جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP-JPY ka forex jorha

Jis chart ka mutala kiya gaya hai, us par chuna gaya asal abhi ek wazeh buland mood dikhata hai, jo Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator ka istemal karke asani se pehchana ja sakta hai. Ye indicator traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqable mein qeematon ki quotes ka mulawath aur average kiya huwa manzar pesh karta hai. Heiken Ashi ka istemal technical analysis ke amal ko kafi asaan bana deta hai aur sath hi trade decisions ka sahi intekhab karne ki sahulat bhi faraham karta hai. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi trading mein madadgar hai, jo moving average ke zariye maujooda support aur resistance lines ko dikhata hai, jise currency pair ki chalain waqt ke mutabiq samjha ja sakta hai. Aakhri signal filtering aur trade ka faisla karne ke liye RSI oscillator ka istemal kiya jata hai, jo asal ki overbought aur oversold zones ko dikhata hai. Diye gaye chart par abhi aisa manzar hai jab Heikin Ashi candlesticks ne neela rang dharan kiya huwa hai, jis se daira-e-moviment ki northern direction ka pata chalta hai. Market quotes linear channel ki niche ke had se (lali dotted line) nikal gayi hain, lekin minimum point tak pohanchne ke baad is par se uth kar wapas channel ki beech ki line ki taraf (peeli dotted line) ja rahi hai. Aur niche ka indicator RSI (14), jo signals ko filter karta hai, bhi buy signal ka tasdiq karta hai kyunke ye lambay position ka intikhab karne se mutabiqat rakhta hai; iski curve abhi upar ki taraf hai aur overbought level se kafi door hai. Upar di gayi bayanat ke mad-e-nazar, sirf kharidari ko ahmiyat di jani chahiye, is liye hum long deal kholte hain, ye intezar karte hain ke asal upper boundary ki taraf chale, jo channel ki (neela dotted line) par 202.583 ke qeemat mark par maujood hai.

200.67 zone ko paar kar sakte hain. Is market ko behtar taur par samajhne ke liye, humein dono technical aur bunyadi tajziya par tawajjo deni chahiye. Technical indicators price movements aur mogheera dakhil aur nikalne ke points ke bare mein shayari faraham karenge, jabki bunyadi tajziya humein samajhne mein madad karega ke market ko kis tarah se asar daal raha hai. Mazboot UK ma'ashi data ke dastavez, umeed hai ke kharidne walon ka koi qeemat khoye baghair na rahega. Mazboot GDP figures, sath mein behtar prelim count changes aur average earnings, GBP/JPY kharidne walon ke liye ek samarthak mahol ko tasdeeq karte hain. Ye musbat josh agle ghanton mein bharne wala hai, jis se kharidne walon ko 200.77 zone ko paar karne mein madad milegi. Traders ko ye ma'ashi reports aur market trends ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhna hoga taake wo agah faislay kar sakein. Technical patterns aur bunyadi

darmiyan ka tanaza market ke agle qada ko pehchanne mein ahem hai. Mukhtasar mein, UK GDP aur doosri musbat ma'ashi dalail GBP/JPY kharidne walon ko bari madad faraham karne ke liye tayyar hain. Market ka jazba abhi kharidne walon ke favore mein hai, aur ye yawarya umeed hai ke unke 200.76 aur 200.77 zone tak pohanchte hue barqarar rahega. Technical aur bunyadi tajziya ka barabar dekhh bhaal karne wala hona is dynamic market mahol mein zinda rehne aur kamiyabi hasil karne ke liye ahem hai. Khush rahein aur calm rakhein Subah bakhair aur ek kamiyabi bhari Wednesday ki shubhkamnayein! UK GDP ke aane wale ghanton mein kharidne walon ko 200.76 zone ko paar karne mein madad milegi. Kal, UK Prelim Count Changes aur Average Earnings bhi umeed se behtar the aur kharidne walon ke liye samarthak the. Is natije mein, mujhe ummeed hai GBPJPY ki qeemat niche aaye gi. Dono taraf se trading volumes me izafa hota hai jab major economic events ya data releases hoti hain. Jaise ke UK ke inflation figures, employment data, aur BOJ (Bank of Japan) ke monetary policy statements. In events par focus karke, traders apni positions ko accordingly adjust karte hain. Iss jang-e-muqabla mein emotions ka bhi bohot bara role hai. Jab market volatile hoti hai toh traders ke liye apne nerves ko control mein rakhna mushkil ho jata hai. Aksar greed aur fear ke emotions in traders ke decisions ko influence karte hain. Is liye, discipline aur risk

