جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY ne ek naye saal ka high touch kiya hai, jo trading community ke liye ek significant achievement hai.
Magar, har zabardast uchaal ke saath kuch ehtiyaat ki zarurat bhi hoti hai. Agarche overall trend abhi bhi positive hi lagta hai, kuch technical indicators aur market analysis yeh darsha rahe hain ke momentum mein ab dheere dheere kami aani shuru ho gayi hai. Yeh slowdown market participants ko is baat ka signal de raha hai ke woh apni trading strategies ko dubara evaluate karein aur short-term fluctuations ka khayal rakhein.
Ek aur factor jo nazar mein rakhna chahiye, woh hai global economic environment aur macroeconomic factors jo GBP/JPY ki pairing par asar daal rahe hain. Japan aur UK ke economic data releases, central bank policies, aur international trade agreements jese factors ko bhi dekhna zaroori hai. Yeh sab cheezen mil kar market sentiment ko shape karti hain, aur is current bullish trend ko sustain karne mein critical role play kar sakti hain.

GBP/JPY ke investors aur traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke woh apni risk management strategies ko review karein. Ek effective risk management plan har trader ke toolkit ka essential part hota hai, aur jab market itni high volatility aur sudden surges dekha raha ho, to risk management aur bhi zyada crucial ho jata hai. Leverage ka cautious use, stop-loss orders ka strategic placement, aur diversified portfolio rakhna kuch aise steps hain jo traders ko unexpected market reversals se protect kar sakte hain.
Is ke saath hi, technical analysis tools ka use bhi zyada karna chahiye, jese moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Bollinger Bands, jo market momentum aur potential trend reversals ko pehchaanne mein madadgar ho sakte hain. In tools ka use karke traders apne entry aur exit points ko better plan kar sakte hain, aur zyada informed trading decisions le sakte hain.

Akhir mein, market news aur updates ko lagataar follow karna bhi zaroori hai. Financial news portals, economic calendars, aur expert analysis ko regularly check karna traders ko up-to-date rakhta hai aur market ke har naye development ka faida uthane ka mauka deta hai.

USD-JPY Pair Forecast
Agar hum current journey par nazar daalein, kam az kam humein pata hai ke USD/JPY pair apne increase ko return karne ki koshish kar raha hai jahan 155.76 zone mein ek bounce hua hai, aur abhi tak candlestick is zone ko penetrate karne mein nakam raha hai. Market prices ke track record ko dekhte hue jo ke hafte ki shuruaat se shuru hota hai, yeh kaafi clear hai ke trend uptrend ki taraf hai. Hafte ke aghaz mein candlestick abhi bhi downwards move karne ki koshish kar raha tha, jo mere khayal mein ek correction situation thi. Agar aap choti time frame, maslan 4 ghante dekhein, to aap dekh sakte hain ke ab price upar jaane wali hai aur lagta hai ke yeh aur bhi zyada bullish ho sakta hai.
Ab candlestick 157.84 price zone ke upar survive kar sakti hai, mere khayal mein, yeh woh zone hai jo next market direction ko determine karega. Maujooda market conditions ke mutabiq, lagta hai ke price movement upward direction mein tend kar rahi hai, bilkul kal ke market conditions ki tarah, to weekend ke trading period ke liye lagta hai ke price movement abhi bhi bullish run kar sakti hai. Ek benchmark area ke tor par jo hum is trade mein position open karne ke liye use karenge, hum latest market trend ke mutabiq opportunities par rely karte hain. Agar aap current market trend ka faida uthana chahte hain, to yeh profit banane ke opportunities ko khol sakta hai.
Buyers ko predict kiya gaya hai ke market ko control karenge jab tak market is weekend close hota hai. Next target bullish ho sakta hai 158.61 area ko pursue karna. Aaj aur future mein USD/JPY market ke liye trading plan ke tor par, main Buy trading option ko prefer karta hoon. Jab tak 155.46 price zone sellers se pass nahi hota, ek stable trend bullish run karne ka rujhan hai. Halanki market ke paas apni Uptrend journey ko continue karne ka zyada chance hai, lekin yeh behtareen hoga ke bearish opportunities ko nazarandaz na kiya jaye jo kabhi bhi ho sakti hain.

GBPJPY currency pair ke price movements ki development ko daily timeframe par dekhne ke baad, kuch currency pairs jo YEN ke saath paired hain, unmein yehi hua hai ke pichle hafte ke trading session mein zyada tar ek hi direction mein trend hone ka zyada chance tha, jahan market bullish movement mein tha. Yeh situation pichle kuch hafton ke trend ke continuation ka hissa hai jisme ek kaafi lamba bullish candlestick bana tha. Pichle hafte, candlestick ka shape upar ki taraf point kar raha tha aur closing price opening price se ooncha tha. Yeh haalat yeh darshaati hai ke price mein mazeed upar ki movement ki possibility is hafte bhi ho sakti hai. Aaj subah market ka level 201.99 par start hua tha aur abhi price 201.86 ke qareeb move kar raha hai.

