ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD jor ek multi-week high tak barh gaya hai, jo kuch key factors ke asar se hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne hawkish stance barqarar rakhi hai, jo ke suggest karti hai ke interest rates high reh sakti hain taake inflation ko roka ja sake. Ye nazariya China ke strong inflation data ke saath mazid mazboot hota hai, jo Australia ka major trading partner hai.
Iske ilawa, global markets mein positive risk sentiment ne Aussie ko support diya hai, kyunki traders U.S. Federal Reserve se 50 basis points rate cut ki ummeed kar rahe hain. Ye expectation softer U.S. economic data ki wajah se hai, jo Fed ko monetary policy dheela karne par majboor kar sakti hai. Iska natija ye hua ke U.S. dollar kamzor hua hai, jo AUD ko aur barhawa de raha hai.

In supportive factors ke bawajood, nazariya ehtiyaat se bharpur hai. RBA ne indicate kiya hai ke future rate decisions upcoming economic data, jaise consumer confidence aur employment figures, par depend karega. Agar consumer confidence barhta hai to ye consumer spending aur potentially higher inflation ka signal ho sakta hai, jo RBA ko additional rate hikes par consider karne par majboor kar sakta hai.

Iske sath hi, Australia ke labor market conditions bhi crucial hain. Tight labor markets wage growth aur consumer spending ko barha sakte hain, jo demand-driven inflation ko fuel kar sakta hai. Aise mein RBA apni tightening stance ko barqarar rakhne ka fayasla kar sakti hai. Lekin agar labor market kamzor dikhai deta hai, to RBA rate hike cycle ko pause ya reverse bhi kar sakti hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ko RBA ke hawkish stance, China ke strong inflation data, aur U.S. Federal Reserve se rate cut ke expectations se support mil raha hai, jisne U.S. dollar ko kamzor kiya hai.

Lekin, pair ke future direction largely Australia se aane wale economic data aur RBA ke response par depend karegi. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake ye assess kiya ja sake ke AUD/USD ka upward trend continue kar sakta hai ya nahi.

Daily chart par, ek noticeable long candle dekhne ko milti hai jo prolonged downward swing ke baad aayi hai, jo suggest karti hai ke sellers ka control kuch kamzor hua hai aur buyers momentum gain kar rahe hain. Ye currently valid bullish signal ko indicate karta hai

Pichlay chand dino mein, AUD/USD currency pair ke daily timeframe par zabardast bullish momentum dekha gaya hai. Yeh trend ek wazeh upward movement se mark hota hai, halan ke market ne raat ko ek minor downward correction experience kiya. Is brief retracement ke bawajood, overarching trend ab bhi bullish hai.

Hafta mazboot note par shuru hua, jahan AUD/USD pair ne Monday ko significant upward movement dikhai. Price 0.6571 se 0.6608 tak surge hui, jo clear bullish sentiment ko darshaati hai. Yeh upward trajectory Tuesday ko bhi barqarar rahi, aur bullish momentum ne aagey ke sessions mein bhi sustain kiya.

Market ka bullish performance mazeed is baat ka saboot tha ke price ne kal raat 0.6645 tak advance kiya. Yeh continued climb bullish trend ki strength ko illustrate karta hai aur market mein persistent positive sentiment ko reflect karta hai. Upward movement, halan ke kabhi kabhar short-term corrections se interrupt hoti hai, ab bhi dominant hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers control mein hain aur market ko mazeed upar le ja rahe hain.

Technical indicators aur price action confirm karte hain ke bullish trend ki strength barqarar hai. Sustained upward movement aur price ka new highs banana yeh indicate karta hai ke bullish trend ka aagey bhi jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Lekin, traders ko short-term corrections ya consolidations ka khayal rakhna chahiye jo temporary tor par price action ko impact kar sakti hain.

Overall, AUD/USD chart daily timeframe par ek clear bullish momentum ka picture present karta hai, jahan price consistent upward movement dikhati hai aur new highs banati hai. Jab tak trend intact rahega aur price key support levels se upar rahegi, bullish outlook prevail karne ki umeed hai.

AUD/USD pair is waqt positive traction regain kar raha hai Friday ko aur filhal, lagta hai ke apni moderate decline se, jo ke 0.6760 area (jo ke is haftay ke shuru mein month se zyada high tha) se hui thi, ruk gaya hai. Spot prices ne pehle half European session ke doran intraday gains ko maintain rakha hai aur is waqt 0.6725 area ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, din ke liye 0.30% up hai. US Dollar (USD) apni overnight recovery se, YTD lows se capitalize karne mein struggle kar raha hai aur fresh sellers ko attract kar raha hai dovish Federal Reserve (The Fed) ke expectations ke chalte, jo apni jagah AUD/USD pair ko kuch support de raha tha. Technical perspective se dekha jaye to recent breakthrough 0.6600 confluence – jo ke 100- aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) par mushtamil tha – aur iske baad 0.6700 level se strength ko ek naya trigger maana gaya hai.

