جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Kal ke trading session mein, GBP/JPY pair ne market dynamics ka shandar dikhawa diya, ek chhooti hui retracement aur us ke baad wapas fill hone wali gap ke baad ek mazboot uptrend ka muzahira karte hue. Ye price action barh chuki market activity ke dauran samne aaya, jo forex landscape mein taza taur par tabdeel hone wale sentiments ko reflect karta tha. Session ek chhote se pullback ke saath shuru hua, jo ek zahir hone wale bullish momentum ke muddat ke baad aam baat hai. Ye retracement phase hal mein hasil hone wale faiday ko jama karne ka kaam kiya, traders ko apni positions aur strategies ko dobara dekhne ka mauka deta hai. Is temporary rukawat ke bawajood, market ke hissay daar chaukanna the, key technical levels ko potential trading opportunities ke liye qareeb se nazar rakhte hue.

Jaise trading session barhta gaya, GBP/JPY pair ne ek impressively comeback kiya, ek mazboot bullish impulse ke zariye jo kisi bhi baqi shak ka aakhri dukh door kar gaya. Is mazboot bullish sentiment ke ubharne ne market mein prevailing bullish bias ki ehmiyat ko darust kiya, traders ke darmiyan dubara se itminan ka signals diya. Is bullish narrative ka markazi hissa ek full-bodied bullish candle ka banawat tha, ek ahem technical development jo mazboot buying pressure aur bullish conviction ka sign tha. Ye candle, apne mazboot jism aur lambi chhore ke zariye, market arena mein bullon ki dominance ko symbolized karta tha jab woh price action pe control lete aur pair ko uunchay ki taraf le jaate.

Khaas tor par ahmiyat ki woh barwaqt breach aur us ke baad prominent resistance level jo 195.745 par tha. Ye critical juncture, thorough technical analysis ke zariye dheere-dheere pehchaan gaya gaya tha, market ke hissay daar ke liye ek pivotal turning point ka kaam kiya, bullish aur bearish sentiment ke darmiyan seema ka nishan lagata tha. Is key resistance level ka breach sirf technical analysis ki kaarigarai ko validate nahi karta, balki dubara se mazboot bullish momentum ka catalyst ka kaam karta hai, aur further buying interest ko attract karta hai, aur GBP/JPY pair ko naye unchayon tak le jaata hai. Is breakthrough ki ahmiyat ko underestimate nahi kiya ja sakta, kyun ke yeh bullish trend ki taqat ko dobara saabit karta hai aur market mein prevailing bullish bias ki ehmiyat ko underscore karta hai.



Sarasar, kal ke trading session mein, GBP/JPY pair ne bullish momentum ka compelling display kiya, jo 195.745 ke key resistance level ke oopar convincing breakout ke saath khatam hua. Ye noteworthy development bullish trend ki resilience ko highlight karta hai aur forex market ke complexities ko navigate karne mein technical analysis ki ehmiyat ko dobara saabit karta hai. Jab traders market ke changing conditions ka adapt karte hain, toh mehnat aur adaptability emerging opportunities ka faida uthane aur curve ke aage rehne mein zaroori rehte hain.

Mangal ko Europe mein British Pound ka Japanese Yen ke khilaf raily bandh gaya, chand musalsal chhe jeet ke baad. Ye tabdeeli UK ne Semi-Semi-Semi-Ginseng ke liye rozgar ke data ko release kiya, jo ke investors ko razamand nahi kiya. Announcement ke baad Pound (GBP) yen (JPY) ke khilaf kamzor ho gaya. UK ki berozgari dar March mein 4.3% tak barh gayi, pehle ke figure 4.2% ke muqablay. Ye market ki umeedon ke mutabiq hai, lekin is se zyada berozgar logon ki tadad ko bhi darust karta hai. Lambay arsay tak berozgar logon ki tadad bhi barh gayi. Berozgar logon ki tadad 46,000 se 1.49 million tak pahunch gayi, aur berozgari ke faiday ka daawaat April mein (+89,000) mein barh gaya jab ke March mein (-44,000) mein kami aayi thi. Kul mila ke, Britain mein rozi-hilal -177k tak badal gaya teen mahino ke liye jo March mein khatam hua, pehle ke -156k ke muqablay mein. Pound mojooda waqt mein 191.47-192.57 ke darmiyan trade ho raha hai, jo ke 2024 ki unchi 200.50 ke muqablay bohot kam hai. Market Japan ke markazi bank ke dohraye gaye dakhal dene ki shak hai yen ko kamzor karne ke liye. Agar yen ki qeemat ghat'ti rahegi, toh Japanese authorities yeh strategy jari rakh sakti hain.



