aud/usd

AUD/USD
decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.
BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.
Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.
Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.
US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME’s FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.
Canadian Dollar Analysis in Roman Urdu
Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) ka rate decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.
BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.
Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.

AUD/USD، چارٹ

ہم AUD/USD کرنسی جوڑی کی لائیو قیمتوں کا تجزیہ کر رہے ہیں۔ H-4 چارٹ پر، 0.6364 کی کم ترین سطح سے، آسٹریلوی ڈالر کی بنیادی رفتار اوپر کی جانب رہی ہے، جس میں AUD/USD کو 0.6589 کی سپورٹ لائن سے نیچے لے جانے کی بیئرز کی بار بار کی کوششیں ناکام ثابت ہوئی ہیں۔ جمعہ کے ٹریڈنگ کے اختتام کے بعد، اس جوڑی کے لیے قریب ترین اہم سپورٹ 0.6653 پر ہے۔ اگر بیل پیر کو اس سطح سے اوپر رہتے ہیں اور 0.6681 پر مزاحمت کو توڑ دیتے ہیں، تو وہ پہلا امپلس زون 0.6728 تک اوپر کی طرف جاری رہ سکتے ہیں، جہاں سے کمی کی نئی کوششیں کی جا سکتی ہیں۔ تاہم، اگر 0.6653 کی سپورٹ غالب آتی ہے اور بیئرز اپنی پوزیشن مضبوط کرتے ہیں، تو قیمت 0.6610 اور 0.6589 کی سپورٹ تک گر سکتی ہے۔ فی الحال، اس منظر نامے کے امکانات کم ہیں۔ بہت کچھ ویک اینڈ کی خبروں کے پس منظر پر منحصر ہوگا۔ جبکہ یورو ڈالر فرانس میں پہلے مرحلے کے انتخابات پر ردعمل ظاہر کر سکتا ہے، لیکن یہ آسٹریلوی ڈالر کے لیے اہم محرک ہونے کا امکان نہیں ہے، اور تجارت کے دوران خصوصی حالات پیدا ہوسکتے ہیں۔

ٹرمینل پر پیش کردہ سینیئر مدتوں میں ایک مضبوط بیئرش ٹرینڈ موجود ہے۔ اس کے نیچے، روزانہ چارٹ میں دھندلے کناروں کے ساتھ ایک سائڈ ویز حرکت دکھائی دیتی ہے، جو H4 چارٹ سے ملتی جلتی ہے لیکن چھوٹی رینج کے اندر۔ کل، یہ واضح تھا کہ AUD/USD جوڑی نے اپنی حرکت کی وسعت میں اضافہ کیا، بیان کردہ حدود سے آگے بڑھ کر، اور اپنی بالائی حد میں مستطیل تشکیل کے اندر ٹریڈنگ کو بند کیا۔ جبکہ یہ کچھ بھی ضمانت نہیں دیتا، قیمت کے ساتھ چلنے والی موونگ ایوریج خریداروں کے لیے امید کی کرن فراہم کرتی ہے، جو تھوڑا سا بلش ٹرینڈ دکھاتی ہے۔ میں اس کا بھی مشاہدہ کروں گا جب قیمت نیچے کی جانب بڑھتی ہے۔ AUD/USD جوڑی کی سمت کا انحصار اہم سطحوں اور مارکیٹ کی حالتوں پر ہوگا۔ مارکیٹ کے بدلتے ہوئے حالات میں خود کو ایڈجسٹ کرنے کے لیے اوپر کی طرف اور نیچے کی طرف ہونے والی حرکات کے لیے تیار رہنا آپ کے لیے مفید ہوگا۔

