جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY D1


Sab ko, yahaan yeh assumption hai ke 190.65 ki range mein trade ho rahi hai aur yahaan se rate mein mazeed taqwiyat mil sakti hai. 190.65 ki range ka ghalat breakout bhi mumkin hai. Is ke baad, izafa jari rahega. Mumkin hai ke hum 190.00 ki range mein bhi gir sakte hain aur izafa mazeed jari rahega. Jab humein 190.00 par ghalat breakout ki tasdeeq milti hai, to is se izafa jari rahega. Halqe se halqe tak ishtirak ke baad bhi tasfeerat jari reh sakti hain, izafa mazeed jari rahega. Agar ye 190.00 ke neeche mazboot hota hai, to yeh ek farokht ki alaamat hogi, lekin izafa mazeed jari rahega aur hum 192.25 ka breakout hasil karain ge. 190.70 ki range mein support hai. Mumkin hai ke hum mazeed rollback ke baghair halqe se halqe ishtirak jari rakhen. GBP/JPY ke rate mein haal hee mein tezi se girne ke baad izafa jari rahe hai. Shayad hume 191.00 ki range tak choti rukavat milay, jahan trade waqai hai aur is test ke baad, taqwiyat jari rahegi. Mojooda keemat se, taqwiyat jari rahe hai aur hum 193.50 ki range tak izafa hasil kar sakte hain, jahan humare paas rukawat hai. Agar ye 190.00 ke neeche mazboot hota hai, to farokht ki alaamat hogi. Yeh yeh assumption hai ke hum 192.00 ki range ko toorna aur us par mazbooti hasil karne ka moqa milega, jo ke rate ke izafa ka ishaara hoga, aur yeh meri saraneeyat mein hai.






Yeh wahi hoga, kyun ke GBP/JPY ne 191.44 ke resistance level ko toor diya aur is ke upar mazbooti hasil ki, aur yeh mazeed upar ki taraf chalne ka matlab ho sakta hai, bas intezaar hai ke ek kharidne ka entry point bana hai, aur pehla maqsaad 192.19 ke resistance level hai. Jaise hi keemat us tak pohanchti hai aur us ke upar mazbooti hasil hoti hai, phir bailon ke liye agay barhna asaan ho jayega, kyun ke inka iqtidaar mukammal taur par un ki taraf ho ga. Ek aur mansooba hai, yeh ke keemat 191.44 ke resistance level ke neeche mazboot hoti hai agar bail pehle se iqtidaar ko daba lein, kyun ke yeh hafta ke bad bhi ho sakta hai. To bas ab intezar hai Monday ka aur dekhna hai ke kon sa mansooba haqeeqat mein shuru hota hai.

GBP/JPY aur EUR/JPY ke liye market ke jazbat mein bari farqiat hain jo mainly mukhalif factors ki asar mein hain. Jabke Euro ko manfi khabron aur bunyadi asarat se bohat dabao hai, GBP/JPY ne sirf ek hadood tak giravat mehsoos ki hai, jo ke 189.87 ke darjay tak pohanch gayi hai. Ye ikhtilaf mauqayi trading ke liye mawafiqat paida karta hai. Aaj, a prudent kadam yeh hoga ke 190.22 par hadaf rakhte hue ek buy order shuru karein. Lekin, ehtiyaat bartaraf na karna aur aane wale GBP/JPY ke khaas khabron ke asar ko nazar andaaz na karna bhi ahem hai. Foreign exchange ke zindah maidan mein, market ki taraqqiyat par amal karna maloomat bhara faisla lene ke liye asal hai. Amm taur par, GBP/JPY market ke buyers ke liye faidemand hone aur UK trading session ke dauran khud ko behtar mehsoos karne ki mumkin baat hai.

Is ummed par roshan hai ke EUR/JPY ko mutasir karne wale manfi asarat ke bawajood, GBP/JPY mein izafi giravat kam hai. Ek maqool buy order ke saath traders apne aapko GBP/JPY market ke mumkin upswings se faida uthane ke liye muqarrar kar sakte hain. Lekin, ehtiyaat se amal karna bhi zaroori hai kyun ke khabron ke asar se market ke dynamics jald se jald badal sakti hain. Global iqtisadi factors ki mutasire tarjihon ki wajah se trading strategies ko manzil ke manazir ke jawab mein tabdeel karne ka ahemiyat hai. Waise hi, GBP/JPY ke aas-paas ki maholat ke mukhalif EUR/JPY ke, ek hosheyar approach ko buland karne ka sabab banta hai. Ek soch samjhdar buy order aur ane wale khabron par dhyan dena, traders ko currency market ke complexities mein safar karna mein madad karega. Umeed hai ke GBP/JPY ke liye buyer-friendly market aur UK trading session ke doran ikhtiyar hone wale izafi giravat ke liye ek layer of optimism daal dega. Chaliye dekhte hain aane wale ghanton mein kya hota hai.

