ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Australian dollar gir raha hai jab se Monday ka PMI data release hua hai. July mein Australia ka composite PMI 49.9 par gir gaya jo June mein 50.2 tha, aur services PMI bhi 50.4 par aagaya jo pehle 51.8 tha. US dollar bhi apna ground kho raha hai recent unfavorable employment data ki wajah se, jis ne Fed rate cut ke expectations ko September mein barhaya hai. Australian dollar Monday ko 0.6460 ke around trade kar raha hai Daily chart ko analyze karte hue, hum dekhte hain ke AUD/USD pair descending channel mein consolidate ho raha hai, jo bearish sentiment ka ishara hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold level 30 ke neeche hover kar raha hai, jo upward correction ka potential suggest karta hai. AUD/USD pair ko immediate support descending channel ke lower boundary ke around reverse support level 0.6470 par mil sakta hai Dusri taraf, resistance pehli baar channel ke upper boundary ke around 0.6520 par encounter hota hai, followed by nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 0.6544. Agla significant resistance 0.6575 par hai, jahan "reverse support turned resistance" hai. Is level ke upar breakout AUD/USD pair ko six-month high 0.6798 tak push kar sakta hai. Main buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Sab ko profitable trades ki dua
NZD/USD ke liye Current Market Situation
Chaliye D1 timeframe par NZD/USD currency pair discuss karte hain. Ye last month ke aath tareekh se downward trend mein hai, jo poora mahina continue raha steady decline ke sath. Ye downtrend doosre major pairs se zyada intense raha hai. Wave structure downward move kar raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line ke neeche. Third wave complete ho chuki hai, aur agar first wave par Fibonacci retracement apply karein, to hum dekhte hain ke minimum downside targets 161.8 aur 200 levels par reach ho chuke hain
Price ascending support line ko hit karta hai jo higher waves ke lows se draw hui hai, break through karte hue but support zone ke near horizontal level 0.5862 ko penetrate karne mein fail. Is se position closing hui sellers se aur new purchases hui, jise fourth wave mein slight rebound aya. Samajhne ki baat ye hai ke mahine ka end abhi abhi hua, monthly results lock karne ka waqt tha, jo price pullback ko lead karta hai. Technical reasons ke liye, four-hour chart par MACD par bullish divergence dikh raha hai. Ab, fifth wave mein decline ka continuation expected hai, jo significant minimum level 0.5862 ko update karega
Maine ye move last Friday ko expect kiya tha, lekin US news ki wajah se nahi hua. Non-farm payroll data forecast se bohot bura tha, US unemployment rate 0.2 points se barh gaya. Resultantly, price ne rally karne ki koshish ki but GBP aur EUR ke tarah surge nahi kar paya. Ye sellers ki strength indicate karta hai. Main ab bhi downward scenario ko likely dekhta hoo
Near-Term Strategy for NZD/US
NZD/USD pair ko H1 timeframe par dekhte hain, price upward trend mein hai kyunke 133-period moving average ke upar hai, jo trend ko confirm karta hai. Magar shorter timeframe par, price 133-period moving average ke neeche close ho raha hai, jo possible correction indicate karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke price 0.5965 level ke upar consolidate karega pehle is pair ko buy consider karne se pehle. Warna, agar price 0.5910 ke neeche girti hai, to ye sell ka signal hoga. Filhal priority upward trend par buying par hai hourly timeframe mein
Aaj, main potential buy opportunities NZD/USD ke liye dekh raha hoon. Given ke last daily close ek new high result karta hai, main buy entries dekhunga. Best buying price previous day's low 0.5933 hoga, lekin main entries is point ke upar bhi consider karunga. Agar price previous day's range ke 50% se neeche drop hoti hai, mere paas ek stop order hai losses ko limit karne ke liye 0.5911 par. Main profit 50% above highest point of previous day 0.5999 par loonga
Market Dynamics and Future Outloo
NZD/USD pair ke performance ko H1 chart par dekhte hue, market dynamics potential buying opportunities dikhate hain despite recent downward pressure. Focus key support aur resistance levels ke around price behavior par hoga. Resistance level 0.5965 ke upar break aur consolidation further bullish movement ka rasta khol sakta hai, jo higher levels ko target kar sakta hai

