ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات
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  • #5161 Collapse

    AUD/USD currency pair ne apne haal ke high 0.68317 se palat gaye hain, jo ab ek bearish trend dikhata hai. Iske bawajood, price abhi bhi middle Bollinger Band ke upar hai, jo filhal 0.67035 par hai. Bollinger Bands khud bhi upar ki taraf point kar rahe hain, jo chalte huye upward momentum ko darshata hai, chahe price gir raha ho. Bollinger Bands ek mashhoor technical analysis tool hai jo teen lines par mabni hota hai: beech ki line, jo aam tor par ek simple moving average (SMA) hoti hai, aur do outer bands, jo asset ki volatility ke hisaab se faasla par hoti hain. Yeh outer bands price fluctuations ke mutabiq expand aur contract hoti hain, jo inhe volatility ko samajhne aur potential price reversals ko identify karne ka ek asar darz karne wala tool banati hain.
    AUD/USD pair ke liye, maujooda market structure yeh darshata hai ke volatility abhi bhi high hai, jo Bollinger Bands ki width se zahir hota hai. Lekin yeh baat ke price haal ke high se girne lagi hai jabke middle band ke upar hai, yeh ek mumkin retracement ki taraf ishara karta hai jo broader upward trend mein hai. Bands ka upward direction yeh darshata hai ke bearish trend ke bawajood, kuch aisi support hai jo tezi se bechne se rokti hai. Jab market Monday ko khulegi, toh yeh sambhavna hai ke maujooda bearish trend jaari rahega, is downward movement ki momentum ke dekhte hue. Agar yeh trend barkarar raha, toh price aur neeche ja sakta hai, jo key support levels ko test karega, jin mein middle band aur is se aage bhi shamil hain. Traders ko lower Bollinger Band par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki is level se neeche girne se gehrayee se neeche jane ka ishara ho sakta hai aur pair ki taqat aur kamzor ho sakti hai.
    Dusra scenario yeh hai ke jab price support level 0.66347 ko test kare to price is level ke neeche consolidate ho jaye aur south ki taraf continue kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price support level 0.65794 ya support level 0.65580 ki taraf continue kare. In support levels ke nazdeek, main bullish signals search karunga, expecting ke price apne upward movement ko resume karegi.
    Mujhe lagta hai ke door ke southern targets bhi ho sakte hain, lekin main unhe filhal consider nahi kar raha kyunki mujhe unke quick realization ke prospects nahi dikh rahe. Short mein, aaj ke liye mujhe kuch khaas interesting nahi lag raha locally. Overall, main global northward movement ke resumption ki taraf oriented hoon, isliye main nearby support levels se bullish signals search kar raha hoon.


       
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    • #5162 Collapse

      AUD/USD pair ne 0.67821 level par aik aham technical point ko chua hai, jise **throwback support** kaha jata hai. Yeh wo level hai jahan pehle price ko resistance ka samna tha, lekin baad mein isko break karte hue price upar chali gayi. Ab jab price wapas is level ki taraf move kar rahi hai, to yeh ek key support zone ka kaam karega. Traders bohot ghore se market ko dekh rahe honge jab price is level par aati hai, taake yeh dekh sakein ke support hold karta hai ya price mazeed neeche jati hai. Agar price 0.67821 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh aur zyada decline ki nishani hogi, jisme agla key support level 0.6740 par hoga.
      Throwback tab hota hai jab price wapas usi pehle resistance level par aati hai jo break kar chuki hoti hai, aur yeh level test kiya jata hai ke kya ab yeh support ke tor par kaam karega. Is case mein, 0.67821 level is liye significant hai kyunke yeh pehle price ke liye ek rukawat tha. Jab price ne is level ko cross kiya, to yeh yeh zahir karta hai ke buyers ne market mein control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko upar le gaye hain. Lekin, market aksar retrace karti hai, aur yeh aam baat hai ke price wapas aakar is level ko retest karti hai. Agar support hold karta hai, to yeh yeh reinforce karta hai ke yeh level mazboot hai aur buyers dobara control le sakte hain.