AUD/USD ka pair Tuesday ko bhi kaafi strong bearish trend mein trade karta raha, jahan sellers ka dominance dekhne ko mila jo kayi dafa buyers ke pressure ke bawajood resistance area 0.6677-0.6675 ko maintain karne mein kaamyaab rahe. Buyers ne kai dafa koshish ki magar phir bhi price ko upar le jaane mein nakam rahe. Aakhir mein, sellers ne price ko niche le aaya, lekin yeh movement zyada wide nahi thi. Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal karte hue yeh dekha gaya ke price ab tak sellers ke control mein hai jo ne Middle Bollinger Bands ke neeche candle ya price ko rakha hai. Yeh bearish candlesticks is baat ki nishani hain ke AUD/USD pair ka market ab tak ek mazboot bearish trend mein hai. Aaj ke trading session mein bhi selling pressure ka imkaan hai, aur agla bearish target Lower Bollinger Bands area mein 0.6618-0.6616 ke beech ho sakta hai.
Wednesday ko European market session ke dauran, price ab tak limited range mein move kar raha hai, magar yeh dekha gaya ke buyers ne price ko 0.6650-0.6648 ke support area ke upar banaye rakha, jis se price ke bullish move hone ka imkaan hai. Target 0.6675-0.6677 ke resistance area tak ja sakta hai. Agar yeh area break ho gaya, toh AUD/USD ka pair aur bhi upar ja sakta hai aur agla target 0.6690-0.6693 ke resistance area tak ho ga. Sell entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar sellers 0.6650-0.6648 ke buyer support area ko successfully break kar lein, aur TP target 0.6620-0.6618 par ho sakta hai.
Buy entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar buyers 0.6675-0.6677 ke resistance area ko break kar lein, jahan TP target 0.6690-0.6693 par ho ga. Mera prediction hai ke koi bullish movement tab tak nahi hogi jab tak MA (Moving Average) area break nahi hota. Lekin agar MA area ke rejection ka response ya koi significant bearish move MA ke neeche dekha gaya, toh yeh sell karne ka acha moment ho sakta hai. Bearish target horizontal line support level 1.6623 ya agar aur zyada strong bearish pressure dekha gaya, toh lower support level tak ja sakta hai.

**AUD/USD H-4**

**Chart Analysis:**

Chart ko dekhte hue, selected asset ek clear **bullish mode** mein hai, jo Heiken Ashi **candlestick indicator** ka use karke identify kiya ja sakta hai. Heiken Ashi ek price chart hai, jo traditional Japanese candlestick ke mukablay mein smoothed aur averaged value dikhata hai. Heiken Ashi ka istemal technical analysis ko simplify karta hai aur trading decisions ki accuracy ko behtar banata hai. **TMA (Triangular Moving Average)** linear channel indicator bhi trading mein madadgar hai, jo current support aur resistance lines ko moving averages ke zariye dikhata hai aur currency pair ki movement ke range ko show karta hai. Signal filtering aur deal decide karne ke liye **RSI oscillator** ka use kiya jata hai, jo asset ke overbought aur oversold zones ko dikhata hai.

**Current Situation:**

Chart par ab jo situation nazar aa rahi hai, usme Heiken Ashi **candlesticks** blue hain, jo price movement ke northern direction ko show karte hain. Market prices lower limit of the linear channel (red dotted line) ko cross kar gayi thi, magar minimum point tak pohanchne ke baad wapas middle line of the channel (yellow dotted line) ki taraf bounce ho gayi hai. **RSI (14)** indicator bhi buy signal confirm kar raha hai, kyun ke iska curve upward hai aur overbought level ke upar hai.

**Trading Strategy:**

Is analysis ke mad-e-nazar, sirf buying relevant hai. Hum wait karte hain ke price channel ke upper limit (blue dotted line) tak pohanchay, jo 0.68050 ke price mark par hai. Yeh long run ke liye aik achi buying opportunity hai.

