جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

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GBP/JPY) ne hal hi mein hui girawat ke baad ek hairan kun wapsi ki hai. Thursday ke trading session mein pound ne wapas 203.00 ka aham mark paar kiya, aur kabhi kabhi 204.00 tak bhi pahunch gaya. Yeh turnaround Japanese authorities ki mudakhlat ke andazay ke darmiyan aaya. Halanki Bank of Japan (BOJ) aur Ministry of Finance (MOF) ne apni mudakhlat ka rasmi taur par tasdeeq nahi ki, magar BOJ ke mali operations ka surge forecasts ke muqablay mein unki stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de raha hai. Kamzor hoti hui yen ko defend karna MOF ke liye mazeed mehnga pad raha hai. Wahin, maqami economic data releases milay julay signals de rahi hain. Thursday ko release hui UK ki average data ne expectations ko meet kiya, magar market forecasts predict kar rahe hain ke aanay wali British retail sales mein 0.4% ka decline hoga, jo pehlay ke 2.9% increase ke mukable mein kaafi baray contrast mein hai. Japan ki national CPI inflation figures bhi Friday ko release hongi. Halanki inflation pehle ke release se zyada hone ki umeed hai, yeh shayad BOJ ko apni ultra-loose monetary policy se hattne par majboor na kar sake. Yeh, aur yen ki pehlay se hi kamzor position doosri baray currencies ke muqable mein, Japanese currency ke mazeed depreciation ko suggest karte hain. Technical indicators aik zyada complex picture paint kar rahe hain. "Peacock Fish Index" (mungkin GBP/JPY ke liye) ne Thursday ko 202.50 ke qareeb support find kiya, jo ek potential bounce ka ishara hai. Magar, price apni 200-hour moving average (EMA) of 204.82 ke niche hai, jo ager selling pressure resume hoti hai toh mazeed decline ka room suggest karta hai. Daily chart kuch umeed deti hai, price 50-day moving average of 201.38 ke upar hold karti hui hai. Mazeed, long-term 200-day moving average of 192.18 se kafi upar bids (offers to buy) hain, jo underlying buying interest ko indicate karti hain. Nateejatan, GBP/JPY ek volatile phase mein hai. Halanki pound ne kuch resilience dikhayi hai, yen ki kamzori aur Japanese authorities ki potential intervention pair ke future direction par uncertainty daalti hain. Aanay walay dino mein Friday ke economic data releases aur technical analysis key factors honge dekhne ke liye.

Aaj hum GBP/JPY pair ki movement par baat karte hain. Agar aap is pair ke movement chart ko dekhein jo kamzor hoti ja rahi hai, to price ke girne ke imkaanat kaafi zyada hain kyunki price ne ab tak koi naya higher low form nahi kiya. Ab yeh ek moka hai ke hum sell aur buy karne ke opportunities dekhein. Hamein zaroori areas ke baare mein pata hona chahiye. Yahan GBP/JPY market ka mapping hai:
H4 chart par, price movement downtrend form kar rahi hai aur yeh kamzori kaafi significant hai, is liye peechle price movement ne 208.12 ke price par resistance ya higher high form kar liya hai. Ab price apne highest price banane ke baad retrace kar rahi hai. Wo area jo hamein consider karna chahiye aur jahan main market mein enter kar sakta hoon, wo DBD area ke range mein hai jo 196.73 par hai aur major resistance 201.56 par hai jo SSR line aur Trend Channel line ke parallel hai. Yeh imkaan hai ke price is area mein enter kare to price kamzor ho sakti hai. Agar hum large timeframe dekhein, yeh resistance area nayi supply include kar chuka hai.

Additional indicators mein Relative Strength Index (RSI) period 5 ko dekhte hain jahan price level 30 se neeche gir chuki hai jo market ke bearish trend mein hone ki nishani hai. Simple Moving Average (SMA) 120 indicator jo trend change se pehle neeche move kar rahi thi, ab upwards lean kar rahi hai jo ek trend signal hai jo increase ki taraf indicate karta hai. To yeh conclusion nikala ja sakta hai ke H4 timeframe indicators mostly bullish trend show kar rahe hain.

H1 timeframe chart par, resistance area dekha ja sakta hai jahan price FTR/DBD area ka wait kar rahi hai jo pehle support break karne ke baad new lower high form kar chuka hai. Is area ko SND traders (jaise ke main) market mein enter karne ke liye use karte hain kyunki is area mein humein beautiful Risk Reward mil sakti hai. Sell entry ke liye, aap pending sell limit order 196.73 ke price par rakh sakte hain, stop loss 197.70 par aur pehla take profit 191.20 par rakh sakte hain. Agar yeh area breakout ho jaye, to hum ek aur sell entry add kar sakte hain with target take profit at 185.55. Buy entry ke liye, aap 180.74 ke price par wait kar sakte hain with stop loss at 180.00 aur take profit ke liye hum next price confirmation dekh sakte hain.

