نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai - ek mazboot sell signal. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se niche ki taraf ja raha hai aur us par bhi bearish divergence hai. Kal ka candle puri tarah se pechlay barhnay walay candle ko cover kar gaya aur is tarah ek candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Ye sell signals ki tasdeeq hai. In sab ke ilawa, qeemat ne ek khubsurat ascending wedge banayi hai - jo ke ek decline figure hai. Chahay trend upar ki taraf hai, magar halat ko dekh kar lagta hai ke aglay chand dinon mein qeemat phir se niche ki taraf dabao mein aayegi, un ascending lines tak jo purani daily waves ke bottoms par bani hain. Aur raat bhar ka jo barhawa hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhote period mein growth ka end track karna chahiye, wahan koi sell formation dhoondhna chahiye aur niche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye. Aaj ka important news package Moscow time ke mutabiq 15:30 par aayega: US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki kul tadaad, US mein core orders for durable goods, US ka core price index of personal consumption expenditures, US ka volume of orders for durable goods, US ka gross domestic product (GDP), US ka GDP deflator, aur US mein unemployment benefits ki initial applications ka number. 16:20 par US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka khitaab hoga Agar NZD/USD 0.61500 ke support level ke niche break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to agay aur girawat ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, aur psychological level 0.61000 tak qeemat ja sakti hai, jahan agla significant liquidity zone majood hai. Ye sellers ke liye rasta khol sakta hai ke qeemat ko aur neeche le jayein, khaaskar jab market mein koi immediate upside catalyst nazar nahi aa raha. Doosri taraf, agar koi upside recovery hoti hai to usay 0.62500-0.63000 ke aas paas ke resistance zone par rukawat ka samna hoga, jo pehle se hi sellers ka interest dikha chuka hai aur bullish retracement ki koshish ko rokne wala hai. Kul mila kar sentiment bearish hi hai, aur mazeed downside pressure ka imkaan hai jab sellers market structure ko dominate karte rahenge Akhir mein, NZD/USD abhi ek critical support zone 0.61500 ke aas paas test kar raha hai. Agar ye level break hota hai to bearish move tezi se aage barh sakta hai

Kiwi asset kamzor ho gaya hai jab ke US Dollar ne apna haftay ka tazah high banaya hai. Investors ab ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain kyun ke United States (US) ke economic data ka intezar kiya ja raha hai jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate outlook ko asar andaz kar sakta hai. Aaj ke session mein, traders ka focus September ke liye US ISM Manufacturing PMI aur August ke liye JOLTS Job Openings data par hoga, jo 14:00 GMT par shaya kiya jayega. ISM Manufacturing PMI ka andaaza lagaya gaya hai ke yeh thoda behtar ho kar 47.5 tak barh jaye ga, jo pehle August mein 47.2 tha. Magar yeh phir bhi factory sector mein kamzori ka ishara deta hai. Jis tarah July mein dekha gaya tha, Job Openings ke bhi musalsal rahe ne ka imkaan hai aur yeh 7.67 million tak barh sakta hai.
Is week ke akhir mein US ADP Employment Change, ISM Services PMI, aur Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data bhi focus mein rahenge. Yeh sab data markets ke liye ahem hai kyun ke yeh US economy ki health aur Federal Reserve ke future interest rate decisions par asar daal sakte hain.
Agar data U.S. economic growth aur labor market ke bare mein positive indications deta hai, toh US Dollar mazeed taqatwar ho sakta hai, jo NZD/USD pair ko mazid neeche dhakel sakta hai. Magar, agar data umeed se kamzor hota hai, toh yeh Kiwi dollar ke liye kuch relief faraham kar sakta hai, aur NZD/USD pair dobara resistance levels ke qareeb wapas aa sakta hai.
NZD/USD pair ne halia trading sessions mein positive trajectory dikhai hai, jo zyada tar expectations ki wajah se hai ke Federal Reserve apni policy mein thodi dovish rahegi. Magar, upward momentum apni jagah pe mukammal nahi hai kyunke US aur New Zealand ke economic uncertainties in gains ko kum kar sakti hain. Market mein Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ke mutaliq baat chal rahi hai, jo ke 25 basis points se zyada ho sakta hai, aur ye expectation New Zealand dollar ke liye ek khaas faida ban gayi hai.
Recent US job growth mein girawat ke baad, yeh baat aur bhi mazid tasleem ho gayi hai. Jabke retail sales data mein contraction dekhne ko mila, is ne New Zealand economy ke hawalay se zyada nuksaan nahi pohchaya

Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain. Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai NZD/USD pair ke bearish mehsoosiyat ko barhane mein madadgar hain. New Zealand aur United States se aane wale economic data releases, jaise employment figures, inflation rates, aur central bank ki interest rate decisions, is currency pair ki movements par significant asar daal sakte hain

agar Harker inflationary pressures ke hawale se Fed ki vigilance ko highlight karte hain, to traders mazeed monetary tightening ki umeed rakhte hain, jo dollar ko mazid strong kar sakta hai aur bond yields ko barha sakta hai. Iske muqabil, agar Harker economic progress ke risks par zor dete hain, to traders samajhte hain ke policies mein more accommodative shift aane wala hai, jo dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur stocks aur raw materials mein rally la sakta hai.

NZD/USD market mein buyers 0.6282 zone ko break karne ke liye optimistic hain. Technical analysis par focus karne wale traders ke liye key hai ke dollar ke critical price levels ko monitor kiya jaye, jo unki trades ko guide karne mein madadgar hote hain. EUR/USD, GBP/USD, ya USD/JPY jese pairs mein support aur resistance zones ko dekh kar potential trade setups ki talash ki ja rahi hai. Agar Harker ke comments market mein turbulence create karte hain, to yeh price zones traders ke liye critical reference points ka kaam karte hain taake wo risk manage kar saken aur fluctuations ka faida utha saken.

American monetary policies ka global markets par asar nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. US dollar dominant reserve currency hone ki wajah se, iski value swings global trade, capital movements, aur economic stability ko affect karti hain.

Haal hi mein, NZD/USD pair ne 4-hour timeframe par rising wedge pattern se breakdown ke baad sharp decline dekha, jo ke bearish reversal ka signal tha. 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.6190 level ke ird-gird girna shuru kar gayi, jo short-term downtrend ka ishara hai. Iske ilawa, 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) bearish range mein shift ho gaya hai, jo bearish momentum ko dikhata hai. Agar asset 0.6100 se neeche decisively break karta hai, to mazeed girawat ki sambhavnayein hain, jo May 3 ke high 0.6046 aur psychological support level 0.6000 tak ja sakti hain.

NZD/USD market se wazeh honay ka intezar kar rahe hain, kyunke iska position abhi bhi consolidation conditions mein lagta hai, pichle haftay ke movement ke muqablay mein. Halankeh July ke end mein price kaafi bearish nazar aayi thi, lekin phir bhi strong recovery hui. Aaj market 0.6130 se open hui hai. Is situation mein, kuch possibilities ko anticipate kiya ja sakta hai, including age ki barhawa ka moqa. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke current conditions ne price increase ke liye kafi strength nahi dikhayi hai, jab tak buyers 0.6184 price zone ko break nahi karte. Mein is haftay ke shuru se NZD/USD market ki price journey ko monitor kar raha hoon, bullish side ki taraf dekhte hue jab tak price simple moving average line (period 100) ke upar rahti hai. Lekin raat ke trading period mein upward trend thoda hamper ho gaya aur price ne bullish trend se thoda correction kiya. Candlestick pehle 0.6172 area tak uchi gayi aur dheere dheere niche aane lagi. Aaj subah ke trading mein, price 0.6141 area ke aas paas hold kar rahi hai. Agar aap candlestick position ko monitor karein, yeh ab bhi simple moving average period 100 ke upar dikhayi de rahi hai, jo ke buyers ke liye stable price ko bullish banane ka moqa hai.
NZD/USD pair steadily recover kar raha tha jab usne naye 2024 ke lows 0.5848 par apna base banaya. Pair ne recently 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ko break kiya aur ek nayi two-month high attain ki, jo bullish outlook ko mazid mazboot banata hai. Short term mein, pair ka immediate resistance 0.6170 par expected hai, jo 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level hai downtrend ka, jo 0.6368 se 0.5851 tak chala. Agar bullish forces is hurdle ko break karti hain, to next target 0.6220 ka June high hoga. Uske baad, 78.6% Fibonacci level 0.6257 par ek aur obstacle ho sakta hai.
NZD/USD pair apne pehle ke downward trend se turnaround ke signs dikha raha hai. Average Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair volatile rahne ke umeed hai,

