ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda price performance ka analysis kar rahe hain. Is waqt USD/JPY currency pair par bearish trend ka khasa asar hai. Mere zehan mein do mumkin scenarios hain.

Pehla scenario yeh hai ke bears apni downward trajectory jari rakhte hain bina kisi notable correction ke. Is surat mein price support zone 130.39 aur 127.69 ke darmiyan gir sakti hai. Dusra scenario yeh suggest karta hai ke 144.99 ke aas paas se ek substantial correction ho sakta hai, jo price ko 151.83 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh mein sell position lene ka sochunga; warna mein sirf dekh kar rahe jaunga aur koi action nahi loonga.

Primary indicators downward movement ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, jahan price MA 72 trend line ke neechay hai, jo aam tor par volume reduction ka signal hota hai. Main ehtiyat se kaam le raha hoon aur mujhe bilkul smooth movement ki umeed nahi hai. Price recent low 141.694 se neechay bhi gir sakti hai ya phir upar ki taraf bhi ja sakti hai.

Conversely, agar price 144.04 se neechay girti hai, toh yeh 143.89 ya 142.59 tak bhi ja sakti hai. USD/JPY monthly Pivot level 153.84 (jo ke pehle 158.88 tha), weekly Pivot level 145.47 (pehle 147.64 tha), aur daily Pivot level 145.87 ke neechay trade kar raha hai, jo ke pair ke liye bearish sentiment ko show karta hai. Agar price 144.04 ke upar jata hai, toh northern correction ho sakta hai; lekin agar 144.04 se neechay girta hai, toh bearish movement likely hai.

Sell-off hone ka imkaan kam hai, lekin yeh bhi mushkil lagta hai ke market resistance level ke qareeb choti fluctuations continue kare, jo ke descending trend line se peak 161.758 tak hai. Is mein ho sakta hai ke kuch mazeed patterns form karein.





4oHum USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda price performance ka analysis kar rahe hain. Is waqt USD/JPY currency pair par bearish trend ka khasa asar hai. Mere zehan mein do mumkin scenarios hain.
Pehla scenario yeh hai ke bears apni downward trajectory jari rakhte hain bina kisi notable correction ke. Is surat mein price support zone 130.39 aur 127.69 ke darmiyan gir sakti hai. Dusra scenario yeh suggest karta hai ke 144.99 ke aas paas se ek substantial correction ho sakta hai, jo price ko 151.83 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh mein sell position lene ka sochunga; warna mein sirf dekh kar rahe jaunga aur koi action nahi loonga.

Primary indicators downward movement ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, jahan price MA 72 trend line ke neechay hai, jo aam tor par volume reduction ka signal hota hai. Main ehtiyat se kaam le raha hoon aur mujhe bilkul smooth movement ki umeed nahi hai. Price recent low 141.694 se neechay bhi gir sakti hai ya phir upar ki taraf bhi ja sakti hai.

Conversely, agar price 144.04 se neechay girti hai, toh yeh 143.89 ya 142.59 tak bhi ja sakti hai. USD/JPY monthly Pivot level 153.84 (jo ke pehle 158.88 tha), weekly Pivot level 145.47 (pehle 147.64 tha), aur daily Pivot level 145.87 ke neechay trade kar raha hai, jo ke pair ke liye bearish sentiment ko show karta hai. Agar price 144.04 ke upar jata hai, toh northern correction ho sakta hai; lekin agar 144.04 se neechay girta hai, toh bearish movement likely hai.

Sell-off hone ka imkaan kam hai, lekin yeh bhi mushkil lagta hai ke market resistance level ke qareeb choti fluctuations continue kare, jo ke descending trend line se peak 161.758 tak hai. Is mein ho sakta hai ke kuch mazeed patterns form karein.