Is waqt GBP/JPY currency pair ke senior weekly chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke aakhri kuch hafton mein price kaafi tezi se neeche gir gayi hai. Is girawat ka sabab kuch technical indicators hain, jismein se sabse important ek bohot bara bearish divergence hai jo MACD indicator par nazar aaya. Aise divergence saal mein sirf ek martaba ya kabhi kabhi isse bhi kam dekhne ko milta hai itne bare period par. Dusra indicator CCI ne bhi upar bearish divergence dikhayi, magar yeh thoda chhota tha. Jese ke dekha ja sakta hai, ye sab aakhir kaar kaam kar gaya aur jo sellers apne positions ko minus mein bhi bardasht kar rahe thay, unho ne sukoon ka saans liya.

Is girawat ke peechay kuch fundamental wajoohat bhi hain. Bank of Japan apni national currency ki kamzori ke aage aur ziada dair tak sabr nahi kar saka, jise duniya ke tamam currencies ke muqable mein kamzor hoti ja rahi thi. Market mein arbon inject karne ka koi faida nahi hua, aur unhe ek mushkil faisla lena pada - interest rate barhane ka. Iske baad, ek bari girawat ka aghaz hua. Is girawat ke dauran, 188.28 ka level tootta aur usi waqt bottoms ke saath banai gayi ascending line bhi toot gayi. Price 178.32 ke support level tak qareeb paunch gayi thi girawat ke dauran, lekin pura nahi paunchi. Ek upward correction hui aur yeh saamne aaya ke pehle jo 188.28 ka support level tha, ab woh resistance ban gaya hai. Yahan se ek aur round girawat ka shuru ho sakta hai.

Magar CCI indicator thoda confusing hai, jo ke neeche overheating zone mein chala gaya hai. Ek aur deeper upward rollback ho sakta hai jitna ke is waqt hai, yahan humein dekhna hoga ke price ka behaviour H4 chart par kaisa hota hai, ke kya wahan par mazeed growth ya girawat ke liye koi signs hain. Yeh ek complex situation hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke buyers aur sellers dono ke chances barabar hain. Lekin filhaal main D1 aur H4 par general downward trend ke saath sales ke haq mein hoon

Aaj hum GBP/JPY pair ki movement par baat karte hain. Agar aap is pair ke movement chart ko dekhein jo kamzor hoti ja rahi hai, to price ke girne ke imkaanat kaafi zyada hain kyunki price ne ab tak koi naya higher low form nahi kiya. Ab yeh ek moka hai ke hum sell aur buy karne ke opportunities dekhein. Hamein zaroori areas ke baare mein pata hona chahiye. Yahan GBP/JPY market ka mapping hai:
H4 chart par, price movement downtrend form kar rahi hai aur yeh kamzori kaafi significant hai, is liye peechle price movement ne 208.12 ke price par resistance ya higher high form kar liya hai. Ab price apne highest price banane ke baad retrace kar rahi hai. Wo area jo hamein consider karna chahiye aur jahan main market mein enter kar sakta hoon, wo DBD area ke range mein hai jo 196.73 par hai aur major resistance 201.56 par hai jo SSR line aur Trend Channel line ke parallel hai. Yeh imkaan hai ke price is area mein enter kare to price kamzor ho sakti hai. Agar hum large timeframe dekhein, yeh resistance area nayi supply include kar chuka hai.

Additional indicators mein Relative Strength Index (RSI) period 5 ko dekhte hain jahan price level 30 se neeche gir chuki hai jo market ke bearish trend mein hone ki nishani hai. Simple Moving Average (SMA) 120 indicator jo trend change se pehle neeche move kar rahi thi, ab upwards lean kar rahi hai jo ek trend signal hai jo increase ki taraf indicate karta hai. To yeh conclusion nikala ja sakta hai ke H4 timeframe indicators mostly bullish trend show kar rahe hain.

H1 timeframe chart par, resistance area dekha ja sakta hai jahan price FTR/DBD area ka wait kar rahi hai jo pehle support break karne ke baad new lower high form kar chuka hai. Is area ko SND traders (jaise ke main) market mein enter karne ke liye use karte hain kyunki is area mein humein beautiful Risk Reward mil sakti hai. Sell entry ke liye, aap pending sell limit order 196.73 ke price par rakh sakte hain, stop loss 197.70 par aur pehla take profit 191.20 par rakh sakte hain. Agar yeh area breakout ho jaye, to hum ek aur sell entry add kar sakte hain with target take profit at 185.55. Buy entry ke liye, aap 180.74 ke price par wait kar sakte hain with stop loss at 180.00 aur take profit ke liye hum next price confirmation dekh sakte hain.