Technical indicators bhi haal ke uptrend ki potential khatam hone ka ishaara dete hain. Average Directional Index (ADX) 25 ke oopar hai, ek mazboot trend ko dikhata hai, lekin yeh shayad badal raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral position mein wapas aaya hai, jo ke usse niche nahi ja sakta aur ek 4-month ki kam se kam position ko hasil nahi kar sakta. Sab se ahem, Stochastic Oscillator apne moving average se kafi nichay gir gaya hai aur darmiyan tak pahunch raha hai. Yeh Pound ke liye ek significant decline ka ishara ho sakta hai. Magar, kuch traders Bank of Japan ke potential future interventions ko faida uthane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agar Pound phir se Yen ke khilaf barh jaye, 191.47-192.57 zone tak pahunch jaye, toh ye traders shanakht shumari ka imtehaan karne ke liye 188.21-189.61 ke identified support level ka istemal kar sakte hain. Aakhri mein, Pound ka Yen ke khilaf mustaqbil Bank of Japan ke amal par mabni rehta hai. Us ke interventions aur unke asar yen ki qeemat par is currency pair ke mustaqbil ko tay karenge.

GBPJPY ka tajziya is tarah hai:

Mukammal tor par, somwar ke GBPJPY D1 time frame chart par bullish trend mumkin hai ek bullish candle ke zahir hone ke zariye, jisme ke price highs aur lows 194.68 aur 195.37 par note kiye gaye hain. Magar, ye izafa ye nahi darust karta ke prices be intiha barhte rahenge bina kisi rokawat ke. Daily chart dikhata hai ke market abhi tak ek ahem consolidation phase mein hai. Barqarar baarhava ke liye ek breakout is consolidation zone ke bahar zaroori hai.

Agar kal ka high mumkin hai, toh daily resistance level 195.62 ki taraf ek potential uthao mumkin hai. Isliye, agar upar zikar ki gayi high ko paar nahi kiya ja sakta, toh consolidation phase zahir hai ke jari rahega, jiske saath daily support levels 192.23 par giraavat ka khatra hai, jo ke shayad 191.50 tak barh sakta hai. Kal ke pivotal high breach ya breach ka nakami par mabni, market ke agle qadam is par tay honge ke woh consolidation jaari rakhta hai ya agar woh upar ki taraf badta hai.



GBPJPY H4 chart abhi ka price dikhata hai. Somwar ke Asian session ke doran, prices 100 Moving average ke ird gird ghomte rahe, jo ke buyers ke liye favorably tha. Price us waqt 200 EMA ke oopar tha. Jab Europe session shuru hua, buyers ko kuch umeed dikhne lagi. Magar, us waqt woh cost sham ko 200 EMA line ke rad hone ke baad EMA100 H4 line par wapas gaya. Khareedari ab phir se uth rahi hai abhi.

Is ke ilawa ke resistant hone ke saath, EMA 633 bhi buyers ke rukh mein ek ahem movement ke aghaz ko nishaan deta hai. EMA9 aur EMA 18 H4 ne is ilaake se ek upside crossover banaya, jo ke EMA 200 H4 line par ek perfect breakout tak le gaya. Is dafa, khareedari ka dominance ne prices ko critical buyer area mein wapas le aaya hai.

GBP/JPY KA TAQREEB:
Assalam-o-Alaikum, dosto. Umeed hai aap sab theek honge, tamaam forum administrators, moderators, aur InstaForex broker admins ke liye. Aaj, main GBP/JPY market par guftagu karunga. Meri trading GBP/JPY analysis tamaam forum dosto aur InstaForex traders ke liye mufeed hai. Jab MACD(12,26,9) oscillator pointer sirf zero marks se uthne lagta tha, to 193.84 ki qeemat ka aazmaish waqt mein hui, jo English Pound ki khareedari ke daur ka daleel tha. Isi tarah, GBP/JPY pair 120 pips se zyada barh gaya. Data ki kami aur Bank of Japan ke faislon ne English Pound ko din ke aakhri hisse mein barhne mein madad ki; lekin, pair aik horizontal channel ke daire mein trade karte raha, jo halqay ka maizban asar kar sakta hai. Subah ke pehlu mein, hum Italy ki sanati production report aur European National Bank ki meeting ki minutes ka zikr kar sakte hain, aur ye iska matlab hai ke pair phir bhi barh sakta hai. Magar, behtar hai ke hum horizontal channel ke hudood mein hi trade karte rahein, bunyadi positions ko qaim rakhne ke liye. Aaj, aap English Pound ko khareed sakte hain jab qeemat 195.24 par pohanch jaye jo graf mein hare rang ki line se plot ki gayi hai, aur intizar karen 197.81 ke lehaz se. 197.81 ke lehaz se, main market se bahar nikalne aur English Pound ko ulta bechne ka irada karta hoon, dakhil hone ke point se 120-140 pips ke izafay par bharosa karte hue. Aaj, aap Italy aur ECB meeting ki shafeeq minutes par behtareen data ke baad English Pound ka barhavah muntazir rakh sakte hain. Khareedne se pehle, yaqeeni ban jayein ke MACD(12,26,9) oscillator pointer zero marks ke oopar hai aur sirf is se uthna shuru hua hai. Main aaj English Pound ko khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon agar do musalsal trials hui hain qeemat 193.84 ki jab MACD marker oversold area mein hai. Ye instrument ke neeche ke potential ko had karta hai aur market ka ulta janib ka majmooa hota hai. Hum 195.24 aur 197.81 ke mukhalif darjat ka izhaarat ka intezar kar sakte hain.

