aud/usd

As-salam-o-Alaikum dosto! Umeed hai sab forum administrators, Moderators, aur Instaforex Broker Admins khairiyat se hain. Aaj mein AUD/USD market ke baray mein baat karunga jo halat mein hai. Meri trading AUD/USD analysis Instaforex traders aur forum ke doston ke liye madadgar sabit hogi. Aussie ki growth pressure mein thi, jahan annualized real GDP har quarter se start 2023 se ghata ya barabar raha hai. Annualized figure jo ke 1.2% ke estimates ko miss kar ke 1.1% par aaya, jabke quarter-on-quarter figure sirf 0.1% barha.

Household spending jo ke Australian GDP ka lagbhag 50% hissa hai, thoda taqatwar tha 1.3% par, lekin is spending ka zyada hissa electricity aur healthcare jaise zaroori cheezon par gaya, jabke discretionary spending flat raha.

AUD/USD market mein abhi tak lackluster growth se koi farq nahi pada, lekin currency ne Kiwi dollar ke khilaf thori giravat darj ki hai (likhne ke waqt). AUD/USD ab 0.6644 level ko test kar raha hai jo March aur May ke darmiyan qeemat ko rokta tha aur is pair ke liye support faraham karta hai.



Market ek potential tripwire ke roop mein bearish continuation ke liye serve kar raha hai lekin haal ki harkaton mein conviction ki kami hai. Dono central banks interest rates ko eventually cut karne ki taraf dekh rahe hain, lekin is faislon ki timing abhi tak ghayab hai. Haalaanki, kamzor hone wale US data se Fed ko dono mumalik mein behtar position mil rahi hai. Aane wale US services PMI data mein aur bhi kamzori dekhne ko mil sakti hai, manufacturing sector se contraction ke baad.

Is tarah se, AUD/USD market ki current halat ko lekar traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur market ke dynamics ko samajhne ke liye closely monitor karna chahiye.

Rozana Time Frame Ki Tashreeh

TF Daily ki hawale se dekha jaye toh yeh nazar ata hai keh bullish trend halat abhi bhi jari hai, lekin qeemat mein consolidation dar se mazoor hone ki tendency hai jo 50 Ma ke moving limit par 0.6576 aur resistance area jo pichle mahine ke uchit price limit ke qareeb 0.6715 hai, se guzarti hai. Abhi kharidaron ki taraf se koshish ki ja rahi hai keh yeh barhao ko wapis pehunchne ke liye crucial resistance area jo keh 0.6715 ke qareeb hai, ko test kiya jaye. Is price level ke ooper naye buland mukhtalif banane ki mumkinat neeche dikhate hain aur yeh aik potential base up rally ko mohtaaj karte hain takay saalana uchit price limit jo keh 0.6838 ke qareeb hai, tak pohanch saken aur pichle saal ke uchit area jo keh 0.7157 ke qareeb hai, tak koshish ki jaye. Agar barhao ke bullish rejection conditions 0.6700 ke qareeb guzar jayein toh yeh consolidation phase jari reh sakta hai. Is se selling opportunities khul sakti hain takay 0.6600 ke qareeb barhao ke target ko ghiraft kia jaye. Agar price 0.6576 ke qareeb support area ke nichay gir jaye toh sellers ke daakhil hone ke tasdiq mil sakti hai jo ke trend ki raah ko badalne ki koshish karte hain, jaise keh agar price 200 Ma ke moving limit jo keh 0.6550 ke qareeb hai, se neeche gir jaye toh bearish trend ka aghaz sabit ho sakta hai aur price crucial support area jo keh 0.6516 ke qareeb hai, ke nichay chalay jaye. Yeh is liye keh TF daily mein Audusd currency pair ki movement ne bullish engulfing candle banai hai jo keh aik bohat taqatwar BUY AUDUSD signal hai jo keh mustaqbil mein 0.66700 tak pohanch sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, SNR aur Fibonacci methods istemal karte hue pata chala hai keh Audusd ki qeemat jo keh 0.6640 thi, kal RBS area mein thi, is liye bohat zyada mumkin hai keh aaj Audusd ki movement 0.66700 tak barhti rahegi.

