ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD Currency Pair Analysis

AUD/USD currency pair ne apne haal ke high 0.68317 se palat gaye hain, jo ab ek bearish trend dikhata hai. Iske bawajood, price abhi bhi middle Bollinger Band ke upar hai, jo filhal 0.67035 par hai. Bollinger Bands khud bhi upar ki taraf point kar rahe hain, jo chalte huye upward momentum ko darshata hai, chahe price gir raha ho. Bollinger Bands ek mashhoor technical analysis tool hai jo teen lines par mabni hota hai: beech ki line, jo aam tor par ek simple moving average (SMA) hoti hai, aur do outer bands, jo asset ki volatility ke hisaab se faasla par hoti hain. Yeh outer bands price fluctuations ke mutabiq expand aur contract hoti hain, jo inhe volatility ko samajhne aur potential price reversals ko identify karne ka ek asar darz karne wala tool banati hain.

AUD/USD pair ke liye, maujooda market structure yeh darshata hai ke volatility abhi bhi high hai, jo Bollinger Bands ki width se zahir hota hai. Lekin yeh baat ke price haal ke high se girne lagi hai jabke middle band ke upar hai, yeh ek mumkin retracement ki taraf ishara karta hai jo broader upward trend mein hai. Bands ka upward direction yeh darshata hai ke bearish trend ke bawajood, kuch aisi support hai jo tezi se bechne se rokti hai. Jab market Monday ko khulegi, toh yeh sambhavna hai ke maujooda bearish trend jaari rahega, is downward movement ki momentum ke dekhte hue. Agar yeh trend barkarar raha, toh price aur neeche ja sakta hai, jo key support levels ko test karega, jin mein middle band aur is se aage bhi shamil hain. Traders ko lower Bollinger Band par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki is level se neeche girne se gehrayee se neeche jane ka ishara ho sakta hai aur pair ki taqat aur kamzor ho sakti hai.




Indicators ki Dekh Rekh:

Is waqt, market participants shayad aise indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain jo bearish trend ki taqat ko confirm kar sakein, jese ke moving averages, volume data, ya doosre technical indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Yeh additional confirmation de sakte hain agar price mazeed girne wala hai ya agar wapas upward trend mein palat sakta hai. Jabke AUD/USD pair filhal bearish pressure ka samna kar raha hai, overall market structure aur Bollinger Bands ka positioning yeh darshata hai ke traders ko key levels aur indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye, taake trend ki jaari rehne ya potential reversal ka confirmation mil sake jab market dobara khulega.

AUD/USD Analysis

Humari umeed hai ke hum bina kisi upar ki taraf palatne ke girte rahenge. Hum channel ke andar hi chalenge, lekin yeh movement kaise hoga yeh ek aur kahani hai. Price aise trend channel ki upper ya lower boundary ko barqarar rakh sakti hai, jo ke lambi muddat tak ghalat breakouts ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar market mein mazeed kami hoti hai, toh price lower line ke sath chalegi, kam se kam 0.6910 tak, lekin daily chart bears ke haq mein nahi hai; yeh abhi bhi dikhata hai ke market flat rahega. Halankeh haal ke trading dinon mein koi bhari volatility nahi thi, lekin mere liye pair ki halat ab bhi mushkil hai.

Yeh baat doosre major pairs ke liye bhi sahi thi. 87th position ke qareeb trading karte huye, inhone thoda sa faida hasil kiya. Dollar ki demand ki wajah se, AUD/USD aur pound mein khaas volatility thi, isliye aisi chhoti volatility ka aana anjaani baat nahi thi. Main abhi bhi sidelines par hoon, sirf dekh raha hoon, lekin main ab bhi upar ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Phir bhi, main is baat ko nahi bhoolta ke hum chhod bhi sakte hain. Har haal mein, agar price is level tak girti hai toh main 0.6950 ke qareeb kharidne ki salaah deta hoon.




