جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Aaj hum GBP/JPY H4 (British Pound - Japanese Yen) pair ka tajzia karein ge, Heikin Ashi candlesticks, TMA (Triangular Moving Average), aur RSI indicators ka istemal karte huay ek mazboot trading plan banane ke liye. Heikin Ashi candlesticks traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein price values ko smooth kar deti hain, jis se reversal points, corrective rollbacks, aur impulsive price breakouts ko waqt par pehchan ne mein asaani hoti hai. Yeh tajziya ko traders ke liye sada banata hai. TMA linear channel indicator bhi ek qeemti tool hai jo moving average ke zariye chart par current support aur resistance lines ko dikhata hai. Yeh asset ki movement ke boundaries ko show karta hai. RSI oscillator indicator ka istemal trade mein enter karne ka final faisla lene ke liye kiya jata hai, kyun ke yeh overbought aur oversold areas ko highlight karta hai.

Aise trading tools ka istemal technical analysis process ko sada kar deta hai aur false market entries se bachne mein madad karta hai. Chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke is dauran blue candles mojood hain, jo is baat ka indication deti hain ke bulls abhi tak mazboot hain aur price ko upar ki taraf le ja rahe hain. Yeh ek acha moka paish karta hai ke long position kholi jaye.

Price quotes ne linear channel ke lower border (red dashed line) ko exceed kar liya hai, lekin lowest point par rebound karte huay ab centerline of the channel (yellow dashed line) ki taraf move kar rahe hain. RSI (14) indicator bhi buy signal approve karta hai, kyun ke uski curve upar ki taraf ja rahi hai aur overbought level se door hai.

In tamam maloomat ko milate huay, hum yeh nateeja nikaal sakte hain ke upward trend ka ghalib hona buying ke liye high probability suggest karta hai. Is liye, extensive trade open karne ka faisla liya ja sakta hai. Take profit channel ke upper border (blue dashed line) ke qareeb set kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke 193.785 ke price par mark hai.

Market ko negative values mein jaane se bachane ke liye, main recommend karta hoon ke trailing stop order ka istemal kiya jaye jab position profitable area mein move kar jaye taake zyada profit secure ho sake

Aaj ke liye GBP/JPY mein correction phase ka aghaz nazar aa raha hai. Kal ke din sellers ne ziada josh nahi dikhaya, jis ki wajah se choti si bearish candle ban gayi jo pehle din ke range mein hi thi. Abhi ke halat ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke aaj southern correction movement ho sakti hai, lekin main is movement mein trade karne ka iraada nahi rakhta.
Agar correction gehra hota hai, to main mirror support level par nazar rakhoonga jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 200.539 par hai. Is support level ke qareeb do scenarios ban sakte hai.
Pehla aur pasandeeda scenario yeh hai ke reversal candle bane, jo uptrend ke dobara aghaz ki nishani ho. Agar yeh plan play out hota hai, to main prices ko resistance level 207.995 tak wapas aane ka intezar karoon ga. Jab price is resistance level ke upar close ho jaye, to main agay northward movement ki umeed karoon ga, jo ke aglay resistance level 215.892 tak ja sakti hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb main trading setup ke banne ka intezar karoon ga taake aglay trading direction ka faisla kiya ja sake. Yeh baat zaroori hai ke is upward movement ke dauran kuch southern pullbacks ho sakte hain, jin ko main nearby support levels par bullish signals dhondhne ke liye use karoon ga, taake broader global bullish trend ke dauran uptrend continue ho sake
Doosra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke agar price support level 200.539 ke qareeb aata hai, to main dekhunga ke price is level ke neeche consolidate hota hai aur southward movement continue karta hai ya nahi. Agar yeh scenario play out hota hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke price 197.201 ya 195.044 ke support levels ki taraf move karega. In support levels ke qareeb, main phir se bullish signals dhondhne ka plan karoon ga, is umeed ke saath ke price wapas upward movement shuru kar de.

Mukhtasir mein, aaj ke liye yeh mumkin hai ke price nearby support level ki taraf southward move kare as a form of correction. Us ke baad, ab ke global bullish trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main reversal candle ke banne ka intezar karoon ga aur price mein upward movement ke continuation ki umeed rakhoon ga.