Tenkan-sen line 0.67539 par Kijun-sen line 0.67659 ke neeche cross kar gayi hai, jo ek bechne ka signal hai. Cloud Senkou Span B line 0.67733 aur Senkou Span A line 0.67757 se bana hai, jo mazboot resistance ke taur par kaam karte hain, isay ek behtareen bechnay ka mauqa banata hai. In do sharton ke milne se, cross aur cloud ke neeche honay se, ek taqatwar bechnay ka signal banta hai. Is maloomat par base karke, mujhe yeh natija nikalna hai ke bechna faidaymand hai. Aam taur par, ek taqatwar signal ke sath, mein Stochastic oscillator ka istemal nahi karta hoon, lekin mazeed durust dakhilay ke liye, aap upper part mein 80 level ke neeche honay par dakhilay ka tajarba kar sakte hain. Bechne walay fail ho jayenge agar market cloud ke oopar chala gaya aur jam gaya. Is liye zaroori hai market price ko 0.67478 par Ichimoku cloud ke hawale se monitor karna, jahan bhi cross ke ultay rukh ka mumaasla oonchey movement ka zahir karta hai.
Pehla manzar aik reversal candlestick aur upar ki taraf ke qeemat ke phir se ikhtiyar ke bunyadi andaruni tajarbay ke sath mutaliq hai. Agar yeh mansuba tayyar kiya gaya toh, mein ummeed karta hoon ke qeemat yeh resistance level par wapas aayegi, jo 0.67986 par waqai hai. Is resistance level ke upar qeemat band hone par, mein mazeed shumali harkat ka intezar karoonga, takay 0.68711 ke resistance level tak pahunch jaye. Is qareebi resistance level ke paas, mein trading setup ke banne ka intezar karoonga, jo aagey trading direction ke tajarbat ko darust karne mein madadgar sabit hoga. Beshak, aur bhi door tak shumali maqsadat ke liye maqsad bandish mumkin hain, jis mein se ek, meri analysis ke mutabiq 0.70301 par waqai hai, lekin yeh halaat aur qeemat ke harkat ke doran news flow par munhasar hoga.
Price ke rukh ko le kar dusra manzar yeh hai ke support level 0.67141 par test karne ke doran agar price band ho jaye toh, aik plan jari hai ke qeemat is level ke neeche band ho aur phir mazeed junubi harkat kare. Agar yeh mansuba tayyar kiya gaya toh, mein umeed karta hoon ke qeemat support level 0.66342 tak junubi harkat karegi. Is qareebi support level ke paas, mein mazeed shumali signals dhoondne ka jari rahoonga, ummeed karte hue ke upar ki taraf harkat dobara shuru hogi. Beshak, aur bhi door tak junubi maqsadat ko nishana banane ki mumkinat hai, lekin mein is waqt is ke tayyar hone ki taufeeq nahi dekh raha hoon kyun ke yeh jaldi puri hone ki ummeed nahi hai. Amm tor par, agar hum chotay alfaz mein baat karein toh, ajj ke din mere liye is aalaat mein kuch dilchasp nahi nazar aata. Kul mila kar, mein tasawwur karta hoon ke qeemat qareebi support levels ko dobara test kar sakti hai, aur phir maujooda global shumali trend ke sath traders shumali signals dhoondne ki koshish karenge, ummeed karte hue ke upar ki taraf harkat dobara shuru hai

**AUD/USD Market Analysis**
**August 4, 2024**

Pichle teen hafton se market ka trend kaafi bearish nazar aa raha hai. Sellers ka pressure itna zyada hai ke price kamzor hoti ja rahi hai. Mera opinion hai ke is haftay bhi price downward movement ko continue karegi, halanki ek chhoti si upward correction dekhi gayi hai. Mere khayal mein, agle haftay bhi price bearish trend ko follow kar sakti hai, jaise ke pichle hafte dekha gaya tha. Kal sellers ne candlestick ko 0.6786 ke highest zone se neeche le ja diya.

Ab price 0.6512 area tak gir chuki hai, aur candlestick ab bhi 100-period simple moving average ke niche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke bearish trend ko larger time frame mein indicate karta hai. Agle haftay ke market scenario ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke hum price ke neeche girne ka intezar kar rahe hain taake ek Sell trading signal mil sake. Yeh mumkin hai ke seller price ko 100-period simple moving average ke zone se door le jana chahta ho. Current price movement bhi bearish lag raha hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke market phir se seller ke influence mein aayegi aur 0.6471 ke price zone tak gir sakti hai, kyun ke technical analysis ke mutabiq price movement downtrend side ko continue kar sakti hai.

**Trading Recommendation:** SELL (4-Hour Chart)

**Position Opening Strategy:**

AUD/USD pair ke price movement ko agar 4-hour time frame par dekha jaye, to yeh market trend downtrend ki taraf move karta nazar aata hai. Pichle mahine se lekar is mahine tak ke candlestick movement ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke price aur neeche gir sakti hai, jo ke bearish side ko continue karne ke mauqe ko janam dega. Ideal area trading position open karne ke liye 0.6476 ke aas-paas hai, aur shayad seller ka target 0.6427 zone ke aas-paas ho. Isliye, agle haftay trading period ke liye hum trend direction ke mutabiq position open karne ke mauqe ko dekh sakte hain.

ChatGPT

AUD/USD جوڑی اس وقت چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر اپنی حالیہ تجارتی رینج کی بالائی حد کے قریب تجارت کر رہی ہے، اور مجموعی رجحان اوپر کی جانب نظر آتا ہے۔ میں ابھی خریداری کرنے میں ہچکچاہٹ محسوس کر رہا ہوں۔ کئی عوامل اس بات کی نشاندہی کر رہے ہیں کہ نیچے کی جانب اصلاح زیادہ ممکن ہے۔ سب سے پہلے، اگرچہ قیمتوں کا رجحان اوپر کی جانب ہے، مگر کوٹس اس تجارتی رینج کی بالائی حد کے قریب ہیں۔ یہ خریداری کے دباؤ کے ختم ہونے کی ممکنہ نشاندہی کر رہا ہے۔ اس کے علاوہ، چارٹ پر تکنیکی اشارے بھی واپسی کا اشارہ دے رہے ہیں۔ دلچسپ بات یہ ہے کہ اگر بیئرز (فروخت کنندگان) قیمت کو نیلے موونگ ایوریج سے نیچے رکھنے میں کامیاب ہو جاتے ہیں، تو ہم زرد موونگ ایوریج کے ارد گرد 0.6710 کی جانب ایک واپسی دیکھ سکتے ہیں۔ یہ کہانی کا اختتام نہیں ہوگا۔ قیمت زرد سپورٹ سے نیچے جا سکتی ہے اور نیچے کی جانب چل سکتی ہے، جس سے سپورٹ کی سطحوں کا دوبارہ جائزہ لینے کی ضرورت پیش آئے گی۔

