frame-H4 mein downtrend channel ke neechay aake support zone 0.6498-0.6479 mein dakhil hua hai aur yehan par ek test kiya gaya hai. Pehla lower target hasil kar liya gaya hai, jiska theek se fix hona humein downward movement ka jari rakhne ki sochne ki ijaazat dega lower volume zone 0.6457-0.6436 tak. Aur yehan se jab market test zone se rebound karega, to figure ka upper edge ki taraf jaane se resistance zone 0.6518-0.6537 tak ka uthna hai. Do shiraa'it ka melaap, jaise keh intersection aur cloud ke neeche rehna, ek taqatwar bechnay ka signal hai. Mujhe mili hui maloomat se yeh nateeja nikalta hai keh bechna munafa bhara ho sakta hai. Aam tor par, ek taqatwar signal ke saath, main lower indicator stochastic oscillator ka istemal nahi karta, lekin zyada sahi dakhil hone ke liye, aap jab yeh upper part mein level 80 ke neeche ho, tab dakhil ho sakte hain. Bechnay walay nakam ho jayenge agar market cloud ke saath consolidation ke saath upar chalega. Is liye, zaroori hai keh Ichimoku cloud ke hawale se market price 0.6497 ko control kiya jaye; dushman ki raftar mein bhi hawa mein tezi aane se maamooli taur par bhi mazeed barhne ki tajweez hai.

AUD/USD H4: Mojudah projection 0.65298 par hai, jo ke mojooda mantar ko nichle manzarnuma rukh ke liye zahir karta hai, zyada mutawaqqa hai barhne ke manzarnuma ke mukablay mein. Magar, aqalmand risk management ka kehta hai ke mumkinah ehtimamat ko hal karne ke liye tayar rahna chahiye. Yeh mumkin hai ke qeemat ka amal aik waqti wapas ke rukh ki taraf dekha jaye, lekin jald hi barhne ke mukablay mein mil jaye jo ke sarasar nichle trend ke sath milta hai. Is ke ilawa, meri mukammal tajziya mukhtalif khabron ki mumkin asar ko shamil karta hai. Is liye munasib hai ke hamare currency pair ko mutasir karne wali kisi bhi taraqqiyat par updated rehna. Aise factors ke mutabiq mutasir hone se market ko samajhne ka acha tareeqa hai. Hum mauseeqi ko nigrani mein rakhte hue, mahol ke tabdeel hone ke jawabdeh rehne ka eham hai. Aalmi maali manzar ne hamesha US dollar ke harkaton par tawajjo rakhi hai. Magar, hamara markazi nazar euro aur pound ke sath iske gehri taluqat par hai. Halankeh, yeh taluqat behtareen nahi hain. Jabke US dollar ki demand mein izafa nazar aata hai, lekin yeh un tezi ka mahsul nahi hai jo kisi ke umeed karte hain, jo ke market mein iske rukh par mustaqbil ke bare mein darpaish guman hai. Aise hichkole jaiz nahi hain, jinhe monetary policy ki ghair mutayyan tasawwur, jo aksar durust timing aur tajwezat ko inkar karta hai, ka samna karna padta hai. Candlestick mojooda doran ek taluq ke liye niche jhukta hua hai. Signal ka tajziya yeh dikhata hai ke qeemat ne 111-period simple moving average line ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo ke ek bearish market trend ki dair jari rukh ki paish goi karti hai. Yeh neeche ki taraf ka rukh ek bearish jazbaat ka mumkin jari rehne ko zahir karta hai. Kal raat, market ki sakhti kam hui, jo ke investors ke jazbaat mein numaya tabdeel ko darust karta hai. Yeh sudden rukh badalne ki taraf ka achanak tabdeel mufeed traders ke darmiyan tawajjo aur umeed ko jagah deti hai, jise nazar andaaz karna mushkil nahi.