GBP/JPY pair neeche ja raha hai, price recent flattening se nikal chuki hai, aur yeh pair 208 mark se 20 figures se zyada gir chuka hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke hum wapas gir sakte hain, 187.32 level do dafa defend hua tha, aur yahan se kam az kam 195.94 area tak wapas gir sakte hain. Is tarah hum na sirf strong resistance ko test karenge, balkay Ichimoku Cloud indicator ki lower border ko bhi. Agar rebound hota hai, to main 187 level ya is se bhi neechay GBP ko wapas bechunga. Agar 195.94 toot gaya, to price Ichimoku Cloud mein enter karega aur upper border - 199.02 ko test karega. Agar yeh 199.02 ko cross kar leta hai aur uske upar merge kar leta hai, to upward trend wapas continue karega, aur price strong buying area mein wapas aayegi. Aur hum 208 figure ka dobara test kar sakte hain. CCI indicator H4 par dikhata hai ke pair neutral position mein hai, kyunki indicator line abhi bhi selling area mein hai, magar direction horizontal hai. To mujhe lagta hai ke chart pe oversold ko eliminate hona chahiye aur ek rollback nazar aana chahiye. Magar abhi tak koi buy signal nahi aaya hai, to main intezar karunga ek strong rebound aur bullish absorption ka. Price ne channel ki upper border (blue dotted line) ko cross kiya, highest point se rebound kiya aur wapas middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf move kiya. Mile hue information ke base par, main ne yeh conclude kiya ke currency pair ko sell karna profitable hoga. RSI oscillator ne bhi sell signal confirm kiya, kyunki iski curve neeche ja rahi hai aur oversold level se kaafi door hai. Upar diye gaye summary ke mutabiq, humne sell kiya aur entry points dhund rahe hain. Jab market quotes channel ki lower border (red dotted line) ko pohanchengi, to hum take profit price mark 184.079 par set karenge
GBP/JPY H4 British Pound - Japanese yen. Hacken Asian candles TMA (trilateral moving average) aur selected currency pair/device allow karta hai ke market ke mutabiq hum reduction expect karein. Hacken Asian candles, jo regular Japanese candles se mukhtalif hain, harmony aur average price dikhati hain, jo technical analysis ko asaan banati hain aur commercial decisions ki accuracy ko barhati hain. TMA channel indicators (red, blue aur yellow colors) smooth moving average-based support aur resistance lines banati hain aur device movement ke current limits ko dikhati hain. Ek additional filter ke tor par, Hacken ASI ke sath work karte hue positive results show karte hain; hum RSI basement indicators use karte hain.
GBPJPY ki qeemat niche aaye gi.
Dono taraf se trading volumes me izafa hota hai jab major economic events ya data releases hoti hain. Jaise ke UK ke inflation figures, employment data, aur BOJ (Bank of Japan) ke monetary policy statements. In events par focus karke, traders apni positions ko accordingly adjust karte hain.
Iss jang-e-muqabla mein emotions ka bhi bohot bara role hai. Jab market volatile hoti hai toh traders ke liye apne nerves ko control mein rakhna mushkil ho jata hai. Aksar greed aur fear ke emotions in traders ke decisions ko influence karte hain. Is liye, discipline aur risk management ke bina trading mein kamyabi mushkil hai.
Aik aur dilchasp pehlu ye hai ke aaj kal automated trading systems aur algorithms bhi is market ka hissa hain. Ye bots human traders ke patterns ko analyse karke lightning speed par trades execute karte hain. Inki wajah se market movements aur zyada unpredictable ho sakti hain.
Aakhir mein, GBPJPY market ka ye badalta manzar hamesha traders ke liye aik challenging aur exciting battlefield bana rahta hai. Har waqt naye trends aur developments ke sath, ye market sirf un logon ke liye profitable ho sakti hai jo informed aur strategic decisions lete hain

GBPJPY: H1 chart. Main yeh umeed kar raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas
Click image for larger version
GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential ko maximize kar sakte hain. Jab tak price 206.170-206.380 support level ke upar rahegi, bullish outlook strong rahegi. Agle resistance levels ko reach aur surpass karna trend ki strength ko confirm karega aur further trading opportunities provide karega. Effective risk management strategies implement karne se traders market ke fluctuations ko navigate kar sakte hain aur long-term success aim
GBPJPY currency pair ke current bullishness ko ek upward correction samajhta hoon. Mera khayal hai ke resistance area level 192.03, 194.89 mein ek corrective development ho sakti hai. Is zone se ek reversal aur continued decline expect karna chahiye. Yahan qareebi potential target support level 174.88 hai. Agar bears is mark se aagay barhte hain, to price 168.18 level tak gir sakti hai. Jab tak pair MA 46 moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai, selling prefer ki jayegi. Is mark par wapas aana sales relevance ko kam kar dega. Conservative trading ke shaiqeen ke liye, main suggest karta hoon ke 104.09 level ke neeche selling consider ki jaye. Profitable trades ko bura waqt anay par mulatavi karna behtar hai, force majeure situation aur unwanted financial losses ke cases mein.