Technical Analysis

AUDUSD market ki soorat-e-haal kal ke trading session mein kharidaaron ke control mein nazar aati hai. Lagta hai ke buyers ka pressure AUDUSD ki qeemat ko niche dhakelne mein bohat zyada taqat rakhta hai. Jo cheez mein AUDUSD market ki soorat-e-haal se samajhta hoon wo yeh hai ke ek bearish trend pattern ban raha hai, jo ke resistance area ki position ke niche aane par mabni hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke bearish trend pattern agle hafte ke trading session mein bhi jaari rahe, kyun ke ek bari seller force ne MA100 indicator ko tor diya hai, jo ke yeh information deti hai ke AUDUSD market iss waqt bearish trend mein hai
Meri taqreebi raaye yeh hai ke sellers AUDUSD market par kabza jaari rakhte huay bearish trend situation ko lambi muddat ke liye jaari rakhne ka irada rakhte hain. H4 timeframe ke mapping ke mutabiq, meri estimate hai ke sellers AUDUSD ki qeemat ko support area 1 tak dhakelne ki koshish karenge. Yeh fasla kaafi zyada hai, lekin kal ke trading mein sellers ki taqat ko dekhte huay, iss baat ke bohat zyada chances hain ke sellers AUDUSD ki qeemat ko kam waqt mein support area 1 tak le jayein Meri trading recommendation AUDUSD market mein yeh hai ke AUDUSD market mein sell entry signal ko dhoondha jaye. Jo cheez mein observe karta hoon wo yeh hai ke trend situation mein reversal nazar aa raha hai, bullish se bearish trend ki taraf, jo ke seller ki taqat ko barhane ka potential trigger ban sakta hai. Agar agle hafte ke trading mein yeh nishaniyan hain ke sellers dobara AUDUSD ki qeemat ko niche dhakel rahe hain, toh yeh sell entry signal ke liye bohat mozoon hai
Shorter timeframes, jaise ke H4 per price action ki study un traders ke liye bohat aham hai jo chote muddat ke movements par faida uthana chahte hain, jab ke bade market trends ke saath alignment mein bhi rehte hain. H4 timeframe khaas tor par emerging trends aur potential entry ya exit points dekhne ke liye faidemand hai. Yeh niche wale zyada volatile timeframes aur lambi muddat ke daily ya weekly charts ke darmiyan ek bridge ka kaam karta hai

Maujooda setup ko dekh kar lagta hai ke AUD/USD short se medium term ke liye upward movement jaari rakhne ki position mein hai. AUD ki recent USD ke muqablay mein mazbooti ko technical indicators aur price action dono support karte hain. Key support aur resistance levels ko nazar mein rakhna chahiye jab tak ke yeh pair bullish environment mein trade kar raha hai. Agar price apni upward momentum ko maintain karti hai, toh agla significant resistance level un traders ke liye ek potential target ho sakta hai jo iss movement se faida uthana chahte hain

Canadian Dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke doran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, jisme 0.08% ki girawat dekhi gayi hai. Bank of Canada (BoC) ka rate decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC ke bare mein umeed hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli dafa nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka ab tak ka sabse zyada rate cut hoga.
BoC se umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi time aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve se bhi is mahine, aur shayad is saal ke baad, rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye rates cut karna asaan bana deta hai, bina Federal Reserve se zyada divergence ke.

Canadian Dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts ke bawajood Canadian Dollar par itna zyada pressure nahi dalne wala. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, lekin woh naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein bhi zyada information dekhna chahte hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar hai, aur yeh saat mahine se is range mein hi hai.

Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation ke saath labor market ki kamzori par bhi focus kar rahe hain. BoC ka maqsad hai ke inflation ko control mein rakhein baghair labor market ko collapse kare, aur economy ko recession mein jaane se bachayein. US employment data, Federal Reserve ke rate cut decision ke liye important hoga.

US is haftay employment data release karega jo Federal Reserve ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME’s FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies report release hogi, jisme umeed ki ja rahi hai ke vacancies 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.
Canadian Dollar Analysis Roman Urdu Mein
Canadian Dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke doran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, jisme 0.08% ki girawat dekhi gayi hai. Bank of Canada (BoC) ka rate decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC ke bare mein umeed hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli dafa nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka ab tak ka sabse zyada rate cut hoga.

BoC se umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi time aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve se bhi is mahine, aur shayad is saal ke baad, rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye rates cut karna asaan bana deta hai, bina Federal Reserve se zyada divergence ke.

Canadian Dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts ke bawajood Canadian Dollar par itna zyada pressure nahi dalne wala. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, lekin woh naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein bhi zyada information dekhna chahte hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar hai, aur yeh saat mahine se is range mein hi hai.

Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation ke saath labor market ki kamzori par bhi focus kar rahe hain. BoC ka maqsad hai ke inflation ko control mein rakhein baghair labor market ko collapse kare, aur economy ko recession mein jaane se bachayein. US employment data, Federal Reserve ke rate cut decision ke liye important hoga.

US is haftay employment data release karega jo Federal Reserve ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME’s FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies report release hogi, jisme umeed ki ja rahi hai ke vacancies 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi

Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) ka rate decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.
BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.

Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.

Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.

US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME’s FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.
Canadian Dollar Analysis in Roman Urdu
Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) ka rate decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.

BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.

Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.

Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.

US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME’s FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir

Ab hum is support area level ka istemal karke agle trade mein pending buy limit order place kar sakte hain. Technical side se dekha jaye to 0.6800 se 0.6790 ke resistance area jo ke Jumme ke din trading mein form hua, is martaba key resistance area banega. Agar yeh resistance area breakout na kar saka, to Asian trading session mein AUD/USD currency pair ke pehle decline hone ki umeed hai, is se pehle ke yeh 0.6755 - 0.6765 ke support area level ko use karte hue buyers ke liye dubara climb karke aur bhi upar jaye. In conditions ko dekhte hue market ke 0.6797 - 0.6799 ke price par open hone ki umeed hai, jahan qareebi support aur resistance 0.6811 aur 0.6787 ke aas paas ban rahe hain. Aur ye hai planning Monday ke liye:Buy ko maintain kiya jaye agar price 0.6811 ke resistance ko breakout kar sakta hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upwards hang karte huye bullish potential ke sath 0.6846 - 0.7262 level tak ja sakta hai.Agar price correct ho raha ho, to pullback ke dauran 0.6749 ke aas paas buy ki option dekhi ja sakti hai, take profit 0.6773 - 0.6790 tak le sakte hain, ya phir 0.6802 tak.Dusri buy option ye hai ke agar correction continue ho, buyers EMA 200 H1 line ke bounce ka intezar kar sakte hain, take profit 0.6725 - 0.6748 ke aas paas plan karna chahiye.Sell ki option agar price 0.6787 ko breakout karta hai, take profit 0.6772 - 0.6750 tak le sakte hain, lekin yeh risky ho sakta hai, behtar hoga ke 0.6749 area ke breakout ka intezar kiya jaye, jab EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 downside crossover banate hain, take profit 0.6709 - 0.6687 tak le sakte hain.Ek aur sell plan ye hai ke agar price 0.6846 area se reject hota hai, qareebi bearish potential 0.6813 tak hai jo buy positions open karne se behtar options hai. Main behtar entry point ka intezar karunga support level 0.66005 ke qareeb. Price ko is level tak pahunchne ke liye thoda dip hona zaroori hai. Mera profit target 0.67331 hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh strategy plan ke mutabiq unfold hogi. Agar price decline karta hai, to yeh stagnant lag sakta hai—koi bara downward movement na dikhaate huye. Lekin, price confidently upward trend mein surge kar sakta hai

