جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBPJPY

Is hafte ke trading ke ikhtitam par, Japanese yen ke keemat baqaida daraf qisam ki doosri major currencies ke khilaaf thori dair ke liye izafa hua, jo ke apni 34 saalon ki kamzor tareen satah se thori si ijtimai keemat barh gayi, jab Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda ne kaha ke agar Japanese yen ke rate ki kamzori ke baais unchi import ke costs ke zariye keemat mein izafa ka bana rahe, to markazi bank dobara interest rates ko barha sakta hai. Isi tarah, sterling currency pair ke keemat Japanese yen ke khilaaf GBP/JPY ne achanak farokht karne ke amal ka shikar ho gaya, jiske nateeje mein wo 190.29 ke darajay par pohanch gayi phir tezi se wapis 192.00 ke resistance ke darajay tak, tajwez ki analysis likhte waqt, aur is hafte ke munafa 192.80 ke resistance ke darajay tak barh gaya, aur haal hi ki technical analyzes aur muft trading salahiyat page ke zariye. Seedhe, maine har barhti hui satah se GBP/JPY pair ko bechne ki tajweez di.

Japanese central bank governor ne bhi yeh kaha ke Bank of Japan apne mahinayana izaafi aur price forecast ko agle haftay ke policy meeting ke liye dikhaye ga, ke yen ki taqwiyat ne maeeshat ko kis tarah asar andaaz kiya hai. Authorities ki dakhal dahi se dar bhi Japanese yen ko kuch support diya, baad ke mareez United States, Japan aur South Korea ke top maali uroojan ne is haftay ke meeting ke doran forex markets ko mawafiq karne ka ittefaq kiya.

Magar, Japanese currency apni 34 saalon ki kamzor tareen satah ke qareeb reh gayi, Bank of Japan Board Member Asahi Noguchi keh rahe hain ke mustaqbil ki policy adjustment ka rukh aahista hone ka imkaan hai aur aik latazaad raftar ke sath nahi kiya ja sakta, aur is ke liye doosre major central banks ke policy cycle ki raftar ke sath mawafiq nahi hai.

Doosri taraf, yeh British pound ke performance ko mutasir karta hai. Is haftay ke consensus se zyada UK inflation report ne pehle isharaat di ke UK ki ghateen inflation trend rukne laga hai. British Chancellor Jeremy Hunt ne CPI inflation ka ye news tarif ki ke March mein 3.2% year-on-year tak kami hui, February ki 3.4% se, lekin market ke reaction ka markazi nuktah yeh tha ke yeh figure 3.1% ke tawaqqu par zyada tha.

Tafseelat mein ghor karne se kai aur bullish surprises samne aaye, timely mahinayana prints ke saath CPI, core inflation aur services ka clear signs of resilience nazar aaya. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey ke reaction ne latest inflation figures par ummeed se bhara tha, unhone Washington mein apne saathi central bankers ko bataaya ke inflation tawaqqu par hai aur agle mahine mein tezi se kami ho gi.

Is se yeh maloom hota hai ke consensus ke umeedon ke mutabiq, inflation agle mahine 2.0% ke magic target se neeche girne wala hai, kyunki April ke domestic energy price cut ka bara asar hua. Lekin mayoosi mehsoos ho sakti hai. "Aaj ke bullish surprise ke mutabiq, hum umeed karte hain ke pehli reading 2% ke target se neeche May mein aaye gi, pehle April se mukhtalif," kaha hai Rob Wood, Pantheon Macroeconomics ke chief UK economist.

Bank of England ko apna maqsood 2.0% tak inflation ko qaim rakhne ke liye core inflation dar mein mazeed kami honi chahiye. Core inflation kam hone ke liye, services inflation kam honi chahiye.

Maeeshat ke calendar data ke natijay ke mutabiq, services inflation March mein taajjub angaiz tor par 6.0% tak barh gaya, jo ke pehle mahine ki tarah 6.0% se kuch nahi hilaa. Bank of England aur consensus ke mutabiq isse 5.8% tak girna tha. Deutsche Bank ke mutabiq yeh nahi sirf services inflation masla ho sakta hai, kyunki unka khaas qeemat ke survey tracker ne bunyadi cheezon par upward pressures ki nishaani di hai. Deutsche Bank ko umeed hai ke headline CPI doosre quarter mein Bank of England ke 2.0% target ke qareeb pohanchega, lekin umeed hai ke inflation saal ke doosre hisse mein dobara barhe ga, 2-2.5% ke range tak.

Aaj sterling ki keemat ke khilaaf Japanese yen ke liye tehdaar:

Aj ke roz tajwezat ke bawajood, sterling ke keemat Japanese yen ke khilaaf (GBP/JPY) ab bhi bullish hai, aur bina support levels 190.00 aur 188.00 ki taraf na jaane ke daraf tabdeel nahi hoga. Ab tak, main har barhti hui satah se sterling ko Japanese yen ke khilaaf bechna pasand karta hoon.

