جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP-JPY H1 Time Frame
Aaj, agar main isay observe karoon, to yeh abhi bhi 190.505 ke price tak upar jaane ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh izafa is liye hai kyun ke yen ke exchange rate mein kamzori ayi hai aaj, jab se yen ka trade balance data release hua hai jo ke -0.76 trillion yen tak gir gaya hai. Is ki wajah se aaj GBPJPY ki movement buyers ke qabze mein hai. Is kay ilawa, aaj dopahar ke waqt pound sterling ka exchange rate bhi kamzor hua hai kyun ke public sector net borrowing data release hua hai jo ke 2.2 billion pounds sterling tak barh gaya hai, lekin GBPJPY ki movement ab bhi muqablaan high hai aur agle waqt mein 190.20 ke price tak jasakti hai kyun ke pound sterling ki kamzori yen se zyada kamzor hai. Meri fundamental analysis ke nateejay ke mutabiq, maine aaj dopahar ke waqt GBPJPY ko buy karne ka faisla kiya hai aur maqsad hai ke 190.505 ke price tak pochana
Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBPJPY ki movement ab bhi barh kar 190.505 ke price tak janay ke imkaan mein hai. Is ki wajah yeh hai ke H1 time frame mein GBPJPY ki movement ne ek bullish engulfing candle banayi hai jo ke ek bohot strong signal hai GBPJPY ko buy karne ke liye aur 190.505 ke price tak pochane ke liye. Is kay ilawa, meri RSI 14 indicator ki observation ke mutabiq, GBPJPY ka price 188.90 par oversold declare ho chuka hai yaani is par bohot zyada selling ho chuki hai aur is liye bohot zyada imkaan hai ke aaj dopahar GBPJPY mein 10-40 pips ka izafa hoga. BUY GBPJPY ka signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke zariye bhi support hota hai kyun ke jab GBPJPY ka price 188.90 par aya tha, to yeh already RBS area (Resistance Become Support) mein tha aur is liye buyers ka GBPJPY mein aaj shamil hona kaafi mumkin hai. Meri technical analysis ke nateejay ke mutabiq, maine GBPJPY ko 190.505 ke price tak buy karne ka faisla kiya hai
Is chart se yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke GBP/JPY ek consolidation phase mein hai jab ke is ne kaafi strong uptrend experience kiya hai. Price is waqt ek tight range mein move kar raha hai, jisme support area 187.032 ke aas paas hai aur strong resistance 192.724 ke aas paas hai. Main ne is supply aur demand zone ko blue area mein mark kiya hai, jahan significant price reaction hone ka imkaan hai

Do possible scenarios hain. Pehla, agar price 192.724 ke resistance ko strong volume ke sath break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to GBP/JPY ka uptrend continue karna mumkin hai. Yeh ek kaafi valid buy signal hoga, khas tor par agar H1 candle blue area ke upar close hoti hai, jisme kareebi target 193.330 ke aas paas hoga. Lekin yeh mat bhoolain ke stop loss 192.724 ke neeche set karna zaroori hai takay kisi false breakout ka ijtinaab ho sake. Dosra, agar price 192.724 ke resistance ko break nahi kar pati aur neeche ki taraf wapas jati hai, to hamein is baat ka hosla rakna hoga ke price 187.032 ke support area tak gir sakti hai. Agar price yahan pohchta hai aur reversal ke signs dikhayi detay hain, to yeh ek acha waqt hoga ke buy position li jaye jisme target wapas previous resistance tak ho. Lekin agar 187.032 ka area break hota hai, to yeh mumkin hai ke GBP/JPY mazeed neeche ke support level 184.442 tak gir sakti hai

GBP/JPY Analysis: European Session Observations** **Current Status**

GBP/JPY European session ke dauran mid-March ke baad se apne lowest levels par gir gaya hai. Yeh pair 208.11 se sharply slide hua hai, jiska sabab yen ki renewed strength aur Japanese interventions ho sakti hain. Iske ilawa, Bank of England ka rate cut sterling par additional pressure daal raha hai.