USD Australian dollar (AUD) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein momentum gain kiya hai jo kuch mukhtalif factors ki wajah se hai. Market ko yeh yakeen hota ja raha hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein monetary policy ko dheela kar sakta hai. Fed Watch tools ke mutabiq, agle mahine 50 basis points ka interest rate cut ho sakta hai aur saal ke end tak total 100 basis points ki kami dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Iske muqablay, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hawkish stance rakhta hai aur inflation ke concerns ko address karne ke liye interest rates ko aur barhane ke liye tayyar hai. Yeh monetary policies ka divergence AUD/USD ko faida pohnchata hai. Technical taur par, AUD/USD ne bullish trend dikhaya hai aur 0.6600 convergence level aur 0.6700 mark ko break kar diya hai. Daily chart oscillators bhi positive territory mein hain, jo aage ke upside potential ko darshata hai. Magar, ye abhi overbought zone mein nahi hain, jo aur growth ke liye jagah banata hai. Bullish perspective se, AUD/USD 0.6740 ke upper boundary of ascending channel ko target kar sakta hai. Agar channel ke andar wapas aata hai to bullish bias ko reinforce kar sakta hai aur 7-month high 0.6798 ko test karne ke liye le ja sakta hai. Is level ke upar break hone se currency 0.6880 level tak bhi pohnch sakti hai.
Niche ki taraf, AUD/USD ko 9-day EMA level 0.6684 par support mil sakta hai. Agar is level se niche girta hai to 0.6575 aur 0.6470 ke retrospective levels ko test kar sakta hai. Market sentiment bhi AUD/USD ko influence karta hai. Risk-on sentiment Australian dollar ke liye faida mand hota hai, jabke risk-off sentiment se selling pressure barh sakta hai. Australia aur United States se aane wale economic data bhi AUD/USD ko impact kar sakte hain. Australia se strong economic data currency ko support de sakti hai, jabke weak data downward pressure daal sakti hai. Conversely, United States se strong economic data USD ko kamzor kar sakti hai, jo AUD/USD ke liye faida mand hoga. Long-term outlook AUD/USD ka mukhtalif factors pe depend karta hai, jaise ke Australia aur United States ke beech interest rate differentials, dono mulkon ki economic growth, aur global risk appetite. Jaise Fed apni monetary policy ko dheela karta hai, AUD/USD interest rate differential se faida utha sakta hai. Lekin, dono economies aur global market developments ko monitor karna zaroori hai taake currency pair par potential impact ko assess kiya ja sake
Daily chart par ek sideways wedge pattern develop hota hua dikhai diya tha, jisme AUD/USD kaafi time se trade kar raha hai. Ek aisa hi wedge pattern doosri major pairs mein bhi dekha gaya, jinhon ne apni upper boundaries ko break kiya hai. AUD/USD ne jab is flat formation se exit kiya, to ek steady upward trend shuru hua. Is analysis ke mutabiq, wedge ka upper limit 0.6779 tha. Friday ka daily candle ek solid green day ke tor par close hua, jo ye suggest karta hai ke inn levels se buy positions enter karna munasib hoga, aur buyers ka target 0.6869 par set karna chahiye. Weekly chart par movement upward jaa rahi hai. Weekly technical analysis aur recommendations ko madde nazar rakhtay huay, moving averages substantial buy show kar rahe hain aur technical indicators bhi buying ko suggest karte hain, jo overall buy recommendation ko lead karte hain. Aane wale hafte ke liye pair ko buy karna behtar hai. U.S. economic news bhi schedule hai, jisme Thursday 15:29 par forecast negative impact ki taraf ja raha hai. Friday ko 04:29 par retail sales data expected hai, jisme forecast neutral hai. Yeh pair ziada chances hai ke iss hafte upward move kare.

AUD/USD U.S. economic data ki wajah se hai, jo Fed ko monetary policy dheela karne par majboor kar sakti hai. Iska natija ye hua ke U.S. dollar kamzor hua hai, jo AUD ko aur barhawa de raha hai.
In supportive factors ke bawajood, nazariya ehtiyaat se bharpur hai. RBA ne indicate kiya hai ke future rate decisions upcoming economic data, jaise consumer confidence aur employment figures, par depend karega. Agar consumer confidence barhta hai to ye consumer spending aur potentially higher inflation ka signal ho sakta hai, jo RBA ko additional rate hikes par consider karne par majboor kar sakta hai.
Iske sath hi, Australia ke labor market conditions bhi crucial hain. Tight labor markets wage growth aur consumer spending ko barha sakte hain, jo demand-driven inflation ko fuel kar sakta hai. Aise mein RBA apni tightening stance ko barqarar rakhne ka fayasla kar sakti hai. Lekin agar labor market kamzor dikhai deta hai, to RBA rate hike cycle ko pause ya reverse bhi kar sakti hai.
AUD/USD currency pair ko RBA ke hawkish stance, China ke strong inflation data, aur U.S. Federal Reserve se rate cut ke expectations se support mil raha hai, jisne U.S. dollar ko kamzor kiya hai.
Lekin, pair ke future direction largely Australia se aane wale economic data aur RBA ke response par depend karegi. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake ye assess kiya ja sake ke AUD/USD ka upward trend continue kar sakta hai ya nahi.
Daily chart par, ek noticeable long candle dekhne ko milti hai jo prolonged downward swing ke baad aayi hai, jo suggest karti hai ke sellers ka control kuch kamzor hua hai aur buyers momentum gain kar rahe hain. Ye currently valid bullish signal ko indicate karta hai.

Tuesday ko spot price ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein shadeed nuqsan ka samna kiya, aur pair lagbhag 0.6740 ke qareeb gir gayi. Is girawat ke piche kuch aham wajahein hain, jin mein Cheen ki musalsal iqtisadi kamzoriyaan aur lohay ki girti hui keematain shamil hain. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, yeh pair abhi 0.6751 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai, jo Australian currency ke liye musalsal challenges ko zahir karti hai.
AUD/USD ke Bunyadi Asbaab:

USD Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ko chand aham currencies ke muqable mein naapta hai, pichlay haftay se ek maidan mein hi hai. Tajiron ko abhi bhi Federal Reserve (Fed) ke rate cuts ke hawalay se zyada wazahat ka intizar hai. Tawajjoh ab agle US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index ki jari honay wali release par hai, jo ke mustaqbil ki Fed policy aur iske nateeje mein USD ki demand par asar andaz ho sakti hai.