GBP/JPY Market Forecast

Good Morning guys! Aaj UK Parliamentary Elections ka release day hai, jo GBP/JPY market ke liye ek pivotal event hai. Sath hi, Construction PMI rate buyer sentiment ko bolster kar sakta hai, jo potentially 206.00 zone ko cross karne mein madad kar sakta hai. Magar, mera preference aaj sell position ki taraf hai, anticipate karte hue ke UK Parliamentary Elections UK Pound ko weaken karenge. Yeh sentiment GBP/JPY pair mein sharp decline lead kar sakta hai later in the trading session. Election results ko closely monitor karna crucial hai kyunki yeh undoubtedly UK currency ki trajectory ko near term mein impact karenge.

Iske ilawa, aaj ke economic calendar mein significant news concerning JPY ka lack hai, jo technical analysis par reliance ko emphasize karta hai trading decisions guide karne ke liye. Yeh technical outlook sellers ko recent losses recover karne ka potential opportunity suggest karta hai. In factors ko consider karte hue, initiating a sell position with a short target point of 204.78 prudent lagta hai. Yeh strategy current market dynamics ke sath align karti hai aur anticipated downward movements in the GBP/JPY pair ko capitalize karne ka aim rakhti hai.

So, buyers ko vigilant aur adaptable rehna chahiye in response to unfolding election developments aur market reactions. Political events aksar currency markets mein volatility inject karte hain, jo cautious approach ko necessitate karta hai. Risk management strategies, jaise ke stop-loss orders set karna aur price movements ko closely monitor karna, potential fluctuations ko effectively navigate karne ke liye essential hain.

Eventually, aaj ka trading outlook for GBP/JPY shape hota hai UK Parliamentary Elections aur technical analysis indicators se. Construction PMI rate initially buyer activity ko support kar sakta hai, lekin broader expectation of a weakened UK Pound ek strategic sell stance ko prompt karta hai. By staying informed aur responsive to market shifts, traders apne aap ko advantageously position kar sakte hain amidst evolving political aur economic landscapes impacting the GBP/JPY market.

Stay Blessed and Stay Safe!

GBP/JPY H-1 TIME FRAME CHART.
GBPJPY: H1 chart. Main yeh umeed kar raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai.
raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas
Click image for larger version

Is haftay ka trading GBP/JPY ke liye aam tor par bearish hai. British pound ka Japanese yen ke muqable mein performance girawat dekh raha hai. Price 202.10 support level tak gir gaya hai, jo ke takreeban ek mahine ka sab se kam hai. Analysis likhte waqt price 203.10 ke qareeb hai, aur aaj ke session mein 204.21 resistance level se retreat kar chuka hai. Pound ke muqable yen par downward pressure barh gaya hai, jo ke British retail sales ke expected se kamzor numbers announce hone ki wajah se hai. Aaj ke announce kiye gaye data ke mutabiq, UK retail sales umeed se zyada gir rahi hain. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, UK retail sales June 2024 mein -1.2% m/m gir gayi hain, jo May mein 2.9% barh gayi thi aur market expectations ke mutabiq 0.4% ki decline thi. Election uncertainty, bura mausam, aur kam footfall is girawat ki