NZD/USD ke liye bullish market ka manzar dekha ja sakta hai. Pichle hafte, bechne wale thode stable rahe, lekin aaj kharidne wale is market mein zinda reh sakte hain. Ek acha trading strategy jo news releases ke saath aane wali volatility ko adapt kar sake, bahut zaroori hai. Jabke technical analysis market trends ko samajhne aur key price levels ko identify karne ke liye ek aham tool hai, is hafte mein fundamental analysis ka zyada ahmiyat hoga.
Ma'ashi data, central bank ke bayanat, aur key economic indicators aksar market ko chart patterns se zyada drive karte hain, khaaskar un waqtoun par jab high-impact news hoti hai. Is liye, ek aisi strategy develop karna jo technical aur fundamental approaches ko mila de, traders ko in pivotal moments mein bazaar ko behtar taur par samajhne mein madad de sakta hai. Umeed hai ke NZD/USD ka market agle kuch ghanton mein 0.6165 ke resistance zone ko paar kar lega.

Iske ilawa, ek nai report jo nazar rakhne wali hai, wo hai US Unemployment Claims data. Yeh release US labor market ki taqat ka andaza lagane mein madad karti hai, kyunki yeh pehli dafa ke liye unemployment benefits ke liye apply karne walon ki tadaad ko darshata hai. Kam claims aam tor par ek healthy labor market ka izhar karte hain, jo US dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai. Iske muqabil, agar claims ka number umeed se zyada ho, to yeh job market mein kamzori ka ishara de sakta hai, jo currency ko neeche le ja sakta hai.

Is report ke natayej bhi Federal Reserve ke interest rates par future actions ke bare mein hints de sakte hain, kyunki employment Fed ke decision-making process ka ek key factor hai. NZD/USD ka market sentiment samajhne ki koshish karein aur trading mein stop loss ka istemal karein

histogram volume negative zone mein zero ke neeche rehta hai aur kaafi wide hai. Agar current price par koi upward correction hoti bhi hai, toh bhi histogram volume jaldi se zero ke qareeb nahi pohanchay ga. Doosri taraf, Stochastic indicator ke parameters oversold zone (20-10) cross karke 50 level ki taraf jaa rahe hain, jo ke price mein increase ka ishara de rahe hain, magar jab parameters 50 level ke qareeb cross karein gay, toh rally limited ho sakti hai aur price dobara neeche jaa sakta hai.
Yeh setup death cross signal ke imkaan ko bhi zahir karta hai, jo ke 50-day exponential moving average aur 200-day simple moving average ke cross hone par banta hai. Saath hi, price pattern structure ek possible breakout ki taraf jaa raha hai. Jab price pivot point (PP) 0.6222 par pohanche ya jab dono moving average lines cross karein, toh apni position ko sell karein. Sell confirm karne ke liye intizaar karein ke Stochastic indicator overbought zone (90-80) se neeche aaye. Awesome Oscillator (AO) histogram zero line ke neeche rehtay hue downward trend ko zahir karta hai.
Apna take-profit target support level (S1) 0.6070 par set karein. Kal, New Zealand ki news data NZD/USD buyers ko recovery karwane mein madad nahi de sakti. Market pura din 0.6080 se 0.6110 ke darmiyan raha. Iss hafte FOMC Member Valler ke do speeches bhi hone wali hain, jo market mein asar daal sakti hain.
Valler ke speeches Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke future policy decisions ke bare mein valuable clues de sakti hain. Agar Valler suggest karein ke Fed interest rates ko barhane ka irada rakhta hai, toh US dollar strong ho sakta hai. Wagarna, agar unka lahja dovish ho, toh dollar weak ho sakta hai.Q it Umeed hai ke US unemployment rate aur Philly Fed manufacturing index NZD/USD buyers ko support karne mein madad denge. Saath hi, US Core Retail Sales data ka bhi asar ho sakta hai.