AUD/USD ke liye outlook
Assalam Alaikum!
Sab se pahle, mai majmui rujhan ko samajhne ke liye yaumiyah chart check karunga. Jahan tak mai dekh sakta hun, AUD/USD joda niche ki taraf badh raha hai. Qimat ya to maujudah satah se girna jari rakh sakti hai ya pahle pullback se guzar sakti hai. Mai dusre option ko tarjih deta hun. Mai 0.6689 aur 0.6714 ke darmiyan qimat ke farq par tawajjoh markuz kar raha hun, jise 0.6710 ki support satah se mazbuti hasil hai. Mere liye, yah ilaqah farokht ki positions kholne ke liye behtarin jagah ki tarah lagta hai. Mai stop-loss ko is ilaqe se ooper 0.6720 par rakhunga, aur take-profit liquid swing ki kamtarin satah 0.6562 par hoga, aur darmiyani hadaf kal ki yaumiyah candle ki kamtarin satah par hoga. Aaj ki islahi taraqqi zyada qabile aitemad nazar aati hai. Candles yah bhi batati hai keh kal ki candles liquidity kho rahi hai, iska jisam pichli candle se niche rahne me nakam raha. Aisa lagta hai keh har chiz pullback ki taraf ishara karti hai.

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda price performance ka analysis kar rahe hain. Is waqt USD/JPY currency pair par bearish trend ka khasa asar hai. Mere zehan mein do mumkin scenarios hain.
Pehla scenario yeh hai ke bears apni downward trajectory jari rakhte hain bina kisi notable correction ke. Is surat mein price support zone 130.39 aur 127.69 ke darmiyan gir sakti hai. Dusra scenario yeh suggest karta hai ke 144.99 ke aas paas se ek substantial correction ho sakta hai, jo price ko 151.83 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh mein sell position lene ka sochunga; warna mein sirf dekh kar rahe jaunga aur koi action nahi loonga.

Primary indicators downward movement ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, jahan price MA 72 trend line ke neechay hai, jo aam tor par volume reduction ka signal hota hai. Main ehtiyat se kaam le raha hoon aur mujhe bilkul smooth movement ki umeed nahi hai. Price recent low 141.694 se neechay bhi gir sakti hai ya phir upar ki taraf bhi ja sakti hai.

Conversely, agar price 144.04 se neechay girti hai, toh yeh 143.89 ya 142.59 tak bhi ja sakti hai. USD/JPY monthly Pivot level 153.84 (jo ke pehle 158.88 tha), weekly Pivot level 145.47 (pehle 147.64 tha), aur daily Pivot level 145.87 ke neechay trade kar raha hai, jo ke pair ke liye bearish sentiment ko show karta hai. Agar price 144.04 ke upar jata hai, toh northern correction ho sakta hai; lekin agar 144.04 se neechay girta hai, toh bearish movement likely hai.

Sell-off hone ka imkaan kam hai, lekin yeh bhi mushkil lagta hai ke market resistance level ke qareeb choti fluctuations continue kare, jo ke descending trend line se peak 161.758 tak hai. Is mein ho sakta hai ke kuch mazeed patterns form karein.





4oHum USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda price performance ka analysis kar rahe hain. Is waqt USD/JPY currency pair par bearish trend ka khasa asar hai. Mere zehan mein do mumkin scenarios hain.
Pehla scenario yeh hai ke bears apni downward trajectory jari rakhte hain bina kisi notable correction ke. Is surat mein price support zone 130.39 aur 127.69 ke darmiyan gir sakti hai. Dusra scenario yeh suggest karta hai ke 144.99 ke aas paas se ek substantial correction ho sakta hai, jo price ko 151.83 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh mein sell position lene ka sochunga; warna mein sirf dekh kar rahe jaunga aur koi action nahi loonga.

Primary indicators downward movement ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, jahan price MA 72 trend line ke neechay hai, jo aam tor par volume reduction ka signal hota hai. Main ehtiyat se kaam le raha hoon aur mujhe bilkul smooth movement ki umeed nahi hai. Price recent low 141.694 se neechay bhi gir sakti hai ya phir upar ki taraf bhi ja sakti hai.

