جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Jumay ko kisi bara asar dalnay wali data release na honay ki wajah se market mein zyada tabdeeli nahi dekhi gayi, jis se market flat rahi. EUR/USD currency pair kareeb 1.8705 mark ke ird gird trade hoti rahi, aur is mein ziada fluctuation nahi dekha gaya.
**GBP/JPY Performance**

GBP/JPY pair Jumay ko neechay band hui aur kuch kamzori dikhai. Pehlay yeh 187.28 ke qareebi resistance level ko cross kar gayi thi, magar yeh momentum zyada dair tak qaim nahi reh saka. Pichlay hafte ke doran GBP/JPY ka trend zyadatar bullish raha. Kuch aise lamhe bhi aaye jab GBP/JPY mein girawat dekhi gayi, magar yeh sirf corrective phases the.

**Technical Analysis**

H1 timeframe par dekhain to pair ka 187.29 resistance level cross karna mazid upward movement ka ishara de raha hai. Magar yeh yad rakhnay ki zarurat hai ke GBP/JPY ne ek significant decline experience kiya hai. Pichlay chand dino mein movement mazboot tor par upwards rahi hai. Bara timeframe par, ek confirmation candle jo ke ek bullish engulfing candle ki shakal mein bani hai, yeh signal deti hai ke market jald reverse ho sakti hai. Jab tak 180.94 ke demand area ko penetrate nahi kiya jata, mujhe lagta hai ke upward movement ka achi khasii moqa hai. Mera scenario yeh anticipate karta hai ke GBP/JPY mustaqbil mein 205.46 tak ja sakti hai.

**Ichimoku Indicator Insights**

Ichimoku indicator ko dekhain to recent decline ne candle ki position ko badal diya hai. Pehlay yeh Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar thi; ab yeh in ke neeche shift ho gayi hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke GBP/JPY mein Monday ko downward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jahan yeh support ko 184.48 par test karegi. Agar GBP/JPY is area ko penetrate nahi karti, to yahan se rebound ho sakta hai.

**Stochastic Indicator Analysis**

Stochastic indicator ki nazar se dekha jaye to line apne lowest level ke qareeb 80 se thori door hai magar abhi tak wahan nahi pohanchi. Magar is ne upward movement shuru kar di hai. Yeh indicator mustaqbil mein GBP/JPY ki upward movement ko imply karta hai. Agar koi unexpected downward shift hoti hai, to GBP/JPY mentioned support 184.48 ki taraf move kar sakti hai.

**Conclusion**

Aaj ki analysis ka natija yeh hai ke GBP/JPY currency pair mein abhi bhi further upward movement ka potential hai kyun ke 180.94 ka demand area abhi tak penetrate nahi hua. Is ke ilawa, candle abhi bhi RBS area ke ird gird 184.87 par phansi hui hai. Is liye mein recommend karta hoon ke jo traders is pair par focus kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par concentrate karein. Apna take-profit target resistance 199.01 ke qareeb rakhein aur stop-loss support level 183.69 par set karein.

**Forums Trading Ke Liye Ek Behtareen Source Hain**
Forums traders ke liye information ka ek treasure trove hain. Yeh real-time discussions, expert opinions, aur technical analyses offer karte hain jo trading decisions mein pivotal ho sakte hain. Yeh hai forums ke essential hone ke reasons:

1. **Diverse Perspectives**:

Forums duniya bhar ke traders ko ek saath laate hain, jinke paas mukhtalif levels ki experience hoti hai. Yeh diversity yeh ensure karti hai ke market movements par multiple perspectives share kiye jayein, jisse traders ko decisions lene se pehle mukhtalif scenarios consider karne ka mauka milta hai.

2. **Real-Time Updates**:

Forex market 24/5 operate karta hai, aur forums market developments par real-time updates provide karte hain, jisme economic releases, geopolitical events, aur sudden price movements shamil hain. Traders in updates ka turant reaction de sakte hain, jisse unhe market mein edge milta hai.