GBP/JPY Takneeki Tafseelat: Uptrend Mein Mazbooti Par Gaur


GBP/JPY pair, 186.00 ke aas-paas chupke se ruk gayi hai, UK inflation data ka intezar kar rahi hai
Bank of Japan ki dovish stance ne GBP/JPY ko sahara diya hai, jabke UK mein mazduri ki ghatnayen aur Bank of England ke is saal ke bade interest rate cuts ke mumkin hone ki khabron ne Pound par aggressive bullish bets par pabandi dal rakhi hai. Takneeki tor par, 200-day SMA se hilne aur 100-day SMA ke breakout ke baad ki tezi, bulls ke liye achha hai. Daily chart par positive oscillators ne is perfect setup ko taqrar di hai, jo pair ke liye ek upward bias darust karta hai. 185.40-185.35 kshetra mein hone wale giravat ko kharidne ka ek mauka hai, jisme 185.00 ek downside barrier ka kaam karega

Tou phir 184.00 ke neeche girne se, jo haftay ki swing low aur ab 100-day SMA ka support level ban chuka hai, pair ko aur majbooth giravat ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Aise mein, 182.00 aur 180.00 potential targets ho sakte hain. Upar ki taraf, bulls ko 186.35 kshetra ya monthly high se pehle tayyar hona chahiye. In levels ke par karne se, rasta khul sakta hai 187.00 ki taraf chadhne ka, jisme 186.75-186.80 ke aas-paas resistance ho sakti hai. Is badhate hue trend ko aage badhane ke liye, 187.55-187.60 kshetra mein aur bhi resistance mil sakta hai aur ant mein November mein pahunchi gayi multi-month high ke khilaf mushkil hai



Round number 188.00 aur November mein pahunchi 188.65 ke 8 saal ke high ke beech yeh ek agla battlefield ho sakta hai. Agar 188.80 ka 2015 ka mark par kharidari ka dabao bana rahe, to daam badh sakti hai 192.00 ke naye uchchayiyon ki taraf, jo 2021 ke June se taalukaat rakhte huye ek lambi term ka resistance line ke saath milti hai. Lekin January 12 ko sthapit ki gayi 184.47 ke daily low ke neeche giravat ho sakta hai uptrend ko khatre mein daal sakti hai. Aise mein, Senkou Span B 183.49, Tenkan-Sen 182.55, Senkou Span A 182.39, aur Kijun-Sen 182.25 yeh sambhavit support levels ka kaam karenge. Aakhiri mein, GBP/JPY pair aur bhi upar badhne ke liye taiyar hai, takneeki suchak aur chart patterns ne is bullish outlook ko taqwiyat di hai. Lekin pair ko turant hurdles par paar karne aur perfect support levels ko banaye rakhne ki avashyakta hai. Neche girne ki sthiti mein, 184.47 ke daily low ka tutna uptrend par sawaal utha sakta hai, lekin yeha kuch perfect s
support levels moujood hain jo kisi bhi giravat ko kam karne mein madad kar sakte hain

GBP/JPY H4

British Pound - Japanese Yen. TMA aur RSI indicators ke istemal ke saath instrument/currency pair ka tajziyah aur tajziyah Heikin Ashi candles ke zariye dikhata hai ke abhi aik trading plan banane ka mauqa hai khareedne ke liye. Heikin Ashi candles, riwayati Japanese candles ke mukablay mein keemat ka taqseem aur taasur ko naram karne wale, reversal points, corrective pullbacks, aur impulsive price surges ko waqt par notice karne ka mauqa dete hain, jisse traders ke liye technical analysis ko badi asani se karne mein madad milti hai. Triangular Moving Average (TMA) linear channel indicator, chart par Moving Averages par mabni hui halqi aur intezami rekhayen dikhata hai, trading mein bhi ek badiya tool hai, jo aset ke movement ke mutabiq ke hadood ko dikhata hai. Aur akhir mein, RSI oscillator indicator ko trade mein shamil hone ka aakhri faisla lene ke liye istemal kiya jata hai, jo trade hone wale aset ke overbought aur oversold zones ko dikhata hai. Aise trading tools ka intekhab technical analysis process ko kaafi asaan banata hai aur jhooti market entries se bachane mein madad karta hai.

Sabse pehle, yaad rakha jaye ke tajziyah ki gayi pair ki di gayi chart mein, aik situation tayar ho chuki hai jahan candles neela rang ka hai, jo darust karta hai ke bulls abhi mazboot hain aur price ko shumali rukh mein dhakel rahe hain, jismein acha mauqa banta hai ke mazeed positions ko lengein mazeed behtri ke liye. Price quotes ne linear channel (red dashed line) ke neeche se guzar kar, lekin kam se kam intehai extreme point tak pohanchne ke baad, usne bounce off kiya aur rukh liya channel ke markazi line (yellow dashed line) ki taraf. Iske ilawa, chart ke neeche RSI (14) indicator bhi khareedne ka signal manzoor karta hai, kyunke yeh lamba rukh ke sath upar ki taraf ishaarat karta hai aur overbought level se kaafi door hai. Sabhi yeh dekhte hue, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke instrument ka prevailing upward movement achi sambhavna dete hain ke khareedari ka kaam kamyabi se niklega, aur isliye ek faisla kiya ja sakta hai ke ek long position khola jaaye. Take profit ko lagbhag channel ke upper boundary (blue dashed line) ke qareeb set kiya ja sakta hai jo ke keemat ke level 193.199 par hai. Hasil ki gayi munafa ko market se le jane se bachane ke liye, munafa hasil hone ke baad Trailing Stop orders ka istemal karna munasib hai aur mazeed munafa hasil karne ki koshish karein.