**Bearish Signals**

Kuch strong bearish signals saamne aaye hain, jinmein shamil hain:
- Daily cloud pattern ka rise hona.
- 200-day moving average ke neeche break hona.
- Aaj 189.55 support level ke neeche break hona.

Yeh indicate karta hai ke pair downward trajectory par chal sakta hai, aur significant bearish outlook hai.

**Monthly Performance**

Pair July mahine ko red mein khatam karne ke raste par hai, aur chaar consecutive weeks se red mein band hua hai. Yeh trend June 2016 ke baad se sabse bada monthly loss hai, jo negative outlook ko mazid strengthen karta hai, jab monthly chart par reversal pattern ban raha hai.

Filhal, GBP/JPY 190.30 range mein trade kar raha hai ek slight corrective increase ke baad. Lekin assumption yeh hai ke choti upward impulse ke baad price 194.10 range ki taraf girne ki koshish karegi. Agar local maximum 194.00 ke upar breakout hota hai aur pair is level ke upar consolidate karta hai, to yeh buy signal provide karega.

Dusri taraf, 190.40 range ke aas-paas false breakout ho sakta hai, jo short positions ke liye tight stop-loss orders ke sath allow karega. Agar price 190.50 ke upar break karti hai, to yeh upward movement ke resume hone ka indication ho sakta hai.

**Support Levels**

187.80 par significant support hai. Strongly oversold daily indicators shayad week ke end tak partial profit-taking ko encourage karein, jabke uptrends aur bhi weakness suggest karte hain. Pehle broken 200-day moving average ab initial resistance ban gaya hai 191.74 par, aur additional support 196.83 par hai, jo stronger rebounds ko limit kar sakti hai aur bearish sentiments ko active rakhti hai. Targets ab 185.66 aur 183.56 par hain. RSI filhal oversold territory mein hai, jo potential rally ko indicate karta hai.

**Market Influences**

GBP/JPY ki movement UK Parliamentary Elections aur various technical analysis indicators se influence hoti hai. Construction PMI rates initially buyer activity ko support kar sakte hain; lekin broader expectations for a weakened UK Pound shayad strategic sell stance ko prompt karen. Market shifts ko monitor karke aur responsive rah kar traders apne positions ko advantageously position kar sakte hain.

**Trading Strategy**

H1 timeframe chart par ek resistance area FTR/DBD region mein bana hai, jahan price ab pehle support break karne aur nayi lower high banane ke baad wait kar rahi hai. Yeh area SND traders ke liye significant hai, kyunki yeh market mein enter karne ke liye ek achhi risk-reward opportunity provide karta hai.

*Sell Strategy

USD-GBP/JPY Pair Analysis

Pichle hafte market conditions abhi bhi bearish trend mein nazar aa rahi thi. Meri raaye mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ka bearish trend ab bhi chalne ki ummeed hai kyunki pichle Friday ko hui increase zyada tar market ka temporary correction thi. To, agar price ne niche ki taraf move karna shuru kiya jo ke mahine ke shuru se sabse high level se neeche gir chuki hai, toh baad mein fir se SELL trading ke liye wait kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh clear hai ke bearish movement ka potential abhi bhi hai aur buyer’s target range 197.00 ke aas-paas hai. Hafte ke shuru mein trading session mein market abhi bhi sellers ke control mein nazar aati hai kyunki price thodi bearish lagti hai, halan ke abhi bhi kamzor hai. Pichle hafte sellers ki strength pichle hafte ke trading session ke muqablay mein badh gayi thi.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ka lime line level 30 tak gir gaya hai jo ke bearish trend ko dikhata hai, isliye candlestick ke aur neeche jane ke potential hai jo ke long-term market situation se bhi match karta hai jo ke bearish trend mein hai. Candlestick abhi bhi Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke neeche comfortably play kar rahi hai, jo ke market ke strong bearish trend ko illustrate karta hai. Meri raaye mein, price movements ke bearish state ko dekhte huye, SELL transaction opportunities pe concentrate karna sahi rahega. Agar price movement 197.00 level ko phir se break karti hai, toh price movement lower bearish level experience kar sakti hai. Isliye, market mein price movements ko dhyan se dekhna zaroori hai, aur downward trend ko observe karna chahiye

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon.

Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue.

GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.

GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak penetrate nahi hua. Is kay ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area jo ke 184.87 par hai, wahin stuck hai. Is liye, mein traders ko recommend karta hoon ke is pair par sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take-profit target resistance ke qarib 199.01 par set kar sakte hain aur stop-loss 183.69 ke support level par rakh sakte hain.

GBP/JPY currency pair 197.75 ke neeche trade kar rahi thi. Japanese yen ki appreciation ka sabab zyada-tar expectations hain ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni agli policy meeting mein interest rate hike kar sakta hai. Tokyo ke consumer price index (CPI) data ne bhi inflation mein izafa dikhaya, jis se ye expectations aur zyada mazboot ho gayi hain. Market abhi 38% probability price kar raha hai ke BoJ 15 basis point rate hike karega. Iske ilawa, Japanese authorities ke taraf se currency intervention ke concerns ne bhi yen ki strength mein izafa kiya. Japan ke top monetary diplomat, Masato Kanda ne excessive exchange rate volatility ke economy par negative impact ko dobara se emphasize kiya, aur agar zaroorat pesh ayi toh intervention ka ishara diya. Doosri taraf, British pound par downward pressure hai, kyun ke Bank of England ke taraf se interest rate cuts ki expectations barhti ja rahi hain. UBS analysts ka andaza hai ke August ke aaghaz mein 25 basis point rate cut ho sakta hai, jiske baad November mein aik aur cut expect kiya ja raha hai.
decisive break se decline ka raasta khul sakta hai towards June ka low 201.14. Dusri taraf, agar GBP/JPY kuch support dhundh kar rebound karti hai, to 205.77 ke aas-paas buying interest dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Is level ke upar break se 16-year high 208.10 ko dobara test kiya ja sakta hai. Agar is resistance zone ke upar sustained move hota hai, to aage ke gains ka raasta khul sakta hai, aur yeh April 2008 ka high 209.00 tak pahuncha sakta hai. Aakhir mein, GBP/JPY ne kuch weakness dekhi hai recently, lekin technical indicators abhi tak decisively negative nahi hue hain. Lekin, 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neeche break se sellers ko zyada himmat mil sakti hai aur zyada sustained correction ho sakti hai. Pair ke aage ke direction ka ta'alluq market ke overall risk appetite aur Bank of Japan ke agle hafte ke action par hoga.
GBP/JPY abhi bhi downward channel mein chal raha hai, aur bears ka control trend par mazid mazboot ho jayega agar 200.00 level toot jata hai, khaaskar agar Japan ka Forex currency market mein intervention yen ke exchange rate ko bachaane ke liye jari raha. Main ab bhi har upar ki level se GBP/JPY ko bechne ki preference rakhta hoon. Filhal, currency pair ke liye sabse nazdeek resistance levels 204.20 aur 206.00 hain.

Jumay ko kisi bara asar dalnay wali data release na honay ki wajah se market mein zyada tabdeeli nahi dekhi gayi, jis se market flat rahi. EUR/USD currency pair kareeb 1.8705 mark ke ird gird trade hoti rahi, aur is mein ziada fluctuation nahi dekha gaya.
**GBP/JPY Performance**

GBP/JPY pair Jumay ko neechay band hui aur kuch kamzori dikhai. Pehlay yeh 187.28 ke qareebi resistance level ko cross kar gayi thi, magar yeh momentum zyada dair tak qaim nahi reh saka. Pichlay hafte ke doran GBP/JPY ka trend zyadatar bullish raha. Kuch aise lamhe bhi aaye jab GBP/JPY mein girawat dekhi gayi, magar yeh sirf corrective phases the.

**Technical Analysis**

H1 timeframe par dekhain to pair ka 187.29 resistance level cross karna mazid upward movement ka ishara de raha hai. Magar yeh yad rakhnay ki zarurat hai ke GBP/JPY ne ek significant decline experience kiya hai. Pichlay chand dino mein movement mazboot tor par upwards rahi hai. Bara timeframe par, ek confirmation candle jo ke ek bullish engulfing candle ki shakal mein bani hai, yeh signal deti hai ke market jald reverse ho sakti hai. Jab tak 180.94 ke demand area ko penetrate nahi kiya jata, mujhe lagta hai ke upward movement ka achi khasii moqa hai. Mera scenario yeh anticipate karta hai ke GBP/JPY mustaqbil mein 205.46 tak ja sakti hai.