wajahain hain. Non-food stores main sales 2.1% giri hain, jisme department stores, retail clothing aur shoe stores, aur furniture stores shaamil hain. Food stores mein sales 1.1% giri hain, mukhya tor par supermarkets ke wajah se, aur online kharch 2.7% gir gaya. June tak ke teen mahine dekhen to retail sales mein 0.1% contraction dekhne ko mila. Salana basis par retail sales 0.2% giri hain, jo May ke upwardly revised 1.7% increase ke muqable mein hain aur expectations thi 0.2% increase ki. Ek aur level par: British government bond yields 10 saal ke liye kam ho gayi hain wage data ke baad. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10 saal ke bonds ka yield 4.05% tak gir gaya hai, jo ke teen hafton ka sab se kam hai. Traders naye economic data ko evaluate kar rahe hain Bank of England ke agle interest rate decisions ko predict karne ke liye. Is haftay ki inflation aur labor market data Bank of England ke liye faisla mushkil bana rahi hai ke kya price pressures itne kam ho gaye hain ke 16 saal ke highest level se interest rates ko cut kiya ja sake. Labor market mein slowdown ke bawajood jahan wages ka growth slowest pace par hai takreeban do saal mein, services inflation 5.7% par high hai, jo Bank of England ke forecast 5.1% se zyada hai. Overall, CPI June mein Bank of England ke target 2% par barqarar raha. Traders ab 40% chance dekh rahe hain ke August 1 ko rate cut hoga, jo ke inflation data ke baad 30% se barh gaya hai.

GBP / JPY Technical Analysis:

GBP/JPY currency pair ne Friday ke early European trading mein 197.75 ke neeche trade kiya. Japanese yen ki qeemat barhne ki wajah se mainly Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke anay wale policy meeting mein interest rate hike ki ummeedon mein izafa hua. Tokyo ke consumer price index (CPI) data ke ikhtitam ne inflation mein barhti hui raftar ko mazeed mazboot kiya. Market abhi 38% imkaanat ka daaman bandh rahi hai ke BoJ 15 basis point ke rate hike ka imkaan hai. Is ke ilawa, Japanese authorities ke currency intervention ke leye shakayat bhi yen ki taqat mein izafa ka sabab bani hain. Japan ke sarbrah monetary diplomat, Masato Kanda, ne mazid tabadlaati darjat ke manfi asraat par dobara zor diya, jis ne economy par intervention ka imkaan zahir kiya agar zarurat pesh aaye. Mukhtalif, British pound Bank of England ke interest rate cuts ki barhti hui umeedon ka saamna kar raha hai. UBS analysts ne early August mein 25 basis point ke rate cut ki tajweez di hai, jise November mein mazeed barhane ka imkaan hai.

GBP / JPY D1 Chart:



GBP/JPY pair ne July 11 ko 208.10 tak pohnch kar 16 saal ki unchi par pohncha hua tha, lekin is ke baad se lambi arsi downtrend par hai. Fori support levels 197.18 aur 195.84 par hain, jahan se mazeed kami ki taraf ja sakti hai 193.52 aur psychological level 190.00 tak. Upar ki taraf, resistance 200.50 par muntazir hai, phir 202.08 aur 205.77. 208.10 unchi ka tootna mazeed izafay ke raste ko khol sakta hai. Aam tor par, GBP/JPY pair ka rasta Bank of Japan aur Bank of England ki mukhtalif monetary policies, sath hi Japanese currency intervention ke imkaanat se gehra asar andaz hota hai. Investors exchange rate par in factors ka tehat nazdeek se nigrani rakhte hain.

**GBP/JPY Technical Forecast and Trading Strategies**

British Pound aur Japanese Yen (GBP/JPY) currency pair, jo ke "cross pair" kehlata hai kyunki yeh US Dollar ko bypass karta hai, European trading session ke dauran ek holding pattern mein stuck raha. Yeh uske bawajood hai ke pair currently apne highest point ke near hover kar raha hai is week. Toh, kya cheez drive kar rahi hai is action ko? Recent surge in GBP/JPY ka primary culprit Japanese Yen ki continued weakness hai. Yen kuch waqt se pressure mein hai, aur uski depreciation GBP/JPY ke gains ko fuel kar rahi hai. Lekin, kahani sirf struggling Yen tak nahi rukti. British Pound khud recent UK elections ke baad apni strength flex kar raha hai, jo currency mein ek overall sense of strength foster kar raha hai. Is momentum ko add karte hue, current weakness of the US Dollar bhi GBP/JPY ko additional support provide kar raha hai. Magar, yahan ek wrinkle hai plan mein.