GBP/JPY Pair Review

Is haftay ke trading ke doran, GBP/JPY currency pair ki keemat mein tabdeeliyan aayi, lekin amooman trend ab bhi bullish hai, aur bullon ki control mein keemat ke barhav ne 192.24 ke resistance level tak pohanch gaya tha, phir yeh 191.20 ke kareeb stabil ho gaya tha jab tajziya likha gaya. Jismani yen ki kamzori aur Japanese intervention ka intezar market mein yeh yaqeeni banata hai ke is haftay bullon ne trend ko control kiya.

Iqtisadi hawale se aur global central bank policy ke future mein, Major Bank of England survey inflation expectations mein kami ki tasdeeq karta hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke UK ke businesses ke inflation expectations kaam ho rahe hain, jis se Bank of England ko June mein interest rates ko kam karne ki khaab hai. Is lehaaz se, Bank of England ke liye DMP survey jo Britain ke companies ke liye kiya gaya tha, iska consumer price index inflation expectations agle saal tak 3.2% tak March mein gir gaya, jo ke February mein 3.3% se kam hai.

Inflation expectations, maashriyat ke mujmooe ka ahem hissa hain, jo ke hasil shuda inflation ka ek zaroori tajurba hai, jis ka matlab hai ke girte hue inflation expectations Bank of England ke 2.0% target ko wapas pohnchane ka ek ishaara hai. Iqtisadi calendar data ke nateeje ke mutabiq, British Consumer Price Index ke liye teen saal ke liye inflation expectations March tak 2.7% tak gir gaye, yaani, February tak reported kiye gaye teen mahino mein se 0.1 percentage point kam hai. Halankeh inflation expectations girte ja rahe hain, lekin yeh darmiyanah muddat ke expectations bank ke 2.0% target se bhter mojood hain. Bank of England ke kuch members ned naye halat mein yeh kaha hai ke interest rates ko 5.25% tak lambi muddat tak barqarar rakha jana chahiye taake 2.0% ka maqsood hasil ho, jabke doosre jaise Governor Andrew Bailey June mein interest rate mein izafa ka rukh kar rahe hain.

Magar, inflation expectations ke trend aur Britain ke companies ki dynamics wazeh tor par kam ho rahe hain. Special price inflation ke saalana dar teen mahino tak March tak 4.1% ka intezar kiya gaya tha, jo ke February tak teen mahino mein se 4.3% tha.

Magar maashriyat ki barhne wala amel, muashriati inflationary pressures ka asal rukh hai, magar yeh bhi neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. Saalana maashriyat ka intezar March tak teen mahino mein 6.4% tak pohncha, February tak teen mahino mein se 0.3 percentage point kam. Teen mahino ke averages par, UK ke businesses apni maashriyat ki girawat ko agle 12 mahine mein 1.5 percentage point tak dekh rahe hain. Agle saal ke maashriyat ka intezar teen mahino ke moving average par 4.9% tak pohncha.

Saalana rozgaar ki girawat teen mahino tak March mein 2.0% thi, jo ke February mein teen mahino mein se 2.3% thi. Agle saal ke rozgaar ki girawat teen mahino tak March mein 1.4% thi, jo ke February mein teen mahino mein se 0.2 percentage point kam thi. Yeh mazeed saboot hai ke mazid araam hone wale kaarobaar sharaayi shartein aur maashriyat ko target tak girne ki istiqamat ke saath barqarar rakh sakte hain.

Sterling ke khilaaf Japanese yen ke muqablay mein aaj ka tajziya:

Rozana chart ke performance ke mutabiq, British Pound Japanese Yen ke muqablay (GBP/JPY) ki keemat apne mazboot upar ki taraf ka rasta tay kar rahi hai, 192.00 resistance ke ooper stability ka wapas aana technical indicators ki taraf se strong levels ke sath khareed ke liye potential mauqon ko mazboot karta hai. Upar se, main sterling ke khilaaf Japanese yen ko bechna pasand karta hoon. GBP/JPY ke uptrend ka ibtedai tor support levels 189.50 aur 188.00 ki taraf jaane ka mutalba karta hai, res

GBP-JPY Pair Tadrees

Jab se Peer ko kamzori ka samna kia aur EMA 633 h1 line pe thaira hai, to yeh harkat ab tak kam hone ki taraf barhti nahi gayi hai. EMA 633 aik itna mazboot rukawat hai ke ab tak isay phansi nahi kia gaya hai. Kharidardar qeemat ki harkaton ki taraf kisi had tak reh nahi saki. Guzishta Mangal ko trading mein, qeemat ne EMA 633 h1 line ke ird gird jamav ko jari rakha jo dopaher tak chala. European session mein dakhil hone par, aik halka sa urooj hone laga lekin is kamiyabi ka intehai had sirf EMA 36 H1 line tak mehdood thi. Is ilaqe mein qeemat ki rukawat EMA 36 ke sath majmoo ki hui hai aur ye is se musar barish ke qeemati harkat ka rate ko rok rahe hain jab tak American market band nahi ho jata. Qeemat ki harkat 190.21 se 190.65 ke darmiyan mehdood hai jahan up aur down harkatein in ilaqon ke darmiyan hoti hain. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 jo ke niche ki taraf barh rahe hain, ab kamzor hotay ja rahe hain qeemat ke harkat mein kamzor tareeqay se.