Correction and Expectations:

Nateeje ke tor par, rate ne ek corrective andaaz mein izafa kiya. American session ne sudharati growth hasil ki. Technical analysis yeh darshata hai ke rate girta rahega jab tak yeh 0.6880 ke support level tak nahi pahunchega, lekin is se pehle ek upar ki taraf correction hone ki sambhavna hai. Yeh dekhte hue ke quotes ki further kami ki umeed hai, jo 0.6810 ke qareeb hai, agar price 0.6940 se bechti hai toh yeh mazeed upar ki taraf movement mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai agar quote levels aur girte hain. Is girawat ko 0.6810 support level par khatam karne ke liye yaqeen hai, jo ek kamiyab girawat ko yaqeen dilata hai.

AUD/USD currency pair is waqt barh rahi hai, jabkay interest rates waise hi hain. Yeh bullish trend jaari reh sakta hai, lekin agar bearish traders ke liye 0.6738 ka level toot jaye, to yeh price ko 0.6614 tak le ja sakta hai. Chhoti time frames par aik chhoti divergence ban rahi hai jo aaj ziada growth ko rok sakti hai, is liye ab buying munasib nahi hai kyun ke price pehle hi kaafi barh chuki hai. Abhi behtar hai ke market ka progression dekha jaye. Is soorat haal mein Australian dollar focus mein nahi hai. AUD/USD pair ka future direction aaj ke resistance test ke nateejon par depend karega. Agar price 0.6901 ka level paar kar leti hai, to 0.6896 ka resistance support mein tabdeel ho sakta hai, aur further declines ka imkaan kam ho jaye ga. Daily chart par AUD/USD secondary scenario ko follow kar rahi hai, jo ke 0.6838 se upar jaa chuki hai aur 0.6872 tak continue kar rahi hai. Market ab aglay buying target 0.6893 ke qareeb hai, aur resistance zone 0.6893 aur 0.6901 ke darmiyan test hona expected hai, jiska imkaan hai ke neeche ki taraf rebound ho. Australian dollar ne daily chart par barhna jaari rakha hai, analyst ke pehlay forecast ke bawajood. Price ne recent resistance aur support levels ko test kiya hai, jis ke baad analyst range trading ko behtar samajhta hai. Magar price ne Monday ko is range ko upar break kiya, aur resistance 0.6824 ko paar kar liya. Jab din ka close is level ke upar hua, to focus ab aaj ke resistance 0.6887 ki taraf growth par hai. Jab price is resistance ke qareeb hai, agar close is level ke ird gird hota hai, to focus phir se resistance 0.6949 ki taraf growth par ho jaye ga. AUD/USD chart yeh suggest karta hai ke price movements market ki typical manipulations ke mutabiq hain, jo ke institutional traders kartay hain. Yeh pattern volume ke zariye naye trading positions establish karne aur phir liquidity withdraw karne ka hota hai. Analyst is pattern se waqif hai, aur aise moments ko pehle bhi observe kiya hai. Jo ke ab upward movement ke sath persistent bullish trend dekh raha hai, analyst yeh anticipate karta hai ke aik moment aayega jab price ka rise liquidity ko top se clear out kar dega. Jab volume indicators confirm karen ke AUD/USD liquidity likely oopar se nikal chuki hai, to phir aik decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai 0.6658 ke aas paas accumulated liquidity ke level tak. AUD/USD pair signs of growth dekh rahi hai aur 0.6891 ka level test karne ki umeed hai. Envelopes indicator ke mutabiq, wahan resistance 0.6896 par hai, jo ke main idea ko nahi badalta. Magar yeh resistance 0.6896 likely strong rehne wala hai, jo ke pair ko 0.6830 ke support level tak retreat karne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

