aud/usd

Australian Dollar / US Dollar currency pair ka time frame – 4 hours.
Hum aik tanaqidi analysis karein ge aur mazeed tafseel se mojooda data aur technical analysis indicators ka jaiza lein ge jaise ke Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD, jo aaj munafe bakhsh trading ke liye iste’mal ho rahe hain. Ye indicators humein sab se munasib entry point chun’ne mein madad karte hain jo munafa de sakte hain, jo humein achi kamai ka mauka dete hain. Ye bhi bohot zaruri hai ke hum mojooda quote chun’ne ka waqt dekhain ke position se kab nikalna hai, jiske liye hum Fibonacci grid ko mojooda minimums aur maximums ke hisaab se extend karein ge. Hum nearest correctional Fibo levels ko reach karte hi exit karein ge.
Chart par, jo hum study kar rahe hain, hum dekhte hain ke pehli-degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo ke direction aur state of current trend ko dikhati hai selected period (time-frame H4) par, upward at an angle of approximately 35-40 degrees par hai, jo ke ek upward trend instrument trend ko dikhata hai. Non-linear regression channel, jaise ke presented chart mein dekha ja sakta hai, upward ko fold hua aur neeche se upar cross kiya golden uptrend line LP ko aur resistance line of the linear channel (red dotted line) ko bhi. Ab nonlinear regression channel north ki taraf directed hai aur buyers ki strength ko confirm karta hai.
Price ne red resistance line of the linear regression channel 2-nd LevelResLine ko cross kiya lekin maximum quote value (HIGH) of 0.67146 ko pohonch gaya, jiske baad uska growth ruk gaya aur steady decline hona shuru ho gaya. Instrument abhi current price level of 0.66149 par trade kar raha hai. Sab ke madde nazar, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes wapas aur consolidate ho jaenge below the 2-nd LevelResLine (0.65387) channel line of the 50% FIBO level aur mazeed move karega down to the golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.63628, jo ke 0% Fibo level ke saath coincide karta hai. Sell transaction mein entry ka saboot RSI (14) aur MACD indicators se puri tarah approve hai kyun ke yeh abhi overbought zone mein hain.





s.

Hum aik tanaqidi analysis karein ge aur mazeed tafseel se mojooda data aur technical analysis indicators ka jaiza lein ge jaise ke Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD, jo aaj munafe bakhsh trading ke liye iste’mal ho rahe hain. Ye indicators humein sab se munasib entry point chun’ne mein madad karte hain jo munafa de sakte hain, jo humein achi kamai ka mauka dete hain. Ye bhi bohot zaruri hai ke hum mojooda quote chun’ne ka waqt dekhain ke position se kab nikalna hai, jiske liye hum Fibonacci grid ko mojooda minimums aur maximums ke hisaab se extend karein ge. Hum nearest correctional Fibo levels ko reach karte hi exit karein ge.
Chart par, jo hum study kar rahe hain, hum dekhte hain ke pehli-degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo ke direction aur state of current trend ko dikhati hai selected period (time-frame H4) par, upward at an angle of approximately 35-40 degrees par hai, jo ke ek upward trend instrument trend ko dikhata hai. Non-linear regression channel, jaise ke presented chart mein dekha ja sakta hai, upward ko fold hua aur neeche se upar cross kiya golden uptrend line LP ko aur resistance line of the linear channel (red dotted line) ko bhi. Ab nonlinear regression channel north ki taraf directed hai aur buyers ki strength ko confirm karta hai.
Price ne red resistance line of the linear regression channel 2-nd LevelResLine ko cross kiya lekin maximum quote value (HIGH) of 0.67146 ko pohonch gaya, jiske baad uska growth ruk gaya aur steady decline hona shuru ho gaya. Instrument abhi current price level of 0.66149 par trade kar raha hai. Sab ke madde nazar, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes wapas aur consolidate ho jaenge below the 2-nd LevelResLine (0.65387) channel line of the 50% FIBO level aur mazeed move karega down to the golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.63628, jo ke 0% Fibo level ke saath coincide karta hai. Sell transaction mein entry ka saboot RSI (14) aur MACD indicators se puri tarah approve hai kyun ke yeh abhi overbought zone mein hain.

se apni nafahat mehfooz kar rahe hain, jo ke currency ki qeemat mein aik fitri sudhar ka sabab ban raha hai. Nafa dene aam amal hai maali bazarat mein, jahan investors wo asasaat farokht karte hain jo ke izafa kar chuke hote hain taake unke faiday haasil ho sakein. Ye harkat currency par nichli dabao paida kar sakti hai jab farokht inteha pasandi ko bharta hai Dusra, US dollar mazeed tarah se aam currency ke muqable mein taaqat dikhata hai, na ke sirf AUD ke sath. USD ki yeh mazbooti mukhtalif factors par mustamil hai, jese ke musbat ma'ashi nishanat aur America ki ma'ashi manzar e aam ki musbat tawaqqu'. Jab USD mazboot hota hai, to ye aam tor par dosri currencies ki qeemat mein girawat ka sabab banta hai, jese ke AUD, exchange rates mein ulta rishta hone ki wajah se
Teesra, aaj Australia mein jari mukhtalif ma'ashi data AUD par nichle dabao ka sabab bana raha hai. Ma'ashi data mukhtalif indicators shamil hai jo ke Australia ki ma'ashi haliyat ke baray mein maloomat faraham karte hain. Jab yeh data mukhtalif hota hai ya market ki tawaqqu'at ko pora nahi karta, to ye investors aur traders ke darmiyan ittefaq ka khoz hota hai, jo currency ko kamzor kar deta hai
Jab market shirakat daikhti hai, to ab tawajjo US markets ke hone ki taraf shift ho rahi hai. America mein aane wale ahem ma'ashi data ka aik bada hissa jaari hone wala hai, jo ke AUD/USD pair ko mazeed mutassir kar sakta hai. Is mein shamil hai ibtida'i jobless claims ke figures, jo ke amoor e mulazmat ka aik jhalak faraham karte hain, aur tameer sector ki sehat ka data, jo ke ma'ashi afzaish aur mustaqbil ki nassat tawaqqu'at




