ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Technical analysis of the AUDUSD pair

4 hours chart



Aam tor par, jab hum 4-hour chart ko dekhen, to humein do hafton tak upar ki lehr milti hai, phir ek haftay ke liye neeche ki lehr, aur is haftay ka markaz yeh hoga ke dekha jaye ke kya neecha trend barqarar rahega aur correction levels ko paar karega taake ek naya general trend ban sake, ya phir jo pair ka correction hai woh khatam ho jayega aur upar ke trend ki taraf wapas aa jayega?

Humein us triangle par dhyaan dena hoga jo white se mark kiya gaya hai, jo do channels ke natije mein bana hai jin mein price move kar rahi hai. Yeh triangle price ke general direction ko determine karega. Abhi price ka triangle ke neeche hona aur usse break hona aur bhi zyada girawat ka ishara hai red channel mein.

Expected price movement yeh hai ke price triangle line par wapas aayegi taake retest ho sake aur phir dobara girne lagayegi. Price ka support area 0.6648 hoga, agar yeh break hota hai to girawat continue hogi support level 0.6610 tak.

Upar ki taraf badhne ki possibility tab hai jab price triangle ko break karke uske upar 4 trading hours tak trade kare. Pair trade karne ke liye kuch levels hain jin par humein focus karna hai:

1. **Retest level** of the broken triangle 0.6670 par hai, toh sell entry possible hai agar price is level tak aati hai aur neeche girti hai.
2. **Support level 0.6648** ke neeche hona achi selling opportunity hai, sell karna mumkin hai jab price is support ke neeche ek trading hour ke liye stabilize ho jaye. Stop loss level ko 0.6670 ke upar set karein aur target level ko 0.6610 ke neeche set karein.
3. **Buying opportunity** tab hogi jab price triangle ke upar chadh jaaye aur phir se triangle ke andar trade kare. Triangle ko upar se break karna downward correction ke khatam hone aur price ke wapas upward trend ki taraf aane ka signal hai. First target price ke liye weekly pivot level 0.6718 hoga.

AUD/USD pair apne losses ko recover kar raha hai aur Tuesday ko Asian trading mein 0.6651 mark ko test kar raha hai, jab RBA ki June policy meeting ke minutes ne rate hike ki possibility ko indicate kiya. Lekin, pair ka growth US dollar ke majboot hone ki wajah se bhi ho sakta hai, jo Powell ke speech se pehle dekha gaya. Daily chart ka analysis karta hai ki AUD/USD neutral trend mein hai aur ek rectangular pattern mein consolidate kar raha hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 52 hai, jo is neutral outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Future price movements se trend direction ke baare mein zyada clarity mil sakti hai. AUD/USD pair ko upper boundary of the rectangle pe 0.6691 ke aas-paas resistance ka samna karna pad sakta hai, aur psychological level 0.6701 bhi ho sakta hai. Agla resistance 0.6715 pe hai, jo January se highest hai. Iske muqablay, support 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) pe 0.6623 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai.
Aaj sellers kafi confidently price ko niche push kar rahe hain, aur main puri tarah se maan sakta hoon ke is case mein nearest support level ka retest ho sakta hai, jo ke mere analysis ke mutabiq 0.67141 pe located hai. Is support level ke qareeb, do scenarios ho sakte hain.
Pehla scenario reversal candlestick ke formation se related hai aur upward price movement ka resumption hai. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, to main wait karunga ke price resistance level pe wapas aaye, jo ke 0.67986 pe located hai. Jab price is resistance level ke upar close karega, main expect karunga ke further northward movement ho, jo ke resistance level 0.68711 tak ja sakti hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main trading setup ke formation ka wait karunga taake further trading direction determine kar saku.
Zahir hai, kuch possibilities hain ke more distant northern objectives target kiye ja sakein, jinka ek 0.70301 pe located hai mere analysis ke mutabiq, lekin ye situation aur price ka indicated distant northern targets aur news flow ke reaction pe depend karega during price movement.
Price movement ke liye alternative scenario jab support level 0.67141 test ho raha ho, ye hoga ke price is level ke niche close kare aur further southern movement ho. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price support level 0.66342 ki taraf move kare. Is support level ke qareeb, main bullish signals search karta rahunga, expecting upward price movement ka resumption.
Zahir hai, kuch possibilities hain ke more distant southern objectives target kiye ja sakein, lekin main is waqt isay consider nahi kar raha hoon kyunki mujhe uski quick realization ke prospects nazar nahi aate.
General taur pe agar briefly baat ki jaye, aaj ke liye mujhe locally kuch interesting nazar nahi aa raha regarding ye instrument. Overall, mujhe lagta hai ke price nearest support levels ka retest kar sakta hai,

