ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD

Pair ne shayad ek segment trend mein entry ki hai aur kyun ke “quality is your friend,” ye category-bound market approach phail sakti hai. Australian trading volume mein 0.6680 ka ek high (May 26 ko high) aur 0.6591 ka ek low (May 30 ko low) nazar aata hai.

Range mein ek leg up 0.6680 ke range ceiling tak pohanch sakta hai, phir wapas aata hai aur ek down leg shuru karta hai range ke bottom tak.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) momentum indicator ne apni red signal line ke upar cross kiya hai, jo ek buy signal de raha hai aur upward move ko support kar raha hai.

Agar AUD/USD apne highs ya inke qareeb pohanchta hai aur phir ek Japanese candle turning pattern banata hai, to ye ishara ho sakta hai ke pair apna sideways trend extend kar raha hai aur ek leg down shuru kar raha hai. Agar MACD signal line ke neeche cross karta hai - khas taur par agar ye positive territory mein hai - to ye mazeed saboot provide karega ke ek downtrend narrow range mein develop ho raha hai.

Impossible breakdown: AUD/USD ne May 22 ko apne uptrend se breakout kiya, jo established rally par shak paida karta hai. Mountain ke neeche chase kamzor thi, aur pair ne jald apne pairo par khada ho gaya. Koi wazeh short-term guidance trend nahi hai jo yeh dikhata ho ke trend asal mein sidelines par hai.

Mazeed problems ki tasdeeq ke liye zaroori hai ke 0.6591 ke neeche ek decisive break ho, aur agla target shayad 0.6560 par ho jahan 100-day aur 50-day SMAs locate hain (nahi dikhaya gaya).

Decisive breaks long candles ke saath hoti hain jo level ko break karti hain aur apne high ya low ke qareeb close hoti hain. Teen candles row mein jo level ko break karti hain aur sab same color mein hoti hain (bearish decisive break ke liye red, aur bullish ke liye green).

tajaweez ke mutabiq, RBA rate cut ka intezar May agle saal tak nahi hai. Pichli RBA meeting ke minutes ne dikhaya ke council May mein rates barhaane ki mumkinat par guftagu kar raha tha, lekin aakhir mein ek majbooth monetary policy barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya.
RBA ne bayan kiya ke haal ki figures lambay arsay mein inflation ko had se zyada oopar le ja sakti hain. Lekin central bank ka mojooda stand-by, wait-and-see hai, jo taza inflation data ke jawab mein foran policy mein kisi tabdeeli ka izhar nahi karta. Is ke ilawa, haal hi mein retail sales data ne April mein ek mamooli 0.1% maheenay ke doran izafa dikhaya, jo ke March mein 0.4% giravat ke mukablay thoda kam hai. Halankeh yeh musbat tabdilat hain, magar ye figure umeed se kam reh gaya, jis se arzi taur par economic growth mayoos kar deti hai.

- AUD/USD ke Technical Analysis aur forecast: H4 chart par, AUD/USD ne ek correction perfect kiya aur doosra wave neeche ki taraf banaya hai. Jab yeh marhala hasil hota hai, ek consolidation range banane ka intezar kiya jata hai. Is point ke neeche ek movement aur neeche tak barh sakti hai jis ka local target 0.6580 hai. 0.6626 (neechay ka imtehaan) tak ki tashkeel bhi ho sakti hai, phir neeche 0.6547 tak ja sakta hai. Neeche ka maamool pehla hai.

- H1 chart par, AUD/USD ek bearish pattern hai jo 0.6627 ki taraf ja raha hai. Is level ko paane ke baad, ek mumkin 0.6650 tak izafa ho sakta hai. 0.6620 tak ka movement bhi mumkin hai, agar yeh level toot jata hai to rasta khulta hai neeche ki taraf 0.6608 tak giravat ki taraf jo ke trend ko 0.6580 tak lamba kar sakta hai. Yeh manzar ek stochastic oscillator ke zariye paish aata hai jiska signal range ab 50 se oopar hai lekin gir raha hai, jis se technical taur par umeed hai ke 20 tak pohanchega, jo ke neeche ke trend ka jari rakhne ka ishara hai.