**Ichimoku Indicator Insights**

Ichimoku indicator ko dekhain to recent decline ne candle ki position ko badal diya hai. Pehlay yeh Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar thi; ab yeh in ke neeche shift ho gayi hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke GBP/JPY mein Monday ko downward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jahan yeh support ko 184.48 par test karegi. Agar GBP/JPY is area ko penetrate nahi karti, to yahan se rebound ho sakta hai.

**Stochastic Indicator Analysis**

Stochastic indicator ki nazar se dekha jaye to line apne lowest level ke qareeb 80 se thori door hai magar abhi tak wahan nahi pohanchi. Magar is ne upward movement shuru kar di hai. Yeh indicator mustaqbil mein GBP/JPY ki upward movement ko imply karta hai. Agar koi unexpected downward shift hoti hai, to GBP/JPY mentioned support 184.48 ki taraf move kar sakti hai.

**Conclusion**

Aaj ki analysis ka natija yeh hai ke GBP/JPY currency pair mein abhi bhi further upward movement ka potential hai kyun ke 180.94 ka demand area abhi tak penetrate nahi hua. Is ke ilawa, candle abhi bhi RBS area ke ird gird 184.87 par phansi hui hai. Is liye mein recommend karta hoon ke jo traders is pair par focus kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par concentrate karein. Apna take-profit target resistance 199.01 ke qareeb rakhein aur stop-loss support level 183.69 par set karein

GBP-JPY H1 Time Frame Aaj, agar main isay observe karoon, to yeh abhi bhi 190.505 ke price tak upar jaane ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh izafa is liye hai kyun ke yen ke exchange rate mein kamzori ayi hai aaj, jab se yen ka trade balance data release hua hai jo ke -0.76 trillion yen tak gir gaya hai. Is ki wajah se aaj GBPJPY ki movement buyers ke qabze mein hai. Is kay ilawa, aaj dopahar ke waqt pound sterling ka exchange rate bhi kamzor hua hai kyun ke public sector net borrowing data release hua hai jo ke 2.2 billion pounds sterling tak barh gaya hai, lekin GBPJPY ki movement ab bhi muqablaan high hai aur agle waqt mein 190.20 ke price tak jasakti hai kyun ke pound sterling ki kamzori yen se zyada kamzor hai. Meri fundamental analysis ke nateejay ke mutabiq, maine aaj dopahar ke waqt GBPJPY ko buy karne ka faisla kiya hai aur maqsad hai ke 190.505 ke price tak pochana
Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBPJPY ki movement ab bhi barh kar 190.505 ke price tak janay ke imkaan mein hai. Is ki wajah yeh hai ke H1 time frame mein GBPJPY ki movement ne ek bullish engulfing candle banayi hai jo ke ek bohot strong signal hai GBPJPY ko buy karne ke liye aur 190.505 ke price tak pochane ke liye. Is kay ilawa, meri RSI 14 indicator ki observation ke mutabiq, GBPJPY ka price 188.90 par oversold declare ho chuka hai yaani is par bohot zyada selling ho chuki hai aur is liye bohot zyada imkaan hai ke aaj dopahar GBPJPY mein 10-40 pips ka izafa hoga. BUY GBPJPY ka signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke zariye bhi support hota hai kyun ke jab GBPJPY ka price 188.90 par aya tha, to yeh already RBS area (Resistance Become Support) mein tha aur is liye buyers ka GBPJPY mein aaj shamil hona kaafi mumkin hai. Meri technical analysis ke nateejay ke mutabiq, maine GBPJPY ko 190.505 ke price tak buy karne ka faisla kiya hai
Is chart se yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke GBP/JPY ek consolidation phase mein hai jab ke is ne kaafi strong uptrend experience kiya hai. Price is waqt ek tight range mein move kar raha hai, jisme support area 187.032 ke aas paas hai aur strong resistance 192.724 ke aas paas hai. Main ne is supply aur demand zone ko blue area mein mark kiya hai, jahan significant price