AUDUSD chart yeh dikhata hai ke aik narrow triangle pattern bana hua hai, aur abhi ka price uski upper boundary ke qareeb hai. Price downward trend kar rahi hai. Agar yeh bearish trend jaari rehti hai, to aisa ho sakta hai ke price aur niche chali jaye. Agar price 0.6773 level ke upar nahi ja sakti aur stabilize nahi hoti, to yeh 0.6666 ke money volume accumulation area tak gir sakti hai. Agar price 0.6666 se upar jati hai lekin 0.6740 ko cross nahi karti, to hum 0.6653 ke accumulation area mein significant drop dekh sakte hain. Ab tak, price 0.6767 reversal level ke niche hi rahi hai. Pehli trading hour ke ilawa, price ne is level ko cross karne ki koshish nahi ki, jo ke weakness ka ishara hai. US retail sales data ne downward pressure barhaya, jis se risky currencies gir gayi aur pair aur niche chala gaya. Price ne teesra support level, S3, 0.6730 ko choo lia hai AUDUSD pair lagta hai ke downward correction phase mein hai kuch din pehle upar jane ke baad. Ek reversal signal nazar aa raha hai bearish engulfing candlestick pattern se jo ke kafi wide volume ke saath hai jab 0.6714 ka resistance bana. Jo price downward correct hui bullish trend ke beech, woh EMA 50 ko touch kar ke 0.6685 ke range mein bounce hui. Agar agli price movement higher high prices form nahi kar pati 0.6714 ke resistance ke upar, to price continue kar sakti hai niche tak EMA 50 ko pass kar ke support 0.6642 ko choo sakti hai jo ke closest RBS area hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka perspective dekhein to iska histogram level 0 ke niche hai ya negative area mein, jo dikhata hai ke momentum downtrend condition mein hai. Iska matlab hai ke jo downward price correction phase chal raha hai usko abhi bhi support mil raha hai. Stochastic indicator se bhi downward price correction phase ko support mil raha hai kyunki parameters level 50 ko cross kar rahe hain aur oversold zone ki taraf ja rahe hain. Ye kaha ja sakta hai ke downward correction abhi saturation point tak nahi pohnchi, isliye niche move karne ka mauka hai. Lekin, agar correction bohot low hoti hai aur SMA 200 tak pohnchti hai to price pattern structure lower low mein badal sakta hai. Kyunki support 0.6642 current higher high pattern structure ke liye ek invalidation level hai jo ke abhi chal rahi hai. Trading options mein follow trend strategy use karni chahiye isliye sirf BUY moment ka intezar karna chahiye bullish trend condition ke beech. Entry position ka placement support 0.6642 ke qareeb agar price downward correct hoti hai aur rejection ya sirf re-test hoti hai

AUD-USD market ka daur Asian session se hi sellers ke qabze mein hai, halaan ke prices Tuesday ke daily open 0.6762 ke aas paas limited range mein move kar rahe the, lekin dheere dheere sellers ka pressure barhta gaya aur prices phir kamzor ho gaye. Ye negative price movement daily open se kareebi support 0.6746 tak pohanch gaya, jo EMA 200 H1 se cross hota hai. Ab H1 time frame par trend abhi bhi biased hai kyun ke us area mein perfect penetration nahi hua aur prices abhi bhi EMA 200 H1 ke aas paas consolidate kar rahe hain. Phir bhi, correction phase EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 se indicate hota hai jo abhi bhi EMA 200 ke upar hain aur unki lines neeche ki taraf latak rahi hain, jo is waqt kaafi zyada bearish current ka ishara hai. Ye condition Monday ko market mein hone wale situation ka silsila hai, jahan prices ne apni taqat ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish ki lekin Monday ke daily open se upar move karne mein nakam rahe jo ke is haftay ka weekly open bhi hai, yani 0.6782. American session mein sellers ki barhati hui taqat ne aakhirkar EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ke darmiyan ek downward cross banane ko majboor kiya, saath hi prices ke neeche ki taraf move hone se 0.6755 ke low tak pohanch gaya, halaan ke price zyada wide space mein move nahi kiya. Is situation se, AUD-USD market pe pressure abhi bhi barkarar rehne ki umeed hai. Ab kamzori jaari hai aur price daily EMA 633 ke aas paas hai jo ke daily dynamic support ka kaam karta hai. EMA line par ye EMA 12 daily se intersect karta hai jo bearish price rate ko rokta hai. Agar ye area price ke negative move se cross hota hai, to price EMA 36 daily line ko pohanchne ki koshish karega jo ke daily support 0.6687 ke parallel hai. Lekin agar EMA 633 daily pressure ko jhel pata hai, to ye area price ke rally karne ke liye ek foothold ban sakta hai aur 0.6781 - 0.6816 area ko pehle test karega. Filhaal, daily stochastic neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai jo market mein superior seller power ka indication hai. Jabke daily bullish trend abhi bhi achi tarah se identify hota hai kyun ke prices EMA 200 ke upar move kar rahe hain aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily lines upar ki taraf latak rahi hain