GBP/JPY pair aik downward trend par hai, jismein haal hi mein ek flattening price range se nikal kar girawat hui hai, aur yeh 208 level se 20 figures se zyada neeche gir gaya hai. Mera khayal hai ke hum aur girawat dekh sakte hain, khaaskar jab 187.32 level do dafa defend kiya gaya hai, aur hum shaayad 195.94 area tak retrace kar sakte hain. Yeh movement na sirf ek strong resistance ko test karega balkay Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke lower border ke qareeb bhi pauchayega. Agar rebound hota hai, toh mein GBP phir se sell karne ka sochunga, qareeb 187 level ya usse neeche. Agar 195.94 level break hota hai, toh price Ichimoku Cloud mein dakhil ho jayegi aur upper border 199.02 tak test kar sakti hai. Agar price 199.02 ko paar kar ke ustawar hoti hai, toh upward trend phir se shuru ho sakta hai, jisse price phir se ek strong buying zone mein aa sakti hai, aur 208 figure ka retest hone ka imkaan hai H4 timeframe mein CCI indicator yeh darsha raha hai ke pair ek neutral position mein hai, kyun ke indicator line abhi bhi selling zone mein hai magar horizontally move kar rahi hai. Isliye mein yeh umeed kar raha hoon ke chart par oversold condition khatam ho jaye, jisse ek potential rollback ho sakta hai. Magar abhi tak koi buy signal nahi aya, toh mein ek strong rebound aur bullish absorption ka intezar karunga. Price ne channel ki upper border (blue dotted line) ko break kiya, highest point se rebound kiya, aur ab middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf wapas ja raha hai. Di gayi maloomat ke mutabiq, mein ne yeh nateeja nikala hai ke currency pair ko sell karna munafa bakhsh hoga. RSI oscillator ne bhi sell signal ko confirm kiya hai, kyun ke uska curve neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai aur oversold level se kaafi door hai
Mukhtasir mein, hum ne ek sell position initiate ki hai aur entry points dekh rahe hain. Jab market quotes channel ki lower border (red dotted line) tak pohchein gi, toh hum apna take-profit target 184.079 par set karenge
GBP/JPY British Pound hai jo Japanese Yen ke against trade ho raha hai. Heikin Ashi candles ka istemal TMA (Triangular Moving Average) ke saath humein market mein kami ka andaza dene mein madad karta hai. Heikin Ashi candles, jo regular Japanese candles se mukhtalif hoti hain, harmony aur average prices ko display karti hain, jo technical analysis ko aasan banati hain aur trading decisions ki accuracy ko behtar karti hain. TMA channel indicators (red, blue, aur yellow) smooth, moving average-based support aur resistance lines banate hain, jo price movement ki current limits ko show karte hain. Ek additional filter ke tor par, Heikin Ashi ka kaam positive results deta hai; hum RSI basement indicators ka bhi istemal karte hain
Mujhe umeed hai ke GBP/JPY price girayegi. Jab major economic events ya data releases, jese ke UK inflation figures, employment data, aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki monetary policy statements hoti hain, trading volumes dono sides par barh jati hain. In events par focus karke, traders apni positions ko accordingly adjust kar sakte hain

Emotions bhi is competitive environment mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Jab market volatile hota hai, toh traders ke liye apne nerves ko steady rakhna mushkil hota hai. Aksar, greed aur fear jese emotions unki decisions par asar dalte hain. Isliye, discipline aur risk management ke baghair trading mein kamyabi mushkil hoti hai

GBPJPY Ka Tajziya - 10 August 2024





Aaj ki tajziya mein yeh dekha gaya hai ke aaj jumeraat ko koi aisa aham data nahi diya gaya, jis ki wajah se bazar ki harkat mein kuch khas farq nahi aaya. Kal EURUSD ne sirf 187.05 ke aas paas harkat ki. Jumeraat ko GBPJPY ka trading peechay aaya aur yeh market ke khulne se neeche band hua, kyunki is currency pair mein kuch halka kamzori dekhi gayi. Asal mein, shuru mein GBPJPY ne upar ki taraf rally ki thi aur 187.28 ke qareeb apne nazdeek ka resistance tod diya tha, lekin yeh maqam zyada dair nahi tik saka.

Agar is hafta ki harkat ko dekha jaye, to GBPJPY ki harkat aksar bullish lag rahi hai. Halankeh kuch momentum aisa hai jo GBPJPY ke gireinay ka sabb ban sakta hai, lekin yeh sirf ek correction hai. H1 timeframe ka tajziya karne par, agar yeh 187.29 ke price ke aas paas resistance todta hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke GBPJPY ab bhi upar jayega. Masla yeh hai ke, aaj tak GBPJPY ka harkat bohat gahr tak gira hai. Pichlay kuch dino mein, iski harkat jyada tar upar rahi hai.

Bade timeframe mein ek confirmation candle bhi nazar aayi hai jo ke bullish engulfing candle ke tor par hai, jo mujhe lagta hai ke yeh market ke jaldi ulatne ka ishara hai. Jab tak demand area, jo 180.94 par hai, neeche nahi todta, mujhe lagta hai ke upar jane ka mauqa ab bhi kafi hai. Meri soch hai ke aane wale waqt mein GBPJPY 205.46 tak ja sakta hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaye, to kal jo girawat hui uski wajah se candle ka position badal gaya hai. Jo pehle tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar tha, ab yeh inke neeche hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke GBPJPY ki harkat aane wale peer mein girne ke liye bhi tayaar hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke yeh 184.48 ke support ko test kare. Aisa mahaul waha ban sakta hai jahan se GBPJPY wapas upar aaja sakta hai.