AUD/USD Ki Tashreeh

AUD/USD ko mehsoos nahi hoti hai bekarar raftaar se par currency ne Kiwi dollar ke khilaf thora sa girawat darj kiya hai (likhte waqt). AUD/USD ab 0.6644 level ko test kar raha hai jo March aur May ke darmiyan qeemat ko muntazim rakhta tha aur is pair ke liye support faraham karta hai.
Market ek bearish continuation ke liye aik mumkin tripwire ke tor par khidmat deti hai lekin haal hi ke harkaton mein yaqeen kami hai. Dono central banks interest rates mein akhir kar kam karne ki taraf dekh rahe hain, lekin is fazool halat mein faisla karne ki timing ghair wazeh hai. Lekin, kamzor hone wale US data ne Fed ko dono mumalik mein uncha muqam diya hai. Aaj US services PMI data mein mazeed dollar ki kamzori dekhne ko mil sakti hai jo ke manufacturing sector se aagey muddat ko barhata hai.

AUDUSD ne kal dobara ek ooper ki taraf harkat dikhayi jab 0.66309 ke minor resistance ko dobara test kiya gaya jo pehle se tor diya gaya tha. Yeh level ab aik naya support point ki sifaat ada karta hai. Mumkin price movement dikhata hai keh yeh 0.66756 ke resistance ko dobara test karne ki mumkinat hai, jo pehle se kharidaron ko rokta tha. Is dynamic ko dekh kar, mein apni trading strategy ko dhyan se tashkeel deta hoon. Technical analysis mein, support aur resistance levels ko dobara test karna aam baat hai. Jab price resistance ko paar kar leta hai aur phir us level ko dobara test karta hai, toh yeh level aksar apni sifaat ko support mein badal deta hai. Yehi cheez maine level 0.66309 par dekhi hai. Is tabdeeli ne yeh musbat signal diya hai keh kharidaron ne abhi tak market par qabza jama rakha hai.



Meri trading strategy yeh hai keh mein taizi se 0.66756 ke resistance level ka test qareeb se dekhoon ga. Mein price movements aur doosre technical indicators ko monitor karunga takay signals ke durusti ko yaqeeni banaya ja sake. Agar price 0.66756 ke resistance ko mukammal taur par paar kar leta hai, toh mein ek buy position kholunga jis ka ibtedai target aglay resistance level ya aik ahem nafsiyati area par hoga. Dusri taraf, agar is level par inkar ho jaye toh mein ek sell position kholunga jis ka ibtedai target 0.66309 ke support level par hoga ya agar bechne walon ki dabao kafi taqatwar ho toh mazeed kam ho sakta hai.

Australian Dollar Ki Tashreeh

Australian dollar ne peer subah tezi se barhi, haan keh 0.6650 level currency ke liye aik mushkil aur aham factor hai. Yeh ishara deta hai keh market abhi bhi aik buland range mein hai, jahan 0.67 level uchayi aur 0.66 level nichayi hadood ko had bandh rakhata hai. Dono 50-day aur 200-day EMAs neeche tashkil diye gaye hain, jo mumkin support areas faraham karte hain.

Phir bhi, market mein buland raftar barqarar rakhne ke liye kafi josh o jazba nahi hai. Is natije mein lagta hai keh Australian dollar isi rukh mein musalsal ghoomte rahe ga, clear rukh ki talash mein. Faisla kun mechanisms ki ghair maujoodgi isharatain deti hai keh market mein aik mustamil waqt ke consolidate period ke bawajood, market mein aam tor par tezi nahi hai.

Is trend se baaz aane ki soorat mein, dono taraf kareeb 100 pips ke bare barhao ki bari harkat se lead ho sakti hai, is tarah se kisi bhi aisi taraqi ko nazar andaaz karna zaroori hai. Yeh aham hai keh Australian dollar commodity prices aur Australian economy ki sehat ke liye bohat hi hassas hai. Is ke ilawa, US dollar ki position safe currency ke tor par is tarah ke tashkeel mein aik aham kirdar ada karta hai.