AUD/USD ko dekha jaye to yeh currency pair sideways condition mein hai, jahan buyers resistance 0.67024 par stuck hain aur sellers support 0.65779 par. Iss situation mein, aisa lagta hai ke buyers ko resistance ko break karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai, jabke sellers bhi price ko existing support ke niche push karne mein nakam hain. Further technical analysis bullish potential dikhata hai, khas tor par agar hum EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ko upar move hota dekhein. Iss ke ilawa, EMA 100 ke aas-paas price rejection bhi nazar aati hai jo yeh batata hai ke yeh area strong dynamic support ke tor par function kar raha hai. Yeh rejection yeh dikhata hai ke jab bhi price 100 EMA ke kareeb aata hai, buyers foran enter ho kar price ko wapas upar push karte hain. Yeh phenomenon meri view ko strengthen karta hai ke buyers ab bhi control mein hain aur price ke 0.67024 resistance level ko near future mein test karne ki high probability hai.
Mere anticipated bullish scenario mein, agar price strong volume ke saath 0.67024 resistance ko break kar leta hai aur daily close iss level ke upar hoti hai, to yeh early evidence ho sakta hai ke ek uptrend develop ho raha hai. Iss waqt, agla target next resistance level ya ek psychologically significant area ke aas-paas ho sakta hai.
H1 map par focus karte hue AUD/USD ke liye, pair ne ek aur upward movement dikhayi hai jab minor resistance 0.66309 ko test kiya gaya, jo pehle broken ho chuki thi. Yeh level ab ek new support point ke tor par function kar raha hai. Potential price movement yeh indicate karta hai ke yeh 0.66756 resistance ko test kar sakta hai, jo pehle buyers ko hold back kiya tha. Iss dynamic ko observe karte hue, meine apni trading strategy ko carefully plan kiya hai. Technical analysis mein, support aur resistance levels ka retesting ek common phenomenon hai. Jab price resistance ko access karke uss level ko dobara test karta hai, to yeh aksar apni function support mein badal leta hai. Yeh exactly wo cheez hai jo meine 0.66309 level par observe ki hai. Yeh shift ek positive signal provide karta hai ke buyers ab bhi market ko dominate kar rahe hain, kam az kam filhal ke liye.
Mera trading plan yeh hai ke main resistance level 0.66756 ko closely monitor karoon. Main price movements aur doosre technical indicators ko dekh kar signals ko validate karoon ga. Agar price convincingly 0.66756 resistance ko break karta hai, to main ek buy position open karne ka plan rakhta hoon jahan initial target agle resistance level ya ek significant psychological area par set hoga. Dobara, agar iss level par rejection hota hai, to main ek sell position open karoon ga jahan initial target 0.66309 support level par ya usse bhi niche hoga agar seller pressure strong hota hai.

AUD/USD Price Analysis: H4 at 0.6529

Main AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Guzishta trading week mein US dollar ki kamzori ne AUD/USD pair ki quotes ko support kiya, jo ab current daily chart trading range ke upper boundary ke qareeb hain. Iske thoda upar ek mazboot resistance level 0.6766 par hai, jo 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke mutabiq hai. Dollar ki yeh kamzori aarzi hai, jo ziada tar US labor market data ke negative hone ki wajah se hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke labor statistics mein thodi si kamzori ke bawajood, non-farm payroll data expectations se behtar aayi, jo ke shayad agle trading week ke aghaz mein US dollar ke bare mein nazariya badal sakti hai. Speculators ne is surat haal se faida uthane ki koshish ki, jo marginal market activity ko barhawa de sakti hai. Lekin, US dollar ke further depreciation ke liye koi compelling indicators nahi hain. Isliye, agar price blue moving average ya 0.6766 resistance se rebound hoti hai, toh main selling ko contemplate karunga, aur 0.6660 support level ki taraf ek corrective decline anticipate karunga.




Aik mahine se zyada, AUD/USD trading range mein phasa hua hai, aur paanch mahine ke high 0.6713 ko break karne mein nakam raha hai. Lekin, downtrend upward sloping 50-day SMA par ruk gaya hai. Agar buying pressure barqarar rehti hai, toh price pehle 0.6713 resistance level ko retest karne ki koshish karegi, jo December 2023 high 0.6870 ki taraf breakout ki surat mein le ja sakta hai. Agar yeh level hold nahi karta, toh pair 0.6898 double top area ko revisit kar sakta hai jo pichle summer mein identify hua tha. Dosri taraf, reversal ki surat mein, AUD ko immediate support 0.6643 level par milega, jo April aur May mein resistance ka kaam de chuka hai. Zyada severe drop near-term support 0.6590 ko expose kar sakta hai, jo 50-day EMA ke mutabiq hai. Agar decline barqarar rehti hai, toh 0.6558 level, jo pair ke recent range ke lower end par hai, further depreciation se pehle aakhri defense ka kaam karega.