H1 Plan

H1 waqt frame pe ki gayi mapping aur oopar di gayi dono waqt frame ki tajziyaat ke mutabiq, aaj ke H1 ke liye GBP-JPY jor ki tajweez ye hai.

Ghora bechna ka imkan zarur sochna chahiye kyunke trend ab bhi barish ki taraf tend kar raha hai, qeemat aasani se 190.19 ke support ko phar skti hai. Agar ye support tor diya gaya to EMA 633 line khud ba khud tor di jayegi, jo ke abhi is support ke sath mawafiq hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ke darmiyan ek mazeed neeche ki taraf crossover ki dubara shakal mein aane se, barish ka trend dobara tasdiq ho jayega aur ye tehqiq hai ke qeemat 189.51 se 188.84 ke support ki taraf mehdood ho sakti hai. Ye ilaqa bechnay ka option ke liye munafa nishan hoga.

Ghora wapas bechnay ka doosra tajweez ho sakta hai agar qeemat ko 200 H1 EMA line ke ilaqe se rad kardia jaye jahan qareebi manzil rozana open is budhvar.

Agar kuch ulta seedha harkat hoti hai jahan qeemat haqeeqi tor par ooper chali jaye to phir qeemat ko intezaar karna chahiye ke 200 H1 EMA ko tor karke aage badhe aur 191.00 resistance ilaqa ko tor karke jaye. Qeemat jo EMA 200 ke ooper chalay jaye aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ke darmiyan aik upar ki taraf crossover ki shakal mein halki hogi, to ye dobara aik bullish rasta khol dega jisme ke qeemat ke izafay ke mumkin darjat 191.67 se 191.88 tak ho sakte hain.

Ghora wapas kharidari ka soch sakta hai agar qeemat ko 189.94 se rad kia jaye jahan ke bullish izafa level 190.74 tak hosakta hai. Order area se 15 pips door stoploss.

Is haftay ke trading ke doran, GBP/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki performance mein idhar udhar tha, lekin aam trend ab bhi bullish hai, aur bullon ki control mein trend ke faide 192.24 ke resistance level tak pahunch gaye the, jahan tak tajziya likhne ke waqt 191.20 ke darje par baith gaye. Khatte mein risk dilchaspi aur Japanese yen ki kamzori ne Japanese market mein dakhal ke intezaar mein is haftay bullon ko trend par control karne ka nuqsaan kiya.
Maeeshati lehaz se aur global markazi bankon ki siyasi mustaqbil ke lehaz se. Baray Bank of England survey ne mahangi umeedein kam hone ka tasdeeq kiya hai. UK ke karobar mahangi umeedein kam hone ka mazeed ishaaraat hain, jo Bank of England ko June mein karz daro ko interest daro mein kami karne ki shak hai. Is lehaz se, Bank of England ke liye Britain ke companies ke liye DMP survey ne agle saal ke consumer price index mahangi umeedon ko 3.2% par ghata kar diya, jo February mein 3.3% se kam hai





Unki taraf se, ma'aashiyatdaan kehte hain ke mahangi umeedain haasil shuda mahangi ka aham hissa hain, jo kehta hai ke girte hue mahangi umeedain Bank of England ke 2.0% maqsood tak mahangi ko wapas lane ka ek nishaan hain. Ma'ashiyati calendar data ke natayej ke mutabiq, Teen saal ke liye British Consumer Price Index ke mahangi umeedain teen mahino mein March tak 2.7% par ghat gayi, yani, February ke teen mahino ke muqablay mein 0.1 percentage points kam. Halan ke mahangi umeedain girte hue hain, magar ye darmiyanay muddat ki umeedain bank ke 2.0% maqsood se bohot ooncha reh gaya hai. Bank of England ke kuch azaa kahein hain ke interest daro ko lambi muddat tak 5.25% par rehne diya jana chahiye taake 2.0% ko hasil kiya jaye, jabke doosre jaise Governor Andrew Bailey June mein interest daro mein kami ki taraf mutawajjah hain.

GBPJPY D1 Time Frame

GBPJPY currency pair (British pound aur Japanese yen) haal hi mein aik darustat aur be-sabar muddat guzar rahi hai. Takneeki tajziya ke lehaz se, rozana chart par karobar pair ko aham leharon 190.00 aur 195.00 ke darmiyan aik jama hui halat mein nazar aata hai. 50 din ka asaan rahne wala woh abhi 192.50 ke qareeb hai, jo ke hilati hui muddat ke darmiyan hai. Keemat ne is jama hui halat ke doono intehayein bar bar azmaya hai, lekin taqatwar bull aur bear forces GBPJPY ko in takneeki lehron ke darmiyan mehdood rakhte hain.