Abhi, poora market upcoming US employment data par fixated hai, jo 3:30 PM (presumably aapke local time) par release hoga. Yeh crucial economic data point currency market mein significant turbulence cause karne ki potential rakhta hai. Future ko dekhte hue, main anticipate karta hoon ek potential correction for GBP/JPY, matlab ek temporary decline after its recent rise. Magar, meri main prediction yeh hai ke current uptrend continue karega. Yahan do possible scenarios ka closer look hai:

Agar GBP/JPY ek critical support level of 204.65 ke upar stay karne mein kamyab hota hai, toh yeh suggest karta hai ke uptrend likely to hold hai. Is case mein, main consider karoonga pair ko buy karna agar yeh 204.65 ke upar rise hota hai, with potential targets at 206.45 aur even higher at 206.95.

Doosri taraf, agar GBP/JPY critical 204.65 support level ke neeche break karta hai, toh yeh signal kar sakta hai ek period of consolidation, jahan price narrow range mein fluctuate kare ya decline ho. Is scenario mein pair 204.15 ki taraf fall kar sakta hai aur potentially as low as 203.75.

Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke yeh sirf potential trajectories hain, aur actual direction of GBP/JPY ultimately hinge karega market ke reaction par to US employment data aur other upcoming economic events. Stay tuned, kyunki yeh situation rapidly unfold ho sakti hai.

GBP/JPY) ne hal hi mein hui girawat ke baad ek hairan kun wapsi ki hai. Thursday ke trading session mein pound ne wapas 203.00 ka aham mark paar kiya, aur kabhi kabhi 204.00 tak bhi pahunch gaya. Yeh turnaround Japanese authorities ki mudakhlat ke andazay ke darmiyan aaya. Halanki Bank of Japan (BOJ) aur Ministry of Finance (MOF) ne apni mudakhlat ka rasmi taur par tasdeeq nahi ki, magar BOJ ke mali operations ka surge forecasts ke muqablay mein unki stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de raha hai. Kamzor hoti hui yen ko defend karna MOF ke liye mazeed mehnga pad raha hai. Wahin, maqami economic data releases milay julay signals de rahi hain. Thursday ko release hui UK ki average data ne expectations ko meet kiya, magar market forecasts predict kar rahe hain ke aanay wali British retail sales mein 0.4% ka decline hoga, jo pehlay ke 2.9% increase ke mukable mein kaafi baray contrast mein hai. Japan ki national CPI inflation figures bhi Friday ko release hongi. Halanki inflation pehle ke release se zyada hone ki umeed hai, yeh shayad BOJ ko apni ultra-loose monetary policy se hattne par majboor na kar sake. Yeh, aur yen ki pehlay se hi kamzor position doosri baray currencies ke muqable mein, Japanese currency ke mazeed depreciation ko suggest karte hain. Technical indicators aik zyada complex picture paint kar rahe hain. "Peacock Fish Index" (mungkin GBP/JPY ke liye) ne Thursday ko 202.50 ke qareeb support find kiya, jo ek potential bounce ka ishara hai. Magar, price apni 200-hour moving average (EMA) of 204.82 ke niche hai, jo ager selling pressure resume hoti hai toh mazeed decline ka room suggest karta hai. Daily chart kuch umeed deti hai, price 50-day moving average of 201.38 ke upar hold karti hui hai. Mazeed, long-term 200-day moving average of 192.18 se kafi upar bids (offers to buy) hain, jo underlying buying interest ko indicate karti hain. Nateejatan, GBP/JPY ek volatile phase mein hai. Halanki pound ne kuch resilience dikhayi hai, yen ki kamzori aur Japanese authorities ki potential intervention pair ke future direction par uncertainty daalti hain. Aanay walay dino mein Friday ke economic data releases aur technical analysis key factors honge dekhne ke liye.