Picture mein AUD/USD currency pair ka price 0.6528 level ko test kar raha hai, aur stochastic positive signals dena jari rakhta hai jo is level ke breakout ka mauqa support karte hain aur aane wale sessions mein uptrend ki dominance ke continuation ko confirm karte hain. Yaad dilate chalain ke agla target 0.6810 par located hai, jabke current resistance ka consolidation positive efforts ke against price ko negative pressure mein daal sakta hai, jo ke 0.6641 tak le ja sakta hai.

Mazboot Australian July employment data Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke liye kuch pareshani ka sabab ban sakta hai. Full-time employment mein mazid izafa ho sakta hai jo RBA ko New Zealand ki tarah poori tarah se easing mood mein jane se rok sakta hai, aur shayad ye Waqt September mein Fed ke liye bhi dekhne ko milay, jaise ke ING ke FX strategist Chris Turner ne kaha. "Iska matlab yeh hai ke Australian Dollar (AUD) cross pairs mein acha perform karega. August ke shuru mein AUD/NZD ke girne ka matlab hai ke investors ne is cross ko upar trade karne ki umeed rakhi thi, magar yen-triggered deleveraging ne isko unwind kar diya. Ab hum dekh sakte hain ke yeh cross mid-July ke 1.1150 highs ko phir se test kare. "Agar Fed September mein cut kare aur US yield curve aur ziada steep ho jaye, to EUR/AUD neeche aana chahiye. Magar yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke China ki macro weakness AUD ko yahan rokh rahi ho. Overall, ek mahine ka target 0.68 hai AUD/USD ke liye. **AUD/USD**
Budh ke din, Australian dollar ne 0.6640 ka target level haasil kar liya, phir wahan se (MACD line aur 61.8% Fibonacci level se) neeche chala gaya, aur aaj subah 0.6570 ke support ko chhoo gaya. Yeh izafa Australia mein employment data ke release hone ke wajah se hua—Australia mein July mein 58,200 jobs create hui, jab ke forecast 20,200 thi, aur participation rate 66.9% se barh kar 67.1% hogayi, jiski wajah se ultimately unemployment 4.1% se barh kar 4.2% hogayi. Magar investors ne in data ko overall positive samjha. Iske ilawa, Japan ka GDP dusre quarter mein 3.1% barh gaya, jab ke umeed 2.1% ki thi
Price ko 0.6640 ke strong resistance ko overcome karna hoga ziada substantial movement ke liye, kam az kam 0.6680 ka target level haasil karne ke liye. Jab ke raw materials abhi bhi gir rahe hain, yeh sirf tab mumkin hai jab U.S. dollar globally weak ho jaye. Filhaal, yeh ek neutral position mein hai
4-hour chart mein, price balance line (red moving average) ke upar hai, aur Marlin oscillator wapas growth territory mein chala gaya hai. Nateeja tan, aussie abhi neutral range mein hai 0.6570-0.6640 ke darmiyan. Is range ke beyond breakout hi uske aage ka movement tay karega

ka ishara hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold level 30 ke neeche hover kar raha hai, jo upward correction ka potential suggest karta hai. AUD/USD pair ko immediate support descending channel ke lower boundary ke around reverse support level 0.6470 par mil sakta hai Dusri taraf, resistance pehli baar channel ke upper boundary ke around 0.6520 par encounter hota hai, followed by nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 0.6544. Agla significant resistance 0.6575 par hai, jahan "reverse support turned resistance" hai. Is level ke upar breakout AUD/USD pair ko six-month high 0.6798 tak push kar sakta hai. Main buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Sab ko profitable trades ki dua NZD/USD ke liye Current Market Situation
Chaliye D1 timeframe par NZD/USD currency pair discuss karte hain. Ye last month ke aath tareekh se downward trend mein hai, jo poora mahina continue raha steady decline ke sath. Ye downtrend doosre major pairs se zyada intense raha hai. Wave structure downward move kar raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line ke neeche. Third wave complete ho chuki hai, aur agar first wave par Fibonacci retracement apply karein, to hum dekhte hain ke minimum downside targets 161.8 aur 200 levels par reach ho chuke hain
Price ascending support line ko hit karta hai jo higher waves ke lows se draw hui hai, break through karte hue but support zone ke near horizontal level 0.5862 ko penetrate karne mein fail. Is se position closing hui sellers se aur new purchases hui, jise fourth wave mein slight rebound aya. Samajhne ki baat ye hai ke mahine ka end abhi abhi hua, monthly results lock karne ka waqt tha, jo price pullback ko lead karta hai. Technical reasons ke liye, four-hour chart par MACD par bullish divergence dikh raha hai. Ab, fifth wave mein decline ka continuation expected hai, jo significant minimum level 0.5862 ko update karega
Maine ye move last Friday ko expect kiya tha, lekin US news ki wajah se nahi hua. Non-farm payroll data forecast se bohot bura tha, US unemployment rate 0.2 points se barh gaya. Resultantly, price ne rally karne ki koshish ki but GBP aur EUR ke tarah surge nahi kar paya. Ye sellers ki strength indicate karta hai. Main ab bhi downward scenario ko likely dekhta hoo
Near-Term Strategy for NZD/US
NZD/USD pair ko H1 timeframe par dekhte hain, price upward trend mein hai kyunke 133-period moving average ke upar hai, jo trend ko confirm karta hai. Magar shorter timeframe par, price 133-period moving average ke neeche close ho raha hai, jo possible correction indicate karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke price 0.5965 level ke upar consolidate karega pehle is pair ko buy consider karne se pehle. Warna, agar price 0.5910 ke neeche girti hai, to ye sell ka signal hoga. Filhal priority upward trend par buying par hai