Aam takneeki indicators dekhne par, 14 din ka relative strength index (RSI) 50 ke aas paas tair rahe hai, jo ke market mein be-sukooni ki nishaan hai. Asaan mojooda maeeshat samet rukh mein kisi strong faislay ki taraf nahi ja rahi. Upar ki taraf, bull ko 195.00 resistance area ko torne par British pound ki maeeshat ki taraf behtar hali dekhne ki zaroorat hai. Ye GBPJPY ko 2021 ki oonchi darjat ki taraf dobara imtehan dene ki sakti hai. Neeche ki taraf, 190.00 aur 50 din ka SMA ke tor par torochari harkat ko barhawa dena sab se zyada mumkin hai aur 168.00 support ko khaas tor par dekha jayega. Kul mila kar, GBPJPY aik takneeki moor par atki hai be-mutabiq fundamental forces ke darmiyan. Karobari log support ke qareeb khareed kar aur resistance ke muqable mein farokht karne ki soch sakte hain. Magar, is pair ke 190.00 se 195.00 ke darmiyan hawaleyon se aik wazeh rukh ki taraf kisi tahafuzi bahali ki zaroorat hai. Is pair ke liye wazeh rukh ki taraf ko is haalat se guzarna hai. Dekhne wale ahem waqeyat Bank of England ka niti faisla, UK ki maeeshati data aur Japanese yen ki safe-haven ki appeal ko mutasir karne wali behtar maeeshat hai.

GBP/JPY Daily Time Frame:

Sab ko shab bakhair, ek guman hai ke trade 190.65 range mein hai aur wahan se humein rate mein mazeed taqwiyat mil sakti hai. 190.65 range ka aik ghalat breakout bhi jaiz hai. Is ke baad, izafa jari rahega. Yeh mumkin hai ke hum 190.00 range mein bhi gir sakte hain aur izafa jari rahega. Jab hum 190.00 ke ghalat breakout ki tasdeeq milay gi, to is se izafa jari rahega. Is ke baad mojooda se correction shayad phir bhi jari rahe aur izafa jari rahega. Agar yeh 190.00 ke nichay jamay, to yeh ek bechne ka signal hoga, lekin izafa shayad jari rahega aur hum 192.25 ka breakout hasil karenge. 190.70 range mein support hai. Yeh kafi mumkin hai ke izafa mojooda se jari rahe bina kisi rollback ke. GBP/JPY rate haal hi mein tezi se girne ke baad izafa jari rakhta hai. Shayad hum 191.00 range mein chhotay se impulse tak pohanchenge, jahan trade hai aur is test ke baad, taqwiyat jari rahegi. Mojooda qeemat se, taqwiyat jari rahegi aur hum 193.50 range tak izafa hasil kar sakte hain, jahan humein resistance hai. Agar yeh 190.00 ke nichay jamay, to yeh bechnay ka signal hoga. Yeh guman hai ke hum 192.00 range ko torh sakte hain aur is par mazbooti se qaim ho jaen ge, jo rate ko izafa ke liye aik signal hoga, aur yeh mera sab se aham pehlu hai.

GBP/JPY H4 Time Frame:

Zyadatar yehi hoga, kyunki GBP/JPY ne 191.44 ke resistance level ko torh diya aur is ke upar jamaya, aur yeh shayad mazeed urooj ke liye ishare hai, ab sirf ek kharid darwaza banne ka intezar hai, aur pehla maqam 192.19 ke resistance level hai. Jese hi qeemat is tak pohanchti hai aur is ke upar jamti hai, to bhais ko agay chalkane mein asaan ho jayega, kyunki imdaad poora un ki taraf ho gi. Ek aur manzar hai, yeh hai ke qeemat 191.44 ke resistance level ke nichay jamti hai agar bhaalon ko imdaad hasil ho jaati hai, kyunki yeh bhi ho sakta hai hafta ke baad. To ab sirf peer ka intezar hai aur dekhte hain ke kaun sa manzar haqeeqat mein shuru ho jata hai.

GBP/JPY Dailly Time Frame:

Sab ko shab bakhair, yahan yeh guftagu hai ke 190.65 ke range mein ek tehqeeq hai aur wahan se raat ki mazeed taqat hasil ho sakti hai. 190.65 ke range ka ek jhoota toot bhi mumkin hai. Is ke baad, izafa jari rahe ga. Mumkin hai ke hum 190.00 ke range mein bhi gir sakte hain aur izafa mazeed jari rahe. Jab humein 190.00 par jhoota toot ka tasdeeq milta hai, to izafa is se jari rahe ga. Is ke baad bhi, halqi durusti ke baad, izafa jari reh sakta hai. Agar yeh 190.00 ke neeche mazboot ho jata hai, to yeh ek farokht ka pegham hoga, lekin izafa mazeed jari rehne ki sambhavna hai aur hum 192.25 ke toot ke sath bhi bahar aa sakte hain. 190.70 ke range mein support hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke izafa mojooda halat se bina wapas kiye jaye. GBP/JPY darajat ek haal hi mein tezi se izafa kar rahi hai. Shayad humein 191.00 ke range mein chhoti si tawazun mil jaye, jahan karobar hai aur is imtehan ke baad taqat hasil hogi. Mojooda qeemat se, taqat hasil hoti rahegi aur hum 193.50 ke range tak izafa kar sakte hain, jahan hamare pas rukawat hai. Agar yeh 190.00 ke neeche mazboot hota hai, to farokht ka pegham hoga. Yeh tasavvur hai ke hum 192.00 ke range ko tor kar ke buland ho sakte hain, aur is par qadam rakhne ka pegham raat ko milay ga, aur yeh meri aham raftar mein hai.