Conversely, agar price 144.04 se neechay girti hai, toh yeh 143.89 ya 142.59 tak bhi ja sakti hai. USD/JPY monthly Pivot level 153.84 (jo ke pehle 158.88 tha), weekly Pivot level 145.47 (pehle 147.64 tha), aur daily Pivot level 145.87 ke neechay trade kar raha hai, jo ke pair ke liye bearish sentiment ko show karta hai. Agar price 144.04 ke upar jata hai, toh northern correction ho sakta hai; lekin agar 144.04 se neechay girta hai, toh bearish movement likely hai.

Sell-off hone ka imkaan kam hai, lekin yeh bhi mushkil lagta hai ke market resistance level ke qareeb choti fluctuations continue kare, jo ke descending trend line se peak 161.758 tak hai. Is mein ho sakta hai ke kuch mazeed patterns form karein.

### AUD/USD Currency Pair Analysis

#### Short-Term Downward Trend

AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya filhal charcha mein hai. Mangal ko, AUD/USD ne apne short-term downward trend ko continue kiya, jo ke 20 August ko 0.6831 ke high se pullback ke baad shuru hua tha. Aaj currency pairs ko dekhne par yeh saaf hai ke Friday ka trend continue kar raha hai, jahan US dollar ko actively kharida ja raha hai. Yeh bullish activity shayad kuch short positions ke closure ka sabab ban rahi hai, jo ke AUD/USD pair mein bhi ek similar sentiment ko reflect karti hai.

#### Technical Analysis Aur Bearish Momentum

Technical analysis ke mutabiq ongoing bearish momentum ko support mil raha hai, jo ke head and shoulders pattern mein neckline support 0.6681 ke breach se zahir hota hai. Agar price 0.664 ke niche girti hai, to agla critical level Buyer Zone 0.660 hoga. Is support ka breach hone par price ka phir se lower support 0.648 ko test karne ka imkaan hai. Jab tak aisa breakdown nahi hota, tab tak instrument bullish channel mein wapas enter kar sakta hai. Trend reversal tab ho sakta hai jab bulls intermediate high 0.672 ko surpass karein, jo ke moving averages ke mutabiq long positions ke liye buy signal ho sakta hai.

#### Fibonacci Retracement Aur Price Behavior

Aaj AUD/USD ne four-hour Fibonacci retracement ke 38.3% support level ko test kiya. Price ne is level ko penetrate nahi kiya, jo ke intense downward pressure ki kami ko darshata hai. Yeh behavior is baat ka ishara hai ke initial corrective wave shayad khatam hone wali hai, jo ke pullback ke doran potential upward movement ke liye raasta khol sakti hai. AUD/USD ke liye anticipated rise lagbhag 14.7% hai, jo ke next Fibonacci level 38.3% tak pohanchne ke liye hai. Is achievement se ek internal pattern banne ki sambhavana hai, jahan aage barhne par projected level tak growth se 61.9% retracement level ki taraf continuation pattern establish ho sakta hai.

#### Long Positions Ke Liye Entry Strategy

Jab ke growth wave ko trade karna ek option ho sakta hai, lekin yeh zyada prudent hoga agar pullback ka intezar kiya jaye taake long positions mein safe entry mil sake. Filhal AUD/USD ka price ek sustained downward trajectory ko indicate kar raha hai. Currency ab local support level 0.664 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hai.

Is tajziye se yeh samajh aata hai ke jab tak specific support levels aur patterns ko breach nahi kiya jata, trend ka direction aur potential growth clear nahi hota. Traders ko pullback ka intezar karna chahiye taake long positions ke liye safe aur strategic entry mil sake.