Mozooda market conditions ke dastoor ke mutabiq, Australian dollar ke actions short-term trading strategies ke liye mumkin hai keh tashreef rakhein. Shor term traders ke liye is defined space mein baar baar tabdeeliyon se faida uthaya ja sakta hai jahan shor term traders ko satah dar satah tabdeeliyon se faida uthaya ja sakta hai.

Baray taur par global economic issues, khaas tor par Chinese economy ke performance, jo ke Australia ka bara trading partner hai, is broader context ko cover karta hai. Steel aur doosre raw materials ke qeemat Australian dollar par gehri asar andaz hoti hain. Isi doran, Federal Reserve monetary policy aur global risk perception se mutasir hone wale US dollar ki taqat ya kamzori is development mein mazeed complexity add karti hai.



Akhiri taur par, Australian dollar 0.66 aur 0.67 ke darmiyan aik consolidate phase mein qaim hai. Is manzar mein short-term traders ko ziyada mauqa hai, jab ke dono rukh mein ikhtilaf is safar mein mazeed izhar ki taraf rasta khole sakta hai. Commodities prices, global economic indicators aur US dollar ke cash flow ko nazar andaaz rakhna is market mein dakhil hone ke liye mukhtasir hai.

AUD/USD H4 Ki Tashreeh

AUD/USD (Australian Dollar/US Dollar) currency pair forex market mein sab se zyada actively traded pairs mein se aik hai. Is ki qeemat Australian dollar aur US dollar ke exchange rate ko numaya karti hai. Aaj ke trend mein AUD/USD ko kai ahem factors se asar ho sakta hai, jin mein economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment shaamil hain. Aaj ke taza trend ke mutabiq, AUD/USD ke trend ko kai factors ka mishwar nazar aata hai. Sab se pehle, haal hi mein Australia aur United States se aane wale economic data ne ahem asar dikhaya hai. Australia mein majooda data mein rozgar, consumer sentiment, aur retail sales ke mutaliq mukhtalif natayej aaye hain. For example, rozgar ki shumarah mazboot rahi hai, lekin consumer confidence mein interest rates ke barhte hue aur inflation ke waswase ki wajah se kamzori ka izhar hua hai. Is ne Australian dollar ke liye aik thora sa bearish outlook paida kiya hai.

Dusri taraf, US dollar relatively strong raha hai, jis ko non-farm payrolls aur retail sales figures jaise mazboot economic indicators ne support kiya hai. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ki stance bhi aham kirdar ada karti hai. Fed ke faislay ka asar US dollar ki qeemat par hota hai. Haal hi mein, Fed ne inflation ka mukabla karne ke liye apni tight monetary policy jari rakhne ki irada zahir ki hai, jo US dollar ki taqat ko support karta hai.



Geopolitical factors bhi AUD/USD ke trend mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Misal ke tor par, US aur China ke darmiyan tanaza Australian economy par gair munsar asar daal sakte hain, kyun ke Australia ka China ke sath bohat gehra trade relationship hai. Agar US-China relations mein koi manfi taraqqiyan ho jayein toh market mein risk-off sentiment paida ho sakta hai, jis se investors safer assets jaise ke US dollar ki taraf rujoo karte hain.

AUD/USD Ke Technical Indicators Ki Tashreeh

Australian dollar (AUD) abhi $0.6655 ke aas paas mojood hai, jo ke foreign exchange market mein ek neutral trend ko numaya karta hai. Yeh rozana ke charts par wazeh hai, jahan AUD/USD pair ek rectangular pattern ke andar atka hua hai, jo ke consolidate hone ki nishandahi karta hai aur saaf rukh ki bajaye. Analysts 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ko clues ke liye dekh rahe hain. Yeh technical indicator abhi 50 par mojood hai, jo ke ek neutral market ko darshata hai. Is level ke upar ya neeche faisla warzi wazeh ho sakti hai ke AUD/USD ko kis rukh mein jaana hai. AUD/USD do ahem levels par support pa sakta hai. Pehla level 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) hai jo ke abhi $0.6612 par hai. Yeh average ek floor price ke taur par kaam karta hai, jahan pehle dips ko buyers ne step in karne ke liye taiyar dekha hai. Doosra support level $0.6585 par hai, jo ke pehle zikar kiye gaye rectangular formation ki lower boundary ko darshata hai. Is level ke neeche girne ka matlab AUD ke liye mazeed girawat ki alamat ho sakti hai.