GBP/JPY market mein bullishness kitni dair tak rahegi, lekin hamare insights ne bullishness aur widely watched currency pair ki future performance ke bare mein kuch asar to zaroor dala hai.
GBP/JPY exchange rate ko impact kar sakti hain. Economic calendars, financial news websites, aur market analysis reports ko subscribe karna valuable information provide kar sakta hai jo akhrkar current ambiguous situation ko clarify karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai. Informed rahne se traders zyada better prepared hote hain taake jab market ek zyada definitive trend dikhane lage to jaldi se action le sakein.
Akhir mein, daily time frame analysis of GBP/JPY pair yeh indicate karta hai ke filhal clear, attractive, ya valid trading signals ka faqdaan hai. Price action ab tak uncertain hai, aur kisi strong upward ya downward movement ka koi izhaar nahi. Yeh uncertainty vigilant, well-informed, aur cautious rehne ki a hmiyat ko ubhaar rahi hai aise market conditions mein. Traders ko consider karna chahiye ke doosray time frames ko monitor karen, mukhtalif technical analysis tools ka

GBP/JPY market ne Asian session se European session tak flat behavior show kiya hai, aur Friday ko established daily open price 197.80 ke aas paas oscillate kar raha hai. Thoda downward pressure tha jo price ko lower push karne ki koshish kar raha tha, lekin yeh nearby support level 197.16 ko break nahi kar saka. Support ko test karne ke baad, price ne dobara rise karne ki koshish ki, aur buyers ne isse daily open ke upar push kar diya, jo approximately resistance level 198.40 tak pohanch gaya.
Iss situation mein, EMA 12 aur EMA 36, jo pehle flat the, ab upward crossover produced karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Unfortunately, positive price movement stable nahi rahi. Price ne 198.40 resistance ko break kiya lekin expected area 199.41 tak nahi pohanch paya, aur 199.11 par stop ho gaya. Selling pressure ki wajah se, price ne retrace kiya aur 197.16 support ko dobara test kiya, phir wapas bounce kar gaya aur daily open ke aas paas consolidate kar raha hai.

Iss point par, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 jo crossover successfully complete nahi kar paye the, flatten out ho gaye hain aur narrow ho rahe hain, jo further price movement ke liye room reduce kar raha hai. Friday ke actions ke base par, aisa lagta hai ke price dobara weaken ho sakti hai, making the sell option worth considering at the start of the next week. Lekin, yeh important hai note karna ke daily chart ek oversold market condition indicate kar raha hai jo further bearish movements ko cancel kar sakta hai.

Friday ke trading ke dauran, ek doji candlestick form hui, signaling an indecisive momentum between buyers and sellers. Yeh doji ke high aur low prices 199.11 aur 196.99 hain. Daily trend perspective se dekha jaye to, price abhi bhi EMA 200 ke upar hai, suggesting ke current weakening phase ek corrective phase ka part ho sakti hai, jo EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ke impending downside crossover se confirm hoti hai on the daily time frame . Lekin yeh crossover abhi definitive nahi hai, aur hume confirmation ka intezar karna hoga.

Is waqt, daily Stochastic indicator yeh indicate kar raha hai ke market pehle hi ek oversold condition mein hai, kyunki yeh zero level par pohanch gaya hai aur upar bend hona start ho raha hai. Agar yeh oversold condition price se response ko prompt karti hai aur positive movement result hoti hai, particularly agar price Friday ke high 199.11 ko exceed kar jati hai, toh chance hai ke yeh 200.60 tak reach kar sakti hai.