میری نظر میں، اوپر کی جانب حرکت اس وقت کم ممکن ہے۔ تاہم، اگر AUD/USD جوڑی موجودہ مقامی بلندیاں 0.6761 سے اوپر جا سکتی ہے، تو میں فوراً شامل نہیں ہوں گا۔ اس کے بجائے، میں اوپر کی جانب حرکت کے ختم ہونے کے آثار کا انتظار کروں گا اور فروخت کے مواقع تلاش کروں گا۔

آخر میں، آج بعد میں ایک اہم واقعہ اس کرنسی جوڑی پر نمایاں اثر ڈال سکتا ہے۔ جیروم پاول، فیڈرل ریزرو کے سربراہ، ایک اور تقریر کرنے والے ہیں۔ ان کے کل کے تبصرے سے امریکی ڈالر کی نمایاں مضبوطی ہوئی۔ اگر وہ سود کی شرحوں پر اپنی سخت مؤقف کو دہراتے ہیں، یعنی وہ موجودہ معاشی ماحول میں انہیں کم کرنے کے حق میں نہیں ہیں، تو میرے AUD/USD کے کم ہونے کی توقعات مزید مضبوط ہوں گی۔

نتیجہ کے طور پر، اگرچہ AUD/USD اوپر کی طرف رجحان کر رہا ہے، مگر موجودہ قیمت کی سطح، تکنیکی اشارے، اور پاول کی تقریر کی ممکنہ سختی اس بات کی نشاندہی کر رہی ہے کہ مستقبل قریب میں نیچے کی جانب اصلاح زیادہ ممکن ہے۔ میں مارکیٹ میں داخلے کے لئے زیادہ موزوں موقع کا انتظار کروں گا، چاہے ممکنہ بریک آؤٹ کے بعد فروخت کے اشارے تلاش کر کے یا زرد موونگ ایوریج کی جانب قیمت کی واپسی کا فائدہ اٹھا کر۔

AUD/USD جوڑی ایک اوپر کی جانب رجحان میں ہے، Ichimoku بادل کے اوپر تجارت کر رہی ہے، جس سے بلش مومینٹم کا اشارہ ملتا ہے۔ اوپر کی طرف اشارہ کرنے والا اسٹوکاسٹک بھی خریداری کی حمایت کرتا ہے۔ جوڑی آج کے سیشن میں بڑھتی رہی، پلٹنے کی سطح کے اوپر قائم ہوئی، اور اب 0.6741 پر تجارت کر رہی ہے۔ اندر دن کے ترقی کے اہداف کلاسک Pivot کی سطحوں کی مزاحمتیں ہیں۔ امکان ہے کہ موجودہ سطحوں سے ترقی جاری رہے گی، پہلی مزاحمتی سطح 0.6672 کے بریک سے آگے بڑھ کر 0.6831 کے قریب مزاحمت کی لائن سے آگے نکل جائے گی۔ اگر مارکیٹ نیچے کی طرف جاری رہتی ہے تو 0.6672 کی سپورٹ سطح ریفرنس پوائنٹ ہوگی۔

AUD/USD market sellers ke favor mein rahega. Woh price ko 0.6665 se neeche push kar sakte hain. Aur, aik comprehensive view ke liye, weekly chart ka bhi jaiza lena prudent hai. Weekly chart ek broader perspective provide karta hai, jo long-term trends aur key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne mein madad karta hai. Daily aur weekly charts ke signals ko cross-reference karke, hum market direction ka ek zyada accurate aur reliable understanding hasil kar sakte hain. Weekly chart AUD/USD ke liye is waqt bullish sentiment reinforce karta hai, jo sustained upward momentum aur strong support levels dikhata hai.
AUD/USD trade karte waqt ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai, khaaskar high volatility periods mein, jaise ke news data releases. In times mein high trading volumes significant price swings aur increased risk ka sabab ban sakte hain. Iss risk ko manage karne ke liye, moderate volumes ke sath trade karna aur robust risk management strategies implement karna advisable hai. Stop-loss orders set karna aur predetermined levels par profit lena unexpected market movements aur capital ko safeguard karne mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Market ke jaldi 0.6665 zone cross karne ki umeed hai.
AUD/USD trade karte waqt caution exercise karna zaroori hai, khaaskar high volatility periods ke doran, jaise ke news data releases. Aise times mein high trading volumes significant price swings aur increased risk lead kar sakte hain. Is risk ko manage karne ke liye, moderate volumes ke sath trade karna aur robust risk management strategies implement karna advisable hai. Stop-loss orders set karna aur predetermined levels par profits lena unexpected market movements ke against protect karne aur capital ko safeguard karne mein madad deta hai. Market ke jaldi 0.6665 zone cross karne ka imkaan hai.
Economic data releases from Australia aur United States, commodity prices (khaaskar Australia's resource-rich economy ke hawale se), aur broader geopolitical developments AUD/USD pair ki price dynamics ko impact kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, positive economic data from Australia ya rising commodity prices bullish scenario ko support kar sakti hain, jab ke negative news bearish pressures ko reinforce kar sakti hain. Conclusion mein, AUD/USD pair ka recent break through 0.6801 aur subsequent price movements traders ke liye mix of challenges aur opportunities present karte hain. Key levels jo dekhne hain wo hain 0.6689 downside par aur 0.6801 upside par.
AUD/USD pair. Australia aur United States ke economic data releases, commodity prices mein tabdeeliyan (khaaskar Australia ke resource-rich economy ko dekhte hue), aur broader geopolitical developments sab is pair ke price dynamics ko impact kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, Australia se positive economic data ya rising commodity prices ek bullish scenario ko support kar sakte hain, jabke negative news bearish pressures ko reinforce kar sakte hain.
Akhir mein, AUD/USD pair ka recent break through 0.6801 aur subsequent price movements traders ke liye challenges aur opportunities ka mix present karte hain. Key levels jo watch karne hain woh hain 0.6689 downside par aur 0.6801 upside par. Agar price 0.6801 ki taraf surge kare aur isse beyond jaye toh yeh ek acha mauka hoga long positions enter karne ka, jabke current price 0.67242 buyers ke liye ek strategic entry point offer karta hai jo anticipated upward correction ka faida uthana chahte hain. Technical signals aur external economic factors dono par vigilant aur responsive rehkar, traders effectively current market dynamics ko navigate kar sakte hain.