Tehqiqat ko support karne ke liye, maine kuch indicators ke signals dekhe. Relative Strength Index (14) indicator jo pehle level 50 ke qareeb tha, ab uska rise shuru ho gaya hai, jo ke ek taqatwar bullish trend ko darshaata hai. MACD indicator (12,26,9) par dikhai deta hai ke histogram bar zero level ke upar hi hai aur iska size zyada lamba nahi hai, yellow signal line bhi apne direction ko follow kar rahi hai. Jabki Simple Moving Average line bhi upar ki taraf mudi hui hai. Technical readings ke natijay mein, zyadatar indicators bullish trend ki taraf isharaat de rahe hain.

Conclusion:

Daily aur H4 timeframes ke analysis ke natijay mein sabhi indicators ek hi market direction ko point kar rahe hain. Indicators ke mutabiq market ka trend bullish direction mein jaari rehne ki possibility hai. Lekin kyunki hafte ki shuruaat thi aur market abhi busy nahi tha, maine faisla kiya ke agle sham tak market ke developments dekhta rahun taaki ek sahi trading signal mil sake.

Agar candlestick ka direction mazeed upar jaata hai aur 202.00 price level ko touch karta hai, toh yeh ek achha mauka lagta hai BUY trading transaction ko execute karne ka jisme target bullish level 202.40 par estimate kiya gaya hai. Lekin agar candlestick baad mein downward correction experience karta hai, toh 201.50 price level range tak BUY karne ka ek achha mauka ho sakta hai.

Yeh tha GBPJPY currency pair ke price movements ke baare mein ek detailed analysis.

Tehqiqati soorat-e-haal ke mutabiq, upside aur downside dono possibilities hain. Upside mein, pehla resistance level dekha jaye to year-to-date high 201.61 aur phir psychological mark 202.00 hai. Agar pair in levels ko break kar le toh uska agla target upar ja sakta hai. Downside mein, current price ke neeche jaane par GBP/JPY 200.26 tak gir sakta hai, jo Tenkan-Sen line ke saath coincide karta hai. Mazeed kamzori pair ko Senkou Span A ke pehle support level 199.71 tak le ja sakti hai. Agar becharey mein dabao jari rahe toh agla potential support level Kijun-Sen 199.15 par ho sakta hai.

GBP/JPY UK aur Japan ke economic conditions aur central bank policies se mutasir hota hai. Pound British economic data, siyasi waqiyat, aur Bank of England ke faislon se mutasir hota hai. Yen Japani economy ke health, global risk sentiment, aur Bank of Japan ki monetary policy se sensitive hota hai. Yeh currency pair apni volatility ke liye mashhoor hai, jo isey traders ke liye attractive banata hai jo in do major economies ke darmiyan dynamic interplay ko enjoy karte hain.

GBP/JPY haal hi mein apne 200-hour exponential moving average ke neeche se recover hua hai, lekin ab bhi naye 16-year high se neeche trade ho raha hai. Is temporary struggle ke bawajood, long-term outlook positive lag raha hai. GBP/JPY ab apne key 200-day moving average ke oopar trade kar raha hai, jo kareeb 190.00 par hai. Yeh, saath hi pair ke 2024 mein 12% ke izafay ke saath, ek bullish trend ko suggest karta hai jo 2024 ke shuru mein major technical indicators se bounce hua tha.
Aam taur par, GBP/JPY ek holding pattern mein hai, jisme upcoming economic data, central bank ke pronouncements, aur broader market sentiment ke mutabiq upar ya neeche movement ki possibility hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair mein kharidar dabao ka mazboot dominance nazar aata hai, jo level 200.567 par resistance ke tootne se dekha ja sakta hai. Is resistance ke tootne se pehle, yeh currency pair ek neeche ki taraf correction ka samna kiya, jo base par 196.140 - 197.169 par low ban gaya. Is correction ke baad, bhaari rad-e-amal hui, jo kharidar ko phir se market mein dominent hone ka silsila ban gaya aur keemat ko is ahem resistance level ko toorna safal banaya. Technical indicators ki mazeed mutaala se yeh pata chalta hai ke bullish trend ab bhi kaafi mazboot hai. Is ka asar EMA 50 ka EMA 100 ke upar hone par dekha ja sakta hai, jo ek classic signal hai ke bullish trend chal raha hai. EMA aksar traders dwara istemal hone wala aik tool hai trend ki direction aur potential trend reversals ko pehchanne ke liye. Is mamle mein, EMA 50 ka EMA 100 ke upar hone ka matlab hai ke urooj tawanai ab bhi dominent hai, aur yeh mumkin hai ke bullish trend jaari rahe. Is ke ilawa, resistance ke tootne ke waqt barhne wala trading volume bhi yeh dikhata hai ke is currency pair mein mazboot kharidar dilchaspi hai. Resistance ke tootne ke waqt barhne wala volume yeh aur tasdeeq karta hai ke kharidar haqeeqatan mein market ko dominent kar rahe hain, aur yeh keemat ki harkat ko kafi liquidity ke sath support kiya ja raha hai. Is bullish trend ke jaari rehne ki mumkinahat traders ke liye lambay positions dhoondhne ke liye raahat bakhshti hai. Mojooda technical factors, jese ke EMA ka position, mazboot resistance breaks, aur barhne wala trading volume, ko madde nazar rakhte hue, long position lenay ki mumkinahat zyada dilchaspi ke hawale se hoti hai