Australian dollar ne Thursday ko tasalli baksh misaal di, halankeh Australian Bureau of Statistics ki maayari asaami se mutabiqati ke mutabiq, dono trade balance aur building approval figures analyston ke tajwezat se kum rahe, lekin phir bhi AUD/USD pair ko chadhne mein kamiyabi mili. Is tahafuz mein do bade factors shaamil thay: global market sentiment aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka hawkish posture. Pehle to, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke dovish tajziyati maqalaat ne budh ko amooman market ki umeedon ko buland kiya. Powell ne ishaara diya ke Fed ko dilchasp raqam dar currencies jaise ke AUD ke liye behtar mahol banane ke liye dollar (USD) ke interest rates ko mazeed barhane ki koi umeed nahi hai. Dusra, AUD ne RBA ke hawkish posture se quwwat haasil ki. Australia mein haal hi mein aane wale inflation data jo ke umeed se zyada thay, ne ye shubahta di ke RBA mukarar shuda interest rate cuts ko taakhir kar sakti hai, jo ke Australia mein ziada wapis hasil karne walay investors ke liye mukhtalif interest rate hikes banane mein dilchaspi paida karta hai. US dollar index (DXY), jo ke USD ki quwwat ko barah e raast ke currencies ke aik tokri ke saath napta hai, Powell ke dovish stance se ab tak dabaoo mehsoos kar raha tha. Fed ne apni May ki meeting mein maujooda interest rate range ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla market ki tawajjoh ke mutabiq tha, lekin Powell ke comments ke baad ke koi aur hikes nahi honge, USD ko kamzor kiya.

Ab market participants agli US data releases, jaise ke hafta warana jobless claims, non-farm productivity, aur factory orders par tawajjoh de rahe hain, jo ke US ki maeeshat ki sehat ke baray mein maloomat faraham karegi, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate par asar daal sakti hai. Thursday ke doran, AUD/USD pair qareeb qareeb 0.6530 ke aas paas thahra tha. Technical indicators ek mumkinah upar ki movement ko ishaara dete hain, jab ke AUD/USD ek symmetrical triangle chart pattern ke andar qaid nazar aata hai. Is ke ilawa, 14 din ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke upar hai, jo ke bullish bias ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical factors yeh ishaara dete hain ke AUD/USD resistance level ke qareeb 0.6580 ke aas paas break karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, mukhtalif 0.6600 tak pohunch sakta hai. Agar yeh nukta fazool ho gaya toh, toh AUD/USD nichle trendline ke taraf wapis ja sakta hai, jo ke mojooda 0.6509 ke aas paas hai, jo ke saath hi nou din ka exponential moving average (EMA) bhi hai. Agar yeh support level tor diya gaya toh, yeh mazeed girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo ke pehle se qayam kiya gaya support zone ko 0.6480 tak test kar sakta hai.

Australian dollar/US dollar ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle trading haftay mein, Australian dollar ne apni izafai fatah ko barhane ki koshish ki lekin 0.6573 par rukawat ka samna kiya, jis se ye palat kar girne laga aur tamam peechli fatah ko chhod diya. Us ke baad se, jodi ne 0.6506 ke darje ke ird gird charhne ki koshish ki, is ilaqe mein qaaim hone ki koshish ki. Is natije mein, umeed ki ja rahi taraqqi ka scene kabhi haqiqat nahi bana. Qeemat ka chart zyadatar super-trending laal zone mein hai, jo farokht dabaav ko darust karta hai.

Takneeki tahlil ke pesh nigah se, aaj ki trading mein ham musbat reh rahe hain, 50-day simple moving average se musbat stimulant par bharosa karte hain aur chhoti muddat par musbat RSI signals ke sath ta'aeed ki jati hai. Is dauran, din ke trading 0.6580 ke darje ke oopar rehne par behtareen urooj 0.6670 ke darje tak ke liye shuru kiya ja sakta hai. Agar is moqam ko toor diya jaye ga to urooj ko shakti aur tezi milay gi, jo agle faida ki taraf rasta kholay ga 0.6720 ki taraf. Ek yaad dilane ke taur par, mustaqil trading ko 0.6408 ke neeche giraane par bullish scenario ko temporary tor par mutasir kar sakti hai aur jodi ko 0.6630 ko dobara aazmana par majboor kar sakti hai. Chart neechay dekhen:



Jodi abhi alag simt mein trading kar rahi hai aur mukhtalif hisaab se aam tor par neytral hai. Ahem rukawat ka daerah mazboot dabaav mein aya aur lagbhag toot gaya, magar akhiri qeemat girne se is qadar bacha, neechay ka vector pasand kiya gaya. Is ko update karne ke liye, quotes ko foran 0.6506 ke darje ke neeche laana zaroori hai (markazi mukhalif ilaqa ka had). Is ilaqa ko dobara azmata aur us ke baad us ilaqe se bounce hone se naye girawat ke liye mumkinhoga, jo 0.6433 aur 0.6368 ke darmiyan ilaqa ko nishana banay ga. Agar mukhalif ilaqa toot jaye aur qeemat 0.6573 ke mudakhalat darje ko par kare, to mojoda surat-e-haal ko mansookh hone ka signal milay ga.