Daily time frame par, price phir se barh gai thi jab ke pehle se hi yeh upar jaane ka rasta khol chuki thi. Magar price abhi bhi roki gayi aur daily resistance area mein reject hui, jo ke 0.6813x ke price range mein hai. Uske baad, price ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki aur kaafi low level tak pohonch gayi. Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behthree approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain. Agar price minor resistance area 0.6787x ko break karti hai, toh hum buy kar sakte hain daily resistance area 0.6812x par sabse qareebi target ke liye. Magar resistance target 0.6863x ke price par bhi dekhnay wala hai. Dusri taraf, agar price girti hai aur minor support area 0.6778x ko break karti hai, toh hum sell kar sakte hain daily support area 0.6763x ke qareebi target aur support 0.6712x ke aglay target ke liye

**AUD/USD Market Analysis:**

Hamari tajziya AUD/USD currency pair ke current pricing behavior par focus karta hai. Mere khayal se, is pair ka decline continue hone ka imkaan hai, lekin yeh clear nahi hai ke kya yeh 0.6644 ke qareeb reverse hoga ya phir support level 0.6478 tak phir se girega. Main kisi bhi faisle mein jaldi nahi kar raha; weekend ke guzarnay ka intezar karunga taake price behavior ko dekh sakoon. Mere paas kai strategies hain, lekin sirf ek hi viable sabit hogi. Main anticipate kar raha hoon ke exchange rate aane wale dino mein decline karega. Weekly AUD/USD chart ko analyze karna chhote time frames ke liye context provide kar sakta hai. Pichle haftay ke dauran, bearish signals converge hue hain, jisme "Bearish Engulfing" pattern aur "Evening Star" pattern shamil hain, jo is currency pair ke continued decline ka indication deti hain.

Nateejay mein, lagta hai ke agla haftah pair ke sideways movement ka hoga. Buying shayad resistance level 0.6709 ko test kare, jabke selling support level 0.6629 ke qareeb aa sakti hai. Isliye, sideways movement ka imkaan hai, jo agle haftay ke trading plan ka buniyad banata hai. Pichle haftay, selling pressure dominant raha. Weekly chart mein do consecutive hafton se bearish movement dekhne ko mili hai. Agle haftay ke liye key question yeh hai ke kya yeh downward trend continue karega ya koi aur scenario develop hoga. Clear picture ke liye, chalo is haftay ke technical analysis aur recommendations dekhte hain. Moving averages sell ka indication deti hain, technical indicators strong buy suggest karte hain, jabke overall outlook neutral hai. Yeh mix sideways movement ka hint deti hai pair ke agle haftay ke liye. Iske ilawa, United States se important news hai, jiska forecast neutral hai. Wednesday ko 15:29 par significant U.S. reports release hongi, lekin projections neutral hain. Australia bhi kuch crucial news release karega, jisme construction permits ka positive outlook hai is haftay.

Weekly chart par nazar daal kar, hum dekhte hain ke pichle do hafton se bearish trend dominate kar raha hai. Yeh downward movement is baat ka indication hai ke is currency pair ki value aage bhi gir sakti hai. Moving averages aur technical indicators ke mixed signals humein sideways movement ki taraf ishara dete hain. Technical indicators strong buy ka signal dete hain, lekin moving averages ke sell indications ke sath yeh overall neutral outlook bana rahega.

U.S. se aane wale news reports aur Australia ke construction permits ka positive outlook is market analysis ko aur bhi interesting bana deta hai. U.S. reports ke neutral forecast ke bawajood, market ki response ka tajziya karke, traders ko agle haftay ke liye apni strategies adjust karni hongi. Jab moving averages aur technical indicators ke signals conflicting hote hain, to traders ko cautious approach rakhni chahiye aur market ki volatility ka dhyan rakhna chahiye.

Agar hum chhote time frames ki baat karein, to bearish signals ke convergence ke bawajood, market ka short-term movement sideways bhi ho sakta hai. Isliye, trading plan mein buying aur selling dono ke opportunities ko consider karna zaroori hai. Sideways movement ke scenarios ko bhi analyze karna chahiye taake market ki fluctuations ko handle kiya ja sake.