Trading Discussion

British pound ish hafte Japanese yen ke khilaf mazeed izafa karne ke liye tayar hai, peechle hafte ki musbat lehar par buniyad banakar. Bank of Japan ke yen ko kamzor karne ke iradon ke bawajood, GBP/JPY pair ne 50-day moving average ke qareeb chhote waqt ke liye ghutne tak chala gaya. Ab tak, pair 195.10 ke qareeb hai, ahem resistance levels ko azma raha hai. Thursday ke pehlu mein, Bank of England ne interest rates ko 7 se 2 ke vote se mustaqil qaim rakhne ka faisla kiya. Ye faisla kuch market analysts ko hera pheri kiya jo rates ko bina tabdeel rakhne ka 8-1 vote ka umeedwar the. Committee ke do afrad, Sir David Ramsden aur Dr. Swati Dhingra, naraaz hue aur ek rate cut ke liye vote kiya. Ye ghair mutawaqqa vote bank ke monetary policy stance mein ek mumkin tabdeeli ka izhar karta hai, kuch members arzi policies ko mustaqil karne ke liye jhuk rahe hain taake ma'ashiyat ko taraqqi de saken. Agay dekhte hue, Jumma ko UK GDP data ka release aham hoga. Ma'aashiyat ke taraqqi ke mutalik ma'aashiyatdan 0.4% ki ma'dam darja ka izafa mutawaqqif karte hain. Ye pehle mahine ke -0.3% ki tangi ke baad ek mustaqil u-turn hoga. Is ke ilawa, Bank of England ke policymakers, jaise ke chief economist Hugh Bell aur Dr. Dhingra, ke public appearances, markazi bank ke future plans ke baray mein mazeed wazahat faraham kar sakti hain.



Taazi se 195.62 ki rozana resistance level ki taraf ek potential uthao mumkin hai agar kal ka high mumkin hai. Isliye, agar upar zikar ki gayi high ko paar nahi kiya ja sakta, toh consolidation phase jari rahega, jiske saath 192.23 par daily support levels ki taraf giraavat ka khatra hai, shayad 191.50 tak puhanch jaaye. Kal ke pivotal high breach ya breach ka nakami par mabni, market ke agle qadam is par tay honge ke woh consolidation jaari rakhta hai ya agar woh upar ki taraf badta hai.

Technical tor par, GBP/JPY chart mein aik mumkin turning point ka ishara hai. Halankay overall uptrend barqarar hai, lekin pair Kijun-Sen level 195.26 par ek bari rukawat ka samna kar raha hai. Is level ko paar karne ka kamyab dabao pair ko psychological level 196.00 ki taraf le ja sakta hai aur mazeed 197.92 ya April 26th ki unchi 197.92 tak bhi puhanch sakta hai. Magar, Senkou Span A 194.82 ke neeche girne se aur nuqsanat ka khatra ho sakta hai 194.00 tak. Momentum indicators aik milawat ka manzar pesh karte hain. Average Directional Index (ADX) ke mutabiq haal hi ka uptrend khatam hone ki nishandahi karta hai, jabke RSI nisbatan mustaqil hai. Magar, Stochastic indicator, apne moving average ke neeche tezi se girne ke saath ek bearish signal dikhata hai. Ye mukhtalif technical data pair ke agle qadam ka tay karna mushkil banata hai. Bulls pair ko control dobara hasil karne ki koshish karenge aur pair ko June 24th, 2015 ki unchi 195.87 tak le ja sakte hain. Aik kamyabi se guzri rally 198.59 ki taraf aur shayad April 29th, 2024 ki unchi 200.50 ki dobara test ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Magar, bears mojooda support levels ke neeche kisi bhi kamzori ka faida uthana chahte hain aur pair ko neeche le jaana chahte hain. Aane wale dinon mein GBP/JPY ki disha ka tay karna aham hoga jab ma'aashiyat ke data aur central bank ki guftagu khulta hai.