Mazboot Australian July employment data Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke liye kuch pareshani ka sabab ban sakta hai. Full-time employment mein mazid izafa ho sakta hai jo RBA ko New Zealand ki tarah poori tarah se easing mood mein jane se rok sakta hai, aur shayad ye Waqt September mein Fed ke liye bhi dekhne ko milay, jaise ke ING ke FX strategist Chris Turner ne kaha. "Iska matlab yeh hai ke Australian Dollar (AUD) cross pairs mein acha perform karega. August ke shuru mein AUD/NZD ke girne ka matlab hai ke investors ne is cross ko upar trade karne ki umeed rakhi thi, magar yen-triggered deleveraging ne isko unwind kar diya. Ab hum dekh sakte hain ke yeh cross mid-July ke 1.1150 highs ko phir se test kare. "Agar Fed September mein cut kare aur US yield curve aur ziada steep ho jaye, to EUR/AUD neeche aana chahiye. Magar yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke China ki macro weakness AUD ko yahan rokh rahi ho. Overall, ek mahine ka target 0.68 hai AUD/USD ke liye. **AUD/USD**
Budh ke din, Australian dollar ne 0.6640 ka target level haasil kar liya, phir wahan se (MACD line aur 61.8% Fibonacci level se) neeche chala gaya, aur aaj subah 0.6570 ke support ko chhoo gaya. Yeh izafa Australia mein employment data ke release hone ke wajah se hua—Australia mein July mein 58,200 jobs create hui, jab ke forecast 20,200 thi, aur participation rate 66.9% se barh kar 67.1% hogayi, jiski wajah se ultimately unemployment 4.1% se barh kar 4.2% hogayi. Magar investors ne in data ko overall positive samjha. Iske ilawa, Japan ka GDP dusre quarter mein 3.1% barh gaya, jab ke umeed 2.1% ki thi
Price ko 0.6640 ke strong resistance ko overcome karna hoga ziada substantial movement ke liye, kam az kam 0.6680 ka target level haasil karne ke liye. Jab ke raw materials abhi bhi gir rahe hain, yeh sirf tab mumkin hai jab U.S. dollar globally weak ho jaye. Filhaal, yeh ek neutral position mein hai
4-hour chart mein, price balance line (red moving average) ke upar hai, aur Marlin oscillator wapas growth territory mein chala gaya hai. Nateeja tan, aussie abhi neutral range mein hai 0.6570-0.6640 ke darmiyan. Is range ke beyond breakout hi uske aage ka movement tay karega

H4 chart par, jo review pehle kiya tha, us mein AUD/USD market mein aglay entry ka koi saboot nahi tha jab tak ke last night ke baad, jab is hafte ke awal mein ek bara spike aya tha—aik upward trend. Pichle kuch dinon mein price surge ke koi signs nahi they ke 0.6610 high tak pohanch sake, aur Tuesday aur Wednesday night ke dauran, price movement clearly down thi aur ab 0.6530 par hai. Iss decline ke baad, price 20-Bollinger-band area ke centre mein wapas ayi aur 150-SMA ke upar rahi. Market ne pichle do dinon mein ek narrow range mein consolidation kiya hai. Iss waja se, ziada H4 period indicators abhi bhi upward direction ko point kar rahe hain. Bullish case ko ek boost ki zaroorat hai kyun ke Australian dollar ke mukablay mein pound kuch momentum dhoondta nazar aa raha hai.