GBP/JPY market mein bechnay ka moqa hai. Kyunki khareednay walay apni qeemat kho chukay hain MBP Official Bank Volte aur Streak data ke aane ke baad. Mazeed, GBP/JPY market ka mojooda manzar ek bechne wale market ko darust karti hai. Mukhtalif metrics aur indicators bechne walon ki taraf zyada pasand ka izhar karte hain. Ye tasawwur mukhtalif ilmi nuktae nazar mein mojood hai, chahe koi tajziyati tehqiq mein gharri ya asaani ke aham kardaar par ghoortay hain. Haqeeqatan, aane wala hafta bhi bara aham events se bharpoor lag raha hai, utsalar wo jo US dollar ke qeemat par asar daal sakte hain jab hafta ikhtitam ko pohnchega. Aise events aksar jazbati tor par asraat dalte hain, tawazun ko hila kar market ke daramad ko dobara shakal dete hain. GBP/JPY ke mamlay mein, humehtawaranaqi aur 192.68 par apna munafa lena chahiye. Abhi, market ka mahaul narmi aur maqilta ki ahmiyat ko zahir karta hai, halat mein izafa hone ke bawajood. Karobari afkaar ko narmi aur maxilta ke sath rakha jana chahiye jab tak market tabdeel nahi hoti. Halankeh muttafiq nazar abhi bechnay walon ki taraf hai, lekin market ke sharaet hamesha tabdeel ho rahi hain aur kisi bhi waqt tabdeel ho sakti hain. Is natije mein, risk management ka proactive approach rakhna aur market mein tabdilio par mutasir rehna lambe arzi trading mein kamiyabi ke liye ahem hai. Umeed hai ke aaj bechnay walay GBP/JPY market mein qabu hasil karenge. Mazeed, market ke bunyadi asoolon ka perfect samajhana ajziyat ka aghaz hai haalat ke complexities ko samajhne ke liye. Aakhir mein, mojooda business market ka mahol bechne walon ki taraf wazeh tor par zahir hai, jise mukhtalif ilmi darustiyan aur badi ahmiyat ke ahem elements ne highlight kiya hai. Ye manzar aik strategic strategy ko zaroori banata hai jo karobari tehqiq mein bechne wale faislon par zor deti hai aur naye moqay aur khatron par nazar rakhne ke liye tayyar rehti hai. Humain dekhna chahiye ke kuch ghanton mein G

GBP/JPY currency pair ne kuch peechle dino se 192.00 ke aaspaas ghoomne ke baad aik numaya giravat ka samna kiya. Yeh giravat Israel aur Iran ke darmiyan taiz hoti ja rahi tanaza ke natijay mein aai hai, jo ke aik maqbool hawala daron ke jaise Japanese yen ke liye mutaharrikat ka izafa kiya, jis se British pound kamzor hui. Abhi, jodi 191.19 par trade ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.56% ke izafa ko darust karti hai. Jodi ne ahem support darjat ko neeche gira dia hai, jo ke Tenkan Sen, Kijun Sen, aur 50 dinon ka harkat barhav ka darmiyanata hai, lekin GBP/JPY jodi aik technical tor par bullish hai kyunke woh abhi tak Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) ke upar mojood hai. Dilchaspi ki baat hai ke jodi ne ek daily kam se kam 190.29 ke neeche se apni mojooda qeemat tak wapas aane ka bhi karname dikhaya hai. Uparward momentum ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, traders ko jodi ko phir se 192.00 ke upar le jana hoga aur baad mein agle resistance level 192.80 ko fatah karna hoga. Is darjeel ka faash hone se aik mumkinah tajziyati level 193.00 ki taraf rasta ban sakta hai, phir is ke baad saal ki high 193.54 ko dobara test kya jayega. Dosri taraf, Kijun Sen support 191.06 ke neeche aur giravat ke sath jodi ko 50 dinon ka harkat darwaza jo ke uparward trend line aur 190.55 par mojood hai, tak le ja sakti hai.

Jodi ke giravat ke baad kai factors ki asar ho sakti hai. Pehle, market Middle East mein waqe ho rahe halat ke sath larti hai. Dusra, haal hi mein Japan mein darust inflation figures zaahir hue hain. Teesra, agle haftay ke qareeb hone wale Bank of Japan ke intezaar mein tareekh ho rahi hai. Mazboot fayde ke doran, GBP/JPY jodi ka samjha jata hai ke yeh trading range ke andar atki hui hai jo aik rectangle se farahum hoti hai. Is range ki ooper had coincides July 21, 2005 ke low 192.57 ke sath. Yeh range-bound trading activity japanese officials ke taraf se shabde amal ki series ki taraf se influence ki ja sakti hai jo ke yen ko kamzor karne ki koshish mein ki jati hai. Yeh mazeed daba hua momentum indicators se darust kia ja sakta hai - Average Directional Index (ADX) 25 ke neeche bani hui hai, jo ke aik be-hud market ko darust karta hai, aur RSI 50 ke ird gird mandarta ko tasdeeq karta hai. Stochastic indicator, halaanki, apne moving average ke ooper aik mumkinah breakthrough ki taraf ishara deta hai, lekin yeh aik moatasari signal ko nafiz hone ke liye momentum haasil karna hoga. Aik bullish mansooba mein, agar market participants pur umeed rehenge, to woh July 21, 2005 ke low 192.57 ke taraf muqabla karne ki koshish kar sakte hain aur mojooda uptrend line ko january 2, 2024 ko qaim karte hue GBP/JPY jodi ko dobara upar le sakte hain. Yeh ek taaza 2024 ki unchaai ko jan chukka hai, jisme agla maqsood 195.00 level hai.