trading success achieve karne ke liye vital hai rewrite in roman urdu

ChatGPT

AUD/USD currency pair ke current price behavior ka analysis karke trading ke liye kuch interesting opportunities saamne aayi hain. Daily chart pe pair ke movements ko capture kiya jaa raha hai, jo successful trade ke liye potential entry aur exit points ka insight dete hain. Main khas taur pe 0.65938 pe sell entry focus kar raha hoon, jiska take profit level 0.65379 pe set kiya hai. Ye strategy current market structure aur meri anticipation pe based hai ke yeh support level 0.65209 ki taraf decline karega.

Daily chart pe green range ek zone indicate kar rahi hai jahan pe pair pehle trade hua tha, jo ek significant area of support aur resistance ko suggest karti hai. Jab AUD/USD pair is range mein trade kar raha tha, meri analysis ne 0.65209 support level ki taraf decline anticipate kiya. Ye level historically ek strong base provide karta hai, jo take profit target set karne ke liye crucial point banata hai. Is support ko aim karke, strategy market structure ke existing downward trend continuation ke expectation ke saath align hoti hai.

Lekin, market changes ke saath adaptive rehna zaruri hai. Agar market structure unexpectedly shift hota hai, toh meri stop-loss mechanisms ko trigger karna potential losses ko mitigate karne ke liye crucial hoga. Forex markets ki dynamic nature flexibility demand karti hai, aur naye resistance levels ke saath adapt hona ek robust trading strategy ka hissa hai. Agar resistance manifest hota hai, toh 0.65379 level se buying viable alternative ban sakti hai, is support point se potential upward reversals ka fayda uthate hue.

Recent movement towards 0.68117 resistance bhi noteworthy hai. Yeh rise unexpected thi, mainly stagnant US inflation ki wajah se, jo typically US dollar pe downward pressure dalti hai. 0.68117 ki taraf surge aisa lagta hai ke seller stops ko range se remove karne ke efforts ki wajah se driven thi, indicating a possible liquidity grab. Aise movements aksar stop-loss orders ko clear out karne ke liye design hote hain, jo bade market participants ko subsequent trades ke liye better entry provide karte hain.

Is upward movement ke bawajood, maine 0.68117 ke beyond further ascent anticipate nahi kiya kyunki US mein significant inflationary pressure ka lack tha. Stagnant inflation typically Federal Reserve ke aggressive rate hikes ke prospects ko dampen karti hai, jo dollar ki attractiveness ko reduce karti hai. Consequently, 0.68117 ki taraf rally temporary spike lagti hai rather than ek sustained uptrend ki shuruaat.

Summary mein, AUD/USD pair ka current analysis daily chart pe 0.65938 pe ek strategic sell entry suggest karta hai with take profit at 0.65379, historical support levels aur recent price movements ke basis pe. 0.68117 ki taraf unexpected rise, jo likely seller stops ko clear karne ke liye aimed thi, potential volatility indicate karti hai aur trading decisions mein flexible rehne ki importance ko underscore karti hai. Market structures ko closely monitor karke aur changes ke saath adaptive rehkar, forex trading ke complexities ko effectively navigate kiya ja sakta hai. Chahe pair apna decline continue kare ya naye resistance levels encounter kare, strategies ko accordingly adjust karne ke liye prepared rehna forex market ke ever-evolving nature mein trading success achieve karne ke liye vital hai.

Main AUD/USD ki price action ka tajzia kar raha hoon. Guzishta trading haftay ke doran, US dollar ki girawat ne AUD/USD pair ki quotes ko mazid support diya, jissey ye current daily chart trading range ke upper boundary ke qareeb aa gayi hain. Just above is a strong resistance level at 0.6766, jo 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke mutabiq hai. Dollar ki girawat transient thi, jo keh ziada tar kharab US labor market data ki wajah se hui. Ajeeb baat ye hai keh, labor statistics mein thodi si kamzori ke bawajood, non-farm payroll data ne expectations se behtar performance di, jo shayad aane wale trading haftay ke aghaz mein US dollar ki perceptions ko badal sakti hai. Speculators ne iss surat-e-haal ka faida uthaya aur market activity mein thodi si izafa kiya. Magar, mazid US dollar depreciation ke koi compelling indicators nahi hain. Is liye, agar price blue moving average ya 0.6766 resistance se rebound hoti hai, to main sell karne ka sochunga aur anticipate karunga keh price 0.6660 support level ki taraf correctional decline karegi.