AUD/USD: H4 at 0.6529

Filhal, AUD/USD currency pair bearish outlook ko favor kar rahi hai, jahan sellers resistance levels par control maintain kar rahe hain aur sustained upward momentum ko prevent kar rahe hain. Key technical levels aur 0.6529 par support bearish trend ki strength ko confirm karne ke liye critical hain. Market participants ko aaj ke economic events ko closely monitor karna chahiye sentiment shifts ke potential ke liye, aur current market dynamics ko effectively navigate karne ke liye cautious approach aur small lot sizes adopt karni chahiye.

AUD/USD Ka Tajziya: Uptrend Mein Positive Momentum

AUD/USD currency pair ke market movements ka tajziya ek current uptrend ko zahir karta hai, jo Australian dollar ke US dollar ke muqable mein positive momentum ko reflect karta hai. Yeh tajziya real-time price assessment aur potential future movements par focus karta hai, jo technical indicators aur historical patterns par mabni hai.

Naye trading week ke aghaz mein, main 0.6761 level par ek price correction anticipate kar raha hoon. Yeh correction overall uptrend ke andar ek zaroori pullback hai, jo market ko stabilize hone ka mauqa dega pehle ke potentially apni upward movement ko continue kare. Aise corrections trending markets mein aam hote hain aur yeh traders ke liye buying opportunities provide kar sakte hain jo agle leg up se faida uthana chahte hain.

Is expected correction ke baad, jo 0.6761 par ho sakta hai, main ek naye upward movement ka dekh raha hoon jo AUD/USD pair ko 90-day local high 0.6791 tak push kar sakta hai. Yeh level recent trading history mein significant raha hai aur minor resistance ka kaam kar sakta hai pehle ke price higher move karne ki koshish kare. Agar pair successfully 0.6791 se break kar leta hai, toh yeh 0.6801 tak pohonch sakta hai aur potentially is level ke upar consolidate kar sakta hai.

0.6801 ke upar consolidation ek strong bullish signal hoga, jo yeh indicate karega ke market participants higher prices ko support karne ke liye tayar hain. Yeh increased buying interest ko lead kar sakta hai, jo price ko further upar drive karega. Lekin, agar price 0.6801 ke upar levels ko maintain karne mein struggle karti hai, toh yeh signal ho sakta hai ke upward momentum kamzor ho raha hai aur ek deeper correction ho sakti hai.

Agar price 0.6801 ke upar sustain nahi karti, toh ek deeper correction unfold ho sakti hai, aur price potentially 0.6701 level par wapas aa sakti hai. Yeh target ziada likely agle mahine mein pohoncha ja sakta hai rather than current week. 0.6701 level ek significant support zone represent karta hai, jahan pehle buyers ne declines ko rok kar price ko upar push kiya tha. Is level ko phir se pohonchne par naye buyers attract ho sakte hain, jo ek aur upward push ke liye stage set karenge.




Historical patterns is potential scenario ko support karte hain. Similar price movements pehle bhi ho chuki hain, jahan AUD/USD pair ne correction experience ki aur phir overall trend ko continue kiya. Yeh patterns market behavior ke valuable insights provide karte hain aur traders ko future movements anticipate karne mein madad dete hain.

Ek crucial signal jo dekhne layak hai woh hai ek regular candle ka closing 0.6761 par. Agar price is level par close hoti hai, toh yeh ek reversal indicate kar sakti hai, jo suggest karta hai ke correction phase khatam ho raha hai aur ek naye upward movement ka aghaz hone wala hai. Aisa signal overall bullish sentiment ke sath align hoga aur uptrend ke ab bhi intact hone ka view support karega.

Summary mein, AUD/USD pair ek uptrend show karta hai jisme price correction ka potential 0.6761 par naye trading week ke aghaz mein hai. Is correction ke baad ek upward movement ho sakta hai jo 0.6791 aur possibly 0.6801 tak pohonch sakta hai. Agar price 0.6801 ke upar consolidate karti hai, toh yeh bullish outlook ko confirm karega. Lekin, agar yeh levels ko sustain nahi karta, toh ek deeper correction 0.6701 tak anticipate ki ja sakti hai agle mahine mein. Key levels aur historical patterns ko monitor karna crucial hoga in potential market movements ko navigate karne ke liye.

