ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD pair apni takneeki harkat se faizmand hai. Kal ke giravat ke baad aur chaar ghante ke chart par ab se current trading range ke nichle hadood ko tay karte hue, keemat ab "hammer" ke neeche phir se ooper ja rahi hai. Candlestick board ne shaqiyat ko khatam kiya aur meri umeedon ko buland kiya. 0.6744 ke resistance level ko todna mumkin hai aur is se current trading range ke upper limit ka ishaara hai, jo ke 0.6790 level ke aas paas hai. Agar bear log 0.6744 level ke neeche apni jagah qaim rakhain, to hum nichle taraf lamba move dekh sakte hain, kyun ke bear log 0.6710 support level ko todna pasand karenge. Agar keemat 0.6710 level ke neeche jaati hai, to hum aik ulte rukh ke baare mein baat kar sakte hain aur 0.6655 aur 0.6615 levels par movement jaari rakhne ki tawaqo karte hain.

Aaj raat, Fed ki equity book jari ki jayegi, jahan par investors refinancing rate ke tabdeeliyon ke jawab dhoondh rahe honge, sath hi sath consumer prices ke latest U.S. data jari kiya jayega, jo ke inflation ke pehloo ko napa jaata hai. Yeh sabhi factors September mein rate cut ke khayal ko dobara gaur se sochne par majboor kar rahe hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke Fed ki monetary policy ke tabdeeliyon ki umeed ko sirf ek maeeshati nazariye se dekhna chahiye, balki siyasi nazariye se bhi dekhna chahiye. Aur yahan H4 chart mujhe dilchaspi nahi deta. Mere liye H4 trading behtar hai. Char ghante ke time frame price analysis: Candle close 0.6735, Parabola indicator 0.6801, MA indicator 0.6751. Daily candle parabolic line aur moving average ke neeche close hota hai, jis ka matlab hai ke behtar hai ke intraday char ghante ke time frame par sell signals ki talash ki jaaye.

Trading direction ke liye yeh bhi mumkinat hain ke zyada door ki shumali maqsadon par nishan band karna ho, jin mein se aik, mere analysis ke mutabiq, 0.70301 par hai, lekin is par maujood haalat aur keemat ke isharon ka jawab deta hai aur price movement ke doraan news flow ke doraan. Keemat ke test karne par price movement ke liye ek doosra scene 0.67141 par support level par test kiya jaye ga, jis ka plan ye hai ke keemat is level ke neeche close ho kar aur southern movement jaari rahe. Agar yeh plan execute ho jaaye, to main umeed karta hoon ke keemat 0.66342 ke support level ke taraf move karegi. Is support level ke qareeb, main bullish signals ki talash jaari rakhunga, upar ki price movement ki bahaali ki umeed karte hue. Zaroorat parne par, zyada door ki southern maqsadon ke nishan bhi hain, lekin main is waqt is ke qareeb ke faurani haqiqat ko nahi dekh raha hoon. Aam tor par agar hum chotay alfaz mein baat karen, to aaj ke din tak mere liye is aalaat se mutaliq koi dilchaspi wali cheez nahi nazar aati. Overall, main samajhta hoon ke keemat qareeb ke support levels ko dobara test kar sakti hai, aur phir, mojooda global bullish trend ke dauran, traders northern signals ki talash karenge, price movement ki upar ki bahaali ki umeed karte hue.



AUD/USD pair abhi ek bearish trend mein hai aur dhimi bazaar harkat ka samna kar raha hai, kayi factors isharay dete hain ke ane wale dino mein aik numaya harkat ke imkaanat hain. Maali dastavezat ki jariyon, central bank policies, aujaar ke prices aur siyasi waqeiyat currency pair ke mustaqbil ke rukh ko shakl dene mein ahem kirdaar ada karenge. Takneeki tashreeh aur bazaar ki jazbaat ke indicators bhi poten...

Australian dollar versus US dollar sab ko mubarak ho! Bikri is waqt active hai jabke southern linear regression channel nazar a raha hai. Aalaat 0.66420 ke level ke neeche trade kar rahi hain. Main 0.66166 level tak bechnay ka soch raha hoon jahan se mujhe sudhaar ka intezar hai, is liye main neeche bechnay ka sochna band kar deta hoon. Main intezar kar raha hoon ke neeche nikal jaye aur phir main bikri ke bare mein soch sakta hoon. 0.66420 level se bechne se mujhe khareedne aur bikri ke darmiyan aik jagah mil jati hai. Yahan aap players ki reaction ko saaf dekh sakte hain, aur is ke zariye aap apne trades ko adjust kar sakte hain aur rozana trading mein jald munafa haasil karne ke mumkinat se nuqsan ko kam kar sakte hain. Daily chart par halat dekh kar, mujhe bhi linear regression channel dekhne ko mil raha hai jo ke neeche ki taraf trend kar raha hai aur dono channels ek hi rukh mein trend kar rahe hain jis se maloom hota hai ke kisi mazboot khareedne ki koi saabit nahi hai. Is maamlay mein D1 channel ke trend change hone ki imkaanat bohat kam hai. Is liye mere liye khareedne ki bajaye bikri ke bare mein sochna dilchaspi ka masala hai, jo ke do channels ke movement ke mukable mein bikri ko zahir karte hain.