GBPJPY

Is haftay ke trading ke ikhtitam par, Japanese yen ke keemat baqi sab se baray currencies ke muqablay mein chand dair ke liye barh gayi, 34 saalon ki taqreeban kamzori ke sab se kam darajat se sarne ke baad, jab Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda ne kaha ke agar Japanese yen ke rate ki kamzori import ke kharchon mein izafa karne par le aati hai to central bank mudda karenge. Daarjen ko mazeed barhane ke liye muddat mein interest darbarahat barha sakti hai. Isi tarah, sterling currency pair ke keemat Japanese yen ke khilaaf GBP/JPY ko fori farokht ke amal ka nishana banaya gaya, jiske natije mein yeh 190.29 ke darja tak pahunch gaya, phir jald hi tajziyati report likhne ke waqt 192.00 resistance par wapas chala gaya, aur is haftay ke munafa 192.80 resistance level tak barha. Haal hi ki tajziyati tehqiqat aur mufarqat ke zariye mufarqat ke baad, seedha trading ki salahiyat page ke zariye maine har chadhte hue level se GBP/JPY pair ko bechnay ka mashwara diya.

Japanese central bank governor ne bhi yeh shamil kiya ke Bank of Japan apne agle haftay ki policy meeting mein maheenay bhar ki ittifaqiyat aur keemat ki tajaweezat dikhayega ke yen ki qadar kam hone ka asar muashiyat par kis tarah hai. Authorities ki dakhil hone ki khaufnaakio ne bhi yen ko kuch himayat faraham ki, jab is haftay un ki mulakaton mein top maliyati afsoonkamriyon ne foreks markets ko mushtamil karne par ittefaq kiya.

Magar, Japanese currency 34 saalon ki taqreeban kamzori ke sab se kam darajat ke qareeb rahi, jab Bank of Japan Board Member Asahi Noguchi ne kaha ke muddat mein policy ke adjust ka raftar dheema honay ki tawaqqa hai aur yeh dosray baray central banks ke mukhtalif darjaat ki muqablat mein nahi hai.

Doosri taraf, yeh British pound ke karobari performance par asar daalti hai. Is haftay ke consensus se zyada UK inflation report ne pehli neem shuruati ishaare faraham kiye ke UK ke girte hue inflation trend ko rok diya gaya hai. British Chancellor Jeremy Hunt ne CPI inflation ko 3.2% saalana buniyaadi darajat mein March mein girte hue 3.4% se kaha, lekin market ke rad-e-amal is baat par mabni hai ke yeh figure 3.1% ki tawaqqaat se zyada hai.

Tafseeli taaruf mein kai aur bullish heraat angeziyon ka izhaar hua, jisme mojooda mahine ke CPI, core inflation aur services ka waqt se pehlay numaindagiyan shamil hain. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey ke tajziyati figures ke jawab mein khushgawar, Washington mein aalami central bankers ko bata rahe hain ke tawaqqaat ke mutabiq muddat mein inflation barhta ja raha hai aur agle mahine mein taiz girawat dekhne ko milni chahiye.

Is se yeh maloom hota hai ke tawaqqaat ke mutabiq inflation agle mahine 2.0% ka nishan paar karega, jab April ke gharzat bijli ke daam cut ka gehra asar hoga. Lekin nirasha hawa mein ho sakti hai. "Aaj ke bullish heraat angez surprise ke mutabiq, humein mashwara hai ke pehli reading 2% se neeche tab aayegi, muqablay mein pehlay April ke," Pantheon Macroeconomics ke mukhtasir UK ma'ashiyati daan Rob Wood ka kehna hai.

Bank of England ko apna 2.0% maqsood ko barkarar rakhne ke liye core inflation rate ko mazeed girna hoga. Core inflation ko giraane ke liye, services inflation ko giraana hoga.

Mamooli maaloomaat ke natayej ke mutabiq, services inflation nay march mein hairat angez 6.0% tak barh gayi, jo pehlay mahine ki 6.0% se zyada nahi

GBP/JPY mein kal, peechle din ke uchitata ko update karne ke baad, keemat ulta hui aur dakshin ki taraf dhakela gaya, jis se ek bearish candle ka tanasub bana. Candle ka dakshini saaya peechle din ke range ka bhi uchitata ko update karne mein kamiyab raha, jise poori tarah se engulf kar liya gaya aur samarthan star ke neeche settle ho gaya, jo mere tajziye ke mutabiq 192.247 par tha. Maujooda manzar ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke aaj dakshini harkat jaari rah sakti hai, aur is mamle mein, main 190.036 par waqif samarthan star par nazar rakhoonga. Is samarthan star ke qareeb, do manazir saamne aa sakte hain.

Pehla manzar yeh hai ke ek reversal candle ban sakta hai aur upar ki keemat ka aage badhna jari rahe. Agar yeh mansooba anjaam diya jata hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke keemat samarthan star par wapas laut kar 192.949 ya 193.535 ke samarthan star tak pohanchegi. In samarthan star ke upar keemat ka settle hone par, main mazeed uttar ki taraf ki harkat ka intezar karonga, takreeban samarthan star 195.883 tak. In samarthan star ke qareeb, main trading setup ke banne ka intezaar karonga takay mazeed trading ka rukh tay kiya ja sake. Aur door ki uttar ke maqasid haasil karne ki bhi mumkinat hai, magar main is waqt iska tezi se tasavvur nahi rakhta.