(AUD/USD) ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichlay hafte trading mein 0.6701 ke critical level ko overcome karne mein nakam hone ke baad, Australian dollar ne downward correction shuru ki. Kai breakout attempts ke baad, price ne wapas bounce back kia aur foran 0.6635 ke signal level se neeche gir gayi. Magar, pair ko iss region mein strong support mila hai aur umeed hai ke woh apna growth momentum resume karenge. Halaanki, price chart super-trending red zone mein hai jo ke selling pressure ko prevent karta hai.

Aaj ke technical side par, agar hum 4-hour chart ko ghor se dekhein toh stochastic zyada positive momentum gain karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke pair ko upar push karne ke liye kafi ho sakta hai jab ke price ne 50-day simple moving average ke neeche break kiya hai. Yani, intraday uptrend ka possibility abhi bhi relevant hai kyunki price stability 0.6734 ke psychological support barrier ke upar rehna zaroori hai bullish scenario ke liye, jisme targets 0.6930 aur 0.6980 hain. Khaaskar, agar price 0.67700 ke neeche chali jati hai toh proposed bullish scenario ruk sakta hai aur pair negative pressure mein aa sakta hai, jisme targets 0.6780 aur 0.68630 se shuru hote hain.

Pair is waqt thoda lower trade kar raha hai, weekly lows ke qareeb. Key support areas test ho rahe hain aur filhal price reductions ka potential rakhtay hain, jo ke upside potential ko fresh rakhta hai. Price ko jald hi 0.6635 level ke upar break karna hoga aur phir uske upar consolidate karna hoga, jo ke main support area ki boundary hai. Is area ka retesting aur subsequent rebound ek nayi upward movement ko provoke karega jisme target 0.6765 aur 0.6804 ke area mein hoga.

Agar support break hota hai aur price 0.6573 ke turning level ke neeche gir jati hai, toh ek signal milega ke current scenario cancel ho gaya hai.

AUD/USD trading pair ke upar jaane ki koshish ke bawajood, abhi bhi kaafi zyada selling pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Pichle kuch hafton mein, Australian Dollar (AUD) aur US Dollar (USD) ke beech ka ye exchange rate ek ahem point par tha. Market sentiment ne dono currencies ke relative strength ko reflect kiya hai, jahan Australian economy aur global risk sentiment ke changes ne AUD/USD pair par prabhav dala. AUD/USD pair ki recent price action ko dekhte hue, humein pata chalta hai ki pair ne ek significant level tak girawat dekhi, jo ki 0.6598 tha. Ye level pehchaan mein aaya hai, kyunki isne traders aur investors ke confidence ko challenge kiya hai. Is level ke aas-paas ka movement market ke dynamics aur technical indicators ka mix tha. Selling pressure ke bawaajood, kuch aise factors hain jo ye signal dete hain ki market mein bearish sentiment dominate kar raha hai. Economic indicators aur global events ka influence AUD/USD pair par significant raha hai. For instance, recent U.S. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy decisions aur Australian economy ki growth projections ne dono currencies ke valuations par prabhav dala. U.S. dollar, ek safe-haven currency hone ke nathe, uncertain economic conditions aur geopolitical tensions ke doran strong perform karta hai. Yeh factor AUD/USD ke movement ko explain karta hai, kyunki risk-averse investors U.S. dollar ki taraf migrate karte hain, isse AUD par downward pressure badhta hai. Technical analysis bhi is girawat ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Chart patterns aur key support-resistance levels ka analysis se yeh clear hota hai ki 0.6598 ka level ek strong support zone tha. Lekin, selling pressure is level tak price ko le gaya, jahan kaafi traders apne positions liquidate karte hain ya stop-loss orders trigger karte hain. Moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur MACD jaise indicators bhi ek bearish trend ka indication de rahe hain. Market sentiment ka analysis bhi crucial hai. Sentiment analysis se yeh pata chalta hai ki kaafi traders aur investors abhi cautious hain. Risk-on aur risk-off dynamics ka bhi pair par effect padta hai. Global trade tensions, commodity prices (jinke sath AUD closely linked hai), aur China ka economic slowdown jaise factors bhi AUD/USD pair par downward pressure dalte hain. Overall, AUD/USD pair ka recent price movement aur 0.6598 tak girawat ek complex interplay ka natija hai. Ye interplay economic fundamentals, market sentiment, aur technical indicators ke beech hota hai. Agar selling pressure lagataar barkarar raha, toh aur girawat bhi sambhav hai, jab tak koi positive catalyst market mein entry nahi karta. Traders ko global developments aur economic data releases par nazar rakhni hogi taaki unke trading decisions informed aur strategic ho sakein.

