نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

NZD/USD H1 chart

NZD/USD currency pair ki H1 chart ki analysis ke mutabiq, abhi yeh bearish bias dikhata hai. Analysts aur traders ne downward trend ko observe kiya hai jisme projected targets indicate karte hain ke aur neeche ki taraf jaane ki possibility hai. Pair ki movement market mein bearish sentiment ko indicate karta hai, jis se traders ko support levels ko targets ke roop mein consider karne par majboor kiya ja raha hai.

Shuruaati analysis ke mutabiq do mukhtalif support levels samne aate hain: Support 1 jo hai 0.6107 aur Support 2 jo hai 0.6090. Yeh levels ahem hain kyun ke yeh potential areas hain jahan price temporary stabilize ho sakta hai ya bounce kar sakta hai, phir se neeche ki taraf jaane se pehle. Traders aur investors in levels ko closely monitor kar rahe hain kyun ke yeh critical decision points hain unke trading strategies mein.



NZD/USD currency pair ki price movement jo pichle haftay mein gir rahi thi, basically ek lower low - lower high pattern structure dikha rahi hai. Lekin, ek upward rally hai jo SBR 0.6104 area tak pohanch kar resistance ke taur par kaam kar raha hai. Agar price trend upar ki taraf jaari rahe, toh SBR area ko paar karne par structure break hoga. Yeh isliye kyun ke 0.6105 ke high prices hain jo lower low - lower high pattern structure ke liye invalidation level hain, isliye jab yeh successfully cross ho jaye, toh yeh next price pattern ya trend direction mein structure ki pehli trigger provide karega.

Haqeeqat mein, current trend direction bearish hai lekin kamzor ho raha hai kyun ke price EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke beech move kar raha hai. Yeh bhi indicate kar sakta hai ke do Moving Average lines cross karne ke liye ready ho sakte hain jo ke golden cross signal produce karega. Agar price jo upar move karne ki koshish kar raha hai, SBR 0.6104 area ke aas paas false break ya rejection experience karta hai, toh price EMA 50 ke peeche gir sakta hai. Price EMA 50 ke neeche ho kar support 0.6054 ko test kar sakta hai kyun ke lower low - lower high pattern structure certainly ek naye lower low ke form hone ke baad continue hoga.

Sirf Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator dikhata hai ke uptrend momentum mein saucer signal appear ho raha hai jo ki continuity ka signal hai. Iske alawa, Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo level 50 ko cross karke overbought zone mein 90 - 80 level ki taraf ja rahe hain, wo NZD/USD pair ke price rally ko support karne ki tendency dikha rahe hain. For example, agar rally jari rahe aur SMA 200 ke close prices above hote hain, toh 0.6139 resistance ko test karne ka mauka ho sakta hai.

ko mili hai, jo Australia dollar ke mustawi performance ko tasleem karta hai. In dono currencies ke darmiyan yeh ta'alluq aam hai, in ke geographic qaribiyyat aur iqtisadi talluqat ki bunyadi wajah se. Dono mulk aam taur par commodity exports jaise iqtisadi drivers rakhte hain, jo aksar in ke currencies ko mil kar chalne par majboor karta hai However, yahan ek upward rally hai jo SBR 0.6104 area tak pohanchti hai jaise ke resistance. Agar price trend upar ki taraf jaari rahe, to SBR area ko cross karne par structure break hoga. 0.6105 par high prices hain jo lower low - lower high pattern structure ke liye invalidation level hain, isliye jab yeh successfully cross ho jaye to yeh agle price pattern ya trend direction mein initial trigger provide karega. Haqeeqat mein, current trend direction bearish hai lekin yeh kamzor ho raha hai kyunki price EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke beech mein move kar rahi hai. Yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke do Moving Avera



ge lines ka cross hone ka golden cross signal produce karne ke liye chances hain. Agar price jo upar move karne ki koshish karti hai, SBR 0.6104 area ke aas paas false break ya rejection experience karti hai, to price EMA 50 se neeche gir sakta hai. Price EMA 50 se neeche hone par 0.6054 support ko test kar sakti hai kyunki lower low - lower high pattern structure ke baad naye lower low ki formation zaroor hogi. Sirf Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator dikhata hai ke uptrend momentum mein saucer signal hai jo continuity signal ke taur par appear ho raha hai. Iske alawa, Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo level 50 ko cross karke overbought zone ke taraf ja rahe hain level 90 - 80 mein, NZDUSD pair ke price rally ko support karne ki tendency rakhte hain. For example, agar rally jaari rahe aur SMA 200 ke upar close prices aayein, to 0.6139 resistance ko test karne ka mauka ban sakta hai