Australian economy ki kamzori ke bawajood, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne ab tak rate cut karne mein hichkichaahat dikhai hai, jis ki waja musalsal barhti hui mehengai hai. Yeh ehtiyaati approach AUD ko mazboot rakhne aur mazeed nuqsan se bachane mein madadgar ho sakti hai. RBA se tawakku hai ke yeh G10 ke dosray central banks ke muqable mein sab se aakhir mein rates reduce karega, jo aakhir kar AUD ki girawat ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

AUD/USD pair ne volatility dikhayi hai, jo ek Fed policy statement ke baad 0.6730 tak gir gayi thi lekin iske baad thora sa recover hui. Muhim resistance levels 50, 100, aur 200-hour simple moving averages (SMAs) par hain, jo ke 0.6674, 0.6645, aur 0.6622 par hain. Agar yeh levels tor diye gaye, toh yeh pair mumkin hai ke 0.6600 mark ko test kare. Doosri taraf, mazeed kamzori se AUD/USD 0.6700 se neeche gir sakti hai aur aaj ke low 0.6730 ke qareeb pohanch sakti hai, jahan 0.6700 ka psychological level dekha ja sakta hai.

Pair ke liye support levels 0.6731 aur 0.6711 par note kiye gaye hain, jabke resistance 0.6781, 0.6800, aur 0.6830 par observe kiya ja raha hai. Maujooda indicator signals kaafi negative hain, lekin oversold condition market correction ke imkaanat paida kar sakti hai. Is ke bawajood, bulls ki momentum kamzor rehne ki wajah se, technical analysis yeh zahir karti hai ke yeh pair sideways trading pattern mein rehti hai, jab tak koi aham bunyadi catalyst saamne nahin aata.

AUD/USD
Agar hum daily chart ko dekhein, toh trading ka halat kuch is tarah hai. Screen par kuch khaas candles ko highlight kiya gaya hai jo analysis ke liye abhi bhi bohot interesting hain. Jab humne high par aik series of candles ka test kiya aur resistance ko test kiya, toh movement shuru hua. Price Action method ne madad ki aur humein candlestick patterns dikhaye, jisme "bearish engulfing" prominent tha. Phir bhi, main is baat par tawajju deta hoon ke thoda neeche 38.2 ka level hai Fibonacci grid par, jo ek heavy MA ke sath merge ho raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke humein samne bohot strong support nazar aa raha hai.

Technical terms mein is support ko dekhna zaroori hai. Digital equivalent mein yeh area 0.6640 par hai. Monday ko economic calendar bilkul empty hai, aur USA aur Australia se koi khaas news nahi hai. Is liye ab sirf technology par focus karna hai. Scalping fans ke liye kal subha mein pivots ke naye location dikhaonga, jo ab bohot relevant ho gaye hain.

Weekly Descending Channel

Weekly descending channel, jo ek global descending trend ko zahir karta hai, ne pichlay hafte apni importance sabit ki. Channel ke resistance zone (trend line) ne bearish rebound ke liye kaam kiya, aur ab support level area 0.63512 tak jaane ka imkaan hai. Yani, aglay hafte ka main scenario abhi bhi global trend se mutaliq hai. Do options ho sakte hain:
a) Intra-channel correction ka khatima;
b) Bearish trend ka dobarah wapas aana.

Agar bullish scenario ki baat karein, toh reversal ke liye kuch shara'it par kaam karna hoga:
- Bulls ke through trend line (channel resistance line) ka khulna;
- Resistance level 0.68719 ke upar consolidation.

Total: Agar bulls 0.68719 ke resistance ko control kar lete hain, toh unke liye north ki taraf rasta khul jata hai. Yeh ab correction phase ke tor par nahi hoga, balke market mein aik naye trend ka aghaz ho sakta hai jo north ki taraf directed hoga.

AUD/USD
Agar hum daily chart ko dekhein, toh trading ka halat kuch is tarah hai. Screen par kuch khaas candles ko highlight kiya gaya hai jo analysis ke liye abhi bhi bohot interesting hain. Jab humne high par aik series of candles ka test kiya aur resistance ko test kiya, toh movement shuru hua. Price Action method ne madad ki aur humein candlestick patterns dikhaye, jisme "bearish engulfing" prominent tha. Phir bhi, main is baat par tawajju deta hoon ke thoda neeche 38.2 ka level hai Fibonacci grid par, jo ek heavy MA ke sath merge ho raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke humein samne bohot strong support nazar aa raha hai.