GBPJPY: H1 chart. Main yeh umeed kar raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential ko

maximize kar sakte hain. Jab tak price 206.170-206.380 support level ke upar rahegi, bullish outlook strong rahegi. Agle resistance levels ko reach aur surpass karna trend ki strength ko confirm karega aur further trading opportunities provide karega. Effective risk management strategies implement karne se traders market ke fluctuations ko navigate kar sakte hain aur long-term success aim
GBPJPY currency pair ke current bullishness ko ek upward correction samajhta hoon. Mera khayal hai ke resistance area level 192.03, 194.89 mein ek corrective development ho sakti hai. Is zone se ek reversal aur continued decline expect karna chahiye. Yahan qareebi potential target support level 174.88 hai. Agar bears is mark se aagay barhte hain, to price 168.18 level tak gir sakti hai. Jab tak pair MA 46 moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai, selling prefer ki jayegi. Is mark par wapas aana sales relevance ko kam kar dega. Conservative trading ke shaiqeen ke liye, main suggest karta hoon ke 104.09 level ke neeche selling consider ki jaye. Profitable trades ko bura waqt anay par mulatavi karna behtar hai, force majeure situation aur unwanted financial losses ke cases mei

GBP/JPY abhi bhi gir rahi hai aur European session ke dauran yeh mid-March ke baad se apne lowest levels par aa gayi hai. Yeh cross 208.11 se sharply gir raha hai, jise Japanese interventions ke baad yen ki majbooti aur Bank of England ki rate cut ne sterling par pressure daala hai. Strong bearish signals daily cloud ke rising, 200-day moving average ke break, aur aaj ke 189.55 support ke break se mil rahe hain. Pair is waqt July ko chaarve hafte ke liye red mein close karne ke raste par hai, aur yeh June 2016 ke baad se apni sabse badi monthly loss ke saath close hui hai, jo negative outlook ko barhata hai kyunki monthly chart par ek reversal pattern ban raha hai. Abhi pair thoda corrective increase ke saath 190.30 range tak pahuncha hai, aur wahan se girawat continue hogi. Ab tak, yeh maan ke chala ja raha hai ke chhoti si upward impulse ke baad 194.10 range tak, hum price ko aur girane ki koshish karenge. Agar local maximum 194.00 ko break kiya jaye aur agar yeh upar consolidate hoti hai, toh yeh buy ka signal hoga. 190.40 range ka false breakout bhi ho sakta hai, aur hum short stops ke saath sales open kar sakte hain.
Agar 190.50 break hota hai, toh strengthening dobara shuru ho sakti hai. 187.80 tak ke targets haiStrong


ongersold daily indicators se partial profit-taking ho sakti hai is hafte ke end mein, aur uptrends further weakness ko point out kar rahe hain. 200-day moving average ke broken hone ke baad initial resistance 191.74 par wapas aa gaya hai, aur uske baad support 196.83 hai, jo stronger rebound ko limit karega aur bears ko game mein rakhega. Targets hain 185.66 aur 183.56. RSI oversold hai. Ab ek rally hone ki ummeed hai.
Akhir mein, daily time frame analysis of GBP/JPY pair yeh indicate karta hai ke filhal clear, attractive, ya valid trading signals ka faqdaan hai. Price action ab tak uncertain hai, aur kisi strong upward ya downward movement ka koi izhaar nahi. Yeh uncertainty vigilant, well-informed, aur cautious rehne ki ahmiyat ko ubhaar rahi hai GBP/JPY ki trading ke liye zaroori hai technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko samajhna: Technical Analysis: Traders aksar technical indicators jaise moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur Bollinger Bands ka istemal future price movements predict karne ke liye karte hain. Mukhtalif support aur resistance levels ko pehchan lena trading decisions mein

: H1 chart. Main yeh umeed kar raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential ko

GBPJPY: H1 chart. Main yeh umeed kar raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential ko maximize kar sakte hain. Jab tak price 206.170-206.380 support level ke upar rahegi, bullish outlook strong rahegi. Agle resistance levels ko reach aur surpass karna trend ki strength ko confirm karega aur further trading opportunities provide karega. Effective risk management strategies implement karne se traders market ke fluctuations ko navigate kar sakte hain aur long-term success aim
GBPJPY currency pair ke current bullishness ko ek upward correction samajhta hoon. Mera khayal hai ke resistance area level 192.03, 194.89 mein ek corrective development ho sakti hai. Is zone se ek reversal aur continued decline expect karna chahiye. Yahan qareebi potential target support level 174.88 hai. Agar bears is mark se aagay barhte hain, to price 168.18 level tak gir sakti hai. Jab tak pair MA 46 moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai, selling prefer ki jayegi. Is mark par wapas aana sales relevance ko kam kar dega. Conservative trading ke shaiqeen ke liye, main suggest karta hoon ke 104.09 level ke neeche selling consider ki jaye. Profitable trades ko bura waqt anay par mulatavi karna behtar hai, force m