GBPJPY H1 par kharidar impulse ka mazboot dominance nazar aata hai, jo dekha gaya ke keemat ne aik darawaza banane ke baad dobara uth kar chala gaya, mazboot resistance ko 201.328 par toor kar. Is resistance ke tootne ka matlab hai ke kharidar quwat ka ehsaas hai, aur tootne ke baad, buyers ne jab tak market pichle haftay band nahi hui tab tak dominent rehna jaari rakha. Aaj, Asian session mein bhi mazboot buyer encouragement hai, jo dikhata hai ke kharidar dabao khatam nahi hua hai. 50 EMA 100 EMA ke upar hai, ek mazboot signal ke upar ki urooj tawanai ab bhi jaari hai.
Lekin, wala kuch bhi bullish potential bara nazar aa raha hai, long position lenay ke liye main aik correction ka intezar karonga. Corrections traders ke liye behtar entry points hasil karne ke liye ahem waqt hote hain jahan risks ko zyada measure kiya ja sakta hai. Mere trading plan mein, main aik price correction ka intezar karonga jahan tak keemat 201.452 - 201.639 ke base zone tak pohanch jaye. Yeh level ek acha zone samjha jata hai jahan se bechnay ki tawanai ko dhoondhne ke liye agar ek temporary reversal hota hai. Is ke ilawa, pehle tootay hue resistance ka dobara support banane ka bhi ek area hai jo kharidar entries ke liye tawajjo ke mustahiq hai.

Mera trading plan: Intezar karna correction ka base zone 201.452 - 201.639 tak mujhe de ga ek mauqa dekhne ka ke kya support ko kharidar tawanai ke tor par tasdeeq kiya jaye ga, yeh dobara tootay hue pehle resistance ko dobara support banane ka bhi potential hai, jo keemat level 201.328

attention to any pronouncements from the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The BOJ is cautiously attempting to unwind its quantitative easing and bond-buying programs. However, anxieties about a return of inflation in Japan are pressuring the bank to maintain its dovish monetary policy stance. The weak Japanese Yen has been negatively impacted by the slowdown in global interest rate cuts by most major central banks. Early next week, Japan's first-quarter GDP figures are expected, with forecasts pointing towards a contraction of around 0.5% compared to the prior quarter. Similarly, the UK is due to release new labor market data on Tuesday, with expectations of a significant job loss of around 177,000 in the three months leading up to April. Apr PMI, which fell to 48.7 compared to expectations of 50.3. The dominance of the services sector in the UK economy, which accounts for more than 80% of total spending compared to manufacturing's 9.3%, suggests that investors have overlooked the weakness of manufacturing. The market is now awaiting Japan's economic data which will be released on Friday. The Bank of Japan is reporting that there are calls for the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) to remain unchanged at 2.6 percent. The bank is also Click image for larViews: 16ID: 13014463



requested to include its latest installment agreement as it will be released nearer the time. Investors will pay close attention to Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference for any indication of the future monetary policy path. On the technical side, the GBP/JPY currency pair is near an old resistance zone between 192.80 and 193.00. Currently, it is trading within this range and slightly above the 190.00 level. Daily price action remains limited to the April range, with GBP/JPY set at just 194.00, slightly below March's 9-year high. Clearly, despite the decline, overall sentiment for GBP/JPY is bullish. The pair is trading comfortably above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 184.90. But, some technical indicator traders are skeptical. The Average Directional Action Index (ADX) is below 25, indicating a market without a trend. Similarly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50, which is correct. The stochastic indicator is indicating a possible upward movement but needs more momentum to call it a strong signal. If bullish momentum strengthens, GBP/JPY could test resistance at the July 21, 2005 low of 192.57 and possibly break the uptrend line established on January 2, 2024. A successful breakout could see GBP/JPY set a new 2024 high above the current high of 193.52 near 195.00 I think the trading plan is clear enough by looking at the bullish trend conditions and the price pattern structure which still shows higher high - higher low. Position entry is placed when the price completes the downward correction phase which is likely to be around the EMA 50 or price range 200.42. Confirmation is waiting for a valid Stochastic indicator parameter crossing in the oversold zone at level 20 - 10. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator seems to be sufficient to maintain the uptrend momentum in the positive area. Take profit can be placed at high prices 201.28 and place stop loss around low prices 199.91