Kal ke din, jaisa ke maine kaha tha, AUD/USD market mein sellers ka pressure tha. Worst case scenario mein, hum 0.6480 level cross kar sakte hain. Ab, market ek specific point par pohonch gaya hai aur aaj ke din selling side stable rahegi. Iske ilawa, US JOLTS job opening rate bhi aaj market ko influence kar sakti hai. Yeh perfect forecast business decisions ko anchor karti hai, patience aur restraint ke sath business decisions guide karti hai. Aur, hum sell-side position open karne par bhi soch sakte hain. Isme kisi cheez ko bechne ka maqsad hota hai ke uski price gir jaye, taake trader usay lower price par wapas khareed sakay. Sell position ko effectively execute karne ke liye, traders ko apni analysis par based specific targets set karne chahiye, jo support aur resistance stars, trend lines, aur key technical suggestions ko include karte hain.
Aaj ke din sellers stable lag rahe hain. Lekin, 0.6509 ke star level par entry buyers ko jaldi advantage lene mein madad kar sakti h

AUDUSD pair ki musalsal buland raftaar ko RBA ki maali policy ne sath diya, jis ne interest rate ko 4.35% par qaim rakha. Is ke saath hi, Amreeki Retail Sales maali dastavezat mein kami ki riwayat bhi mili. Agar hum price movement ko dekhein jo pehle do Moving Average lines ke neeche tha, ab yeh un ke ooper aur pivot point (PP) 0.6643 se guzar chuka hai. Agar buland raftaar qaim rehti hai toh mauqa hai ke resistance (R1) 0.6690 ko test kiya ja sake, phir 0.6700 level par jari rahe. Magar price pattern structure ab bhi yaqeeni nahi deta. Kyun ke prices jo pehle giray aur phir uthay woh dono ne kam prices 0.6593 aur zyada prices 0.6701 ko guzar diya. Is wajah se structure ko tootna zaroori hai taake yeh tay kiya ja sake ke yeh higher high ya lower low pattern mein hai?

Trend ki taraf se dekha jaye toh basically yeh bearish halat mein hai kyunki hum dekh sakte hain ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke crossing se death cross signal milti hai. Magar bearish trend ab kamzor nazar a raha hai jab qeemat ne apne girawat ko support (S1) 0.6561 ki taraf nahi jari rakha. Stochastic indicator ke nazariye se dekha jaye toh yeh ishara deta hai ke buland raftaar jald hee overbought point tak pohanch jayega. Overbought zone ke parameters 90 - 80 ke level par guzarne se qeemat mein girawat ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai. Mumkin hai ke qeemat phir se pivot point (PP) 0.6643 ya do Moving Average lines ke qareeb giray, jo ke golden cross signal dega. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne uptrend momentum dikhaya hai jab histogram level 0 ya positive area ke ooper tha. Is se yeh bhi maloom hota hai ke qeemat ki harkat mein buland raftaar ki tendency ab bhi hai.

Position entry setup:

Trade ke options mein intezar karein ke buland raftaar ka izafa resistance (R1) 0.6690 tak pohanch jaye, phir SELL entry position rakh sakte hain. Tasdeeq ke liye Stochastic indicator ke parameter jo ke overbought zone se guzra ho, woh level 80 se neeche ho. AO indicator ke histogram kam az kam laal ho, waise bhi ke woh uptrend momentum dikha raha hai. Take profit do Moving Average lines ya pivot point (PP) 0.6643 ke aas paas rakhain jabke stop loss high price 0.6716 par 15 - 25 pips ooncha rakhein.

AUD/USD Currency Pair Analysis

AUD/USD currency pair ab taqreeban 0.6620 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai, jo ke market mein bearish trend ko zahir karta hai. Ye bearish trend ishara deta hai ke Australian dollar (AUD) US dollar (USD) ke khilaf kamzor ho raha hai. Iss dheere market movement ke bawajood, mazeed sannatae ho sakta hai ke AUD/USD pair qareebi dino mein barhtay huye harkat aur ziada tajarbay ke shikaar ho.

### Mojooda Market Halaat

AUD/USD pair ke bearish trend ke kai macroeconomic asbaab hain. Aik ahem factor hai US dollar ki nisbat mazbooti, jo Federal Reserve ke monetary policy stance ki wajah se buland hai. Fed ke inflation ke mukhalif interest rate hikes ne US dollar ko investors ke liye zyada munfarid bana diya hai jo ke zyada munafa hasil karne ke liye talaash kar rahe hain. Is se AUD par neechay ki taraf dabao par raha hai.