NZD ko aik risk wali currency samjha jata hai aur yeh aksar upbeat market sentiment ke doran barhta hai. Dosri baat yeh ke New Zealand ne apni inflation figures peer ko reveal ki jo ke analysts ki umeed se behtar thi. Ye high inflation Reserve Bank of New Zealand ko policy tighten karne pe majboor kar sakti hai, jo NZD ko ooper le jaayegi. Halankeh New Zealand un chand mulkon mein se hai jahan ka agricultural sector poori tarah se international economy ke samnay hai (no subsidies ya tariffs), NZD/USD pair ko mukhtalif financial reasons ke liye trade kiya ja sakta hai jo local economy ya uske products se mutaliq nahi hain. New Zealand markets naye trading din ke pehle khulti hain, aur banks aur traders is fact ko use kar ke aane wale din ke events ko anticipate kar ke trades position kar sakte hain. NZD/USD ko New Zealand dollar aur U.S. dollar ke darmiyan ke factors bhi influence karte hain. Reserve Bank of New Zealand aur U.S. Federal Reserve ke darmiyan interest rate differential in currencies ki value ko compare karne par asar dalta hai. Jab Fed open market activities mein U.S. dollar ko mazboot karne ke liye intervene karta hai, toh NZD/USD cross ki value decline ho sakti hai, jab U.S. dollar New Zealand dollar se mazboot hota hai.
New Zealand dollar ko ek carry trader currency samjha jata hai kyunke yeh relatively high yielding currency hai. Is wajah se, investors aksar NZD ko kharid kar lower yielding currency jese ke Japanese yen ya Swiss franc se fund karte hain.

Technical analysis aur insights provide karti hain potential future movements of NZD/USD pair par. Is waqt, yeh pair aik critical support level ke kareeb hai. Agar yeh is level ke neechay break karta hai, toh yeh bearish trend ke continuation ka signal de sakta hai, aur further declines ka sabab ban sakta hai. Ulta, agar yeh pair support ke ooper rehta hai aur rebound karna shuru karta hai, toh yeh reversal aur significant upward movement ka indicator ho sakta hai. Traders aksar technical indicators jese ke moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) use karte hain potential trend reversals ya continuations ko identify karne ke liye. For example, agar RSI indicate karta hai ke pair oversold territory mein hai, toh yeh rebound ka suggestion de sakta hai.
Akhir mein, jabke NZD/USD is waqt bearish trend aur slow market movements experience kar raha hai, kai factors significant changes ka ishara karte hain. Economic policies, geopolitical events, market sentiment, aur technical analysis sab mil kar coming days mein volatility ki possibility batate hain. Yeh pair bearish trajectory ko continue karega ya bullish reversal experience karega, yeh in factors par depend karega. Isliye, traders aur investors ke liye zaroori hai ke woh informed rahain aur new developments par ready rahain jo NZD/USD currency pair par impact dal sakti hain. Ek well-informed aur strategic approach zaroori hai is currency pair ke potential shifts ko navigate karne ke liye, aur market participants ko emerging opportunities capitalize karne mein madad degi.

USD pair mein upward movement la sakta hai.New Zealand mein, Reserve Bank of NewZealand (RBNZ) bhi ek ahem role ada karta hai. RBNZ ke interest rate decisions, economic outlook, aur policy statements NZD ki strength ko influence karte hain. Haal hi mein, RBNZ ek tightening cycle par hai, jahan unhone rates ko barhaya hai taake inflation ko control kar sakein. Agar RBNZ apne future interest rates ya economic conditions par koi indication deta hai, to isse NZD/USD pair asar andaz ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar zyada aggressive tightening stance hota hai to NZD strengthen ho sakta hai, jab ke agar economic growth par concerns hotay hain to yeh weaken ho sakta hai.Iske ilawa, economic data releases bhi currency movements ke critical catalysts hote hain. Key indicators jaise ke GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates, aur trade balances dono economies ki health ka insight dete hain. NZD/USD pair ke liye, New Zealand se aane wali better-than-expected economic data NZD ko bolster kar sakti hai, jab ke strong US economic data USD ko support kar sakta hai. Aaney wali data releases, isliye, currency pair mein significant movements ko trigger karne ki potential rakhti hain.Aur, geopolitical developments aur market sentiment aksar currency markets mein abrupt shifts laate hain. Misal ke taur par, agar koi major geopolitical event hota hai, jaise ke escalating trade tensions ya geopolitical conflicts, to investors risk aversion ki taraf ja sakte hain, jo safe-haven currencies jaise ke USD ko favor karta hai. Ulta, agar tensions ease hoti hain ya positive developments hoti hain to risk-taking encourage ho sakti hai, jo higher-yielding currencies jaise ke NZD ko benefit kar sakti hain.Technical analysis bhi NZD/USD pair mein potential volatility suggest karta hai. Haal ka bearish trend downward pressure indicate karta hai, magar markets aksar corrections ya reversals experience karte hain baad mein. Key technical levels, jaise ke support aur resistance zones, moving averages, aur trend lines potential price movements par insights provide karte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar pair ek significant support level ko approach karta hai aur usse break nahi karta, to rebound ho sakta hai, jo upward movement la sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar ek critical support break hota hai to further declines signal ho sakte hain.Market participants ka positioning aur sentiment bhi potential big movements ko influence karte hain. Agar bohot saare traders NZD/USD par short positioned hain, to koi unexpected positive news NZD ke liye short squeeze la sakti hai, jo sharp upward movement ka sabab ban sakti hai NZD/USD pair H4 timeframe par ab 0.6180-0.6210 ke savings line ki taraf mazboot harkat kar raha hai. Is harkat ki jari rukawat ka imkan hai aur yeh upper limit par ek rebound ki umeed hai. Agar market ka rawaiya H4 timeframe par expected pattern se alag ho jaye, to daily timeframe bhi aisa hi manzar pesh karega, jahan sirf ek minor kami ke imkanat 0.6150-0.6160 range tak ho sakti hai. Traders ko market ke signals par mutawajjah rehna chahiye taake unki trading strategies is bullish mahol mein behtar tariqe se optimize ho sake.
Jab keemat 0.6180-0.6210 ke savings line ke qareeb pohnchegi, traders ko ek rebound ki sambhavna ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Yeh rebound munafa hasil karne ya trading positions ko dobara dekhne ka moqa pohnchayga. Is upper had tak qareeb hone ke doran keemat ki harkat ko qareeb se nazar andaz nahi kiya jana chahiye, kyun ke market agle mumkin harkat ke signals pesh kar sakta hai.