NZD/USD D1 chart

Upar ki taraf, yeh pair mumkin hai ke 0.6380 level ki taraf move kare, jo ascending channel ki upper boundary ke saath align karta hai. Is upper boundary ka breakout bullish bias ko mazid barhawa dega aur pair ko December 2023 mein record kiye gaye 15-month high 0.6409 ki taraf wapas le ja sakta hai. Support ki taraf, EMA 0.6251 par hai. Is level ke neeche girne se bullish sentiment ko nuqsan pohonch sakta hai aur pair ko 50-day moving average 0.6156 ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo aakhir mein paanch hafton ka low 0.6106 tak pahunchne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Budh ko, NZD/USD pair ne apni gains ko extend karte hue 0.6354 ka nau-mahine ka high touch kiya, lekin thodi si losses ka samna kiya. Pair ne August range ko todne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jo isay December 2023 ke high 0.6368 ki taraf dekhne par majboor karta hai. Lekin, rally mein slowdown ke liye kuch concerns hain, kyunki RSI aur Stochastic indicators se overbought signals nazar aa rahe hain. 0.6368 level ke upar decisive close dene se ek naye upside wave shuru ho sakti hai, jo 161.8% Fibonacci extension level 0.6415 tak pahunche.

December 2022 aur February 2023 ke darmiyan, 0.6465 area kuch resistance pesh kar sakta hai. Bullish trend ko confirm karne ke liye, mazeed upar ki taraf move zaroori ho sakta hai. Haal hi mein, Federal Reserve ne apni pehli interest rate cut chaar saalon mein announce ki, key borrowing rate ko 50 basis points se kam kar diya. Yeh move ek zyada accommodative monetary policy ki taraf shift ko darshata hai. Lekin, Fed policymakers ne yeh bhi bataya hai ke rate-cutting cycle itni zyada nahi hogi.

NZD/USD market par meri monitoring ka safar jo October ke shuru se chalu hua, woh bearish taraf raha hai jab tak ke yeh 100-period simple moving average zone ko paar nahi kar gaya. Is haftay ki trading session tak, price ki girawat 0.6035 tak pahunche sakti thi. Halankeh kal raat bullish koshish hui, lekin upward trend jaari nahi raha kyunki aaj dopahar tak price abhi bhi gir rahi hai. Agar hum current candlestick position ko dekhein, to yeh abhi bhi 100-period simple moving average zone ke neeche hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke sellers abhi bhi price ko bearish taraf le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Market price condition aise hai ke yeh weekly highest position se neeche ja raha hai, aur aaj dopahar tak price 0.6062 ke aas paas ek narrow range mein chal rahi hai. Agar hum month ke shuru se price ke safar ki taraf dekhein, to aisa lagta hai ke bearish journey abhi bhi doosre sellers se support le rahi hai. Bearish price ne candlestick ko Monday ke opening zone 0.6085 se neeche le jane mein madad ki hai.

NZD/USD Price Forecast

1-3 Hafton ka Nazaria:"Mangal (22 October, spot at 0.6030) ko hum ne ye zahir kiya tha ke ‘haal ki price action yeh darust karti hai ke 0.6005 tak pahuncha ja sakta hai.’ Hum ne ye bhi kaha tha, ‘Aage dekhte hue, agla level jo 0.6005 ke neeche dekhna hai, wo 0.5985 hai.’ Kal NZD 0.6005 ke neeche gir gaya, aur iska low 0.5993 raha. Jabke hum ab bhi NZD ki kami ki umeed rakhte hain, is mahine ke shuru se chalu hui kamzori waqt aur price dono tor par overextended lagti hai. Dusre lafzon mein, mazeed kami ka imkaan mehfooz ho sakta hai. Jo levels dekhne hain wo 0.5985 aur 0.5970 hain. Agar NZD 0.6060 ke upar nikaal jata hai (‘strong resistance’ level jo pehle 0.6085 tha), to iska matlab hoga ke NZD mazeed nahi gir raha.

NZD/USD ne 0.6000 ke aas paas naya kharidari ka shauq dekha, jabke qareeb qareeb ka trend bearish hai. US Dollar ka nazar aane wala mauqa kai tailwinds ki wajah se mazboot hai.

Traders ko umeed hai ke RBNZ agle mahine 50 bps ke liye interest rates kaatne wale hain.

NZD/USD jor ke psychological support 0.6000 se upar uth raha hai, jabke Thursday ki European session mein USD ki correction ho rahi hai, jo ke 12 hafton mein nayi bulandi tak pahuncha. US Dollar Index (DXY) 104.50 ki key resistance ko todne ki koshish karte waqt pressure ka samna kar raha hai.

