ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUDUSD Technical Analysis:

AUDUSD jodi ko rozana samay ke chart par jaanchte hue, hum mojooda trading manzar ko samajhne ke liye ek mukammal tajziya shuru karte hain. Rozana manzar se shuru karne ka faisla kar ke humein AUDUSD ke haal ke harkaat ka aik paisay-daron manzar haasil karne ki izazat deta hai. Rozana samay ke chart ko jaanchne ke baad, ye zahir hota hai ke qeemat ki tabdeeliyon ka raftar peechle sessions ke mukable mein seemit lagti hai, lekin kai indicators chand sitaron ki taraf ishara karte hain ke farokht karne walon ki hifazati tajziya ke zariye aik downtrend ka imkan hai. Khaas tor par, qeemat rozana resistance zone ke andar qaid nazar aati hai, khaas tor par 0.6540 darje ke qareeb, jab ke yeh ek naye supot tangi ka ek fresh darja qaim karne ki koshish karta hai, khaas tor par 0.6484 ke qareeb. Magar, is harkat ki raftar ke bary mein mukamal wazehi haasil karna mushkil hai. Halankeh qeemat ne abhi tak resistance ki deewar ko paar nahi kiya hai, lekin isharaat yeh ke kharidar qeemat ko ooncha karne ke liye koshish kar rahe hain. Magar, mizaj ka paisa ek u-turn ke liye jhukne ka afzoodah hai, jahan kaafi zyada girawat ka imkan numaya hai.

Is haal mein, agle maqsad ko qareebi tor par rozana supot darje ke taraf munh pher sakta hai, jo ke qareeb 0.6427 ke darmiyan qaim hai. Isi liye, hamari tajziya mein, mazeed girawat ki taraf ek tarz-e-fikr zahir hoti hai, jo rozana trading ke din ke liye AUDUSD jodi ke liye bechnay ka tajziya ki taraf ishara karta hai. Bunyadi tor par, AUDUSD jodi ko rozana samay ke chart par chand dynamics ke pesh e nazar kar ke aik nuqsan ka chakkar lagane ke liye ehtiyaat se bhara samaaj ka manzar hai, jo farokht karne walon ki taraf munh pher sakta hai. Jabke qeemat rozana resistance zone ke andar larta hai, ek naye supot darja ka ubhar dena kharidar aur farokht karne walon ke darmiyan jari tug-of-war ko pukhta karta hai. Is shakooki doran, hamari tajziya ek bearish nazriya ki taraf jhukti hai, jo mazeed trading mahol mein bechnay ki positions shuru karne ki taraf ishara karti hai.

AUD/USD H1 TIME FRAME

Adaab. Hamari team ke mustaqbil ko barhane ki mazboot strategy ke natayaj mein, hum ne AUD/USD daily H1 timeframe chart par umeed ki gayi resistance had 0.6626 ke par aik shandar kamyabi hasil ki, asani se, aur is ke baad is par mazboot istiqamat qaim ki. Abhi, upar ki rukh jaari hai jab ke khareedaron ne qeemat ki raftar par khaas dabaav dala. Khas tor par, Asia ki trading session ke doran, resistance ki dewar ko taez tor par paar kiya gaya, jise ek numaya izafa trading volumes ke saath dekha gaya. Aise buland fa'aliyat kharidar ki tajawuz mein ek naye dor ki wapsi ki alamat hain, jis se mazeed taraqqi ke liye behtareen market dynamics ki phir se shuruaat hoti hai. Aaj tak kay nuksan aur khatron ke liye kafi sapne dekhe hain, mujhe lagta hai, isse rok doon ga, main ek aisi sorat mein usse rukhoon ga. Abhi tak kaafi achay se chhote chhote qadam. Market mein dakhilat ke liye AUD/USD daily H1 timeframe chart ka yeh nukta 0.6625 ideal hai. Yahan se qeemat barhne wali hai. Iss instrument ki khareedain istehqaq se zyada darust hain. Zero se ooper bar histogram hai jo chart par mojood oscillator ki khareedain tasdeeq karta hai. Sirf lambi muddat tak ke khareedaron mein tijarat karna pasand kiya jata hai. Upar ya neeche. Saaf hai sab kuch: jab keemat fluctuating corridor mein hoti hai, tab, theory mein. Upar ya neeche jaye ga, sirf tab hi kisi ko guess kar sakte hain jab yeh stage uski pehli manzil par hoti hai, lekin abhi trend sideways hai, hum sirf yeh dekh rahe hain ke jo, Cloud local ka darmiyan mein clearly keemat hai. Sab kuch stability mein nahi hai, bohot zyada be-chaani hai - dekho kahaan dekho - sab kuch... abhi sahi hai sachmuch kya. Aur Cloud local ke andar candles keemat banati hai. Iski chaudi, unchi keemat hai. Iss instrument ke liye ab humein flat ka samna hai - daily chart par wave technique istemal karte hue humein technical picture ke peeche chalna hai. Abhi hum powerful bullish candles bana rahe hain, doosre din ki. Unko dekh rahe hain.