NZD/USD mein, price ko neeche dhakel diya gaya aur yeh ek choti bearish candlestick banane mein kaamyaab hui jo ke 0.60988 ke support level ko apni southern shadow se test kar rahi thi. Filhal, mujhe is instrument par kuch khaas interesting nazar nahi aa raha aur main agle hafte tak designated support level ko observe karunga, saath hi support level 0.60827 ko bhi dekhunga. Jaise maine pehle bataya tha, yeh support levels ke paas do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario ek reversal candlestick ka formation aur price ka upar ki taraf movement ka resumption hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main umeed karunga ke price 0.62152 ke resistance level ki taraf move kare. Jab price is resistance level ke upar close karegi, to main agle resistance level 0.62779 ki taraf further upward movement ka intezar karunga. Is resistance level ke paas, main ek trading setup ka wait karunga jo next trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Bilkul, 0.63694 ke higher northern target ko reach karne ka bhi possibility hai, magar yeh depend karega situation aur price ke reaction par kisi bhi news developments ke dauran. Ek alternative scenario jab price support level 0.60988 ya 0.60827 ke paas pohanchti hai, wo yeh hoga ke price in levels ke neeche consolidate kare aur south ki taraf move karna continue kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main umeed karunga ke price 0.59940 ke support level ya 0.59810 ke support level ki taraf move kare. In support levels ke paas, main bullish signals ko dhoondta rahunga, umeed karta hoon ke upward price movement ka resumption ho. Mukhtasir mein, filhal mujhe agle hafte locally kuch khaas interesting nazar nahi aa raha. Overall, main is instrument par northern trend ke continuation ki taraf oriented hoon, is liye main nearest support levels se bullish signals dhoond raha hoon
Halat abhi sab se predictable nahi hain, lekin agar hum aaj ke global mood ko dekhein jodiyon ka, to filhal main exclusively southern direction ko consider kar raha hoon. Mera mukammal maqsad hai taqatwar support level 0.6092; agar bears apni taraf se initiative le sakte hain, to hum ek sachmuch taqatwar neeche ki taraf movement dekh sakte hain. Sab se ahem cheez yeh hai ke chune gaye movement mein mera abhi favour neeche ki taraf hai. Lekin agar bulls nazdeeki resistance level ke upar qabza kar lein, to rukh badalna mumkin hai, lekin abhi hum is par nahi baat karenge. Ghanton ke chart par, price ascending channel ke andar hai; kal jodi barh rahi thi, aur ummeed thi ke price ascending channel ke upper border ki taraf barh sakta hai. Lekin maqsad tak pohnchne mein mumkin nahi tha, is liye main ummeed karta hoon ke jodi barhte rahegi aur price ascending channel ke upper border ki taraf barh sakti hai; yani level 0.6222 tak. Jab yeh level chhoo jaye upar, to jodi ke barhne ka rukh ruk sakta hai, aur price palat kar neeche ki taraf move karne shuru ho sakta hai. Agar jodi neeche ki taraf jaane lagti hai, aur phir neeche ki taraf move karti hai, to price ascending channel ke lower border tak neeche ja sakta hai; yani level 0.6179 tak

New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne teen dinon se lagataar izafa dekha hai, aur yeh European trading mein Thursday ko US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein 0.6120 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh izafa kamzor USD ki wajah se hai, jo shayad disappointing US data ke natayij se hai, jisne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke baray mein speculation ko hawa di. ADP employment report ne sirf 150,000 naye jobs dikhaye jo ke pichle paanch mahinon mein sabse kam hain aur umeedon se kam. Tasman Sea ke doosri taraf, New Zealand ka Reserve Bank (RBNZ) agle hafte rate decision lene wala hai jab ke rates ko 5.5% par saat meetings tak barqarar rakha hai. Traders statement mein clues dhondhenge takay future interest rates ka raasta andaza lagaya ja sake. Lekin, NZD ke liye aik potential headwind samne aya hai jab ke China's Service PMI, jo ke New Zealand ke bara trading partner ke economic health ka aik key indicator hai, June mein 51.2 tak gir gaya jo ke May mein 54.0 tha.