Upar ki rukawat 0.66420 level hai, jo ke guzarnay se 0.66582 channel ke upper edge tak barhne ki khatir hai. Main isay 0.66166 aur 0.66164 par target ki umeed ke saath bechunga. Maqsad ke muntakhib hone se channel ki voltage tay hoti hai, jo ke ek upward pullback mein madadgar sabit hoti hai. Kami mein izaafa mujhe dilchaspi ka masala nahi hai, aur is rukh mein kaam karna aham hai. Agar khareedne wale momentum ko dobara hasil karte hain, to July ki unchi 0.6798 agla maqsad hai, jis ke baad December 2023 ki unchi 0.6871, July 2023 ki unchi 0.6894 aur 0.7000 nishan hain. Pair abhi bareek moving averages ke neeche hai.

AUD/USD DAILY TIME FRAME CHART

Aaj hum D1 time frame chart ko phir se dekhte hain - AUDUSD currency pair. Is bade time frame par, wave structure abhi bhi apni umer ki tashkeel par hai. MACD indicator upper buy zone mein hai, lekin ab is ne apni signal line ke neeche girna shuru kar diya hai. Ab teesri wave jaari hai. Agar aap Fibonacci target grid ko pehli wave par lagate hain, to aap ko aik umeed afza target nazar aayega - level 161.8. Darmiyaney target aik flat line hai jo ke maqami unchiyon ko jorrne se mil sakta hai. Lekin yeh ab mazeed ehmiyat nahi rakhta kyun ke aaj ek giravat aur support ke tootne ka hadsa hua hai. Pehle ke mutabiq, jab CCI indicator ne ek bearish divergence dikhai, to keemat gir gayi. Dusra istemal hua MACD indicator bhi bearish divergence dikhata hai jo kaam karta hai. Jumeraat ko, neeche horizontal support level 0.6690 tha, jise keemat ne neeche toorna ki koshish ki, aur yahan par aap wave ke neeche aik charhta halki hui, jise keemat ki giravat bhi rok sakti hai. Aik haerat angeez surat-e-haal thi, sab kuch umeed afza lag raha tha barhne ke liye, lekin NZDUSD barhne ko nahe support karti, balke ulta wahan dekhta hai. Euro dollar aur pound dollar ke partner pairs kamzor ho rahe hain, is liye yahan kharidari ehmiyat nahi rakhti, support ke bawajood. Un ke tootne ki bulandiya bhi thi, jo aaj ho gaya. Indicator par divergence ke ilawa, aik ascending wedge ka reversal figure bhi hai. Keemat ne is figure ko neeche toor diya hai. Aur ab rasta khali hai keemat ki mazeed giravat ke liye 0.6579 level tak. Is se pehle, thora sa ooper ka rollback mumkin hai, jise chhote arsay mein dekhna zaroori hai aur us ke baad neeche kaam karna hai.

July 2024 mein shuru mein, AUD/USD market ne aik mazboot bullish trend dikhaya, jo ke 100-period simple moving average ke ooper kamiyab tareeqe se barh gaya. Is upar ki harkat ne ishaara diya ke keemat 0.6800 ke buland maheenayi zone tak pohanchne ki mumkinat hai. Lekin, mid-July mein trend badal gaya jabke bechne walay qabza pa kar, mazeed upar ki raftar ko rok diya. Chart ki tashreeh isharay deti hai ke bearish trend Shani raat tak jaari reh sakta hai. Haalat ke mutabiq, keemat ne gir kar 100-period simple moving average ke neeche rehna shuru kar diya hai, jis se maloom hota hai ke bechne walay ab bhi qabza mein hain. Aaj ke update ke waqt, keemat 0.6640 zone ke aas paas jama ho rahi hai, jo ke peechli raat ke market opening price se kam hai. Pichle do hafton mein dekhi gayi neeche ki raftar ko madde nazar rakhte hue, lagta hai ke keemat is haftay bhi giraft mein rah kar girna jaari rakhegi, jari bearish trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye.



AUD/USD pair ne apna safar aaj 0.6646 zone se shuru kiya. Char ghante ke chart par wazeh ho raha hai ke bechne walon ki hukoomat pichle haftay se keemat ko neeche le jane mein kamiyab rahe hain. Keemat ko ooper dabaane ki koshishon ke bawajood, bechne walon ne neeche ki raftar ko barqarar rakha hai. Haal ki bazaar ki trends ke mutabiq, giravat is haftay bhi jaari rahegi. Agar bechne walon ko keemat ko 0.6290 range tak neeche dabane mein kamiyab ho gaya, to agla bearish maqsad 0.6260 ke qareebi price zone ho sakta hai. Muhtasar tor par, July 2024 mein AUD/USD market ka shuru mein bullish trend mid-month ke badalne ke baad bearish trend mein ruk gaya, jo ke jari rahne ka imkaan hai. Keemat ne 100-period simple moving average ke neeche mustaqil bechne ki dabao ko ishara kiya hai. Isi tarah, AUD/USD pair ne saaf giravat dikhaya hai, jahan bechne walon ne bazaar par qabza jamaya hai. Dono currency pairs ke overall nazariye ke mutabiq, bearish trend ka jari rahne ka imkaan hai, jahan mazeed girne ke liye khas price targets pehchane gaye hain.