Stochastic indicator ka dekhte hue, line apne sabse kam level se sirf thodi dur hai, jo 80 hai. Lekin yeh ab tak wahan nahi pahuncha, lekin line ne upar ki taraf jana shuru kar diya hai. Is indicator se yeh khulasa hota hai ke aane wale waqt mein GBPJPY ki harkat upar ki taraf ho sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh achanak neeche ki taraf mudti hai, to yeh 184.48 ke support tak bhi ja sakta hai.

Is liye, aaj ke tajziya ka khulasa yeh hai ke GBPJPY currency pair ab bhi upar jaane ke mauqe rakhta hai, kyunki ab tak demand area 180.94 par nahi toota. Is ke ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area mein 184.87 par hai. Is liye, main aap sab ko mashwara dunga ke jo is pair mein trading karte hain, sirf buy positions kholen. Aap apne take profit target ko 199.01 par rakhein aur stop loss ko 183.69 par.

GBP/JPY ka buniyadi tajziya:

GBP/JPY currency pair ko UK aur Japan ki recent ma'ashi data ke sath sath global market ke jazbat ne bhi khaas tor par asar dala hai. Pichhle do dinon mein kai ahem ma'ashi indicators aur developments ne is pair ke liye nazariyat ko shakal di hai.

UK ki Ma'ashi Halat:
UK se aayi recent data kuch milay julay asraat ka izhar karti hai. 9 August, 2024 ko manufacturing aur industrial production ke figures ka release hua jo ke June ke liye hai, jismein ahem tor par ummeed se kam taraqqi dekhi gayi. Manufacturing production sirf 0.6% saal beh saal barh gaya hai, jo ke UK ki industrial sector mein musalsal paish aane wali mushkilat ko darshata hai. Is ke ilawa, UK ka trade balance bhi ummeed se zyada deficit dikhata hai, jo global ma'ashi uncertainties ke darmiyan export performance mein kamzori ki nishani hai.

Bank of England (BoE) ka rawaya ab bhi ehtiyaat bhara hai, khaaskar jabke Q2 2024 ka GDP growth rate ummeed se kam aaya hai, jo sirf 0.3% saal beh saal hai. Isne UK ki ma'ashi mazbooti ke bare mein fikray paida kiye hain, khaaskar jabke inflationary pressures aur Europe ke markets mein geopolitical tensions barqarar hain. Ye ma'ashi halat BoE ki taraf se interest rates ko behtareen taur par barhane ki salahiyat ko kam kar sakti hain, jo ke kharij ki taraf pound ko kamzor kar sakti hai.

Japanese Ma'ashi Context:
Japan ki taraf, ma'ashi haalat ab bhi thodi si stability ki nishani dikha rahe hain, lekin iske apne challenges hain. Japan ka recent ma'ashi data kaafi had tak stable hai, jismein mukhtalif sectors mein ahista ahista taraqqi dekhne ko mili hai. Yen, jo ke traditionally ek safe-haven currency mana jata hai, global risk aversion ke mad e nazar mazbooti hasil kar raha hai, khaaskar agar global economic outlook ke maamle mein uncertainty barh jaaye. Magar, Japan ki inflation ab bhi kuch kamzor hai, jo short term mein Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko apni monetary policy ko tight karne se roke rakhta hai. BoJ ki ultra-loose monetary policy eisa lagta hai ke barkarar rahegi, jo yen par neeche ki taraf daab dalti rahegi.

Global Market Jazbat:
Global market ke jazbat bhi GBP/JPY ko asar انداز karne me ek ahem factor hain. Global economic slowdown aur key markets mein mumkinah recessions ke chinta ke saath, risk appetite kamzor pad gayi hai. Ye aam tor par yen ko faida deta hai kyunke ye ek safe-haven ke tor par dekha jata hai, jabke pound kamzor hota hai kyunke risky assets par investor ki confidence kam ho rahi hoti hai.

Short-Term Nazariya:
Short-term mein, GBP/JPY ko neeche ki taraf daab ka samna karna par sakta hai, khaaskar pound ki kamzori ke wajah se jo kamzor ma'ashi data aur BoE ki taraf se future mein rate hikes ke liye intezar se hai. Is ke muqable mein, yen ki strength ko global uncertainty ke daramiyaan safe-haven flows se support mil sakta hai. Magar, agar BoJ ki monetary policy mein koi zahurati tabdeeli aati hai ya UK ke ma'ashi data mein aham behtari hoti hai, toh ye nazariya badal sakta hai.

