جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Normalization ke nishan Japani ma'ashi mein zahir ho rahe hain, kuch companies ne faa'ida mandi ko barqarar rakhne ke liye staff ko kam kar diya hai. Ujrat ki muzakrat ne mazeed ujrat barhane ke nataij diye hain, jo BOJ ko apne manfi munafa nisbat khatam karne ka ghoor o fikar karne ke liye mazeed josh faraham karte hain. Magar, jabkay bohot se CEOs manfi interest rates ka khatma muntazir hain, unka koi siasati tanfidh kisi waqt bhi na umeed hai. Suntory Holdings Ltd. ke CEO Takeshi Niinami ka khayal hai ke mustaqbil mein dekhne wale mizaj e isti'faal aur barhaye hue ujrat ke zariye consumer tajurbaat aur izafi sahami ko barqarar rakhne ke liye narm siasati tadabeer ka saliqa hai.
GBPJPY jodi ne nichle janib ki tezi dikhayi hai, jismein girawat mein numaya taqat nazar aati hai. Kharidaron ki koshishen ke bawajood qeemat ko buland karnay ki dhaarkiyan mukhtalif hain, unki koshishat hadd se zyada mehdood hain, jo musalsal nichle harkat ka nateja hai. Girne ki taraf structural uroojain aam hain, jo ek bearish rukh ko darust karti hain. Ahem darusti ka darja 190 ke qareeb hai, lekin hal ki qeemat ki harkat se maloom hota hai ke ek taayun hai ka trend 186.50-186.00 tak ka ahem sahara hissa ban sakta hai. Ye darja kharidaron ka tawajju ko apni taraf kheenchne ke liye tayyar hai aur market ki dynamics mein aik ahem nuqta ban sakta hai

Mozu' kay moatbar bearish tajurba ko ulta karne ke liye, forokhtgar 190 ke asar ko barqarar rakhna zaroori hoga. Is darje ka tootna market ki tawajju ko manzil badalne ka sabab bana sakta hai, mumkin hai ke bullish tabdili ko rawana kare aur naye bulandiyon tak pohanchne ki koshish kare.
Mukhtasar mein, GBPJPY jodi mein aik waziha nichli rukh nazar aa raha hai, jahan kharidaron ka control hai. Ab tawajju ahem sahara darjo'n par mabni hai, khaaskar 186.50-186.00 ke qareeb, jo mustaqbil ki market ki dynamics ko tay kar sakte hain. Kharidaron aur forokhtgaron ke darmiyan is darje ke ird gird taluqat nazdeeki dor mein jodi ke rukh ko tay karne mein ahem honge

Is haftay ke pechle somwar ko, bechnay walay tabqay ne is jori ko kafi ahem nichi rukh mein le jaane mein kamyabi haasil ki, jaisa ke maine is roshan subah par notice kiya. Yaqeenan, agar aap tawajju dein, toh yeh bearish mombati jo bani hai woh size mein bara nahi hai aur pehle din bani gayi bullish mombati ke muqable mein abhi bhi choti hai. Is ke ilawa, mombati ke ooper abhi bhi kaafi lambi dhum hai. Yeh ishara hosakta hai ke abhi tuk bechnay walay tabqa is acha moqa hasil karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Aise market ke halat ko dekh kar, mujhe lagta hai ke EUR-JPY jori ke liye aaj bhi nichi rukh jaari rakhne ka kaafi moqa hai. Agla, main mazeed tafseeli tajziyah bhi dene wala hoon, jis mein main H1 waqt frame ke zariye keemat ke harkaat ko dekh kar, yeh subah ke aghaz mein, keemat 162.19 ke level par pivot area ke neeche khula. Is pivot theory ka istemaal kar ke agar keemat pehla support area 161.72 ke level ko guzar sakti hai, toh yeh EUR-JPY jori ko aur neeche girane ka sabab banay ga. Toh EUR-JPY jori ke liye ek trading taaleem ke tor par, is kaafi wazeh tajziyah ke mutabiq, main ab bhi moqa talash karonga ke jab keemat pehla support area ko guzar sake, tab ek aur bechnay ka order lagane ka.



Is ke ilawa, ek aur bechnay ka option yeh hai ke keemat ko pehle ooper le jaane diya jaye, jab tak woh pehla rukawat area tak pohanchta hai jo ke 162.47 ke level par hai, shart yeh hai ke agar keemat rukawat area ko guzar nahi sakti. GBPJPY ki keemat rukawat ki himayat area mein hai jo ke maine manvi tor par waqt frame mein naqsha banate hue banai hai. Rozana, meri taksir yeh hai ke kharid-dar keemat rukawat area ko guzar sakein gi aur lambay arsay tak bullish trend ki surat mein jari rahegi, is liye main mashwara deta hoon ke GBPJPY market mein kharid-dar ke jhonke ka peecha kiya jaye aur dakhil hone ke signals talash kiye jayein.