US Dollar ek baar phir apne upside trend ko resume kar sakta hai, jabke 2024 ke United States presidential elections ke liye uncertainty hai. Is beech, Greenback ki recent rally yeh darust karti hai ke trades former US President Donald Trump ki current Vice President Kamala Harris par jeet ka andaza laga rahe hain.

US Dollar ne bhi is wajah se faida uthaya hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) se modest interest rate cut ki umeed barh rahi hai.

NZD/USD Price Outlook

Is waqt, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki kamzori ka imkaan hai, kyun ke traders ne Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) se 27 November ko hone wali aakhri meeting mein 50 basis points (bps) interest rate kaatne ka andaza lagaya hai, jo ke 9 October ko dekha gaya tha. Yeh RBNZ ka lagataar teesra interest rate cut hoga.

NZD/USD ne 0.6000 ke aas paas ek temporary support dikhayi hai. Lekin, Kiwi pair ka nazar aane wala mauqa kamzor hai kyun ke yeh 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (0.6050) ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Fibo tool ko 29 July ke low (0.5857) se 30 September ke high (0.6380) tak lagaya gaya hai.

Downward-sloping 20- aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) jo ke 0.6100 aur 0.6130 ke aas paas hain, mazeed kamzori ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 ke neeche ghoom raha hai, jo ke strong bearish momentum ko darust karta hai.

Agar pair decisively psychological support 0.6000 ke neeche girta hai, to iski downside 15 August ke low 0.5974 aur round-level support 0.5900 ki taraf badhne ka imkaan hai.

Dousri taraf, agar 8 October ka high 0.6146 ke upar koi reversal hota hai, to yeh asset ko 50-day EMA (0.6173) aur 4 October ka high (0.6220) ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Haal ka trading environment zyada tabdeel nahi hua hai, aur hum abhi tak isi price range mein trading kar rahe hain. Recent market movements mein halki si decline dekhi gayi hai, lekin prices itni zyada neeche nahi gayi ke ek naya low bana sakein, khaaskar 0.67 ke aas-paas. Ye area ek ahm support level sabit ho chuka hai, jo ye darshata hai ke traders is range ke ird gird abhi bhi active hain.Price action ko gaur se dekha jaye to maloom hota hai ke girawat ke bawajood, market ne 0.67 ke established platform ko decisively break nahi kiya. Ye rawayya is baat ka ishara deta hai ke kuch underlying support maujood hai, jo current trading range ko barqarar rakhne mein madad kar raha hai. Lekin, 0.6760 ke aas-paas ek potential resistance level bhi mojood hai jo agle qareebi targets ke tor par kaam aa sakti hai, khas tor par agar market in low levels se rebound karta hai.Ek ahm factor U.S. dollar ka performance hai. Filhal, dollar ek upward trajectory par hai, jo aam tor par doosri currencies par downward pressure dalta hai. Is liye, ye dekhna zaroori hoga ke aanay wali sessions mein dollar ka rawayya kaisa rehta hai. Agar dollar ki mazid taqat barh gayi, to hamare trading pair mein mazid girawat ka imkaan ho sakta hai, jo ke prices ko 0.67 ke neeche dhakel sakti hai.Is context mein, main naye trades enter karne mein ehtiyaat barat raha hoon, khaaskar in price levels par. Jab tak humein market se clear signals nahi milte, wait-and-see approach barqarar rakhna behtar lagega. False breakout ka imkaan bhi hai, jo ek buying opportunity paida kar sakta hai, agar price quickly wapas 0.67 ke upar recover kare.Agle chand trading sessions kaafi ahm honge taayun karne ke liye ke kya hum decline ka silsila jaari dekhein ge ya phir ek rebound ka imkaan hai. Is liye, price action aur broader market trends par nazar rakhna trading decisions ko informed banane ke liye zaroori hoga.