Australia ki economy khud bhi challenges ka samna kar rahi hai. Australia ne apni mazboot commodity exports ke zariye tawanaai dikhayi hai, lekin economic outlook fluctuating global commodity prices, geopolitical tensions, aur domestic economic policies ki tarah uncertainty mein ghera hua hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) apni monetary policy ke qareebi taur par mehdood approach rakh rahi hai jo ke Fed ke aggressive stance se mukhtalif hai.

### Baray Harkat Ke Liye Mumkin Asbaab

Qareebi mustaqbil mein AUD/USD pair mein baray harkat ko anjaam dene wale kuch asbaab hain:

1. **Central Bank Policies**: RBA ya Fed ki monetary policies mein koi tabdeeliyan tajarbay ke liye volatility ka sabab ho sakti hain. Maslan, agar RBA rate hike ki ishara de ya zyada hawkish tone adopt kare, to AUD mein izafa dekha ja sakta hai. Barqarar, agar Fed rate hikes mein pause ya slow pace ki ishara de, to USD ki kamzori ho sakti hai.

2. **Economic Data Releases**: GDP growth, rozgar figures, inflation rates, aur retail sales jaisay ahem economic indicators AUD/USD pair par asar andaaz ho sakte hain. Australia se mazboot economic data AUD ko mad-e-nazar banaye ga, jab ke mazboot US data USD ko mazeed support kar sakta hai.

3. **Commodity Prices**: Australia iron ore, coal, aur gold jaisi ahem commodities ka bara exporter hai. Commodities ke prices mein izafa AUD ko mazboot bana sakta hai, jab ke kami unki kamzori ka sabab ban sakti hai.

4. **Geopolitical Events**: Global geopolitical developments jaise ke major economies ke darmiyan trade tensions, siyasi istehkamat, ya significant policy changes currency pairs mein fori harkat ka sabab ban sakte hain. AUD khas tor par China ke developments ke liye sensitive hai, jo ke Australia ka bara trading partner hai.

### Technical Analysis

Technical nazariya se, AUD/USD pair ke mojooda bearish trend traders aur investors ko ehtiyati se kaam lenay par majboor karta hai. Magar, moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement levels jaise technical indicators potential reversal points ya continuation patterns ko samajhne mein madad dete hain.

- **Support aur Resistance Levels**: Ahem support aur resistance levels ki pehchan asar andaz harkat ki tawaqo mein madad deti hai. Maslan, agar AUD/USD kisi ahem support level ko tor deta hai, to yeh mazeed downside potential ko dikhata hai. Barqar, agar kisi resistance level ko tor diya jaye, to yeh bullish reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai.

- **Moving Averages**: Chhoti muddat aur lambi muddat ke moving averages ke muqami istehkamat mojood trend ki mazbooti ko dikhate hain. Agar chhoti muddat ka moving average lambi muddat ke moving average se upar chala jaye (bullish crossover), to yeh ek potential uptrend ka ishara ho sakta hai. Barqar, agar yeh bearish crossover ho, to bearish trend ko mazboot kiya ja sakta hai.

- **RSI aur Doosre Oscillators**: Yeh indicators overbought ya oversold conditions ki pehchan mein madad dete hain. RSI 30 ke neechay usually oversold condition dikhata hai jo ke ek buying opportunity ko ishara karta hai. RSI 70 ke upar overbought conditions indicate karta hai, jo ke selling opportunity ka ishara ho sakta hai.

### Ikhtitami Guftagu

AUD/USD currency pair ke mojooda bearish trend 0.6620 par US dollar ko Australian dollar ke barabar pasand kiya jata hai. Magar, qareebi dino mein baray harkat ke potential ko barhne wale factors jaise ke central bank policies, economic data releases, commodity prices, aur geopolitical events se control kiya ja sakta hai. Traders aur investors ko in factors ke sath-sath technical indicators ko bhi nazar andaaz karna chahiye taake expected volatility mein safar kar saken aur trading opportunities ko pehchan saken. Market ke in catalysts ka jawab dena hai jo ke AUD/USD pair ki harkat ke rukh aur taqat ka faisla karenge.

AUD/USD pair, aaj market baghair kisi numayan farq ke khula hai. Asian session ke doran, qeemat neeche janib correction kar rahi hai. Magar overall, mein yeh intezar kar raha hoon ke chhoti si girawat ke baad, uptrend dobara shuru ho jaye ga, qareebi resistance levels ki taraf nishana rakh kar. Main iraada kar raha hoon ke 0.66799 aur 0.67141 ke resistance levels par tawajjo maqsoos karoon. In resistance levels ke qareeb, do mansubay samne aa sakte hain. Pehle tareeqay ki taraf, agar keemat in levels ke upar consolidate hoti hai aur uptrend jaari rehta hai. Agar yeh tajwez kaamyaab ho jata hai, to mein umeed karta hoon ke keemat 0.68711 ke resistance level ki taraf jaegi. Is resistance level par, trading setup ka intezar karoonga jo agle trading rukh ko tay karnay mein madad dega. Yaqeenan, keemat mazeed shimal ke targets ke tajziya, samaji halat aur keemat ke jawaab mein tarqiyati amal par munhasir hoga.