GBP/JPY ko Jumeraat ko Japan Bank apni interest rate ka faisla announce karegi toh shayad nihayat hi khasarati hoga. Umeed hai ke Japan Bank interest rates barha sakti hai aur agar yeh hota hai toh GBP/JPY ki qeemat bohot zyada kam ho sakti hai. GBP/JPY pair Great British Pound aur Japanese yen ke liye chhota term hai. Great British Pound aur Japanese yen ko "Guppy" bhi kehte hain. Pehle hum tafseelat mein dakhil ho jayein, toh GBP/JPY rate ka matlab kya hai? Exchange rate aapko batata hai ke kitne Japanese yen (quote currency) ki zaroorat hoti hai ek Pound (base currency) kharidne ke liye. Maslan, agar pair 145.77 par trade ho raha hai, toh iska matlab hai ke 1 pound kharidne ke liye 145.77 yuro chahiye. Pound sterling (symbol: £; ISO code: GBP), aam tor par pound ke naam se jana jata hai aur kam tor par sterling ke tor par zikar kiya jata hai, United Kingdom ka qanooni currency hai. Mukhtalif waqt par, pound sterling sarmaya paisa ya sone ya chandi se di gayi bank notes thi, lekin ab yeh Fiat money hai, sirf uski istemal ki taraf se pechay rehta hai jitna mumkin ho sake.

Magar, Bank of England aur Japan ke central banks ke darmiyan mukhtalif interest rates ka farq global arzi mandi ka doraan nihayat zyada barh gaya hai, jisse Yen ki qeemat barh gayi. British Pound (GBP) vs. Japanese Yen (JPY) ek nihayat hi ajeeb pair hai.



JPY aam tor par ek funding currency ke tor par istemal hota hai kyunke yeh tareekhi tor par ek kam yielding currency hai. Kyunke UK Europe mein ahem muashiyat mein shamil hai, is liye GBPJPY pair global arzi sehat ka ek badal bhi hosakta hai. Dosri taraf, yeh pair market 'risk-off' actions ke liye ek representer ka kaam karta hai jab carry trade ulta hota hai. Is nateeje mein, GBPJPY mazid hazaron pips ko paar karne wale mazboot trends ko develop kar sakta hai. Pound sterling ka unit duniya ka sabse purana currency hai jo ab bhi ek mumalik mein istemal hota hai aur jo apne ibtida se lekar aj tak be-inteha arse tak istemal mein tha. Jabke, Japanese Yen ko ek safe haven currency ke tor par darj kiya jata hai. 2008 ke maali tabahi se pehle, kai investors Bank of Japan se bohot kam interest rates ka faida uthate the taake Yen mein bade paimane par qarz utha sakein aur paisa bahar invest kar sakein.
GBP/JPY is waqt bhi upar ki taraf hai. 191.29 se correction 187.94 tak pahunch chuki honi chahiye thi. Mazeed 191.29 ko dobara test kiya jana chahiye. Wahan se decisive break bada up trend ko dobara shuru karega. Neeche, 188.56 se nichla minor support bias ko dobara neeche le jayega taake correction ko dobara shuru kiya jaye. 123.94 (2020 low) se up trend jari hai. Medium term outlook 178.32 support tak tik raha hai tab tak bullish rahega. Agla target 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high) hai. Daily chart par, hum dekh sakte hain ke GBPJPY ne 184.30 ke aas-paas key resistence ko tod diya aur 188.68 tak tezi se chadha, jahan par woh ruka. Yahan sellers ko zaroori tor par high ke oopar aakar position lena chahiye taake drop ko 184.30 ke level tak dekha ja sake. Doosri taraf, buyers ko qeemat ko upar le jaane ke liye dekhna chahiye taake bullish bets ko naye highs tak badhaya ja sake.

Bullish aur bearish sentiment mukhtalif factors par mabni hoti hai, unmein se macroeconomics aur global events shamil hain. Is waqt, financial markets macroeconomic factors, United States mein interest rates ki izafa karna aur mehngai mein izafa ke bais se turshidhi se guzar rahe hain. GBP ko JPY se zyada mazboot hone ka bara sabab Japanese Yen ki kamzori hai jo uske central bank ke wajah se hai, jo interest rates ko chatano par le gaya hai. Bank of England aur Bank of Japan market mein paisay ki faraham ki huddod ko control karte hain taake maishat ko track mein rakha ja sake. Dovish policy, jo ke expansionary policy ke tor par bhi jani jati hai, kisi bhi central bank se related currency ko kamzor karti hai. Mukhaalif, hawkish monetary policy (contractionary policy) currency ko mazboot karti hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair ne pehle nuksan ko rad kar diya aur apni jeetne ki silsila ko barha diya jo 12 March ko shuru hui thi. Mangalwar ko, Asian trading session ke doran, pair 190.30 ke qareeb pohancha. Ye tezi Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki aham faisla ke natije mein aayi thi ke woh nihayat hi darjaat darjaat ko bunyadi tor par bharne ka faisla karne wale hain. 2007 se pehli baar, BOJ ne daraje ko 10 basis points se barha kar 0% par le aaya, pehle ki -0.1% se. Ye kadam Japan mein manfi faiz daron ke dor ke ikhtitam ko markaz par laata hai aur ye woh cheez hai jo market ka intezaar kar raha tha. Faisla shayad hal hilal data se nikla jo ke numainda Japanese companies ke mazid se zyada umeedon ke mutabiq tanqeedi izafay ko dikhata hai, jo ke aakhir mein BOJ ko apni das saal purani stimulation iqaadat ko chhodne ki buniyad ban gaya. Samandar ke doosri taraf, Bank of England (BOE) ek mukhtalif tareeqa apnane par hai. Jabke UK mein mahangai dheere dheere kam hone ka aalam hai, BOE taqreeban 2% ke had tak consumer prices waapas nahi aane tak ehtiyaat se kam karta hai. BOJ ke mukablay mein, BOE apne maamooli daraje ko 5.25% par rakhega jis mein unki agle meeting ko jumeraat ko samarjit kiya gaya hai. Market ke hissedar muntazir hain ke mukhtalif asal ke daryaft aur istihsal ke keemat data jari ho, jo ke budh ko moqarrar kiya gaya hai, umeed hai ke ye UK ke mukhtalif asal ke istiqraar ke bare mein zyada waziha karay.