. Investors will pay close attention to Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference for any indication of the future monetary policy path. On the technical side, the GBP/JPY currency pair is near an old resistance zone between 192.80 and 193.00. Currently, it is trading within this range and slightly above the 190.00 level. Daily price action remains limited to the April range, with GBP/JPY set at just 194.00, slightly below March's 9-year high. Clearly, despite the decline, overall sentiment for GBP/JPY is bullish. The pair is trading comfortably above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 184.90. But, some technical indicator traders are skeptical. The Average Directional Action Index (ADX) is below 25, indicating a market without a trend. Similarly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50, which is correct. The stochastic indicator is indicating a possible upward movement but needs more momentum to call it a strong signal. If bullish momentum strengthens, GBP/JPY could test resistance at the July 21, 2005 low of 192.57 and possibly break the uptrend line established on January 2, 2024. A successful breakout could see GBP/JPY set a new 2024 high above the current high of 193.52 near 195.00 I think the trading plan is clear enough by looking at the bullish trend conditions and the price pattern structure which still shows higher high - higher low. Position entry is placed when the price completes the downward correction phase which is likely to be around the EMA 50 or price range 200.42. Confirmation is waiting for a valid Stochastic indicator parameter crossing in the oversold zone at level 20 - 10. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator seems to be sufficient to maintain the uptren

GBP/JPY pair tezi se strong ho jata hai. Aaj subah GBP/JPY pair ne apne lowest level se 90 pips ka move kiya hai, magar kyunke GBP currency ki halat filhaal theek nahi hai, lagta hai ke yeh increase sirf ek correction hai towards aur bhi lower price. Main estimate karta hoon ke price pehle SBR level 191.50 tak upar jaayega, is price area par hum sell kar sakte hain aur Friday ke lowest price par profit le sakte hain. Pehle, main yeh manta tha ke high impact news market ko affect nahi karti aur technical analysis par zyada focus karta tha. Lekin jabse main macroeconomics study kar raha hoon, mujhe pata chala ke high impact news ka role bohot bara hota hai. Isi liye maine fundamental analysis ka portion barha diya hai. GBP/JPY pair ke liye, UK aur Japan se release hone wali data par dhyan dena zaroori hai. Lekin galat mat samajhna, important news releases from the United States bhi GBP/JPY pair ko volatile bana sakti hain. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ka naya pressure hai jinhone subah se prices ko bullish push kiya hai.
Lagta hai ke Middle East mein tension barhne ka darr market players ko Japanese Yen dump karne aur Pound Sterling khareedne par majboor kar raha hai. Main bhi hairan hoon kyunke pichle kuch saalon mein Yen safe haven currency nahi raha jaisa ke aksar observers kehte hain
GBPJPY market khud mein, yeh 190.85 par open hua, aur haal ki support aur resistance levels 192.28 aur 193.42 hain, jo ke iska ongoing decline indicate karte hain. Yeh H1 timeframe ke andar 200 EMA ke neeche rehta hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke price abhi bhi H1 timeframe mein downward trend mein hai. Prices EMA 12 aur EMA par bhi asar dalte hain. Iss behavior ke evolution ke dauran, behaviors ab horizontal car shape form karne ke liye upar mude hue hain. Agar pehla target fail ho gaya toh, agla target hoga EMA 100 H1. Iske chalte, seller transaction mein buyer ban jata hai. Friday aur Thursday hafte ke dauran jab prices apne lowest point par hoti hain. Monday ko Asian conference ke baad, currency ke price ne 193.00 ka resistance level paar kar diya. Isliye, hum aapko suggest karte hain ke aap isko monitor karein aur agli kuch dinon mein confirmation ka wait karein.

**HAPPY KILLER GBP/JPY TRADING DISCUSSION**

**M15 Minutes Timeframe Outlook:**

GBPJPY currency pair ke lehaz se, mein kuch yeh situation observe karta hoon: M15 chart par linear regression channel ka upward slope hai, jo clear karta hai ke buyers market mein strong hain. Buyer activity ek excellent opportunity dikhati hai ke purchases lower border of the channel 202.172 se consider ki jayein. Agle step mein, mein expect karta hoon ke market 202.890 level tak rise karegi, uske baad ek correction hogi. Correction lower border tak hogi jahan se purchases phir se consider karni chahiye, aur agar yeh border break ho jaye to hum aur neeche girte rahenge, jismein purchases cancel kar deni chahiye. Aise movements ke sath market channels ke through grow karti hai jab yeh upar dekh rahi hoti hai. Upper boundary of the channel 202.890 se sales honi chahiye, aap enter kar sakte hain. Mere liye important hai ke pullback se enter karoon jo ke lower boundary ke qareeb ho.