Samarthan star 190.036 par pahunchte waqt keemat ki harkat ke liye ek mukhtalif mansooba hai jahan keemat is star ke neeche settle ho aur dakshin ki taraf chalti rahe. Agar yeh mansooba anjaam diya jata hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke keemat samarthan star 187.974 tak chalegi. Is samarthan star ke qareeb, main bulish signals ki talash jari rakhoonga, upar ki keemat ki harkat ka dobara shuru hone ki umeed rakhte hue. Beshak, door ki dakshin ki maqasid haasil karne ki bhi mumkinat hai, magar agar yeh mansooba amal mein laaya gaya hai, to main keemat ki harkat ka dobara shuru hone ki umeed rakhte hue bulish signals ki talash jari rakhoonga.

Mukhtasir tor par, aaj ke taur par, mujhe lagta hai ke keemat tajziya ke dauran dakshin ki taraf chalne ka mumkin hai. Nazdeek ke sab se qareebi samarthan staron ke qareeb, maujooda global uttar ki manzar ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main bulish signals ka intezar karonga, aur afzaish mein izafa ki tawaqqo rakhta hoon.

GBP/JPY



GBP/JPY seems to be stuck around 191.65 due to economic data. The pair's trading at 191.65 is facing resistance for a week now. The pound's performance is burdened by economic data, especially the weakness in the British service sector, trapping it. Investors are cautiously reviewing the entire stock market before making major decisions. Market silence, influenced by Japanese authorities, poses significant obstacles for GBP/JPY. Traders await improvement indicators to help correct the pair's new trends.

The yen remains uncertain due to monetary policy, while the pound faces forex pressure. Long-term charts indicate a pound downturn, supported by various indicators showing bearish sentiments.

However, on the H4 chart, bulls find some support from moving averages (MAs). If these MAs continue to provide support, traders may reconsider their positions, paving the way for buyers to enter the market.

For instance, on March 20, the asset reached 193.50 and then halted. During this rapid decline, EMA-50 and EMA-34 offered reliable support, aiding in the rebound.

As the market opens, traders closely monitor bear signals from MAs and potential rapid conditions. These analyses assist them in making crucial decisions amidst market fluctuations and refining their strategies.

GBP/JPY

British Pound phir se dabao mein hai jab GBP traders Bank of England (BoE) ke is saal kay kai interest rate cuts se darte hain. Pound familiar lows ke qareeb 190.40 par gir gaya hai, jahan do rate cuts ki tawaqqo hai is saal ke end tak. Yeh pehle ke predictions se mukhtalif hai jin mein do cuts total ki tawaqqo thi, pehla cut shuru mein August ke liye pegged tha. Bank of England ke monetary policy decisions aane wale maheenon mein qareeb se nazar rakhne ki zaroorat hai, jahan economic data jese ke S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for April bhi ek kirdar ada karega. Manufacturing index mein 50.3 ke barabar ko stable dekha ja raha hai, jabke services component mein 53.0 se 53.1 tak ka slight dip nazar aayega. Haal hi mein girawat ke bawajood, GBP/JPY pair ab bhi aik technically bullish position mein hai. Price abhi bhi Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) ke upar trade ho rahi hai, jo overall uptrend ko darust karti hai. Lekin, kuch technical indicators consolidation ya potential trend reversal ki ishaarat de rahe hain. Key Ichimoku lines (Senkou Span A aur B, Tenkan-Sen, aur Kijun-Sen) ke darmiyan kam hone ka matlab hai ke market mein hichkichahat hai. Agar 192.00 ke neeche break ho gaya toh GBP/JPY ko downside risks ka saamna ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar yeh trend line aur 50-day moving average at 190.55 ko guzar gaya.

Doosri taraf, 192.80 resistance level ke breakout ka matlab ho sakta hai ke uptrend jari rahega. Bulls phir 193.00 zone ko target karenge, phir year-to-date high of 193.54 ko. Key technical indicators abhi neutral hain, jo overall market uncertainty ko reflect karte hain. Average Directional Index (ADX) 25 ke neeche hai, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 50 hai, jo clear direction ki kami ko darust karta hai. Stochastic indicator ko upar ki taraf murne ki ishaarat ho sakti hain, lekin confirmation ke liye zyada taqat chahiye hogi. Agar bulls apni confidence maintain karte hain, toh woh July 21, 2005 low at 192.57 ke resistance se muqabla kar sakte hain aur shayad GBP/JPY ko January 2, 2024 uptrend line ke upar push kar sakte hain. Is se naye 2024 high ka inteqal ho sakta hai jo current high of 193.52 ko peechay chhod dega, aur 195.00 area ek mumkin agla target ho sakta hai.

GBP/JPY

Is hafte ke trading ke ikhtitam par, Japanese yen ki keemat briefly digar bara currencies ke khilaf barh gayi, 34 saal ke record se darhamad karte hue, jab Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda ne kaha ke agar Japanese yen ki keemat mein kami se bherhne se import ke costs mein izafa ho sakta hai, toh woh central bank interest rates ko phir se barha sakti hai. Is natije mein, sterling currency pair Japanese yen ke khilaf GBP/JPY sudden selling operations ka nishana bana, jiske natije mein yeh 190.29 level par aaya phir jaldi se 192.00 resistance ke taraf laut aaya likhnay ke waqt ke samay, aur is hafte ke mazeed gains 192.80 resistance level tak barh gaye, aur hal hi mein technical analyzes aur free trading recommendations page ke zariye maine seedha seedha advise diya ke GBP/JPY pair ko har barhte hue level se sell karna chahiye.