GBP/JPY H4 Time Frame:

Zyada tar yeh ho sakta hai, kyun ke GBP/JPY ne 191.44 ke resistance level ko tor kar ke istiqamat hasil kiya, aur is ka matlab hai ke mazeed buland rawani mumkin hai, ab bas ek kharidne ka dakhil point ka intezar hai, aur pehla maqam 192.19 ke resistance level hai. Jaise hi qeemat is tak pohanchti hai aur is par istiqamat hasil hoti hai, to bhale karne wale ke liye mazeed aage barhna asaan ho jaye ga, kyun ke in ki taraf poori mansooba bandi hogi. Ek aur manzar hai, yeh ke agar bhale hum weekend ke baad bhi bear ishtimal kar lein, to qeemat 191.44 ke resistance level ke neeche istiqamat hasil kar rahi hai. Isliye bas intezar hai ke peer ko dekha jaye aur dekha jaye ke kaun sa manzar asal mein sach hoga.

GBPJPY

GBP/JPY currency pair ek tang trading range ke andar phansa hua hai, jis se bade nuqsanat ka koi izhar nahi ho raha. Magar, aik umeed ka charagh ek pennant pattern ke shakl mein ubhar raha hai, jo aane wale waqt mein aik faisla saazi ka izhar hone ki sambhavna ko ishara karta hai. Jab hum daily chart ki tafseelat mein dakhil ho rahe hain, toh zahir ho raha hai ke market ka jazba mohim par hai, jo bullish aur bearish rujhanon ke darmiyan dubla pad gaya hai. Lambay arse tak ke musattar ikhtisaar ka muzahira kharidar aur farokht karne walon ke darmiyan toor par hota hai, jahan kisi bhi taraf ko kisi had tak fayda nahi mil raha. Takneekai tajziya mein, patterns aksar mustaqbil ke qeemat ki harkatain darust karne wale ahem nishanat ke taur par kaam karte hain. Is maqam par aik pennant pattern ka ban jana, aik tazedaar qeemat ki harkat ke baad ek moattar dour ko darust karta hai, jise aksar ghattey huay volatility aur milte hue trendlines ke sath jana jata hai. Is pattern ko aik hamahangayi tirchah se markazi triangle ke roop mein nishaan diya jata hai, jiski noke iske qareebi hal chal ke liye ek markazi nukta faraham karta hai.

Daily chart ko tafseel se dekhte hue, hum GBP/JPY ke qeemat ki harkat ki dhire dhire milao, jo pennant formation ke hadood mein qaid hai, ko dekhte hain. Yeh tang hone wala silsila ek waqtanwi istequam ko darust karta hai, jab takneekai hissa ek decisive rukh ko dhaakelne ke liye ek mufeed samar ka muntazir hai. Is pattern ki ahmiyat is mein hai ke ye do rukh wale breakout ko jalanay ka potentiol rakhta hai, jise traders ko upar aur neeche ke harkat par faida uthane ki imkanat faraham karta hai. Pennant ka hamahangayi fitrat aik jari rehnay ya mukhalif hony ki barabar sambhavna ko darust karta hai, jo masla ko ghair yaqeeni banata hai.

Takneekai tajziya ahem shaoor faraham karta hai, magar mukhtalif tareeqaiyat aur bunyadi factors ko mad e nazar rakhna bhi zaroori hai jo GBP/JPY ke rukh ko bhaunchnay mein asar andaz hotay hain. Maaliati data releases, geopolitical developments, aur central bank policies, tamaam currency movements ko shakal denay mein aik barhamani kirdar ada karte hain, jo takneekai patterns ke daure ke baahar asar andaz hotay hain. Halat ke hawale se, geopolitical tensions, maaliat ka ghair yaqeeni, aur monetory policies mein tabdeeliyan GBP/JPY ke manzar par naqliyat ka sabab ban rahi hain. Traders ko ehtiyaat aur chokasi banae rakhna zaroori hai, aur volatile market mahol ke takneekai asrat se nawaazna karne ke liye apne tareeqaiyat ko muzaim karna hoga.