AUD/USD pair 0.6939 ke area ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo market ka Australian Dollar par confidence reflect karta hai. Australia ke Treasurer Jim Chalmers ne RBA ke iss analysis par ehtiraz kiya ke mulk ki economy bohat zyada mazboot hai. RBA ka ye yaqeen hai ke government ke baray budgets inflation ko lambi muddat tak barqarar rakhnay mein hissa daal rahe hain, lekin Chalmers ka kehna hai ke economy central bank ke khayalat se zyada balanced hai. Iss ikhtilaf ne investors ke liye mazeed complexity paida kar di hai jo mulk ke economy ke mustaqbil aur Australian Dollar ki value ke baray mein andaza lagane ki koshish kar rahe hain.
Aaj subah koi upward movement nahi hui. Ek sell signal ka izhar hua, jisse price 0.6911 se gir kar 0.6869 tak aaya. Aage mazeed movement ke imkanaat hain. Hum agle step mein dollar ki taqat barhne ki umeed kar rahe hain, khaaskar Non-Farm Payrolls report ke pehle, kyunke job growth ka imkaan hai, jo dollar ko mazeed mazboot karega. Main ab bhi price mein girawat ka hi andaza laga raha hoon, kyunke yeh wazeh hai ke hum downward trend mein hain. Mera tajzia yeh hai ke hum 0.6777 level tak pohanch sakte hain, halaanke yeh abhi door hai. Agar hum 0.6849 tak girte hain, toh agla significant support 0.6820 par ho sakta hai. Jab ke downside zyada clear hai, upward movement ko kuch challenges ka samna ho sakta hai. Kisi bhi rise ki surat mein yeh ek corrective wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai.
Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Forecast ab bhi bearish movement par focused hai, khaaskar neural network ke clear signal ke madde nazar. Lekin plans badal bhi sakte hain, aur bulls price ko qareebi resistance level tak ya us se bhi upar push kar sakte hain. Dekhna hoga ke agle kuch ghantay kis tarah guzar te hain

TMA aur RSI candlesticks se hasil karta hoon. Yeh signals mujhe yeh batate hain ke koi Forex pair ya instrument khareedne ke liye bohat high ho chuka hai. Jaise jaise waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke c hannel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka.

hourly chart par thoda bearish nazar aa raha hai, lekin yeh movement un diligent sellers ki umeedon se door hai. Hum extreme low tak nahi pahunche, isliye ek significant decline ka prediction karna abhi jaldi hai. Jumme ke trading aksar ek key indicator hota hai, jo aane wale predictions ka buniyad tayar karta hai. Kyunki price minimum ke neeche nahi gayi, hum sirf limited drop ke baare mein baat kar sakte hain, jo ke ek full correction nahi, balki ek zigzag pattern hai, jo is situation mein acha fit hota hai. Market jald hi flat phase mein shift ho sakti hai. Main 0.6679 ke aas-paas long positions ke liye potential dekhta hoon. Halankeh koi significant support levels nazar nahi aate, yahan kuch hafton pehle ek noticeable rebound dekha gaya tha. Is rebound ki taqat modest ho sakti hai, jo shayad 0.6729 tak peak kare, uske



baad zigzag ka khatma ho sakta hai. Is waqt buying positions se exit karna behtar hoga. Aage dekhte hue, 0.68000 level ke aas-paas ek prominent resistance area nazar aa raha hai, jo liquidity zone aur kuch FVG areas se mark kiya gaya hai jo pehle test nahi hue. Yeh region bulls ke liye ek significant hurdle ban sakta hai, jab price is taraf aati hai to potential profit-taking aur sell-side interest dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin, recent sessions mein dekha gaya upward momentum yeh darshata hai ke buyers ke paas is resistance ko challenge karne ki taqat ho sakti hai. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh aage ke gains ka rasta khol sakta hai, shayad 0.68500 ke upar higher liquidity levels ko target karte hue. Neeche ki taraf, 0.67000 ke aas-paas ek key support zone established hai, jahan kai liquidity sweeps hue hain. In liquidity sweeps ki maujoodgi yeh darshati hai ke buyers is level ko defend kar rahe hain, jo potential pullbacks ke khilaf cushion provide karta hai. Agar price is zone ki taraf retrace hoti hai, to yeh dobara buying interest ka samna kar sakti hai, jo isse ek significant support lev