Ek mukhtalif mansuba jab resistance level 0.66799 ya resistance level 0.67141 ki taraf pohanchta hai, woh aksar ek mukhalif candle formation aur neechay ki taraf keemat ka utarne ka tajziya shamil karta hai. Agar yeh manzoor ho jata hai, to mein umeed karta hoon ke keemat 0.65922 ya 0.65580 ke support level tak lautayegi. In support levels ke qareeb, main mazboot signals ki talaash jari rakhoonga, keemat ke dobara upar ki taraf rawaani mein izafa hone ka intezar karte hue. Mumkin hai ke hum 0.64653 ki kam shimali satah ki taraf nishana bhi rakhsakte hain, lekin yeh bhi maamala ke mutalik hoga. Agar mukarrar plan haqeeqat mein paya jata hai, to main is support level ke qareeb bhi bullish signals ki talaash jari rakhoonga, umeed karte hue ke keemat ke dobara upar rawaani mein izafa hoga.

Mukhtasar tor par, aaj ke liye, mein qareebi resistance levels ki taraf keemat ke rukh ki umeed karta hoon, aur phir mein bazari haalaat ka jaaizah lena iraadiya hoon. Sabhi ko khush trading!

AUD/USD Currency Pair Ka Haftay Ke Akhri Dinon Ka Tashadud

AUD/USD jodi haal he mein saptahik chart par mukhtalif level 0.66986 par rukawat ka samna kiya. Is rukawat ke baad, qeemat palat gayi aur dakshin ki taraf ruki, ek bearish candlestick pattern bana kar. Yeh ishara deta hai ke farokht karne wale ab malbat mein hain aur nazdeek tar support levels par imtehan kar rahe hain. Nazar rakhne ke liye do mumkin support zones hain: 0.65761 aur 0.65580. In ilaqon par qeemat ki phir chadhav ka jawaaz ho sakta hai, qeemat ke amal par munhasir hai. Agar qeemat ya to 0.65761 ya 0.65580 par support paye aur ek bullish reversal candlestick pattern banayi jaye, to yeh ishara karega ke uptrend ke dubara shuru hone ki mumkin hai. Is surat mein, main qeemat ko 0.66986 ya 0.67141 tak wapas ane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar qeemat in rukawaton ko kamyabi se paar kar le aur in par upar se bandh kar le, to yeh ek mazeed upar ki mumkin ishara hoga. Is surat mein, agle maqsad zone 0.68711 ke resistance level par hoga.

Yahan par, main agle qadam ko tay karne ke liye trading signals ki talaash kar raha hoon. Iske sath hi, 0.70301 par ek zyada umeedwar shumali maqsad bhi ho sakta hai. Magar is par bharpoor tawaja deni hogi ke bazi hui news jazbaat aur qeemat in buland resistance levels par kaise react karti hai. Ek dusri surat haal mein shamil hai ke qeemat 0.65761 ya 0.65580 ke support levels ko neeche paar karne wale hain. Yeh ishara deta hai ke downtrend ke jari rahne ka jawaaz ho sakta hai. Is halat mein, main qeemat ko 0.64653 tak pohanchne ka intezar kar raha hoon. Yahan par, main bullish signals ki talaash kar raha hoon jo ek potential reversal aur uptrend ke lautne ki ishara kar sakte hain.

Aane wale haftay mein, mujhe ummeed hai ke AUD/USD jodi nazdeek ke support levels par tawajjo jama payegi. Maujooda bullish trend ke sath, main primarily bullish signals par tawajjo dena rahunga jo in support zones ke aas paas bazaar mein khareedne ke mauke par bataenge. AUD/USD abhi rukawaton ka samna kar rahi hai aur piche hat gai hai. Yahan par kuch support levels nazar aa rahe hain. Agar qeemat in support levels se bachaye, to hume uptrend ka wapas dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Agar qeemat in support levels se neeche jaati hai, to downtrend jari rahega. Am overall, mujhe ummeed hai ke agle haftay mein qeemat support levels ke aas paas rahegi aur main mukhtalif bullish signals par tawajjo dena rahunga jo mukhtasar uptrend par base kiye jayenge.