Mukhtalif suratahalat ke liye tayyar rehna zaroori hai, aur shuru mein keemat mein thora sa ooper ka rollback ho sakta hai, lekin aakhir mein, woh hamare favor mein trend kar sakti hain. Is tashkeel mein akhbaron ke asar ko bhi shamil kiya gaya hai. Juma ke Asian session mein AUD/USD pair 0.6740 ke multi-maheenayi unchi ke qareeb jama hai jab traders US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report ka intezar kar rahe hain. Fed aur RBA ke darmiyan policy mein ikhtilaf is pair ko madad de raha hai. Juma ko Australian dollar 0.6730 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai. Daily chart ki tashreeh ek rising wedge dikha rahi hai jo keemat mein neeche ki taraf reversal ke imkaanat ko ishara karta hai.

Jab hum ne is range se bahar nikal liya jis mein hum itne arsay se trade kar rahe thay, hamare liye kuch bhi tabdeel nahi hua. Unhon ne apna barhna jari rakha aur maqami unchiyon ko update kiya. Aur beshak humare pass bohot sare aagazat hain, lekin mere liye koi fori maqsad nahi hai.

Har surat-e-haal mein, zaroori hai ke dekha jaye ke dollar aage kaise trade karta hai, kyun ke hamare liye ahem signals anay wale hain. Mere khayal mein, haal ki keemat ki harkatein sirf un sellers ko khatam kiya hain jo 0.6654 ke neeche jama hone wale area mein AUD/USD bech rahe thay, umeed rakhte hue ke is trading instrument ki keemat zaroor giray gi, aik so percent ki guarantee ke saath. Is wajah se keemat ne neeche nahi balkay wild tareeqe se ooper charh kar maqami unchiyan update ki hain. Agar meri ghaltiyan saabit ho jayen, to is area mein is pair ki khareedari puri tarah se mumkin na hogi, kyun ke AUD/USD ke liye liquidity ooper bilkul khatam ho sakti hai. Agar yeh mamla aisa hai, to phir keemat ko ooper barhane mein koi faida nahi hoga, kyun ke aise halat mein, puppeteer ke liye koi dilchaspi ka masala nahi rahega, aur agar aisa ho, to is manzar ke mutabiq, hum asani se 0.6671 ke jama hone wale area ki taraf ghair mutawaqah se neeche ja sakte hain.

To agar keemat is level ke ooper jamaye, to yeh ek khareedne ka entry point paida kar sakti hai, aur bullish quwwatein is pair ko ooper barhane ke liye jari rahengi. Lekin agar initative bears ke taraf se liya jaye, to 0.6733 ke neeche ek bechne ka point nikal sakta hai, aur phir bearish dabaoon ko janib push karne shuru ho jayega. Is tarah, ek rollback ya sudhar ho sakta hai, jiske baad khareedne wale apne quwwatein jamayein ge. Daily chart dikhata hai ke aaj ek bullish candle bana hai, lekin abhi tak poori tarah se mazboot nahi hui hai, is liye halaat abhi tak ghair wazeh hain, haan ke ooper ki trend abhi bhi priority hai. Is maqam mein mere liye abhi tak kuch bhi tabdeel nahi hui hai kyun ke main abhi bhi ek dekhta raha hoon.

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Subah Bakhair dosto!

AUD/USD Market Ka Manzar

AUD/USD khareedaron ki performance theek nahi ja rahi hai. Lekin hum is haftay jari hone wale US news events se ummeed rakhte hain. Isi tarah, baray time frames lambi muddat ke trends aur ahem support aur resistance levels ki pehchan mein madad dete hain. Yeh approach traders ko zyada pur-amli faislay lene aur apni strategies ko overall market ki raah par mawafiq banane mein madad deta hai.

AUD/USD market ke case mein, agar hum ab waqt ki hukoomat ki tamam zarooriyat ko maante hain, to aane wale ghanton mein apni nuqsanat ko kam aur munafa nisbat ko zyada kar sakte hain. Mojudah market sentiment ka paalan karte hue, technical aur fundamental factors dono ka tajziya karna shamil hai. Is tarah, traders aik mukammal strategy tashkeel kar sakte hain jo mukhtalif market influencers aur mumkin scenarios ko samajhti hai.