**H1 Hour Timeframe Outlook:**

High time H1 ko dekhte hue, mein observe karta hoon ke linear regression channel upar ki taraf hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada important hai. Yeh signify karta hai ke bulls strong hain. M15 channel par signal purchases deta hai, jo mere desire ko buy karne ka barhata hai. Aapko sirf price ko sahi jagah par wait karna hai aur wahan se buy karna hai. Jis jagah se mein current situation mein purchases dhoond raha hoon woh hai lower border of the channel 201.809. Wahan se mein try karta hoon ke 202.800 tak buy karoon. Ek fulfilled goal with subsequent growth strong growth ka indicator hai. 202.800 se correction karne ka chance zyada hai, kyunke bullish movement ho raha hai. Next, bulls apni movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry level 201.809 neeche jata hai, to yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Is case mein, trading plan ko purchases ki direction mein review aur market situation ko dobara evaluate karne ka worth hai.

**GBP/JPY ki Maujooda Surat-e-Haal**

GBP/JPY currency pair ki price is waqt 199.76 ke resistance zone ke qareeb mandla rahi hai. Sellers optimistic nazar aa rahe hain ke wo 199.52 zone ko dobara cross kar lenge. Aane wale economic data, jaise ke UK GDP aur Prelims Count Changes, market sentiment ko near future mein influence karne ke umeed hai.

Aise volatile market environment mein, market analysis, sound money management aur effective risk management strategies ki ahmiyat ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Traders ko disciplined trading practices implement karni chahiye, jismein strict loss limits shamil hon, taake apna capital safeguard kar saken aur long-term trading success ensure ho sake. Techniques jaise ke diversification aur stop-loss orders ka use karna crucial hai, taake market risks mitigate kiye ja saken aur sudden market fluctuations ya unforeseen events ke natije mein substantial losses se bacha ja sake.

Jese jese market conditions evolve hoti hain, incoming news data future trends ko shape karne mein critical role play karega. Sellers ke liye, yeh information significant support zones ko overcome karne ke liye zaroori leverage provide kar sakti hai, jo aksar heightened buyer activity se characterized hote hain. In zones ko successfully navigate karna favorable news aur robust technical indicators par depend karega, jo collectively sellers ko market dominance maintain karne mein empower kar sakte hain.

GBP/JPY ke case mein, current market dynamics sellers ke favor mein skewed nazar aa rahi hain, jo market control aggressively pursue kar rahe hain amid evident buyer weakness. Yeh trend likely continue karega, jahan sellers apni market value maintain karte hue buyers par sustained pressure exert karenge. Traders ko market ke saath vigilance se approach karna chahiye, sab pertinent factors ko consider karte hue aur apni strategies ko GBP/JPY ke current market conditions ke saath align karte hue.

Is analysis ke base par, expect kiya jata hai ke GBP/JPY ka market sellers ke favor mein rahega, aur wo aane wale ghanton mein 199.55 area ko test karenge. Hamesha ki tarah, traders ko caution exercise karna chahiye aur market ko diligently monitor karna chahiye taake informed decisions le saken aur apna risk effectively manage kar saken.

Kal ke trading session mein, GBP/JPY jodi ne market dynamics ka shandar muzahira kiya, jisme ek chhota retracement aur uske baad ka gap fill ke baad taqatwar uptrend ka pradarshan kiya gaya. Yeh qeemat ka amal barhtay hue market ki faaliyat ke behtar dor mein khul gaya, jo forex landscape mein tabdiliyat ki tasveer ko darust karta tha. Session ek chhote pullback ke saath shuru hua, jo zahir hone wale tezi se bullish momentum ke dauran aam hota hai. Ye retracement phase haal ki kamaaiyon ko jama karne ka kaam karta hai, traders ko apni positions aur strategies ko dobara dekhne ka mauka deta hai. Is temporary rukawat ke bawajood, market participants chaukanna rahe, potential trading opportunities ke liye key technical levels ko qareeb se nazarandaaz karte rahe. Jaise trading session agay badhta gaya, GBP/JPY jodi ne ek shandar comeback kiya, ek fazool tezi se bullish impulse ke zariye jo kisi bhi reh gayi shakhsiyat ko jaldi mita diya. Is taqatwar bullish sentiment ke ubharne ne market mein mojooda bullish bias ko nazar andaaz kiya, traders ke darmiyan naye itminan ko darust karte hue. Is bullish narrative ka markazi hissa ek full-bodied bullish candle ka banawat tha, ek ahem technical development jo mazboot kharidari dabao aur bullish conviction ka ishara deta tha. Ye candle, apne wazeh jism aur lambi chhodo ke zariye se, market medan mein bullishon ka dabdaba symbolize karta hai jab woh qeemat ka amal ko control mein lete hain aur jodi ko ooncha uthate hain.