Technical indicators ko dekhte hue, GBP/JPY pair ka tasawar kuchh mishrak hota hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi neutral 50 ke qareeb ghoom raha hai, jo ke na to zyada khareedna aur na he zyada farokht ki shara'it ko dikhata hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi aik neutral nazriya pesh karta hai, apni trigger line ke neeche reh kar lekin abhi bhi zero ke oopar. Agar keemat mukhtalif 189.50 ke resistance level aur haal ki 20-day moving average ko 189.80 par torh sakti hai, to ye mukhtalif pehle unchaai 191.30 ki taraf chadh sakti hai. Magar, agar short-term uptrend line aur 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche torh jaaye, to pair phir se 187.95 par gir sakta hai. Aik tez girawat shayad market ko 185.25 support level ki taraf lay jaaye. Agar keemat aur girna shuru ho jaye aur 200-day moving average ko tor de, jo ke abhi 184.15 support zone ke qareeb mojood hai, to over all outlook bearish ho sakta hai. Aakhri mein, technical indicators ki tasdeeq ke bawajood, GBP/JPY pair chand dino mein bullish nazar aata hai, Bank of Japan ke hal hilal monetary policy ke maamul ki wajah se. Magar, aanay wale data releases aur is haftay ke doran hone wali BOE meeting ne pair ke rukh par asar dal sakta hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair ne pehle ki nuksani ko mu'akkil kiya aur apni jeet ka silsila jari rakha jo 12 March ko shuru hua tha. Budhvar ko, asiyai trading session ke doran, pair ne kareeb 190.30 ke imtiazat tak pahuncha. Ye rally Japan Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki ek ahem faisla ke peechay aayi, ke haqeeqat mein sood dar ko bhadhane ka faisla kiya. Pehli martaba 2007 se, BOJ ne 10 basis points ke izafe ke saath sood daro ko -0.1% se 0% tak le gaya. Ye kadam Japan mein manfi sood daro ka dor ka aik tareekhi ikhtitam hai aur yeh wohi hai jo market ki umeed thi. Faisla kuch wajohaat se shayad hota hai jo aakhirkar major Japanese companies ke ziada se ziada muaishat mein izafe ke mazid dafaq ko dikhane wale halat se mutaliq the, jo BOJ ko das saal ke tasalsulati intizami iqdamat ko chhorne ke liye buniyad ban gaya. Samandar ke doosri taraf, Bank of England (BOE) ek mukhtalif tareeqa ikhtiyar kar rahi hai. Jab ke UK mein mehengai baqaydgi se kam hone ka nazar aata hai, BOE thaharta rahega jab tak shehri ashiya waapas apne maqsad par 2% na laut jayein. BOJ ke baraks, BOE ko 5.25% ke hawale se unke anay wale ijlaas mein muqarrar darj par sabit rakhne ka imkan hai. Market participants consumer aur producer price data ka release ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Wednesday ko mukarrar hai, umeed hai ke yeh UK ke sood daro ke anay wale raaste par zyada wazehi faraham karega.



Technical indicators ko dekhte hue, GBP/JPY pair ke liye tasveer thori mushkil hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi barabar 50 ke aas paas ghom raha hai, jo na to overbought na oversold shiraa'iyat ko zahir karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi aik barabar nazriya paish karta hai, jo ke apne trigger line ke neeche hai lekin abhi bhi zero ke oopar hai. Agar keemat 189.50 ke muqablay ke level aur haal hi ki 20-dinon ki moving average 189.80 ko tor leti hai, to yeh mukammal taur par pehle ki bulandiyon 191.30 ki taraf chadh sakti hai. Magar, agar choti mor ke uptrend line aur 50-dinon ki Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko tor diya jata hai, to pair wapas 187.95 tak gir sakta hai. Ek zyada tezi se girawat bazaar ko 185.25 ki support level ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Agar keemat mazeed gir jaati hai aur 200-dinon ki moving average ko tor deti hai, jo ke mojooda 184.15 ki support zone ke qareeb hai, to puri tasveer madde nazar giraft ho sakti hai. Ikhtitami tor par, technical indicators ki tasdeeq ke bawajood, GBP/JPY pair chand dinon mein bullish nazar aata hai, Japan Bank of Japan ke haal ki monetary policy ke shift ke sath behal hai. Magar, anay wale data releases aur is haftay ke doran hone wale BOE meeting ka asar pair ke rukh par mukhtalif ho sakta hai.