Agle haftay, traders ko chahiye ke wo apne trading decisions ko carefully plan karen aur market ki changing dynamics ke sath adjust karen. Moving averages aur technical indicators ka mix, jo sideways movement ka indication deta hai, traders ko market ke potential changes ke liye tayyar rehne ko kehta hai.

Summarize karte hue, AUD/USD market ke liye next week ke prospects ko samajhne ke liye, traders ko har perspective ko consider karna hoga. Sideways movement ke scenarios ko plan karte hue, market ke broader trends ko dekhna aur upcoming news reports ka tajziya karna zaroori hai. Yeh analysis traders ko madad karega ke wo apne trading decisions ko informed aur strategic banayein, taki market ki volatility aur changes ka effectively samna kiya ja sake.

AUD/USD ka pair Tuesday ko bhi kaafi strong bearish trend mein trade karta raha, jahan sellers ka dominance dekhne ko mila jo kayi dafa buyers ke pressure ke bawajood resistance area 0.6677-0.6675 ko maintain karne mein kaamyaab rahe. Buyers ne kai dafa koshish ki magar phir bhi price ko upar le jaane mein nakam rahe. Aakhir mein, sellers ne price ko niche le aaya, lekin yeh movement zyada wide nahi thi. Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal karte hue yeh dekha gaya ke price ab tak sellers ke control mein hai jo ne Middle Bollinger Bands ke neeche candle ya price ko rakha hai. Yeh bearish candlesticks is baat ki nishani hain ke AUD/USD pair ka market ab tak ek mazboot bearish trend mein hai. Aaj ke trading session mein bhi selling pressure ka imkaan hai, aur agla bearish target Lower Bollinger Bands area mein 0.6618-0.6616 ke beech ho sakta hai.
Wednesday ko European market session ke dauran, price ab tak limited range mein move kar raha hai, magar yeh dekha gaya ke buyers ne price ko 0.6650-0.6648 ke support area ke upar banaye rakha, jis se price ke bullish move hone ka imkaan hai. Target 0.6675-0.6677 ke resistance area tak ja sakta hai. Agar yeh area break ho gaya, toh AUD/USD ka pair aur bhi upar ja sakta hai aur agla target 0.6690-0.6693 ke resistance area tak ho ga. Sell entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar sellers 0.6650-0.6648 ke buyer support area ko successfully break kar lein, aur TP target 0.6620-0.6618 par ho sakta hai.
Buy entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar buyers 0.6675-0.6677 ke resistance area ko break kar lein, jahan TP target 0.6690-0.6693 par ho ga. Mera prediction hai ke koi bullish movement tab tak nahi hogi jab tak MA (Moving Average) area break nahi hota. Lekin agar MA area ke rejection ka response ya koi significant bearish move MA ke neeche dekha gaya, toh yeh sell karne ka acha moment ho sakta hai. Bearish target horizontal line support level 1.6623 ya agar aur zyada strong bearish pressure dekha gaya, toh lower support level tak ja sakta hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ne is haftay ka aghaz kamzori ke saath kiya hai, jahan Monday subah ke Asian session mein yeh pair 0.6792 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh girawat mukhtalif aham asraat ka nateeja hai, jo ke chand central bank figures ke bayanat aur haali economic data se mutasir hain. Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke haali bayan ne market sentiment par kafi asar dala hai. Powell ke bayanat ne ishara diya hai ke US mein aane walay arsay mein bhi unchi interest rates barqarar reh sakti hain, kyunki Fed mehngai ko apne target ki taraf le jaane mein ehtiyaat kar raha hai. Un ke bayanat ne US dollar ko mazid mazboot kiya hai, kyunki unchi rates investors ko dollar mein invest karne ki taraf khench rahi hain. Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka rukh bhi AUD/USD ki dynamics mein aham kirdar ada kar raha hai. RBA ke haali bayanat pehlay mahino ke muqablay mein zyada dovish hain. RBA ki ehtiyaat baratne wali approach, jo ke mulki economic challenges aur dheemi inflationary pressures se mutasir hai, Fed ki zyada aggressive monetary policy se bilkul mukhtalif hai. Is wajah se Australian dollar par downward pressure hai, jo AUD/USD pair ki kamzori ko aur barha raha hai.
In central bank signals ke milaap ne Australian dollar ke liye ek challenging environment bana diya hai. Investors apni positions ko adjust kar rahe hain, jab ke Fed aur RBA ke monetary policy ke trajectories mein farq hai. Yeh farq aam tor par US dollar ko mazid mazboot aur Australian dollar ko kamzor banata hai, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate ke neeche aane mein zahir ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, broader market conditions aur risk sentiment bhi currency movements ko shape karte hain. Global economic outlook, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices mein utar charhao bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, commodity prices, khas tor par Australia ke key exports jaise ke iron ore, Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hain