AUDUSD currency pair ab bhi bullish trend par aage barhne ki salahiyat rakhta hai. Agar hum H4 time frame par price action ka jaiza lein, to bullish trend structure phir se banana shuru ho gaya hai jab market ne August ke aakhri din trading session mein qadam rakha. Pichle kuch dinon se bullish movement jo chal rahi hai, wo aalaaqat se upward trend rally hai. Agar hum pichle mahine ke akhir mein sellers ki nakami ko dekhein, jo 0.6650 ke niche nahi ja sake, to is wajah se dusre buyers ko BUY trading positions lene mein zyada confidence mila hai. Is waqt candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, jo yeh darust karti hai ke market ab bhi buyers ke asar mein hai. Price niche girne ke bawajood yellow SMA 60 indicator ko break nahi kar paya, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke AUDUSD currency pair ke bullish trend ki taraf wapas aane ki salahiyat hai. Market ki umeed hai ke wo upar ki taraf barhne ki koshish karega. Meri agle andazay ke mutabiq, market ab bhi aage barhne ki taraf hai. Halanki, market is waqt halki downward correction phase mein hai, lekin bullish movement ka mauqa ab bhi zyada range tak jaane ki umeed hai. Mera andaza hai ke aaj raat tak price mein izafa hoga, lekin range itni wide nahi hogi kyunki is hafte ke darmiyan trend shayad correction phase ke baad apne raahein dobara


pakrayega. Agar price 0.6800 ke upar barh jata hai to yeh is currency pair ke liye bullish safar jaari rakhne ka mazboot signal hoga. Is liye buyers ka dominion ab bhi price ko upar push karne ki taqat rakhta hai. Trading ka option ab bhi BUY transactions ki taraf hai. Natija: AUDUSD currency pair ke market halat ko agar technically dekha jaye to yeh ab bhi bullish hai, isliye is hafte ke trading session mein price ke izafe ki sambhavnayein ab bhi khuli hain. Lekin buyers ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke thoda sabr karein aur 0.6825 level tak rukne ka intezar karein pehle BUY position kholne se pehle. Target price level bullish ko 0.6875 tak pahunchne ki koshish karni chahiye, aur Stop Loss limit ko 0.6790 par rakhna chahiye. Agar agle trade mei

AUD/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein kaafi aham price action dikhaya hai, jisme kuch critical resistance aur support levels shamil hain jo traders ko closely dekhna chahiye. Is waqt pehli important resistance level 0.6914 par hai. Agar price is level ko break karta hai to yeh bullish momentum ka signal hoga, jo price ko agle resistance level 0.6943 tak le ja sakta hai. Is tarah ki upward movement AUD/USD pair ke liye nayi growth ki leher bana sakti hai, jo ke positive trend ko aur zyada reinforce karegi.

Traders ko aksar bullish momentum ka confirmation lene ke liye indicators jese ke volume surges, technical patterns, ya phir economic data releases dekhna hota hai. Agar price 0.6914 ke level ko successfully break karta hai aur upar sustain karta hai, to traders apni positions barha sakte hain, aur mazeed upward movement ki umeed rakhte hain. Is se zyada market participants attract ho sakte hain, jo ke bullish trend ko aur strong karega aur price ko aur upar push karega.

Doosri taraf, agar AUD/USD ka price momentum barqarar nahi rakh pata aur reverse hota hai, to traders ko pehli support level 0.6896 ka retest dekhna chahiye. Agar yeh level hold nahi karta, to yeh bullish sentiment ki kamzori ki nishani hogi, aur price mazeed neeche ja sakti hai. Agar price 0.6896 ke neeche break karta hai, to focus doosri support level 0.6857 par shift ho jayega. Agar yeh level bhi break hota hai, to selling pressure barh sakta hai, jo ke ek zyada pronounced bearish trend ko janam dega.