Japanese central bank governor ne bhi ye kaha ke Bank of Japan apne quarterly growth aur price forecasts mein next week ke policy meeting mein dikhayega ke yen ki keemat ka economy par kaise asar para. Authorities ki intervention ke khauf ne bhi yen ko thora sa support diya, jab United States, Japan aur South Korea ke top financial officials ne is hafte ki meeting mein forex markets ko harmonize karne ka ikhtiyar diya.

Lekin, Japanese currency 34 saalon ke record ke qareeb bana raha, jab Bank of Japan Board Member Asahi Noguchi ne kaha ke future policy adjustment ka rukh thora saamne ki taraf hai aur ise dosri badi central banks ke saath comparison nahi kiya ja sakta jo latest tightening cycle mein hain.

Doosri taraf, yeh British pound ke performance ko asar daal raha hai. Is hafte ke consensus se zyada UK inflation report ne pehli tentative signs di hain ke UK ki girti hui inflation trend ko roka gaya hai. British Chancellor Jeremy Hunt ne CPI inflation ki 3.2% saalana mein girawat ko 3.4% se kam karne ki khushkhabri ko saraha, lekin market reactions is baat par ghoomi ke yeh figure 3.1% ki expectations se zyada tha.

Tafseelat mein dig into karte hue kuch aur bullish surprises nazar aaye, jese ke timely monthly prints of the CPI, core inflation aur services jin mein sab mein clear signs of resilience nazar aaye. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey ke reaction ko latest inflation figures par optimistic kaha gaya, kehte hue ke inflation expectations ke mutabiq progress kar raha hai aur agle mahine mein ek tezi se girawat dekhne ko milegi.

Is se yeh nazr aata hai ke consensus expectations ke mutabiq inflation next month 2.0% ke target se neeche girne ko mil sakta hai, jab April mein domestic energy price cut ka bada asar hua. Lekin thori disappointment bhi mehsoos ki ja sakti hai. "Aaj ke bullish surprise ka matlab hai ke humein shayad May tak pehli reading 2% ke neeche milne ka intezaar karna padega, compared to the previous April," kehte hain Rob Wood, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

Bank of England ko apne 2.0% inflation target ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, core inflation rate ko aur neeche girna padega. Core inflation ko giraane ke liye, services inflation ko giraana hoga.

Economic calendar data ke natijon ke mutabiq, services inflation surprisingly March mein 6.0% tak barh gayi, jo ke peechle mahine ki 6.0% se zyada nahi thi. Bank of England aur consensus is ko 5.8% tak girne ka intezaar kar rahe the. Deutsche Bank ke mutabiq, services inflation hi problem nahi ho sakti, kyun ke uska dedicated price survey tracker basic commodities par upward pressures dikhata hai. Deutsche Bank ka kehna hai ke headline CPI Bank of England ke 2.0% target ke qareeb pohanch sakta hai second quarter mein, lekin year ke second half mein inflation phir se barhne ki tawaqqo hai, 2-2.5% tak ka range ban sakta hai.

Sterling forecast Japanese yen ke khilaf aaj:

Bhalai ke kuch selling operations ke bawajood, sterling ke price ka general trend Japanese yen ke khilaf (GBP/JPY) ab bhi bullish hai, aur trend mein koi shift nahi aayega daily chart ke performance se neeche without moving towards the support levels of 190.00 and 188.00, respectively. Ab tak, main sterling ko Japanese yen ke khilaf har barhte hue level se sell karne ko prefer karta hoon.

GBP/JPY

Mausam-e-Bazaar mojooda dor mein 191.01 zone ke aas paas ghoom raha hai. Aam tor par, bazaar nigaar khushaamad aur policy updates ko nazdeek se dekheinge jo GBP/JPY currency pair par shadeed asar daal sakte hain. Taawun kismon par hoga jese Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) ka release, Bank of Japan (BOJ) ka Policy Rate decision, Monetary Policy BOJ's Outlook Report, aur uske baad ka BOJ's Press Conference. Ye waqiat shayad ghair mustaqilata ko layein aur GBP/JPY exchange rate mein bazaar ke tabdeelion ko amada karein. UK mein, traders Flash Service aur Manufacturing Index reports par tawajju rakhenge. Ye indicators traders ko bazaar ki jazbat ka mojaad asooli tor par jaanchne mein madad karte hain, khaaskar GBP-related currency pairs ke context mein. By the way, GBP/JPY market mein buyers ko favor karne ka mausemi dafaq hai. Ummeed hai ke buyers aane wale sessions mein pair ko 191.65 ke agle ahem zone tak push kar sakenge. Is liye, hoshiyar trading strategies ko zikar kiya jaana chahiye jo upar diye gaye economic releases aur central bank communications ke potenti asar ko madde nazar rakhte hue banai gayi hon. BOJ's outlook aur policy decisions, sath hi UK economic data, zahir hai ke GBP/JPY ka rukh tay kareinge. Traders ko kisi bhi ghair mutawaqqa tarz e amal ke liye mutawajje rahna chahiye jo bazaar ke dynamics ko badal sakte hain aur apne positions ko us ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye. Umeed hai ke GBP/JPY ke price wapis aayega aur 191.32 zone ke taraf chalne lagega. Aam tor par, is hafte ka wada karta hai ke central bank actions aur economic data releases ki wajah se zaroori market activity hogi. Traders ko maaloomat hasil rakhne, hoshiyari se kaam karne, aur apne trading strategies ko bazaar ke potential fluctuations mein asooli tor par sail karte hue tayyar rehna chahiye.