Pichle trading week mein, Australian dollar apni izafa ki koshish ki magar 0.6573 par rukawat ka samna karke, jis se wo rebound hua aur girne laga, pehle ke tamam faide ko chhod diya. Tab se, pair ne 0.6506 ke aas paas fluctuate karna jari rakha hai, is ilaake mein qaaim hone ki koshish karte hue. Is natija mein, muntazir taraqqi ki mansoobah raah haqeeqat mein puri nahi hui. Keemat ka chart zyadatar super-trending surkhi zone mein hai, jo ke bechne ka dabao darust karta hai.

Ek technical analysis ke nazariye se, hum aaj musbat rahe hain, 50-day simple moving average se musbat taraqqi ke zariye par bharosa karte hue aur chhote time frames par musbat RSI signals ke saath maddad hasil karte hue. Yahan se, aaj ki trading 0.6580 mark ke upar hai, jahan behtareen upside 0.6670 mark ke liye target hai pehla maqsad. Is level ke upar ek toot umeed afza hai aur ye 0.6720 tak oopar le ja sakta hai. Ek yaad dilaane ke taur par, 0.6408 ke neeche mehfooz trading ka dobara aana waqtan fawaqt bullish mansoobah ko thodi der ke liye bigad sakta hai aur pair ko 0.6630 ko dobara test karne se pehle, rebound karne ki koshish kar sakta hai. Neeche di gayi chart ko dekhein:

Pair ab mukhtalif raaste par trading kar raha hai aur aam tor par haftay ke shuru se mukhtalif hai. Ahem resistance area tez dabao ke neeche aaya aur lagbhag toot gaya, lekin final price drop ko rokne mein kamyab raha, neeche ke taraf ki ek vector ke favour mein. Isko update karne ke liye, quotes ko foran 0.6506 ke level ke neeche lautaana hoga (mukhya resistance zone ke safaar). Is ilaake se dobara test aur baad mein bounce hone se taaza declines ke liye mauqay ko milti hai, 0.6433 aur 0.6368 ke darmiyan area ka nishana rakhne ke liye.

Agar resistance toot jaata hai aur keemat 0.6573 ke turning level ke upar uth jaata hai, toh yeh halaat ka mansooba radd karne ka signal milega.

Australian Dollar ab mojooda waqt mein mareez hai ek neutral se bearish trend mein Ameriki dollar ke khilaf, jismein Australia ki maashiyati nazar ke liye izafa hua hai aur Iraq se haqiqi maal hasil karne ki darustagi ki aakhri tajwez ki rukawat hai. Ye manfi ehsaas ne AUD/USD ke rate par neeche ki taraf dabaav daala hai, jahan traders Australia ki currency mein invest karne ke liye barh chuke hain. Tawajjo yeh hai ke kya AUD/USD ka rate apni neeche ki manzil ko barqarar rakhega taake ye 0.6536 ke aehmiyat se bhari ho, jahan 50 din aur 100 din ke moving averages ek doosre se milti hain. Agar rate is ahem takneeki level ke neeche gir jaata hai, to ye ek zyada aham farokht ka sabab bana sakta hai, jise ke aane waale support levels 0.6594 ya mazeed neeche ke bhi ho sakte hain. Australia ki dollar ke liye ahem support levels 0.6400 aur 0.6467 par hain. Aane waale dino mein in levels ko ghoorna ahem hai, kyunke ek breakdown neeche ke taraf is bearish trend ko tasdeeq kar sakta hai aur mazeed giravat ke darwaze ko khol sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi mojooda qeemat ke levels ke zariye majrooh hai, aur kisi bhi shor mein koshish ko kathin rukawat ka samna karne ki umeed hai. Agar Australian dollar 0.6500 se wapas aata hai, to tab aik ulte kaar ho sakta hai, utasalar agar ye exponential moving average ko tode, jo ab ek ahem rukawat ka kaam karta hai. Takneeki indicators jaise RSI 50 se neeche aur ek kamzor MACD negative territory mein mazeed bearish outlook ko mazbooti se tasdeeq karte hain, jo ke momentum ko mazeed girne ki taraf jhukaye rakhta hai. 0.6400 level ko short positions ke liye ek ahem rukawat ka nukaat samjha jaata hai, aur is level ke neeche girna ek downtrend ki tezi ka ishaara ho sakta hai. January se March tak 0.6455 se 0.6430 tak ka nichla channel aur support zone 0.6259 se 0.6300 tak nazdeeki waqt mein dekhe jane wale ahem ilaqaat honge, kyunke ye levels waqtan-fa-waqtan thoda sa aaram ya potential rebound ke liye bunyadi buniyad faraham kar sakte hain , jo ke behtar market dynamics par mabni honge.