Main umeed karta hoon ke khareedaron ki wapas aayegi. Wo baad mein 0.6765 zone ko dobara paar kar sakte hain. Lekin humein baad mein market sentiment badalne wale news factors ko ignore nahi kar sakte. Aakhir mein, AUD/USD ke overall market concept aaj bechne walon ke in favor hai, jo ke mojooda AUD/USD market ko agay ke support area ki taraf daba sakte hain. Mojudah bearish sentiment yeh ishara deta hai ke bechne ki dabao market par qabza karne ke imkaanat hai. Jabke bechne walay qabza jamate hain, to AUD/USD pair ki ummeed ki jaati hai ke wo neeche ja sakta hai, key support areas ko maqsad banate hue.

Is ke ilawa, yeh bhi mukhtasar karte hain ke AUD/USD pair ki harkaton ko guzishta karne ke liye technical indicators, market behavior aur broad economic factors ki mukammal analysis zaroori hai. Rozana ke high aur low zones ko dhyan se monitor karte hue, bearish continuation patterns ko pehchanne aur mufeed risk management strategies istemal karke, traders bazaar mein zyada itminan ke saath safar kar sakte hain. Ma'loomat-e-ma'ashiat ke taza akhbarat se agah rehna aur market behavior ka parakh rakhna munafa-khari ke faislay mein istemal honay wali salahiyat ko mazeed barhata hai.




Chaliye dekhte hain ke aane wale ghanton mein kya hota hai.

Aap sab ko tijarat se bharpoor din guzarne ki duaon ke saath!

Shukriya

AUD/USD Daily Technical Analysis

Aaj hum D1 time frame chart par nazar dalenge - AUD/USD currency pair ki. Is bade time frame mein, wave structure apni upward configuration banane mein hai, MACD indicator upper overbought area mein hai, lekin ab iska signal line se neeche gir raha hai. Ab teesra wave shuru ho chuka hai, agar aap Fibonacci grid ko pehle wave par lagate hain, to aapko aik ummedwar target nazar aata hai - 161.8 level. Darmiyan ka target ek flat line hai jo main peaks ko connect karke mil sakta hai. Lekin yeh ab mozu nahi hai, kyunki support kamzor ho gaya aur aaj tod diya gaya hai. Pehle se mutaliq tawaqo tha ke CCI indicator bearish divergence dikha raha hai is wajah se price downside mein correct hoga. Ek aur istemal honay wala indicator Bearish Divergence MACD hai jo kaam karta hai. Jumeraat ko, neechay ki taraf ek horizontal support level 0.6690 tha, jise price ne tootne ki koshish ki, aur yahan par aap waves ke neechay ek ascending line draw kar sakte hain jo ke price girne se rok sakta hai. Yahan ek mix situation thi, sab kuch growth ke liye achha lag raha tha, lekin maine kaha ke NZDUSD coalition growth ko support nahi kar raha, balki wahan zyada niche lag raha hai. Hamare saathi Euro Dollar aur Pound Dollar gir rahe hain, is liye yahan khareedari ki koi maqool baat nahi thi support ke bawajood. Unke breakthrough hone ki zyada sambhavna thi, jo aaj ho gaya hai. Indicator par deviation ke ilawa, ascending wedge ke reverse form bhi hai. Price ne is figure ko downside mein toor diya hai. Aur ab raasta 0.6579 level tak aur girne ke liye khula hai. Is se pehle lower level ki taraf wapas aana bhi mumkin hai jaise resistance. Aaj maqroozee calendar mein sirf aik bara news item hai - USA mein secondary housing market mein farokht.

AUD/USD M30 Chart

AUD/USD pair ne pichle mahine mein ek range ke andar trade kiya hai aur isne mukhtalif koshishon ke bawajood 0.6713 key resistance level ko toorna mumkin nahi kiya. Lekin, haal hi mein US dollar ki qeemat mein kami ne Australian dollar ko kuch madad faraham ki hai. Pichle hafte, US dollar ki kamzori mein kamiyabi ke baad ke bawaqar disappointing US labor market data ne dollar ko kamzor kar diya tha. Dilchaspi ki baat hai ke latest non-farm payroll report expectations ko paar kar gaya hai, jis se mumkin hai ke naye trading week ki shuruat mein dollar ke rukh ke baray mein market ki raaye badal jaye. Speculators ne is maqaam ka faida uthaya aur is halat mein thori market activity mein izafa ho gaya. Mehsoos hone wali temporary US dollar ki kamzori ke bawajood, mazeed significant depreciation ke koi mazboot isharaat nahi hain. Isi tarah, agar AUD/USD pair mojooda 0.6766 resistance level se wapas aaye, jo ke 78.6% Fibonacci retracement ke saath milta hai, to main is pair ko bechnay ka ta'aluq rakhta hoon, ummeed kar ke keemat correction ko 0.6660 support level ki taraf dekha jaye ga.

AUD/USD pair ki performance aane waale hafton mein. Macro-economic indicators, jaise ke interest rate decisions, employment data, aur Australia aur United States dono ke economic growth figures, ka kirdar ahem hoga. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical developments aur global risk sentiment ke tabdeeliyan currency pair ke movement par bohat zyada asar daal sakti hain.