mukhtalif aspects aur factors ko samjhein jo iski trading session ko influence karte hain. AUD/USD ka pair ek important currency pair hai jo Australian dollar aur US dollar ke darmiyan exchange rate ko darust karta hai. Iski trading session ko samajhne ke liye, mukhtalif economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur monetary policies ko ghor se dekhna zaroori hai.
Isi doran, market ne haal hi mein apni session ko 0.6523 ke pivotal level par mukammal kiya hai. Pivotal levels trading mein aham hote hain kyun ke yeh woh levels hote hain jahan par traders ko trend reversal ya phir continuation ka andaza hota hai. Jab market ek pivotal level par perfect ho jata hai, toh traders ko iska signal milta hai ke ab market ka rukh kis taraf ja sakta hai. 0.6523 ke pivotal level par market ka perfect hona ek aham indicator hai ke traders ka sentiment kis taraf hai. Agar market is level ke around move kar rahi hai toh yeh indicate karta hai ke traders ke beech uncertainty hai aur woh is level par market ka reaction dekh rahe hain. Is level par perfect hone ke baad, traders ka focus ab yeh hota hai ke market ka agla rukh kya hoga.

Market ke is movement ka ek possible reason yeh ho sakta hai ke kuch important economic indicators ya events ki expectations market mein maujood hain. Economic indicators jaise ke GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation rates market sentiment ko directly influence karte hain. Agar kisi bhi desh ki economy mein koi unexpected change ya surprise aata hai, toh yeh currency pair ke exchange rate par asar daal sakta hai. Geopolitical events bhi market ke movement ko shape karte hain. Kisi bhi geopolitical tension ya uncertainty ke wajah se traders apne positions adjust karte hain, jo currency pairs ka price affect karta hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ned mein ek numaya urooj dekha hai, jab 0.6544 ke horizontal resistance level ko tora gaya hai. Yeh izafa kai wajahon se hosakta hai jo Australia ka dollar (AUD) aur America ka dollar (USD) ko mutasir kar rahi hain, sath hi asal market dynamics aur ma'ashiyati indicators bhi is per asar dal rahe hain. Is urooj ke peechay ek ahem wajah market mein mojood jazbat hai. Market ke shirakat daar aam tor par ma'ashiyati data releases, jangli siyasat ke asarat aur central bank policies ko nazar andaz karte hain taake currency ke taaqat ko ja sake. Australia se mazeed taraqqi, behtar rozgar ki tadaad ya mustaqbil ki umeedon mein izafa jese musbat ma'ashiyati data investoron ko Australian ma'ashi ko aeham tor par sabit karne mein madad dete hain aur AUD ke liye izafa kar sakte hain.

Isi tarah America ki ma'ashiyati halaat aur Federal Reserve ki ma'ashiyati policies USD ki qeemat par asar dal sakte hain. Interest rates, mahangai ki umeedain ya fiscal stimulus measures jese factors dollar ke qeemat par asar dal sakte hain. Agar America ki ma'ashi halaat behtar dikhayi dein ya agar Federal Reserve monetary policy mein ziada sakhti ka faisla kare to USD ki qeemat barh sakti hai, jis se AUD/USD exchange rate mein izafa hosakta hai. Ma'ashiyati bunyadon ke sath sath, jangli siyasat ke waqiat aur market ke jazbat bhi currency ke harkaat per kirdaar ada karte hain. Jangli siyasat, trade negotiations ya global risk avoidance investoron ki umeed ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur currency ke qeemat par asar daal sakte hain. Misal ke tor per, behtar ta'aluqat mein America aur China ke darmiyan ya kam jangli siyasat ki soorat mein, investoron ko ta'asir parney wali currencies jese AUD ki taraf raghib kar sakti hain, jo pair ke urooj mein izafa karta hai.