Maujooda market environment mein Australia aur United States ke economic indicators kaafi aham role play karte hain. Australia ke mazboot economic data, jese employment figures ya GDP growth, Australian dollar ko support de sakte hain, jabke U.S. se kamzor data AUD/USD pair ke liye zyada favorable outlook bana sakta hai.

Geopolitical events aur central bank policies bhi currency movements par significant asar dalte hain. Reserve Bank of Australia ka stance interest rates, inflation, aur economic growth par Australian dollar ki value ko asar andaz karta hai. Usi tarah, U.S. Federal Reserve ki policies aur uska outlook inflation aur interest rates par USD ke liye pivotal hai. In factors mein tabdeeliyan AUD/USD pair mein zyada volatility la sakti hain.

Short term mein, AUD/USD price mein intraday gains limited ho sakte hain, jo consolidation phase ko reflect karte hain. Traders ko technical analysis ka istimaal karte hue trend reversals ya bullish aur bearish sentiment ka confirmation dekhna chahiye.

### AUDUSD Market Analysis

Tuesday (May 21) ko Asian market mein, AUDUSD mein thora izafa dekhne ko mila jab Westpac Consumer Confidence Index release hui. Yeh index May mein month-on-month 0.3% gir gaya, jab ke April mein 2.4% decline hua tha, jo ke lagataar teesri martaba decline thi, lekin yeh series ka sabse modest pace tha. Magar, jab U.S. dollar index rebound hua, toh Australian dollar ne downward turn liya aur chaar din ka low 0.6646 ko hit kiya.

Australian dollar ko support mil sakta hai jab ke Asian mulk ne property markets ko support karne ke liye ek broad package announce kiya hai, jisme mortgage rules ko ease karna aur local governments ko unsold homes khareedne ke liye urge karna shamil hai. Yeh sentiment ko Australian markets mein boost de sakta hai kyun ke dono mulk close trading partners hain.

U.S. ke top economic data ki absence ke bawajood dollar stable trade ho raha tha. Rising U.S. Treasury yields ne dollar ko support provide kiya. Federal Reserve inflation aur is saal ke interest rate cuts ke mamle mein cautious rehta hai.

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke May meeting ke minutes Tuesday ko release hue jo central bank ke interest rates ko raise karne ke consideration ko dikhate hain. Overall rhetoric hawkish hai aur Australian dollar ko support provide karta hai.

RBA ne meeting ke minutes mein kaha ke woh interest rates ko raise karne ka soch rahe the inflation risks ki wajah se, lekin aakhir mein hold par rehne ka faisla kiya, partly policy ke excessive fine-tuning ko avoid karne ke liye. RBA yeh maanti hai ke agar inflation forecasts zyada optimistic hain, toh rates ko raise karna zaroori ho sakta hai.

### Technical Analysis

Tuesday ko Australian dollar 0.6660 ke around trade ho raha tha. Australian aur US daily charts ek ascending triangle pattern dikhate hain. Furthermore, 14-day RSI bullish sentiment dikhata hai aur 50 mark ke upar hai.



AUD upar ki limit ko test kar sakta hai ascending triangle ki, jo four-month highs ke paas 0.6714 hai. Agar yeh level cross ho jaye, toh pair important hurdles near 0.6750 ko explore kar sakta hai.

Downside par, potential support nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) 0.6651 par hai, jo key level 0.6650 ke sath hai. Agar yeh support break ho jata hai, toh AUD lower border of ascending triangle ke around 0.6610 aur psychological level 0.6600 tak push ho sakta hai.

AUD/USD mein haal hi mein notable decline dekha gaya hai, lekin raat se kuch recovery bhi hui hai. Halaanki yeh recovery mukammal nahi hui, magar upward momentum ke wazeh asraat nazar aa rahe hain, jo mazeed gains ka ishara de rahe hain. Ek bara challenge yeh hai ke price abhi bhi moving average (MA) ke neeche hai, jo resistance ka kaam kar raha hai. Bulls ke liye zaroori hai ke woh price ko kal ke lows tak wapas girne se rokhen, kyun ke yeh levels bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain, khaaskar jab ke crucial support points ka formation ho raha hai. Filhaal, price in lows ke kaafi upar barqarar hai, aur agar yeh position shaam ke session tak barqarar rehti hai, to upward trend ka silsila jari rehne ki umeed hai.