Mere bearish outlook ke bawajood, main alternative scenario ke liye bhi open hoon, jo tab possible hoga agar price decisively breach karte hue daily candle 0.6766 level ke upar close hoti hai. Aise scenario mein, bullish momentum quotes ko current local peak of 0.6901 ki taraf propel kar sakta hai. Agar 0.6751 se upar trade hota hai aur wahan sustain karta hai, to ye buying opportunity ka signal hoga. False breakdown below 0.6731 ka possibility hai keh continued upward movement hoti rahe, jo shayad 0.6751 mark ko breach karne ka raasta banaye. Agar growth US session mein persist karti hai, to 0.6751 ke upar break plausible ho jata hai. Yeh bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega agar buyers 0.6761 ko surpass karte hain aur uske upar trading sustain hoti hai. A breakout above 0.6711 aur bhi buying signals trigger kar sakta hai jo upward trend ko extend karega. Agar false dip below 0.6711 hoti hai, to woh buying opportunity ko precede kar sakta hai. Considering potential consolidation above 0.6751 range, focus abhi bhi strengthening par hai.

AUD/USD technical analysis

Main AUD/USD ke time frame mein selling ki mumkinat ko analyze karna chahta hoon. Har din ek trade ki jaayegi jo ek ghanta chalegi. Deal ko 0.65552 par kiya ja sakta hai. Hamare stops is tarah honge: Stop Loss ke liye - 0.6510, pehli remaining position ke liye Take Profit - 0.6590, doosri remaining position ke liye Take Profit - 0.6560, aur teesri remaining part ke liye Take Profit - 0.9638. Agar signal badal jaye to deal ko plus ke saath cover karna behtar hai na ke stop ka intezar karna. Jab aap deposits ke halat ko dekhte hain, to lagta hai jaise aap swing ko dheere dheere chalate hain. Bahut pehle maine is bare mein sochna chhod diya tha. Sirf trading hai aur kuch nahi. Dollar ki movements sirf Fed ke plans aur unki implementation ka natija hain.



Chaar ghante ke interval (0.6560) par, girawat ka tajwez diya ja raha hai ke kam se kam 60% Fibonacci level tak pahuchegi, jo ke 0.6510 ke bohot kareeb hai. Agle hafte ke liye agar dollar ki correction jari rahi (matlab, sabhi major currencies ne us waqt se mazbooti hasil ki hai), to bears theoretically 0.6626 (62.8%) aur 0.6610 (76.4%) levels ko target kar sakte hain. Jab ke ye levels niche lag sakte hain, agar bulls current girawat ko continue rakhenge, to ye sirf situation ko aur kharab karega aur girawat ko tez karega. Ye ek trading signal ko activate karega aur agle step me 0.6590 ko test kiya jayega, jo scalpers ke liye ek achi opportunity hai. Neeche ke channel lines aur monthly support level 0.6530 tak pahunchne ke baad, price ne upar ki taraf rebound kiya, jise strong support mila jo cost ko mahine ke opening level ko break karne ki ijaazat diya.

**AUD/USD Market Outlook:**

#### **Price Action Analysis:**

AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ke mutabiq, iska potential upar ki taraf movement dikh raha hai. Traders jo is potential ka faida uthana chahte hain, unhe kuch specific entry points aur key levels ko consider karna hoga taake risk manage kiya ja sake aur profits optimize kiye ja sakein.

#### **Recommended Trading Strategy:**

1. **Entry Point:**
- **Buy Order Range:** 0.6492 se 0.6477 ke beech buy order kholna. Ye range market conditions aur price action analysis ke mutabiq ek favorable entry zone hai.

2. **Stop-Loss Strategy:**
- **Invalidation Level:** Agar price 0.6470 level se neeche chali jati hai, toh short-term bullish outlook invalidate ho jayega. Is level ke thoda neeche stop-loss set karna aapko potential losses se bachane mein madad karega agar bearish reversal unexpected ho.

#### **Key Considerations:**

1. **Support aur Resistance Levels:**
- **Support at 0.6470:** 0.6470 level ek crucial support hai. Agar is level se price neeche girti hai, toh yeh increased selling pressure aur bearish trend shift ko suggest karta hai.
- **Resistance Levels:** Immediate focus support range par buying opportunities par hai, lekin resistance levels ko bhi monitor karna zaroori hai jo ke current price ke upar hain, taake take-profit zones anticipate kiye ja sakein aur trades effectively manage kiye ja sakein.

2. **Technical Indicators:**
- **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** RSI ko overbought ya oversold conditions ke liye monitor karein. Agar RSI 70 level ke kareeb pohanchti hai, toh yeh overbought situation ka indication ho sakta hai jahan price resistance ka samna kar sakti hai.
- **Moving Averages:** Short-term moving averages (e.g., 20-day MA) par nazar rakhein for bullish crossover signs, jo ke upward momentum ko aur validate kar sakti hai.

3. **Fundamental Factors:**
- **Economic Data:** Australian economic data, jaise employment figures, GDP growth, aur trade balances, AUD ki strength ko significantly influence kar sakti hai. Positive data bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai.
- **US Dollar Dynamics:** USD ki strength, jo ke US economic performance aur Federal Reserve policies se driven hai, bhi crucial role play karegi. Hawkish Fed signals ya strong US economic data AUD/USD ke bullish sentiment ko counteract kar sakti hai.#### **Risk Management:**

1. **Position Sizing:**
- Trading capital ka ek hissa allocate karein jo overall risk management strategy ke saath align kare. Over-leveraging se bachein, kyunki forex markets bohot volatile ho sakte hain.