3. **Technical Analysis**:

Kai forum participants technical analysis mein skilled hote hain, jo chart patterns, support aur resistance levels, aur indicators share karte hain jo har trader ke liye immediately apparent nahi hote. Yeh collective analysis entry aur exit points identify karne mein madad kar sakta hai.

4. **Sentiment Analysis**:
movement mein, high aur low 187.84 aur 189.41 ke prices par bane. Daily chart par, price daily resistance 188.87 ko break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai aur abhi bhi wahan resistance ka samna kar rahi hai. Jab price thoda upar move karti hai, EMA 12 daily line is positive movement ko roknay ki koshish karti hai. Correction phase abhi bhi chal raha hai jahan price continue to climb kar rahi hai. Mazid mazboot hoti hui price ab EMA 200 daily line ki taraf move kar rahi hai, lekin filha
Forums sentiment analysis ke liye ek behtareen source hain. Ek particular forum par traders ka overall sentiment gauge karke, aap market ki mood ka idea le sakte hain, chahe woh bullish, bearish, ya neutral ho.

**GBP/JPY Ko Influence Karne Wale Key Factors**

GBP/JPY ko influence karne wale key factors ko samajhna forum analysis ko interpret karne aur accurate forecasts banane ke liye crucial hai:

1. **Economic Data**:

UK aur Japan se aane wale economic indicators, jaise GDP growth, inflation rates, employment figures, aur central bank policies, GBP/JPY par significant impact dalte hain. Forums par traders aksar in data points ko analyze karte hain future movements ko predict karne ke liye.

2. **Geopolitical Events**:

Political events, jaise elections, Brexit developments, ya Asia-Pacific region mein tensions, GBP/JPY mein sharp fluctuations cause kar sakte hain. Forum discussions aksar in events ke around hoti hain, jo potential market reactions ko samajhne mein madad karti hain.

3. **Risk Sentiment**:

GBP/JPY ko "risk" currency pair mana jata hai kyunki British Pound ko Japanese Yen ke muqablay mein zyada risky dekha jata hai. Global risk sentiment mein changes, jaise stock market performance ya geopolitical stability ke factors ke zariye, is pair mein significant movements la sakte hain.



4. **Bank of England aur Bank of Japan Policies**:

Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy decisions aur statements ko traders closely watch karte hain. Forums aksar interest rate changes, quantitative easing, aur other monetary policy tools ke around discussions aur predictions se bhare hote hain.