Australian Dollar / US Dollar currency pair ki mojooda market halat ka jayeza. 4 ghanton ka time frame.

Hum Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD indicators ki muddat aur mojooda analysis ko tafseel se ghoor karenge, jo behtar aur munafa bakhsh technical analysis ko anjam dene mein madad faraham karte hain. Munasib munafa milne ke baad, hum market se behtareen nikalne ka point chunenge, mazid correction levels par tawajjo dein, jinhe Fibonacci grid ke zariye darkar kiya jata hai, mojooda nisbat (rozana ya haftawaar) ke extreme ke mutabiq kheecha gaya hai.

Sab se pehle, ehmiyat hai ke mawjudah chart jis period (time-frame H4) ko chuna gaya hai, woh saaf dikhata hai ke pehla darja regression line (golden dotted line), jo instrument ki taraf ishaarat aur mojooda trend ko dikhata hai, urooj ki taraf muntakhib hai, tewar khamosh hai, jo ke ek bohot taqatwar trend movement ko dikhata hai jo shumali rukh mein izafa hota hai. Ghair-linear regression channel (concave ya convex rangin lines) sidha ho gaya hai aur golden urooj trend line ko oopar se neeche cross kar gaya hai aur ab southern manzil ko dikhata hai.

Keemat ne lal resistance line of the linear regression channel 2nd LevelResLine ko cross kiya lekin zyada se zyada qeemat (HIGH) 0.66681 tak pohanch gayi, uske baad woh apni izaafi izafa band kar di aur mustaqil tor par girne lag gayi. Instrument ab keemat 0.64877 par trading kar raha hai. Sab kuch ke bawajood, main tawaqo karta hoon ke market ki keemat wapas aur tasfiya hokar channel line 2nd LevelResLine (0.64600) FIBO level 23.6% ke neeche wapas aur mustaqil tor par nichle taraf jaegi aur golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.64434 par, jo ke Fibo level 0 % ke mutabiq hai. Ek mazeed daleel transaction karne ke lehaz se ye hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators bhi faraiz mein dakhil hain, kyun ke woh overbought zone mein hain.

AUD/USD pair ne aik ahem ulat pher dekha aur qareeb 0.6550 ke qareeb farokht ho raha tha. AUD/USD pair ne mangal ko early Asian trading session mein 0.6500 ke neeche gir gaya. Din ke doran, Australia ki Reserve Bank (RBA) February ke financial coverage meeting ki minutes distribute karegi. Pair ab tak din ke 0.12% ke mutabiq nichay ki taraf ja raha hai, taqreeban 0.6532 ke qareeb farokht ho raha hai.
AUD/USD ka 200 hourly simple moving average (SMA) haftay ke akhir mein retraced hua, jis ne pair ko is ke qareebi high par le gaya aur 0.6600 ke qareeb ek shandar bullish izafa ko set kiya. Australian dollar ka musbat palat jaari hai. Pair ke liye thori technical resistance 0.6540 ke qareeb haasil hui.

December ke highs 0.6870 se girne ke baad, AUD/USD ab mojooda downside ke qareeb 0.6450 ke nazdeek support dhoondh raha hai. Is ke bawajood, market bearish trend ko rokne ki koshish karte hue January mein pair lagbagh 5% nichay ki taraf hai.

AUD/USD pair ka ye mojooda hal yeh darust karta hai ke pair ke beech maazbiyati jhijhak aur tezi ke darmiyan larai jaari hai. RBA ki minutes ka intezaar hai jo ke market ko agle qadmon ki rahon ka aik tasavvur degi. Agar ye minutes pehle ki tarah neutral ya musbat sabit hoti hain, to AUD/USD pair ko mazeed tezi ki umeed hai.

Is halat mein, traders ko mojooda halat aur market trends ko ghor se dekhna chahiye. Technical aur fundamental analysis ke sath-sath, market sentiment ka bhi khas taur par khayal rakhna zaroori hai.

Is ke ilawa, 0.6550 ke qareebi resistance aur 0.6450 ke nazdeeki support ko dekh kar traders ko trading strategies banani chahiye. Jaise hi pair kisi ek taraf move karta hai, traders ko apne positions ko adjust karne ka faisla karna chahiye.

Mojooda market scenario mein, AUD/USD pair ka bullish trend mazboot hai lekin thori jhijhak aur resistance ke darmiyan halat mehsoos kiye ja rahe hain. Isi tarah, bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, pair ko 0.6540 ke qareebi resistance ko tor kar agey barhna hoga.