NZD/USD pair ke liye yeh uptrend us waqt aya jab yeh mid-April mein 2024 ka low 0.5851 par pohanchi thi, uske baad aik strong rally dekhi gayi jo ise June mein chay mahinon ke high 0.6220 tak le gayi. Magar, pair ne kuch selling pressure face kiya hai, jahan 200-day moving average is waqt resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Agar bulls momentum kho dete hain aur price girti hai, tou foran support 0.6048 par mil sakta hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai decline ke 0.6368 se 0.5851 tak. Mazeed downside protection 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 0.5972 par mil sakta hai. Agar yeh area toot jata hai tou 2024 ka low 0.5851 dubara dekha ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar NZD/USD rebound karti hai, tou pehla hurdle bulls ke liye 50% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6109 par hoga. Mazeed gains 61.8% level 0.6170 par resistance face karenge pehle ke chay mahinon ke high 0.6220 tak pohanchne se pehle. Aakhir mein, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6257 NZD/USD ke upward trajectory ke liye ceiling ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai.

NZD/USD currency pair mein 0.6180 aur 0.6210 ke darmiyan wazeh aur pur-aitmaad movement nazar aa rahi hai. Ye harkat taqatwar urooj trend ko darshati hai aur is ki jari rukawat ka aasaar nahi hai. Haalat ke mutabiq, lambi chhayaan nazr nahi a rahi hain jo aksar sab se naqabil-e-peshan moment mein hoti hain. Is wajah se markazi tawajjo is savings line ke oopri had tak jaane par hai, aur is level se baad mein ek rebound ki umeed hai. Agar H4 timeframe par market ka rawaiya is expected pattern se alag ho jaye, to daily timeframe bhi taqreeban yahi manzar pesh karta hai. Sirf farq itna ho sakta hai ke maximum level 0.6161 se thoda sa kami 0.6150-0.6160 ki had tak ho sakta hai. Ye neeche ki harkat relatively minor hogi aur overall bullish jazbaat ko kafi zyada nuqsaan nahi pohnchaygi.
Maujooda ooper ki taraf ki movement 0.6180-0.6210 ke savings line ki taraf kayi factors se munsalik hai, jin mein market sentiment, technical indicators, aur mazboot arzi halaat shaamil hain. Traders is harkat ka faida utha rahe hain aur is urooj momentum par nazreen daal rahe hain. Is movement ki confidence ko lambi chhayaan ki ghair mojoodgi ne mazboot kiya hai, jo aksar market ki tashweesh ya rukhsat ki alamat hoti hai. Lambi chhayaan ki inteha na honay se yeh pesh kar raha hai ke market ab ek saaf aur independent trend dikhata hai.
NZD/USD pair H4 timeframe par ab 0.6180-0.6210 ke savings line ki taraf mazboot harkat kar raha hai. Is harkat ki jari rukawat ka imkan hai aur yeh upper limit par ek rebound ki umeed hai. Agar market ka rawaiya H4 timeframe par expected pattern se alag ho jaye, to daily timeframe bhi aisa hi manzar pesh karega, jahan sirf ek minor kami ke imkanat 0.6150-0.6160 range tak ho sakti hai. Traders ko market ke signals par mutawajjah rehna chahiye taake unki trading strategies is bullish mahol mein behtar tariqe se optimize ho sake.
Alternative scenario jab price support level 0.60827 ke kareeb aaye, to plan yeh hoga ke price is level ke neeche settle ho aur further southward move kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main umeed karunga ke price support level 0.59940 ya support level 0.59810 ki taraf move kare. In support levels ke paas, main bullish signals ko search karna jaari rakhoonga, umeed rakhte hue ke upward price movement resume ho
Mukhtasir yeh ke, agle hafte ke liye, mujhe locally koi interesting cheez nazar nahi aa rahi. Overall, yeh evident hai ke is instrument par southward movement slow down hui hai. Magar buying options consider karne ke liye, main chahunga ke ek clear bullish reversal signal nearest support level 0.60827 se form ho

NZD/USD


New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne pichle teen din se zabardast chalang lagayi hai aur European trading mein Thursday ko USD ke khilaf taqriban 0.6120 tak pohanch gaya hai. Yeh uchhal kamzor hoti hui USD ki wajah se hui hai, jo ke mumkin hai ke disappointing US data ki wajah se ho jaye jis ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke hawale se atkal baazi ko badhawa diya hai. ADP employment report ne sirf 150,000 naye jobs June mein dikhaye, jo pichle paanch mahine mein sabse kam izafa hai aur umeedon se kam hai. Tasman Sea ke us paar, New Zealand ka Reserve Bank (RBNZ) agle hafte rate ka faisla karne wala hai, 5.5% par rates ko saat martaba barqarar rakne ke baad. Traders accompanying statement mein clues talash karenge taake mustaqbil ke interest rates ka rukh samajh saken. Lekin, NZD ke liye ek mumkin rukawat bhi saamne aayi hai, jab China ka Service PMI, jo New Zealand ke bade trading partner ki economic health ka ek key indicator hai, June mein 51.2 tak gir gaya May ke 54.0 se.