GBP/JPY H-1 Timeframe Analysis:

Agar 195.65 ke range mein koi rukawat hai aur is ke baad girawat jaari hai. Kyunkay humein khareedaron ki taraf se mazboot dabao hai, to darja 195.60 ke upar barhna jaari rahega. 194.80 ke range ko tor kar aur is ke neeche mazboot ho jana mumkin hai, phir yeh bechnay ka signal hoga. Jab aap 195.70 ke range ko tor dete hain, to barhavah jaari rahega aur aap khareed sakte hain. Main 194.50 ka breakout ka intezar kar raha hoon aur jab yeh hota hai, bechna mumkin ho jata hai. Jab hum 195.70 ke range ko tor kar aur is ke upar mazboot ho jate hain, to yeh khareedne ka signal ho jata hai. Hum 193.80 ke range mein bhi gir sakte hain aur is ke baad barhavah jaari rahega. Halqiati se halke se correction abhi bhi jaari reh sakta hai, is ke baad barhavah aur bhi jaari ho sakta hai. Agar yeh 195.65 ke upar jaata hai, to yeh khareedne ka signal hoga. GBP/JPY ka taraqqi se chhote hone ke baad halqiati se barhne ka silsila abhi bhi jaari hai. 195.75 ka jhoota breakout ke baad, girawat jaari hai. Ab tak, bechne wale ke sabhi koshishen nakami mein mubtala ho chuki hain. Beshak, agar qeemat 195.045 tak kam hoti hai, to mujhe nuqsan uthana hoga aur aaj ke liye trading chor deni hogi. Magar bulls ab bhi keemat rakhte hain aur main naye barhavah ke liye intezar kar raha hoon. Chhota karne ki koi khwahish nahi hai, lekin nazariyat mein 194.167 ka darja acha maqam hai chhote darjat ke liye. Main is soorat mein is soorat par ghoor sakta hoon, lekin abhi nahi

.

GBPJPY ka tajziya is tarah hai:

Mukammal tor par, peer ke GBPJPY D1 time frame chart par bullish trend mumkin hai ek bullish candle ke zahir hone se, jis par qeemat ki bulandiyon aur kamiyon ka zikr 194.68 aur 195.37 par hai. Magar, yeh uthao yeh darust nahi karta ke qeematain baghair rukawat ke barhti rahein gi. Rozana ka chart saboot deta hai ke market abhi bhi aik ahem mushtamil phase mein hai. Barqarar barhne ke liye, is mushtamil zone ke par tory par nikalna zaroori hai.

Agar kal ka darja mumkin hai, to rozana ka resistance level 195.62 ki taraf ek mumkin uthao mumkin hai. Isliye, agar upar zikar ki gayi high ko paar nahi kiya ja sakta, to mushtamil phase jari rahega, jiske saath rozana ke support levels ki taraf giraavat ka imkan hai 192.23 tak, shayad 191.50 tak puhanch jaaye. Kal ke pivotal high breach ya breach ka nakami par mabni, market ke agle qadam is par tay honge ke woh consolidate karta hai ya agar woh break up karta hai.



GBPJPY H4 chart mein maujooda qeemat dikhata hai. Peer ke Asian session ke doran, qeemat 100 moving average ke aas paas ghoom rahi thi, jo ke khareedaron ki taraf fayl kar raha tha. Tab qeemat 200 EMA ke upar thi. Jab European session shuru hua, khareedaron ko kuch umeed dikhai dene lagi. Magar, raat ko EMA 200 line ke rad-e-amal ke baad, qeemat EMA100 H4 line par wapas gayi. Ab dubara kharidari shuru ho rahi hai.

Resistant hone ke sath, EMA 633 bhi khareedaron ki taraf ek ahem harekate ka aghaz mark karta hai. EMA9 aur EMA 18 H4 is ilaqe se ek upside crossover banae, jo EMA 200 H4 line par aik mukammal breakout ka silsila shuru karta hai. Is dafa, khareedari ka dominans qeemat ko ahem khareedar ilaqe par le gaya hai.