Mein ap ko
ne kaha tha ke recent price action se yeh maloom hota hai ke 0.6005 ka level within reach hai. Hum ne yeh bhi add kiya tha ke aglay levels jo dekhne walay hain wo 0.6005 ke neeche 0.5985 hain.” Kal NZD ne 0.6005 ka level break kiya, aur 0.5993 tak pohch gaya. Halanki hum NZD ki further decline ki umeed karte hain, lekin yeh weakness jo is mahine ke aaghaz se chali aa rahi hai, waqt aur price dono ke hisaab se overextended lagti hai. Dusri alfaz mein, mazid girawat ka imkaan ab limited lagta hai. Jo levels dekhne walay hain wo 0.5985 aur 0.5970 hain. Agar NZD 0.6060 ke upar break karta hai (jo pehle strong resistance 0.6085 par tha), to iska matlab yeh hoga ke NZD mazid decline nahi karega.NZD/USD ko 0.6000 ke qareeb fresh buying interest mila hai, jabke near-term trend abhi bhi bearish hai. U.S. Dollar ka outlook mazid taqatwar hai mukhtalif tailwinds ki wajah se. Traders yeh expect karte hain ke RBNZ November mein phir se 50 basis points (bps) interest rates cut karega.NZD/USD pair ne Thursday ke European session mein 0.6000 ke psychological support se bounce kiya. Kiwi pair rebound karta hai jab U.S. Dollar (USD) ne 12 hafton ka naya high post karne ke baad correction shuru ki. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) ko pressure ka samna hai jab wo 104.50 ke key resistance ko break karne ki koshish karta hai.U.S. Dollar ka upward trend wapis aasakta hai, khas tor par jabke 2024 ke United States (US) ke presidential elections mein uncertainty barqarar hai. Is dauran, Greenback ka recent rally yeh darshata hai ke trades ne former U.S. President Donald Trump ki victory ko price in karna shuru kar diya hai Vice President Kamala Harris ke muqable mein. Doosri taraf, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ko kamzor samjha jaa raha hai, kyun ke traders ne Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) se November 27 ko 50 basis points (bps) interest rate reduction price in kar liya hai, jo October 9 ke cut ke mutabiq hoga. Yeh RBNZ ka teeno interest rate cuts ka silsila barqarar rahega.NZD/USD ko 0.6000 ke qareeb temporary support mila hai. Magar Kiwi pair ka outlook abhi bhi kamzor hai kyunke yeh 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo 0.6050 par hai. Fibo tool July 29 ke low 0.5857 se September 30 ke high 0.6380 tak plot kiya gaya hai. 20- aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) jo 0.6100 aur 0.6130 ke qareeb hain, downward slope dikhati hain, jo mazid weakness ka ishara deti hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 ke neeche oscillate kar raha hai, jo ke strong bearish momentum dikhata hai. Mazid downside ka imkaan August 15 ke low 0.5974 aur round-level support 0.5900 tak jaane ka hai agar pair ne decisively 0.6000 ke psychological support ko break kar diya. Dosri taraf, agar price October 8 ke high 0.6146 ke upar jata hai, to yeh asset ko 50-day EMA 0.6173 tak le jaayega, aur October 4 ke high ke qareeb 0.6220 ka target dekhne ko milega.

**NZDUSD Market Overview – Roman Urdu**

Is waqt NZDUSD ka market 0.6100 level par trade kar raha hai, aur buyers abhi bullish trend ke control mein hain. Is wajah se NZDUSD traders ko carefully trade karna chahiye aur **risk management** par khud ko focus rakhna chahiye. Risk management kisi bhi trading strategy ka aik bohot zaroori hissa hota hai. Market fluctuations, khaaskar news releases ke dauran, kaafi unexpected ho sakti hain. Is liye, **stop-loss orders** aur **position sizing** ka istemal zaroori hai taake capital ko protect kiya ja sake. Jab economic data release hota hai, toh market bohot sharply react kar sakta hai, jo trading risks ko barhata hai. Achi risk management strategies ko apply karke traders is volatility ko control karte hue apne investments ko safeguard kar sakte hain.

### Technical Aur Fundamental Aspects
Aik broad perspective mein, NZDUSD traders ko **daily aur monthly charts** se bohot help milti hai. Yeh charts market ki zyada accurate understanding dene mein madadgar hote hain. Is ke ilawa, **currency correlations** ka analysis bhi zaroori hai. Jab US dollar par focus kiya jata hai, toh dusri currencies ka interaction, jaise **euro, Japanese yen, aur British pound**, bhi consider karna chahiye. Currency pairs ka aik dusre ke sath taluq hamesha market ki dynamics pe asar dalta hai.

Misal ke taur par, agar euro strong hota hai dollar ke against, Eurozone se achi economic data releases ki wajah se, toh iska ripple effect dusre currency pairs par bhi ho sakta hai. Yeh relationships ko samajhna trader ko help karta hai market movements ka pehlay se andaza lagane aur positions adjust karne mein.