      Agar AUD/USD pair 0.67821 par wapas aati hai aur iske upar stay karti hai, to yeh bullish traders ke liye ek mauqa hoga ke woh market mein entry lein, umeed karte hue ke price dobara rebound karegi aur upar ki taraf momentum jari rahega. Is support ke confirm hone par buying interest barh sakta hai, jo price ko aglay resistance levels ki taraf push karega. Is scenario mein, traders bullish signals ka intezar karenge, jaise reversal candlestick patterns ya positive momentum indicators, jo support ki strength ko confirm karein.

      Lekin agar price 0.67821 ke upar hold karne mein nakam hoti hai aur neeche break karti hai, to yeh bullish momentum ki weakness ka izhar hoga. Is surat mein, market mein selling pressure barh sakta hai jo price ko neeche le jaye ga. Agla key support level 0.6740 par hoga, jise traders dekh rahe honge. Agar yeh level bhi break hota hai, to price mazeed neeche ja sakti hai, jo ke longer-term bearish trend ka indication hoga.
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      Traders ko market sentiment aur technical indicators ko ghore se dekhna chahiye jab price 0.67821 level ke qareeb aati hai. Yeh dekhna aham hoga ke support hold karta hai ya nahi, kyunke yeh AUD/USD pair ke short-term direction ka faisla karega. Jaise ke har trading strategy mein, risk management ko apply karna zaroori hai, aur appropriate stop losses set karne chahiye taake downside risk minimize ho sake. Is support level par jo bhi outcome hoga, yeh AUD/USD pair ke aglay aham move ko define karega.
       
      • #5163 Collapse

        AUD/USD currency pair is waqt aik aham horizontal resistance level 0.6744 ke qareeb hai. Is resistance level ko break karna mumkin hai, aur agar yeh achieve ho jata hai, to pair ko mazeed upar push karke agla target 0.6776 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh level short-term high ko represent karta hai, lekin kuch signs hain ke is se bhi ooper ke targets ho sakte hain, khaaskar agar upward momentum barqarar rehta hai. Traders ghore se dekh rahe hain ke jab price in critical resistance levels ke qareeb aati hai to iska reaction kaisa hota hai, kyunke ek successful breakout pair ke mazeed bullish potential ko zahir karega.
        Jab 0.6744 resistance break ho jata hai, to agla key level jo dekhne wala hoga wo 0.6756 hai. Yeh level, jo ke initial resistance se qareeb hai, ek chhota obstacle ban sakta hai jab tak price apna upward safar jari rakhti hai. Agar price 0.6756 ko cross karne mein kaamyab hoti hai, to momentum mazeed barh jaye ga, jo 0.6764 ke resistance level ka test karega. Yeh level aur resistance de sakta hai, lekin agar price isko break kar leti hai, to yeh AUD/USD pair mein strong bullish trend ka signal hoga.

        Agar price 0.6764 se upar jati hai, to agla bara target 0.6787 hoga. Yeh level pair ke liye ek critical point samjha jata hai, kyunke yeh ek higher resistance aur current upward move ka potential peak represent karta hai. 0.6787 tak pohanchna bullish momentum ki strength ko confirm karega, aur yeh zahir karega ke broader trend shift ho raha hai, khaaskar agar price is level ke ooper apni position barqarar rakhti hai. Traders keen honge dekhne ke liye ke price ooper jati hai ya phir 0.6787 ke target ko chhune ke baad koi pullback hota hai.

        Agar breakout 0.6787 se bhi ooper hota hai, to AUD/USD mazeed higher levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke market ke mukhtalif factors jaise ke economic data, geopolitical events, aur overall market sentiment par mabni hoga. Agar yeh rally sustained hoti hai, to yeh suggest karegi ke pair ek naye bullish phase mein dakhil ho raha hai, jisme higher highs achieve hona mumkin hoga.