Mazid targets mein se 0.6921 bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai, aur aaj raat tak yeh level touch hone ke chances hain. Oscillator bhi is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke pair filhaal mazeed growth ke liye tayar nahi hai, jo ek consolidation phase ki nishani ho sakti hai. Main anticipate karta hoon ke downward movement ho sakti hai, halaanki yeh recent gains ke baad foran na bhi ho.

**Daily chart** par Australian dollar ka pattern doosri significant pairs jese ke EUR/USD aur GBP/USD se mukhtalif hai. Jab ke yeh pairs apni paanch waves complete karke correction phase mein daakhil ho chuke hain, AUD/USD ne sirf teen waves form ki hain, aur correction abhi bhi kamzor hai. Magar, pehli dafa lambe growth period ke baad ek confirmed upper daily fractal 0.6846 par form ho raha hai, jo is upward structure mein teesri wave ke khatam hone ka ishara de raha hai. Mein qareebi future mein ek minor correction ki tawaqo karta hoon, jisme price ascending channel ke lower boundary ko test karegi. Is test ka natija pair ke short-term outlook aur wave formation ke hawalay se insights dega, halaanki overall picture abhi kuch clear nahi hai.

AUD/USD filhaal 0.6937/99 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, aur H1 chart par short-term pullback ke asraat dikhayi de rahe hain. Agar pair psychological level ke neeche break karti hai, to yeh mazeed neeche jaa kar agle support level 0.6816 k i taraf jaa sakta hai.

AUD/USD:

Kal, local support level 0.66488 ko upar se neeche test karne ke baad price ne bounce kiya aur ek indecision candle form hui jisme halki bearish bias thi. Filhal, mujhe is instrument par kuch khaas interesting nahi lag raha aur mujhe lagta hai ke aaj sellers phir se designated support level ya support level 0.66347 ko retest karne ki koshish karenge. Jaise maine pehle bhi mention kiya tha, is support level ke nazdeek do scenarios ho sakte hain.

Pehla scenario yeh hai ke reversal candle form ho aur price phir se upar ki taraf move kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main price ke 0.67289 resistance level ki taraf move hone ka wait karunga. Agar price is resistance level ke upar close hoti hai, to main aage further northward movement expect karunga, jo 0.68711 resistance level tak ho sakti hai. Is resistance level ke nazdeek, main ek trading setup form hone ka wait karunga jo next trading direction determine karne mein madad karega.

Mujhe lagta hai ke specified northern target ki taraf move karte hue southern pullbacks ho sakte hain, jinko main nearby support levels se bullish signals dhundhne ke liye use karunga, expecting ke price apne upward movement ko resume karegi ek bullish trend formation ke andar.

Dusra scenario yeh hai ke jab price support level 0.66347 ko test kare to price is level ke neeche consolidate ho jaye aur south ki taraf continue kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price support level 0.65794 ya support level 0.65580 ki taraf continue kare. In support levels ke nazdeek, main bullish signals search karunga, expecting ke price apne upward movement ko resume karegi.

Mujhe lagta hai ke door ke southern targets bhi ho sakte hain, lekin main unhe filhal consider nahi kar raha kyunki mujhe unke quick realization ke prospects nahi dikh rahe. Short mein, aaj ke liye mujhe kuch khaas interesting nahi lag raha locally. Overall, main global northward movement ke resumption ki taraf oriented hoon, isliye main nearby support levels se bullish signals search kar raha hoon.