AUD/USD

Is haftay, AUD/USD trading pair ek upward trajectory par tha. Baray selling pressure ka samna karne ke bawajood jo 0.6594 tak dip le gaya, market ne latest trading session mein bullish momentum dikhaya. Yeh suggest karta hai ke price mazeed chadhaai kar sakta hai, 0.6560 level se aur door jaate hue. Candlestick patterns ko dekhte hue, jo comfortable taur par 100-day Moving Average ke aas paas hain, saaf ho jata hai ke market ka potential trend bullish hai. Candlesticks ka 100-day Moving Average ke nazdeek hona yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers market mein mazboot maujoodgi maintain kar rahe hain, aur overall trend upwards ki taraf point kar raha hai. Traders aksar is indicator ka istemal karte hain general market direction ko samajhne ke liye, jahan prices Moving Average ke upar typically ek bullish trend ko signal karte hain. Corrections aur selling pressure ke bawajood, market ek narrow range ke andar sideways movement exhibit kar rahi hai, yeh imply karta hai ke thori price fluctuation hai, lekin kisi bhi direction mein drastic movement nahi hai.

Market ke recent pattern ko dekhte hue, saaf hai ke buyers ka upper hand hai. Unki dominance prices mein consistent rise ko reflect karta hai, self periods of decline ke baad bhi. Buyers ki resilience ek strong positive sentiment ko dikhata hai Australian Dollar versus US Dollar ke muqable mein.

Agar buyers apni position maintain karte hain aur price critical levels jaise ke 0.6560 support aur 100-day Moving Average ke upar rahti hai, to bullish trend ka dauraan reh sakta hai. Ongoing upward movement ko current market conditions aur technical indicators support karte hain jo further gains ko favor karte hain. Kuch resistance ke bawajood sellers se, AUD/USD currency pair ek robust bullish trend display kar raha hai, jahan candlestick positions 100-day Moving Average ke aas paas aur market ka narrow range mein sideways movement buyers ki control ko suggest karte hain.

Haftay ke trend ke basis par, market sentiment buyers ko favor karta hai, aur hum qareebi mustaqbil mein additional bullish momentum ka intezar kar sakte hain. Traders ko informed trading decisions lene ke liye key support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna chahiye.

Suninwood, aap ko adab! Kal, AUDUSD jodi ki keemat ko 0.6620-50 ki support zone ke zariye push karna mumkin tha, halankeh pehli koshish se nahi, aur aakhir mein aglay support zone mein phans gayi, jo 0.6585-0.6605 par tha. Aur mazeed, ye dekhnay ka taluq hai ke kya ye exit jhooti tor par samjha jayega, aur Australian dollar/US dollar jodi ke liye keemat chadhai aur barqarar rahegi, ek urdu trend ke hisse ke tor par, ya ke keemat zones mein mojood hogi, aur ek naye maqami range ke banne ke baad, kami jari rahegi, aur is kami ke liye maqami targets 0.6465-95 par honge, aur nichlay hisson par, level 0.6370-0.6400 par. Aam tor par, shayad sab kuch euro aur US dollar jodi ke sath milta julta hai, jahan wo ab jhooti tor par barhne ki koshish kar rahe hain. To is toole ke sath, hume ab dekhna hoga ke structure kaise dismantled hota hai.Adaab. Haan, wazeh hai ke hum ne girna hai, kyunke halankeh AUDUSD chart ko ek bearish formation ke banae ke baad kuch aisay hi nichle price impulses ka zahir ho raha hai. Yahan main is trading instrument ki chart ka tajziya ek ghante ke arse mein leta hoon, jo ke market profile ko dikhata hai, lekin is chart par main kisi bhi indicator ke madad ke baghair ehmiyat ke darjayat haath se banata hoon aur is aam tasveer ke mutabiq, lagta hai ke hum ne ek shakhsiyat banane ka kaam shuru kar diya hai, jo ke is jodi ke keemat mein ek na qabil e zikar niche giravat ka natija ho sakta hai. Agar ab hum 0.6607 ke ikhtraqati ilaake tak jaayein, aur wahan se is case mein AUDUSD jodi upar jaayegi aur aise halat mein 0.6642 ke level ko keemat ko ooncha nahi jaane dega, to is manzar ke mutabiq, pehle se hi level 0.6642 se hum wild tor par gir sakte hain aur shayad meri tasveer ki tarah.Salam. Main aage bhi Australian dollar-US dollar jodi ko ghantawar chart par dekh raha hoon. Char ghanton ka chart par, meri jodi range ke ooper trade kar rahi hai. Yani, main range mein wapas lautne ka intezar kar raha hoon. Ab ye range ke ooper hadood ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai aur main samajh raha hoon ke ye range mein wapas lautegi. Main samajhta hoon ke ye support 0.65989 ko tod degi, support 0.66388 toota tha. Jodi is tor par toote hue support par wapas laut gayi aur saaf tha ke bechne wala volume barh raha tha. Ab karobar ki faaliyat ke data aa chuka hai, dollar ki taraf se ye acha tha. Dollar ne is data ka acha jawab diya, is ne barhavat ke sath jawab diya aur main samajhta hoon ke kami isay mazeed 0.65558 tak le jaayegi.