2. **Dynamic Stop-Loss:**
- Trailing stop-loss ka istemal karein taake profits ko protect kiya ja sake jab price favorable movement show kare. Ye approach gains ko lock kar deti hai aur position ko further upward movements se benefit uthane ka mauka deti hai.

3. **Regular Monitoring:**
- Real-time news aur market developments se updated rahein. Achaanak geopolitical events ya unexpected economic reports currency movements ko impact kar sakte hain, jo ke trading strategies mein quick adjustments ki zaroorat pesh karte hain.

### **Conclusion:**

AUD/USD currency pair 0.6492 se 0.6477 ke range mein ek potential buying opportunity provide karta hai. Lekin, traders ko 0.6470 level ke niche break hone par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo ke bullish outlook ko invalidate kar sakti hai. Technical analysis aur sound risk management practices ko combine karke, traders market ko effectively navigate kar sakte hain aur potential upward movements ka faida utha sakte hain.

Aaj ke din hum AUD/USD ki price movements ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Is waqt AUD/USD 0.6560 par trade ho raha hai. Technically, main thodi si price mein izafa expect kar raha hoon kyun ke recent candle chart pe upward momentum ke saath price increase show kar rahi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), do oscillators, kuch positive bias dikhate hain, aur RSI positive range mein hai. Saath hi, MACD indicator buy signal de raha hai. Yeh behtar hoga ke AUD/USD khareeda jaye. Is time frame chart pe price moving average lines ke upar hai aur indicator bullish trend ko support kar raha hai.

Yeh behtar hoga agar 0.6621 range ke qareeb reha jaye. Hum pehle 0.6621 range ko try kar sakte hain. Yeh mumkin hai ke horizontal resistance level 0.6621 ko break karke 0.6800 ka high touch kiya jaye, lekin is se bhi upar ke targets hain. Uske baad, agar 0.6621 ke baad 0.6800 ka resistance break hota hai, to AUD/USD mazeed barh ke 0.7232 jo ke third level of resistance hai, tak pahunch sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar AUD/USD ki price girti hai aur 0.6475 jo ke first level of support hai, ko break kar deti hai, to yeh support zone ka breakout indicate karega aur price further gir ke 0.6349 jo ke second level of support hai, tak pahunch sakti hai. Is scenario mein, AUD/USD mazeed decline karke 0.5932 ke neeche tak bhi ja sakta hai. Chart ke mutabiq, agle period ke doran AUD/USD mazeed strong ho sakta hai. Is liye, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD khareedna behtar hoga, umeed hai ke yeh faisla acha hoga.

**T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S**
**A U D / U S D**

Hello, aaj hum AUD/USD ke price movements ka jaiza lenge. Dekhte hain ke market ne AUD/USD ke price ke tabdeelion ka kaise jawab diya hai. Is waqt AUD/USD 0.6560 par trade ho raha hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, mujhe lagta hai ke price mein halka sa izafa hoga, kyunki sab se aakhri candle chart par price ki izafi movement dikhati hai aur upward momentum bhi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), dono oscillators thode se positive bias dikhate hain, magar RSI positive range mein hai. Saath hi, MACD indicator bhi buy signal de raha hai. Is liye, AUD/USD ko buy karna behtar hoga. Price ke positive activity ko najar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta, kyunki yeh moving average lines ke upar trade kar raha hai aur indicator bullish trend ko support kar raha hai.

Yeh behtar hoga agar hum 0.6621 ke range ke qareeb rahe. Hum pehle 0.6621 ke range ko try kar sakte hain. Yeh mumkin hai ke horizontal resistance level 0.6621 ko break kar ke 0.6800 tak pohanch jaye, lekin is se bhi uchi targets ho sakti hain. Agar 0.6800 ke resistance ko break kar diya, to AUD/USD aage 0.7232 tak rise kar sakta hai jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai. Dusri taraf, agar AUD/USD price decline karti hai aur 0.6475 level ko break kar deti hai jo ke pehla level of support hai, to yeh support zone ka breakout indicate karega aur shayad 0.6349 jo ke 2nd level of support hai, se bhi neeche gir sakta hai. Is scenario mein, AUD/USD further decline kar sakta hai aur 0.5932 se neeche tak ja sakta hai. Ek chart ke mutabiq, AUD/USD agle doran aur bhi strong ho sakta hai. Is liye, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD ko buy karna behtar hai.

Chart mein istemal hone wale indicators:
- MACD indicator
- RSI indicator period 14
- 50-day exponential moving average (Orange color)
- 20-day exponential moving average (Magenta color)

AUD-USD PAIR FORECAST

AUD-USD ne girawat se ubarne ke baad, Monday ko izafa hona shuru kiya. Us waqt, izafa kafi zyada tha kyunki currency pair ne takriban 160 pips ka movement diya. Buyers ka pressure itna zyada tha ke candle ka tail bohot lamba tha. Tuesday ko, AUD-USD sirf thora izafa kar paayi aur price 0.6541 tak pohanch gayi. Shayad yeh is wajah se hua ke candle apne qareeb ke resistance ko break nahi kar paayi aur isliye iska movement phir se neeche chala gaya. Phir, AUD-USD ne turant 0.6479 tak girawat di. Lekin jab American session shuru hua, to AUD-USD phir se upar chali gayi. Ab AUD-USD ki position 0.6525 par trade ho rahi hai.