        Lekin, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke breakout fail ho jaye. Agar price in resistance levels ko break karne mein nakam rehti hai ya 0.6744 ke qareeb reject ho jati hai, to traders pullback ya consolidation dekh sakte hain. Aise cases mein, support levels 0.6700 ya neeche a sakte hain, jo bears ko control wapas lenay ka mauqa de sakte hain.
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        Summary mein, 0.6744 resistance level ka break hona AUD/USD ke liye further upward movement ka sabab ban sakta hai, jisme targets 0.6756, 0.6764, aur aakhir mein 0.6787 par hote hain. Traders ko in key levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake market ke next direction ka andaza ho sake.
         
        • #5164 Collapse

          Humari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke price behaviour assessment par markaz hai. Yeh pair hourly chart par thoda bearish nazar aa raha hai, lekin yeh movement un diligent sellers ki umeedon se door hai. Hum extreme low tak nahi pahunche, isliye ek significant decline ka prediction karna abhi jaldi hai. Jumme ke trading aksar ek key indicator hota hai, jo aane wale predictions ka buniyad tayar karta hai. Kyunki price minimum ke neeche nahi gayi, hum sirf limited drop ke baare mein baat kar sakte hain, jo ke ek full correction nahi, balki ek zigzag pattern hai, jo is situation mein acha fit hota hai. Market jald hi flat phase mein shift ho sakti hai. Main 0.6679 ke aas-paas long positions ke liye potential dekhta hoon. Halankeh koi significant support levels nazar nahi aate, yahan kuch hafton pehle ek noticeable rebound dekha gaya tha. Is rebound ki taqat modest ho sakti hai, jo shayad 0.6729 tak peak kare, uske baad zigzag ka khatma ho sakta hai. Is waqt buying positions se exit karna behtar hoga.
          Aage dekhte hue, 0.68000 level ke aas-paas ek prominent resistance area nazar aa raha hai, jo liquidity zone aur kuch FVG areas se mark kiya gaya hai jo pehle test nahi hue. Yeh region bulls ke liye ek significant hurdle ban sakta hai, jab price is taraf aati hai to potential profit-taking aur sell-side interest dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin, recent sessions mein dekha gaya upward momentum yeh darshata hai ke buyers ke paas is resistance ko challenge karne ki taqat ho sakti hai. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh aage ke gains ka rasta khol sakta hai, shayad 0.68500 ke upar higher liquidity levels ko target karte hue.

          Neeche ki taraf, 0.67000 ke aas-paas ek key support zone established hai, jahan kai liquidity sweeps hue hain. In liquidity sweeps ki maujoodgi yeh darshati hai ke buyers is level ko defend kar rahe hain, jo potential pullbacks ke khilaf cushion provide karta hai. Agar price is zone ki taraf retrace hoti hai, to yeh dobara buying interest ka samna kar sakti hai, jo isse ek significant support level banata hai.

          Summarize karte hue, AUD/USD clear bullish momentum dikhata hai jab key liquidity gaps fill hoti hain aur support zones se reverse hota hai. 0.68000 level agla critical resistance hai, jiska break hone par aage ke upside ki sambhavna hai. Iske baraks, agar price 0.67000 ya isse neeche pullback hoti hai, to yeh buying interest ka samna karegi, agar market conditions favorable rahe. Pair ka overall structure yeh darshata hai ke jab tak key support levels hold hote hain, bullish trend near term