GBP/JPY currency pair ko UK aur Japan ki recent ma'ashi data ke sath sath global market ke jazbat ne bhi khaas tor par asar dala hai. Pichhle do dinon mein kai ahem ma'ashi indicators aur developments ne is pair ke liye nazariyat ko shakal di hai. UK ki Ma'ashi Halat:
UK se aayi recent data kuch milay julay asraat ka izhar karti hai. 9 August, 2024 ko manufacturing aur industrial production ke figures ka release hua jo ke June ke liye hai, jismein ahem tor par ummeed se kam taraqqi dekhi gayi. Manufacturing production sirf 0.6% saal beh saal barh gaya hai, jo ke UK ki industrial sector mein musalsal paish aane wali mushkilat ko darshata hai. Is ke ilawa, UK ka trade balance bhi ummeed se zyada deficit dikhata hai, jo global ma'ashi uncertainties ke darmiyan export performance mein kamzori ki nishani hai.
Bank of England (BoE) ka rawaya ab bhi ehtiyaat bhara hai, khaaskar jabke Q2 2024 ka GDP growth rate ummeed se kam aaya hai, jo sirf 0.3% saal beh saal hai. Isne UK ki ma'ashi mazbooti ke bare mein fikray paida kiye hain, khaaskar jabke inflationary pressures aur Europe ke markets mein geopolitical tensions barqarar hain. Ye ma'ashi halat BoE ki taraf se interest rates ko behtareen taur par barhane ki salahiyat ko kam kar sakti hain, jo ke kharij ki taraf pound ko kamzor kar sakti hai.
Japanese Ma'ashi Context:
Japan ki taraf, ma'ashi haalat ab bhi thodi si stability ki nishani dikha rahe hain, lekin iske apne challenges hain. Japan ka recent ma'ashi data kaafi had tak stable hai, jismein mukhtalif sectors mein ahista ahista taraqqi dekhne ko mili hai. Yen, jo ke traditionally ek safe-haven currency mana jata hai, global risk aversion ke mad e nazar mazbooti hasil kar raha hai, khaaskar agar global economic outlook ke maamle mein uncertainty barh jaaye. Magar, Japan ki inflation ab bhi kuch kamzor hai, jo short term mein Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko apni monetary policy ko tight karne se roke rakhta hai. BoJ ki ultra-loose monetary policy eisa lagta hai ke barkarar rahegi, jo yen par neeche ki taraf daab dalti rahegi.



GBPJPY 205.46 tak ja sakta hai.
Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaye, to kal jo girawat hui uski wajah se candle ka position badal gaya hai. Jo pehle tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar tha, ab yeh inke neeche hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke GBPJPY ki harkat aane wale peer mein girne ke liye bhi tayaar hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke yeh 184.48 ke support ko test kare. Aisa mahaul waha ban sakta hai jahan se GBPJPY wapas upar aaja sakta hai.
Stochastic indicator ka dekhte hue, line apne sabse kam level se sirf thodi dur hai, jo 80 hai. Lekin yeh ab tak wahan nahi pahuncha, lekin line ne upar ki taraf jana shuru kar diya hai. Is indicator se yeh khulasa hota hai ke aane wale waqt mein GBPJPY ki harkat upar ki taraf ho sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh achanak neeche ki taraf mudti hai, to yeh 184.48 ke support tak bhi ja sakta hai.
GBPJPY currency pair ab bhi upar jaane ke mauqe rakhta hai, kyunki ab tak demand area 180.94 par nahi toota. Is ke ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area mein 184.87 par hai. Is liye, main aap sab ko mashwara dunga ke jo is pair mein trading karte hain, sirf buy positions kholen. Aap apne take profit target ko 199.01 par rakhein aur stop loss ko 183.69 par.
Japanese yen ne kuch ha’adatun ke liye doosri currencies ke muqable mein mazbooti dekhi hai, jisse kai bearish weekly candles ban gayi hai. Magar jab price 100-day Simple Moving Average tak pahuncha, toh iska ek strong reaction dekha gaya, aur ab weekly chart par ek bullish pin bar banta nazar aa raha hai. Agar ye pin bar mukammal hota hai, toh ye bullish reversal ka ishaara de sakta hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke yen ki recent strength shayad khatam hone wali hai aur agle hafton mein upar ki taraf harkat mumkin