Is waqt hum AUD/USD currency pair ke live pricing ko decode karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. AUD/USD pair ne recent market turmoil ke dauran doosray commodity currencies ka behavior mirror kiya, jahan yeh briefly apne yearly low 0.63493 tak chali gayi jab investors safe-haven assets mein shift kar gaye. Lekin, yeh pair is low par zyada der tak nahi rahi, jaldi se rebound karke apni initial level ke qareeb wapas agayi usi din. H4 time frame chart par, Tuesday, August 7 ki candle ne ek solid green top dikhaya. Better Volume indicator ne isse apne histogram par ek white bar ke saath highlight kiya, jo bears ke liye yeh signal tha ke unka dominance kam ho raha hai aur bulls control mein aa rahe hain. Is signal ke mutabiq, pair ne is hafte ke flat corridor 0.65652/0.64823 se breakout kiya aur 38.2% Fibonacci level tak pohanch gaya. Agle hafte Australian dollar ki mazeed growth anticipate ki ja rahi hai, jo ke 50.0% Fibonacci level tak pohanch sakti hai. AUD/USD ne significant weekly volatility experience ki, jo mostly Black Monday ki wajah se thi jab Japanese stock market ne nosedive kiya, jisse doosray markets bhi affect huye. Commodities, including the Aussie, sabse ziada hit hue. Lekin situation dramatically reverse hui, aur week ke end tak, chart par ek sizable bullish pin bar form hui. Yeh pattern sloping support ke rebound hone ke baad, around 0.6359, nazar ayi. Iss wajah se growth agle hafte tak persist kar sakti hai, provided pattern 0.6629 level ko break karay. Agar yeh hota hai, toh further growth inclined resistance ke qareeb 0.669 tak pohanch sakti hai. Agle hafte ka course largely Wednesday ke U.S. inflation statistics par depend karega. Pair ki recent decline lower border of the ascending channel tak nahi pohanch saki, isliye pair Monday se downward continue karegi, with a potential target at 0.6552. Iss level ko pohanchne par decline pause kar sakta hai, jisse price wapas push upwards ho sakti hai.

Aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ki price movements ka analysis karein ge. AUD/USD pair mein Friday ko buying activity dekhi gayi thi, aur daily chart yeh dikhata hai ke upward trend jaari reh sakti hai. Ab sawaal yeh hai ke yeh bullish movement barqarar rahegi ya humein kisi alternative scenario ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, Monday ke liye jo recommendations hain, unmein moving averages active buying suggest karte hain, technical indicators bhi buying recommend kar rahe hain, aur overall output bhi buying ko support karta hai. Is analysis ke mutabiq, Monday ke liye bullish outlook hai. Australia se koi bara update expected nahi hai, lekin U.S. apna index of leading economic indicators release karega, jiska forecast negative hai.



Lekin, ek possibility yeh bhi hai ke yahan se bearish move dekhne ko mile, jo is trading instrument ki price mein notable drop la sakti hai. Yeh tab ho sakta hai agar market open hone ke baad AUD/USD pair aage push na kar sake aur 0.6598 level ke upar consolidate na kare, jo recent price increase mein dekha gaya tha. Agar yeh scenario unfold hota hai, to downward trend trigger ho sakta hai jahan price seedha bearish direction mein move karegi. Yeh scenario us waqt likely hoga agar price market open hone ke baad 0.6514 accumulation area tak dip kare aur phir wahan se upar janay ki koshish kare. Aise mein, AUD/USD pair 0.6554 level ko cross karne mein mushkil mehsoos kar sakti hai. Agar yeh resistance hold karti hai, to price 0.6554 se neeche gir kar bearish direction mein move kar sakti hai, aur area around 0.6449 tak ja sakti hai jahan significant amount of money involve hai.

Support ki baat karein to AUD/USD ascending channel ka lower boundary around 0.6630 hai, jo exchange rate ke liye immediate support hai, followed by 9-day moving average near 0.6618. Agar price moving average ke neeche girti hai, to pair pullback level of 0.6575 ko test kar sakti hai. Agar pair is support area ke neeche girti hai, to yeh bearish bias ko indicate karegi jo pair ko pullback level of 0.6470 tak le ja sakti hai.