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          • #5165 Collapse

            USD currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis zabt-e-bahs hai. AUD/USD pair ne daily chart par neeche ki taraf rukh liya hai, jo ek wazeh downtrend dikha raha hai. Aaj ki movement se lagta hai ke yeh bearish direction jari rehne ka imkaan hai, lekin reversal bhi mumkin hai. Aaiye din ki technical analysis ko break down karte hain. Moving averages strong sell signal de rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi selling pressure ko support kar rahe hain. Kul mila kar outlook suggest karta hai ke bearish trend jari rahega, magar hum kisi bhi potential shift ko monitor karenge. Price tab se is level se neeche gir chuki hai, aur dusre major currency pairs bhi qareeb mustaqbil mein mazboot US dollar ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain. Pehle wave par Fibonacci grid lagane se target decline level kareeb 161.9% hai. Beech ka target technical level 0.6641 hai, aur mera khayal hai ke price jald is level ki taraf move karegi. Magar thoda growth ya pullback ho sakta hai, jo sab se qareebi resistance level 0.6691 tak pohonch sakta hai. AUD/USD ke four-hour chart ko dekhte hue, downward trend momentum gain kar raha hai ek wazeh wave structure ke saath. MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line se neeche reh kar. Pehle, MACD aur CCI indicators par triple bearish divergence saamne aayi thi. Mazeed, ek reversal pattern—ascending wedge—ko downside ki taraf break kiya gaya, jisse bearish divergence signal validate hua. Nateeja yeh hua ke price drop hui, aur temporary support kareeb 0.6701 par hona tha. Aik prolonged corrective rise ke baad, price ne mirror resistance level ko hit kiya 0.6756 par, jo pehle support tha. Yeh level growth edge par hai aur consistently strong selling zone raha hai. Is decline ko jari rakhne mein ek ahem factor CCI indicator hai, jo weekly chart par upper overheating zone
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            • #5166 Collapse

              pair hourly chart par thoda bearish nazar aa raha hai, lekin yeh movement un diligent sellers ki umeedon se door hai. Hum extreme low tak nahi pahunche, isliye ek significant decline ka prediction karna abhi jaldi hai. Jumme ke trading aksar ek key indicator hota hai, jo aane wale predictions ka buniyad tayar karta hai. Kyunki price minimum ke neeche nahi gayi, hum sirf limited drop ke baare mein baat kar sakte hain, jo ke ek full correction nahi, balki ek zigzag pattern hai, jo is situation mein acha fit hota hai. Market jald hi flat phase mein shift ho sakti hai. Main 0.6679 ke aas-paas long positions ke liye potential dekhta hoon. Halankeh koi significant support levels nazar nahi aate, yahan kuch hafton pehle ek noticeable rebound dekha gaya tha. Is rebound ki taqat modest ho sakti hai, jo shayad 0.6729 tak peak kare, uske baad zigzag ka khatma ho sakta hai. Is waqt buying positions se exit karna behtar hoga. Aage dekhte hue, 0.68000 level ke aas-paas ek prominent resistance area nazar aa raha hai, jo liquidity zone aur kuch FVG areas se mark kiya gaya hai jo pehle test nahi hue. Yeh region bulls ke liye ek significant hurdle ban sakta hai, jab price is taraf aati hai to potential profit-taking aur sell-side interest dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin, recent sessions mein dekha gaya upward momentum yeh darshata hai ke buyers ke paas is resistance ko challenge karne ki taqat ho sakti hai. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh aage ke gains ka rasta khol sakta hai, shayad 0.68500 ke upar higher liquidity levels ko target karte hue. Neeche ki taraf, 0.67000 ke aas-paas ek key support zone established hai, jahan kai liquidity sweeps hue hain. In liquidity sweeps ki maujoodgi yeh darshati hai ke buyers is level ko defend kar rahe hain, jo potential pullbacks ke khilaf cushion provide karta hai. Agar price is zone ki taraf retrace hoti hai, to yeh dobara buying interest ka samna kar sakti hai, jo isse ek significant support level banata hai.