Technical terms mein is support ko dekhna zaroori hai. Digital equivalent mein yeh area 0.6640 par hai. Monday ko economic calendar bilkul empty hai, aur USA aur Australia se koi khaas news nahi hai. Is liye ab sirf technology par focus karna hai. Scalping fans ke liye kal subha mein pivots ke naye location dikhaonga, jo ab bohot relevant ho gaye hain.

Weekly Descending Channel

Weekly descending channel, jo ek global descending trend ko zahir karta hai, ne pichlay hafte apni importance sabit ki. Channel ke resistance zone (trend line) ne bearish rebound ke liye kaam kiya, aur ab support level area 0.63512 tak jaane ka imkaan hai. Yani, aglay hafte ka main scenario abhi bhi global trend se mutaliq hai. Do options ho sakte hain:
a) Intra-channel correction ka khatima;
b) Bearish trend ka dobarah wapas aana.

Agar bullish scenario ki baat karein, toh reversal ke liye kuch shara'it par kaam karna hoga:
- Bulls ke through trend line (channel resistance line) ka khulna;
- Resistance level 0.68719 ke upar consolidation.

Total: Agar bulls 0.68719 ke resistance ko control kar lete hain, toh unke liye north ki taraf rasta khul jata hai. Yeh ab correction phase ke tor par nahi hoga, balke market mein aik naye trend ka aghaz ho sakta hai jo north ki taraf directed hoga.

AUD/USD
Yeh pair apne nuqsanat ko barhata ja raha hai, aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rates ko barqarar rakhne aur borrowing costs ko kam na karne ke faislay ke baad aur bhi neeche gir gaya hai. Halaankeh inflation mein progress ko tasleem kiya gaya, Fed ke officials easing policy shuru karne mein abhi bhi ehtiyaat kar rahe hain. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki press conference ke baad, yeh pair 0.6700 aur 0.6840 ke darmiyan fluctuate karta raha. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, AUD/USD takreeban 0.6719 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

Australian Dollar ko agle mahine aur Q2 ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ka asar hoga jo pichlay hafte release hone wala tha. Dosray quarter ke liye umeed hai ke price pressures 1% ke izafay ke sath barh rahe hain. Salana buniyad par, Q2 CPI ka izafa 3.6% se barh kar 3.8% hone ka imkaan hai. Is barhti hui CPI se Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke policy tightening ke mazeed imkanaat barh sakte hain.

National Australia Bank ke mutabiq, RBA ka cash rate May 2025 tak 4.35% par barqarar rahega. NAB Economics ke recent outlook ke mutabiq, December 2025 tak yeh rate kam ho kar 3.6% tak aa sakta hai, aur 2026 tak mazeed cuts ka imkaan hai. Yeh projection market ke mutabiq RBA ki aanay wali monetary policy adjustments ki tawaqo ko zahir karta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ka pehla resistance apne trading channel ke upper boundary par hai, jo ke 0.6770 ke qareeb hai, aur phir ek aham level 0.6800 par hai. Ek aur significant resistance point 0.6815 par hai, jahan pehle ka support ab resistance mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, tou AUD/USD pair ko chay mahinay ke high 0.6798 tak dhakela ja sakta hai.

Spot price abhi 20, 100, aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) pichlay hafte 30 aur 37 ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai, jo mazeed bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Iske ilawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) abhi bhi flat red bars dikhata hai, jo sustained bearish momentum ki nishani hai.

AUD/USD
Yeh pair apne nuqsanat ko barhata ja raha hai, aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rates ko barqarar rakhne aur borrowing costs ko kam na karne ke faislay ke baad aur bhi neeche gir gaya hai. Halaankeh inflation mein progress ko tasleem kiya gaya, Fed ke officials easing policy shuru karne mein abhi bhi ehtiyaat kar rahe hain. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki press conference ke baad, yeh pair 0.6700 aur 0.6840 ke darmiyan fluctuate karta raha. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, AUD/USD takreeban 0.6719 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

Australian Dollar ko agle mahine aur Q2 ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ka asar hoga jo pichlay hafte release hone wala tha. Dosray quarter ke liye umeed hai ke price pressures 1% ke izafay ke sath barh rahe hain. Salana buniyad par, Q2 CPI ka izafa 3.6% se barh kar 3.8% hone ka imkaan hai. Is barhti hui CPI se Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke policy tightening ke mazeed imkanaat barh sakte hain.