Mazeed izafa ke liye, pair ko 0.6600 ke upar jana hoga jo ke ek muhim level hai. Iske baad, 0.6600 se upar ke mukhtalif resistance levels ko dekh kar traders ko apne trading plans ko barqarar rakhne ki zaroorat hai.

Aakhir mein, AUD/USD pair ka hal mukhtalif factors par mabni hai jaise ke economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur global market conditions. Is liye, traders ko market ki halat ko samajhne aur anayat ke muqabil strategies ko adapt karne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.

AUDUSD currency pair ke is waqt jo gati ko vichar karenge, uska mool adhaar shuruaat mein bechne waale ne keemat ko 0.6489 tak le aaye hai. Yeh ek mahatvapurna pratikriya hai, kyonki is dhaar ke maapdand se hum samajh sakte hain ki bazaar mein kis disha mein gati ho sakti hai aur kis prakar ki vyavharikata dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Pehle, humein is level ki vicharan karna chahiye ki kya yeh shuruaati nishkarsh bazaar mein ek naye trend ki shuruaat hai ya phir keval ek samayik pratikriya hai. Agar yeh level ek naye trend ki shuruaat ko darshata hai, toh yeh sanket ho sakta hai ki AUDUSD mein ek bearish trend shuru ho sakta hai. Iske peeche kuch karan ho sakte hain jaise ki arthik sthiti, rajnitik ghatnayein, ya global vevastha mein parivartan. Is prakar ke sanket ko samajhne ke liye, humein anya anuprayogik sadhanon jaise ki taknikal vishleshan aur arthik fundamental vishleshan ka sahyog lena chahiye. Taknikal vishleshan mein, hum prashnottar pranaliyan aur pravrittiyon ka adhyayan karte hain jo grafikon, prashnottar tark aur anya taknikon ke madhyam se kiya jata hai. Ismein, hum graafikon ke rukh aur pata lagane ki koshish karte hain ki kya woh prashnottar ke sath mel khaata hai ya nahin. Agar graafikon mein sakriya gati dekhi jaati hai, toh yeh sanket ho sakta hai ki bearish pravritti jaari hai aur keval shuruaati pratikriya nahin hai.

Arthik fundamental vishleshan mein, hum arthik suchnaon aur samachar ki vyakhya karte hain jo moolya ke pratibandhakon aur gati ko prabhavit kar sakte hain. Ismein, hum arthik sthiti, rajnitik ghatnayein, vaishvik roop se arthik sankat, aur anya prabhavit karne vaale karanon ka moolyaankan karte hain. Agar koi arthik sankat ya vishesh ghatna bazaar mein ek bearish pravritti utpann kar rahi hai, toh yeh sanket ho sakta hai ki AUDUSD mein aur neeche ki disha mein gati hogi. Ant mein, yeh moolyaankan humein bazaar ki sthiti ko samajhne mein madad karta hai aur hamen agle kadam ke liye taiyaar karta hai. Yeh zaroori hai ki hum pratikriya ka adhyayan karte rahe aur naye suchnaon aur pravrittiyon ka dhyan rakhe taki hum sahi samay par sahi faisla le sakein.

AUD/USD


Mombattiyon ki deewaron par ek mustaqil niche ki taraf ki manfi trend ko dekhte hue, meri shanakht ke saath bilkul milta julta, aaj mera kharidne ka order 0.6499 par execute hua. Jabki ghalti ka imkan tasleem karte hue, main apni intuitions par bharosa karta hoon, is currency pair ke liye ek bade paimane par global upward movement ka qabil-e-aqeeda maqsad. Shumariyat ke termo mein, main ek bullish correction ka buland imkan dekh raha hoon, jo 0.7020 ke resistance level tak pohanchne ki taraf hai. Agar yeh manzar waqai main haqeeqat mein aya, to munafa nisbatan 10 se 3 tak ka ho sakta hai. Lekin agle waqiyat dilchasp hain. Candlestick ki ek disha mein chalne wali harkat bazar ke prevailing sentiments ka saboot hai, jo mere mufahimat par zor dene mein madadgar hai. Maqool taur par in mein uncertainty mojood hai, lekin main apni tajziya mein sabit qadmon par hoon, market ke mukhtalif radifon par faida uthane ke liye mojooda mojooda giren ho.
Muamlat mein paise ki trading ke pesh kadam hone mein, technical analysis, asli faham o samajh aur intuitions ka aik mishran qeemati hai. Agar hum 0.6545 ke ahem nukte ko paar kar jaayein aur 0.6550 ke upar apni jagah barqarar rakhein, to bhalu ka dominane qaim ho sakta hai, agle intehai had tak 0.6600 ko check karne ke liye. Zabardast hone ki kami humein qayam shuda channel ke andar mehdood kar degi. Magar, meri fori tawajjo 0.6520 ka mark hai ke ye support level ka kirdar ada karega ya nichle dabao mein shikast khaye ga. Jab ke mojooda strategies aur khatra nigrani ke asoolon ka palan karte hue, shakhs ko market ke mutaghayyir shiraein par muntaqil hone ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Jab ke main waqiyat ka palat jhok dekh raha hoon, main chaukanna mansoobay ke saath mojooda bullish movement mein apne munafa ko barhaane ke liye, jokhimat ko kam karne ke saath, faydah uthane ka maqsad rakhta hoon.