Pichle 24 ghanton mein, AUDUSD ne 38 pips ka ek range banaya hai, jo is period mein price movement ki had ko darust karta hai. Yeh range market volatility ke baare mein insight provide karta hai, jahan chhoti ranges subdued volatility aur potential consolidation ko suggest karte hain. Ek bearish trend ke context mein, aise range ka formation downward momentum ko aur support karta hai aur traders ko price movements par capitalize karne ke liye potential opportunities provide karta hai.
Trading Strategies

AUDUSD mein bearish trend phase ke madda mein, traders ko prevailing market sentiment ke sath milti-julti strategies adopt karne ka consider karna chahiye. Rallies ya pullbacks par sell karna trend ke andar favorable opportunities provide kar sakta hai short sell positions ke liye, with potential targets based on key support levels ya previous lows par. Additionally, CCI ko divergence ya oversold conditions ki signs ke liye monitor karna traders ko informed decisions make karne mein help kar sakta hai timing apne entries aur exits ke.

Conclusion

To conclude, AUDUSD abhi ek bearish trend phase mein hai, jo various technical indicators aur recent price movements se support kiya gaya hai. Price Moving Average Daily ke neeche hai, jabki CCI Zero Level ke neeche positioned hai aur price Parabolic SAR ke neeche bani hui hai. Pichle 24 ghanton mein 38 pips ka range banane se subdued volatility aur traders ko downward momentum par capitalize karne ke liye potential opportunities provide hain. Traders ko downward momentum par capitalize karne ke liye strategies adopt karne ka consider karna chahiye, favorable entry points identify karne par focus karke aur risk effectively manage karte hue. Jaise hamesha, trading AUDUSD mein vigilant rehna aur changing market conditions ko adapt karna zaroori hai.

faiday dene wale charhao se apni nafahat mehfooz kar rahe hain, jo ke currency ki qeemat mein aik fitri sudhar ka sabab ban raha hai. Nafa dene aam amal hai maali bazarat mein, jahan investors wo asasaat farokht karte hain jo ke izafa kar chuke hote hain taake unke faiday haasil ho sakein. Ye harkat currency par nichli dabao paida kar sakti hai jab farokht inteha pasandi ko bharta hai Dusra, US dollar mazeed tarah se aam currency ke muqable mein taaqat dikhata hai, na ke sirf AUD ke sath. USD ki yeh mazbooti mukhtalif factors par mustamil hai, jese ke musbat ma’ashi nishanat aur America ki ma’ashi manzar e aam ki mustahkam tawaqqu’. Jab USD mazboot hota hai, to ye aam tor par dosri currencies ki qeemat mein girawat ka sabab banta hai, jese ke AUD, exchange rates mein ulta rishta hone ki wajah se
Teesra, aaj Australia mein jari mukhtalif ma’ashi data AUD par nichle dabao ka sabab bana raha hai. Ma’ashi data mukhtalif indicators shamil hai jo ke Australia ki ma’ashi haliyat ke baray mein maloomat faraham karte hain. Jab yeh data mukhtalif hota hai ya market ki tawaqqu’at ko pora nahi karta, to ye investors aur traders ke darmiyan ittefaq ka khoz hota hai, jo currency ko kamzor kar deta hai
Jab market shirakat daikhti hai, to ab tawajjo US markets ke hone ki taraf shift ho rahi hai. America mein aane wale ahem ma’ashi data ka aik bada hissa jaari hone wala hai, jo ke AUD/USD pair ko mazeed mutassir kar sakta hai. Is mein shamil hai ibtida'i jobless claims ke figures, jo ke amoor e mulazmat ka aik jhalak faraham karte hain, aur tameer sector ki sehat ka data, jo ke ma’ashi afzaish aur mustaqbil ki mustahkam tawaqqu’at faraham kar sakta hai. Is ma’ashi data ka jaari hona foreign exchange market mein shakhsiyat ke izafa ko sabit kar sakta hai. Ibtida'i jobless claims mulazmat ke trends ka aham indicator hain, aur kisi bhi ghair mutawaqqa tabdiliyon ko foran market ke jawabat mein le aati hain. Bilkhushus, tameer sector par data market ke jazbat par asar dal sakta hai, jabke ye aam ma’ashi shirakat ko dikhata hai