: H1 chart. Main yeh umeed kar raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential ko

GBPJPY: H1 chart. Main yeh umeed kar raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential ko maximize kar sakte hain. Jab tak price 206.170-206.380 support level ke upar rahegi, bullish outlook strong rahegi. Agle resistance levels ko reach aur surpass karna trend ki strength ko confirm karega aur further trading opportunities provide karega. Effective risk management strategies implement karne se traders market ke fluctuations ko navigate kar sakte hain aur long-term success aim
GBPJPY currency pair ke current bullishness ko ek upward correction samajhta hoon. Mera khayal hai ke resistance area level 192.03, 194.89 mein ek corrective development ho sakti hai. Is zone se ek reversal aur continued decline expect karna chahiye. Yahan qareebi potential target support level 174.88 hai. Agar bears is mark se aagay barhte hain, to price 168.18 level tak gir sakti hai. Jab tak pair MA 46 moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai, selling prefer ki jayegi. Is mark par wapas aana sales relevance ko kam kar dega. Conservative trading ke shaiqeen ke liye, main suggest karta hoon ke 104.09 level ke neeche selling consider ki jaye. Profitable trades ko bura waqt anay par mulatavi karna behtar hai, force majeure situation aur unwanted financial losses ke cases mein.

haftay ka trading GBP/JPY ke liye aam tor par bearish hai. British pound ka Japanese yen ke muqable mein performance girawat dekh raha hai. Price 202.10 support level tak gir gaya hai, jo ke takreeban ek mahine ka sab se kam hai. Analysis likhte waqt price 203.10 ke qareeb hai, aur aaj ke session mein 204.21 resistance level se retreat kar chuka hai. Pound ke muqable yen par downward pressure barh gaya hai, jo ke British retail sales ke expected se kamzor numbers announce hone ki wajah se hai. Aaj ke announce kiye gaye data ke mutabiq, UK retail sales umeed se zyada gir rahi hain. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, UK retail sales June 2024 mein -1.2% m/m gir gayi hain, jo May mein 2.9% barh gayi thi aur market expectations ke mutabiq 0.4% ki decline thi. Election uncertainty, bura mausam, aur kam footfall is girawat ki wajahain hain. Non-food stores mein sales 2.1% giri hain, jisme department stores, retail clothing aur shoe stores, aur furniture stores shaamil hain. Food stores mein sales 1.1% giri hain, mukhya tor par supermarkets ke wajah se, aur online kharch 2.7% gir gaya.
June tak ke teen mahine dekhen to retail sales mein 0.1% contraction dekhne ko mila. Salana basis par retail sales 0.2% giri hain, jo May ke upwardly revised 1.7% increase ke muqable mein hain aur expectations thi 0.2% increase ki.

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Ek aur level par: British government bond yields 10 saal ke liye kam ho gayi hain wage data ke baad. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10 saal ke bonds ka yield 4.05% tak gir gaya hai, jo ke teen hafton ka sab se kam hai. Traders naye economic data ko evaluate kar rahe hain Bank of England ke agle interest rate decisions ko predict karne ke liye. Is haftay ki inflation aur labor market data Bank of England ke liye faisla mushkil bana rahi hai ke kya price pressures itne kam ho gaye hain ke 16 saal ke highest level se interest rates ko cut kiya ja sake. Labor market mein slowdown ke bawajood jahan wages ka growth slowest pace par hai takreeban do saal mein, services inflation 5.7% par high hai, jo Bank of England ke forecast 5.1% se zyada hai. Overall, CPI June mein Bank of England ke target 2% par barqarar raha. Traders ab 40% chance dekh rahe hain ke August 1 ko rate cut hoga, jo ke inflation data ke baad 30% se barh gaya hai.

Jumay ko kisi bara asar dalnay wali data release na honay ki wajah se market mein zyada tabdeeli nahi dekhi gayi, jis se market flat rahi. EUR/USD currency pair kareeb 1.8705 mark ke ird gird trade hoti rahi, aur is mein ziada fluctuation nahi dekha gaya. **GBP/JPY Performance**

GBP/JPY pair Jumay ko neechay band hui aur kuch kamzori dikhai. Pehlay yeh 187.28 ke qareebi resistance level ko cross kar gayi thi, magar yeh momentum zyada dair tak qaim nahi reh saka. Pichlay hafte ke doran GBP/JPY ka trend zyadatar bullish raha. Kuch aise lamhe bhi aaye jab GBP/JPY mein girawat dekhi gayi, magar yeh sirf corrective phases the.