AUD/USD pair agle kuch dinon mein significant movement ke liye tayar hai. Yeh analysis technical indicators, economic data, aur market sentiment ke combination par mabni hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ek critical point ke qareeb hai jo ek notable shift lead kar sakta hai. Chaliye market trend ko pichle teen hafton se monitor karte hain, yeh lagta hai ke yeh drastically bearish raha hai. Seller ke strong pressure se price weak ho rahi hai. Yahaan main apni rai dena chahta hoon market ke liye, agar main is haftay ki price movement pattern ko monitor karoon, to lagta hai ke market ab bhi neeche ja raha hai halanki kuch upward correction bhi dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Mere khayal mein, agle haftay bhi price bearish side par wapas aane ki koshish karegi jaise pichle haftay dekha gaya tha, jahan sellers ne candlestick ko highest zone 0.6786 se neeche le jaaya tha. Ab price position 0.6512 area par aa gayi hai, candlestick position ab bhi 100 period ke simple moving average zone se neeche chal rahi hai, jo ke larger time frame mein bearish trend ka continuation dikha rahi hai. Market scenario agle haftay ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke hum sirf price ke wapas neeche jane ka intezar kar rahe hain taake Sell trading signal mil sake. Yeh mumkin hai ke seller price ko aur neeche le jana chahte hain aur 100 period ke simple moving average zone se door le jana chahte hain. Agar main current price movement ko monitor karoon to yeh bearish lagta hai, mujhe lagta hai ke market seller ke asar mein hoga aur dobara girne ka chance hai taake 0.6471 price zone ko test kiya ja sake kyunki calculations aur technical analysis ke mutabiq price movement apni journey ko Downtrend side ki taraf continue kar sakti hai.
AUD/USD pair filhal bearish trend mein hai, aur market dheere dheere move kar raha hai. Lekin, kuch factors suggest karte hain ke ek significant movement imminent ho sakta hai. Technical indicators reversal ya continued decline ki possibility ko point out karte hain, jo depend karta hai ke pair key support levels ko hold kar pata hai ya nahi. Economic factors, khaaskar RBA aur Fed ke policies, bhi pair ke direction determine karne mein crucial role play karenge. Aakhir mein, market sentiment, jo global economic developments se influence hota hai, rapid changes lead kar sakta hai pair ke movement mein. Isliye, traders ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur AUD/USD pair mein potential volatility ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye agle kuch dinon mein.
AUD/USD ne significant weekly volatility experience ki, jo mostly Black Monday ki wajah se thi jab Japanese stock market ne nosedive kiya, jisse doosray markets bhi affect huye. Commodities, including the Aussie, sabse ziada hit hue. Lekin situation dramatically reverse hui, aur week ke end tak, chart par ek sizable bullish pin bar form hui. Yeh pattern sloping support ke rebound hone ke baad, around 0.6359, nazar ayi. Iss wajah se growth agle hafte tak persist kar sakti hai, provided pattern 0.6629 level ko break karay. Agar yeh hota hai, toh further growth inclined resistance ke qareeb 0.669 tak pohanch sakti hai. Agle hafte ka course largely Wednesday ke U.S. inflation statistics par depend karega. Pair ki recent decline lower border of the ascending channel tak nahi pohanch saki, isliye pair Monday se downward continue karegi, with a potential target at 0.6552. Iss level ko pohanchne par decline pause kar sakta hai, jisse price wapas push upwards ho sakti hai.

Mazboot Australian July employment data Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke liye kuch pareshani ka sabab ban sakta hai. Full-time employment mein mazid izafa ho sakta hai jo RBA ko New Zealand ki tarah poori tarah se easing mood mein jane se rok sakta hai, aur shayad ye Waqt September mein Fed ke liye bhi dekhne ko milay, jaise ke ING ke FX strategist Chris Turner ne kaha. "Iska matlab yeh hai ke Australian Dollar (AUD) cross pairs mein acha perform karega. August ke shuru mein AUD/NZD ke girne ka matlab hai ke investors ne is cross ko upar trade karne ki umeed rakhi thi, magar yen-triggered deleveraging ne isko unwind kar diya. Ab hum dekh sakte hain ke yeh cross mid-July ke 1.1150 highs ko phir se test kare. Magar yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke China ki macro weakness AUD ko yahan rokh rahi ho. Overall, ek mahine ka target 0.68 hai AUD/USD ke liye. **AUD/USD**
Budh ke din, Australian dollar ne 0.6640 ka target level haasil kar liya, phir wahan se (MACD line aur 61.8% Fibonacci level se) neeche chala gaya, aur aaj subah 0.6570 ke support ko chhoo gaya. Yeh izafa Australia mein employment data ke release hone ke wajah se hua—Australia mein July mein 58,200 jobs created hui, jab ke forecast 20,200 thi, aur participation rate 66.9% se barh kar 67.1% hogayi, jiski wajah se ultimately unemployment 4.1% se barh kar 4.2% hogayi. Magar investors ne in data ko overall positive samjha. Iske ilawa, Japan ka GDP dusre quarter mein 3.1% barh gaya, jab ke umeed 2.1% ki thi
Price ko 0.6640 ke strong resistance ko overcome karna hoga ziata substantial movement ke liye, kam az kam 0.6680 ka target level haasil karne ke liye. Jab ke raw materials abhi bhi gir rahe hain, yeh sirf tab mumkin hai jab US dollar globally weak ho jaye. Filhaal, yeh ek neutral position mein hai
4-hour chart mein, price balance line (red moving average) ke upar hai, aur Marlin oscillator wapas growth territory mein chala gaya hai. Nateeja tan, aussie abhi neutral range mein hai 0.6570-0.6640 ke darmiyan. Is range ke beyond breakout hi uske aage ka movement tay