GBP/JPY

GBP/JPY currency pair ne kuch peechle dino mein 192.00 ke aas paas ghoomne ke baad ek ahem girawat ka samna kiya. Is girawat ka zimmedar Israel aur Iran ke darmiyan tez hoti hui jang hai, jo ke Japanese yen jese safe-haven assets ki demand ko barha kar British pound ko kamzor kar rahi hai. Ab tak, pair 191.19 par trade ho raha hai, jise 0.56% girawat ka samna hai. Halan ke yeh key support levels jese Tenkan Sen, Kijun Sen, aur 50-day moving average ke neeche gir gaya hai, lekin GBP/JPY pair ab bhi technical tor par bullish hai kyun ke yeh Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) ke upar hai. Dilchaspi ki baat hai ke pair ne ek daily low 190.29 se recover kar ke apni mojooda keemat tak pohanch gaya hai. Upward momentum ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, traders ko pair ko dobara 192.00 ke upar push karna hoga aur agle resistance level 192.80 ko conquer karna hoga. Is level ko tor dena 193.00 ke nafsiyati level ko test karne ka raasta banayega, jise 193.54 ke year-to-date high ka dobara test karne mein madad milegi. Ummeedwar tor par, Kijun Sen support 191.06 ke neeche aur ek aur girawat pair ko neeche le ja sakti hai aur pair ko 190.55 ke upward trend line aur 50-day moving average ke intersection ki critical support zone tak push kar sakti hai.

Pair ki girawat ko kuch factors ki milawat se samjha ja sakta hai. Pehli baat, markets Middle East mein taraqqi pazeer situation se nipat rahe hain. Dusri baat, haal mein aayi data ne Japan mein kam inflation figures zahir kiye hain. Teesri baat, aane wale Bank of Japan meeting ke liye tawaqqu ko izafa hai. Ek strong izaafat ke baad, GBP/JPY pair trading range ke andar phas gaya hai jo ke ek rectangle se define hoti hai. Is range ka upper limit July 21, 2005 ke low 192.57 ke sath milta hai. Yeh range-bound trading activity mein Japanese officials ki tarf se yen ko kamzor karne ki taraf mutawajjah verbals interventions ke series ka bhi asar shamil hai. Yeh subdued momentum indicators par zahir hota hai - Average Directional Index (ADX) 25 ke neeche hai, jo ek be-nirnay bazaar ko zahir karta hai, aur RSI 50 ke aas paas tawajju ko samjhaata hai ke investors mein be-nirnayi hai. Stochastic indicator, halaanki, apne moving average ke upar breakout ki taraf ishaara deta hai, lekin isko mustaqil signal ke tor par qubool karne ke liye ismein barqarar momentum ki zaroorat hai. Ek bullish scenario mein, agar bazaar ke hissa daar optimistic reh rahe hain, to woh July 21, 2005 ke low 192.57 ke resistance ko challenge karne ki koshish kar sakte hain aur shayad GBP/JPY pair ko January 2, 2024 ke uptrend line ke upar le ja sakte hain. Yeh ek naya 2024 ka high banane ka raasta dikhayega jo ke mojooda peak 193.52 ko paar karega, agle potenti target ka 195.00 level ho sakta hai.

British Pound phir se dabao ke shikaar hai jab GBP traders Bank of England (BoE) ke is saal mazeed darjaat sastiyo ka khauf rakte hain. Pound familiar lows ke aas paas 190.40 par gir gayi, jahan do darjaat tak sastiyo ki tawaqo ki jati hai. Ye pehle ke taqreeban 2 darjaat ki tawaqo se mukhtalif hai, jahan pehli sasti pehle August ke liye peg ki gayi thi. Bank of England ke maaliyat policy ke faislay aane waale mahinon mein qareeb se nigrani mein rahenge, jahan S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for April jaise maaliyat data bhi ek kirdar ada karega. Tijarat ka index 50.3 par mustaqil rehne ki tawaqo hai, jabke khidmatat ka hissa 53.1 se 53.0 par thora sa girne ki sambhavna hai. Haalanki haal hi mein girawat ka bawajood, GBP/JPY jodi aik takneeki bullish position mein hai. Keemat ab bhi Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo aam tor par ek uptrend ko zahir karta hai. Magar, kuch takneeki indicators consolidation ya aik potential trend reversal ki alamat de rahe hain. Key Ichimoku lines (Senkou Span A aur B, Tenkan-Sen, aur Kijun-Sen) ke darmiyan kam faasla tawajjo ki alamat hai. 192.00 ke neeche ek toot isay GBP/JPY ko niche ki taraf ke riskon ke liye mazeed expose kar sakta hai, khaaskar agar wo trend line aur 50-day moving average ke saath bani support se guzar jaye jo 190.55 par hai.