AUD-USD Pair Review

AUD/USD pair mein chal rahi upward rally ko RBA ki monetary policy ne support kiya, jo ke interest rate ko 4.35% par maintain karti hai. Is ke saath saath US Retail Sales economic data ke girne ki reports bhi aayi hain. Agar hum price movement ko dekhein jo pehle do Moving Average lines ke neeche thi, ab wo inke upar hai aur pivot point (PP) 0.6643 se bhi upar ja chuki hai. Agar upward rally consistent rehti hai, to resistance (R1) 0.6690 ko test karne ka mauqa hai aur phir 0.6700 level tak ja sakti hai. Magar, price pattern structure abhi bhi surety nahi deta. Kyun ke jo prices pehle giri aur uthi, dono ne 0.6593 ke low prices aur 0.6701 ke high prices ko cross kar lia. Is liye structure ka break hona zaroori hai taake yeh decide kar sakein ke yeh higher high ya lower low pattern mein hai.
Trend direction basic taur par bearish condition mein hai kyun ke hum EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke cross hone se death cross signal dekh sakte hain. Magar, bearish trend ab kamzor hoti nazar aa rahi hai kyun ke price ne apni decline ko support (S1) 0.6561 ki taraf continue nahi kiya. Stochastic indicator ke perspective se, aisa lagta hai ke upward price rally jald hi overbought point tak pohanchne wali hai. Parameters jo overbought zone 90 - 80 level par pass karte hain wo zaroor cross karenge taake prices gir sakti hain. Yeh mumkin hai ke price dobara pivot point (PP) 0.6643 ya do Moving Average lines ke qareeb gir jaye jo golden cross signal denge. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne uptrend momentum show kiya hai jab histogram level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai. Yeh bhi indicate kar sakta hai ke price movements ki tendency abhi bhi upward hogi.
Position Entry Setup:
Trading options mein rising price development ka wait karein jab tak resistance (R1) 0.6690 tak pohanch jaye phir aap SELL entry position place kar sakte hain. Confirmation yeh ensure karein ke Stochastic indicator parameter ne overbought zone ko cross karke level 80 ke neeche hai. AO indicator ka histogram kam az kam red ho chahe wo uptrend momentum show kar raha ho. Take profit do Moving Average lines ya pivot point (PP) 0.6643 ke qareeb place karein jabke stop loss 15 - 25 pips zyada high price 0.6716 par place karein.

Teen musalsal sessions mein Australian dollar (AUD) mein izafa dekha gaya hai. Muqablay mein US Federal Reserve ke dovish signals ke sath, Australian Reserve Bank (RBA) ek zyada hawkish stance le sakti hai, jo is surge mein madadgar hai. Japani hukumat ne interest rates ko mazboot level par set kiya hai, jis se mukhtalif US Federal Reserve ne inhein aik hi level par rehne ka faisla kiya hai Budh ke din. Jerome Powell ke cautious remarks ne mazeed rate barhane ke imkanat ko kam kar diya, jis se US dollar bearish tha. Tajziya hai ke RBA kisi bhi potential rate cuts ko is saal ke bad mein taakhir kar sakti hai jo taqreeban ehtiyaat se ati hai. Jis tarah ke nedamat se zyada garam ane wale inflation data ke peeshpai aamad ne AUD ki qeemat barhaye. Donon markazi bankon ke darmiyan monetary policy expectations mein mukhalifat bhi aik ahem karkardgi ka sabab hai. Saat aham currencies ki seep mein, zard dollar ki performance ko US dollar index (DXY) ke khilaf napaya jata hai. AUD ki position ko is kamzor US dollar se mazeed mazboot kiya jata hai. Jumma ko AUD/USD ka exchange rate 0.6570 tha.
AUD/USD technical indicators ke mutabiq bhi bullish trend dikhata hai. 14 din ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke mutabiq, market positive momentum dikhata hai. Is wajah se aur is baat ki ke AUD/USD ek ascending triangle pattern ke andar trade kar raha hai, hum jald hi aik psychological level 0.6630 ka imtehan dekh sakte hain. Agar ye level taez taur par tor diya jaye, to pair march ke urooj tak 0.6660 tak pohanch sakta hai.

Neeche ke risk ko tanqeed kiya jana chahiye. Agar AUD/USD is waqt ke level se nichayi ho jaye, to 50 din ka Simple Moving Average (SMA) 0.6525 AUD/USD ke liye ibtedai support faraham kar sakta hai. Agar mazeed girne ki surat mein, to ye 0.6495 ke psychological level tak pohanch sakta hai, jo triangle pattern ke lower boundary ke qareeb hota hai. RBA aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate policies mein mukhalifat ki umeed ke natijay mein, Australian dollar abhi mazeed pasandida hawaon ka maza le raha hai. Ek qareebi waqt mein upper move hone ka bhi technical ishara hai. Forex traders ke liye yeh waqt hai ke apni naqal karein.

Australian dollar mandi ke subah thori taiz hui, lekin phir bhi wahi mazboot range mein qaid hai jo hafton se hai, jab ke 0.6650 ke darja asl magnet ka kaam kar raha hai. Yeh market ab bhi shor o ghul ke saath hai, is liye dekhna dilchasp hai, agar haalaat bura na bhi hon. Yeh mainly is liye hai ke Australian dollar China ke maali aur asbi markets ke proxy ke tor par kaam karta hai, jo ke pichle kuch mahino ke drivers hain.
Yeh musbat nahi ke Australia apni mojooda haalat se kahiin phisalti hai ya nahi. 0.6750 ke darja ek ahem rukawat hai jise dekhna zaroori hai; Agar is darje par thori rukawat hogi toh 0.69 ke darja ki taraf raasta khul sakta hai. Ulta agar keemat 0.66 ke neeche gir jaye, toh yeh 50-din aur 200-din ke EMA indicators ko challenge kar sakti hai, dono jo support ke tor par kaam kar sakte hain. Kul mila ke, yeh market shor o ghul aur chatpata rahega, jo aarzi traders ke liye dilchasp hai. Magar, yeh lambe arse tak position rakhne wale logon ke liye mohtaj nahi ho sakta.