### Aaj ke Market Insights
Ajj ke din **Empire State Manufacturing Index** ka release noteworthy hai, lekin yeh ziada significant market change ka sabab nahi banega. Is wajah se traders ko technical analysis par focus karna chahiye. Charts ko analyze karke potential trading opportunities identify karni hongi. Yeh din professional trading ka hai, aur har position ko carefully plan karna aur charts ke signals ko monitor karna bohot zaroori hai.



Aakhir mein, traders ko professionally aur discipline ke sath trade karna chahiye. Risk ko manage karte hue aur market trends ko dhyan mein rakhte hue decision-making mein accuracy barhayi ja sakti hai.

NZD/USD jor ne Thursday ko European session ke doran ek rebound dekha, jo psychologically important support level 0.6000 se recovery tha. Yeh rebound US dollar ke girne ke saath hua, jo haal hi mein ek naye 12-week high par pahuncha tha. US Dollar Index (DXY) ne 104.50 ke key resistance level ko todne ki koshish karte waqt pressure ka samna kiya. US dollar ki taqat ko yeh umeed support kar rahi hai ke Federal Reserve aane wale waqt mein interest rate cuts ka ek moderate rukh apnayega. Lekin, New Zealand dollar (NZD) kamzor rehne ki umeed hai kyunki market mein Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke aane wale meeting 27 November ko 50 basis point ki rate cut ki pricing ho rahi hai. Japan mein bhi aise hi measures liye gaye hain.

NZD/USD ne 0.6000 ke aas-paas temporary support dhoondh liya hai, lekin jor ka overall outlook bearish hi raha hai. New Zealand dollar 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level se neeche trade kar raha hai, jo 0.6050 ke nazdeek hai. Yeh level July 29 ke low 0.5857 se lekar September 30 ke high 0.6380 tak ka hai. 20-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), jo 0.6100 aur 0.6130 ke aas-paas hain, aage ke liye mazeed kamzori ka ishara de rahe hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 level se neeche hai, jo strong bearish momentum darshata hai.

Agar jor 0.6000 ke psychological support ko pakki tor par todta hai, to August 15 ke low 0.5974 aur full support 0.5900 tak ki girawat ki sambhavna hai. Dusri taraf, agar 0.6146 par October 8 ke high se upar reversal hota hai, to yeh asset ko 50-day moving average 0.6173 aur October 4 ke high 0.6220 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. USDX ki positive situation is hafte 0.6500 ke specific monitoring range mein mazeed losses ke darwaze khol sakti hai.

### NZD/USD Price Forecast

**1-3 Hafton ka Nazariya:** “Tuesday (22 October, spot 0.6030) ko, humne darshaya tha ke 'haal ki price action yeh darshata hai ke 0.6005 tak pohanchna mumkin hai.' Humne yeh bhi kaha tha, '0.6005 ke neeche agla level jo dekhna hai, wo 0.5985 hai.' Kal, NZD 0.6005 ke neeche chala gaya, aur iska low 0.5993 tha. Jabke hum NZD ke girne ki umeed rakhte hain, is mahine ki shuruat se shuru hui kamzori waqt aur price dono ke lehaz se overextended lagti hai. Dusre lafz mein, mazeed girawat ka imkaan seemit ho sakta hai. Deekhne wale levels hain 0.5985 aur 0.5970. Agar NZD 0.6060 ke upar break hota hai (jo pehle 0.6085 par 'strong resistance' level tha), to iska matlab hoga ke NZD mazeed nahi gir raha.

NZD/USD 0.6000 ke ird gird naya buying interest dikhata hai, jabke near-term trend bearish hai. US Dollar ka nazar firm hai kai tailwinds ki wajah se. Traders expect kar rahe hain ke RBNZ November mein phir se 50 bps se interest rates kaat sakta hai.

NZD/USD pair Thursday ke European session mein psychological support 0.6000 se rebound karta hai. Kiwi pair tab rebound hota hai jab US Dollar (USD) 12 hafton ke naya high banane ke baad correct hota hai. US Dollar Index (DXY) pressure ka shikaar hai jab yeh key resistance 104.50 ko todne ki koshish kar raha hai.