Dosri taraf, 192.80 resistance level ke breakout ka matlab uptrend ka jari rehne ka ishaara hai. Bulls phir 193.00 zone ki taraf nishana band karenge, jisme saal ki shuruat se yehai high 193.54 shamil hai. Key takneeki indicators abhi madmum hain, jo overall market ki uncertainty ko dikhate hain. Average Directional Index (ADX) 25 se neeche hai, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke aas paas hai, jo saaf direction ki kami ko darust karta hai. Stochastic indicator oopar ki taraf palatne ki alamat dikhayega, lekin tasdeeq ke liye zyada taqatwar momentum ki zarurat hai. Agar bulls aitmaad ko barqarar rakhte hain, to wo July 21, 2005 ki kam low dwara set ki gayi resistance ko challenge kar sakte hain aur shayad GBP/JPY ko January 2, 2024 ke uptrend line ke upar le ja sakte hain. Yeh aik naya 2024 high bana sakta hai jo mojooda high 193.52 ko guzar sake, jahan 195.00 area agla possible nishana ho sakta hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair ke 192.03 ke aas paas giravat ka samna karna kisi bhi trader ke liye mahatvapurna ho sakta hai. Jab ek currency pair mein aise giravat hoti hai, toh uske peeche kai factors hote hain jo market sentiment ko influence karte hain. Sabse pehle, yeh giravat economic indicators aur central banks ke monetary policies ke asar ka natija ho sakta hai. Agar koi central bank monetary policy tighten karti hai ya economic indicators weak dikhte hain, toh yeh currency pair mein giravat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Is tarah ke situations mein, traders economic data aur central bank ke statements ko closely monitor karte hain taaki future ke movements ko anticipate kar sakein. Dusra important factor geopolitical tensions hote hain. Agar koi geo-political event hota hai jaise ki kisi desh mein political instability ya international tensions, toh currency markets mein volatility dekhne ko milti hai. GBP/JPY currency pair mein bhi aise situations mein giravat dekhne ko milti hai. Technical analysis bhi ek important aspect hota hai giravat ko samajhne mein. Traders charts aur technical indicators ka use karte hain taaki trend changes ko predict kar sakein. Agar kisi currency pair ke price levels ko breach kiya jata hai, jaise ki 192.03, toh yeh ek signal ho sakta hai ki trend reversal hone wala hai. Market sentiment bhi giravat ka ek significant factor hai. Agar traders overall negative sentiment mein hain, toh yeh currency pair mein giravat aane ke chances badh jaate hain. News, social media, aur other market participants ke reactions ko analyze karke traders market sentiment ko gauge karte hain. Risk management bhi ek crucial aspect hai jab kisi currency pair mein giravat aati hai. Traders apne positions ko protect karne ke liye stop loss orders ka use karte hain taaki losses ko minimize kiya ja sake. Overall, jab GBP/JPY currency pair mein 192.03 ke aas paas giravat dekhi jaati hai, toh traders ko various factors ko consider karke market movements ko samajhna important hota hai. Economic indicators, central bank policies, geopolitical tensions, technical analysis, market sentiment aur risk management sabhi aspects ko dhyan mein rakhte hue traders apne decisions lete hain.

British Pound phir se dabao mein hai kyun ke GBP traders is saal Bank of England (BoE) ke mutadid interest rate cuts ka khauf rakhte hain Pound ne 190.40 ke aas paas ke familiar lows tak giravat ki, jahan saal ke akhir tak kam az kam do rate cuts ki tawaqo hai Yeh pehle ke peshgoiyon se aik tabdili hai jo pehle do cuts ki tawaqo rakhti thi, jahan pehla cut August mein anay ka tawaqo tha Aanay wale mahinon mein Bank of England ke monetary policy decisions ko qareeb se dekha jayega, aur April ke liye S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) jaise economic data bhi kirdar ada karega Manufacturing index ke 50.3 par steady rehne ki tawaqo hai, jab ke services component mein mamooli kami ho sakti hai, 53.1 se 53.0 tak Haal ke giravat ke bawajood, GBP/JPY jodi technically bullish position mein hai Qeemat abhi bhi Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) ke ooper trade kar rahi hai, jo ke aik overall uptrend ko zahir karta hai Magar, kuch technical indicators consolidation ya mumkinah trend reversal ka ishara dete hain Ichimoku lines (Senkou Span A aur B, Tenkan-Sen, aur Kijun-Sen) ke darmiyan simat'ti doori hichkichahat ko zahir karti hai 192.00 ke neeche tootne par GBP/JPY ko mazeed neeche ki taraf khatraat ka samna ho sakta hai, khaas kar agar yeh trend line aur 50-din moving average jo ke 190.55 par bana hai, se neeche gir jaye

Dusri taraf, 192.80 ke resistance level ke ooper breakout uptrend ke jaari rehne ka ishara de sakta hai Bulls phir 193.00 zone ko nishana bana sakte hain, us ke baad year-to-date high 193.54 ko. Key technical indicators filhaal neutral hain, jo ke overall market uncertainty ko zahir karte hain Average Directional Index (ADX) 25 se neeche hai aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke aas paas hai, jo ke saaf rukh ki kami ko zahir karta hai Stochastic indicator ooper ki taraf palatne ke asaar dikhayi de sakte hain, magar zyada momentum ki tasdeeq ke liye zaroorat hai Agar bulls confidence barqarar rakhte hain, to woh resistance ko challenge kar sakte hain jo July 21, 2005 ke low 192.57 par set hai aur mumkinah tor par GBP/JPY ko January 2, 2024 ke uptrend line ke ooper dhakel sakte hain Yeh 2024 ke naye high tak le ja sakta hai jo mojooda high 193.52 se zyada hai, aur 195.00 area agla nishana ho sakta hai