Mukhtasir arse ke traders ke liye, yeh market aik sargarmi se bharpoor moqa faraham kar sakta hai, khaaskar paanch minute ke charts jaise chhoti muddaton mein, jab tak mojooda range se wazeh tor par ikhtilaf na ho, jo ke 100-point ka harkat mumkin bana sakta hai, baray umeedain ke liye modest expectations Kisi bhi tarah ka wazeh tor par ikhtilaf na ho, mojooda market chhoti muddaton ke trading strategies ke liye khaas hai. Marketers ko mustaqbil ke tabdilatiyon ke liye tayar rehna chahiye aur apni umeedon ko lambay arse tak ki manzilon ke liye manzool karna chahiye.

Mukhtasar mein, AUD 0.6650 ke darja ke qareeb tight ranges mein hai, jo ke China aur commodities ke proxy ke tor par asar daal raha hai. Halan ke 0.6750 ya 0.66 ke darja ke ooper ya neeche se bahar nikalne ka matlab ek ahem harkat ho sakti hai, lekin mojooda market chhoti muddaton ke trading strategies ke liye mufeed hai. Marketers ko mustaqbil ke tabdilatiyon ke liye tayar rehna chahiye aur apni umeedon ko lambay arse tak ki manzilon ke liye manzool karna chahiye.

AUD/USD

k tanaqidi analysis karein ge aur mazeed tafseel se mojooda data aur technical analysis indicators ka jaiza lein ge jaise ke Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD, jo aaj munafe bakhsh trading ke liye iste’mal ho rahe hain. Ye indicators humein sab se munasib entry point chun’ne mein madad karte hain jo munafa de sakte hain, jo humein achi kamai ka mauka dete hain. Ye bhi bohot zaruri hai ke hum mojooda quote chun’ne ka waqt dekhain ke position se kab nikalna hai, jiske liye hum Fibonacci grid ko mojooda minimums aur maximums ke hisaab se extend karein ge. Hum nearest correctional Fibo levels ko reach karte hi exit karein ge.
Chart par, jo hum study kar rahe hain, hum dekhte hain ke pehli-degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo ke direction aur state of current trend ko dikhati hai selected period (time-frame H4) par, upward at an angle of approximately 35-40 degrees par hai, jo ke ek upward trend instrument trend ko dikhata hai. Non-linear regression channel, jaise ke presented chart mein dekha ja sakta hai, upward ko fold hua aur neeche se upar cross kiya golden uptrend line LP ko aur resistance line of the linear channel (red dotted line) ko bhi. Ab nonlinear regression channel north ki taraf directed hai aur buyers ki strength ko confirm karta hai.



AUD/USD

Aaj ke liye AUD/USD ka trend mukhtalif factors ka nateeja lagta hai. Pehle to, recent economic data jo ke Australia aur United States dono se aayi hai, unka significant impact raha hai. Australia mein employment, consumer sentiment, aur retail sales data mix results dikhati hain. Misal ke tor par, employment numbers to robust hain, magar consumer confidence mein kami dekhi gayi hai rising interest rates aur inflation concerns ki wajah se. Ye Australian dollar ke liye kuch bearish outlook create karta hai.
Dusri taraf, US dollar kaafi strong raha hai, jo ke solid economic indicators jese ke non-farm payrolls aur retail sales figures se supported hai. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ka stance bhi bohot important role play karta hai. Fed ka decision interest rates ko maintain ya increase karne ka US dollar ki value par asar dalta hai. Hal hi mein, Fed ne apni tight monetary policy ko continue karne ki willingness zahir ki hai inflation ko combat karne ke liye, jo ke US dollar ko support karta hai. Geopolitical factors bhi AUD/USD trend mein crucial role play karte hain. Misal ke tor par, US aur China ke darmiyan tensions Australia ki economy ko indirectly affect kar sakti hain, kyun ke Australia ka China ke sath significant trade relationship hai.

AUD/USD: 4 Hours Time Frame Outlook
Ongoing upward rally in the AUDUSD pair RBA ki monetary policy ki wajah se support hui thi jo interest rate ko 4.35% par maintain rakhti hai. Iss ke saath hi US Retail Sales economic data ke girne ki reports bhi shaamil hain. Agar hum price movement ko observe karein jo pehle do Moving Average lines ke neeche tha, wo ab above aur pivot point (PP) 0.6643 ke upar hai. Agar upward rally consistent rehti hai to resistance (R1) 0.6690 ko test karne ka mauqa hai aur phir 0.6700 level tak continue karega. Lekin price pattern structure abhi bhi certainty provide nahi karta. Kyun ke kuch waqt pehle jo prices girein aur upar gayi thi dono ne low prices of 0.6593 aur high prices of 0.6701 ko pass kar liya tha. Iss liye structure ka break zaroori hai taake yeh determine kar sakein ke yeh higher high ya lower low pattern mein hai.



Trend direction asal mein bearish condition mein hai kyun ke hum EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke crossing se death cross signal dekh sakte hain. Lekin, bearish trend ab kamzor hota nazar aa raha hai jab price apni decline ko support (S1) 0.6561 ki taraf continue nahi kiya. Stochastic indicator ke perspective se lagta hai ke upward price rally jald hi overbought point tak pohnch jayegi. Parameters jo overbought zone level 90 - 80 ko pass karte hain zaroor cross honge jisse prices mein decline ka imkaan hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke price dobara pivot point (PP) 0.6643 ya do Moving Average lines ke aas-paas gir sakti hai jo golden cross signal de sakti hain. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne uptrend momentum show kiya hai jab histogram level 0 ya positive area ke upar tha. Yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke price movements ki tendency abhi bhi upward hogi.