General Points

AUD/USD market is haftay ke aghaz se dheemi raftaar se chal raha hai. Abhi yeh 0.6740 level par hai, aur sellers ke chances barh rahe hain. Lekin, AUD/USD market mein significant movement tab aayega jab Australian Unemployment aur Employment rates ka data release hoga. Agar US dollar kamzor hota hai, toh market phir se 0.6775 level cross kar sakta hai. Mujhe kal tak intezar karna chahiye. Iske ilawa, US dollar bhi upcoming news events ke sath move karega. Mazeed, US Unemployment rate aur Philly Fed Manufacturing index ke hawale se bhi announcements hone wale hain. Isi liye, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD market bullish trend follow karega aur 0.6775 level tak pohonch sakta hai.




Chalain AUD/USD market ka tajziya daily chart pattern ki madad se karte hain:

Generally, kuch significant US economic announcements schedule hain, jaise ke US Unemployment rate aur Philly Fed Manufacturing index. Yeh indicators US economy ki strength ke hawale se mazeed insights provide karte hain aur currency markets mein volatility barhane ka sabab ban sakte hain. Isi liye, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD market bullish trend follow karega aur 0.6775 level tak pohonch sakta hai. Yeh potential bullish movement positive Australian economic data aur weaker-than-expected US economic performance ke combination se driven ho sakta hai. Traders ko in key indicators par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye kyun ke yeh market direction determine karne mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Is hafta AUD/USD market relatively slow raha hai, lekin Australia aur US se significant economic data releases ke baad movement mein izafa ho sakta hai. Ek cautious approach advisable hai, aur Australian Unemployment aur Employment rates aur US economic indicators jaise ke Unemployment rate aur Philly Fed Manufacturing index ko qareebi tor par monitor karna chahiye. Yeh factors collectively ek potential bullish trend suggest karte hain AUD/USD ke liye, jo shayad 0.6775 level tak pohonch sakta hai.

AUD/USD market haftay ke aghaz se dheemi raftaar se chal raha hai. Abhi yeh 0.6740 level par hai aur sellers ke chances barh rahe hain. Magar, Australian Unemployment aur Employment rates ke release ke sath, AUD/USD market mein significant movement ho sakti hai. Agar US dollar kamzor hota hai, toh market dobara 0.6775 level cross kar sakta hai. Mujhe kal tak intezar karna chahiye. Iske ilawa, US dollar bhi upcoming news events ke sath move karega. Mazeed, US Unemployment rate aur Philly Fed Manufacturing index ke hawale se bhi announcements hone wale hain. Isi liye, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD market bullish trend follow karega aur 0.6775 level tak pohonch sakta hai.




Generally, kuch significant US economic announcements schedule hain, jaise ke US Unemployment rate aur Philly Fed Manufacturing index. Yeh indicators US economy ki strength ke hawale se mazeed insights provide karte hain aur currency markets mein volatility barhane ka sabab ban sakte hain. Isi liye, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD market bullish trend follow karega aur 0.6775 level tak pohonch sakta hai. Yeh potential bullish movement positive Australian economic data aur weaker-than-expected US economic performance ke combination se driven ho sakta hai. Traders ko in key indicators par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye kyun ke yeh market direction determine karne mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Is hafta AUD/USD market relatively slow raha hai, lekin Australia aur US se significant economic data releases ke baad movement mein izafa ho sakta hai. Ek cautious approach advisable hai, aur Australian Unemployment aur Employment rates aur US economic indicators jaise ke Unemployment rate aur Philly Fed Manufacturing index ko qareebi tor par monitor karna chahiye. Yeh factors collectively ek potential bullish trend suggest karte hain AUD/USD ke liye, jo shayad 0.6775 level tak pohonch sakta hai.

News #AUD/USD
Forume Time™

Aap sab ko khushiyon bhara din mubarak ho! Linear regression channel ki downward slope dikhati hai ke sellers ki taqat 0.67155 level tak le jana chahti hai. Target level par movement dheemi ho jayegi. Kamzori ki wajah se aur fluctuations ke chalte, rollback ke imkan ke sath recharge karna zaroori hoga. Channel ke neeche, selling ka sochna nahi chahiye, balki 0.67433 tak correction ka intezar karna chahiye. Wahan se put option ko consider kar sakte hain. Agar 0.67433 se upar hold kare to bullish mood ubhar sakta hai, jo market ko upar push kar sakta hai. Isliye, sales ka intezar karein. Channel ka angle dikhata hai ke bear kitni tezi se niche jana chahta hai, aur jitna bara angle hoga, utna hi zyada seller active hoga. Bara angled channel market news movement ka sign hai. Main channel hourly chart par linear regression channel hai, aur mein movements ko iske through identify karta hoon. Hourly chart par channel 4, jo ek sub-channel hai, ab bearish picture complete karta hai. Kyunke channels ek hi direction mein move kar rahe hain, hum is instrument ke liye bearish mood describe kar sakte hain. Jab signal younger period mein break hota hai, hume growth ka intezar karna chahiye 0.67742 level tak. Jahan se hum wapas sales ko dekh sakte hain 0.67151 level tak.