              Summarize karte hue, AUD/USD clear bullish momentum dikhata hai jab key liquidity gaps fill hoti hain aur support zones se reverse hota hai. 0.68000 level agla critical resistance hai, jiska break hone par aage ke upside ki sambhavna hai. Iske baraks, agar price 0.67000 ya isse neeche pullback hoti hai, to yeh buying interest ka samna karegi, agar market conditions favorable rahe. Pair ka overall structure yeh darshata hai ke jab tak key support levels hold


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              • #5167 Collapse

                USD pair mazboot hai, jab ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate ko Tuesday ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga. Agar is se neeche break hota hai, to pair six-week low 0.6622 ki taraf ja sakta hai downward slope par hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes kam ho rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI)
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                • #5168 Collapse

                  Filhaal, meri buying aur selling ki strategy complex signals par mabni hai jo main Hicken Ashi, TMA aur RSI candlesticks se hasil karta hoon. Yeh signals mujhe yeh batate hain ke koi Forex pair ya instrument khareedne ke liye bohat high ho chuka hai. Jaise jaise waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai k



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ID:	13164617 e long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zone tak barh sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish support toot gaya, aur pair 0.6699–0.6669 zone ke neeche consolidate ka
                     
                  • #5169 Collapse

                    banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota

                       
                    • #5170 Collapse

                      AUDUSD TAJZIYA

                      Yaqeenan, AUDUSD pair mein jo main trend ka rukh hai woh ab bhi bullish shart mein hai. EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke cross hone se aik impulsive downward price movement ke baad trend direction mein taqreeban tabdeeli hone wali thi, jis ne death cross signal diya. Lekin, jo upward rally EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke upar jaari hai, yeh abhi bhi bullish trend ka rukh dikhata hai, wala agar woh itna mazboot nahi hai. Price pattern structure ke hawale se, yeh abhi ke liye uncertain hai, kyun ke prices jo 0.6365 tak neeche girne aur 0.6716 tak ooper chale jane se structure break ho gaya hai. Is liye price patterns ka structure determine karne ke liye pehle secondary reaction ki zaroorat hai. Stochastic indicator ke nazariye se, price ko increase mein support karne ki taraf zyada raftar hai. Parameters jo oversold zone level 20-10 se cross kar chuke hain, woh ab level 50 ko cross karne ki koshish kar rahe hain takay overbought zone level 90-80 tak pohanch saken.

                      Darmiyan-term trading plans ke hawale se jo daily time frame ki tajziya par based hain, aap ko bullish trend ki taraf BUY moment ka intezaar karne par tawajjo deni chahiye. Seedha entry position place karna bohat risky ho sakta hai agar price neeche correction karne lag jaye. Is liye behtar hai ke EMA 50 ya low prices 0.6578 ke aas paas downward price movements ka intezaar kiya jaye. Confirm karen ke Stochastic indicator ke parameters dobara oversold zone ko cross kar saken. High prices 0.6716 ko take profit ke liye aur SMA 200 ya price range 0.6542 ko stop loss ke tor par place kiya jaye.
                         
                      • #5171 Collapse

                        mazboot hai, jab ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Off Click image for larger version

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ID:	13164652 icial Cash Rate ko Tuesday ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga. Agar is se neeche break hota hai, to pair six-weekClick image for larger version
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                        • #5172 Collapse

                          buying aur selling ki strategy complex signals par mabni hai jo main Hicken Ashi, TMA aur RSI candlesticks se hasil karta hoon. Yeh signals mujhe yeh batate hain ke koi Forex pair ya instrument khareedne ke liye bohat high ho chuka hai. Jaise jaise waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zone tak barh sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish support toot gaya, aur pair 0.6699–0.6669 zone ke neeche consolidate kart

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                          • #5173 Collapse

                            **AUD/USD Ka Tajziya**

                            **Market Ka Iftitah Aur Sellers Ka Yaqeen**

                            - AUD/USD pair ne aaj ek significant farq ke sath market kholi, jo Asian session ke dauran fill ho gaya, aur sellers pur yaqeen ke sath price ko upper levels ki taraf dhakel rahe hain.
                            - Lekin, ek possibility hai ke price sideways pattern ke upper boundary ki taraf dobara retest kare.
                            - Resistance levels jo dekhnay ke qabil hain woh 0.66986 ya 0.67141 hain analysis ke mutabiq.