NZD/USD pair ka yeh uptrend us waqt aaya jab isne mid-April mein 2024 ka low 0.5851 ko chua, uske baad ek strong rally hui jo isay June mein six-month high 0.6220 tak le gayi. Lekin, pair ne recently kuch selling pressure face kiya hai, jahan 200-day moving average filhal resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Agar bulls momentum kho dete hain aur price dip hoti hai, to foran support 0.6048 par mil sakti hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai decline ka 0.6368 se 0.5851 tak. Mazeed downside protection 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 0.5972 par mil sakti hai. Agar yeh area break hota hai to yeh 2024 low 0.5851 ko dobara dekhne ka rasta khol sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar NZD/USD rebound hota hai, to pehli rukawat bulls ke liye 50% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6109 par hogi. Mazeed gains resistance ka samna kar sakte hain 61.8% level 0.6170 par pohanchne se pehle, six-month high 0.6220 tak. Aakhri mein, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6257 NZD/USD ke upward trajectory ke liye ceiling ka kaam kar sakta hai.

New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne pichle teen dinon se zabardast surge dikhaya hai, aur European trading mein Thursday ko US dollar (USD) ke against 0.6120 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh surge USD ke weak hone ki wajah se hai, jo ke disappointing US data ki wajah se aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke speculation se hua hai. ADP employment report ne dikhaya ke June mein sirf 150,000 naye jobs add hue, jo pichle paanch mahine ka sabse kam increase hai aur expectations se kam hai. Tasman Sea ke us paar, New Zealand ka Reserve Bank (RBNZ) agle hafte ek rate decision lene wala hai, jo ke 5.5% par pichle saat meetings se hold kar raha hai. Traders statement ke clues ka intezar karenge taake interest rates ke future path ka andaza laga sakein. Lekin, ek potential headwind NZD ke liye tab saamne aaya jab China ka Service PMI, jo ke New Zealand ke major trading partner ki economic health ka ek key indicator hai, June mein 51.2 tak dip ho gaya, jabke May mein yeh 54.0 tha.


Yeh uptrend NZD/USD pair ke liye tab aaya jab isne mid-April mein 2024 ka low 0.5851 hit kiya, uske baad ek strong rally hui jo isse June mein six-month high 0.6220 tak le gayi. Lekin, pair ne recently kuch selling pressure face kiya, aur 200-day moving average currently resistance ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar bulls momentum lose karte hain aur price dip hoti hai, to immediate support 0.6048 par milega, jo 0.6368 se 0.5851 ke decline ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai. Aur downside protection 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 0.5972 par mil sakta hai. Agar yeh area break hota hai, to 2024 ka low 0.5851 phir se revisit hone ka darwaza khul sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar NZD/USD rebound karta hai, to bulls ke liye pehla hurdle 50% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6109 par hoga. Aage chal kar gains ko resistance 61.8% level 0.6170 par milega pehle ke six-month high 0.6220 tak pohanchne se pehle. Akhir mein, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6257 NZD/USD ke upward trajectory ke liye ceiling ka kaam kar sakta hai.

NZD/USD H-4
Aaj, mein NZD/USD currency pair ki tajziyaat par mabni karne ki intekhab kiya hai. Ab tak, qeemat H4 chart par 0.6090 ke aas paas hawa ho rahi hai. Is chart par barra trend mojood hai jo ke halaat qeemat mein kamiyat darj kar rahi hai. Jab ke bazaar ke khula hone ke baad, humne kuch bullish correction dekha; lekin qeemat ne 50 SMA se kam ho gai hai, jo ke sell harkato ko mustaid kar raha hai. Aik barra yakeeni babat barra trend ke ki barra yeh hai ke qeemat abhi ke abhi 50 aur 100 SMAs dono ke neche chal rahi hai. Yeh ek taqatwar dalil hai ke niche ke trend ke jariye jari rahega. Is ke ilawa, OSMA indicator jo ke shuru mein bullish signals dekhaya tha, ab ek sell signal de raha hai, jo ke barra trend ke izhar mein mazeed tasdeeq karta hai.