Channel ke neeche, sales ke sath mein fence par hoon, aur purchases ke sath bhi, jo ab mere liye knives hain. Mera trading principle H4 channel ko direct trade karna hai, kyunke yeh mere liye main channel hai. Chote channel par entry point ko clarify karein aur jab correction minimal ho to sound move ke sath act karein.

Profit Potential: AUD/USD Prices

Mein iss waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Price ne apni medium-term resistance line ko break kar diya hai, jo pair ke mazeed growth ki nishani hai. Australian dollar ke H4 chart ka tajziya karte hue, 0.68 figure ke around selling mein delay hai. 0.67 figure meri liye ek sales zone hai, lekin market sentiment US dollar ko sell karne ka favor kar raha tha, is liye meine zyada reliable sales higher level par plan ki. Nateeja ye hua ke price meri expected entry point se aage nikal gayi. Iss waqt, Aussie 0.6723 level ko test kar raha hai, jo meine recently ek potential buy entry ke tor par identify kiya tha. Magar euro-dollar target bearish side par nahi pohocha, jo ye suggest karta hai ke Aussie ko buy karna abhi jaldi hoga.




Mein Australian dollar-US dollar pair ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Jab pair apni sideways pattern se upward move kiya, to ye 0.66731 aur 0.66419 par trade kar raha tha. Volume mein izafa potential stop removal ko indicate kar raha tha, kyunke seller ka volume significant tha, jo mujhe decline anticipate karne par majboor kar raha tha. Ek range form hui, aur seller ne extensively volume accumulate kiya. Us waqt, meine predict kiya ke pair phir se decline karega due to increased volume, jo stop removal ko suggest kar raha tha. Jab pair wapas previous high par aayi, to seller ne volume accumulation ko intensify kiya, jo further decline ko signal kar raha tha. Mein expect karta hoon ke pair lower support level 0.67183 tak drop karega. Jab ek range likely hoti hai, aur seller ke stops possible hote hain, to pair range mein wapas aata hai, jo decline ke continuation ko indicate karta hai. Decline support level 0.66419 tak proceed karega.

AUD/USD H-1 Time Frame Chart

#AUDUSD H1 Australian Dollar/US Dollar. Mein ne 1-hour chart par pair ka tajziya kiya hai aur yeh conclusion nikala hai ke sell aim ke sath contract option ko consider karna mumkin hai. Mein kyun aisa mehsoos kar raha hoon? Mere arguments short position ke haq mein hain:

1. Price MA200 moving average ke neeche hai, jo downward momentum ko dikhata hai.
2. Pichle din ke doosre hissay mein, pair opening se neeche trade kar raha tha aur trading day ko neeche end kiya.
3. Market prices Bollinger Bands ke beech se neeche move hui hain, jo bearish trend ko show kar rahi hain aur instrument ka downward movement continue rehne ke imkanaat zyada hain.
4. Trading mein mein Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator 14 ke sath use karta hoon aur agar yeh overbought condition (above 70) ya oversold condition (below 30) show karta hai, to contract nahi karta. Is period mein, RSI value short trade karne ke liye kaafi acceptable hai.
5. Targets ke liye, mein Fifo level 211% par take profit set karunga, jo price point 0.67002 ke mutabiq hai. Aur jab yeh target reach ho jaye, mein position ko breakeven par move kar dunga aur price ko mazeed distant True South Fibo marks par le jaunga.




AUD/USD H4 Australian Dollar - US Dollar

Currency pair/instrument ka technical analysis Heiken Ashi candlesticks aur TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ke zariye yeh dikhata hai ke market bearish hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator, jo market mein power balance ko show karta hai, chart par noise ko smooth out karne mein madad karta hai aur iss tarah technical analysis aur trading decisions ki accuracy aur precision ko asaan banata hai. TMA channel indicator (red, blue aur yellow lines) support aur resistance lines ko do smooth moving averages ke basis par build karta hai aur instrument ke current range of movement ko achi tarah show karta hai. RSI Basement indicator ek auxiliary oscillator ke tor par use hota hai jo Heiken Ashi ke sath combine karne par behtareen results show karta hai.