Aaj, AUD/USD market mein momentum jaari hai, halankeh koi numaya harkat nahi dikhai de rahi hai. Ye stagnation mainly iss wajah se hai ke mahine ke khatam hone ka waqt nazdeek hai, jo aam tor par kam trading volumes aur traders ke darmiyan ihtiyaat bhari rawayat ka baais banta hai. Mazeed, jab mahine ka aakhri din nazdeek aata hai, to bohot se shiraa'katdaron ko naye data aur taraqqiyan ka intezar rehta hai pehle ke kisi bhi significant harkat se pehle. Magar, traders ko agle do din mein AUD/USD market mein mumkin volatility ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Ye volatility ki umeed mahine ke aakhir mein adjustments aur naye ma'ashi data ke ikhtitaam se ho sakti hai. Is tarah ke turbulent doraanon mein ihtiyaat ka amal bohot zaroori hai, kyunke achanak market ki harkat ho sakti hai, jo trading shara'itaat mein tezi se tabdeel hone ka bais bana sakti hai.

Is haftay ke market action mein, AUD/USD 0.6721 resistance zone ko guzar sakta hai. Is resistance ko tor dena bullish phase ka aghaz darust kar sakta hai, jo traders ko upper momentum ke liye mouqa faraham karega. Isliye, umeed ki gayi volatility ko behtar taur par samajhne ke liye market ki taraqqiyan nazar andaz karne ka ahem hai. Amooman, hum dekh sakte hain ke AUD/USD market abhi 1.3619 zone ke aas paas ghoom rahi hai, jo ke ek ahem support area hai.

Dollar ki kamzori ko Samajhna

Ye manzar ye zahir karta hai ke US dollar kamzor hota ja raha hai, jisey ziada market ki jazbat aur mool ma'ashi factors ka izhar karte hain. Is tarah ke support zone ke nazdeeki hone ka matlab hai ke market agle kuch ghanton mein 0.6722 zone ko test kar sakta hai. Halat ki mojooda jazbaat ko samajhna aise shara'iat mein sahi trading faislay lene ke liye ahem hai. Traders ko sargarm rehna chahiye aur stop-loss orders ka istemal karke potential risks ko behtar taur par manage karna chahiye.

Mustaqbil ki Tashkeel

Ikhtitami tor par, umeed hai ke AUD/USD market jald hi 0.6732 support area ko paar kar degi. Ye harkat US dollar ki Australian dollar ke khilaf kamzori ko tasdeeq karta hai, jo ke short positions ke liye mouqa ban sakta hai. Magar, ehtiyaat se trading karna mashwara hai, kyunke market ki conditions jaldi badal sakti hain, aur ghair mutawaqqa taraqqiyan qeemat dynamics par gehra asar daal sakti hain.

Aaj, AUD/USD market mein momentum jaari hai, halankeh koi numaya harkat nahi dikhai de rahi hai. Ye stagnation mainly iss wajah se hai ke mahine ke khatam hone ka waqt nazdeek hai, jo aam tor par kam trading volumes aur traders ke darmiyan ihtiyaat bhari rawayat ka baais banta hai. Mazeed, jab mahine ka aakhri din nazdeek aata hai, to bohot se shiraa'katdaron ko naye data aur taraqqiyan ka intezar rehta hai pehle ke kisi bhi significant harkat se pehle. Magar, traders ko agle do din mein AUD/USD market mein mumkin volatility ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Ye volatility ki umeed mahine ke aakhir mein adjustments aur naye ma'ashi data ke ikhtitaam se ho sakti hai. Is tarah ke turbulent doraanon mein ihtiyaat ka amal bohot zaroori hai, kyunke achanak market ki harkat ho sakti hai, jo trading shara'itaat mein tezi se tabdeel hone ka bais bana sakti hai.