Brittish pound is haftay mein Japani yen ke khilaf mazeed izafa ke liye tayar hai, peechlay haftay ki musbat harkat par buniyad rakh kar. Bank of Japan ke yen ko kamzor karne ke liye intezaami dakhilat ke bawajood, GBP/JPY jodi ne 50-day moving average ke qareeb chand der tak giraftar hone ke baad phir se upar uthne ka kamyab qadam uthaya hai. Ab tak, jodi 195.10 ke aas paas mojood hai, ahem mukhalif darjat ko test kar rahi hai. Thursday ke doran, Bank of England ne 7 se 2 vote se interest rates ko mustaqil rakhne ka faisla kiya. Yeh faisla kuch market analysts ko herat angez laga jo rates ko bechange rakhne ke 8-1 vote ka tawaqqa rakhte the. Committee ke do afraad, Sir David Ramsden aur Dr. Swati Dhingra, khilaf awaz di aur interest rates ko kum karne ka vote diya. Ye ghair mutawaqqa vote central bank ke monetary policy stance mein ek mumkin tajwez ko numaya karta hai, jahan kuch committee ke afraad mazeed mulayam policies ki taraf rujhan dikhate hain taake maeeshat ko taraqqi dene ki koshish ki ja sake. Aglay haftay, Jumeraat ko UK ki GDP data ka izhar ahem hai. Mahir-e-maeeshat ki tawaqqa hai ke maeeshat mein izafah hoga, kwartarly basis par 0.4% ke mutawaqqa izafah ke saath. Yeh ek musbat tabdeeli hogi peechlay maheenay ke -0.3% ke ghatne ke baad. Mazeed, Bank of England ke policymakers, jaise ke chief economist Hugh Bell aur Dr. Dhingra, ke awami numayishat central bank ke future plans ke baray mein mazeed tafseelat faraham kar sakti hain.



Technically, GBP/JPY ka chart ek mumkin turning point ko zahir karta hai. Jabke overall uptrend masih hai, jodi ke saamne ek bara hurdle hai Kijun-Sen level 195.26 par. Is level ko paar karne ka kamyab qadam jodi ko 196.00 ke psycological level aur shayad hi April 26th ki unchi par 197.92 tak le ja sakta hai. Magar, Senkou Span A 194.82 ke neeche girne ki soorat mein mazeed nuqsanat 194.00 tak ho sakte hain. Momentum indicators ek mix picture pesh karte hain. Average Directional Index (ADX) ke mutabiq, haal ki uptrend khatam hone ki taraf ja sakta hai, jabke RSI nisbatan mustaqil hai. Stochastic indicator, haan, ek bearish signal pesh karta hai apni harkat ke moving average ke neeche tazad ke saath. Is mukhtalif technical data ki wajah se jodi ke agle qadam ka tay karna mushkil hai. Bulls jodi ko control hasil karne aur jodi ko June 24th, 2015 ki unchi 195.87 tak le jane ki koshish karenge. Kamyab breakout phir unhe rally ka rasta dikha sakta hai 198.59 tak aur shayad hi April 29th, 2024 ki unchi 200.50 ki dobara testing tak. Magar, bears jodi ke maujooda support levels ke neeche kisi bhi kamzori ka faida uthane ki koshish karenge. Anay wale din jodi ke rukh ka faisla karne ke liye ahem honge jab maeeshati data aur central bank ke tajwez samne aayeinge.

GBP/JPY tajziya: Kya 190.00 tak puhancha ja sakta hai?

GBP/JPY ne yen ke daam mein izafa ke doraan afraad ka shak kiya ja raha tha kyun ke Bank of Japan ki dakhalat ke bare mein shak tha. Aam tor par, market Bank of Japan ki yen ko support karne ke liye mazeed dakhalat ke liye intehai hoshyar hai kyun ke trading volatility be-naqab hai. Tez farokht ne GBP/JPY ko is haftay ke shuru mein us ke tamam arsaai unchiyon se 191.70 tak le gaya aur 200.53 tak muqabla kar raha hai, jiski keemat likhte waqt 192.50 ke qareeb hai.

Forex trading company ke platform ke mutabiq. Yen ne New York session ke baad mangh rahi thi ke Bank of Japan Wazarat-e Khazana ke naam par mazeed dakhalat karne wala hai. Jab ke U.S. stock market band ho gaya, market liquidity ko bohot kam qarar diya gaya tha, jo ke be-natija tor par Japanese yen ka asar barhata hai.

Dusri taraf, U.S. Treasury yields Federal Reserve ke akhri policy meeting ke baad barh gaye. Halan ke Federal Reserve inflation se pareshan hai aur market interest rate cuts ke ummeedon ko kam karta hai, Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell ne kaha ke mazeed rate hike namumkin hai, aur zyada taqatwar yen ne market ko support kiya.



Overall, global market aggregate spreads against the yen remain wide, so the temptation to sell the yen at highs remains.

Aaj ka GBP/JPY ka tajziya:

Rozana chart ke performance ke aadhar par, GBP/JPY jodi ne neeche ki taraf rukh lena shuru kiya hai aur 190.00 ke darjat ko paar karne ka darmiyan mein us rukh ko badalne ke liye khatarnak hai. Main ab bhi jodi ko kisi bhi bullish levels par bechne ka tareeqa pasand karta hoon aur aaj UK Manufacturing PMI ke izhar par kis tarah investors zyada risk lete hain, is par amal karunga.