British Pound ki taizi kam hui jab Japanese Yen (JPY) mazboot ho gaya. GBP/JPY pair ne apnay Tuesday ke faiday ko kho diya aur Asian trading mein Wednesday ko kareeb 188.70 tak gir gaya. Ye tabdeeli speculation ki bina par hui hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) March mein interest rates ko barha sakta hai. Kayi factors JPY ki izafa aur GBP ki kami ko barhwa rahay hain. Sab se pehlay, Japan ke labor market se achi nishanat samne aai hain. Renju, Japan ka bara union, ne wage negotiations mein shandar 5.85% ki izafa ko hasil kiya hai, jo teen dasroon mein pehli dafa 5% se zyada hai. Chief Cabinet Secretary Hayashi Yoshimasa ne bhi broad-based wage hikes ki khuwahish ko izhar kiya hai. Ye mazbooti wage growth, producer inflation data ke higher-than-expected hone ke sath, BoJ ko monetary policy ko pehlay se zyada jaldi tighten karne ke liye suggest karta hai. Ye soorat-e-haal JPY ko mazboot karta hai aur GBP/JPY pair ko kamzor karta hai. Waqt ke sath, UK ki economic outlook nahi nazar aati. UK mein wage growth ki raftaar kam hoti ja rahi hai. Average earnings, including bonuses, November 2023 aur January 2024 ke darmiyan 5.6% tak gir gayi hai, pehle se 5.8% se. Bonuses ko chhod kar, tasveer wahi hai, saalana wage growth 6.1% se 6.2% par girti hai. Ye data Bank of England (BoE) ke is saal interest rates ko kam karne ki umeedon ko barha deta hai, Pound par neechay ki dabao daalta hai.

Jabke Pound haal mein behtar tareen major currencies mein se aik tha, Commerzbank ke analaysts iski lambay arsay ki taqat par ihtiyat se nazar rakhte hain. Mojooda raftar nazar se bohat hi nazuk hai, aur 20-day EMA (exponential moving average) jo ke 189.50 par hai, iske neeche girna aagay ke izafa ko dor kar sakta hai. Ye GBP/JPY ke qeemat ko 50-day EMA jo 187.50 par hai, ki taraf khench sakta hai aur mukhtalif satah ko dobara test karne ki taraf ja sakta hai jaise ke 186.00 base aur 184.00-184.50 ilaqa. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/JPY jodi ko nichlay dabao ka saamna hai agar market behtar na ho aur prices ko 191.14 ke darja se oopar nahi uthaya jata. Yen ki taqat, Japan mein tang monetary policy ki umeedon aur musbat wage developments se barhi hai, jabke UK ki wage growth ki raftaar kam hoti ja rahi hai aur BoE ke rate cuts ke izafe ki tawaqo ki baat chal rahi hai. Ye mukhtalif ma'ashiyati signals currency pair mein hal hilne ki wajah hain.

GBP/JPY mein kal, khareedne wale uttar ki sahoolat jari nahi rakh sake aur ye saabit ho gaya ke ek chhote uttari palat ke baad, keemat ulat gayi aur kaafi bharosa se neeche dhakela gaya, jis ki wajah se ek poori sahoolat bearish mombati bani, jo peechle daily range ke andar band hui. Main puri tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke aaj aina support level kaam ayega, jo meri nishandahi ke mutabiq 191.318 par waqe hai. Iss support level ke qareeb halat ke barhne ki do suratain ho sakti hain. Pehla manzar murnay wali mombati ke banne ka taluq rakhta hai aur girah ki bharpoor barhawat ke sath dobara izaafah ki umeed hai. Agar ye mansooba kaam ayega, toh unhe keemat ko wapas resistance level tak dekha jayega, jo 193.535 par waqe hai. Agar keemat is resistance level ke upar jama hoti hai, toh main aur uttari harkat ka intezar karunga, jo keemat ko 195.883 par waqe resistance level tak le jayega. Iss resistance level ke qareeb main ek trading setup ke banne ka intezar karunga, jo trading ke agle rukh ka tay karna madad karega. Beshak, main tasleem karta hoon ke keemat ko zyada uttar tak daba diya ja sakta hai, jo 199.777 par waqe resistance level tak hai, lekin yahan par halat ka jayeza lena hoga aur sab kuch us par munhasir hoga ke keemat ke chalne ke saath kaisa khabar ka mausam shamil hoga aur keemat nishchit dhoori uttari maqasidon ka reaction kaise hoga. Keemat ke nazdeek support level 191.318 ke qareeb aa jaane par qeemat ke harqat ke liye ek murnay wala mansooba bhi ek plan ho sakta hai, jahan keemat is level ke neeche consolidating karti hai aur phir mashriq ki taraf chalne ki umeed hai. Agar ye mansooba kaam ayega, toh main keemat ka intezar karunga ke wo 188.229 par waqe support level tak chali jaye. Main iss support level ke nazdeek bullish signals ka talaash jaari rakhoonga, umeed hai ke upar keemat ki barhawat ka marammat hone par. Amm tor par, iss ko chand alfaz mein kahne ka aik mojooda sa global uttari trend ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, aaj main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke keemat nazdeek ka aina support level kaam ayega, aur phir, mojooda uttari harkat ka intezar karte hue bullish signals ki talaash mein rahunga

GBP/JPY H-4 timeframe ka tajziya:

Hamay umeed hai ke kal 192.09 range se bahar nikal jayenge. Jab tak yeh iske neeche na aaye, agar yeh kare to yeh behtareen waqt hai ise bechnay ka. Abhi main apni trade rakhne ke liye 190.70 range ke bahar breakout ka intezar kar raha hoon. Jesa ke aap dekh sakte hain, iske neeche abhi bhi bohot se stop orders hain. Is wajah se price 190.00 tak badh sakti hai, jo ke trading range ka upper limit hai. 182.15 range ka false break ek bechnay ka signal ho sakta hai. 192.08 range ka breakdown hote hi humne pehle hi aik correct increase dekha hai. Agar hum iske neeche se consolidate ho jaye, to yeh hume stock bechne ka wajah dega. Abhi bhi yeh mumkin hai ke humein ek upward correction mil jaye. Lekin uske baad giravat jaari rahegi. Sellers ke liye ek badiya mauka hona chahiye agar wo giravat ko 191.07 range tak le jaye aur uske neeche se consolidate ho jaye; yeh unke liye ek badiya mauka hoga. Jab tak hum 190.45 range se bahar nikal jaye aur uske upar consolidate ho jaye, yeh behtareen waqt hoga khareedne ka, jab tak hum pehle is range se bahar na nikal jaye. Agar humein phir se ek correct upward impulse milta hai, maslan, 192.00 range ke andar, to phir ek aur bechnay ka mauka ho sakta hai. Agar humein phir se ek upward correction impulse milta hai, to hum aur bhi bech sakte hain agar hum 190.30 ke neeche se consolidate ho jaye. Kyunki hum abhi 191.70 pe hain, toh rollback ka ek mauka hai kyunke yeh ek trade hai jise hum faida utha sakte hain. Giravat ki taraf dekhte hain, yeh samjha jata hai ke yeh 192.00 se local maximum tak girne ka manzoor hai. Hum 190.05 local minimum range se bahar nikal sakte hain aur jaldi mein uske neeche se consolidate ho sakte hain, jo ke stock ko bechne ka acha waqt hoga. Aaj thodi si giravat jo mili hai, woh abhi bhi yeh zahir karta hai ke yeh aage bhi jari rahegi. Chahe kitne bhi upward impulses ho sakte hain, agar aap bahut se upward impulses banane ki koshish karte hain, toh aap giravat ko baad mein rok nahi sakte, chahe kitne bhi upward impulses aap banaye. Agar humein 191.13 range ka false breakout milta hai agar humein milta hai, toh phir humein bhi ek bechnay ka badiya wajah milega agar humein range ka false breakout milta hai.

GBP/JPY



Good afternoon sab invest social members, umeed hai sab khairiyat se honge aur is analysis ka maza lenge. Jab hum is currency pair ki dynamics par ghoorte hain, toh zaroori hai ke iske movements ko influence karne wale mool karano ko samajhna. GBPJPY pair, jo ke British pound (GBP) aur Japanese yen (JPY) se bana hai, duniya bhar mein economic trends aur geopolitical developments ka tayyar hai aur iske movements kaafi volatile hote hain. Traders jo iska potential istemal karna chahte hain, unhe kai factors par dhyan dena hoga, jaise ke central bank policies, economic data releases, trade negotiations, aur geopolitical tensions. Halat ka analysis karte waqt, kuch indicators indicate karte hain ke GBPJPY mein long position ka sochna faydemand ho sakta hai. Pehle toh, United Kingdom se aaye hue halat ki economic data, resilience aur recovery ke signs dikhate hain, jaise ke GDP growth, employment figures, aur consumer sentiment mein positive trends. Saath hi, Bank of England ka monetary policy stance, jo economic growth ko support karne ke liye measures leti hai, pound mein confidence ko aur bhi strong banata hai. Dusri taraf, Japanese yen ka performance domestic aur global factors dono par depend karta hai. Jab Japan subdued inflation aur economic challenges se nipat raha hai, tab yen market uncertainty ke dauran safe-haven status se fayda uthata hai. Magar, jab global risk sentiment improve hota hai aur investors ko zyada risk lene ki ichha hoti hai, toh yen ka safe-haven appeal kam ho sakta hai, jo GBPJPY ko strengthen kar sakta hai.

Iske alawa, GBPJPY charts ki technical analysis traders ke liye valuable insights provide karti hai potential entry aur exit points ke liye. Key technical indicators, jaise ke moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur trend lines, patterns aur trends ko identify karne mein help karte hain, effective trading strategies ke formulation mein madadgar hote hain. Market sentiment ke hawale se, bahut se traders ke beech bullish outlook hai, UK ki economic recovery ke aas-paas optimism, continued central bank support ki expectations, aur post-pandemic global economic rebound ke prospects ke sath. Yeh positive sentiment GBPJPY mein increased buying interest ko translate kar sakta hai, jo long position ka case ko reinforce karta hai. Magar, trading GBPJPY ke associated risks ko acknowledge aur manage karna zaroori hai, jaise ke currency volatility, geopolitical uncertainties, aur unexpected economic developments. Risk management strategies implement karna, jaise ke stop-loss orders set karna aur portfolios ko diversify karna, potential losses ko mitigate karne aur trading capital ko safeguard karne ke liye essential hai. Aaj ka trading day traders ke liye ek enticing opportunity hai GBPJPY currency pair par long position ka consider karne ke liye. Informed rehna, thorough analysis conduct karna, aur prudent risk management practices adopt karna, traders ko potential market movements ka faida uthane aur apne trading objectives ko achieve karne mein madadgar hoga

GBP/JPY

GBPJPY currency pair jo British pound aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan trading hoti hai, woh haal hi mein ek period mein volatility aur uncertainty ka samna kar rahi hai. Technical analysis ke nazariye se, daily chart par price action dikhata hai ki pair key levels 190.00 aur 195.00 ke beech mein sideways consolidation pattern mein trade ho rahi hai. 50-day simple moving average abhi lagbhag 192.50 ke aaspaas hai, jo haal hi ke range ka beech ka bhaag hai. Price ne is range ke upper aur lower boundaries ko baar-baar test kiya hai, lekin mazboot bullish aur bearish forces lagta hai ki GBPJPY ko in technical levels ke andar hi bandh rakhte hain.