Jisse ke aakhri chart par, Japanese yen ne kuch ha’adatun ke liye doosri currencies ke muqable mein mazbooti dekhi hai, jisse kai bearish weekly candles ban gayi hai. Magar jab price 100-day Simple Moving Average tak pahuncha, toh iska ek strong reaction dekha gaya, aur ab weekly chart par ek bullish pin bar banta nazar aa raha hai. Agar ye pin bar mukammal hota hai, toh ye bullish reversal ka ishaara de sakta hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke yen ki recent strength shayad khatam hone wali hai aur agle hafton mein upar ki taraf harkat mumkin hai.

ek mazboot trading plan tayar kiya ja sake. Heikin Ashi candlesticks traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqable mein price values ko smooth out karti hain, jo ke reversal points, corrective rollbacks, aur impulsive price breakouts ko waqt par identify karna asaan bana deti hain. Is se traders ke liye analysis simplified ho jata hai.
TMA linear channel indicator bhi ek qeemti tool hai jo chart par moving average ke zariye current support aur resistance lines ko show karta hai. Yeh asset ke movement ki boundaries dikhata hai. RSI oscillator indicator ko trade enter karne ka final decision lene ke liye use kiya jata hai, kyun ke yeh overbought aur oversold areas ko highlight karta hai.

In trading tools ka istemal technical analysis process ko simplify kar deta hai aur false market entries se bachne mein madad karta hai. Chart par hum dekh sakte hain ke is duration mein blue candles thi, jo yeh indicate karti hain ke bulls abhi bhi strong hain aur price ko upar le ja rahe hain. Yeh ek acha mauqa hai long position open karne ka.

Price quotes ne linear channel ki lower border (red dashed line) ko cross kar liya hai, lekin lowest point par rebound ho chuka hai aur ab centerline (yellow dashed line) ki taraf move kar raha hai. RSI (14) indicator bhi buy signal ko approve kar raha hai, kyun ke iski curve upar ki taraf hai aur overbought level se door hai.

In tamam maloomat ko combine karte hue, hum yeh nateeja nikaal sakte hain ke prevailing upward trend buy karne ke liye high probability suggest karta hai. Is liye hum ek extensive trade open karne ka faisla kar sakte hain. Take profit ko channel ki upper border (blue dashed line) ke qareeb set kar sakte hain, jo ke 193.785 ke price par marked hai.

Market ko negative values mein turn hone se bachane ke liye, main suggest karta hoon ke jab position profitable area mein move kare, to trailing stop order ka istemal kiya jaye taake

H1 chart. Main yeh umeed kar raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version
GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential ko maximize kar sakte hain. Jab tak price 206.170-206.380 support level ke upar rahegi, bullish outlook strong rahegi. Agle resistance levels ko reach aur surpass karna trend ki strength ko confirm karega aur further trading opportunities provide karega. Effective risk management strategies implement karne se traders market ke fluctuations ko navigate kar sakte hain aur long-term success aim
GBPJPY currency pair ke current bullishness ko ek upward correction samajhta hoon. Mera khayal hai ke resistance area level 192.03, 194.89 mein ek corrective development ho sakti hai. Is zone se ek reversal aur continued decline expect karna chahiye. Yahan qareebi potential target support level 174.88 hai. Agar bears is mark se aagay barhte hain, to price 168.18 level tak gir sakti hai. Jab tak pair MA 46 moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai, selling prefer ki jayegi. Is mark par wapas aana sales relevance ko kam kar dega. Conservative trading ke shaiqeen ke liye, main suggest karta hoon ke 104.09 level ke neeche selling consider ki jaye. Profitable trades ko bura waqt anay par mulatavi karna behtar hai, force majeure situation aur unwanted financial losses ke cases

GBP/JPY Ka Jaiza

Aakhirkar, GBP/JPY mein ek correction ka aghaz ho chuka hai. Lagta hai ke kal ke din sellers ne qeemat ko dhakilne mein zyada yaqeen ke sath kaam nahi kiya, jis ke natijay mein pichle din ke range ke andar ek choti bearish candle bani. Maujooda scenario ko dekhte hue, main yeh tasleem karta hoon ke aaj southern correction movement ho sakta hai, lekin main is movement mein trade karne ka iraada nahi rakhta. Agar deep correction hota hai, toh main mirror support level par nazar rakhne ka soch raha hoon, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 200.539 par waqey hai. Is support level ke kareeb do scenarios ka imkaan hai.

Pehli priority scenario yeh hai ke reversal candle ka formation ho aur uptrend ka dobara aghaz ho. Agar yeh plan chaley toh main is intezar mein hoon ke qeemat wapas resistance level 207.995 par aaye. Jab qeemat is resistance level ke upar close hoti hai, toh main mazeed northward movement ki tawakku karoon ga, jo ke agle resistance level 215.892 tak ho sakti hai. Is resistance level ke kareeb, main ek trading setup ke formation ka intezar karoon ga taake agla trading direction ka tayyun ho sake. Yaqeenan, is northern target ki taraf qeemat ke movement ke doran, southern pullbacks ka bhi imkaan hai, jinko main qareebi support levels se bullish signals dhoondne ke liye istemal karoon ga, aur global bullish trend ke dauran uptrend continuation ki tawakku karoon ga.