Subah se dopahar tak, hum ne GBP-JPY jodi ke daam mein numaayaar ooper ki taraf ki tarafrawi dekhi hai. Ye upar ki manzil ko ishaara karta hai aur market mein ek mumkinah bullish momentum ka pata chalta hai. Is trend ke tehat, agar daam ooper ki taraf barhta rahe, toh bohot zyada mumkin hai ke GBP-JPY jodi qareebi mustaqbil mein apni ooper ki harkat ko barqarar rakhegi. Ye musbat daam ki karwai yeh darust karta hai ke ab kharidar market sentiment par hawi hai, jo ke GBP-JPY jodi ke qeemat ko ooper le ja rahi hai. Is upar ki harkat mein kai factors shamil ho sakte hain, jin mein maqbool ma'ashi data, alami saraiki, ya market sentiment British pound ko Japanese yen se behtar samajhta hai.



In tajziyat ke roshni mein, aaj ke trading session mein ek kharid farokht ka order shuru karne ka waqt mumkin hai. Ek kharid farokht ka order laga kar, aap GBP-JPY jodi ke upar ki harkat ka faida utha sakte hain aur shayad nafa baksh trading hasil kar sakte hain. Magar, kisi bhi trade ko amal mein anay se pehle ahtiyaat aur mukammal tajziya karna zaroori hai. Jabke mojooda upar ki trend ummeed afroz lag rahi hai, market ki shorat asar daam ke asar se tabdeel ho sakti hai, aur anjaan waqiyat GBP-JPY jodi ke rukh par asar daal sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, global ma'ashi taraqqi aur central bank policies ke baray mein maloomat rakhte rehna GBP-JPY jodi ke mustaqbil ke rukh par asani se guftagu mein madadgar ho sakti hai. Maslan, Bank of England ya Bank of Japan ki bain ul aqwami ke ilanat, sood ki dar ya ma'ashi policy ke faislay market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur currency ke qeemat par asar daal sakte hain.

Aakhir mein, GBP-JPY jodi ke mojooda upar ki harkat traders ke liye ek moqa pesh karta hai ke unhe kharid farokht ka order lagakar nafa hasil karne ki koshish karen. Magar, ehtiyaat, mukammal tajziya, aur khatre ka izhaar karne ke tareeqay ko amal mein laana zaroori hai taake daimi exchange market mein kamiyabi haasil ki ja sake. Maloomat haasil kar ke aur achi faislay kar ke, traders aaj ke trading session mein munafa hasil karne ki koshish kar sakte hain.

CURRENCY PAIR GBP-JPY

Shayad humne 194.10 se ek wapas mila, jo kehta hai wahan support hai, jahan se behtareen hai kharidna. Agar hum 197.35 ke range ko tor lein aur us par qaim ho jayein, toh yeh daam barhne ka ishaara hoga. Agar hum 197.35 ke range ko tor lein aur us par qaim ho jayein, toh yeh kharidne ka ishaara hoga. Pehle se hi ek giravat hui hai 195.70 ke range mein, aur wahan se, izaafi izaafa jari hai. Jab maloom hota hai ke 194.00 ke range mein support hai, aur wahan se, izaafi izaafa jari hai, hum pehle se hi giravat mil chuki hai correction level se 197.30, aur wahan se hum bech sakte hain. Agar hum 197.35 ke range ke ooper tor lein aur us par qaim ho jayein, toh yeh kharidne ka ishaara hoga. Yeh maloom hota hai ke ek choti correction ke baad, izaafi izaafa jari rahega. Aam taur par, daam ka mazboot hona jari rahe sakta hai, lekin is ke liye zaroori hai ke 195.95 ke range ke ooper rehna chahiye. Asal mein, hum ne market mein acha correction dekha hai, aur is ke baad, izaafi izaafa jari rahega. Mumkin hai ke mojooda se izaafi izaafa jari rahega, jo kehta hai ke hum 197.00 ke range ko tor sakte hain, aur phir darmiyani mudat mein, izaafi izaafa jari rahega aur shayad 198.00 ke qareeb pohanch sakta hai. Hum dekhte hain ke Japanese yen se jude currency ki keemat ko chhod kar, Japanese currency bohot zyada mazboot tor par dabi hui hai, jo ke humare assests ko bhaari uttarikaran ke saath deti hai, bohot zyada buland tawanai ke saath. Ab sadhan Bollinger indicator ke upper moving line ko tor raha hai, jo asal mein currency pair ke liye overbought zone ko darust karta hai aur ek mumkin mustaqbil ke dakhli sudhar ka ishaara deta hai. Ek shandaar zone ek dakchini sudhar ke liye hai 193.66 ka support level, lekin jab hum yahan tak pohanchenge yeh mukhya sawal hai, kyun ke hum dekh rahe hain ke Japanese yen ki dar se dar rate bhi nahi badhi hai, is liye yeh currency aur zyada haara hai. Aam tor par, humein koi rok tham nahi hai ke bina uttarikaran ke uttarikaran ki taraf badhein.