MYR is saal ki sabse mazboot currency ban gayi hai, jo ab tak 5.1% barh gayi hai, jabke April mein 4% ki loss dekhne ko mili thi. SGD bhi is saal appreciate hui hai, 1.3% tak barh gayi hai, jabke April ke end tak 3% ki loss dekhi thi. THB is saal flat hai, lekin isne pehle chaar mahine mein 7-8% ki loss ko wipe out kar diya hai. Asian currencies ka outlook is region ke bade currencies (JPY aur CNY) ki recovery se support mil raha hai, kai Asian economies ne recently stronger-than-expected growth report ki hai amid US growth worries, aur aane wale do saal mein unke central banks ke Fed ke cut cycle ko match karne ki koi ummeed nahi hai. **AUD/USD Price Forecast:** 20 August 2024 ko 0.6750 ke aas-paas position banaye rakhta hai, short-term bullish trend ke saath. AUD/USD price short-term bullish trend ke wajah se aage barh sakta hai. 9-day EMA ne 50-day EMA ko cross kar diya hai, jo price momentum ke longer-term trend se tez hone ko indicate karta hai. Pair apne seven-month high 0.6798 ke aas-paas explore kar sakta hai. AUD/USD apni teen din ki winning streak ko rokte hue, Tuesday ko European hours ke dauran 0.6730 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Daily chart analysis yeh indicate karti hai ke pair ek ascending channel pattern mein upward move kar raha hai, jo bullish bias ko strengthen karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI bhi 70 mark ke kareeb hai, jo ongoing bullish momentum ko reinforce karta hai. 70 level tak pohnchne se currency pair ka overbought condition signal hota hai, jo potential correction ke liye indicate karta hai. Daily chart analysis ke mutabiq, 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ne 50-day EMA ko cross kiya hai. Ye crossover price momentum ke longer-term trend se tez hone ko suggest karta hai, jo short-term bullish trend ko signal karta hai. Upar ki taraf, AUD/USD pair apne seven-month high 0.6798 ke aas-paas aa sakta hai, jo 11 ko pohncha tha. Further resistance ascending channel ke upper boundary par 0.6820 level ke aas-paas hai. AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary ko test kar sakta hai jo nine-day EMA ke saath 0.6648 level par aligned hai. Agla support 50-day EMA par 0.6624 level par hai. 50-day EMA ke neeche breakdown se bullish bias kamzor Ho sakta hai aur pair ko niche pressure ka samna karna pad sakta hai, jo throwback level 0.6575 tak le ja sakta hai. Agar pair is support level ke neeche girta hai, to ye 0.6470 ke next throwback level ki taraf le ja sakta hai

mein significant drop ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh tab hoga agar market khulne ke baad AUD/USD pair mazeed upar jaane mein na kamyab ho aur 0.6598 level ke upar consolidate na kare, jo recent price increase mein tha. Agar yeh scenario hota hai, toh yeh downward trend ko trigger kar sakta hai, jahan price seedha bearish ho sakta hai. Yeh scenario tab mazeed mumkin banega agar market khulne ke baad price 0.6514 ke accumulation area tak girti hai aur phir wahan se rise karne ki koshish karti hai. Is surat mein, AUD/USD pair ko 0.6554 level ko paar karne mein mushkilat ho sakti hai. Agar yeh resistance mazboot rehti hai, toh price 0.6554 se bearish direction mein gir sakti hai, aur 0.6449 ke area ka rukh kar sakti hai, jahan significant amounts of money hain. Support ke liye, AUD/USD ascending channel ka lower boundary 0.6630 ke aas paas hai, jo exchange rate ke liye immediate support hai, uske baad 9-day moving average jo 0.6618 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh moving average ke neeche girti hai, toh pair 0.6575 ke pullback level ko test kar sakta hai. Agar pair is support area ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh bearish bias ko indicate kar sakti hai jo pair ko 0.6470 ke pullback level ki taraf le ja sakti hai US Dollar ko support milne mein mushkil ho rahi hai jab traders yeh samajhte hain ke Fed rate cuts laazmi hain. Sab ki nigahain Fed ke Chair Jerome Powell par hain Jackson Hole mein, jahan woh cuts ki tasdeeq karenge. US Dollar index 101.00 ke just upar trade kar raha hai aur agar weak sentiment barqarar rehta hai, toh yeh 100.00 tak gir sakta hai. US Dollar (USD) broadly flat trade kar raha hai jabke Wednesday ko US session ke start mein heavy selling hui, jis se ek aur leg lower trigger hui aur 2024 ka fresh low dekha gaya. Nonfarm Payrolls revision ne pehle se estimated 818,000 kam jobs highlight ki, jo ke over a decade mein sabse bari downward revision thi, aur US job market ke hawale se market concerns ko confirm kiya. Baad mein, July meeting ke Fed Minutes release hue, jisme confirm hua ke kuch members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) us waqt rate cut ka keh rahe the, jo September mein lagbhag certain hai. AUD/USD price mazeed advance kar sakti hai daily chart analysis ke mutabiq jo ek bullish bias ke mazboot hone ka ishara de rahi hai. 9-day EMA 50-day EMA ke upar position mein hai, jo recent price action ko longer-term trend ke outperfo