GBP-JPY PAIR ANALYSIS


Pichlay haftay, market conditions ab bhi bearish trend mein thi. Mere khayal mein, GBPJPY currency pair ka movement ab bhi bearish trend ko continue karne ka potential rakhta hai kyun ke last Friday ka increase ziada tar market mein aik momentary correction tha. Toh jab se shuru se price ne downward move kiya aur highest level ko chor diya, yeh aik acha waqt ho sakta hai ke dubara SELL trading ke liye wait kiya jaye. Yeh saaf hai ke ab bhi bearish movement ke continuation ka potential hai aur buyers ka target 197.00 ke range mein hai. Hafte ke shuruat ke trading session mein, market ab bhi sellers ke control mein lagti hai kyun ke price thodi si bearish hai halan ke ab bhi kamzor hai. Pichlay haftay ke mukable mein sellers ki strength mein izafa hua hai.

Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime line 30 level tak gir gayi hai jo bearish ko show karti hai is liye candlestick ke mazeed neechay janay ka potential bhi hai jo ke long-term market situation ke sath mail khata hai jo ke bearish trend mein hai. Candlestick ab bhi Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke neechay comfortable hai, jo ke market ko strong bearish kehla raha hai. Mere khayal mein, price movements ke bearish state mein rehne ka trend dekh kar, yeh ek supporting factor hai mere faisle ke liye ke main SELL transaction opportunities dhondta rahoon. Agar price movement dobara 197.00 level ko tor deti hai, toh price movement ka mazeed neechay level par bearish hone ka potential hoga. Is liye zaroori hai ke price movements ko market mein dekhain, hum downward trend ko dekh sakte hain.

GBP/JPY currency pair ke analysis par baat karte hain. Yeh pair apna doosra consecutive daily candle form kar raha hai, jiski wajah se Guppy traders ek holding pattern mein hain kyunki woh Bank of Japan (BoJ) aur Bank of England (BoE) ke crucial decisions ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is hafte kaafi pivotal hoga pair ke direction ke liye, kyunki dono central banks apni monetary policy decisions announce karne wale hain.Market expectations hain ke BoE se ek quarter-point interest rate hike announce hogi is hafte. Lekin, uncertainty phir bhi hai kyunki Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) se mixed signals mil rahe hain, jinhon ne pichle vote mein 7-2 ke sath rates ko maintain karne ka faisla liya tha. Iske contrast mein, BoJ se umeed hai ke woh apni ultra-loose monetary policy stance ko maintain karega. Central bank ka target sustainable inflation rate of 2% achieve karna hai, jo ke recent upward trends ke bawajood ab tak elusive hai.Market ke complexity mein aur bhi izafa ho gaya hai due to persistent speculation about potential intervention by the BoJ to support the weakened yen. Yen ne recent weeks mein sharp appreciation experience ki hai, jo ke Japanese policymakers ke liye concern hai. Agar koi official confirmation milti hai direct FX market intervention ki, toh iska GBP/JPY pair par significant impact hoga.

Technically, Guppy Multiple Moving Average indicator abhi bhi bullish territory mein hai, 200-day EMA ke upar trade kar raha hai. Lekin, pair ne 16-year high of 208.11 se retreat kiya hai, aur 50-day EMA ke around resistance face kar raha hai. Agar yeh level decisively break hota hai toh renewed bullish momentum ka signal milega, jabke agar sustained move below the 200-day EMA hoti hai toh potential trend reversal indicate hoga.Is hafte traders closely monitor karenge policy decisions of both central banks ko, saath hi future monetary paths ke hints ko bhi. Interest rate differentials, inflation dynamics, aur potential BoJ intervention ka interplay ultimately GBP/JPY pair ke direction ko determine karega.

UK government bonds ke liye, ek rate cut boost provide karega, jo already monetary easing aur political stability ke hopes ki wajah se support ho rahe hain. Sterling ke liye, ek rate cut helpful nahi hoga kyunki isse iska appeal as part of the carry trade reduce ho jayega. Sterling ne is saal G10 currencies mein best performance di hai, aur banks aur major investors including JPMorgan Chase & Co aur Amundi further gains to $1.35 expect kar rahe hain, jo ke current levels se almost 5 percent ka gain hai. Bullish bets ab tak ke highest levels par hain.