GBP-JPY Pair Tahlil





Main dekh raha hoon ke GBPJPY ke price mein umeed hai ke barhne ka imkaan ab bhi kaafi zyada hai kyunki price ki giravat ne ab tak teesri lahar ke ikhtitam par mazboot tasdeeq nahi di hai. Haqeeqat mein, main teesri lahar ke saath ek lambi lahar ke mazboot banne ka potential dekh raha hoon, jismein ek paanchwan umeedwar wave ke banne ka imkaan hai. Giravat jo hui thi woh sirf ek wave chaar ki correction thi jismein pichle haftay bohot zyada shaded harkatein hui thi aur yeh yen ki taraf se ek mazboot rukawat thi. Lekin meri raye mein aaj ka gbpjpy bullish hi rahega. Pound yen 196.129 ke trading level ko upar se neeche tor deta hai. Yeh bechne ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki price level ke neeche consolidate ho jata hai, lekin phir se ek mukhalif signal barhne ka aamad. Yeh ek bullish inside bar hai aur level neeche se upar tor deta hai, yahan ek kharidne ka signal 200.080 tak aajata hai, lekin yeh kharidne ka signal nahi process hota, price neeche jaata hai 192.354 ke trading level tak. Yeh barhne ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin barhna nahi sakta; yeh 192.354 ke neeche jaata hai. Yahan par consolidate hota hai aur ek bechne ka signal aata hai jab tak support 190.143 tak. Bechne ka signal bhi nahi process hota, kyunki price levels ke upar jaata hai, yahan par fix hojata hai, aur yeh bechne ka cancellation hojata hai. Yahan ek kharidne ka signal aata hai pehle resistance 196.129 ke pehle, ek additional signal aata hai, yeh ek internal bullish bar hai aur yeh kharidne ka signal ab mukhtalif hai. Kal ke liye yeh 196.129 hoga.

GBP/JPY KI TAQDEER:
Assalam-o-Alaikum, dosto. Umeed hai aap sab theek honge, sab forum administrators, moderators, aur InstaForex broker admins ke liye. Aaj, main GBP/JPY market ki baat karunga. Meri trading GBP/JPY analysis sab forum friends aur InstaForex traders ke liye faida mand hai. Value trial 193.84 ka hua jab MACD(12,26,9) oscillator pointer sirf zero marks se chadhna shuru hua, jo angrezi pound ki khareed ki highlight dafah ko tasdeeq karta hai. Is tarah, GBP/JPY jodi 120 pips se zyada barh gayi. Maaloomat ki kami aur Bank of Japan ke faislay ne din ke akhri hisse mein angrezi pound ko barhne mein madad ki; phir bhi, jodi ek side channel ke shor mein trade karne jaari rahi, jo aaj ki ghaat ghat ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Subah mein, hum Italy ki sanati production report aur European National Bank ki meeting ki minutes ka zikr kar sakte hain, aur yeh yeh dawa karta hai ke jodi aaj bhi barh sakti hai. Magar, behtar hai ke side channel ke daire mein trading jaari rakhein, bunyadi positions ka paalan karte hue. Aaj, aap angrezi pound ko khareed sakte hain jab qeemat 195.24 par pohanchti hai jo chart par hari line se darust ki gayi hai, 197.81 ke darje tak kuch nahi rakhte. 197.81 ke darje par, main bazar se bahir nikalne ka irada karta hoon aur angrezi pound ko ulta bechna, dafa 120-140 pips ke rukh se entry point se. Aaj, aap angrezi pound ki barhavat sirf Italy ki shandar maloomat aur ECB ki meeting ki naram minutes ke baad ki ja sakti hai. Khareedne se pehle, yeh zaroori hai ke MACD(12,26,9) oscillator pointer zero marks ke upar ho aur sirf us waqt se chadhna shuru ho. Main aaj angrezi pound ko khareedne ka irada kar raha hoon agar do musalsal 193.84 ke qeemat ke trials hoti hain jab MACD indicator oversold ilaqa mein hota hai. Yeh instrument ki neeche ke potential ko had se zyada nahi hone dena aur market ka ulta palat jana hai. Hum ummeed kar sakte hain ke movement 195.24 aur 197.81 ke mutazad darje mein hog

GBPJPY ki analysis aisay hai:
Bilkul saaf hai ke Monday ke GBPJPY D1 time frame chart par bullish trend mumkin hai ek bullish candle ke zahir hone se, jis par qeemat ke uchhayi aur niche darj hain 194.68 aur 195.37. Magar, yeh tezi yeh nahi darust karti ke keematien bebaghair rukawat ke barhti rahengi. Rozana ka chart saboot deta hai ke market abhi bhi aham consolidation phase mein hai. Barqarar ooper ki taraf ka momentum is consolidation zone ke bahar breakout ko darkar hai.