National Australia Bank ke mutabiq, RBA ka cash rate May 2025 tak 4.35% par barqarar rahega. NAB Economics ke recent outlook ke mutabiq, December 2025 tak yeh rate kam ho kar 3.6% tak aa sakta hai, aur 2026 tak mazeed cuts ka imkaan hai. Yeh projection market ke mutabiq RBA ki aanay wali monetary policy adjustments ki tawaqo ko zahir karta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ka pehla resistance apne trading channel ke upper boundary par hai, jo ke 0.6770 ke qareeb hai, aur phir ek aham level 0.6800 par hai. Ek aur significant resistance point 0.6815 par hai, jahan pehle ka support ab resistance mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, tou AUD/USD pair ko chay mahinay ke high 0.6798 tak dhakela ja sakta hai.

Spot price abhi 20, 100, aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) pichlay hafte 30 aur 37 ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai, jo mazeed bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Iske ilawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) abhi bhi flat red bars dikhata hai, jo sustained bearish momentum ki nishani hai.

AUD/USD
Thursday ko AUD/USD market pair mein trading buyer ke liye kaafi successful rahi. Buyer ne seller ke selling pressure ko absorb karke 0.6715-0.6718 ke buyer support area mein price ko stable rakha. Is ne seller ko control khone par majboor kar diya, aur phir buyer ne zyada strong buying pressure apply kiya, jis se price phir bullish hote hue upar chali gayi.

Bollinger Bands ka Istemaal:

Daily timeframe par Bollinger bands indicator ka istemal karte hue dekha gaya ke buyer ne price ko Middle Bollinger bands ke area (0.6715-0.6717) ke upar successfully maintain kiya. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke price bullish direction mein Middle Bollinger area se door move karna jari rakhega. Bullish target Upper Bollinger bands area ki taraf ho sakta hai, ya kam az kam price 0.6793-0.6795 ke strong seller supply resistance area ko penetrate karna chahiye, jo upper Bollinger bands area ki taraf mazeed bullish rasta khol dega.

Friday ke trading session mein, jab European market khuli, buyer ne subha ke bearish move ko rokne ki koshish ki jo seller ne shuru ki thi. Buyer ne support area 0.6718-0.6715 par price ko maintain karne ki koshish ki. Agar yeh area seller ke pressure ko withstand karta hai, tou price phir se bullish direction mein upar jaayegi, jiska pehla target 0.6750-0.6752 ke seller resistance area ki taraf hoga. Agar yeh area bhi break hota hai, tou price mazeed bullish hote hue 0.6780-0.6783 ke strong seller supply resistance area tak ja sakti hai.

Nateeja:
- Sell entry us waqt ki ja sakti hai jab seller 0.6722-0.6720 ke buyer support area ko torne mein kamiyab ho jaye, jiska TP target area 0.6693-0.6690 ho ga.
- Buy entry us waqt ki ja sakti hai jab buyer 0.6750-0.6753 ke seller resistance area ko cross kar le, jiska TP target area 0.6790-0.6793 ho ga.

AUD/USD
Thursday ko AUD/USD market pair mein trading buyer ke liye kaafi successful rahi. Buyer ne seller ke selling pressure ko absorb karke 0.6715-0.6718 ke buyer support area mein price ko stable rakha. Is ne seller ko control khone par majboor kar diya, aur phir buyer ne zyada strong buying pressure apply kiya, jis se price phir bullish hote hue upar chali gayi.

Bollinger Bands ka Istemaal:

Daily timeframe par Bollinger bands indicator ka istemal karte hue dekha gaya ke buyer ne price ko Middle Bollinger bands ke area (0.6715-0.6717) ke upar successfully maintain kiya. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke price bullish direction mein Middle Bollinger area se door move karna jari rakhega. Bullish target Upper Bollinger bands area ki taraf ho sakta hai, ya kam az kam price 0.6793-0.6795 ke strong seller supply resistance area ko penetrate karna chahiye, jo upper Bollinger bands area ki taraf mazeed bullish rasta khol dega.