AUD/USD: Haal Ke Chart Waqiat Ka Tajzia

Mai filhal AUD/USD currency jori ki qiymat ki harkaton ka mutaala kar raha hoon, aur humein market ki kul qiymat ki harkaton par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye. Australian dollar khareedaron ke zyada dabao mein hai jo unho ne sloping support line ke area mein markooz kiya hua hai. Is ke sath hi horizontal long-term resistance line se 0.6551 par bhi rabta hua. Bulls is ahem nukta ko torne mein nakam rahe, halankay do faal mustahkam koshishein lambi upper wicks ke sath candles ke band hone mein khatam hui. Mil kar, in lines ne aik converging triangle bana diya. Mustaqbil ki harkat ki simt ka taayun karne ke liye, humein is shakl ki ek sarhaddi todne ka intezar karna chahiye. Main ab bhi janobi scenario ki taraf zyada jhuka hua hoon aur 0.6522 ki breakout ka imkaan hai. Rozana ke chart par AUD/USD jori Jumeraat ko din bhar barh rahi thi aur 0.6524 par resistance ka test kiya. Yeh satah se palat gayi aur in nishanat se neeche band hui. Jumeraat ko resistance ka test hone ke baad, Jumma ko main ne support 0.6483 tak girne ko tarjeeh di. Mere peshgoi ke baraks, qiymat din bhar barhti rahi, aur din ke akhir mein, agar yeh 0.6524 se ooper band hoti hai, to pir ko resistance 0.6588 tak barhne ka tarjeeh hoga, aur agar yeh support 0.6584 se neeche band hoti hai, to support 0.6443 tak kam hone ka tarjeeh hoga.

Jori ka rad-e-amal is liye mumkin hai ke traders ne pehle hi Jumeraat ko shaya hone wale pehle saal ke GDP inflation data ko madde nazar rakha tha. Naticay ke tor par, US dollar Jumeraat ko doosri currencies ke muqable mazboot hua, aur AUD/USD jori Jumeraat ko 0.6484 ki kam tareen satah tak gir gayi. Is ke baad, Australians ne is girawat ko aasani se wapas jeet liya. Is hafte jaari kiye gaye Australia ke apne PPI aur CPI data ne Australian ke liye izafi madad faraham ki. Yeh musalsal inflation ka matlab hai ke Australia ka Reserve Bank February 2025 se pehle shayad sood ki shrah mein kami nahi karega. Yeh tawaqo ke Australia mein sood ki shrah doosre mumalik ke muqable der se kami hogi, Australian dollar ko madadgar sabit hoti hai kyun ke yeh zyada capital inflows ko aakarshit karta hai. Aam tor par, Australian dollar Asia-Yorap sessions mein barhega aur American sessions mein thoda gir sakta hai. Aaj AUD/USD ne aik range ke sath din shuru kiya. Phir 0.6516 ki resistance toot gayi. 0.6511 ki resistance se pehle ek khareedne ka signal tha, magar yeh abhi tak kaam nahi aya hai kyun ke qiymat phir se tooti hui satah ke aas paas trading kar rahi hai. Yeh is baat ki tasdeeq karti hai ke yeh khareedne ka signal ab bhi mutaliq hai aur qiymat bhi taqreeban 0.6526 ke aas paas band hui hai.