JPY abhi bhi gir rahi hai aur European session ke dauran yeh mid-March ke baad se apne lowest levels par aa gayi hai. Yeh cross 208.11 se sharply gir raha hai, jise Japanese interventions ke baad yen ki majbooti aur Bank of England ki rate cut ne sterling par pressure daala hai. Strong bearish signals daily cloud ke rising, 200-day moving average ke break, aur aaj ke 189.55 support ke break se mil rahe hain. Pair is waqt July ko chaarve hafte ke liye red mein close karne ke raste par hai, aur yeh June 2016 ke baad se apni sabse badi monthly loss ke saath close hui hai, jo negative outlook ko barhata hai kyunki monthly chart par ek reversal pattern ban raha hai. Abhi pair thoda corrective increase ke saath 190.30 range tak pahuncha hai, aur wahan se girawat continue hogi. Ab tak, yeh maan ke chala ja raha hai ke chhoti si upward impulse ke baad 194.10 range tak, hum price ko aur girane ki koshish karenge. Agar local maximum 194.00 ko break kiya jaye aur agar yeh upar consolidate hoti hai, toh yeh buy ka signal hoga. 190.40 range ka false breakout bhi ho sakta hai, aur hum short stops ke saath sales open kar sakte hain.
Agar 190.50 break hota hai, toh strengthening dobara shuru ho sakti hai. 187.80 tak ke targets hain. Strong oversold daily indicators se partial profit-taking ho sakti hai is hafte ke end mein, aur uptrends further weakness ko point out kar rahe hain. 200-day moving average ke broken hone ke baad initial resistance 191.74 par wapas aa gaya hai, aur uske baad support 196.83 hai, jo stronger rebound ko limit karega aur bears ko game mein rakhega. Targets hain 185.66 aur 183.56. RSI oversold hai. Ab ek rally hone ki ummeed hai.
Akhir mein, daily time frame analysis of GBP/JPY pair yeh indicate karta hai ke filhal clear, attractive, ya valid trading signals ka faqdaan hai. Price action ab tak uncertain hai, aur kisi strong upward ya downward movement ka koi izhaar nahi. Yeh uncertainty vigilant, well-informed, aur cautious rehne ki ahmiyat ko ubhaar rahi hai GBP/JPY ki trading ke liye zaroori hai technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko samajhna: Technical Analysis: Traders aksar technical indicators jaise moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur Bollinger Bands ka istemal future price movements predict karne ke liye karte hain. Mukhtalif support aur resistance levels ko pehchan lena trading decisions mein ahmiyat rakhta hai.

In GBP/JPY kal, sellers ne koshish ki ke price ko south support level ki taraf dhakela jaye, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 203.821 pe located hai. Magar, support level tak na pohnchne se pehle hi ek pullback hua, aur din ke end tak, ek aur uncertain candle slight bearish bias ke sath form hui. Yeh wazeh hai ke sellers price ko southward push nahi kar pa rahe hain jo ke forming accumulation ko break kar sake. Mujhe poori umeed hai ke is scenario mein ek impulsive upward price movement ho sakta hai, aur agar yeh plan play out karta hai, toh mera focus resistance level 207.995 pe hoga. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do scenarios unfold ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh ke price is level ke upar consolidate kare aur phir aur upar move kare. Agar yeh plan work karta hai, toh next target 215.892 pe hoga. Is resistance level pe, mein ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo agle trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Zahir hai ke price movement ke dauran northern target ki taraf, kuch southern pullbacks bhi ho sakte hain, jin ko mein bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye use karunga, anticipating ke uptrend ka resumption hoga within the framework of the global bullish trend.