Technical perspective se, moving averages par nazr rakhna zaroori rahe ga. Agar pair in averages ke upar rehta hai, to yeh bullish outlook ko mazbooti deta hai. Ummeed hai ke 0.6701 support ke neeche barqarar move bullish sentiment mein tabdeel hone ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai aur isse bullish scenario ko dobara tashkeel dene ki koshish ki jaye gi.




Aakhir mein, AUD/USD currency pair abhi mojooda strong bullish trend mein hai, jaisa ke 0.6701 level ke breakout aur trading week ke ikhtitam par 0.6751 closing price se wazeh hota hai. Moving averages is mazbooti wali nazar ko support karte hain, jis se khareedne wale ke dabao aur mazeed izafa ke imkanat darshaayi jaati hain. Jabke qareebi 0.6701 support area ko test karne ke liye short-term girawat mumkin hai, lekin overall trend urooj par hai, jahan par wapas aur 0.6811 level ke upar movement ka imkaan hai. Traders ko is tashreef ko farokht karne se pehle economic indicators ya market sentiment mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ke liye hoshyaar rehna chahiye jo is tajziya par asar andaz ho sakti hai.

Hum AUD/USD currency pair ki dynamic pricing behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain, jo ke ab ek bearish trend mein hai. Sellers har resistance level par active hain, jo khareedne ki gatividhi ko rok rahe hain aur buyer trends ko khatm kar rahe hain. Is natijay mein, hum mazboot bearish trend ke successive downward movements dekh rahe hain. Agar yeh gatividhi jaari rahegi, toh humein 0.6529 tak ek significant girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo AUD/USD ke liye ek zaroori support level hai.

Is dauran, ummeed hai ke upward movements ne lower highs produce kiye honge, jo ke 0.6722 resistance level ke neeche reh gaye hain. Aaj, Jerome Powell ke taqreer aur qareeb ane wala JOLTS report market mein significant movement ke imkaanat ko zahir karte hain, jo ke ek downward trend ki taraf leaning karte hain. Main AUD/USD ko chote lots mein trade kar raha hoon aur mojooda flat position se upward breakout ki umeed rakhte hue long positions khol raha hoon. Abhi hum 0.6651/0.6640 correction support zone ke aas paas trade kar rahe hain.

AUD/USD pair ko especially global economic uncertainty ke daur mein downward pressure mehsoos hota hai. Mojudah global economic maahaul, jise inflation ke concerns, fluctuating commodity prices, aur geopolitical tensions se markaz mein rakha gaya hai, risk-sensitive currencies jaise Australian Dollar ke liye maqboli nahi raha hai.

Australia ki economic health, jo ke commodity exports—khaas kar China ke liye—par heavily reliant hai, currency ke value ko determine karne mein ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Haal hi ki data jo ke China mein slow growth aur commodities ke demand mein kami ko darshaate hain, ne AUD par negative asar dala hai. Iske ilawa, Australia ke central bank ke policies jo ke inflation aur economic growth ko manage karne ke liye aim kiye gaye hain, woh bhi AUD ke value par asar andaz ho sakti hain. Agar Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ek dovish stance adopt kare, jo ke lower interest rates ya monetary easing ka ishara karta hai, toh yeh AUD ko USD ke khilaf aur bhi kamzor kar sakta hai.

AUD/USD pair ki technical analysis bearish outlook ko support karta hai. Daily chart par, pair lower highs aur lower lows form kar raha hai, jo ke ek downtrend ke classic indicators hain. Moving averages jaise ke 50-day aur 200-day, bearish crossover dikhane sakte hain, jo ke further downside potential ko signal karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) jaise momentum indicators bhi lower trend kar sakte hain, jo increased selling pressure ko reflect karte hain.



Mojudah bearish sentiment ke bawajood, forex markets apni volatility aur sudden significant movements ke liye mashhoor hain. Traders ko mumkin catalysts ke hawale se hoshyaar rehna chahiye, jo ke ya toh ek reversal ko lead kar sakte hain ya fir downtrend ko tezi se accelerate kar sakte hain.

Hum real-time mein AUD/USD currency pair ki dynamic pricing behavior par nazar daal rahe hain. Mojudah AUD/USD chart mein ek wazeh bearish trend nazar aa raha hai, jahan price mein istemal hone wala trend ghata hua ja raha hai. Is trading instrument ke liye nichle trend abhi tak mumkin hai. Agar meri estimates sahi hain, toh humein 0.6648 ke aas paas accumulation area tak mazeed girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, phir ek muntazir pullback hota hai. Market dobara khulta hai aur mustahkam hota hai, toh humein 0.6734 level ko test karte hue price ko dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Agar price is 0.6734 level ko paar nahi karta, toh humein halqi minimum ke neeche tez girawat ka samna ho sakta hai.