AUD/USD mein josh ka bharpoor hona aur 0.6481 ka support level toorna ek significant market movement hai, jo ki traders aur investors ke liye kafi noteworthy hai. Ye movement typically market sentiment, economic indicators, aur geopolitical factors ki combination ka result hota hai, jo currency pairs ke value mein fluctuations ko influence karta hai. AUD/USD pair ka josh mein hona market participants ke optimism ko reflect karta hai. Ye optimism economic growth prospects, monetary policy decisions, aur global trade dynamics ke saath juda hota hai. Jab traders ko lagta hai ki Australia ki economy strong hai aur potential growth opportunities hain, to wo AUD ko buy karte hain, jisse uska value increase hota hai.

0.6481 ka support level toornay ka matlab hai ke market mein strong buying pressure tha aur traders ne is level ko ek strong base ke roop mein dekha. Jab koi currency pair apna support level toorta hai, to ye ek bullish signal hai, aur traders is opportunity ko aprove kar ke long positions lete hain, jo further upside movement ko encourage karta hai. Is movement ke piche kuch factors ho sakte hain, jaise ki Australia ki strong economic data, jismein GDP growth, employment figures, aur consumer confidence shaamil ho sakte hain. Monetary policy decisions bhi is movement ka reason ho sakte hain, jaise ki central bank ki interest rate changes ya quantitative easing measures.

Geopolitical factors bhi AUD/USD pair ke movement ko influence karte hain. Trade tensions, global political stability, aur commodity prices bhi is pair ke value ko impact karte hain, khaaskar ki Australia ka major exports commodities jaise ki iron ore, coal, aur natural gas hote hain. Traders aur investors ko market movements ko analyze karte hue apni trading strategies ko adjust karna hota hai. Support level break hone ke baad, traders ko potential resistance levels bhi dekhna hota hai, jo ki future mein price ke upar jaane ki rok lagate hain. Risk management bhi crucial hota hai, taki market volatility ke dauraan losses minimize kiya ja sake. Overall, AUD/USD pair ke josh mein hona aur 0.6481 ka support level toorna ek important market event tha, jo ki traders ke liye opportunities create karta hai, lekin saath hi risk management ka bhi dhyaan rakhna zaroori hai.

AUDUSD H1 waqt frame par, yeh wazeh ho jata hai ke market ka jazba raftar ka koi khaas raftar kaari farq na rakhnay wala hai. Yeh neutral stance yeh ishara deta hai ke bullish aur bearish taqat mein tasfiya hai, jis se aik manzar paida hota hai jahan qeemat ke amal bohot zyada mamooli rehta hai. Nazdeek ka jaiza lene par, H1 waqt frame mein mewajood tor par baaz dafa tasfiyat ki doraanon mein mojood maloomat hamein asal market dynamics ke baare mein ahem wazahat faraham karte hain. Tasfiyat ke marhale, jo ke lateral qeemat ke harkaat aur kam ziada ghair muzabooti ke sath hote hain, mojooda trend mein aik temporary rukawat ki nishaandahi karte hain, jab ke market participants apni positions ko dobara tashreef rakhnay aur taza catalysts ka intezaar karte hain. Haalankay haal ke sessions mein dekhi gayi neutral raftar ke bawajood, un indications ki wajah se mumkin hai ke upri harkat ki taraf kuch inclination ho. Yeh jazbaat khareedari ke dhaire dhaire ikhtra hone ke sath, sath hi kharidari dabao mein waqtan fawaqtan izafa, jo ke AUDUSD jodi ke andar mukhtasir bullish hawa ko barhawa dete hain. Mazeed, H1 waqt frame ke andar mojood ahem support levels, potaani jaga diye gaye hain, jo ke potential bullish reversals ke liye ek catalysis ka kaam karte hain. Yeh support levels ahem qeemat ke darwazon ke taur par kaam karte hain, jahan khareedari ka dil bara hota hai, jo ke bullish momentum mein ek dobara izafa ke le jata hai.