Ek alternative scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke jab price 207.995 ke resistance level ko test kare toh ek reversal candle ya candlestick pattern form ho aur downward price movement resume ho jaye. Agar yeh plan unfold hota hai, toh mein umeed karunga ke price wapas 203.821 ya 200.539 ke support level tak aaye. In support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals ko dhoondhna jari rakhunga, expecting ke upward price movement resume ho. Aam tor pe, aaj ke din, mein poori tarah consider karta hoon ke price north ki taraf push ho sakti hai nearest resistance level tak, aur agar buyers manage karte hain ke iske upar consolidate karen, toh mein apne targets ko zyada door ke northern objectives ke mutabiq adjust karunga.

Daily technical analysis mein GBP/JPY ke H1 time frame ka tajziya kiya gaya hai, jahan chand aham indications hain jo traders ko dekhni chahiyein. GBP/JPY ke price movement ne pehle ek significant izafa dekhaya, lekin ab yeh neeche jhukne ke asar dekhane laga hai. Moving Averages (MA) indicator se pata chalta hai ke chhoti muddat ka MA abhi tak lambi muddat ke MA ke upar hai, lekin dono ek doosre ke qareeb aa rahe hain, jo ke potential trend reversal ya consolidation ka ishara de raha hai.

Iske ilawa, MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator ne bearish signal diya hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke neeche cross kar chuki hai, aur histogram mein barhta hua bearish momentum dekhai de raha hai, jo ke short term mein price correction ka ishara hai. Doosri taraf, RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator ka level 48.13 par hai, jo ke neutral condition dikhata hai, lekin yeh higher level se neeche aana shuru ho gaya hai, jo ke selling pressure mein izafa ka nishan ho sakta hai.

Is technical analysis ki buniyad par, do trading ideas consider kiye ja sakte hain using pending orders. Pehla, Buy Limit at level 187,250 with Stop Loss at 186,800 aur Take Profit at 188,500, jo ke support level se potential price reversal ka faida uthane ke liye hai. Doosra, Sell Limit at level 188,700 with Stop Loss at 189,200 aur Take Profit at 187,000, is umeed ke sath ke price resistance level se neeche girega.

Yeh strategy isliye design ki gayi hai taake price movements ka faida uthaya ja sake significant support aur resistance levels par, jo traders ko GBP/JPY ke upar aur neeche dono movements se profit ka mauqa de sakti hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke market developments par nazar rakhi jaye aur har trade mein proper risk management ka istemal kiya jaye taake optimal results hasil ho sakein.

21-Day EMA par Muzahmat: GBP/JPY currency pair is waqt ek ahem resistance level ke qareeb hai jo 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hai, jo qareeb 191.63 par positioned hai. EMA ek ahem technical indicator hai jo price data ko smooth out karke trends ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 21-day EMA ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar is baat ka ishara hota hai ke price ya to reverse kar sakti hai ya consolidate. Traders aur investors is level ko barabar dekhte hain, takay price action ke signal mil sakein, jaise ke resistance jo mazeed upar jane se rok sake. GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai
Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP/JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain
Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain. In do central banks ke darmiyan monetary policy mein farq se GBP/JPY pair mein volatility paida ho sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, agar BoE BoJ ke muqable mein zyada hawkish stance adopt karta hai, to yeh GBP ko JPY ke muqable mein mazid boost de sakta hai
Geopolitical aur Market Sentiment: Wasee tor par geopolitical events aur market sentiment GBP/JPY pair par asar dal sakte hain. Aise events jaise ke political developments, trade negotiations, ya global risk sentiment mein changes, investor behavior ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur exchange rate par asar dal sakte hain