Weekly chart par AUD/USD ke liye, top se bottom tak local support level ko test karne ke baad, jo mere markings ke mutabiq 0.65922 par hai, daam ghumra diya gaya aur uncertainly north direction mein push kiya gaya, jis ke natije mein ek relatively chota sa bullish candle ban gaya, jo pichle haftay ke range ke andar tha. Aglay haftay, mein puri tarah se maanta hoon ke nazdeek ke resistance levels kaam karna shuru kar sakte hain, aur jaisa ke maine kayi baar kaha hai, main resistance level par nazar rakhoon ga, jo 0.66799 par hai, aur resistance level par jo 0.67141 par hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb scenarioon ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Pehla scenario price ka in levels ke upar consolidation aur aglay taraf ki movement ke saath juda hai. Agar ye plan kaam hota hai, to main price ko dekhoon ga jaise ke price resistance level 0.68711 par pohanchta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb main trading setup ke banne ka intezar karoon ga, jo trading ke mazeed rukh ka tay kare ga. Doodh ke kinare ke door intesharafis target ke liye bhi option hai, jo mere markings ke mutabiq 0.70301 par hai. Magar agar dikhaya gaya plan implement hota hai, to jab price door intesharafis maqsad ki taraf chalta hai, to main poori tarah se southern pullbacks ki ijazat deta hoon, jo main bullish signals ke talash mein istemal karne ka irada rakhta hoon, mazeed price ki upar ki movement ke intezaar mein. Jab resistance level 0.66799 ya resistance level 0.67141 ke qareeb price ki movement ho, to ek plan ban sakta hai jisme ek murne wala candle ka formation hota hai aur southern movement ka phir se shuru hona. Agar ye plan kaam hota hai, to main price ko support level 0.65922 ya support level 0.65508 par laute mein dekhoon ga. Main yehi support levels ke qareeb bullish signals ki talash karta rahoon ga, mazeed price ki upar ki movement ke intezaar mein. Ek aur option hai ke ek door southern target ka kaam tajwez, jo...

جون 19 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی

گزشتہ روز، آسٹریلوی ڈالر نے بڑھتے ہوئے خطرے کی بھوک اور ریزرو بینک آف آسٹریلیا کی جانب سے ایک عاقبت نااندیش سگنل پر 42 پِپس کے اضافے سے فائدہ اٹھایا۔ آر بی اے کے گورنر مشیل بلک نے تصدیق کی ہے کہ مرکزی بینک نے جون میں ہائیکنگ ریٹ پر غور کیا، انہیں کم نہیں کیا۔ روزانہ چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر مثبت علاقے میں داخل ہوا۔ اس کی سگنل لائن نے اپنا اترتا ہوا چینل چھوڑ دیا، مؤثر طریقے سے اسے باطل کر دیا۔



بیلنس اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن اوپر کی طرف جا رہی ہیں۔ قیمت کا مقصد 0.6690 کی سطح کا ہو سکتا ہے۔ تاہم، ہمیں مارکیٹ میں خطرے کے جذبات کی ترقی کے بارے میں سخت شکوک و شبہات ہیں۔ گزشتہ روز فیڈرل ریزرو کے پانچ عہدیداروں نے لیبر مارکیٹ اور افراط زر کے بارے میں خدشات کا اظہار کیا۔ سینٹ لوئس فیڈ کے صدر البرٹو مسلم نے یہاں تک کہا کہ وہ مزید سختی کی حمایت کریں گے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت بیلنس اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے اوپر بڑھ رہی ہے، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر تیزی کے علاقے میں بڑھ رہا ہے۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ آسٹریلیا اعتدال سے بڑھے گا۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

AUDUSD pair ka price abhi SMA 200 aur pivot point (PP) 0.6621 ke neeche move kar raha hai, jo bullish trend ki direction ko weak kar raha hai. SMA 200 (Simple Moving Average 200) ek technical indicator hai jo market trend ko measure karne mein madad deta hai. Yeh indicator average price ko 200 periods ke liye calculate karta hai aur iske through trend ki strength aur direction ko determine kiya jata hai.

Jab price SMA 200 ke neeche move karta hai, yeh ek bearish signal provide karta hai, yani ke market sentiment negative ho sakta hai aur price ke further downward movement ki possibility badh jati hai. Is situation mein traders cautious ho jate hain aur long positions ko close karke ya short positions enter karke market ki movement ko anticipate karte hain.

Pivot point (PP) bhi ek important technical indicator hai jo previous day’s high, low aur close prices se calculate kiya jata hai. Yeh indicator short-term price movement aur support/resistance levels ko identify karne mein help karta hai. Jab price PP ke neeche move karta hai, particularly jab SMA 200 ke saath bhi, toh yeh ek aur bearish indication provide karta hai.

AUDUSD pair ka current scenario dekhte hue, agar price neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai aur SMA 200 aur PP levels ko breach kar raha hai, toh iska matlab hai ke market sentiment bearish ho sakta hai. Traders ko is baat ka dhyan rakhna chahiye ke yeh trend sustain ho sakta hai aur further downside movements possible hain.