GBP/JPY Currency Pair Ki Price Activity

GBP/JPY currency pair ne pehle ke nuqsanat ko nazar andaz kiya aur apni jeetay hue doraan ki series ko barha diya jo 12 March ko shuru hui thi. Budhvar ko, Asian trading session ke doran, pair lagbhag 190.30 ke darje tak pohanch gaya. Ye izafa Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke ek ahem faisley ke baad aya ke sood daro ko aakhir kar buland karne ka. Pehli dafa 2007 se, BOJ ne 10 basis points ke sath sood dar ko buland kiya, jo ke pichle -0.1% se 0% tak le gaya. Ye harkat Japan mein mazeed interest daron ke dor ko khatam karne ki aik tareekhi nishani hai aur jo market ki umeedon ke mutabiq thi. Ye faisla jald hi samne aaye majmooayi data ki roshni mein liya gaya jo ke bara Japanese companies ke mehngai mein acha izafa dikhata hai, jo ke BOJ ko decade tak ke unke stimulus measures ko chhodne ka buniad banata hai. Samundar ke doosri taraf, Bank of England (BOE) aik mukhtalif approach apnara hai. Jabke UK mein mehngai ka izafa dhere dhere kam hone ka pata chalta hai, BOE umeedwar hai jab tak consumer prices apne 2% ka target wapas nahi paunch jate. BOJ ke mukablay mein, BOE ko apni agli meeting jo ke Thursday ko hone wali hai, apni mojooda daron ko 5.25% par barqarar rakne ki tawaqquq hai. Market ke participants Wednesday ko mukarrar shuda consumer aur producer price data ka intezar kar rahe hain, umeed hai ke ye UK mein sood daron ki mazeed direction ke bare mein zyada wazehi faraham karega.

Technical indicators ko dekhte hue, GBP/JPY pair ki tasveer kuchh mish mash nazar aati hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi 50 ke qareeb tawajju mein hai, jo ke na to zyada kharidarun ki taraf ishara karta hai na bechnay walon ki taraf. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi aik neutral nazar andaz faraham karta hai, jis ke hisab se wo apni trigger line ke neeche hai lekin abhi bhi zero ke oopar hai. Agar keemat 189.50 ke resistance level aur haal hi mein 20-day moving average jo ke 189.80 hai ko tor deti hai, to wo mukhtalif levels tak pohanch sakti hai. Lekin, agar short-term uptrend line aur 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko tor diya jata hai, to pair wapas 187.95 tak gir sakta hai. Agar keemat aur nichay chali jati hai aur 200-day moving average jo ke mojooda mein 184.15 ke qareeb hai ko tor diya jata hai, to overall tasveer bearish ho sakti hai. Muhtasir taur par, technical indicators ki tasdeeq ke bawajood, GBP/JPY pair nazdeek ki muddat ke liye bullish nazar aata hai, jo ke Bank of Japan ke hilaf monetary policy ke halqe badalne par pur-umeed hai. Lekin, anay wale data releases aur BOE ki is haftay ke akhri meeting ke baa'd, pair ke rukh par baray mein farq par sakta hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair ne pehle ke nuqsanat ko nakaara kiya aur apni jeetay hue darjaat ko barhata raha jo 12 March se shuru hui thi. Mangalwar ko, Asian trading session ke doran, pair taqreeban 190.30 ke darje tak pohancha. Ye rally Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki ek ahem faisla ke natayaj mein aayi ke usne aakhir kar sood ke darjaat ko barha diya. Pehli martaba 2007 se, BOJ ne sood ko 10 basis points ke izafe ke sath 0% tak le aya, pehle -0.1% se. Ye kadam Japan mein mansoobon ke bhaari aane wale barsaati izafaat ko dekh kar liya gaya tha, jo ke aakhir karne ke BOJ ko das saal ke istemal ke intizaami iqdamat ko tark karne ka imkaan ban gaya. Samundar ke doosri taraf, Bank of England (BOE) ek mukhtalif tareeqa apna rahi hai. Halan ke UK mein mehengai dhire dhire kam hone ka imkaan hai, lekin BOE muhtat rahegi jab tak mawadat ke daman laut kar apne 2% ka maqsood na ho jaye. BOJ ke mukablay mein, BOE ko ashtyat 5.25% ke haalat par apni qarardadat ko qaim rakhne ki umeed hai apni agle meeting mein jo ke jumeraat ko hogi. Market participants intizar mein hain ke mukhtalif wakt ke mutabiq mawadat aur moajza nami ke maaloomat ko chhod de jo budh ko aitrazat ke future rukh par wazehi faraham karegi.