Is haftay ke market action mein, AUD/USD 0.6721 resistance zone ko guzar sakta hai. Is resistance ko tor dena bullish phase ka aghaz darust kar sakta hai, jo traders ko upper momentum ke liye mouqa faraham karega. Isliye, umeed ki gayi volatility ko behtar taur par samajhne ke liye market ki taraqqiyan nazar andaz karne ka ahem hai. Amooman, hum dekh sakte hain ke AUD/USD market abhi 1.3619 zone ke aas paas ghoom rahi hai, jo ke ek ahem support area hai.

Dollar ki kamzori ko Samajhna

Ye manzar ye zahir karta hai ke US dollar kamzor hota ja raha hai, jisey ziada market ki jazbat aur mool ma'ashi factors ka izhar karte hain. Is tarah ke support zone ke nazdeeki hone ka matlab hai ke market agle kuch ghanton mein 0.6722 zone ko test kar sakta hai. Halat ki mojooda jazbaat ko samajhna aise shara'iat mein sahi trading faislay lene ke liye ahem hai. Traders ko sargarm rehna chahiye aur stop-loss orders ka istemal karke potential risks ko behtar taur par manage karna chahiye.

Mustaqbil ki Tashkeel

Ikhtitami tor par, umeed hai ke AUD/USD market jald hi 0.6732 support area ko paar kar degi. Ye harkat US dollar ki Australian dollar ke khilaf kamzori ko tasdeeq karta hai, jo ke short positions ke liye mouqa ban sakta hai. Magar, ehtiyaat se trading karna mashwara hai, kyunke market ki conditions jaldi badal sakti hain, aur ghair

AUD/USD

Pair ne shayad ek segment trend mein entry ki hai aur kyun ke “quality is your friend,” ye category-bound market approach phail sakti hai. Australian trading volume mein 0.6680 ka ek high (May 26 ko high) aur 0.6591 ka ek low (May 30 ko low) nazar aata hai.

Range mein ek leg up 0.6680 ke range ceiling tak pohanch sakta hai, phir wapas aata hai aur ek down leg shuru karta hai range ke bottom tak.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) momentum indicator ne apni red signal line ke upar cross kiya hai, jo ek buy signal de raha hai aur upward move ko support kar raha hai.

Agar AUD/USD apne highs ya inke qareeb pohanchta hai aur phir ek Japanese candle turning pattern banata hai, to ye ishara ho sakta hai ke pair apna sideways trend extend kar raha hai aur ek leg down shuru kar raha hai. Agar MACD signal line ke neeche cross karta hai - khas taur par agar ye positive territory mein hai - to ye mazeed saboot provide karega ke ek downtrend narrow range mein develop ho raha hai.

Impossible breakdown: AUD/USD ne May 22 ko apne uptrend se breakout kiya, jo established rally par shak paida karta hai. Mountain ke neeche chase kamzor thi, aur pair ne jald apne pairo par khada ho gaya. Koi wazeh short-term guidance trend nahi hai jo yeh dikhata ho ke trend asal mein sidelines par hai.

Mazeed problems ki tasdeeq ke liye zaroori hai ke 0.6591 ke neeche ek decisive break ho, aur agla target shayad 0.6560 par ho jahan 100-day aur 50-day SMAs locate hain (nahi dikhaya gaya).

Decisive breaks long candles ke saath hoti hain jo level ko break karti hain aur apne high ya low ke qareeb close hoti hain. Teen candles row mein jo level ko break karti hain aur sab same color mein hoti hain (bearish decisive break ke liye red, aur bullish ke liye green

THE CURRENCY PAIR AUD-USD
Hum dekhte hain ke yeh instrument trading session ke end mein ek positive direction lene ki koshish kar raha tha. History mein dekhte hain ke buyers supply zone (0.663) ko break karne mein kamiyab hue the, aur agar bulls bear zone ke upar qadam jama kar isay hold kar sakein, toh aap short-term goals ke sath profit lene aur market mein PPD par enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Mere liye yeh daily range mein resistance (0.666) hoga. Is scenario mein, stop order supply zone ke neeche rakha jayega.