Support levels ke ilawa, H1 waqt frame ke andar mojood technical indicators mojooda qeemat ke harkaat ke mutaliq ahem maloomat faraham karte hain. Jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) jese oscillators, overbought ya oversold halaat ke baare mein ahem signals faraham karte hain, traders ko intizam saazi mein madad faraham karte hain, rozaana ki qeemat ke fluctuations mein safar karne mein. Jab traders H1 waqt frame ke paicheeda mazeed tehqiqat mein gird hotay hain, toh ek fa'ili approach ikhtiyaar karna zaroori hota hai, jis mein technical aur bunyadi analysis ka istemal karke taza opportunities par faida uthaya ja sake. Market ke tabdeeliyaat ko samajhne aur badalte haalaat ke mutabiq tabadul karne ke zariye, traders forex market ke dynamical manzar mein rozaana ki trading mein kamiyabi hasil kar sakte hain. AUDUSD jodi H1 waqt frame par ek neutral rozaana ki bias ka manzar pesh karta hai, jo ke tasfiyat ke mawad aur qeemat ki muzabit nigaahon ke doraan kuchh bullish harkat ki taraf ki ishaarat ko darust karta hai. Technical analysis, bunyadi fikron ki samajh, aur khatarnaak munaazam principles ko mila kar ek mukammal trading strategy ka istemal karke, traders forex market ke mukhtalif pehluon mein apne rozaana ki trading ke intizaam ko behtar bana sakte hain.

AUD/USD takneekee tajziya:

AUD/USD joda taawon ka patern 0.6503 ke ahem darjah ke upar jatnaar darja hai, jo ke ek neutral intraday trend ko darshaata hai. Magar mukaami khatra neeche ki taraf muntaqil hai jab tak ke 0.6633 ke level ka sath barqarar rahe. 0.6503 ke support level ke neeche phailaav ko chalkar, mukhtalif ziyada giravat jo 0.6870 ke buland point se shuru ki gayi thi, ko barha sakta hai, jo ke ek downtrend ka ishaara hai jis ka nishana qareeb 0.6442 ke nishaan par hai, jo aik ulte ki ibtida ka dauraan ka daur bun sakta hai. Yeh aham hai ke 0.6633 ke resistance level ki ehmiyat ko yaad rakhna, kyunke agar yeh darja barqarar rahe to mukhtalif mukaami taraqqi ka khatra barqarar ho sakta hai. Yeh ishara karta hai ke abhi tak qeemat ka dobataan mumkin hai agar 0.6633 ke resistance ke baghair reh jaye.

Zoom out karte hue, 2022 mein 0.6169 ke low point se dekhi gayi qeemat ka amal ek lambi doraanee downtrend ke andar doraanee mid-term islaah ke tor par tasleem kiya jata hai jo 2021 mein 0.8006 ke buland point se shuru hua tha. Is sarmaaya mein, 2023 mein pahunchne waale 0.7156 ke peak se giravat ko ek downtrend ke potential ke tor par dekha jata hai, jo ke ishara deta hai ke doosra phase giravat ke doraan abhi tak jari hai. Is ke ilawa, 2022 mein 0.6169 ke high point se neeche ki taraf ka movement jari is ongoing islaahi marhale ka doosra paira bhi hosakta hai. Yeh tajziya ye khaayal ko markaz mein rakhta hai ke AUD/USD joda taawon ke overall rukh ab bhi neeche ki taraf muntaqil hai mukhtalif technical levels aur patterns kahani ko banate hain.