Is waqt, economic factors aur geopolitical events bhi AUDUSD pair ke price movement par impact dal rahe hain. Australian dollar (AUD) ki strength ya weakness, US dollar (USD) ke saath compare kiya jata hai aur global economic conditions bhi is currency pair ke price direction ko influence karte hain.

Traders ko technical indicators ke saath fundamental analysis bhi consider karna chahiye taaki woh market trend ko accurately interpret kar sakein. Risk management bhi crucial hai jab bhi trading kiya jata hai, khaas karke jab market volatile ho ya unexpected movements ho sakte hain.

Ant mein, SMA 200 aur pivot point (PP) ke neeche move karne wala AUDUSD pair bearish trend ki weak direction ko highlight karta hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur market ki dynamics ko closely monitor karte hue apne trading strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.

AUD/USD pair ab 0.6587 par trade ho raha hai, jisme/ ek bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Market abhi dheere chal rahi hai, lekin aane wale dino mein kisi bade movement ki umeed hai. Kayi factors is potential shift mein shamil ho sakte hain, jaise ke ma'ashiyati indicators, sahafati waqiyat, aur central bank ki policies. Traders aur investors in developments ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhte hain taake market ke movement ka andaza lag sakein. AUD/USD pair ab 0.6587 par trade ho raha hai, jisme ek bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Market ki dheemi raftar ke bawajood, aane wale dino mein bade movement ki umeed hai. Mukhtalif factors is par asar daal sakte hain, jaise ma'ashiyati indicators, sahafati waqiyat, ya market ke jazbat mein tabdiliyan. Traders developments ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhte hain, taake potential opportunities ka faida utha sakein. Lekin, currency ke movement ka peshgoi karna fitri tor par guman aur uncertainty se bhara hai, is liye trading karte waqt hoshyari baratna zaroori hai.

Zarur! Yahan ek 600-word analysis hai:
AUD/USD currency pair 0.6582 par trade ho rahi hai, jo market mein ek bearish trend ko darust karti hai. Ye downtrend yeh dikhata hai ke abhi sellers market sentiment ko dominate kar rahe hain, jo Australian Dollar (AUD) ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf tabdeel hone ka dharana dete hain. Lekin, mojooda sust market activity ke bawajood, aane wale dino mein AUD/USD pair mein bade movement ki umeed hai.

Kayi factors is waqt ke bearish sentiment mein shamil hain jo AUD/USD pair ko ghera hua hai. Ek ahem factor ma'ashiyati be-tuklif jo mukhtalif global aur gharelo factors se aati hai. COVID-19 pandemic duniya bhar ki ma'ashiyaat par apna asar jamata hai, jo trade, rozgar, aur overall ma'ashi taraqqi par asar dalta hai. Australia, jo ke aham commodities ka behri hai, khaas tor par China ki taraf export karti hai, global darkhwast aur trade tensions mein izafa hone par mutasir hoti hai. Mazeed, sahafati masail jaise ke trade disputes aur siyasi tensions ke ird gird guman ka mahol bana rehta hai, jo market mein overall risk sentiment ko barhata hai, jo Australian dollar par bojh dalta hai.

Is ke ilawa, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki ma'ashiyati policies AUD/USD pair ke rukh ko shakal deti hain. RBA ne ma'ashiyati behtari ko support karne ke liye ek mushkil hal monetary policy stance qaim rakha hai, jisme interest rates ko tareekhi darajon par rakhna aur quantitative easing measures ko amal mein lana shamil hai. Mutasir currency pairs ke darmiyan yeh do central banks ke policies ka ikhtilaf US dollar ko Australian dollar ke nisbat mazboot karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, jo AUD/USD pair ke bearish outlook mein hissa hai.

Technical analysis bhi AUD/USD pair ke potential future movements ke baray mein wazeh karta hai. Chart patterns, jaise ke moving averages, support aur resistance levels, aur momentum indicators, market mein trends aur potential reversal points ko pehchanne mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Haal mein, AUD/USD pair kuch ahem support levels ko test kar sakta hai, jahan indicators oversold conditions ko signal dete hain. Agar ye support levels qaim rehte hain, to exchange rate mein short-term rebound ho sakta hai. Lekin, support levels ka tor phir aur downside momentum ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair mein mazeed giravat ka bais ban sakta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, kayi factors AUD/USD pair mein bade movement ko janam dene ke liye zareya ban sakte hain. Ma'ashiyati data releases, jaise ke rozgar figures, inflation rates, aur GDP growth, market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur exchange rates mein short-term fluctuations ko barhawa de sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, sahafati developments, trade negotiations, aur central bank announcements market mein volatility ko utpann kar sakte hain, jo currency prices par asar dalta hai. Traders aur investors aane wale events ko nigrani mein rakhein ge taake AUD/USD pair ke future direction ke liye cues hasil kar sakein.

Ikhtitam mein, jabke AUD/USD pair abhi bearish trend ka samna kar raha hai, to kuch isharaat hain jo aane wale dino mein bade movement ki umeed ko dikhate hain. Ma'ashiyati guman, central bank ki policies, aur technical factors sab currency pair ke outlook mein hissa hain. Traders ko hushyar rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko mutabiq banayein taake AUD/USD pair ke muasharti dynamics mein tabdiliyon ko samajh sakein aur pair ke trading opportunities