Is H4 timeframe par yeh kamzori bilkul durust hai jahan pehle SSR area jo ke 0.6092 ke qeemat par tha woh tor diya gaya hai aur qeemat ke mutalea ke mutalea ke barhaan ke saath qeemat ka qainat ka tazad kiya jayega jahan tak ke agle maali nishana ke liye ek maali nishana ho ga. 0.6052 ke qeemat par, jab ke munfarid cheez jo ke baazari daoron ke leyai istamal ho sakte hain woh 0.6092 ke qeemat par hain jo ke woh naye saandarakhati ke baad naye saandarakhati ban gaye hain, agar ham is nisfey waqt ke zareye ko or kum kamzoor karne ke zareye kum kamzoor ki taraf ja rahe hain, toh market ke andar supply ka woh man hai

zyada risk wali currency samjha jata hai, aur isi liye ye acha market sentiment ke doran barhti hai. Dusra, New Zealand ne Monday ko apni inflation ki figures reveal ki hain jo analysts ki expectations se behtar thi. High inflation, apne bawajood, Reserve Bank of New Zealand ko policy tighten karne par majboor kar sakti hai, jo NZD ko aur barha degi.

New Zealand un chand mulkon mein se hai jahan iska agricultural sector puri tarah se international economy ke samne exposed hai (koi subsidies ya tariffs nahi hain), lekin NZD/USD pair kai financial reasons ki wajah se trade ho sakti hai jo local economy ya uski products se taaluq nahi rakhti. New Zealand markets naya trading day sab se pehle open karti hain, aur banks aur traders kabhi kabhi is baat ka faida uthate hain taake aane wale din ke events ka pehle se hi andaza laga kar trades position kar sakein.

NZD/USD ko un factors ne bhi affect karta hai jo New Zealand dollar aur U.S. dollar ki value ko aapas mein aur doosri currencies ke muqable mein affect karte hain. Reserve Bank of New Zealand aur U.S. Federal Reserve ke interest rate differential ka bhi in currencies ki value par asar hota hai jab inhe aapas mein compare kiya jata hai. Jab Fed open market activities mein U.S. dollar ko mazboot karne ke liye intervene karta hai, to NZD/USD cross ki value decline ho sakti hai kyun ke U.S. dollar New Zealand dollar ke muqable mein mazboot ho jata hai.

New Zealand dollar ko carry trader currency mana jata hai kyun ke ye relatively high yielding currency hai. Is wajah se, investors aksar NZD khareedte hain aur isse lower yielding currency jaise Japanese yen ya Swiss franc ke sath fund karte hain.

Technical analysis additional insights provide karta hai NZD/USD pair ke potential future movements ke baray mein. Is waqt, pair aik critical support level ke kareeb hai. Agar ye is level ke neechay break kar jata hai, to ye bearish trend ke continuation ka signal de sakta hai, jo mazeed declines ka sabab ban sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar pair is support par hold karta hai aur rebound shuru karta hai, to ye reversal aur significant upward movement ko indicate kar sakta hai. Traders aksar technical indicators jaise moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ka istemal karte hain taake potential trend reversals ya continuations ko identify kar sakein. Misal ke taur par, agar RSI indicate karta hai ke pair oversold territory mein hai, to ye rebound ke imkaanaat ko suggest kar sakta hai.
In conclusion, jabke NZD/USD is waqt bearish trend aur slow market movements experience kar raha hai, kuch factors significant changes ki potential ko suggest karte hain. Economic policies, geopolitical events, market sentiment, aur technical analysis sab possible volatility ko indicate karte hain aane wale dinon mein. Ye pair apni bearish trajectory ko continue karega ya bullish reversal ko experience karega, ye is baat par depend karta hai ke ye factors kaise play out karte hain. Is liye, traders aur investors ke liye zaroori hai ke wo informed rahein aur new developments par act karne ke liye tayyar rahein jo NZD/USD currency pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Ek well-informed aur strategic approach zaroori hogi taake is currency pair mein potential shifts ko navigate kar sakein, aur emerging opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein.