Agar h1 timeframe ka analysis kiya jaye, to candle abhi bhi resistance price 0.6539 tak block hai. Agar is area ko penetrate nahi kiya, to AUD-USD ka movement phir se neeche ja sakta hai. Support area mein candle tail ka hona ye ishaara hai ke aage chal kar movement zyada dominant upward ho sakta hai. Candle tail ka upward pressure ke saath hona yeh dikhaata hai ke buyers ka pressure badh raha hai. Jab tak demand area 0.6538 par break nahi hota, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD-USD ke upar jaane ke chances abhi bhi bade hain. Mere khayal se correction abhi tak poori tarah se nahi hui hai kyunki AUD-USD mein girawat dekhne ko mili hai.

Ichimoku indicator ke madad se analysis karne par, candle abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai, halanke kal AUD-USD ne thora girawat dekha. Aise position mein, Ichimoku indicator strongly AUD-USD ke upar jane ko support karta hai. Agar kumo ke upar hai, to AUD-USD ka izafa aasan hota hai, lekin agar kumo ke neeche ho, to mushkil hota hai. Resistance area abhi tak break nahi hua, isse AUD-USD phir se gir sakta hai. Is wajah se tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines phir se intersect kar sakti hain.

Stochastic indicator ka kehna hai ke AUD-USD overbought condition mein hai. Yeh is wajah se hua ke kuch din se AUD-USD izafa kar raha hai. Filhal, stochastic indicator ne decline ka signal nahi diya kyunki line ka direction abhi bhi neeche hai. Aise position mein, AUD-USD thori der ke liye neeche move kar sakta hai.

Toh aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke AUD-USD ke pass phir se izafa hone ka chance hai kyunki candle ne abhi tak demand area 0.6360 ko penetrate nahi kiya. Jab tak demand area break nahi hota, mujhe yakin hai ke AUD-USD ke upar jane ke chances bohot bade hain. Ichimoku indicator bhi izafe ko support karta hai kyunki candle tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Isliye, jo log is pair mein trade karte hain, unhein sirf buy positions kholne par focus karna chahiye. Aap take profit target ko nearest resistance 0.6609 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko support 0.6332 par rakh sakte hain.

AUD/USD currency pair filhaal 0.6514 par hai, jo ke bearish trend ko darshata hai. Market ke movements dheere dheere ho rahe hain, jo ek consolidation ya kam volatility ka asar ho sakta hai. Is dheere movement ke bawajood, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD ke andar agle dinon mein zyada activity dekhne ko mil sakti hai, kyunke kuch key factors hain jo isko affect kar sakte hain.

Pehla factor yeh hai ke current bearish trend shayad Australia aur United States ke underlying economic conditions ko reflect kar raha hai. Australian Dollar (AUD) aam taur par global economic conditions, commodity prices, aur trade relations, khaaskar China ke sath jo ke Australia ka sabse bada trading partner hai, ke liye sensitive hota hai. Dusri taraf, US Dollar (USD) broader global risk sentiment, economic performance, aur Federal Reserve ke policies se influence hota hai. In factors ke darmiyan ke interplay ke zariye exchange rates fluctuate kar sakte hain based on economic data, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments.

Ek factor jo AUD/USD mein bade movement ko contribute kar sakta hai woh hai Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke monetary policy decisions. Dono central banks ne apni economies ko manage karne ke liye various challenges ke madde nazar policies implement ki hain. RBA ne growth ko support karne ke liye ek relatively accommodative stance rakha hai, jabke Fed ki policies inflation ko combat karne par focused hain interest rate hikes ke zariye. Agar in policies mein koi changes ya shifts ke signals aaye to exchange rate mein significant fluctuations ho sakti hain.

Global economic conditions bhi important role play karte hain. Economic indicators jaise GDP growth rates, employment figures, inflation data, aur trade balances dono Australia aur United States se traders ke liye closely watched honge. For example, agar Australia se stronger-than-expected economic data aaye to yeh AUD ko strengthen kar sakta hai, jo ke AUD/USD pair par upward pressure daal sakta hai. Conversely, agar United States ki economic performance kamzor hoti hai to yeh USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, aur isse bhi pair upar ki taraf ja sakta hai.

Commodity prices bhi ek aur important consideration hain, khaaskar AUD ke liye. Australia ek major exporter hai commodities jaise iron ore, coal, aur gold ka. In commodities ke prices AUD ki value ko significantly impact kar sakte hain. Agar commodity prices badhti hain to aam taur par AUD ko boost milta hai, aur agar decline hota hai to yeh AUD ko weaken kar sakta hai. Traders global commodity market trends par nazar rakhenge taake AUD/USD pair ke movements ko anticipate kiya ja sake.

Geopolitical events bhi critical factor hain. Political stability, trade negotiations, aur international conflicts sab market sentiment ko impact kar sakte hain. For example, agar major economies ke darmiyan trade tensions badhti hain ya geopolitical conflicts escalate hote hain to safe-haven currencies jaise USD ki demand badh sakti hai. Conversely, agar global trade relations mein positive developments hoti hain to AUD ko boost mil sakta hai. Market ka response in events ke liye sudden movements ko trigger kar sakta hai.