Dusri surat mein, jab qeemat support level 200.539 ke kareeb aati hai, toh ek alternative plan yeh hoga ke agar qeemat is level ke neeche consolidate karti hai aur south ki taraf continue karti hai. Agar yeh plan unfold hota hai, toh main yeh umeed karoon ga ke qeemat support level 197.201 ya support level 195.044 ki taraf move kare. In support levels ke kareeb, main dobara bullish signals dhoondne ka plan karoon ga, is tawakku ke sath ke qeemat apni upward movement ko dobara shuru kare.

Mukhtasir mein, aaj ke liye, main yeh mumkin samajhta hoon ke qeemat correction ke tor par qareebi support level ki taraf southward move kare, aur phir maujooda global bullish trend ko dekhte hue, main reversal candle ka formation aur qeemat ke upward movement ke continuation ki tawakku karoon ga.

GBP/JPY pair mein sharp decline lead kar sakta hai later in the trading session. Election results ko closely monitor karna crucial hai kyunki yeh undoubtedly UK currency ki trajectory ko near term mein impact karenge.
Iske ilawa, aaj ke economic calendar mein significant news concerning JPY ka lack hai, jo technical analysis par reliance ko emphasize karta hai trading decisions guide karne ke liye. Yeh technical outlook sellers ko recent losses recover karne ka potential opportunity suggest karta hai. In factors ko consider karte hue, initiating a sell position with a short target point of 204.78 prudent lagta hai. Yeh strategy current market dynamics ke sath align karti hai aur anticipated downward movements in the GBP/JPY pair ko capitalize karne ka aim rakhti hai.
So, buyers ko vigilant aur adaptable rehna chahiye in response to unfolding election developments aur market reactions. Political events aksar currency markets mein volatility inject karte hain, jo cautious approach ko necessitate karta hai. Risk management strategies, jaise ke stop-loss orders set karna aur price movements ko closely monitor karna, potential fluctuations ko effectively navigate karne ke liye essential hain.
Eventually, aaj ka trading outlook for GBP/JPY shape hota hai UK Parliamentary Elections aur technical analysis indicators se. Construction PMI rate initially buyer activity ko support kar sakta hai, lekin broader expectation of a weakened UK Pound ek strategic sell stance ko prompt karta hai. By staying informed aur responsive to market shifts, traders apne aap ko advantageously position kar sakte hain amidst evolving political aur economic landscapes impacting the GBP/JPY market.
GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside mein break karti hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bearish move ka projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye aap apni half position ko 194.76 par close kar sakte hain.
Main das saal se forex trading kar raha hoon. Pichle do saalon mein, maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki. Is forum mein main apni technical analysis present karunga. Bara-e-karam meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye free feel karen. Main khushi se ispar aap se discussion karunga. Agar aap apna support dikhana chahte hain, to "like" button par click karen.

GBP/JPY kharidne walon ko bari madad faraham karne ke liye tayyar hain. Market ka jazba abhi kharidne walon ke favore mein hai, aur ye rawaya umeed hai ke unke 200.76 aur 200.77 zone tak pohanchte hue barqarar rahega. Technical aur bunyadi tajziya ka barabar dekhh bhaal karne wala hona is dinamic market mahol mein zinda rehne aur kamiyabi hasil karne ke liye ahem hai. Khush rahein aur calm rakheinSubah bakhair aur ek kamiyabi bhari Wednesday ki shubhkamnayein! UK GDP ke aane wale ghanton mein kharidne walon ko 200.76 zone ko paar karne mein madad milegi. Kal, UK Prelim Count Changes aur Average Earnings bhi umeed se behtar the aur kharidne walon ke liye samarthak the. Is natije mein, mujhe ummeed hai GBPJPY ki qeemat niche aaye gi. Dono taraf se trading volumes me izafa hota hai jab major economic events ya data releases hoti hain. Jaise ke UK ke inflation figures, employment data, aur BOJ (Bank of Japan) ke monetary policy statements. In events par focus karke, traders apni positions ko accordingly adjust GBP/JPY exchange rate ko impact kar sakti hain. Economic calendars, financial news websites, aur market analysis reports ko subscribe karna valuable information provide kar sakta hai jo akhrkar current ambiguous situation ko clarify karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai. Informed rahne se traders zyada better prepared hote hain taake jab market ek zyada definitive trend dikhane lage to jaldi se action le sakein. Akhir mein, daily time frame analysis of GBP/JPY pair yeh indicate karta hai ke filhal clear, attractive, ya valid trading signals ka faqdaan hai. Price action ab tak uncertain hai, aur kisi strong upward ya downward movement ka koi izhaar nahi. Yeh uncertainty vigilant, well-informed, aur cautious rehne ki ahmiyat ko ubhaar rahi hai GBP/JPY ki trading ke liye zaroori hai technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko samajhna: Technical Analysis: Traders aksar technical indicators jaise moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur Bollinger Bands ka istemal future price movements predict karne ke liye karte hain. Mukhtalif support aur resistance levels ko pehchan lena
GBP/JPY exchange rate mein aham girawat mein hissa dala hai, jo ke ab 180.07 ke support level tak loss extend kar chuka hai. Yeh pair 2024 se is level par trade kar raha hai aur likhne ke waqt 183.55 par stabilize ho gaya hai. Main aam tor par Trusted Trading Signals page par recommendations deta hoon. GBP/JPY pair mid-July mein resistance level 208.00 par hit karne ke baad se downtrend mein hai
Stock trading platforms se data ke mutabiq UK stock market 4-maheenon ki kamzori se barh gaya hai. FTSE 100 index of British stocks Tuesday ko ek volatile session ke baad thoda barh kar close hua, Wall Street markets mein gains ke track karte hue jo Monday ko global recession fears ke wajah se sell-off ke baad aaye the
Recent weak economic data from U.S. ne potential recession ke concerns ko barha diya hai, jiski wajah se investors safe-haven assets ki taraf bhaag rahe hain aur global markets mein sell-off ho raha hai. Monday ko global markets ne sharp decline dekha possible recession fears aur Federal Reserve ke ongoing rate hikes concerns ke wajah se
UK mein, ab markets December tak Bank of England se quarter-point rate cut price kar rahe hain. Last week, Bank of England ne 16-saal ki high 5.25% se interest rates cut kar ke 5% kar diya, jo ke 2020 ke baad pehli rate cut thi
Japanese 10-year bond yields ne sharp rise dekhi previous decline ke baad. Tuesday ko, Japanese 10-year government bond yields takreeban 0.9% tak barh gaye, jo ke previous session mein 0.73% ke 4-maheenon ki low par gir gaye the due to global sell-off in risk assets aur Yen ke rapid plunge ke wajah se. Bearish asset trading ne safe Japanese bonds ki demand ko barha diya hai
Domestic bond yields bhi U.S. Treasury yields ke downward trend ko follow karte hue hain, weak economic data ke wajah se recession concerns ko barha diya hai aur Federal Reserve ke aggressive interest rate cuts ke bets ko intense kar diya hai
Jab tak Bank of England ke future rate cuts ki expectations barhti rahengi, GBP/JPY trend bearish rehne ke chances hain.