level ko penetrate karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jo ke 22 August 2024, Jumeraat ko trading ka high ya resistance area tha. Ab hum is support area level ka istemal karke agle trade mein pending buy limit order place kar sakte hain. Technical side se dekha jaye to 0.6800 se 0.6790 ke resistance area jo ke Jumme ke din trading mein form hua, is martaba key resistance area banega. Agar yeh resistance area breakout na kar saka, to Asian trading session mein AUD/USD currency pair ke pehle decline hone ki umeed hai, is se pehle ke yeh 0.6755 - 0.6765 ke support area level ko use karte hue buyers ke liye dubara climb karke aur bhi upar jaye.
In conditions ko dekhte hue market ke 0.6797 - 0.6799 ke price par open hone ki umeed hai, jahan qareebi support aur resistance 0.6811 aur 0.6787 ke aas paas ban rahe hain. Aur ye hai planning Monday ke liye:Buy ko maintain kiya jaye agar price 0.6811 ke resistance ko breakout kar sakta hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upwards hang karte huye bullish potential ke sath 0.6846 - 0.7262 level tak ja sakta hai.Agar price correct ho raha ho, to pullback ke dauran 0.6749 ke aas paas buy ki option dekhi ja sakti hai, take profit 0.6773 - 0.6790 tak le sakte hain, ya phir 0.6802 tak.Dusri buy option ye hai ke agar correction continue ho, buyers EMA 200 H1 line ke bounce ka intezar kar sakte hain, take profit 0.6725 - 0.6748 ke aas paas plan karna chahiye.Sell ki option agar price 0.6787 ko breakout karta hai, take profit 0.6772 - 0.6750 tak le sakte hain, lekin yeh risky ho sakta hai, behtar hoga ke 0.6749 area ke breakout ka intezar kiya jaye, jab EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 downside crossover banate hain, take profit 0.6709 - 0.6687 tak le sakte hain.Ek aur sell plan ye hai ke agar price 0.6846 area se reject hota hai, qareebi bearish potential 0.6813 tak hai jo buy positions open karne se behtar options hai. Main behtar entry point ka intezar karunga support level 0.66005 ke qareeb. Price ko is level tak pahunchne ke liye thoda dip hona zaroori hai. Mera profit target 0.67331 hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh strategy plan ke mutabiq unfold hogi. Agar price decline karta hai, to yeh stagnant lag sakta hai—koi bara downward movement na dikhaate huye. Lekin, price confidently upward trend mein surge kar sakta hai, obstacles, levels, aur critic

In conditions ko dekhte hue market ke 0.6797 - 0.6799 ke price par open hone ki umeed hai, jahan qareebi support aur resistance 0.6811 aur 0.6787 ke aas paas ban rahe hain. Aur ye hai planning Monday ke liye:Buy ko maintain kiya jaye agar price 0.6811 ke resistance ko breakout kar sakta hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upwards hang karte huye bullish potential ke sath 0.6846 - 0.7262 level tak ja sakta hai.Agar price correct ho raha ho, to pullback ke dauran 0.6749 ke aas paas buy ki option dekhi ja sakti hai, take profit 0.6773 - 0.6790 tak le sakte hain, ya phir 0.6802 tak.Dusri buy option ye hai ke agar correction continue ho, buyers EMA 200 H1 line ke bounce ka intezar kar sakte hain, take profit 0.6725 - 0.6748 ke aas paas plan karna chahiye.Sell ki option agar price 0.6787 ko breakout karta hai, take profit 0.6772 - 0.6750 tak le sakte hain, lekin yeh risky ho sakta hai, behtar hoga ke 0.6749 area ke breakout ka intezar kiya jaye, jab EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 downside crossover banate hain, take profit 0.6709 - 0.6687 tak le sakte hain.Ek aur sell plan ye hai ke agar price 0.6846 area se reject hota hai, qareebi bearish potential 0.6813 tak hai jo buy positions open karne se behtar options hai. Main behtar entry point ka intezar karunga support level 0.66005 ke qareeb. Price ko is level tak pahunchne ke liye thoda dip hona zaroori hai. Mera profit target 0.67331 hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh strategy plan ke mutabiq unfold hogi. Agar price decline karta hai, to yeh stagnant lag sakta hai—koi bara downward movement na dikhaate huye. Lekin, price confidently upward trend mein surge kar sakta hai, obstacles, levels, aur critical markers ko asaani se overcome karte hue. Minor hurdles, jaise ke H1 chart par, ka zyada asar nahi hota, jabke daily time frame par bade hurdles bhi progress ko barely slow karte hain. H4 chart par recent mein, daily time frame se 0.6699 ka benchmark, upward movement mein slight pause ka sabab bana, lekin upper movement ka silsila jaari raha