Technical indicators par nazar dalte hue, GBP/JPY joda kuchh uljha hua hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi ek neutral darje 50 ke aas paas ghoom raha hai, jo na to zyada kharidari ko aur na he zyada farokht ko darust karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi ek neutral nazar se dekhta hai, apni trigger line ke neeche reh kar magar abhi bhi zero ke ooper. Agar keemat 189.50 ke resistance level aur halqay ka 20-day moving average jo ke 189.80 hai ko tor leti hai, to woh mukhtalif pehle ke 191.30 ke darje tak pohanch sakti hai. Halan ke, agar short-term uptrend line aur 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche gir jati hai, to pair 187.95 tak wapas gir sakti hai. Ziyada gehra giravat shayad bazaar ko 185.25 ke support level ki taraf le ja sake. Agar keemat aur nichay girati hai aur 200-day moving average ko tor deti hai, jo ke filhal 184.15 ke support zone ke qareeb hai, to maamoli surat e haal ghair mozu ho sakti hai. Aakhir mein, technical indicators se tasdeeq ke bawajood, GBP/JPY pair mukhtalif sood ki policy ke haalat ke hilaf nahi lagta, chand rozon mein keematon ke karwaiyon se umeedwaar hai. Lekin, anay wali maloomat ke ijaad aur is haftay ke akhri din BOE ki meeting is pair ke rukh ko aane wale dinon mein gehra asar kar sakti hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair

GBP/JPY currency pair nay pehlay nuqsaan ka muqabla kiya aur apni jeet ka silsila jari rakha jo 12 March ko shuru hua tha. Budhvar ko, Asia ke trading session ke doran, pair takreeban 190.30 ke darjay tak pohanch gaya. Ye izafa Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki ek ahem faisla par mabni hai ke sood dar ko nihayat barha diya gaya. 2007 se pehli martaba, BOJ ne 10 basis points barha kar unko pehle se -0.1% se 0% tak pohancha diya. Ye harkat Japan mein manfi sood daro ki dour ka aik tareekhi ikhtitam hai aur is par market ki umeedon ke mutabiq hai. Faisla taqreeban aakhri dino ke dastawezat ka samna karne wale baray Japanese companies ki mazid mazid taqatwar mazeed izafaat ka izhar karte hue nikla, jo ke BOJ ko das saalon tak ke apne stimulus karwaiyon ko chhodne ka bunyadi bana dia. Samundar ke doosri taraf, Bank of England (BOE) ne aik mukhtalif tareeqa ikhtiyar kiya hai. Jabke UK mein mehngaai ka izafa dhaire dhaire kam hota nazar aata hai, BOE muhtat rehta hai jab tak consumer prices unki nishchit manzil tak wapas nahi pohanch jati. BOJ ke mukhaalif, BOE ko apne mazid 5.25% darajat ko muwafiq tor par barqarar rakhne ka intezar hai jo unke agle jumme ki raat ko hone wale intezaami ijaadat ke doran hai. Market ke shirakat daron ko besabri se consumer aur producer price data ka intezar hai jo budh ke din munaqad kiya jata hai, umeed hai ke ye UK mein sood dar ki mazeed hidaayat faraham kar sakte hain.

Takniki nishanafeen ki taraf dekhtay hue, GBP/JPY pair ke liye manzar kuchh uljha hua hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi 50 ke neutral darajay ke aas paas ghoom raha hai, jo na to overbought na hi oversold conditions ko darust karti hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi ek neutral manzar par hai, apne trigger line ke neeche rehkar lekin phir bhi zero ke upar. Agar keemat ko 189.50 ke resistance level aur haal hi ki 20-day moving average at 189.80 ko tor paye, to ye pehlay ke 191.30 ke pehlay urooj ki taraf barh sakti hai. Lekin, agar chhote arsay ke uptrend line aur 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko tor diya jaye, to pair 187.95 tak wapas ja sakta hai. Aur zyada gehri girawat shayad market ko 185.25 ke support level ki taraf le ja sake. Agar keemat aur gir jaaye aur 200-day moving average ko tor de, jo abhi 184.15 ke qareeb mojood hai, to over all manzar bearish ho sakta hai. Aakhri mein, takniki nishanfeen se tasdeeq ke bawajood, GBP/JPY pair short term mein bullish nazar aa raha hai, Bank of Japan ke haal hil ka monetary policy ke change ke natije mein. Lekin, agle dinon mein anay wale data releases aur BOE ki agle haftay ke intekhabati ijaadat pair ke rukh par asar dal sakti hain.

GBP/JPY currency pair ne pehle ke nuqsanat ko muqabil karte hue apni jeet ki silsila ko barhaya jo 12 March ko shuru hui thi. Mangalwar ko, Asian trading session ke doran, yeh joda kareeb 190.30 ke darjoo tak pahunch gaya. Yeh izafa aik ahem faisle ke baad aya jo Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne akhir kar sood daro ko barhane ka faisla kiya. 2007 se pehle, BOJ ne 10 basis points ke izafe ke sath sood daro ko -0.1% se 0% tak le gaya. Yeh qadam Japan mein manfi sood daron ke dor ka aik tareekhi ikhtitaam hai aur ye wo hai jo market ka intezaar tha. Faisla aakhri dino mein aaye data ke wajah se mumkin hai jo darust ke major Japanese companies ke zariye mojooda se zyada darust mizaji dikhane lage the, jo BOJ ko apne das saal tak ke tanfeezi iqdamaat ko chhodne ke liye buniyadi bunyadi kiya. Samandar ke uss par, Bank of England (BOE) kisi aur tareeqe par chal rahi hai. Jab ke UK mein mehengai dheere dheere kam hone ka samna ho raha hai, BOE ab tak ehtiyaati hai jab tak consumer prices apne 2% target par waapas nahi aajate. BOJ ke mukablay mein, BOE ki umeed hai ke wo apni agle baithak mein sood daro ko apne mojooda darajay par, yani 5.25%, qaim rakhegi. Market ke shirkat daron ko aashaye hai ke consumer aur producer price data jo budhwar ko shaei hone wala hai, wo UK mein sood daro ki mustaqbil ki taraf zyada wazehi de.