GBP/JPY ke liye pehla bullish target 206+ price level par hai. Is level tak pohanchna current uptrend ki strength ko confirm karta hai aur traders ko short-term goal provide karta hai. Is resistance level ke upar ek decisive break bohot zaroori hoga bullish momentum ko maintain aur accelerate karne ke liye. Traders ko support zone ki taraf aane wale kisi bhi dip ka faida uthate hue long positions mein enter karna chahiye, initial target 206+ par rakhte hue. Jab price successfully 206 resistance level breach karti hai, bullish momentum relaunch hone ki umeed hai. Yeh breakout ek clear indication hai ke buyers control mein hain aur price ko upar push kar rahe hain. 206 ko surpass karne ke baad, traders ka agla immediate target resistance zone 206.10-205.84 hoga. Yeh range crucial hai kyunki yeh ek near-term resistance level ko represent karti hai jahan price kuch consolidation ya minor pullbacks experience kar sakti hai before continuing its upward trajectory. 206.10-205.84 resistance zone ko break karne se bullish trend ka next leg set ho jayega. Traders ko dekhna chahiye ke price is level ke sath kaise interact karti hai. Is range ke upar successful consolidation further gains ka raasta banaegi. Is level ko exceed karne se yeh signify hoga ke bullish trend na sirf intact hai balki strength gain kar raha hai. Is point par, buyers confidently agla resistance level 205.90-206.15 target kar sakte hain, apne aap ko ek long-term trade ke liye position karte hue. 205.90 aur 206.15 ke darmiyan resistance zone GBP/JPY ke liye significant long-term target ko represent karta hai. Is level ko exceed karna bullish trend ki durability ka strong confirmation hoga. Traders ko strong price action aur volume dekhna chahiye jo is resistance se move ko support kare. 205.90-206.15 ke upar position achieve aur maintain karna further bullish targets ke liye darwaza khol sakta hai, kyunki yeh sustained buying interest aur GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential ko maximize kar sakte hain. Jab tak price 206.170-206.380 support level ke upar rahegi, bullish outlook strong rahegi. Agle resistance levels ko reach aur surpass karna trend ki strength ko confirm karega aur further trading opportunities provide karega. Effective risk management strategies implement karne se traders market ke fluctuations ko navigate kar sakte hain aur long-term success aim kar sakte

GBP/JPY

July 2024 se GBP/JPY currency pair consistent lower highs aur lower lows banate hue bearish market trend ka indication de raha hai. Kai indicators bhi bearish sentiment ko support karte hain, jisme market ka 198.06 par khulna, 196.05 par band hona, aur 199.44 ki high aur 195.03 ki low ko touch karna shamil hain. Kal ki trading range takriban 441 pips ki thi. Filhal market daily pivot level 195.42 ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur aanewale trading sessions mein support levels (S1 aur S2) ka samna kar sakta hai. Iske alawa, market ne weekly horizontal level 199.40 ko bhi touch kiya, jahan RSI 14 indicator overbought condition ko signal kar raha hai aur pin bar candlestick pattern ke baad bearish rejection dikhai de raha hai, jo confirmed bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Pair 200-day moving average (MA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai.



Aaj pair bearish direction mein move karega. Iska sabab yeh hai ke pair ne bearish flag pattern complete kiya hai aur MA 30 ke neeche move kar raha hai. Market ne daily pivot level ke neeche khula. Market ko analyze karne ke baad, aap GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside mein break karti hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bearish move ka projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye aap apni half position ko 194.76 par close kar sakte hain.