**AUD/USD Ka Tajziya**

**Market Ka Iftitah Aur Sellers Ka Yaqeen**

- AUD/USD pair ne aaj ek significant farq ke sath market kholi, jo Asian session ke dauran fill ho gaya, aur sellers pur yaqeen ke sath price ko upper levels ki taraf dhakel rahe hain.
- Lekin, ek possibility hai ke price sideways pattern ke upper boundary ki taraf dobara retest kare.
- Resistance levels jo dekhnay ke qabil hain woh 0.66986 ya 0.67141 hain analysis ke mutabiq.

**Mumkinah Scenarios**

- Agar resistance level par ek reversal candle banti hai, to price downward movement shuru kar sakti hai.
- Agar yeh plan kaamyaab hota hai, to support levels jo target honge woh 0.65761 ya 0.65580 ho sakte hain.

**AUD/USD Par Asar Daalnay Walay Factors**

- Australia ki inflation abhi tak RBA ke 2% target se zyada hai, is wajah se policy rate ko is saal 4.35% par rakha gaya hai.
- AUD/USD pair ko 0.6650 par temporary support mila tha lekin rising USD ke pressure ka samna karna pada.

**USD Ki Taqat Aur Cautious Jazba**

- USD ki taqat market expectations se aayi ke Federal Reserve apni current interest rate policy ko mazeed arsay ke liye barqarar rakhegi.
- Kamzor economic data, jaise ke global flash PMI numbers ke mutabiq expectations se neeche, ne USD ke hawale se ehtiyaati jazba paida kiya.
- Aane wale US PMI numbers ke mumkinah kami ke expectations bhi market ko asar kar sakti hain.

**Central Bank Actions Aur RBA Ka Manzar Nama**

- Hal hi mein BOC, ECB, aur SNB ke rate cuts ne market mein uncertainty ko barhaya hai.
- Lekin, RBA se qareebi waqt mein kisi bhi action ki umeed nahi hai.

Filhaal, meri buying aur selling ki strategy complex signals par mabni hai jo main Hicken Ashi, TMA aur RSI candlesticks se hasil karta hoon. Yeh signals mujhe yeh batate hain ke koi Forex pair ya instrument khareedne ke liye bohat high ho chuka hai. Jaise jaise waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zone tak barh sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish support toot gaya, aur pair 0.6699–0.6669 zone ke neeche consolidate kart

Wave structure is waqt aik ascending order mein banayi gayi hai, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai. Lekin, abhi purchases relevant nahi hain; kareebi future mein aik reversal aur decline expected hai. Is baat ka ishara MACD indicator par bearish divergence aur chart par ek reversal figure ke mojoodgi se milta hai, jo ke aik ascending wedge hai jo pehle hi breakdown ho chuki hai.
Pichle hafte ke akhir mein pehle se aik decline ka attempt hua tha, jo sirf 0.6900 ke horizontal support level tak pohanch saka. Yeh level bhi aik integer hai, jo iski ahmiyat ko aur barhata hai. Signals ko sell karne ki confirmation tab hogi jab price confidently 0.6900 ke neeche fix ho jaye. Sabse behtareen selling point yeh level tha jab usay neeche se resistance ke tor par test kiya gaya; abhi tak price zyada door nahi gayi, is liye abhi bhi sell karne ka waqt hai. Aur mere khayal mein, market mein kareebi future mein US dollar mazid strong hoga.

Is baat ka ishara doosri pairs, allies aur opponents ke hawalay se milta hai, aur dollar index par bhi daily chart mein MACD indicator par bullish divergence hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke kal ke chaar ghanton ke candlestick, jis par level test kiya gaya tha, neeche ki taraf gir gayi aur aik hammer ya pin bar banaya, jo ke decline ki nishani hai. Tab se mein decline ka intezar kar raha tha, lekin yeh waqayi mein ab tak nahi hua tha, magar raat mein dabao dalna shuru kiya gaya aur price kaafi achi tarah se neeche aayi.