Presented chart mein hum dekhte hain ke candles red ho gayi hain aur sellers ke liye prefer karti hain. Price ne channel ke upper boundary (blue dotted line) ko cross kiya aur maximum point se bounce hone ke baad channel ki middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf move hui. RSI oscillator bhi sell signal ko confirm karta hai, kyunke uski curve downward trend kar rahi hai aur oversold level se door hai. Hum ek short sale transaction open karte hain minimum lower limit of the channel (red dotted line) par reach karne ke liye jo ke price mark 0.66762 par hai market prices ke mutabiq. Phir aap position ko breakeven par move kar sakte hain aur mazeed profit increase hone ka wait kar sakte hain.

AUD/USD Paar ka Tajziya

Pichlay mahine se AUD/USD pair ek range mein trade kar raha hai aur 0.6713 ke key resistance level ko break nahi kar pa raha. Magar, US dollar ki recent depreciation ne Australian dollar ko kuch support diya hai.

Pichle hafte, US dollar ki kamzori disappointing US labor market data ki wajah se thi. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke latest non-farm payroll report expectations se behtar thi, jo shayad naye trading week ke aghaz par dollar ke trajectory ko market perceptions mein badal sakti hai. Speculators ne is mauqe ka faida uthaya, jis se market activity mein thoda izafa dekhne ko mila.

Temporary US dollar weakness ke bawajood, mazeed significant depreciation ke koi strong indications nahi hain. Aise mein, agar AUD/USD pair current 0.6766 resistance level se rebound hoti hai, jo 78.6% Fibonacci retracement ke sath milta hai, to mein price correction ki umeed mein pair ko sell karne ka sochunga towards the support level of 0.6660.




Upside aur Downside Scenarios

Agar buying pressure barqarar rehta hai, to AUD/USD shayad 0.6713 resistance level ko dobara test karne ki koshish kare, jo December 2023 ke high 0.6870 ki taraf breakout lead kar sakta hai. Magar, agar yeh level hold karne mein fail hota hai, to pair dobara 0.6898 double top area ko visit kar sakta hai jo last summer identify kiya gaya tha.

Agar downside dekha jaye, to reversal ko 0.6643 par immediate support mil sakta hai, jo April aur May mein resistance ka kaam kar chuka hai. Ek sharper decline ke baad, short-term support 0.6580 par likely expose hoga, jo 50-day EMA ke sath milta hai. Agar decline continue karta hai, to 0.6558 level, jo pair ke recent range ke lower end par hai, final line of defense ka kaam karega before further depreciation.

Overall Outlook

Maujooda taur par, AUD/USD pair ek bearish outlook favor kar rahi hai, jahan sellers resistance levels par control maintain kar rahe hain aur sustained upward momentum ko prevent kar rahe hain. Investors ko key technical levels aur economic events ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake current market dynamics ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

## H4 Time Frame mein AUD/USD Pair ka Tajziya

AUD/USD currency pair ne chand hafton mein H4 (four-hour) time frame mein controlled bullish momentum dikhaya hai, jo zyada ter buying interest se chala hai. Ye tajziya recent price action, key support aur resistance levels, aur overall market sentiment ka comprehensive outlook provide karta hai.

#### Recent Price Movements

Chand hafton mein, AUD/USD pair zyada tar buyers ke control mein raha hai, jo ek persistent bullish trend ko reflect karta hai. Ye upward momentum itna strong raha hai ke price 100-period simple moving average (SMA) ko H4 chart par cross kar gaya, jo ek significant technical indicator hai jo aksar sustained bullish activity ko signal karta hai.

Magar, guzashta hafte ke end par, weekly time frame par bearish candlestick ka formation dekha gaya, jo broader bullish trend mein potential correction ko suggest karta hai. Is waqt, price 0.6779 level ke qareeb oscillate kar raha hai, jo aaj market opening area se thoda niche aaya hai. Ye minor pullback ek temporary consolidation phase ko indicate karta hai, balki overall upward trend ka reversal nahi.

#### Key Support aur Resistance Levels

H4 chart ko analyze karte hue, price movement near term mein aur bullish activity ka potential dikhata hai. Primary support level jo dekhne layak hai wo 0.6761 par hai. Ye level crucial hai kyunki yahan buyers ne pehle downward movements ko rok kar price ko upar push kiya tha. Support ka confirmation is level par, jo bullish reversal patterns ya increased buying volume se indicate hoga, traders ke liye long positions enter karne ka strategic entry point provide karega.

Upside par, immediate bullish target 0.6831 zone ke qareeb hai. Ye level ek resistance point ke tor par kaam karta hai jo agar breach ho jaye, to further upward movement ke liye raasta khol sakta hai towards 0.6856 price zone. Ye aakhri zone ek aur key resistance level hai jo buyers likely test karenge agar bullish momentum continue raha.