Australian dollar Friday ke trading session mein thoda sa barh gaya jab ke market Jackson Hole Symposium par focus kar rahi thi, khaaskar Jerome Powell ke expected speech par. Market ke participants bay-sabri se Powell ke remarks ka intezaar kar rahe hain kyun ke ye US dollar ke agle hafton ke trajectory ke liye ahem honge.

Jab Australian dollar 0.68 level ke qareeb pohanch gaya, jo ke aik key resistance zone hai, to ye 50-point barrier mein dakhil ho gaya jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar is level ka break hota hai, to ye ek bullish trend ko signal karega, jo sirf Australian dollar ke muqable mein nahi, balke doosri major currencies ke muqable mein bhi US dollar ki mazid kamzori ki nishani hogi.

Magar agar Australian dollar reverse hota hai aur girta hai, to 0.6650 level aik ahem support zone ban sakta hai, khaaskar 50-day EMA ke is area ke saath qareeb hone ki wajah se. Agar ye support break hota hai, to agla target shayad 0.6450 level ho sakta hai. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke Stochastic Oscillator abhi overbought condition show kar raha hai aur is area mein cross karne laga hai, jo ke possible pullback ka indication hai.

Is environment mein, market ko volatile aur unpredictable rehne ki umeed hai, jo ke short-term fluctuations aur erratic trading behavior se characterized hoga. Jab ke breach ki possibility hai, ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Traders shayad bare positions lene mein hichkichayenge jab tak koi clearer trend saamne nahi aata. Lekin agar Australian dollar upside break kar leta hai, to ye ek mazid aur significant move higher ki raah bana sakta hai, jo ke broader US dollar ke weakening ka signal hoga.

Kul mila kar, jab ke market Jackson Hole Symposium ke key developments ke intezaar mein hai, Australian dollar ki performance aane wale sessions mein ziada tar Powell ke speech ke broader implications aur market ke uske interpretation par depend karegi.

Mazboot Australian July employment data Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke liye kuch pareshani ka sabab ban sakta hai. Full-time employment mein mazid izafa ho sakta hai jo RBA ko New Zealand ki tarah poori tarah se easing mood mein jane se rok sakta hai, aur shayad ye Waqt September mein Fed ke liye bhi dekhne ko milay, jaise ke ING ke FX strategist Chris Turner ne kaha. "Iska matlab yeh hai ke Australian Dollar (AUD) cross pairs mein acha perform karega. August ke shuru mein AUD/NZD ke girne ka matlab hai ke investors ne is cross ko upar trade karne ki umeed rakhi thi, magar yen-triggered deleveraging ne isko unwind kar diya. Ab hum dekh sakte hain ke yeh cross mid-July ke 1.1150 highs ko phir se test kare. "Agar Fed September mein cut kare aur US yield curve aur ziada steep ho jaye, to EUR/AUD neeche aana chahiye. Magar yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke China ki macro weakness AUD ko yahan rokh rahi ho. Overall, ek mahine ka target 0.68 hai AUD/USD ke liye. **AUD/USD**
Budh ke din, Australian dollar ne 0.6640 ka target level haasil kar liya, phir wahan se (MACD line aur 61.8% Fibonacci level se) neeche chala gaya, aur aaj subah 0.6570 ke support ko chhoo gaya. Yeh izafa Australia mein employment data ke release hone ke wajah se hua—Australia mein July mein 58,200 jobs create hui, jab ke forecast 20,200 thi, aur participation rate 66.9% se barh kar 67.1% hogayi, jiski wajah se ultimately unemployment 4.1% se barh kar 4.2% hogayi. Magar investors ne in data ko overall positive samjha. Iske ilawa, Japan ka GDP dusre quarter mein 3.1% barh gaya, jab ke umeed 2.1% ki thi
Price ko 0.6640 ke strong resistance ko overcome karna hoga ziada substantial movement ke liye, kam az kam 0.6680 ka target level haasil karne ke liye. Jab ke raw materials abhi bhi gir rahe hain, yeh sirf tab mumkin hai jab U.S. dollar globally weak ho jaye. Filhaal, yeh ek neutral position mein hai
4-hour chart mein, price balance line (red moving average) ke upar hai, aur Marlin oscillator wapas growth territory mein chala gaya hai. Nateeja tan, aussie abhi neutral range mein hai 0.6570-0.6640 ke darmiyan. Is range ke beyond breakout hi uske aage ka movement tay karega