Khaas tor par ehmiyat ki baat yeh thi ke numaya resistance level 195.745 ke upar ka tareeqa se breach aur uske baad ka closure tha. Yeh aham marhala, mukammal technical analysis ke zariye dhyan se pehchana gaya, market participants ke liye ek ahem turning point tha, jo bullish aur bearish sentiment ke darmiyan simat te. Is key resistance level ka breach na sirf technical analysis ki asar ko tasleem kiya, balki naye bullish momentum ke liye bhi ek catalyst ka kaam kiya, mazeed kharidari ki dilchaspi ko kheench karke aur GBP/JPY jodi ko naye unchaaiyon par pohanchate hue.

Ikhtisaar mein, kal ke trading session mein, GBP/JPY jodi mein bullish momentum ka ek compelling pradarshan dekha gaya, jo ek convincing breakout ko highlight kiya key resistance level 195.745 ke upar. Yeh noteworthy development bullish trend ki sakti ko nazar andaaz karta hai aur forex market ke complexities mein navigational ke liye technical analysis ka ahem kiya hai. Jab traders market conditions ke evolve hone ke sath adapt karte hain, to mehnat aur adaptability emerging opportunities ka faida uthane aur peechhe rehne mein zaroori hai.

H4 Hour Time Frame Outlook:

GBPJPY pair ab bhi wazeh tor par dikhata hai ke chal rahe qeemat ke harkat bullish trend ki taraf jaari hai. Halan ke kuch waqt pehle buhat taizi se girawat hui thi jo support (S1) 197.47 tak pohanchi aur takreeban SMA 200 ko chu gayi, lekin ab qeematon ki harkat phir se dheere dheere buland ho rahi hai. Qeematein jo apni uparward rally jaari rakhne ki koshish ki, wo EMA 50 aur pivot point (PP) 199.04 ke aas paas mazid istehkam ki. Aakhir mein, qeematon ki harkat resistnace (R1) 200.92 tak mukhlis rahi. Jab tak qeemat do Moving Average lines aur pivot point (PP) 199.04 ke upar rehti hai, resistance (R1) 200.92 ko paar karne ke liye bulandar rally ke liye mauqa hai.

UK ki maeeshat se mutalliq riport ka zyada asar nazar nahi aata, halan ke kuch riport kiye gaye data jo tasawar se kam hai. Japanese Yen currency ka kamzor hona GBPJPY pair mein bulandar rally ko support karne ka bani rehta hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke nazarie se jo ke ab bhi uptrend momentum ko barqarar rakhta hai, wo qeematon ko resistnace (R1) 200.92 ko test karne mein madadgar hosakta hai. Magar Stochastic indicator ke liye abhi koi yaqeeni nahi kyun ke parameter abhi tak level 50 ke aas paas hai. Agar parameter level 50 ko paar kar jaye, jo ke oversold zone ko nishana banata hai, to qeemat ko pehle EMA 50 ke aas paas girne ka imkan hai. Agar ulta ho to, parameter 50 level par cross kar ke overbought zone ki taraf jaaye ga, jo ke mojooda uparward rally ko support karega.

Position entry setup:

Bullish trend ki rukh ki taraf trading options jaari rehti hai, halan ke hum bearish engulfing candlestick pattern se ulta signal dekh sakte hain. BUY entry position lagane ke liye qeemat ko pehle EMA 50 ya pivot point (PP) 199.04 ke aas paas girne ka intezar karen. Stochastic indicator ke parameters ke darmiyan level 50 aur level 20 ke darmiyan cross hone ki tasdiq. AO indicator ke histogram kam az kam hamesha hare rang mein level 0 ya musbat area ke upar barqarar rehta hai. Take profit ko resistnace (R1) 200.92 par rakh sakte hain.