NZD/USD haal hi ki trading range ke darmiyan ghoom raha hai haftey ke chart par. Ye darmiyan ground ek ahem resistance level 0.6123 ke saath milta hai. Trading terms mein, resistance ek qeemat ka point hai jahan currency pair ka upward momentum rukta hai ya phir ulta ho jata hai.
Global economic landscape volatile hai, jismein inflationary pressures, central bank policies, aur geopolitical tensions market sentiment ko drive kar rahe hain. US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, khaaskar unke interest rate decisions, USD par significant asar dalte hain. Agar Federal Reserve ek zyada hawkish stance signal karta hai, jaise ke interest rates ko barhakar ya future hikes ke indication se inflation se ladne ke liye, to USD typically doosri currencies ke against, jismein NZD bhi shaamil hai, strengthen hota hai. Ulta agar Fed ek dovish approach adopt karta hai, to USD weaken ho sakta hai, jo ke NZD/USD pair mein upward movement la sakta hai.New Zealand mein, Reserve Bank of NewZealand (RBNZ) bhi ek ahem role ada karta hai. RBNZ ke interest rate decisions, economic outlook, aur policy statements NZD ki strength ko influence karte hain. Haal hi mein, RBNZ ek tightening cycle par hai, jahan unhone rates ko barhaya hai taake inflation ko control kar sakein. Agar RBNZ apne future interest rates ya economic conditions par koi indication deta hai, to isse NZD/USD pair asar andaz ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar zyada aggressive tightening stance hota hai to NZD strengthen ho sakta hai, jab ke agar economic growth par concerns hotay hain to yeh weaken ho sakta hai.Iske ilawa, economic data releases bhi currency movements ke critical catalysts hote hain. Key indicators jaise ke GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates, aur trade balances dono economies ki health ka insight dete hain. NZD/USD pair ke liye, New Zealand se aane wali better-than-expected economic data NZD ko bolster kar sakti hai, jab ke strong US economic data USD ko support kar sakta hai. Aaney wali data releases, isliye, currency pair mein significant movements ko trigger karne ki potential rakhti hain.Aur, geopolitical developments aur market sentiment aksar currency markets mein abrupt shifts laate hain. Misal ke taur par, agar koi major geopolitical event hota hai, jaise ke escalating trade tensions ya geopolitical conflicts, to investors risk aversion ki taraf ja sakte hain, jo safe-haven currencies jaise ke USD ko favor karta hai. Ulta, agar tensions ease hoti hain ya positive developments hoti hain to risk-taking encourage ho sakti hai, jo higher-yielding currencies jaise ke NZD ko benefit kar sakti hain.Technical analysis bhi NZD/USD pair mein potential volatility suggest karta hai. Haal ka bearish trend downward pressure indicate karta hai, magar markets aksar corrections ya reversals experience karte hain baad mein. Key technical levels, jaise ke support aur resistance zones, moving averages, aur trend lines potential price movements par insights provide karte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar pair ek significant support level ko approach karta hai aur usse break nahi karta, to rebound ho sakta hai, jo upward movement la sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar ek critical support break hota hai to further declines signal ho sakte hain.Market participants ka positioning aur sentiment bhi potential big movements ko influence karte hain. Agar bohot saare traders NZD/USD par short positioned hain, to koi unexpected positive news NZD ke liye short squeeze la sakti hai, jo sharp upward movement ka sabab ban sakti hai. Ulta agar sentiment overwhelmingly positive ho jata hai USD ke liye, to pair apna bearish trend continue kar sakta hai.Nateejatan, jab ke NZD/USD abhi 0.6111 par trade kar raha hai aur ek bearish trend dikha raha hai, kuch factors aise hain jo aaney waley dinon mein significant movements ko lead kar sakte hain.

New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne guzishta teen din se zabardast taraqqi ki hai, aur Thursday ko European trading mein USD ke muqable mein 0.6120 tak pohanch gaya. Ye surge USD ki kamzori ki wajah se hui, jo shayad disappointing US data ki wajah se hui thi, jise dekh kar Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke baray mein speculation shuru ho gaya. ADP employment report ne June mein sirf 150,000 naye jobs add hone dikhaye, jo pichle paanch mahine ka sabse kam increase tha aur expectations se kam tha. Tasman Sea ke doosri taraf, New Zealand ka Reserve Bank (RBNZ) agle hafte rate decision dene wala hai, jabke rates ko sat consecutive meetings se 5.5% par rakha gaya hai. Traders accompanying statement mein clues dhoond rahe honge taake future interest rates ka raasta samajh sakein. Magar NZD ke liye ek potential headwind bhi saamne aaya hai, jab China's Service PMI, jo New Zealand ke major trading partner ke economic health ka ek key indicator hai, June mein 51.2 par aa gaya jo May mein 54.0 tha.

NZD/USD pair ka ye uptrend uske baad aya jab isne mid-April mein 2024 ka low 0.5851 hit kiya, jiske baad ek strong rally hui jo ise June mein six-month high 0.6220 tak le gayi. Magar, pair ko recent days mein kuch selling pressure ka samna karna para, aur 200-day moving average is waqt resistance ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar bulls momentum lose karte hain aur price dip hoti hai, to immediate support 0.6048 par milega, jo 0.6368 se 0.5851 tak ke decline ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai. Mazeed downside protection 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 0.5972 par mil sakti hai. Agar ye area break hota hai, to 2024 ke low 0.5851 ko phir se dekhne ka raasta khul sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar NZD/USD rebound karta hai, to bulls ke liye pehla hurdle 50% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6109 par hoga. Aage ke gains 61.8% level 0.6170 par resistance face kar sakte hain, uske baad six-month high 0.6220 par. Aakhri mein, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6257 NZD/USD ki upward trajectory ke liye ceiling ka kaam kar sakta hai.