Friday ke trading session mein, jab European market khuli, buyer ne subha ke bearish move ko rokne ki koshish ki jo seller ne shuru ki thi. Buyer ne support area 0.6718-0.6715 par price ko maintain karne ki koshish ki. Agar yeh area seller ke pressure ko withstand karta hai, tou price phir se bullish direction mein upar jaayegi, jiska pehla target 0.6750-0.6752 ke seller resistance area ki taraf hoga. Agar yeh area bhi break hota hai, tou price mazeed bullish hote hue 0.6780-0.6783 ke strong seller supply resistance area tak ja sakti hai.

Nateeja:
- Sell entry us waqt ki ja sakti hai jab seller 0.6722-0.6720 ke buyer support area ko torne mein kamiyab ho jaye, jiska TP target area 0.6693-0.6690 ho ga.
- Buy entry us waqt ki ja sakti hai jab buyer 0.6750-0.6753 ke seller resistance area ko cross kar le, jiska TP target area 0.6790-0.6793 ho ga.

AUD/USD جوڑا اس وقت نیچے کی طرف جا رہا ہے، جو بنیادی طور پر ریزرو بینک آف آسٹریلیا (RBA) کے سخت موقف اور آسٹریلیا کے غیر یقینی معاشی حالات سے متاثر ہو رہا ہے۔ RBA کی بڑھتی ہوئی مہنگائی کے خلاف جارحانہ حکمت عملی کے باوجود، 2024 میں شرح سود میں کمی کی توقعات مارکیٹ میں کافی کم ہیں۔ اس سے آسٹریلوی ڈالر کی کمزوری میں اضافہ ہوا ہے۔ اگر موجودہ تجارتی سطح 0.6700 سے نیچے ٹوٹتی ہے تو آنے والے دنوں میں مزید کمی دیکھی جا سکتی ہے۔

تکنیکی تجزیہ کے مطابق مارکیٹ میں مندی کا رجحان پایا جا رہا ہے۔ Relative Strength Index (RSI) اس وقت منفی زون میں ہے، جس کا مطلب ہے کہ مارکیٹ میں فروخت کرنے والے غالب ہیں۔ اسی طرح Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) انڈیکیٹر بھی اس مندی کے رجحان کی تصدیق کر رہا ہے۔ اگرچہ Stochastic انڈیکیٹر ایک ممکنہ بُلش کراس اوور کا اشارہ دے رہا ہے، لیکن مجموعی رجحان اب بھی نیچے کی طرف ہے۔ اگر قیمت 0.6750 کی سطح سے اوپر جاتی ہے تو ایک عارضی اُچھال ممکن ہے، لیکن مستقل بحالی کے لیے 0.6900 کی سطح سے اوپر ایک واضح بندش ضروری ہو گی۔

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مختصر مدت میں، AUD/USD جوڑا نیچے کی جانب خطرات کا سامنا کر رہا ہے۔ 50 دن اور 200 دن کی سادہ متحرک اوسطیں (SMAs) بالترتیب 0.6670 اور 0.6615 پر سپورٹ فراہم کر سکتی ہیں۔ تاہم، اگر قیمت ان سطحوں سے نیچے ٹوٹتی ہے، تو یہ ایک زیادہ بڑی گراوٹ کی نشاندہی کر سکتی ہے۔

مجموعی طور پر، AUD/USD جوڑا قریب مستقبل میں دباؤ میں رہنے کا امکان ہے، تکنیکی آؤٹ لک اور غیر یقینی معاشی حالات کو دیکھتے ہوئے۔ CME FedWatch ٹول کے مطابق، فیڈرل ریزرو کے شرح سود میں 50 بیس پوائنٹس (bps) کی کمی کرنے کے 45% امکانات ہیں، جو ایک ہفتہ قبل 30% تھے۔ دوسری طرف، ریزرو بینک آف آسٹریلیا (RBA) کے بارے میں قیاس آرائیاں ہیں کہ وہ اس سال شرح سود میں کمی نہیں کرے گا، لیکن آسٹریلوی ڈالر (AUD) ایشیا پیسیفک خطے میں اچھی کارکردگی نہیں دکھا رہا۔ RBA کی گورنر مشیل بلک کے سخت سود کی شرح کے مشورے کے بعد یہ امکان بڑھ گیا ہے کہ RBA سال کے آخر تک موجودہ شرحوں کو برقرار رکھے گا۔ بلک نے جمعرات کو اینیکا فاؤنڈیشن میں اپنی تقریر کے دوران کہا، "بورڈ توقع نہیں کرتا کہ وہ قریبی مدت میں شرحوں کو کم کرنے کی پوزیشن میں ہوگا۔"