Yeh critical hoga; agar Bears isay break kar ke uske neeche qadam jama lein, toh Sell ke entry points consider kiye jayenge; target 0.660 ke Buyers zone tak decrease hoga.

Hourly time frame mein instrument ke behavior ka tajziya karne ke baad, main samajhta hoon ke market mein buying ke purpose se enter karna kaafi logical hai. Main is conclusion pe kyun aaya ke long, long trades iss waqt sabse zyada mumkin lagte hain? Mere conclusions in arguments pe mabni hain:

1. Price moving average MA200 ke upar hai, jo upcoming bullish trend ko emphasize karta hai.
2. Pehle din ke dosre hisson mein, pair opening level ke upar chala gaya aur trading day bhi iske upar end hui.
3. Din ke doran price quotes upper Bollinger band ke qareeb aaye, jo northern sentiment ko signal karta hai aur yeh indicate karta hai ke instrument ke rise hone ki probability high hai.
4. Trading karte waqt, main hamesha RSI indicator ki readings ko dekhte hain aur agar overbought (above 70) ya oversold (below 30) period nazar aaye toh trade mein enter nahi hota. Filhal, RSI purchases ke sath conflict nahi kar raha, kyunke iski value acceptable hai.
5. Main take profit ko Fibo level 211% par set karunga, jo ke price value 0.67399 ke mutabiq hai. Aur phir, position ka ek hissa breakeven par transfer kar ke, trail ko quotes pe connect karunga jo zyada distant northern Fibo levels pe hain.

RBA ke official forecasts ke mutabiq, RBA agle saal May se pehle koi rate cut ka intezar nahi kar raha hai. RBA ki aakhri meeting ke minutes ne dikhaya ke council May mein rates ko barhane ki mumkinat par baat chit kar rahe the, lekin aakhir mein ek tight monetary policy ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya gaya.

RBA ne bayan kiya ke taaza figures lamba arsa mein mahangai ko had se zyada badha sakte hain. Magar central bank ka haalat waqar aur dekhte hain ka rukh hai, jo ke taaza mahangai data ke jawab mein fori siyasi tabdeeliyon ka ishara nahi hai. Is ke ilawa, taaza retail sales data mein April mein aik maqool 0.1% mahine ke mahine ki izafa nazar aya jabke March mein 0.4% girawat thi. Is mohim ko bawajood, yeh figure 0.3% ke mutawaqqa izafe se kuch kam tha, jis se economic growth naqabil-e-intizam nazar aayi.

- AUD/USD ke Technical Analysis AUD/USD Forecast H4 chart par, AUD/USD ne ek correction mukammal kiya aur ek aur wave ko neeche ki taraf kiya. Jab yeh marhala hasil hota hai, to ek consolidation range banane ka intezar hota hai. Is point ke neeche ek move, 0.6580 ke local target ki aur bhi izafa kar sakta hai. Ek tasfiyah 0.6626 (neechay test) ke liye ho sakti hai, phir 0.6547 ke taraf neeche ki taraf. Neeche ki qeemat pehli hai.

- H1 chart par, AUD/USD ek bearish pattern hai jo 0.6627 ki taraf ja raha hai. Jab yeh level hasil hota hai, to 0.6650 tak aik mumkin izafa ho sakta hai. 0.6620 ki taraf ek move bhi mumkin hai, aur agar yeh level toot jata hai to raasta 0.6608 ki taraf neeche ho sakta hai, jahan trend 0.6580 tak phail sakta hai. Ye manzar aik stochastic oscillator ke zariye khas karte hain jiska signal range ab 50 ke oopar hai, magar gir raha hai jo techincally 20 tak pohanchne ka ishara deta hai, jis se neeche ki raftar jari rehne ka ishara milta hai.