GBP/JPY kharidne walon ko bari madad faraham karne ke liye tayyar hain. Market ka jazba abhi kharidne walon ke favore mein hai, aur ye rawaya umeed hai ke unke 200.76 aur 200.77 zone tak pohanchte hue barqarar rahega. Technical aur bunyadi tajziya ka barabar dekhh bhaal karne wala hona is dinamic market mahol mein zinda rehne aur kamiyabi hasil karne ke liye ahem hai. Khush rahein aur calm rakheinSubah bakhair aur ek kamiyabi bhari Wednesday ki shubhkamnayein! UK GDP ke aane wale ghanton mein kharidne walon ko 200.76 zone ko paar karne mein madad milegi. Kal, UK Prelim Count Changes aur Average Earnings bhi umeed se behtar the aur kharidne walon ke liye samarthak the. Is natije mein, mujhe ummeed hai GBPJPY ki qeemat niche aaye gi. Dono taraf se trading volumes me izafa hota hai jab major economic events ya data releases hoti hain. Jaise ke UK ke inflation figures, employment data, aur BOJ (Bank of Japan) ke monetary policy statements. In events par focus karke, traders apni positions ko accordingly adjust GBP/JPY exchange rate ko impact kar sakti hain. Economic calendars, financial news websites, aur market analysis reports ko subscribe karna valuable information provide kar sakta hai jo akhrkar current ambiguous situation ko clarify karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai. Informed rahne se traders zyada better prepared hote hain taake jab market ek zyada definitive trend dikhane lage to jaldi se action le sakein. Akhir mein, daily time frame analysis of GBP/JPY pair yeh indicate karta hai ke filhal clear, attractive, ya valid trading signals ka faqdaan hai. Price action ab tak uncertain hai, aur kisi strong upward ya downward movement ka koi izhaar nahi. Yeh uncertainty vigilant, well-informed, aur cautious rehne ki ahmiyat ko ubhaar rahi hai GBP/JPY ki trading ke liye zaroori hai technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko samajhna: Technical Analysis: Traders aksar technical indicators jaise moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur Bollinger Bands ka istemal future price movements predict karne ke liye karte hain. Mukhtalif support aur resistance levels ko pehchan lena trading decisions mein ahmiyat rakhta hai. Carry Trade: Yeh strategy yen ko kam interest rates par udhaar lena aur
GBP/JPY currency pair ke H1 time frame par din bhar ki kharidari ke liye, 156.200 ka pehla sahara darja aur 156.340 ka doosra sahara darja par kharidari ko ghor kiya ja sakta hai, ek maqsad 157.500 par aur ek 155.795 par stop loss se, aik achhi seerat ka nizam ho sakta hai. Ye tareeqa maqami dakhil hone ke nuktae nazar ko jama karta hai, aik wazeh maqsad, aur sound risk management. Magar, market ki haalaat ke mutalliq maloomat haasil rakhna aur technical analysis tools ka istemal karke tradeon mein kamiyabi ke ihtimam ko barqarar rakhna ahem hai. Is tarah se, traders apne chances ko barhane mein kamiyabi ke imkaanat ko barha sakte hain jabke apne