Technical indicators par nazar daalne par, GBP/JPY pair ka tasawwur kuch milti julti hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) hal hi mein 50 ke neutral darjoo ke aas paas mojood hai, jo na to overbought aur na hi oversold shorat ko darust karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi ek neutral nazaria pesh karta hai, jo ke apne trigger line ke neeche hai lekin abhi bhi zero ke ooper hai. Agar keemat ko 189.50 ke resistance level aur haal hi mein 20-day moving average jo 189.80 hai, ko toorna ho, to yeh mukammal taur par pehle ke unchaai 191.30 tak chadh sakti hai. Lekin, agar short-term uptrend line aur 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche gir jaye, to yeh joda phir se 187.95 tak gir sakta hai. Ek zyada gehri giravat bazaar ko 185.25 support level ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Agar keemat mazeed gir jati hai aur 200-day moving average ko tor deti hai, jo ke abhi 184.15 support zone ke qareeb hai, to kul tasawwur bearish ho sakta hai. Aakhri mein, technical indicators ke tasdeeq ke bawajood, GBP/JPY pair choti muddat mein bullish nazar aata hai, Bank of Japan ke halqa aur monitory policy ke hilaf badalne par. Lekin, aanay wale data releases aur is haftay ke baad hone wali BOE meeting aane wale dino mein pair ki rukh ki taraf ahem asar dal sakti hai.

GBP/JPY ki chart par, ek khaas surat-e-haal nazar aai hai jo is brace mein taqat ka naya aghaz dikhata hai, ek ahem haftay ke shuruwat se pehle jab UK aur Japan dono se ahem khasabaat ke izharat ki umeed hai. Jab market ahem khalsabaat ki tayyariyon ka intezar karta hai, to GBP/JPY ki duniya mein mazeed volatility ki sambhavna ka andaza hai. In maqamat ke pesh-e-nazar, tajaratdanon ko ihtiyat aur tawajjuh ke saath kaam lena chahiye, takay woh anay wale market ke harkat ko behtar tor par samajh sakein aur technical signals ka sahi istemal karke munasib karwai kar sakein. Haal hi mein GBP/JPY brace mein ek numaya sudhaar nazar aaya hai, jo ke currency brace mein mazeed harkat ki bunyad ban sakta hai. Haftay ke shuruwat ke doraan, UK aur Japan dono se muhim al-khasbat ke izharat hone ki umeed hai, jin se GBP/JPY brace par asar par sakta hai. In alshabat ke izharat se pehle, tajaratdanon ko maqami aur antrarti siyasi halat ke daira mein jari rahna chahiye, takay woh market ke tabdeeliyon ka behtar andaz laga sakein aur trading strategies ko darust karein.

GBP/JPY brace mein taqat ka naya aghaz, especially GBP ki kamyabi ka natija hai, jo ke siasataton ke naye raqam bandi ka paighaam lekar aaya hai. Is ke alawa, Japan ki mazid wazeh mehnat ki alshabat aur Japan ke economic barometer ki zyadati ke baad, yen ki qeemat ko dobara buland karne ki umeed hai. Ye do mulkani wazir-e-kharja ke qadam dushmani se lekar, siasat ke tabdiliyon ka bhi nateeja hai, jo ke forex market par asar andaz ho sakta hai.

Isi doran, GBP/JPY ki taraf se bullish mawad ke darmiyan, technical analysis ka bhi numainda kirdar hai. Taqatwar aur tawazun shikast dikhane wale technical indicators, jaise ke Moving Averages aur RSI, traders ko behtareen entry aur exit points tajwez kar sakte hain.