AUD/USD ki technical analysis:

AUD/USD pair ne 0.6503 ke critical level ke upar consolidation pattern dikhaya hai, jo ek neutral intraday trend ko darshaata hai. Magar overall risk niche ki taraf tilted hai jab tak resistance level 0.6633 bacha rahe. Agar 0.6503 ke support level ko breach kiya jaaye, toh broad decline jo 0.6870 se shuru hui hai, usse extend kiya ja sakta hai, jo ek downtrend ka signal de sakta hai jiska target 0.6442 mark ho sakta hai, jo ki ek reversal ke liye stage set kar sakta hai. Yeh zaroori hai ki 0.6633 ke resistance level ki ahmiyat ko dhyaan mein rakha jaaye, kyun ki agar yeh level sustain movement ke saath cross ho jaaye, toh risk ko potential rebound ki taraf shift kar sakta hai. Isse yeh saabit hota hai ki abhi ke liye price recovery ke possibility viable hai, lekin yeh contingent hai ki 0.6633 ke resistance level ko na todein.

Price action ko 2022 mein 0.6169 ke low point se dekhte hue, ise broader downtrend mein mid-term correction ke roop mein interpret kiya jaata hai, jo ki 2021 mein record ki gayi high point 0.8006 se originate hui hai. Is context mein, 2023 mein 0.7156 tak pahunchne se descent ko ek potential continuation of downtrend ki nazar se dekha jaata hai, jo ki second phase of decline abhi tak progress mein ho sakta hai. Iske alawa, 2022 mein 0.6169 ke high point se downward movement ko ongoing corrective phase ka possible second leg maana jaata hai. Yeh analysis yeh baat highlight karti hai ki AUD/USD pair ki overall trajectory abhi tak downside ki taraf tilted hai jahan various technical levels aur patterns narrative ko shape kar rahe hain.

Mukhtasir tor par, jabke intraday trend neutral hai, lekin bade risk mein aur bhi downside movement ka tehal raha hai, khaaskar agar ahem support levels ko breach kiya gaya hai. Magar ek rebound ki sambhavna tab tak baqi hai jab tak critical resistance levels ko na todein. Iske ilawa, zyada bara context yeh darshaata hai ki mojooda price action ek mid-term correction ko darsha raha hai, jo ek bade downtrend ke andar hai, aur iska highlight yeh karta hai ki key technical levels ko monitor karna kitna ahmiyat rakhta hai market direction ke aur insights ke liye.

AUD/USD

AUD/USD joda 0.6503 ke ahem level ke upar ek consolidation pattern dikhata hai, jo ke ek neutral intraday trend ko darust karti hai. Magar overall risk niche ki taraf tilmilaye rahi hai jab tak 0.6633 ke resistance level ko taameer rakha jaye. Agar 0.6503 ke support level ko toora jaye, toh yeh mukhtalif decline ko extend kar sakta hai jo 0.6870 se shuru hui, jo ek downtrend ko signal karega ek target ke aas paas 0.6442 ke mark tak, jo ek reversal ke liye zameen tayyar kar sakta hai, iske essential hai ke 0.6633 ke resistance level ki ehmiyat ko note karna, kyunke agar yeh level tootna hojaaye, toh risk ko ek potential rebound ki taraf badal sakta hai. Isse yeh sanket hota hai ke abhi tak price recovery ka mauka mumkin hai jab tak 0.6633 ke resistance ko toora na jaye.

Price action ko zoom-out karke dekha gaya hai jo 0.6169 se 2022 mein low point se shuru hui hai, jisse ek broader downtrend ke andar ek mid-term correction ke roop mein samjha gaya hai jo 2021 mein 0.8006 ke high point se shuru hua. Is context mein, 2023 mein 0.7156 ke peak se giravat ko ek downtrend ka potential continuation samjha gaya hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke doosra phase decline ka abhi tak chal raha hai aur issi tarah, 2022 mein 0.6169 ke high point se neeche ki movement ko ongoing corrective phase ka possible second leg samjha gaya hai. Yeh tahlil yeh dikhata hai ke AUD/USD joda ka overall trajectory abhi tak niche ki taraf tilmilaye hui hai jahan tak ke mukhtalif technical levels aur patterns ko narrative banane mein madad milti hai.