#### Technical Indicators

Kayi technical indicators continued bullish activity ka potential support karte hain. 100-period SMA ke upar price ka move hona ek significant bullish signal hai. Agar upward movements par increasing volumes dekhe jaye, to ye bullish trend ki strength ko further confirm karega.

H4 chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI), overbought territory mein nahi hai, jo kehti hai ke upward movement ka room abhi bhi hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi is outlook ko support karta hai, MACD line signal line ke upar hai aur dono lines zero level ke upar position mein hain, jo ongoing bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

#### Market Sentiment aur Fundamentals

Broader market sentiment aur economic fundamentals bhi AUD/USD pair ke movements mein crucial role play karte hain. Australia ke economic data, jese ke employment figures aur commodity prices, khaaskar metals aur energy exports, Australian dollar ki strength ko influence karte hain. Saath hi, US dollar ki performance, jo Federal Reserve ki monetary policy aur economic indicators se impacted hoti hai, is currency pair ko bhi affect karti hai.

#### Conclusion

Conclusion mein, H4 time frame par AUD/USD pair ek controlled bullish trend dikhata hai, jo sustained buying interest se chala hai aur key technical indicators se support hota hai. Despite ek minor bearish candlestick formation weekly chart par jo ek correction ko suggest karta hai, overall trend bullish hi rehta hai. Traders ko potential pullbacks ke liye prepare karna chahiye by setting strategic entry points around 0.6761 support level aur 0.6831 aur 0.6856 resistance zones ko target karna chahiye for potential gains. Market developments aur technical signals ko monitor karna crucial hoga is bullish trend ko effectively navigate karne ke liye.

### AUD/USD Currency Pair Analysis in Roman Urdu
AUD/USD ka currency pair is waqt 0.6529 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke US dollar ke haali girawat ki wajah se acha rise dekha raha hai. Ye appreciation pair ke quotes ko daily chart ke trading range ke upper boundary ki taraf push kar raha hai. Ye analysis key resistance aur support levels, technical indicators, aur market sentiment ko explore karta hai jo ke AUD/USD pair ke potential price action ko influence karte hain.

#### Key Resistance aur Support Levels

**1. Resistance at 0.6766:**

0.6766 par resistance level 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke mutabiq hai, jo isko AUD/USD pair ke liye aik significant barrier banata hai. Ye level aik critical point hai jahan pair selling pressure face kar sakta hai, khas taur par US dollar ki haali girawat ke transient nature ko dekhte hue.

**2. Support at 0.6660:**

On the downside, 0.6660 level aik key support ka kaam karta hai. Agar pair 0.6766 ke resistance level se upar sustain karne mein nakam hota hai aur reversal signs show karta hai, to 0.6660 support level agla critical zone hoga dekhne ke liye. Aik rebound ke baad is support level ki taraf corrective decline anticipated hai.

#### Technical Indicators

**1. Moving Averages:**

H4 chart par blue moving average aik dynamic support level provide karta hai. Price ka is moving average ke sath interact karna dekhna zaroori hai. Agar price blue moving average se rebound karti hai aur resistance 0.6766 par hai, to ye potential corrective decline ke case ko strengthen karega.

**2. Fibonacci Retracement:**

78.6% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6766 par aik key technical indicator hai. Is level tak pohanchna aksar aik significant resistance point ko signify karta hai jahan price reversal likely hota hai. Ye level particularly important hai kyun ke ye historical price action ke sath align karta hai aur further gains ke against aik robust barrier provide karta hai.

#### Market Sentiment aur Fundamental Analysis

**1. US Labor Market Data:**

US dollar ki haali girawat US labor market data ki wajah se driven thi, jo temporarily AUD/USD pair ko bolster kiya. Weaker labor statistics ke bawajood, non-farm payroll data expectations se zyada tha, jo market perceptions of the US dollar ko influence kar sakta hai. Ye mixed economic data dollar ke future trajectory ke baray mein uncertainty create karta hai.

**2. Speculative Activity:**

Speculators ne dollar ki temporary weakness ka faida uthaya, market activity ko thoda increase kiya. Magar, bina kisi compelling indicators ke further US dollar depreciation ke liye, AUD/USD pair ke recent gains ki sustainability questionable hai. Ye speculative behavior suggest karta hai ke further appreciation of the AUD/USD pair might be limited, aur aik higher likelihood of a corrective decline hai.

#### Trading Strategy

Given the current market conditions aur technical indicators, aik prudent trading strategy ye hai ke price action ko key resistance level 0.6766 par monitor kiya jaye. Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein nakam hoti hai aur reversal signs show karti hai, jaise ke bearish candlestick patterns ya weakening momentum, to ye short positions enter karne ka aik mauka present karta hai.