Currency pair ko hourly time frame ke hawale se tashkhees ke baad, abhi bazaar mein bechnay ka strategy istemal karna sab se zyada wabasta lagta hai. Yeh wajah hai ke price MA200 moving average ke neeche hai jo ke ek mazboot bearish trend ko darshaata hai. Pair ne pehle din ke opening mark ke neeche gir kar band kiya tha.

Din bhar ke daur mein price movements lower Bollinger Band ke qareeb pohanch gaye, jo ke ek bearish sentiment ki taraf ishara karta hai aur mazeed girawat ke buland imkaanat ki taraf ishara karta hai. Jab trading karte waqt, main hamesha RSI indicator ke readings ko madd-e nazar rakhta hoon, aur overbought (70 se oopar) ya oversold (30 se neeche) conditions mein trade se bachta hoon. Mojudah mein RSI bechnay ko support karta hai, jiska value ek munasib range ke andar hai.




Main take profit Fibonacci level par 210% par set karunga, jo ke 0.6648 price ke mutabiq hai. Position ka hissa break even par le jane ke baad, main trailing stop ka istemal karunga jo Fibonacci grid ke dikhaye gaye mazeed bearish corrections ko follow karne mein madad karega. Yeh strategies implement kar ke, mujhe ummid hai ke mojudah bearish trend se faida utha sakunga aur apni trades ko current market signals ke mutabiq kamyab bana sakunga. Is tareeqe se mujhe risk ko manage karne mein madad milegi aur volatile forex market mein potential profit ko maximize karne ka mauqa milega.

Pichle haftay mein ki gayi meri AUD/USD ki tashkhees mein, mein ne pair ke liye ek bullish outlook highlight kiya tha aur umeed ki thi ke $0.6755 area se bounce aayega. Yeh level ek naye support zone ko darshaata tha aur $0.6750 ke significant psychological level ke qareeb tha. Is tashkhees mein kai factors shaamil thay jo AUD/USD pair mein umeed ki muzmiri mein madadgar sabit hue.

Pehle toh, technical indicators ne bullish nazriya ko support kiya. $0.6755 support level $0.6750 psychological level ke saath milkar, price ke liye ek mazboot bunyadi banaya tha. Tareekhi andaz mein, aise psychological levels aksar price action ke liye magnet ke taur par kaam karte hain, jahan zyada buying interest ko khinchte hain aur upward movements ke liye ek springboard ka kaam karte hain. Isi tarah, is level ke aas paas price action ne consolidation ke signs dikhaye, jisse yeh ishara milta tha ke market ek potential rally ke liye quwwat ikhtiyar kar raha hai.

Dusra, mazboot macroeconomic context ne Australia dollar (AUD) ke liye ek moheet mahaul faraham kiya. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne haal hi mein Australian economy par ehtiyati lekin umeed afroz nazar ki, jahan maazi hawala se mustehkam economic growth aur control mein inflation ko ahmiyat di gayi. RBA ki yeh musbat soch AUD mein investor confidence ko mazeed barha sakti thi, jo AUD/USD pair ke liye bullish forecast ko aur bhi mazbooti dene mein madadgar sabit hui.

Is ke ilawa, commodities ke prices, khas tor par iron ore aur coal, jo Australia ki export economy ke liye ahem hain, mustehkam ya tezi se badh rahe thay. Zyada commodities ke prices aam tor par AUD ko mazbooti dete hain, export se aamdani mein izafa hone ke wajah se. Commodity prices aur AUD ke darmiyan yeh taalluq bullish outlook ko aur bhi taqwiyat dete hain.

Amreeki taraf se, Federal Reserve ki policy stance bhi ek kirdar ada karti thi. Us waqt, Federal Reserve ek zyada dovish approach apna rahi thi, jis mein yeh zahir tha ke interest rate hikes rukawat mein hon ya pehle ke mawazan se dheemi rahein gi. Ek dovish Fed aam tor par US dollar (USD) ko kamzor karti hai, jisse dusre currencies, jaise AUD, comparison mein zyada attractive nazar aate hain.



Mukhtasir mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye bullish forecast technical factors, Australia mein moheet macroeconomic conditions, stable commodity prices aur Federal Reserve ki dovish outlook ke aas paas jamhooriat thi. Yeh sabhi elements mil kar $0.6755 area se bounce ki ummid ko point karte thay, jo ke ek ahem support level sabit hua hai. Jab tak market taraqqi karta hai, yeh factors ka jari tashkhees jari rakhna muzmiri hai ke AUD/USD pair ke future direction ko darust taur par tashkhees kiya ja sake, lekin pehli tashkhees mojudah conditions ke mutabiq the.