Lagta hai ke GBPJPY Pair ke price movement ne market mein peechle somwaar ko barhne ki taraf tend ki, aur Daily Candle ka close bhi ek Bullish Candle ke sath ban gaya. Is ke ilawa, jo daily range bana woh 140 pips tak pohanch gaya, jo market ke size ke liye kaafi bada number hai shanivaar ki shuruvaat mein. Aur mojooda shuruaati haalaat dekh kar, lagta hai ke GBPJPY Pair ko apne Bullish Rally ko mazeed barhaane ke liye kaafi mauqa hai, kyunki abhi GBPJPY Pair ka major trend ab bhi strong bullish condition mein hai to iski mukhya disha abhi bhi oopar ki taraf hai. Intehai, agar aap mojooda H1 waqt frame par nazar daalain, to lagta hai ke GBPJPY pair qareeb qareeb 201.56 ke price range mein sab se qareeb resistance level ko shikaar karne ki koshish karega. Bila shuba, agar Resistance Level Breakout ka kaamyaabi se hona mumkin hai, to phir GBPJPY Pair ko phir se Kharidaar dominated karega, is liye ek kharid dakhil ka faisla karna ek qabil e ghoor option hai.

Ek aam istemaal hone wala tareeqa technical analysis hai, jahan hum peechle market ke haalaat ko madd e nazar rakhte hain takay mumkinah mustaqbil ke price movements ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Is ma'ayari mein, tawajjo GBPJPY currency pair par hai, jo mojooda waqt mein apna momentum barqarar rakhne ki mumkinah nishaan dikhata hai. Ek trader ke tor par, zaroori hai ke samajhdar taur par woh currency pairs chunte hain jo tajziya karne ke liye. GBPJPY, is waqt, aise signs dikhata hai jo ek mumkinah price correction ko dikhata hai jo lambi positions ke liye istemaal kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price movement moving average marking area 5 aur 10 ke qareeb 200,022 se 200,045 ke price range mein pahunch raha hai. Takniki tajziya bhi yeh dikhata hai ke price mojooda waqt EMA50 trend filter ke upar hai, jo aane waale trading sessions mein price ke barhne ko support dene ke liye kaafi taqatwar hai. Mashwara diya jata hai ke CSAK confirmation ka intezaar karein (mazboot simat directional candlestick) jo ek mazboot kharid signal ko dikhata hai. Is tarah, yeh sahi mauqa ho sakta hai ek kharid dakhil position mein dakhil hone ka, jahan khatra control mein hota hai aur munafa ka mauqa zyada hota hai. Mojooda market ke haalaat kharidaar dominance ko dikhate hain, jo is nazar se taayun hai ke prices qareeb future mein barhne ke aham hain.

GBP/JPY currency pair iss haftay kuch khaamoshi se guzar rahi hai, jismain kam data release ho raha hai. Investors aglay haftay UK aur Japan se aham economic reports ka intezar kar rahe hain. Pair 200.00 aur 199.00 JPY ke darmiyan halkay se fluctuations ka samna kar raha hai. Choti muddat ke mustawar hone ke bawajood, Japanese Yen (jo ke "Guppy" ke naam se mashhoor hai) is saal bohot zyada kamzor hua hai, jis se nuqsaan 11% se zyada ho gaya hai. Iss haftay, UK aur Japan se aane wale economic data releases ka intezar tha. Lekin investors Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke kisi bhi elan par khaas tor par tawajju de rahe thay. BOJ quantitative easing aur bond-buying programs ko hatane ki koshish kar rahi hai lekin Japan mein inflatio ka wapas aana bank ko apni dovish monetary policy stance maintain karne par dabao dal raha hai. Global interest rate cuts ke slowdown ke buniyadi central banks ke zyada tar se Japan ke weak Japanese Yen par bura asar pada hai. Agle haftay ke shuru mein, Japan ka pehla quarter GDP figures expected hain, jin mein forecasts qabal se barh kar 0.5% ki contraction ka ishaara kar rahe hain mukablay mein peechlay quarter se. Isi tarah, UK ko Tuesday ko naye labour market data release karne ka intezaar hai, jismein April tak ke teen mahino mein qareeban 177,000 jobs ka khona ki umeed hai. Apr PMI, jo ke 48.7 par gir gaya tha mukablay mein 50.3 ke expectations se. UK ki economy mein services sector ka zyada muzahir hona, jo ke manufacturing ke 9.3% ke mukable mein total spending ka 80% se zyada hissa hai, yeh dikhata hai ke investors ne manufacturing ki kamzori ko nazar andaz kar diya hai. Ab market Japan ke economic data ka intezar kar raha hai jo ke Friday ko release kiya jayega. Bank of Japan report kar raha hai ke Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) 2.6 percent par qaim rahne ki calls hain. Bank ko bhi apni latest installment agreement shaamil karne ka darkhwast kiya gaya hai kyunke yeh waqt ke qareeb release kiya jayega. Investors Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda ke press conference par future monetary policy path ke kisi bhi ishaare ke liye tawajju denge. Technical side par, GBP/JPY currency pair purane resistance zone ke qareeb hai jo 192.80 aur 193.00 ke darmiyan hai. Abhi yeh is range mein trade kar raha hai aur thora sa 190.00 level ke oopar hai. Daily price action April range mein mehdood hai, jahan GBP/JPY bas 194.00 par hai, thora sa March ke 9 saal ke high ke nichay. Saaf hai ke girawat ke bawajood, overall sentiment GBP/JPY ke liye bullish hai. Pair 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 184.90 ke oopar aaraam se trade kar raha hai. Lekin, kuch technical indicator traders is par shak karte hain. Average Directional Action Index (ADX) 25 ke neeche hai, jo ke ek trend ke baghair market ko dikhata hai. Isi tarah, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke qareeb hai, jo ke durust hai. Stochastic indicator ek possible upward movement ko ishara kar raha hai lekin isko ek strong signal kehne ke liye zyada momentum ki zaroorat hai. Agar bullish momentum mazid barh jata hai, to GBP/JPY 192.57 ke July 21, 2005 ke low par resistance test kar sakta hai aur shayad January 2, 2024 ko banaye gaye uptrend line ko todh sakta hai. Agar breakout kamiyab ho jata hai, to GBP/JPY 193.52 ke current high ke upar ek naya 2024 high set kar sakta hai, jo ke 195.00 ke qareeb hoga. Main samajhta hoon ke trading plan wazeh hai jo ke bullish trend conditions aur price pattern structure par nazar rakhne ke liye hai jo abhi tak higher high - higher low dikhata hai. Position entry tab ki jati hai jab price downward correction phase ko complete karti hai jo ke EMA 50 ya price range 200.42 ke qareeb hone ka imkaan hai. Tasdeeq valid Stochastic indicator parameter crossing ka intezar hai jo oversold zone par level 20 - 10 mein hoti hai. Is doran MACD indicator ko lagta hai ke uptrend momentum ko maintain karne ke liye kafi hai. Take profit ko 201.28 ke high prices par rakha ja sakta hai aur stop loss ko 199.91 ke low prices ke qareeb rakha ja sakta hai.