Agar kal ka uchcha mumkin hai to rozana ka resistance level 195.62 ki taraf ek taqatwar panah mumkin hai. Is tarah, agar upar zikar ki gayi uchchai ko paar nahi kiya jata, to saboot hai ke consolidation phase jari rahega, jisme rozana ke support levels 192.23 tak ja sakte hain, shayad 191.50 tak. Kal ke pivotal high ke breach ya breach ke na-hone ke buniyadi dastavez, market ke agle qadam ko muntakhib karega ke woh consolidation jari rakhta hai ya phir upar ki taraf jaata hai.

GBPJPY H4 chart mein halat ka zikar hai. Monday ke Asian session ke doran, qeematien 100 moving average ke aas paas thi, kharidar ki taraf raazi hone ka maqam tha. Us waqt qeemat 200 EMA ke upar thi. Jab European session shuru hua, kharidar ko kuch umeed dikhayi dene lagi. Magar raat ko EMA 200 line se inkar ke baad, qeemat EMA100 H4 line par lauta di gayi. Ab dobara kharidari shuru ho rahi hai.

Resistance ke ilawa, EMA 633 bhi kharidaron ki taraf ek aham harkat ki ibtida ko darust karta hai. EMA9 aur EMA 18 H4 ne is ilaqe se upside crossover banaya, jo EMA 200 H4 line par mukammal breakout tak le gaya. Is dafa, kharidarana dabdaba qeemat ko kharidaron ke liye aham ilaqa mein la kar diya hai.

GBP/JPY Ki Dynamics Ko Samajhna
British Pound ka Japanese Yen ke khilaf jeetne ka silsila Europe mein Tuesday ko khatam hua, jab ek chhote silsile ke baad chhe jeet ke baad ruk gaya. Ye tabdeeli is waqt aayi jab investors UK ke taaza Semi-Semi-Ginseng ke rozgar ke data ka nakamiyon se jawab dete hue negative taur par react kiya. Taaza taaqat mehsoos karne ke baad pound (GBP) yen (JPY) ke khilaf gir gaya. Halankeh UK ka be rozgar dar bazaar ki umeedon ke andar reh gaya, March mein 4.2% se 4.3% tak barh gaya, yeh phir bhi zyada logon ka be rozgar hone ka matlab hai. Haalaat aur bhi bigar gaye jab lamba arsa tak be rozgar logon ka number barh gaya, jis se zyada logon ko chhah mahino se zyada kaam nahi mila. Iske alawa, be rozgar logon ka number 46,500 se barh kar 1.49 million tak pohanch gaya, aur April mein be rozgar faiday ki darkhwastain March ki girawat ke mukablay mein (+89,700) tezi se barh gayi. Kul mila kar, Britain mein rozgar kamzor ho gaya, March tak kisi bhi teen mahine ke liye -177,600 ka net change, pehle wali -156,500 se mukablay mein. Pound ab apni 2024 ki unchi 200.50 se kafi kam keemat par trade ho raha hai, jo ke 191.47–192.57 ki range mein hai. Is girawat ka hissa Japan ke central bank ke dohrane wazahat se Yen ko kamzor karne ki shak hai. Agar yen ki qeemat aur bhi girte rahe, to Japanese authorities ko ye strategy barqarar rakhna mumkin hai. Technical indicators bhi ishara dete hain ke dollar ki haal ki domination mein mukhtalif buniyadi badalne ke imkaan hain. Average Directional Index (ADX) ek mazboot trend ko darust karta hai, lekin ye raftar kho raha hai. Isi tarah, Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab kamzor hone ki alamat nahi dikhata. Magar, sabse ahem signal stochastik oscillator se aata hai, jo apne moving average ke neeche nisbatan zyada gir gaya hai aur beech mein pohanch raha hai. Ye dollar ke liye badi girawat ka aghaaz ho sakta hai. In isharat ke bawajood, kuch traders Bank of Japan ki potential future interventions mein ek mauka dekhte hain. Agar Pound Yen ke khilaf phir se tezi se barhti hai, 191.47–192.57 zone tak pohanch kar, to woh identified support level 188.21–189.61 ko test karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Bunyadi tor par, Pound-Yen currency pair ka mustaqbil Bank of Japan ke amal par mabni hai. Iski interventions aur unke Yen ko kamzor karne mein kamyabi is exchange rate ke raaste ko shape karne ke liye ahem factors honge.