GBP/JPY ko mukhtalif tawanaee dalain mumkin hai Thursday ko jab Japan Bank ke interest rate faisla announce karegi. Umeed hai ke Japan Bank interest rates barha sakti hai aur agar yeh hota hai to GBP/JPY ki keemat buhat gir sakti hai. GBP/JPY jodi Great British Pound aur Japanese yen ke liye istemal hoti hai. Great British Pound aur Japanese yen, jinhe "Guppy" kehte hain. Pehle tafsiliyat par aane se pehle, GBP/JPY rate ka matlab kya hai? Exchange rate aapko batata hai ke kitne Japanese yen (quote currency) ko ek Pound (base currency) kharidne ke liye darkaar hai. Maslan, agar jodi 145.77 par trade ho rahi hai, to iska matlab hai ke 1 pound kharidne ke liye 145.77 euro ki zaroorat hai. Pound sterling (symbol: £; ISO code: GBP), jo aam tor par pound ke naam se jaani jaati hai aur kam tor par sterling ke naam se zikr hoti hai, United Kingdom ki qanooni currency hai. Mokhtalif waqt par, pound sterling ko commodity money ya sone ya chandi se waqf bank notes ke taur par istemal kiya gaya tha, lekin ab yeh Fiat money hai, sirf istemal ki mukhtalif areas mein zaroorat ke zariye se waqf hai. Lekin, BOE aur Japan ke markazi bankon ke darmiyan interest rate ka farq global economic downturn ko mad e nazar rakhte hue nihayat zyada chhapa hai, jisne carry trade ka unwinding ko ishara karta hai jab yen ki qeemat barhti hai. British Pound (GBP) vs. Japanese Yen (JPY) ek nihayat mutaharrik jodi hai. JPY aam tor par trade ke funding currency ke tor par istemal ki jaati hai kyunki yeh tareekhi tor par low yielding currency hai. UK Europe mein aham economies mein se ek hai, is liye GBPJPY jodi ko global economic health ke substitute ke tor par ginaya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, yeh jodi market 'risk-off' actions ke liye represent karta hai jab carry trade ulta hota hai. Is natije mein, GBPJPY mazboot trends ko develop kar sakta hai jo hazaron pips ko paar karte hain. Pound sterling ki ekai duniya ka sabse purani currency hai jo ab bhi istemal hoti hai aur jo apne ibteda se lekar aaj tak be break istemal mein hai. Jabke, Japanese Yen ko safe haven currency qarar diya jata hai. 2008 ke maliyat se pehle, kai investors Bank of Japan ke ultra-low interest rates ka faida uthate the taake Yen mein bhaari raqam udhaar lekar paisa bahar mein invest karte the

GBPJPY ka jodi, yaani British Pound aur Japanese Yen ki mukhalif currencies ki, haal hi mein neeche ki taraf tezi dikhayi hai. Is mein girawat ki numaya taqat hai, jo ke kuch investors ke liye dekhne layak hai. Lekin, is tezi ke bawajood, kuch kharidaron ki koshishen hain qeemat ko buland karne ki dhaarkiyan mukhtalif hai. Is situation ko samajhne ke liye, hume is jodi ki halaat aur uske peeche ke factors ka ek gehra jayza lena hoga. Pehle toh, GBPJPY ka trend analysis karna zaroori hai. Agar jodi ne nichle janib ki tezi dikhayi hai, toh yeh yeh samjna ahem hai ke yeh kyun ho raha hai. Shayad economic data mein koi tabdiliyan hui hain ya phir kisi geo-political situation ne market ko influence kiya hai. Is tarah ke tabdiliyan hamesha market mein volatility ka sabab banti hain.

Doosri baat, girawat ki numaya taqat ka zikr hai. Girawat mein bhi kuch investors apni positions ko adjust kar rahe hain. Yeh hosakta hai ke unka risk appetite kam ho gaya ho ya phir woh market ki instability ko samajhte hue cautious ho rahe hon. Is tarah ki harkat ko dekhte hue, unki koshishen qeemat ko buland karne ki taraf hote hain. Lekin, yeh dhaarkiyan kyun mukhtalif hain? Iska jawab market dynamics mein chhupa hai. Har investor ka apna strategy hota hai aur har ek ki trading style mukhtalif hoti hai. Kuch log short term gains ke liye trading karte hain jabke doosre long term prospects par focus karte hain. Isi tarah ke mukhtalif approaches ke bawajood, sabhi ko market ki uncertainty ka samna karna padta hai.

Is situation mein, kharidaron ki koshishen ko samajhna mushkil ho sakta hai. Kuch log market ko exploit karne ki koshish karte hain jabke doosre apni positions ko protect karne mein lage hote hain. Har investor apni analysis aur risk tolerance ke mutabiq amal karta hai, jiski wajah se unki trading decisions mukhtalif hoti hain. Overall, GBPJPY ki current situation mein, girawat ki numaya taqat aur kharidaron ki koshishen ke bawajood qeemat mein bulandiyon ki dhaarkiyan mukhtalif hain. Is market volatility ke doraan, har investor ko apni strategy ko reevaluate karna aur market ke changing dynamics ko samajhna zaroori hai taake woh apne trading decisions ko sahi tareeke se manage kar sakein.

GBP/JPY iss waqt taiz rahay hai. 191.29 se taqreeban tehqeeq 187.94 par mukammal ho chuki honi chahiye. Mazeed izafa 191.29 bulandi ko dobara test karna chahiye pehlay. Wahan se tajziyah tor dena bara up trend ki dobara shuruaat lai ga. Neeche, 188.56 minor support se neeche chalay jana bias ko neeche ki taraf lota dega tajziyah ko dobara shuru karne ke bajaye. 123.94 (2020 kam) se up trend jari hai. Darmiyan term ke nazar mein manfi rehnumai 178.32 support qaim rehta hai. Agla maqsood 195.86 lambi arsay ki resistence (2015 uncha) hai.
Rozana chart par, hum dekh saktay hain ke GBPJPY ne 184.30 ke qareebi rukh ko tor diya aur ye sara rasta chakkar bulandi par phir aakar 188.68 tak puhancha jahan ye ruk gaya. Yahan par bechnay walay ko bulandi ke oopar mukhtas khatra dekhne ko milay ga jahan tak ke 184.30 ke qareebi rukh par girnay ke liye tarteeb di ja rahi hai. Dusri taraf, khareednay walay ko keemat ko barhne mein dekhna chahiye taake naye uroojon mein bullish inaam barh jayen