**Technical Analysis**

H1 timeframe par dekhain to pair ka 187.29 resistance level cross karna mazid upward movement ka ishara de raha hai. Magar yeh yad rakhnay ki zarurat hai ke GBP/JPY ne ek significant decline experience kiya hai. Pichlay chand dino mein movement mazboot tor par upwards rahi hai. Bara timeframe par, ek confirmation candle jo ke ek bullish engulfing candle ki shakal mein bani hai, yeh signal deti hai ke market jald reverse ho sakti hai. Jab tak 180.94 ke demand area ko penetrate nahi kiya jata, mujhe lagta hai ke upward movement ka achi khasii moqa hai. Mera scenario yeh anticipate karta hai ke GBP/JPY mustaqbil mein 205.46 tak ja sakti hai.

**Ichimoku Indicator Insights**

Ichimoku indicator ko dekhain to recent decline ne candle ki position ko badal diya hai. Pehlay yeh Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar thi; ab yeh in ke neeche shift ho gayi hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke GBP/JPY mein Monday ko downward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jahan yeh support ko 184.48 par test karegi. Agar GBP/JPY is area ko penetrate nahi karti, to yahan se rebound ho sakta hai.

**Stochastic Indicator Analysis**

Stochastic indicator ki nazar se dekha jaye to line apne lowest level ke qareeb 80 se thori door hai magar abhi tak wahan nahi pohanchi. Magar is ne upward movement shuru kar di hai. Yeh indicator mustaqbil mein GBP/JPY ki upward movement ko imply karta hai. Agar koi unexpected downward shift hoti hai, to GBP/JPY mentioned support 184.48 ki taraf move kar sakti hai.

**Conclusion**

Aaj ki analysis ka natija yeh hai ke GBP/JPY currency pair mein abhi bhi further upward movement ka potential hai kyun ke 180.94 ka demand area abhi tak penetrate nahi hua. Is ke ilawa, candle abhi bhi RBS area ke ird gird 184.87 par phansi hui hai. Is liye mein recommend karta hoon ke jo traders is pair par focus kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par concentrate karein. Apna take-profit target resistance 199.01 ke qareeb rakhein aur stop-loss support level 183.69 par set karein.

: H1 chart. Main yeh umeed kar raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential ko

Is chart se ye dekhne mein aa raha hai ke GBP/JPY ek consolidation phase mein hai, jisme pehle ek kaafi strong uptrend tha. Abhi price ek tight range mein move kar rahi hai, jahan support area lagbhag 187,032 ke aas paas hai aur strong resistance 192,724 ke qareeb. Main ne supply aur demand zone ko blue area se mark kiya hai, jahan price ke reaction hone ka imkaan hai.

Do mumkin scenarios hain. Pehla, agar price resistance 192,724 ko strong volume ke sath break kar leti hai, to GBP/JPY apne uptrend ko continue kar sakta hai. Ye ek valid buy signal hoga, khaaskar agar H1 candle blue area ke upar close ho jati hai, jiska pehla target 193,330 ke aas paas hoga. Magar yaad rahe, stop loss ko 192,724 ke niche set karna zaroori hai, taake false breakout se bacha ja sake. Dusra, agar price 192,724 ko break nahi kar pati aur neeche bounce ho jati hai, to humay ye dekhna hoga ke price support area 187,032 tak gir sakti hai. Agar yahan reversal ke signs nazar aate hain, to ye ek acha moment ho sakta hai buy position lene ka, jisme target wapas previous resistance tak ho sakta hai. Lekin agar 187,032 ka area bhi break hota hai, to GBP/JPY mazeed neeche gir kar agle support level 184,442 tak ja sakta hai.

Moving average (MA) ke movement se dekha ja sakta hai ke MA 50 (red line) abhi bhi MA 200 (blue line) ke upar hai, jo ye dikhata hai ke short-term trend abhi bhi bullish hai. Lekin kyun ke price abhi MA 50 ke neeche hai, isliye mazeed correction ka imkaan hai pehle ke uptrend continue ho. To baat ye hai ke abhi hume market mein enter karne se pehle clear signal confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye. Umeed hai ye analysis madad karega, aur jaise hamesha, trade safe aur khush rah kar trading karein!