AUD/ USD: Keemat Ka Amal Ki Taqat

Hum AUD/ USD currency pair ke mojud qeemati harkaton ka tajziya karte hain. Mazeed khareedariyan nahin hon gi. Jab yeh grey range ke ooper trade kar raha tha, maine tasawwur kiya tha ke yeh jodi is range ke neechay giray gi. Us waqt mujhe yeh lag raha tha ke izafa be-bunyad hai kyunki mahangi 0.2% kam ho gayi thi, jo ke us izafa ko naqabil e mantqi banata hai. Federal Reserve ke khitab ke baad maine umeed ki thi ke yeh jodi giray gi. Lekin Australia ke bank ne sangeen monetary policy ki ejazat di, jis ki wajah se yeh jodi is grey range ke ooper hi trade karti rahi. Main ne mazeed izafa ka intezar nahi kiya tha, kyunki sangeen policy preemptively play out karna munasib nahi lag raha tha. Akhirkaar yeh jodi 0.67938 ke resistance tak pohanch gayi, jahan maine iska izafa kar ke isay grey range mein girne ka andesha kiya tha. Yeh jodi grey range mein wapas lautegi aur andaza hai ke mahangi ki stagnation ki wajah se yeh giray gi. Is stagnation se nikalne ke liye mazeed izafa ki saboot ki zaroorat hai, kam az kam itna data jo mahangi mein behtar hone ki tasdeeq karta ho.



Australian dollar ke mazid nichle rukh ka imkaan hai agar bunyadi halaat badalay baghair reh gaye. September mein rate swing dobara shuru ho jayega, haan ke market ek girawat ka intezar kar raha hai. Bullish trend mumkin hai lekin is ke liye kal ke aham directional change ki zaroorat hai, aur naye data ne is tajziye ko shuru kar diya hai, jis ne AUD/USD mein girawat ke aasar ko zahir kiya hai. Ab naye trading level ki taraf barhna waqt hai, kyunki dono rukh par bohat se signals hain aur aksar pairs ne in signals ko nazar andaz kiya hai, jo naye bunyadi shift ke jawab mein koi tajarba naqal nahi kar rahay hain. Hum jald he aane wale statistics ke liye tayyar honge, aur market is data ka jawab denay ki umeed hai, lambay arsay ke imkanat ko mawafiq banate huye sangeen bunyadi haqaiq ko farokht karne ke liye market ke mauqe ko istemal karenge.

AUDUSD currency pair nedā-e-umr thākī hu'ī uroojī ke ba'd ek nichle hone kī phase dikha rahā hai. Ek qabil-e-dhaan bearish signal 0.6714 par rukāwaton ke ba'd bearish engulfing candlestick pattern aur wafir volume ke saath nazar aayā. Yeh correction aam tor par bullish trend ke daur mein hu'ā, jahan ke daam EMA 50 tak wāpsī kī aur baad mein 0.6685 ke aas-pāas se phir tālūk rakhte hue urooj kī taraf rukhsat kī.

Ab mudda ye hai ke daam pichhle unchiyaat 0.6714 ke ooper jā sakta hai ke nahīn. Agar aisa na ho to yeh mazeed nichlay potential kī alāmat ho saktā hai, jo daam ko EMA 50 ke neechay le jā sakta hai jahan ke 0.6642 par nazdīkī support hai, jo ek ahmiyat say yafta khareedāri kī support zone (RBS - Reversal Buy Signal) kī shanākht kī gayī hai.

Taknīkī nishānatān jaise ke Awesome Oscillator (AO) ne zero ke neechay histogram dikhāyā hai, jo ke mūjūdah downtrend momentum ko zahir kartā hai. Usī tarah Stochastic indicator ne 50 ke neechay cross kiyā aur oversold territory ki taraf jā rahā hai, jo mazeed potential nichlay safar ko support kartā hai. Yeh ishārā detā hai ke hālīyah downward correction phase mein mūjūd momentum hai, walaḥal ke yeh abhī tak saturation tak nahīn pahunchā hai.

Tajawuzi tajarba kā mārka trend-following strategy apnāne wāle tajwīzī tor par mūjūdah bullish trend ke shara'it mein khareedne ke mauqay kā intezār karenge, jahan par 0.6642 ke pehchāne gae support ke qareebi daur mein dākhilā nazar ātā hai. Yeh darjah e ahmiyat ko iltimās karte hue ke agar yeh daam neechay bhaṛe to yeh mūjūdah unchā high pattern structure ko nakāraṭ kar sakta hai, jo ke lower lows ke iṣālah kī taraf rawānī paidā kar sakta hai.

In taknīkī malūmāt ko gaur se madde nazar rakhte hue, tajwīzī tor par traders ko SMA 200 tak ek gehra correction ke khātir āmāda karne ke liye ihtiyāt rakhnā chāhiye, jo ke daam ke pattern mein ek nizārī tabdīlī kī alāmat ho saktī hai. Is strategy mein yeh shāmil hai ke support level ke nazdeeki inkār ya re-testing ke iʿlān ke mawqay par khareedne ke positions ka intezār karenge, jo ke mūjūdah bullish trend ke manzar mein hamwazan honge.



Muqaddam ke taur par, jabke AUDUSD jodi ek correction phase se guzar rahī hai, traders ko tajwīzī tor par tajarba karte huye mudda-e-daam ke asārat ko nazar-andāz karnā chāhiye aur mūjūdah bullish trend scenario mein khareedne ke mauqay ke liye ihtimāmī signals kā intezār karnā chāhiye.