keemat ne neechay sudharna shuru karna tha. Lekin keemat ko phir se support mila aur ab isne keemat channels ko upar ki taraf tor karne mein kamyabi haasil ki hai, aur keemat ke liye qareebi resistance level 206.64 hai. Yeh level hai jahan se aap maujood level se dakhilagle qadam ko pehchanne mein ahem hai. Mukhtasar mein, UK GDP aur doosri musbat ma'ashi dalail GBP/JPY kharidne walon ko bari madad faraham karne ke liye tayyar hain. Market ka jazba abhi kharidne walon ke favore mein hai, aur ye rawaya umeed hai ke unke 200.76 aur 200.77 zone tak pohanchte hue barqarar rahega. Technical aur bunyadi tajziya ka barabar dekhh bhaal karne wala hona is dinamic market mahol mein zinda rehne aur kamiyabi hasil karne ke liye ahem hai. Khush rahein aur calm rakheinSubah bakhair aur ek kamiyabi bhari Wednesday ki shubhkamnayein! UK GDP ke aane wale ghanton mein kharidne walon ko 200.76 zone ko paar karne mein madad milegi. Kal, UK Prelim Count Changes aur Average Earnings bhi umeed se behtar the aur kharidne walon ke liye samarthak the. Is natije mein, mujhe ummeed hai GBPJPY ki qeemat niche aaye gi. Dono taraf se trading volumes me izafa hota hai jab major economic events ya data releases hoti hain. Jaise ke UK ke inflation figures, employment data, aur BOJ (Bank of Japan) ke monetary policy statements. In events par focus karke, traders apni positions ko accordingly adjust GBP/JPY exchange rate ko impact kar sakti hain. Economic calendars, financial news websites, aur market analysis reports ko subscribe karna
valuable information provide kar sakta hai jo akhrkar current ambiguous situation ko clarify karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai. Informed rahne se traders zyada better prepared hote hain taake jab market ek zyada definitive trend dikhane lage to jaldi se action le sakein. Akhir mein, daily time frame analysis of GBP/JPY pair yeh indicate karta hai ke filhal clear, attractive, ya valid trading signals ka faqdaan hai. Price action ab tak uncertain hai, aur kisi strong upward ya downward movement ka koi izhaar nahi. Yeh uncertainty vigilant, well-informed, aur cautious rehne ki ahmiyat ko ubhaar rahi hai GBP/JPY ki trading ke liye zaroori hai technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko samajhna: Technical Analysis: Traders aksar technical indicators jaise moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur Bollinger Bands ka istemal future price ho sakte hain aur iske neechay maqsad tayyar kar sakte hain. Iqtasadi hawale se, Japan ke Forex currency markets mein intervention karne mein deri hone se yen ki nuqsan barh rahi hai. Agar kisi waqt expected Japanese intervention hota hai, to yeh currency pair ko bechne mein mazboot istiqrar la sakta hai. Bila kisi khatra ke bechnay ki policy abhi bhi behtareen hai. Monetary policy ke samne... Bank of England August mein interest rate mein kisi tarah ki kami nahi kar sakti agar inflation ke baray mein Canada aur Australia se warnings milti hain. Agar Monetary Policy Committee global inflation trends ke baray mein nishanae samjhe, to Bank of England August mein interest rates ko kam nahi kar sakta hai. Iqtisadi calendar ke natijon ke mutabiq... Is haftay Canada aur Australia se jari shuda figures ke mutabiq, global inflation phir se barh sakti hai. Canada mein

GBP/JPY currency pair ne Wednesday ko apne rally ko third consecutive day tak extend kiya, aur 189.00 level ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Yeh upward movement thodi surprising thi kyun ke UK inflation data expectations se kam aaya tha, jo aam tor par currency ke liye downward pressure create karta hai. Yeh data Bank of England ke taraf se interest rate cuts ke potential ko suggest karta hai, jo ke normally pound ko weak karta hai.
Lekin is trend ko balance karte hue, Middle East mein rising geopolitical tensions ne investors ko safe-haven assets jaise ke Japanese yen ki taraf attract kiya. US missile submarine ke deployment aur ongoing Israeli-Palestinian conflict ne potential escalation ke concerns ko barhaya. Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan ke taraf se future interest rate hike ke expectations ne yen ko support provide kiya. Yeh conflicting backdrop GBP/JPY pair ke liye ek complex environment create kar raha hai, jisme currency pair ki movement multiple factors se influenced ho rahi hai.

Technical Analysis:
Pair ne potential trend reversal ke signs show kiye, aur momentum indicators ne previous downtrend ke weakening ko suggest kiya. Magar significant resistance levels ab bhi maujood hain jo upside potential ko limit karte hain. GBP/JPY pair ab bhi various economic aur geopolitical factors ke darmiyan ek tug-of-war mein **** hua hai. Market ka focus expected hai ke upcoming economic data releases, specifically agle UK CPI report, par shift hoga for further direction.

Lekin, market mein bears most likely attempt kar rahe hain ke control wapas hasil karein. August 22, 2023 ka high aur 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ne 185.21–186.75 region ko establish kiya hai, jisse GBP/JPY ko neeche force karne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Agar yeh successful hote hain, toh yeh pair ko April 9, 2001 ke high 181.36 tak le jaane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Is conclusion ke sath, halaan ke GBP/JPY abhi bhi rise kar raha hai, market ka momentum ab bhi shaky hai, jo ek aur decline ka room chhodta hai.