ilawa, China se aane wale encouraging data ne bhi upbeat sentiment ko contribute kiya. Caixin Services PMI ka release, jo ke China ke service sector ka ek vital barometer hai, robust performance ko portray karta hai. Wednesday ko release hone wale is index ne New Zealand Dollar (NZD) par positive influence dala, jo aksar China ki economic well-being ka barometer maana jata hai due to New Zealand ke extensive trade ties with the Asian giant. China ke service sector ki strength global economy ke liye achi hai, given China ka pivotal role international trade mein. Yeh positive economic data NZD ko bolster karne mein madadgar sabit hota hai, kyunke enhanced Chinese economic performance typically New Zealand ke exports ke liye heightened demand mein translate hota hai.
Aage dekhte hue, NZD/USD pair ko agar recovery ki koshish karta hai toh kai key levels par potential resistance ka samna karna parega. Recent downtrend ka 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6170 par hai, iske baad February-March ka double top area 0.6215 par hai. In points ke upar break hone se mazid gains ho sakte hain. Magar, agar recovery momentum sluggish rehti hai, toh NZD/USD ko 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6109 par support mil sakti hai. Agar price is level se neeche girti hai, toh further selling pressure trigger ho sakta hai, jo pair ko 38.2% aur 23.6% Fibonacci levels 0.6048 aur 0.5972 ki taraf dhakel sakta hai.

NZD/USD pair mein buyers ke excess ka matlab hai ke zyada tar log is waqt buy positions hold kar rahe hain, jo ke market ko temporarily overbought zone mein le jata hai. Is situation mein downside potential strong hota hai kyun ke market apni peak pe hota hai aur jaldi hi reverse hone ke chances barh jate hain. Main price level 0.6170 se short position open karne ka soch raha hoon kyun ke yeh level pe buyers ki strong presence hai. Is level se downside momentum gain hone ke chances hain, jo ke meri short strategy ko support karte hain. Pehla profit target 0.6075 ka level set karna realistic hai kyun ke yeh previous support level ke qareeb hai. Stop loss 0.6200 ke upar set karna zaroori hai taake unexpected price spikes se bach sakein. Agar price 0.6200 ke level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to yeh indication hoga ke market sentiment change ho raha hai aur bullish momentum gain kar raha hai. Is scenario mein, alternative strategies consider karni hongi. Yeh strategy flexible hai aur longer timeframes pe bhi apply ho sakti hai, lekin zaroori hai ke rules strictly follow kiye jayein. RSI ka 70 mark ke upar jaana ek clear signal hai ke market overbought zone mein hai. Yeh signal is baat ka indicator hai ke uptrend ab weak hone wala hai aur reversal ke chances hain. Yeh un traders ke liye bohot important signal hai jo sell positions ke liye mauke dhoond rahe hain. Click image for larger version strategic decision hai. Entry point decide karne ke liye market conditions aur price movements ko closely monitor karna hoga. Current timeframe mein hi enter karna efficient hai kyun ke yeh waqt barbad kiye bagair market opportunities ko capitalize karne ka mauka deta hai. Is strategy ka focus market dynamics aur technical indicators p

momentum rukta hai ya phir ulta ho jata hai. Global economic landscape volatile hai, jismein inflationary pressures, central bank policies, aur geopolitical tensions market sentiment ko drive kar rahe hain. US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, khaaskar unke interest rate decisions, USD par significant asar dalte hain. Agar Federal Reserve ek zyada hawkish stance signal karta hai, jaise ke interest rates ko barhakar ya future hikes ke indication se inflation se ladne ke liye, to USD typically doosri currencies ke against, jismein NZD bhi shaamil hai, strengthen hota hai. Ulta agar Fed ek dovish approach adopt karta hai, to USD weaken ho sakta hai, jo ke NZD/USD pair mein upward movement la sakta hai.New Zealand mein, Reserve Bank of NewZealand (RBNZ) bhi ek ahem role ada karta hai. RBNZ ke interest rate decisions, economic outlook, aur policy statements NZD ki strength ko influence karte hain. Haal hi mein, RBNZ ek tightening cycle par hai, jahan unhone rates ko barhaya hai taake inflation ko control kar sakein. Agar RBNZ apne future interest rates ya economic conditions par koi indication deta hai, to isse NZD/USD pair asar andaz ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar zyada aggressive tightening stance hota hai to NZD strengthen ho sakta hai, jab ke agar economic growth par concerns hotay hain to yeh weaken ho sakta hai.Iske ilawa, economic data releases bhi currency movements ke critical catalysts hote hain. Key indicators jaise ke GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates, aur trade balances dono economies ki health ka insight dete hain. NZD/USD pair ke liye, New Zealand se aane wali better-than-expected economic data NZD ko bolster kar sakti hai, jab ke strong US economic data USD ko support kar sakta hai. Aaney wali data releases, isliye, currency pair mein significant movements ko trigger karne ki potential rakhti hain.Aur, geopolitical developments aur market sentiment aksar currency markets mein abrupt shifts laate hain. Misal ke taur par, agar koi major geopolitical event hota hai, jaise ke escalating trade tensions ya geopolitical conflicts, to investors risk aversion ki taraf ja sakte hain, jo safe-haven currencies jaise ke USD ko favor karta hai. Ulta, agar tensions ease hoti hain ya positive developments hoti hain to risk-taking encourage ho sakti hai, jo higher-yielding currencies jaise ke NZD ko benefit kar sakti hain.Technical analysis bhi NZD/USD pair mein potential volatility