                            **Mumkinah Scenarios**

                            - Agar resistance level par ek reversal candle banti hai, to price downward movement shuru kar sakti hai.
                            - Agar yeh plan kaamyaab hota hai, to support levels jo target honge woh 0.65761 ya 0.65580 ho sakte hain.

                            **AUD/USD Par Asar Daalnay Walay Factors**

                            - Australia ki inflation abhi tak RBA ke 2% target se zyada hai, is wajah se policy rate ko is saal 4.35% par rakha gaya hai.
                            - AUD/USD pair ko 0.6650 par temporary support mila tha lekin rising USD ke pressure ka samna karna pada.

                            **USD Ki Taqat Aur Cautious Jazba**

                            - USD ki taqat market expectations se aayi ke Federal Reserve apni current interest rate policy ko mazeed arsay ke liye barqarar rakhegi.
                            - Kamzor economic data, jaise ke global flash PMI numbers ke mutabiq expectations se neeche, ne USD ke hawale se ehtiyaati jazba paida kiya.
                            - Aane wale US PMI numbers ke mumkinah kami ke expectations bhi market ko asar kar sakti hain.

                            **Central Bank Actions Aur RBA Ka Manzar Nama**

                            - Hal hi mein BOC, ECB, aur SNB ke rate cuts ne market mein uncertainty ko barhaya hai.
                            - Lekin, RBA se qareebi waqt mein kisi bhi action ki umeed nahi hai.
                             
                            • #5174 Collapse

                              waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zone

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                              • #5175 Collapse

                                Wave structure ab bhi upar ki taraf hai, lekin MACD indicator ne lower sales zone mein dakhil ho gaya hai aur apni signal line se neeche chal raha hai. Pehle bhi main ne yeh note kiya tha ke price girawat ka imkaan hai, jo ke MACD par ek bearish divergence aur chart par ek reversal pattern, khas taur par ek ascending wedge ke zahir hone se supported tha, jo neeche ki taraf break hua. Sell signals ne 0.6909 level ke neeche solid consolidation se support liya tha. Behtareen selling ka point us waqt aya jab is level ko neeche se retest kiya gaya aur yeh resistance ke taur par act kar raha tha, jo ke growth peak par ek aaina bana. Ye scenario smoothly unfold hua, jo pichle haftay US dollar ki taqat ke zariye tamam badi currencies ke against mazid support mila.

                                Agar mere assumptions sahi sabit hue, toh price 0.6847 ke accumulation point tak barh sakti hai. Agar yeh scenario unfold hota hai aur AUD/USD ka level 0.6752 support ke taur par qaim rehta hai, toh hum 0.6752 se ek dramatic rebound dekh sakte hain jo 0.6928 tak jata hai, jahan bohot zyada buying interest mojood hai.

                                Pehle price thoda dip hui lekin US employment data release hone tak stable rahi, jo non-agricultural sector mein khas taur par achi tabdeeliyan zahir kar raha tha. Khaaskar, hourly wage barh gayi thi aur unemployment rate gir gaya tha. Halanki in figures par shak karna samajh mein aata hai, lekin US dollar ne bohot taqat ke sath reaction diya, aur doosri currencies ke muqable mein mazid barh gaya. Price ab higher daily waves ke neeche established ascending support line tak pohanch chuki hai. Saath hi, CCI indicator neeche ke overheating zone se barhne ke liye tayar hai, jo ek slight bullish divergence ka ishara kar raha hai. Yeh scenario ek strong signal deta hai ke upward correction ka imkaan hai, jo ke 0.6838 ke resistance level ko target kar sakta hai ya shayad us se bhi ooper jaye. Chart ke left side par dekhne par yeh samajh aata hai ke 0.6786 ek technical support level hai na ke ek volume level. Potential market movements recent statistics ke basis par volume levels ko hit karne ka imkaan zahir karti hain, rather than traditional support aur resistance levels ko follow karne ke.





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