Technical Indicators:
Technical indicators ne bhi recent bullish sentiment ko support kiya hai. Average Directional Movement (ADX) indicator sideways move kar raha hai, jo GBP/JPY downtrend ke potential weakening ko suggest karta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne midpoint ki taraf upwards ja raha hai, jab ke Stochastic indicator ne apne moving average aur oversold zone ke upar breakout kiya hai, jo current moderate uptrend ko reinforce karta hai. Agar bullish momentum persist karta hai, toh GBP/JPY pair March 31, 2004 ke low 189.61 ko surpass karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, uske baad congested 192.57-193.60 zone ko target kar sakta hai. Yeh area July 21, 2005 ka low, 100-day simple moving average (SMA), aur July 20, 2021 to July 11, 2024 uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ko encompass karta hai.

GBPJPY: H1 chart. Main yeh umeed kar raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, t

oh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version
GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential ko maximize kar sakte hain. Jab tak price 206.170-206.380 support level ke upar rahegi, bullish outlook strong rahegi. Agle resistance levels ko reach aur surpass karna trend ki strength ko confirm karega aur further trading opportunities provide karega. Effective risk management strategies implement karne se traders market ke fluctuations ko navigate kar sakte hain aur long-term success aim

GBP/JPY abhi bhi gir rahi hai aur European session ke dauran yeh mid-March ke baad se apne lowest levels par aa gayi hai. Yeh cross 208.11 se sharply gir raha hai, jise Japanese interventions ke baad yen ki majbooti aur Bank of England ki rate cut ne sterling par pressure daala hai. Strong bearish signals daily cloud ke rising, 200-day moving average ke break, aur aaj ke 189.55 support ke break se mil rahe hain.
Pair is waqt July ko chaarve hafte ke liye red mein close karne ke raste par hai, aur yeh June 2016 ke baad se apni sabse badi monthly loss ke saath close hui hai, jo negative outlook ko barhata hai kyunki monthly chart par ek reversal pattern ban raha hai. Abhi pair thoda corrective increase ke saath 190.30 range tak pahuncha hai, aur wahan se girawat continue hogi. Ab tak, yeh maan ke chala ja raha hai ke chhoti si upward impulse ke baad 194.10 range tak, hum price ko aur girane ki koshish karenge. Agar local maximum 194.00 ko break kiya jaye aur agar yeh upar consolidate hoti hai, toh yeh buy ka signal hoga. 190.40 range ka false breakout bhi ho sakta hai, aur hum short stops ke saath sales open kar sakte hain.
Agar 190.50 break hota hai, toh strengthening dobara shuru ho sakti hai. 187.80 tak ke targets hain. Strong oversold daily indicators se partial profit-taking ho sakti hai is hafte ke end mein, aur uptrends further weakness ko point out kar rahe hain. 200-day moving average ke broken hone ke baad initial resistance 191.74 par wapas aa gaya hai, aur uske baad support 196.83 hai, jo stronger rebound ko limit karega aur bears ko game mein rakhega. Targets hain 185.66 aur 183.56. RSI oversold hai. Ab ek rally hone ki ummeed hai.
Akhir mein, daily time frame analysis of GBP/JPY pair yeh indicate karta hai ke filhal clear, attractive, ya valid trading signals ka faqdaan hai. Price action ab tak uncertain hai, aur kisi strong upward ya downward movement ka koi izhaar nahi. Yeh uncertainty vigilant, well-informed, aur cautious rehne ki ahmiyat ko ubhaar rahi hai GBP/JPY ki trading ke liye zaroori hai technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko samajhna: Technical Analysis: Traders aksar technical indicators jaise moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur Bollinger Bands ka istemal future price movements predict karne ke liye karte hain. Mukhtalif support aur resistance levels ko pehchan lena trading decisions mein ahmiyat rakhta hai.