Mera khayal hai ke kareebi future mein price par mazeed dabao dalein ge, aur target level 0.6815 aur ascending daily line ho sakta hai. Padosi pair NZD/USD pehle hi achi tarah se gir chuka hai, lekin yeh pair thoda peeche hai. Mera khayal hai ke yeh sirf aik temporary delay hai, aur jaldi yeh pair catch up kar le ga. Aik aur factor jo decline ko support karta hai, woh daily chart par CCI indicator ka upper overheating zone se neeche aana hai, aur is par bhi bearish divergence mojood hai.

Aaj ki sabse ahm khabren hain:
- 15:30 par initial applications for unemployment benefits ki report US mein.
- 16:45 par business activity index (PMI) report US services sector mein.
- 17:00 par ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (NMI).
Wave structure is waqt aik ascending order mein banayi gayi hai, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai. Lekin, abhi purchases relevant nahi hain; kareebi future mein aik reversal aur decline expected hai. Is baat ka ishara MACD indicator par bearish divergence aur chart par ek reversal figure ke mojoodgi se milta hai, jo ke aik ascending wedge hai jo pehle hi breakdown ho chuki hai.

Hum is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Kal AUD/USD ka rate 0.6867 tak gir gaya tha, jisme M15 aur H1 time frames break ho gaye thay, lekin phir yeh 0.6917 tak recover ho gaya aur M15 ka trend bullish ho gaya. Lekin yeh resistance ka samna karte hue phir se gir gaya, jab ke H1 time frame abhi tak bearish hai. Yeh bearish trend jari reh sakta hai, jisme M15 wapas bearish zone mein chala jayega aur price ko 0.6826 tak gira sakta hai. Is level par pair ko support milne ki umeed hai jisme phir se growth aasakti hai, lekin agar yeh level hold nahi kar paya to price aur gir ke bullish H4 zone 0.6791-0.6761 tak ja sakta hai, jahan se H4 aur daily bullish trends ke mutabiq rebound hone ki umeed hai. Agar M15 trend ko dobara bullish hona hai, to pair ko aaj ke high 0.6917 ko break karna hoga, jisme yeh bearish H1 range 0.6917-0.6931 ko challenge karega, phir se pull back hone se pehle. Agar H1 bearish trend ko theek se break kiya gaya to high 0.6944 tak ja sakta hai. AUD/USD pair is waqt ek narrow range mein trade kar rahi hai, jisme hal hi mein yeh hourly chart par 200-period moving average se bounce hui hai, jo buyers ke liye ek positive sign hai. Agar upward movement jari rehti hai, to yeh naye highs tak ja sakti hai. Jab ke price kai dafa reversal ke baad roll back ho chuki hai, lekin abhi tak moving average ko retest nahi kiya, jisse ek aur test hone ka imkaan hai. Is wajah se main abhi koi trade recommend karne mein hichkichahat mehsoos karta hoon. Agar 200-period moving average break hoti hai, to targets four-hour chart par usi level par shift ho sakte hain. Weekly chart par price moving average ke qareeb hai, jo ke is ka peak se thoda neeche hai, aur yeh buyers ke liye ek target ban sakta hai. AUD/USD pair hourly chart par ek uptrend dikhata hai, jisme price 133-period moving average se ooper trade kar rahi hai, jo ke bullish direction ko confirm karta hai. Tajiron ko aane walay reversals ke liye bhi tayar rehna chahiye. Agar market kisi unexpected economic news ya geopolitical developments par react karta hai, to AUD/USD mein ek tezi se upward movement aa sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US Federal Reserve se dovish signals milte hain ya Australia ki economic data expectations se zyada strong hoti hai, to yeh pair ko ooper push kar sakta hai, jisse key resistance levels 0.6950 ya 0.7000 tak challenge ho sakte hain. Is waqt AUD/USD pair 0.6907 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai aur overall trend bearish momentum dikha raha hai. Market dheere dheere neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai, jo ke is baat ki nishani hai ke Australian dollar US dollar ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai. Is slow movement ke bawajood, kuch aise potential signals hain jo yeh dikhate hain ke aane wale dinon mein ek significant shift aa sakta hai, aur yeh pair ek bara movement dekh sakti hai.