ستمبر 11 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی

آسٹریلوی ڈالر تقریباً 0.6640 کے ہدف کی حمایت کی سطح تک پہنچ گیا ہے، حالانکہ حالیہ تاریخ میں 0.6643 کی سطح بھی موجود ہے، جیسے کہ 5 جنوری کی کم۔ قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے نیچے مستحکم ہوئی، لیکن رجحان کو ایک درمیانے درجے کے طور پر مضبوطی سے قائم کرنے کے لیے۔ نیچے کی طرف ایک اصطلاح، اسے بیلنس لائن (ریڈ موونگ ایوریج) سے نیچے جانے کی ضرورت ہے، جس کے لیے لائن کو قیمت کی نقل و حرکت کے مطابق ہونے سے روکنے کے لیے نیچے کی طرف تیز رفتار بریک آؤٹ کی ضرورت ہوگی۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر نے اپنے آپ کو ڈاؤن ٹرینڈ ٹیریٹری میں لنگر انداز کیا ہے، جو اس طرح کے بریک آؤٹ کا موقع فراہم کرتا ہے۔ اگر قیمت 0.6691 کی سطح سے اوپر آتی ہے اور بیک وقت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے اوپر جاتی ہے، تو 0.6801 کی طرف ترقی ہو سکتی ہے۔ یہ متبادل منظر نامہ ہے۔ مرکزی منظر نامے کے مطابق، ہم 0.6640 سے نیچے بریک آؤٹ اور 0.6570 کی طرف کمی کی توقع کرتے ہیں۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، قیمت 0.6640 کی سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہو رہی ہے۔ اس سطح سے نیچے کا استحکام نیچے کی طرف حرکت کے امکان کو بڑھاتا ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر زیرو لائن سے پلٹ سکتا ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

AUDUSD ke daily timeframe ka tajziya ye dikhata hai ke buyers price ko upar push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, lekin kuch challenges bhi hain. Filhal, AUDUSD 50 EMA aur 100 EMA se upar jaane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke dono upar ki taraf jhukao dikhate hain aur medium-term bullish trend ki nishani hain. Ye izafa dikhata hai ke buying pressure ab bhi itna mazboot hai ke aage chal kar price ko support kar sakta hai, agar market conditions bhi supportive rahe.
Lekin, buyers ki koshish resistance level 0.679698 par rok rahi hai. Ye resistance level ek ahem point hai kyunke is level par price ne kai baar rejection dikhayi hai. Ye rejection dikhata hai ke sellers ab bhi itne strong hain ke price ko upar break karne se roknay mein kamiyab hain. Resistance area mein rejection ke baad, AUDUSD price ne niche correction dekhi aur support level 0.66959 ki taraf gaya. Ye level ab ek important point hai kyunki yahan pehle buyers ne price ko girne se bachane ke liye interest dikhaya tha.