AUD/USD time frame ke baare mein baat kar rahe hain. Kal, ek chhoti southern pullback ke baad, price reverse hui aur confident bullish impulse ke saath north ko push hui, jiska nateeja ek poori northern candle tha, jo easily break through kar gayi aur resistance level ke upar confidently consolidate hui, jo mere markings ke mutabiq, 0.65591 par located tha. Maujooda situation mein, main poori tarah se maan leta hoon ke aaj upward movement continue hoga aur buyers nearest resistance levels ko work out karenge. General mein, main resistance level ko dekhne ka plan bana raha hoon, jo 0.66347 par located hai, aur resistance level jo 0.66677 par located hai. In resistance levels ke paas do scenarios ho sakte hain situation ke development ke liye. Pehla scenario price consolidation ke saath in levels ke upar aur further northward movement se related hai. Agar ye plan work out hota hai, to main price ka movement resistance level ki taraf dekhoonga, jo 0.67289 par located hai. Is resistance level ke paas, main trading setup ke formation ka intezar karoonga, jo further trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Bilkul, main ye bhi maan leta hoon ke price ko further north push kiya ja sakta hai resistance level ki taraf, jo 0.68711 par located hai. Lekin agar indicated plan implement hota hai, to price ke far northern target ki taraf move karte waqt, main southern pullbacks ko fully allow karta hoon, jo main bullish signals ko search karne ke liye nearest support levels se use karne ka plan bana raha hoon, renewed growth ke anticipation mein. Price movement ka alternative option jab resistance level 0.66347 ya resistance level 0.66677 ke paas approach hota hai, turning candle formation aur price movement ke resumption downwards ka plan hoga. Agar ye plan work out hota hai, to main price ke return ka intezar karoonga support level ki taraf, jo 0.65591 par located hai AUD/USD currency pair ne kam ke qeemat par trade karte hue peechay hat gaya hai. Is inqilab ka sabab bazar ko mutassir karne wale mukhtalif factors hain.Sab se pehle, traders haal ki mazeed faiday dene wale charhao se apni nafahat mehfooz kar rahe hain, jo ke currency ki qeemat mein aik fitri sudhar ka sabab ban raha hai. Nafa dene aam amal hai maali bazarat mein, jahan investors wo asasaat farokht karte hain jo ke izafa kar chuke hote hain taake unke faiday haasil ho sakein. Ye harkat currency par nichli dabao paida kar sakti hai jab farokht inteha pasandi ko bharta haiDusra, US dollar mazeed tarah se aam currency ke muqable mein taaqat dikhata hai, na ke sirf AUD ke sath. USD ki yeh mazbooti mukhtalif factors par mustamil hai, jese ke musbat ma’ashi nishanat aur America ki ma’ashi manzar e aam ki mustahkam tawaqqu’. Jab USD mazboot hota hai, to ye aam tor par dosri currencies ki qeemat mein girawat ka sabab banta hai, jese ke AUD, exchange rates mein ulta rishta hone ki wajah seTeesra, aaj Australia mein jari mukhtalif ma’ashi data AUD par nichle dabao ka sabab bana raha hai. Ma’ashi data mukhtalif indicators shamil hai jo ke Australia ki ma’ashi haliyat ke baray mein maloomat faraham karte hain. Jab yeh data mukhtalif hota hai ya market ki tawaqqu’at ko pora nahi karta, to ye investors aur traders ke darmiyan ittefaq ka khoz hota hai, jo currency ko kamzor kar deta haiJab market shirakat daikhti hai, to ab tawajjo US markets ke hone ki taraf shift ho rahi hai. America mein aane wale ahem ma’ashi data ka aik bada hissa jaari hone wala hai

جولائی 26 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی

جمعرات کو آسٹریلوی ڈالر کامیابی کے ساتھ 0.6578 کی سطح سے نیچے رہا۔ قیمت 0.6525 کی درمیانی سطح تک گرتی رہی - 6 نومبر 2023 کی چوٹی۔ 0.6578 کی سطح اب اصلاح کی حد کے طور پر کام کرتی ہے۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر تیزی سے اوپر کی طرف پلٹ گیا ہے، جو تصحیح کی سنگینی کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے۔ اس بات کا امکان نہیں ہے کہ اگلے ہفتے فیڈرل ریزرو کے اجلاس سے پہلے کوئی نئی کمی آئے گی۔ امریکہ میں ذاتی آمدنی اور اخراجات سے متعلق آج کا ڈیٹا مارکیٹ کے شرکاء احتیاط کے ساتھ وصول کر سکتے ہیں۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن تیزی سے اوپر کی طرف پلٹ گیا ہے۔ یہ تیزی سے تھکن اور نتیجتاً اصلاحی عروج میں اعتدال کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے۔ آسٹریلیا 0.6578 کی سطح کو عبور کر سکتا ہے، لیکن صرف مختصر طور پر۔ ہم فیڈ میٹنگ کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔



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