GBP/JPY ANALYSIS

Lagta hai ke GBPJPY pair ke price movement market mein Guzaray peer ko barhne ki taraf ruka, aur Daily Candle ka band bhi ek Bullish Candle ke sath bari body banane mein kamyab raha. Is ke ilawa, jo Daily Range bana, woh 140 pips tak pohancha, jo ke baghairat itna bara number hai shuru mein Sunday ka market size dekhte hue. Aur mojooda shuruaati sharton ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke GBPJPY pair ke liye ek badi opportunity hai ke wo apna Bullish Rally mazeed barha sake, kyun ke abhi GBPJPY Pair ka major trend ab bhi strong bullish condition mein hai, is liye asal rah chal yehi hai ke upar ja raha hai. Intehai, agar aap mojooda H1 waqt khat ko dekhein, to nazar aata hai ke GBPJPY pair ke qareebi resistance level ko nishana banane ki koshish ki ja rahi hai jo ke 201.56 ke price range mein hai. Be shak, agar Resistance Level Breakout ka kaamyaab hota hai, to phir GBPJPY Pair ko phir se Kharidaron ne ghalba hasil kar lenge, is liye Kharidari dakhil karne ka tawajjo karne ka mohtaj hona moatabar hai.

Ek aam istemal hone wala tareeqa technical tajziya hai, jahan hum peechle market shorat ko mad-e-nazar rakhte hue mukhtalif ho sakti ane wale price movements ko paish qadmi ka tasavvur karne ka silsila jari rakhte hain. Is manzar mein, tawajjo GBPJPY currency pair par muntakhib karne par hai, jo ke filhal apne momentum ko barqarar rakhne ki mumkinat ka aalam dikhata hai. Ek trader ke tor par, ahem hai ke tehqiqat mein se mojooda currency pairs ko chunna. GBPJPY, is waqt, ishaaraat dikhata hai jo ke mojooda price correction ki mumkinat ko darust kar sakte hain jo lambi positions ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Ye is tarah dekha ja sakta hai ke price movement moving average marking area 5 aur 10 ke qareeb price range 200.022 se le kar 200.045 mein pohanch raha hai.
Technical tajziya bhi isharah hai ke price abhi EMA50 trend filter ke oopar hai, jo ke ane wale trading session mein price barhne ke liye kafi taqat faraham karta hai. Mashwara diya gaya strategy yeh hai ke intezar karen CSAK confirmation ka (mazboot raftar wala candlestick) jo ek mazboot kharidari signal ko darust karta hai. Is tarah, yeh sahi waqt ho sakta hai kharidari position mein dakhil hone ka, jahan khatra qabu mein hota hai aur munafa ke imkaan ziada hote hain. Mojooda market shorat kharidaron ka ghalba dikhata hai, jo ke manzar-e-am mein yeh tawakkal hai ke qeematain qareebi mustaqbil mein barh sakti hain.