Bullish aur bearish jazbaat mukhtalif factors par munhasir hotay hain, in mein macroeconomics aur global events shamil hain. Iss waqt, maaliyat ke markets abai halat se guzar rahe hain, amooman mufaviddh macroeconomic factors, milkiyat ke dilchaspi dar hadd tak izafa ke badlte dauroj mein mukhtalif central banks ka tasar, jaise ke United States mein interest rates mein izafa aur barhtay hue inflations ka sabab. Mulk-e-Britania aur Japan ke central banks, markets mein rupay ki faraham ko control karte hain, taa ke maeeshat ko track par rakha ja sake. Kisi bhi central bank ka dovish policy, jo ke bara nafaa dene wala policy bhi kehlaya jata hai, musalsal currency ko kamzor karta hai. Mukhalifan, a hawkish monetary policy (tang rakhnay wali policy) currency ko mazboot karta hai

GbpJpy ke bazaar ka movement kal raat bohot zyada mughayyar tha kyunki aur 142 pips ka izafa hua. Haftay ke shuru mein jab bazaar khula, to harkat itni bari nahi thi. Yeh ek ishaara hai ke kharidar ka nigrani ab bhi bohot mazboot hai. Aaj subah ke trading dour mein nazar aa raha hai ke keemat ka izafa jari reh sakta hai kyunki subah se Asian market session shuru hua hai aur ab tak bazaar phir se upar ja raha hai. Bazaar ka mahaul Uptrend zone mein move kar raha hai, lekin izafa tezi se nahi ho raha hai kyunki Asian session mein bazaar ka mahaul kam volatility ka hai.
Pichle haftay se lekar kal raat tak keemat phir se upar ja rahi thi, yeh tohfiq aur ummeed ka mauqa ho sakta hai ke GbpJpy jodi apni Uptrend safar ko jaari rakhe. Mid-January trading period se shuru hote hue, bullish price ka safar 178.76 price zone se door ho gaya tha, yeh zahir tha ke izafa bohot bara tha. Meri raay mein, candlestick ab bhi upar ki taraf ja rahi hai jaise ke market trend kuch peechle dino mein tha.

Mumkin hai ke kharidar apni mehfooz rakam ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Shayad wahi halat ho jab market aaj dopehar ko European session mein dakhil hoti hai. Agar hum kuch dino pehle ki manzil ki taraf rah dekhte hain toh dikhata hai ke trend bullish taraf ja raha hai. 4 ghante ka time frame dekha jaye toh lagta hai ke bazaar bullish hai. Main yeh peshgoyi karta hoon ke bazaar mein keemat ka izafa ho sakta hai jabke bullish trend jaari reh sakta hai, shayad keemat nayi mahina ki unchaai tak pohanch jaye.

GBP/JPY rozana wakt ki frame chart par nazar daalain. Is currency pair ke liye, bilkul EURJPY ki tarah, lehrain ka dhancha ek barhne wala hai, MACD indicator phir se upper buy zone mein barh raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Pichle saal qeemat jitni zyada ho sakti thi woh barh gayi thi aur is saal barhne ki raftar jari rahi. Qeemat bhi ek barhtay hue channel mein chalti hai. Pehle, bechne ke liye achi shartein banai gayi thi jab qeemat 189.23 ke level ke neeche mazboot hoti thi aur tootne ke baad use dobara test kiya gaya, jo ek neeche dakhil hone ka point tha. Acha, bechna aur technical taur par neeche ke liye achi downside potential thi, 186.18 ke level ke aas paas. Lekin, jaise aap dekh sakte hain, cheezen achi nahi gayi, Amreeki dollar phir se bari raftar se badi currencies ke muqable mein mazboot hota hai, aur yahan ki zaroori baat yeh hai ke USDJPY EURUSD ke girne se zyada tezi se barh gaya. Natija yeh raha ke yeh cross rate yahan ko buland uthaya gaya. Barhne se pehle CCI indicator par bullish convergence thi. Achchha, jab barhne wala candle 189.23 ke horizontal resistance level ke upar band hua, toh yeh wazeh ho gaya ke qeemat zyada tar February ke uchayi ke par se upar utha liya jayega, jo aakhir mein ho gaya. Ab yeh zyada mumkin hai ke barhne wale channel ke top tak pahuncha jaye. Is ke ilawa, dollar pair USDJPY is surat e haal ko barhne wali barabar kar deta hai, jaise ek steam locomotive yen ke sath pairs ko khincha jata hai, aur is bar yeh barhne aur peechle saalon ki tarah apni unchayiyan update karne ka irada rakhta hai. Acha, yeh bhi zyada mumkin hai ke yeh kuch aur barhta rahega. Ab sach hai ke hum pehle ki unchayi ke peechay hain aur waha pehle se ek potential sales zone hai aur hum ek bechnay ki formation ka intezaar kar sakte hain, masalan, ghantay mein. Is ke ilawa, MACD par tanaza mojood hai, lekin bechne ki jaldi nahi karni chahiye, aap ko USDJPY ka intezar karna chahiye, jab woh apni unchayiyan tak pahunchega, tab aap bechne ka tawajjo de sakte hain.