Technical analysis bhi significant movement ka indication deti hai. Current bearish trend shayad ek key support level tak pahunche, jo trend reversal ya continuation ko prompt kar sakta hai. Traders aam taur par patterns, support aur resistance levels, aur other technical indicators ko dekh kar future price movements ko predict karte hain. Agar AUD/USD kisi significant support level ko break karta hai to yeh stop-loss orders ko trigger kar sakta hai aur selling pressure ko increase kar sakta hai, leading to a sharp decline. Conversely, agar yeh ek key level ke upar hold karta hai to yeh buyers ko attract kar sakta hai aur bullish reversal ko result kar sakta hai.

Market sentiment aur speculative activities bhi role play karti hain. Traders ke perceptions of future economic conditions aur market dynamics se volatility increase ho sakti hai. Large institutional traders aur hedge funds apne strategies ke basis par significant moves kar sakte hain, jo exchange rate ko influence karte hain. Additionally, retail traders ke actions, market news aur trends ke zariye, sudden shifts ko contribute kar sakte hain.

In conclusion, jabke AUD/USD filhaal bearish trend aur dheere market movements ko experience kar raha hai, lekin kai factors hain jo aane wale dinon mein significant activity ko suggest karte hain. Central bank policies, economic data, commodity prices, geopolitical events, technical analysis, aur market sentiment sab future direction of AUD/USD pair ko contribute karenge. Traders aur investors ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake potential opportunities aur risks ko anticipate aur respond kiya ja sake.

اگست 7 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

پیر کو آسٹریلوی ڈالر تین گھنٹوں میں 0.6365 کی ہدف کی سطح پر پہنچ گیا اور پھر سات گھنٹوں میں اپنی اصل پوزیشن پر واپس آگیا۔ منگل کو، الٹا عمل شروع ہوا — ایک اضافہ، ریزرو بینک آف آسٹریلیا کے کسی حد تک سخت مزاج کی بدولت، جس کی میٹنگ اس دن ہوئی تھی۔ آج، آسٹریلیا 0.6570 کے ہدف کی سطح کی طرف بڑھ رہا ہے۔



یہاں، قیمت کو اپنی تمام تیزی کی صلاحیتوں کے پہلے سنگین امتحان کا سامنا کرنا پڑے گا۔ چیلنج یہ ہے کہ مارلن آکیلیٹر فی الحال قیمت سے آگے بڑھ رہا ہے اور تیزی سے اوپر کی طرف رجحان والے علاقے کی سرحد تک پہنچ سکتا ہے، جہاں سے یہ نیچے کی طرف مڑ سکتا ہے اور قیمت کو اپنے ساتھ کھینچ سکتا ہے۔

اگر قیمت 0.6570 سے تجاوز کر جاتی ہے اور مارلن مثبت علاقے میں چلا جاتا ہے، تو آسٹریلیا 0.6640 کے ہدف تک پہنچ جائے گا، جو ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے قریب ہے۔ یہاں، اصلاح تقریباً 61.8% ہوگی۔ یہاں سے، درمیانی مدت کے زوال کی ایک نئی لہر پیدا ہو سکتی ہے۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت بیلنس اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن کے اوپر مضبوط ہو گئی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر ایک مستحکم ابھرتی ہوئی پوزیشن میں ہے۔ 0.6640 تک بڑھنے کا پہلا اشارہ 0.6570 پر قریب ترین مزاحمت کے اوپر قیمت کا استحکام ہوگا۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

al AUD-USD mein ek bohat dilchasp movement tha, jahan ek bearish movement shuru hui jo bohat taqatwar thi, phir tezi se rukh badal kar ek bullish movement shuru hui jo bhi taqatwar thi aur almost same size ki thi, is wajah se kal ki daily candle mein ek lamba neecha shadow tha, jo bearish trend ki saturation ka ishara tha.

Maine H4 timeframe ki technical analysis dekhi aur tasveer bhi banayi hai, jahan trend ab bhi bearish nazar aa raha hai, isliye jo bullish movement hua hai wo temporary correction ki taraf ja raha hai, jiska matlab hai ab tak bullish movement ne MA 50 ko break nahi kiya hai jo lowest dynamic resistance level hai, ya phir yeh rejection ka jawab bhi de sakta hai, lekin kyunki AUD-USD ka movement abhi MA 50 ke qareeb hai, iska potential hai ke yeh phir se bullish ho kar MA 50 ko break kare.

Mera prediction hai ke AUD-USD ka movement bearish trend mein wapas jane ka zyada potential rakhta hai, isliye main AUD-USD par sell entry ka moment dhundne mein zyada dilchaspi rakhta hoon, MA 50 ke neeche ek significant bearish movement ka wait kar raha hoon, kyun ke mera khayal hai ke yeh moment AUD-USD ke normal bearish trend mein wapas jane ka confirmation hoga aur aur bhi bearish movement ko trigger karne ka potential rakhta hai, jahan bearish target horizontal line support level 0.6437 ho sakta hai.

H1 timeframe monitoring jari rakhta hoon, aur jab main trendline draw karta hoon, to lagta hai ke AUDUSD ke price ab bhi bearish category mein hai, isliye agar upward bounce kaafi taqatwar hai, to bhi yeh apne closest resistance ke neeche hai. Isliye do possibilities ho sakti hain, pehli possibility yeh hai ke AUDUSD ke price neeche bounce kar ke aur nichle bearish trend ko continue kare. Jabki dusri possibility yeh hai ke AUDUSD ke price mein izafa ho jo ke uske closest resistance ke upar penetrate kar ke ek upward breakout ko la sakta hai.