GBP-JPY PAIR ANALYSIS

Bullish candles patli bodies ke sath upper aur lower shadows ke sath ban rahi hain. Kal ke narrow price movement mein, high aur low prices 187.84 aur 189.41 par banaye gaye. Daily chart par, price daily resistance 188.87 ko paar karne ki koshish kar rahi hai aur wahan abhi bhi resistance ka samna kar rahi hai. Jab price thodi si upar chalti hai, toh EMA 12 daily line is positive movement ko rokne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Correction phase abhi bhi chal raha hai jahan price chadhai kar rahi hai. Mazid mazboot hoti hui price ab EMA 200 daily line ki taraf badh rahi hai, lekin filhal price EMA 12 daily ko test kar rahi hai. Agar is baar yeh 188.87 ko tod kar EMA 12 daily ko paar kar leti hai, toh EMA 200 ka goal pura ho sakta hai. Aur yeh bhi mumkin hai ke is se trend ki direction badal jaye jo filhal downtrend mein hai kyunke yeh abhi bhi EMA 200 H1 line ke neeche chal rahi hai. Daily stochastic bhi abhi upar ki taraf point kar raha hai, halanke yeh level 100 tak pohnch gaya hai aur yeh buyers ke liye ek warning hai ke wo ehtiyaat bartein kyunke price jaldi overbought signal ka jawab de sakti hai jo price ko phir se neeche le ja sakta hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily khud nahi badle, dono EMA lines abhi bhi neeche latki hui hain jo yeh darshati hain ke price movement ki direction abhi bhi bearish hai. Agar price EMA 12 daily se reject hoti hai, toh 187.04 area jo weekly open bhi hai aur daily support bhi, pehla target hoga.

Aaj ke liye GBP/JPY mein correction phase ka aghaz nazar aa raha hai. Kal ke din sellers ne ziada josh nahi dikhaya, jis ki wajah se choti si bearish candle ban gayi jo pehle din ke range mein hi thi. Abhi ke halat ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke aaj southern correction movement ho sakti hai, lekin main is movement mein trade karne ka iraada nahi rakhta.
Agar correction gehra hota hai, to main mirror support level par nazar rakhoonga jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 200.539 par hai. Is support level ke qareeb do scenarios ban sakte hai.
Pehla aur pasandeeda scenario yeh hai ke reversal candle bane, jo uptrend ke dobara aghaz ki nishani ho. Agar yeh plan play out hota hai, to main prices ko resistance level 207.995 tak wapas aane ka intezar karoon ga. Jab price is resistance level ke upar close ho jaye, to main agay northward movement ki umeed karoon ga, jo ke aglay resistance level 215.892 tak ja sakti hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb main trading setup ke banne ka intezar karoon ga taake aglay trading direction ka faisla kiya ja sake. Yeh baat zaroori hai ke is upward movement ke dauran kuch southern pullbacks ho sakte hain, jin ko main nearby support levels par bullish signals dhondhne ke liye use karoon ga, taake broader global bullish trend ke dauran uptrend continue ho sake
Doosra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke agar price support level 200.539 ke qareeb aata hai, to main dekhunga ke price is level ke neeche consolidate hota hai aur southward movement continue karta hai ya nahi. Agar yeh scenario play out hota hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke price 197.201 ya 195.044 ke support levels ki taraf move karega. In support levels ke qareeb, main phir se bullish signals dhondhne ka plan karoon ga, is umeed ke saath ke price wapas upward movement shuru kar de.

Mukhtasir mein, aaj ke liye yeh mumkin hai ke price nearby support level ki taraf southward move kare as a form of correction. Us ke baad, ab ke global bullish trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main reversal candle ke banne ka intezar karoon ga aur price mein upward movement ke continuation ki umeed rakhoon ga.

Kal trading ke doran... Japanese yen gir gaya, aur GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai.
Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga."

Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha.

Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”

Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par majboor kar sakti hai jaise Wednesday ko jab currencies jaise Mexican peso aur South African rand apne global peers ko

GBPJPY: H1 chart. Main yeh umeed kar raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, t

ID: 13088790oh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version
GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential ko maximize kar sakte hain. Jab tak price 206.170-206.380 support level ke upar rahegi, bullish outlook strong rahegi. Agle resistance levels ko reach aur surpass karna trend ki strength ko confirm karega aur further trading opportunities provide karega. Effective risk management strategies implement karne se traders market ke fluctuations ko navigate kar sakte hain aur long-term success aim

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon.
Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue.



GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.
GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak penetrate nahi hua. Is kay ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area jo ke 184.87 par hai, wahin stuck hai. Is liye, mein traders ko recommend karta hoon ke is pair par sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take-profit target resistance ke qarib 199.01 par set kar sakte hain aur stop-loss 183.69 ke support level par rakh sakte hain

Wednesday ke trading mein koi khaas harkat nahi hui, lekin qeemat sirf EMA 200 H1 line ke aas paas upar aur neeche chalti rahi, jo ke 188.67 - 188.74 ke numbers ke aas paas cross hui. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 lines bhi is hi behaviour ko follow kar rahi thi, jo angled aur flat thi. Qeemat jo upar jane ki koshish kar rahi thi, woh 189.48 ke high ko cross nahi kar payi, jo is hafte ka highest number tha jo Tuesday ko bana tha. Is failure ne sellers ko dominate karne ka mauka diya. Afsoos, seller pressure sirf qeemat ko 187.84 tak shift kar paya, uske baad qeemat phir se upar push hui aur EMA 200 ke aas paas ghoomti rahi. Yeh halat abhi bhi trend ko unclear aur biased banati hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Thursday ke dopahar tak jaari rahi. Market aaj subah 188.90 par open hui. Qeemat daily open ke upar dekhi gayi aur EMA 200 thodi neeche thi. Flat EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ab upar ki taraf point kar rahi hain. Sabse nazdeek resistance 189.97 hoga, jo ke bullish price movement ke liye dekhna hoga. Bullish candles patli bodies aur upper aur lower shadows ke saath bani hain. Kal ke narrow price movement mein high aur low 187.84 aur 189.41 ke prices par bane. Daily chart par, qeemat daily resistance 188.87 ko break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai aur wahan resistance ka samna kar rahi hai. Jab qeemat thoda upar jaati hai, EMA 12 daily line is positive movement ko rokne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Correction phase ab bhi chal raha hai jahan qeemat upar ki taraf chalti ja rahi hai. Mazid taqatwar qeemat ab EMA 200 daily line ki taraf ja rahi hai, lekin filhal qeemat EMA 12 daily ko test kar rahi hai. Agar is baar yeh 188.87 ko break karne aur EMA 12 daily ko cross karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to EMA 200 ka goal haqdaar hoga. Aur yeh bhi mumkin hai ke is se trend ka direction badal jaye jo ke abhi bhi downtrend mein hai kyunki EMA 200 H1 line ke neeche move kar rahi hai. Daily stochastic ab bhi upar point kar raha hai, halankeh yeh level 100 tak pahunch chuka hai aur yeh buyers ke liye caution ka signal hai kyunki qeemat soon overbought signal respond kar sakti hai jo qeemat ko phir se neeche le jaa sakti hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ab bhi wahi hain, dono EMA lines neeche latakti hain jo indicate karti hain ke qeemat ka movement abhi bhi bearish hai. Agar qeemat EMA 12 daily se reject hoti hai, to 187.04 area jo weekly open hai aur daily support bhi hai, pehla target hoga.

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon.

Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue.

GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.

GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak penetrate nahi hua. Is kay ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area jo ke 184.87 par hai, wahin stuck hai. Is liye, mein traders ko recommend karta hoon ke is pair par sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take-profit target resistance ke qarib 199.01 par set kar sakte hain aur stop-loss 183.69 ke support level par rakh sakte hain.

hour chart yeh dikhata hai ke ek naya uptrend shuru hone wala hai, weekly resistance level 206.64 par hai. Iss hafta, pair ki price rising price channels mein trade kar rahi hai, jo price ko upar le jaane mein madad kar rahe hain. Jab price upper channel lines tak pohchti hai, tou woh peak hoti hai aur phir niche ki taraf mudti hai, jo ke ek correction ko indicate karta hai. Lekin price ko phir se support mila aur uspe se price channels ko successfully break karke upar nikal gayi, near-term resistance level 206.64 par hai. Yeh level wo hai jahan se aap current level se enter kar sakte hain aur targets is level se niche set kar sakte hain. Economic perspective se, Japan ka Forex currency markets mein late intervention yen ke liye losses ko barhata ja raha hai. Agar koi expected Japanese intervention hota hai, tou yeh currency pair ko sell karne ke against strong resistance provide kar sakta hai. Baghair selling policy ke risk ke, yeh best approach hai. Monetary policy ke hawalay se, Bank of England August mein interest rate cuts afford nahi kar sakta agar usay Canada aur Australia se inflation warnings milti hain. Agar Monetary Policy Committee global inflation trends ko samajh jati hai, tou Bank of England August mein interest rates ko niche nahi karega.

Economic calendar results ke mutabiq, Canada aur Australia se is haftay release hui figures ke basis par, global inflation phir se barh sakti hai. Canada mein, inflation unexpectedly 0.6% month-on-month May mein barh gayi, jo general expectations se zyada thi. Australia mein, monthly CPI 4.0% year-on-year ke rate par teen mahine tak steady rahi, jo GBP/JPY trading ke liye significant hai.

GBP/JPY trading ke liye technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko samajhna zaroori hai:
Traders aksar technical indicators jaise ke moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur Bollinger Bands use karte hain future price movements ko predict karne ke liye. Mukhtalif support aur resistance levels ko identify karna trading decisions mein ahem role ada karta hai.

GBPJPY ke pair par bullish trend ki direction kamzor hoti nazar aa rahi hai kyunki price ne kai martaba SMA 200 ko dynamic support ke taur par test kiya hai. Is wajah se dono Moving Average lines ek dosre ke qareeb aa gayi hain. Price ne EMA 50 ke upar upward rally continue karne ki koshish ki thi aur FR 78.6 - 191.17 tak pahunch gayi thi, lekin yeh FR 23.6 - 189.10 par neeche aagayi. Agar price consistently dono Moving Average lines ke upar move nahi kar pati, to trend direction bearish me tabdeel ho sakti hai. Kyunki current minor price pattern structure lower low - lower high ka dikh raha hai, aur low price 190.34 ke baad structure break hua hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka histogram jo downtrend momentum ko show kar raha hai, price decline rally ko support karta hai. Histogram baad mein saucer signal bhi generate kar sakta hai jahan green histogram red histogram ke beech hota hai jab yeh negative area mein hota hai. Stochastic indicator parameters jo overbought zone ke taraf ja rahe hain levels 90 - 80, pehle price ko upar le ja sakte hain. Kyunki parameters jo cross nahi hue hain, yeh indicate karte hain ke price rally continue karne ke liye abhi bhi jagah hai.

Entry Position Setup:




Trading options ke liye, SELL entry position FR 50 - 190.09 ke aas paas place karein jo ab EMA 50 ke sath confluent hai. Iska reason yeh hai ke bullish trend kamzor ho raha hai aur minor price pattern structure lower low - lower high ko show kar raha hai. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator parameter ka overbought zone level 90 - 80 par cross hona zaroori hai. AO indicator histogram kam se kam ek saucer signal produce kar sakta hai level 0 ya negative area ke neeche. Take profit target low price 188.21 hai aur stop loss FR 70.5 - 190.87 ke aas paas rakhein. GBP/JPY pair is dopahar, H4 time frame par sideways condition mein lag raha hai, price abhi resistance level area 191.30 aur support area 188.16 ke beech phansi hui hai. Main shayad wait karunga jab tak inme se koi ek area break na ho, agar resistance break hota hai to buy position lunga aur agar support area break hota hai to sell position order dunga.