Aam technical indicators ko dekhte hue, 14-day relative strength index (RSI) 50 level ke aaspaas hai, jo market mein uncertainty ko darshata hai. Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) histogram zero ke qareeb print kar raha hai bina kisi strong directional bias ke. Upside mein, bulls ko ek decisive break 195.00 resistance area ke upar dekhna hoga jismein market sentiment ko British pound ke prati sudhar hoga. Yeh GBPJPY ko 2021 ki high mark kiya gaya 167.00 level ko dobara test karne ka darwaza khol sakta hai. Downside mein, 190.00 aur 50-day SMA ke break hone par selling momentum ko tezi se badha sakta hai aur 168.00 support ko focus mein la sakta hai. Overall, GBPJPY ek technical holding pattern mein atki hui hai conflicting fundamental forces ke darmiyan. Traders range play karne ke liye support ke qareeb kharidna aur resistance par bechna dekh sakte hain. Magar, is pair ke liye ek catalyst ki zarurat hogi jo recent 190.00 se 195.00 boundaries ke bahar ek clear directional bias de. Key events mein se jo dekhne layak honge woh honge Bank of England policy decisions, UK economic data, aur broader risk sentiment ke shifts jo Japanese yen ke safe-haven appeal ko influence karte hain.

GBP/JPY

Is haftay ke trading mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ka performance fluctuate hua, lekin amomi tor par trend bullish hai, aur bull ke control mein gains ne 192.24 resistance level tak pohancha, jabke analysis likhne waqt 191.20 level ke aas paas stable ho gaya. Risk appetite aur Japanese yen ki kamzori jo ke Japanese intervention ka intezar karte huye, ye ensure karte hain ke is haftay bull trend ko control karein.

Iqtisadi lehaz se aur global central bank policy ke future ke hawale se. Major Bank of England survey inflation expectations mein decline confirm karta hai. Yeh further signs hain ke UK business inflation expectations ghatey ja rahe hain, jo ke Bank of England ko June mein interest rates cut karne ka bet strengthen karte hain. Is rawayya mein, Bank of England ki taraf se conduct kiye gaye DMP survey ke mutabiq Britain ke companies mein consumer price index inflation expectations next year tak March mein 3.2% tak gir gaya, jo ke February mein 3.3% se kamzor ho gaya.

Unki taraf se, economists ka kehna hai ke inflation expectations achieved inflation ka ek ahem hissa hain, jo ke yeh matlab hai ke girte hue inflation expectations Bank of England ko 2.0% target mein wapas laane ka ishara hain. Economic calendar data ke natije ke mutabiq, British Consumer Price Index ke liye 3 saal ke liye inflation expectations March tak 2.7% tak gir gaya, yani February ke 3 mahinon ke muqable mein 0.1 percentage points kam ho gaya. Halankay inflation expectations continue girte ja rahe hain, lekin yeh medium-term expectations bank ke 2.0% target se kafi ooper hain. Bank of England ke kuch members halaat ka faisla karte hain ke interest rates ko lamba arsa 5.25% par rakhna zaroori hai ke 2.0% target achieve ho sake, jabke Governor Andrew Bailey jese doosre members ko June mein rate cut ka lean nazar aata hai.

Magar, inflation expectations mein giravat aur companies in Britain ke dynamics clearly lower hain. Special price inflation ka annual rate March tak 3 mahinon ke liye 4.1% expect kiya gaya, jo February ke 3 mahinon ke liye 4.3% se kam ho gaya.

Magar wage growth, domestic inflationary pressures ka mukhya driver, high hai, lekin downward trend mein hai. Annual wage growth March tak 3 mahinon ke liye 6.4% tak pohancha, jo February ke 3 mahinon ke liye 0.3 percentage points se kam ho gaya. 3 mahinon ke averages ke mutabiq, UK businesses apni pay growth ko next 12 months mein 1.5 percentage points girne ki umeed rakhte hain. Expected wage growth next year 3 mahinon ke moving average ke mutabiq 4.9% tak gir gaya.

Annual employment growth March tak 2.0% raha, jo February ke 3 mahinon ke liye 2.3% record kiya gaya tha. Expected employment growth next year March tak 1.4% raha, jo February ke 3 mahinon ke liye 0.2 percentage points se kam ho gaya. Yeh aur saboot deta hai ke labor market conditions mein easing hai, jo ke wage growth ko continue fade hone mein madadgar hai aur inflation sustainably target tak gir sakti hai.