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Aaj hum GBP/JPY pair ki movement par baat karte hain. Agar aap is pair ke movement chart ko dekhein jo kamzor hoti ja rahi hai, to price ke girne ke imkaanat kaafi zyada hain kyunki price ne ab tak koi naya higher low form nahi kiya. Ab yeh ek moka hai ke hum sell aur buy karne ke opportunities dekhein. Hamein zaroori areas ke baare mein pata hona chahiye. Yahan GBP/JPY market ka mapping hai:

H4 chart par, price movement downtrend form kar rahi hai aur yeh kamzori kaafi significant hai, is liye peechle price movement ne 208.12 ke price par resistance ya higher high form kar liya hai. Ab price apne highest price banane ke baad retrace kar rahi hai. Wo area jo hamein consider karna chahiye aur jahan main market mein enter kar sakta hoon, wo DBD area ke range mein hai jo 196.73 par hai aur major resistance 201.56 par hai jo SSR line aur Trend Channel line ke parallel hai. Yeh imkaan hai ke price is area mein enter kare to price kamzor ho sakti hai. Agar hum large timeframe dekhein, yeh resistance area nayi supply include kar chuka hai.

Additional indicators mein Relative Strength Index (RSI) period 5 ko dekhte hain jahan price level 30 se neeche gir chuki hai jo market ke bearish trend mein hone ki nishani hai. Simple Moving Average (SMA) 120 indicator jo trend change se pehle neeche move kar rahi thi, ab upwards lean kar rahi hai jo ek trend signal hai jo increase ki taraf indicate karta hai. To yeh conclusion nikala ja sakta hai ke H4 timeframe indicators mostly bullish trend show kar rahe hain.

H1 timeframe chart par, resistance area dekha ja sakta hai jahan price FTR/DBD area ka wait kar rahi hai jo pehle support break karne ke baad new lower high form kar chuka hai. Is area ko SND traders (jaise ke main) market mein enter karne ke liye use karte hain kyunki is area mein humein beautiful Risk Reward mil sakti hai. Sell entry ke liye, aap pending sell limit order 196.73 ke price par rakh sakte hain, stop loss 197.70 par aur pehla take profit 191.20 par rakh sakte hain. Agar yeh area breakout ho jaye, to hum ek aur sell entry add kar sakte hain with target take profit at 185.55. Buy entry ke liye, aap 180.74 ke price par wait kar sakte hain with stop loss at 180.00 aur take profit ke liye hum next price confirmation dekh sakte hain.

THE CURRENCY PAIR GBP-JPY

Hello sabko. GBP/JPY European session mein mid-March ke baad apne lowest levels pe gir gaya hai. Yeh cross 208.11 se sharply slide kar raha hai, yen ki renewed strength aur Japanese interventions ki wajah se, jabke Bank of England rate cut ne sterling pe aur pressure add kiya hai. Strong bearish signals rising daily cloud, 200-day moving average ka break aur aaj ka 189.55 support ka break ne provide kiye hain.

Yeh pair July ke end tak red mein hone ke raaste pe hai, chaar hafte continuous red mein close hone ke baad, jo ke June 2016 se sabse bara monthly loss hai, aur yeh negative outlook ko add karta hai jab ek reversal pattern monthly chart pe form ho raha hai. Pair abhi 190.30 range mein hai, jahan se chhoti si corrective increase hui hai, aur wahan se fall continue hoga. Ab tak yeh assumption hai ke chhote upward impulse ke baad 194.10 range tak price girane ki koshish hogi. Agar local maximum 194.00 ka breakout ho jaye aur yeh uspe consolidate karne manage kar le, toh yeh buy karne ka signal hoga. 190.40 range ka false breakout bhi ho sakta hai aur uske baad hum short stops ke saath sales open kar sakte hain. Agar 190.50 ka breakout ho jaye toh strengthening wapas resume hogi.

187.80 pe support hai. Strong oversold daily indicators week ke end tak partial profit-taking ka sabab ban sakte hain, aur uptrends further weakness point karte hain. Broken 200-day moving average wapas initial resistance 191.74 pe aa gaya hai, uske baad support 196.83 pe hai jo ke stronger rebound ko limit karega aur bears ko game mein rakhega. Targets 185.66 aur 183.56 hain. RSI oversold hai. Ab rally hogi. Happy trading sabko!