Wednesday ke trading mein koi khaas harkat nahi hui, lekin qeemat sirf EMA 200 H1 line ke aas paas upar aur neeche chalti rahi, jo ke 188.67 - 188.74 ke numbers ke aas paas cross hui. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 lines bhi is hi behaviour ko follow kar rahi thi, jo angled aur flat thi. Qeemat jo upar jane ki koshish kar rahi thi, woh 189.48 ke high ko cross nahi kar payi, jo is hafte ka highest number tha jo Tuesday ko bana tha. Is failure ne sellers ko dominate karne ka mauka diya. Afsoos, seller pressure sirf qeemat ko 187.84 tak shift kar paya, uske baad qeemat phir se upar push hui aur EMA 200 ke aas paas ghoomti rahi. Yeh halat abhi bhi trend ko unclear aur biased banati hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Thursday ke dopahar tak jaari rahi. Market aaj subah 188.90 par open hui. Qeemat daily open ke upar dekhi gayi aur EMA 200 thodi neeche thi. Flat EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ab upar ki taraf point kar rahi hain. Sabse nazdeek resistance 189.97 hoga, jo ke bullish price movement ke liye dekhna hoga. Bullish candles patli bodies aur upper aur lower shadows ke saath bani hain. Kal ke narrow price movement mein high aur low 187.84 aur 189.41 ke prices par bane. Daily chart par, qeemat daily resistance 188.87 ko break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai aur wahan resistance ka samna kar rahi hai. Jab qeemat thoda upar jaati hai, EMA 12 daily line is positive movement ko rokne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Correction phase ab bhi chal raha hai jahan qeemat upar ki taraf chalti ja rahi hai. Mazid taqatwar qeemat ab EMA 200 daily line ki taraf ja rahi hai, lekin filhal qeemat EMA 12 daily ko test kar rahi hai. Agar is baar yeh 188.87 ko break karne aur EMA 12 daily ko cross karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to EMA 200 ka goal haqdaar hoga. Aur yeh bhi mumkin hai ke is se trend ka direction badal jaye jo ke abhi bhi downtrend mein hai kyunki EMA 200 H1 line ke neeche move kar rahi hai. Daily stochastic ab bhi upar point kar raha hai, halankeh yeh level 100 tak pahunch chuka hai aur yeh buyers ke liye caution ka signal hai kyunki qeemat soon overbought signal respond kar sakti hai jo qeemat ko phir se neeche le jaa sakti hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ab bhi wahi hain, dono EMA lines neeche latakti hain jo indicate karti hain ke qeemat ka movement abhi bhi bearish hai. Agar qeemat EMA 12 daily se reject hoti hai, to

GBP/JPY currency pair ne Wednesday ko apne rally ko third consecutive day tak extend kiya, aur 189.00 level ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Yeh upward movement thodi surprising thi kyun ke UK inflation data expectations se kam aaya tha, jo aam tor par currency ke liye downward pressure create karta hai. Yeh data Bank of England ke taraf se interest rate cuts ke potential ko suggest karta hai, jo ke normally pound ko weak karta hai. Lekin is trend ko balance karte hue, Middle East mein rising geopolitical tensions ne investors ko safe-haven assets jaise ke Japanese yen ki taraf attract kiya. US missile submarine ke deployment aur ongoing Israeli-Palestinian conflict ne potential escalation ke concerns ko barhaya. Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan ke taraf se future interest rate hike ke expectations ne yen ko support provide kiya. Yeh conflicting backdrop GBP/JPY pair ke liye ek complex environment create kar raha hai, jisme currency pair ki movement multiple factors se influenced ho rahi hai.

Technical Analysis:
Pair ne potential trend reversal ke signs show kiye, aur momentum indicators ne previous downtrend ke weakening ko suggest kiya. Magar significant resistance levels ab bhi maujood hain jo upside potential ko limit karte hain. GBP/JPY pair ab bhi various economic aur geopolitical factors ke darmiyan ek tug-of-war mein **** hua hai. Market ka focus expected hai ke upcoming economic data releases, specifically agle UK CPI report, par shift hoga for further direction.

Lekin, market mein bears most likely attempt kar rahe hain ke control wapas hasil karein. August 22, 2023 ka high aur 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ne 185.21–186.75 region ko establish kiya hai, jisse GBP/JPY ko neeche force karne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Agar yeh successful hote hain, toh yeh pair ko April 9, 2001 ke high 181.36 tak le jaane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Is conclusion ke sath, halaan ke GBP/JPY abhi bhi rise kar raha hai, market ka momentum ab bhi shaky hai, jo ek aur decline ka room chhodta hai