Ulat, AUD ko ooncha chadhne ki koshish mein resistance ka samna bhi karna ho sakta hai. Pehla hurdle rectangle ke upper boundary par $0.6700 hai. Is level ke sustained move ke upar se ek potential bullish trend ka ishara ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, ek resistance level $0.6714 par hai, jo ke January se pehle AUD/USD ke pahunche hue sab se buland point ko darshata hai. Hal kuch dinon mein kuch idhar udhar ki trading dekhi gayi hai, jahan sellers ne price ko Friday ke low ke neeche daba diya hai. Jab ke buyers ne aaj kuch hissa wapas lene ki koshish ki, lekin unki koshishain mehdood thin, kyun ke price abhi $0.6645 ke neeche baithi hai. Kharidaron ke liye muhim yeh hai keh $0.6583 level ko bacha saken. Agar yeh level ka safal bachao ho sakta hai, toh yeh ek buying opportunity ko ishara karta hai, jis se ek potential rebound aur upward momentum jari rakhne ka izhar ho sakta hai. Agar $0.6630 ke upar ek false breakout ho, uske baad mein reversal ho, toh yeh bhi ek buying chance pesh kar sakta hai.



Dusri taraf, agar $0.6670 ke upar ek break ho aur phir consolidation ho, toh yeh AUD ki mazbooti ka ishara karta hai. Lekin ek aur correctvie fall ke mumkin hain, jise jari barhne ki umeed hai. AUD/USD abhi ek consolidation phase mein atka hua hai. Jab ke dekhne ke liye potential support aur resistance levels hain, lekin overall trend abhi bhi neutral hai. Agar yeh define range ke upar ya neeche breakout ho, toh ek clear directional signal milega. Jab tak consolidation jari rahegi, mazeed girawat ki mumkinat hai.

H4 Time Frame Ki Tashreeh

AUDUSD market ke halat kuch last trading days mein sellers ke qabu mein nazar aa rahi hai. Mujhe nishanaat nazar aaye hain keh sellers aik bearish trend ki surat hal ko banana ki koshish kar rahe hain, haan keh AUDUSD market ke halat, khaas tor par H4 time frame mein, abhi bhi bullish trend ki surat hal mein chal rahi nazar aati hai, lekin seller MA100 indicator ko penetrate karne ki koshish kar rahe hain jo ke bearish trend situation ke khilaf aik difa hai. Seller ko lag raha hai keh bullish trend ko bearish trend mein palatne ki koshish kar raha hai AUDUSD market ke H4 time frame mein. Meri raye mein, aaj ke trading mein AUDUSD market ki halat trend situation ka faisla karne wali hogi keh AUDUSD market mein agle kya hoga, agar aaj ke trading mein seller ne AUDUSD market par qabza jama liya aur MA100 indicator aur support trend line ko safal taur par penetrate kar liya, toh yeh tasdeeq ho jayega keh trend situation mein palat aayi hai bearish taraf aur yeh halat ek trigger ho sakti hai jo seller ko taqatwar banata hai keh woh ziada consistency ke saath bearish trend situation ko build karne ke liye koshish karein ge aik lambay arsay ke liye.



AUDUSD mein trading salahiyat:

Main AUDUSD market mein sell entry signals ki talaash ki salahiyat ka tasawwur karta hoon, kyun keh meri raay mein bullish se bearish trend situation ki palat hone wali hai jaisa keh mene map banaya hai, lekin sell entry signal hone ke liye behtar hai keh hum woh waqt ka intezaar karein jahan seller AUDUSD ke price ko neeche le jaaye aur MA100 indicator ko safal taur par penetrate kar le, seller ke MA100 indicator ko penetrate karne ki kamyabi tasdeeq karti hai keh trend reversal ho chuki hai, meri tajweez hai keh seller AUDUSD market ko control karta rahe ga aur AUDUSD ke price ko neeche le jaaye ga, MA100 indicator aur support trend line ke neeche jo ke resistance area hai tak nahi pohanchte huye.