US Dollar phir se apne upar ke trend ko jari rakh sakta hai jabke United States (US) 2024 ke presidential elections par uncertainty hai. Iss darmiyan, greenback ki haal ki rally yeh darshati hai ke traders purane US President Donald Trump ki jeet ko current Vice President Kamala Harris ke muqable mein price in kar rahe hain.

US Dollar ko yeh bhi faida hua hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) se modest interest rate cut ki umeed barh rahi hai.

### NZD/USD Price Forecast (Continued)

Iss darmiyan, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki kamzori ka silsila jari rehne ki umeed hai, kyunki traders ne Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke November 27 ke akhri meeting mein 50 basis points (bps) interest rate reduction ko price in kar liya hai, jo October 9 ko dekha gaya tha. Yeh RBNZ ki taraf se teesi consecutive interest rate cut hogi.

NZD/USD 0.6000 ke ird gird temporary support dikhata hai. Magar, Kiwi pair ka nazar kamzor hai kyunki yeh 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (0.6050 ke aas-paas) ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Fibo tool July 29 ke low 0.5857 se September 30 ke high 0.6380 tak plot kiya gaya hai.

20- aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), jo 0.6100 aur 0.6130 ke aas-paas hain, neeche ki taraf jhuk rahe hain, jo aane wale waqt mein mazeed kamzori ka ishara dete hain.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 ke neeche oscillate kar raha hai, jo strong bearish momentum ko darshata hai.

Agar pair psychological support 0.6000 ke neeche decisive break karta hai, to 15 August ka low 0.5974 aur round-level support 0.5900 ki taraf mazeed girawat ki umeed hai.

Dusri taraf, agar October 8 ka high 0.6146 ke upar reversal move hota hai, to yeh asset ko 50-day EMA (0.6173) aur October 4 ke high (0.6220 ke aas-paas) ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

NZD/USD pair mein chaar din se girawat dekhi gayi, aur Thursday ko European trading ke dauran yeh 0.6050 ke level ke aas paas tha. Daily chart analysis se pata chalta hai ke yeh pair ek descending channel pattern mein rehne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo downtrend ke jari rehne ka ishara deta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 level ke qareeb aa raha hai, jo current bearish trend ko reinforce karta hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, to yeh is baat ki nishani hogi ke NZD/USD pair oversold zone mein hai, jisse short-term upward correction ho sakti hai.

Iske ilawa, 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) abhi tak 50-day EMA ke neeche hai, jo ke short-term price trend mein kamzori ko highlight karta hai. Support ki baat karein, agar NZD/USD pair wapis descending channel mein aa jata hai, to yeh 0.5880 ke near lower bound area ko test kar sakta hai, phir "retreat support" near 0.5850 level aa sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, immediate resistance 9-day EMA ke qareeb 0.6102 par hai, followed by 50-day EMA at 0.6153. Agar yeh levels break ho jaate hain, to bullish outlook shift ho sakta hai aur NZD/USD ko 16-month high tak le ja sakta hai jo ke September 30 ko last touch hua tha, yani 0.6379 tak. Strong resistance (SMA) 0.6090 ke qareeb hai, aur yeh wapis previous low 0.6050 tak gir sakta hai.

Technical oscillators bhi near term mein bearish setup ko confirm kar rahe hain. Stochastic indicator south ki taraf move kar raha hai aur %K aur %D lines ke beech bearish cross banane ke liye tayar hai, jab ke RSI 50 ke neutral threshold ke neeche hai. August ke shuruat mein levels 0.5875-0.5850 tak aa sakte hain.

NZD/USD pair ke ongoing downtrend ke peeche kuch factors hain. Sabse pehle, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki monetary policies mein divergence ek bara role play kar raha hai. RBNZ ka relatively dovish stance hai jab ke Fed ne apne rate hike cycle mein pause ka signal diya hai. Is divergence ne US dollar ko zyada attractive banaya hai investors ke liye, jisse New Zealand dollar par pressure aaya hai. Conclusively, NZD/USD pair ka outlook challenging hai, aur bearish trend near term mein jari rehne ka imkaan hai. Monetary policies mein divergence, mixed economic indicators, aur geopolitical tensions sab mil kar New Zealand dollar par downward pressure dal rahe hain. Halanke short-term upward correction ho sakti hai agar pair oversold zone ke neeche break karta hai, lekin overall trend bearish hi nazar aa raha hai. Traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye jab investment decisions lein.