Kal ke trading mein, pound ne subeh ke auqat mein tamam major currencies ke against rise kiya, aur GBP/EUR exchange rate bhi upar gaya jab official data ne yeh dikhaya ke UK employment mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate dusre quarter ke akhir mein gir gaya, jisne pound ko tamam major currencies ke against higher push kiya. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, UK Office for National Statistics ne bataya ke May mein unemployment rate 4.4% se gir kar 4.2% ho gaya, jo ke second quarter ke growth trend ko reverse karta hai. Is development ke baad pound ne US dollar, euro aur doosri major currencies ke against rise kiya, jisme sabse bara gain low-yielding financial currencies mein dekha gaya, jaise ke Japanese yen aur Swiss franc.GBP/JPY currency pair ke liye, yeh likhne ke waqt yeh resistance level 189.50 tak barh gaya tha UK inflation data release hone se pehle, aur phir 188.80 ke aas paas stabilize ho gaya.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, May mein employment mein 54,000 ka izafa hua, aur phir June mein 16,000 ka izafa dekhne ko mila, jisne total number of jobs ko 241,000 tak pohncha diya, jo ke UK workforce ka takriban 0.8% hai. Magar, benefit statistics ne yeh dikhaya ke benefit applications June mein 1.663 million tak barh gayi, aur phir July mein 135,000 ka tez izafa hua, jo ke pandemic ke baad se sabse bara izafa hai, aur yeh market expectations ke 14,500 increase ko exceed karta hai. Overall, Bank of England average income growth ko closely dekh raha hai kyunki isay inflation ka leading indicator samjha jata hai, aur inflation ke target ke ooper rehne ka risk aney wale saalon mein barh sakta hai. Inflation May mein 2% ke target tak gir gaya tha aur June mein bhi is target mein barqarar raha, magar core statistics ke asraat se umeed hai ke July ke data release hone par inflation 2.3% tak barh jaye ga.

Daily chart par developments ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY apne recent sharp falling channel se breakout karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh koshishen kamyab ho sakti hain agar yeh pair 191.30 aur 193.00 ke resistance levels ki taraf move karta hai. Dusri taraf, agar yeh same period ke dauran 186.00 level ke neeche reh jata hai, toh yeh current upward move ke liye ek threat ho sakta hai. Pair ab bhi global central bank signals aur investor demand se influenced ho raha hai.

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon.
Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue.

GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.

GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak penetrate nahi hua. Is kay ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area jo ke 184.87 par hai, wahin stuck hai. Is liye, mein traders ko recommend karta hoon ke is pair par sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take-profit target resistance ke qarib 199.01 par set kar sakte hain aur stop-loss 183.69 ke support level par rakh sakte hain

Aaj, agar main observe karun, to lagta hai ke price 190.505 tak barhne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Yeh izafa is liye hai kyun ke yen exchange rate aaj kamzor hua hai jab se yen trade balance data release hua hai, jo ke -0.76 trillion yen tak kam ho gaya hai. Is wajah se aaj GBPJPY ka movement buyers ke qabzay mein hai. Iske ilawa, dopehar mein pound sterling ka exchange rate bhi kamzor hua hai kyun ke public sector net borrowing data release hua jo ke 2.2 billion pounds sterling tak barh gaya hai, lekin GBPJPY ka movement phir bhi kaafi high hai aur future mein 190.20 tak ja sakta hai kyun ke pound sterling ki kamzori yen se ziada hai. Meri fundamental analysis ke mutabiq, aaj dopehar ke liye GBPJPY currency pair ke movement ka decision ye hai ke main GBPJPY ko 190.505 tak BUY karun.

Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj dopehar mein GBPJPY currency pair ka movement 190.505 tak barhne ka imkaan hai. Yeh is liye hai kyun ke H1 time frame mein GBPJPY currency pair ne ek bullish engulfing candle banai hai jo ke bohot strong signal hai GBPJPY ko 190.505 tak BUY karne ka. Iske ilawa, jab main RSI 14 indicator ko dekhta hoon, to pata chalta hai ke GBPJPY ka price 188.90 par oversold ho chuka hai, yaani ke bohot ziada selling ho gayi hai, aur is baat ka imkaan hai ke aaj dopehar mein GBPJPY dobara se 10-40 pips ka izafa kare. BUY GBPJPY signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi support milti hai, kyun ke jab GBPJPY ka price 188.90 tak pohanchta hai to yeh RBS area mein hota hai yaani Resistance Become Support, jahan se buyers ka GBPJPY pair mein entry lena mumkin hai. Meri technical analysis ke natayij ke mutabiq, main ne faisla kiya hai ke GBPJPY ko 190.505 tak BUY karun.

۔ Kal trading ke doran... Japanese yen gir gaya, aur GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai.
Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga."

Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha.

Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”

Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par majboor kar sakti hai jaise Wednesday ko jab currencies jaise Mexican peso aur South African rand apne global peers ko