AUD/USD ka daily H1 timeframe chart dekh kar aapne dekha ke currency pair ki resistance level 0.6622 par ummed thi. Par aapko shandar kamyabi mili jab ye level paar kar gaya. Is kamyabi ko samajhne ke liye, hume kuch factors ko consider karna hoga. Pehle toh, AUD/USD ka daily H1 timeframe chart dekhte hue, aapne shayad trend analysis kiya hoga. Agar ye resistance level paar kiya gaya hai, toh ye indicate karta hai ke bullish momentum strong hai. Ye bhi dekha gaya hoga ke price action ne kaise is level ko breach kiya hai, kya volume strong tha, aur kya price momentum bullish tha. Dusri baat, ye bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke global economic events aur news kiya impact daal rahe the. Koi badi news release ya economic indicator jo Australia ya United States se related hai, jaise ki employment data, GDP figures, ya monetary policy decisions, in sab ka bhi impact hota hai currency pair par. Agar koi positive news aayi thi AUD ke liye ya negative news USD ke liye, toh ye bhi AUD/USD ke movement ko influence kar sakta hai. Teesri baat, technical indicators jaise ki moving averages, RSI, aur MACD bhi dekhe gaye honge. In indicators ki madad se traders price movement ko analyze karte hain aur entry/exit points decide karte hain. Agar ye indicators bhi bullish signals de rahe the, toh ye bhi ek confirmation tha ke price ko upar jaane ki strong possibility hai. Aakhri baat, risk management ka bhi bahut mahatva hota hai trading mein. Ye dekha gaya hoga ke aapne apne trade ko kis tarah se manage kiya tha, stop loss aur take profit levels kya the, aur risk-reward ratio kya tha. Agar aapne apne trades ko proper risk management ke saath manage kiya tha, toh ye bhi ek important factor tha successful trading ke liye. Overall, ye sab factors milakar aapko ye shandar kamyabi mili hai AUD/USD mein. Par yaad rahe ke market mein koi bhi trade bilkul sure nahi hoti hai, aur har trade ko carefully plan aur execute karna chahiye.

AUD/USD H4 Time Frame

Adaab! behenon aur bhaiyon, main sochti hoon ke sab kuch theek ja raha hai, haalaankay main ghalat bhi ho sakti hoon, lekin bilkul sab ko galat hona koi buraai nahi hai. Yahan main AUD/USD ka char ghantay ka chart le rahi hoon, jo ke mojooda wave structure ko dikhata hai, aur asal mein, is trading instrument ki kam price asal mein 0.6493 ka accumulation miss nahi karna chahti aur shayad yeh waisay hi ho, phir is pair ki price bilkul bhi neeche nahi ja sakti, aur yeh ho sakta hai agar 0.6493 ke accumulation area mein market ke zyadatar participants ne is pair ko massive taur par sell kiya, aur agar yeh sach hai toh, main samajhti hoon ke puppeteer ko market ke zyadatar participants ko kam az kam kuch earn karne ka mauqa nahi dena chahte, aur agar meri guesses sahi nikle toh, is case mein, seedha seedha yahan se AUD/USD pair wild taur par upar ki taraf udd sakta hai money ke accumulated volumes ke level tak, jo ke 0.6644 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh sach hai toh, is scenario ke mutabiq, wahan se upar se 0.6644 ke level se, hum wild taur par neeche gir sakte hain 0.6452 ke accumulation area tak.




AUD/USD H1 Time Frame

Hourly chart par, price downward channel ke andar hai. Subah, pair ne ek decline experience kiya aur price ne is channel ke lower border tak pohancha, jo ke 0.6496 ka level hai. Is level tak pohanchne ke baad, ek reversal hua pair mein aur pair upar ki taraf move karne laga. Pair ab tak downward channel ka upper border nahi pohancha hai, isliye main umeed karti hoon ke pair upar ki taraf move karta rahega aur price upper border of descending channel tak pohanchegi, jo ke 0.6532 ka level hai. Is level tak pohanchne ke baad, ek reversal ho sakta hai pair mein aur price neeche ki taraf move karne lagegi. Aur neeche ka target ho sakta hai 0.6487 ka level. Agar aap hourly chart dekhte hain, toh aap yeh maan sakte hain ke price downward channel ke andar hai. Subah price neeche ki taraf move karne laga aur pair ne is channel ka lower border jo ke 0.6499 ka level hai, tak giravat ki. Ab yeh mumkin hai, kyunki pair ne neeche ka target pohanch liya hai, toh ek reversal ho sakta hai pair mein aur price upar ki taraf move karne lagegi. Agar pair grow karne lagta hai, toh upar ki taraf move karte hue, pair upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai is channel ke upper border tak, jo ke 0.6528 ka level hai. Aur upar ka target pohanchne ke baad, pair palat sakta hai aur neeche ki taraf move karne lagegi. Aur pair is channel ko chhod kar upar ki taraf move karta rahega.