Filhal, pullback ka potential hai jo ke support level 0.66959 ki taraf ho sakta hai, aur phir se upward movement shuru ho sakti hai. Ye pullback buyers ke liye market mein dobara entry ka mauka ho sakta hai, lekin iske liye further confirmation zaroori hai. Ideal confirmation is situation mein ek strong bullish candle ki formation hai, jo dikhati hai ke buyers ab bhi control mein hain aur price ko support level se upar push karne ke liye tayar hain. Agar support level se reversal hota hai aur strong bullish candle ke saath confirmation milti hai, to ye signal ho sakta hai ke AUDUSD phir se resistance level 0.679698 ko test kar sakta hai. Lekin agar price support level 0.66959 ko maintain nahi karti aur girti rehti hai, to current bullish trend bearish trend mein tabdeel ho sakta hai.

sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan

AUD/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis zabt-e-bahs hai. AUD/USD pair ne daily chart par neeche ki taraf rukh liya hai, jo ek wazeh downtrend dikha raha hai. Aaj ki movement se lagta hai ke yeh bearish direction jari rehne ka imkaan hai, lekin reversal bhi mumkin hai. Aaiye din ki technical analysis ko break down karte hain. Moving averages strong sell signal de rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi selling pressure ko support kar rahe hain. Kul mila kar outlook suggest karta hai ke bearish trend jari rahega, magar hum kisi bhi potential shift ko monitor karenge. Price tab se is level se neeche gir chuki hai, aur dusre major currency pairs bhi qareeb mustaqbil mein mazboot US dollar ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain. Pehle wave par Fibonacci grid lagane se target decline level kareeb 161.9% hai. Beech ka target technical level 0.6641 hai, aur mera khayal hai ke price jald is level ki taraf move karegi. Magar thoda growth ya pullback ho sakta hai, jo sab se qareebi resistance level 0.6691 tak pohonch sakta hai.
AUD/USD ke four-hour chart ko dekhte hue, downward trend momentum gain kar raha hai ek wazeh wave structure ke saath. MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line se neeche reh kar. Pehle, MACD aur CCI indicators par triple bearish divergence saamne aayi thi. Mazeed, ek reversal pattern—ascending wedge—ko downside ki taraf break kiya gaya, jisse bearish divergence signal validate hua. Nateeja yeh hua ke price drop hui, aur temporary support kareeb 0.6701 par hona tha. Aik prolonged corrective rise ke baad, price ne mirror resistance level ko hit kiya 0.6756 par, jo pehle support tha. Yeh level growth edge par hai aur consistently strong selling zone raha hai. Is decline ko jari rakhne mein ek ahem factor CCI indicator hai, jo weekly chart par upper overheating zone se neeche aa raha hai.

Hourly chart (H1) par, downtrend slow ho raha hai, aur ek flat phase mein transition kar raha hai. Kal hum dekh sakte hain ke pair is range se breakout kar kar ek trend resume kare, lekin sawaal yeh hai: kya yeh upward hoga ya downward? Bias zyada decline ki taraf lean karta hai, lekin kal ki news uncertainty aur kuch added risk introduce kar rahi hai. Technically, move 0.6624 ki taraf hone ke imkaan hain. Daily balance AUD/USD ka kareeb 0.6668 par hover kar raha hai, jahan significant volumes price ki current value theen. Yeh dono directions se liquidity absorb karne mein madad karega, jo zyada tahqiq price distribution ke liye zaroori hai, depending on ke sab se bara fund kahan hai. Market manipulators aksar prices ko un ilaqon ki taraf le jaate hain jahan higher liquidity ho, jo zyada bade price moves ko trigger karne ke liye ahem hai. Agar price 0.6684 ki taraf chadhti hai aur phir 0.6623 par gire, toh 0.6668 level ko closely dekhna critical hoga. Agar price 0.6668 se upar break nahi kar pati, toh yeh accumulation level kareeb 0.6576 ki taraf gir sakti hai, jahan larger trading volumes hain.