faiday dene wale charhao se apni nafahat mehfooz kar rahe hain, jo ke currency ki qeemat mein aik fitri sudhar ka sabab ban raha hai. Nafa dene aam amal hai maali bazarat mein, jahan investors wo asasaat farokht karte hain jo ke izafa kar chuke hote hain taake unke faiday haasil ho sakein. Ye harkat currency par nichli dabao paida kar sakti hai jab farokht inteha pasandi ko bharta hai Dusra, US dollar mazeed tarah se aam currency ke muqable mein taaqat dikhata hai, na ke sirf AUD ke sath. USD ki yeh mazbooti mukhtalif factors par mustamil hai, jese ke musbat ma’ashi nishanat aur America ki ma’ashi manzar e aam ki mustahkam tawaqqu’. Jab USD mazboot hota hai, to ye aam tor par dosri currencies ki qeemat mein girawat ka sabab banta hai, jese ke AUD, exchange rates mein ulta rishta hone ki wajah se

Teesra, aaj Australia mein jari mukhtalif ma’ashi data AUD par nichle dabao ka sabab bana raha hai. Ma’ashi data mukhtalif indicators shamil hai jo ke Australia ki ma’ashi haliyat ke baray mein maloomat faraham karte hain. Jab yeh data mukhtalif hota hai ya market ki tawaqqu’at ko pora nahi karta, to ye investors aur traders ke darmiyan ittefaq ka khoz hota hai, jo currency ko kamzor kar deta hai
Jab market shirakat daikhti hai, to ab tawajjo US markets ke hone ki taraf shift ho rahi hai. America mein aane wale ahem ma’ashi data ka aik bada hissa jaari hone wala hai, jo ke AUD/USD pair ko mazeed mutassir kar sakta hai. Is mein shamil hai ibtida'i jobless claims ke figures, jo ke amoor e mulazmat ka aik jhalak faraham karte hain, aur tameer sector ki sehat ka data, jo ke ma’ashi afzaish aur mustaqbil ki mustahkam tawaqqu’at faraham kar sakta hai. Is ma’ashi data ka jaari hona foreign exchange market mein shakhsiyat ke izafa ko sabit kar sakta hai. Ibtida'i jobless claims mulazmat ke trends ka aham indicator hain, aur kisi bhi ghair mutawaqqa tabdiliyon ko foran market ke jawabat mein le aati hain. Bilkhushus, tameer sector par data market ke jazbat par asar dal sakta hai, jabke ye aam ma’ashi shirakat ko dikhata hai

RBA ke official forecasts ke mutabiq, RBA agle saal May se pehle koi rate cut ka intezar nahi kar raha hai. RBA ki aakhri meeting ke minutes ne dikhaya ke council May mein rates ko barhane ki mumkinat par baat chit kar rahe the, lekin aakhir mein ek tight monetary policy ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya gaya.
RBA ne bayan kiya ke taaza figures lamba arsa mein mahangai ko had se zyada badha sakte hain. Magar central bank ka haalat waqar aur dekhte hain ka rukh hai, jo ke taaza mahangai data ke jawab mein fori siyasi tabdeeliyon ka ishara nahi hai. Is ke ilawa, taaza retail sales data mein April mein aik maqool 0.1% mahine ke mahine ki izafa nazar aya jabke March mein 0.4% girawat thi. Is mohim ko bawajood, yeh figure 0.3% ke mutawaqqa izafe se kuch kam tha, jis se economic growth naqabil-e-intizam nazar aayi.

- AUD/USD ke Technical Analysis AUD/USD Forecast H4 chart par, AUD/USD ne ek correction mukammal kiya aur ek aur wave ko neeche ki taraf kiya. Jab yeh marhala hasil hota hai, to ek consolidation range banane ka intezar hota hai. Is point ke neeche ek move, 0.6580 ke local target ki aur bhi izafa kar sakta hai. Ek tasfiyah 0.6626 (neechay test) ke liye ho sakti hai, phir 0.6547 ke taraf neeche ki taraf. Neeche ki qeemat pehli hai.



- H1 chart par, AUD/USD ek bearish pattern hai jo 0.6627 ki taraf ja raha hai. Jab yeh level hasil hota hai, to 0.6650 tak aik mumkin izafa ho sakta hai. 0.6620 ki taraf ek move bhi mumkin hai, aur agar yeh level toot jata hai to raasta 0.6608 ki taraf neeche ho sakta hai, jahan trend 0.6580 tak phail sakta hai. Ye manzar aik stochastic oscillator ke zariye khas karte hain jiska signal range ab 50 ke oopar hai, magar gir raha hai jo techincally 20 tak pohanchne ka ishara deta hai, jis se neeche ki raftar jari rehne ka ishara milta hai.