نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

NZD/USD ka D1 chart dekha jaye toh kal ka girawat kaafi significant tha, lekin aaj phir se thoda sa recovery ho rahi hai. Kal ka girawat US dollar ke mazid taqatwar hone ki wajah se hua. Wave structure abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line se upar hai. Lekin MACD pe bearish divergence bhi nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke ek strong sell signal hota hai. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche aa raha hai aur uspe bhi bearish divergence hai.

Kal ki candle ne poori tarah se pehli bullish candle ko cover kar liya, jisse ek bearish engulfing candlestick pattern bana, jo ke sell signals ki confirmation hai. Is ke ilawa, price ne ek ascending wedge bhi banaya hai, jo ke ek girawat ka signal hota hai. Halanki trend abhi upar ki taraf hai, lekin overall situation ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke qareebi future mein price phir se neeche ki taraf press hoga, aur ascending line tak aa sakta hai jo puranay daily waves ke bottoms ke sath bani hai. Raat mein jo thoda growth nazar aaya, wo 0.6257 ke horizontal support level ki wajah se tha.

Mujhe lagta hai ke hume shorter time frame pe is growth ka end track karna chahiye aur wahan sell formation dekh kar neeche kaam karna chahiye. Aaj ke din 15:30 Moscow time pe kuch important news releases hain: US mein total log jo unemployment benefits le rahe hain, core orders for durable goods, core price index of personal consumption expenditures, durable goods ke orders ka volume, US GDP, GDP deflator, aur initial applications for unemployment benefits. 16:20 pe US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka speech bhi hai.



Agar NZD/USD 0.61500 ke support level ke neeche break karne mein kamyab hota hai, toh price mein mazeed girawat ho sakti hai, aur agla target psychological 0.61000 level hoga, jahan ek significant liquidity zone hai. Yeh sellers ko aur neeche push karne ka rasta de sakta hai, khas tor pe jab market mein koi immediate upside catalysts nahi hain. Agar price upar ki taraf recover karta hai, toh 0.62500-0.63000 ke FVG aur resistance zone mein seller interest phir se active ho sakta hai, jo ke bullish retracement ko rokega. Overall sentiment abhi bhi bearish hai aur zyada downside pressure ki umeed hai, jab tak sellers market structure ko dominate karte hain.

Conclusion yeh hai ke NZD/USD abhi critical support zone 0.61500 pe test kar raha hai. Agar yeh zone break hota hai toh price mazeed bearish move kar sakta hai, jab ke koi bhi bullish attempt 0.62500-0.63000 ke range mein resistance face karega.

hai ke kal ki koshish jo ke price ko neeche le jaane ki thi, kaafi kaamyaab rahi. Price mein ek khaas girawat hui, magar aaj phir se kuch growth nazar aa rahi hai. Kal ki ye girawat bhi us waqt market mein US dollar ke mazid mazboot hone ki wajah se hui thi. Agar hum wave structure ka analysis karein, to yeh ab bhi ek ascending (upar jaane wala) structure bana raha hai. MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line se upar hai. Lekin, MACD indicator par bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai - jo ke ek strong sell signal hai.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index) indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche ja raha hai, aur is par bhi bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Kal ki candle ne poori tarah se pehle wali growing candle ko cover kar liya tha, jisse ek candlestick pattern bana - jo ke ek bearish engulfing kehlata hai. Yeh sell signals ka confirmation hai.

In sab ke ilawa, price ne ek khoobsurat ascending wedge banaya hai, jo ke decline ki ek shakal hai. Bhalay hi trend upar ja raha ho, lekin halat ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke aane wale waqt mein price ko phir se neeche dhaka diya ja sakta hai, aur yeh girawat un daily waves ke bottoms ke along banai gayi ascending line tak ja sakti hai. Aur jo raat mein growth dekhne ko mili hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhoti time frame par growth ke khatam hone ka intezar karna chahiye, sell formation ko dekhna chahiye, aur phir neeche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye.

Aaj 15:30 Moscow time par kaafi ahem news release hone wali hai, jismein shamil hai:
US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki total tadaad
US core orders for durable goods
US core price index of personal consumption expenditures
US durable goods orders ka volume
US gross domestic product (GDP)
US GDP deflator
US mein unemployment benefits ke liye naye applications ki tadaad

Aur 16:20 par Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka bhi ek speech hoga.

NZD/USD ka Taja Jaiza:

NZD/USD pair ne halia trading sessions mein positive trajectory dikhai hai, jo zyada tar expectations ki wajah se hai ke Federal Reserve apni policy mein thodi dovish rahegi. Magar, upward momentum apni jagah pe mukammal nahi hai kyunke US aur New Zealand ke economic uncertainties in gains ko kum kar sakti hain. Market mein Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ke mutaliq baat chal rahi hai, jo ke 25 basis points se zyada ho sakta hai, aur ye expectation New Zealand dollar ke liye ek khaas faida ban gayi hai.

Recent US job growth mein girawat ke baad, yeh baat aur bhi mazid tasleem ho gayi hai. Jabke retail sales data mein contraction dekhne ko mila, is ne New Zealand economy ke hawalay se zyada nuksaan nahi pohchaya. Magar US recession ke potential concerns aur China ki economic challenges ne ek risk-averse environment bana diya hai, jo ke risk-sensitive New Zealand dollar ke liye negative asar la sakti hai.

RBNZ ke halia rate cut aur cautious outlook ne yeh dar paida kiya hai ke mazeed monetary easing ka imkaan hai, jo NZD/USD ke upside potential ko had tak mehdood kar sakt

NZD/USD ka D1 chart dekha jaye toh kal ka girawat kaafi significant tha, lekin aaj phir se thoda sa recovery ho rahi hai. Kal ka girawat US dollar ke mazid taqatwar hone ki wajah se hua. Wave structure abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line se upar hai. Lekin MACD pe bearish divergence bhi nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke ek strong sell signal hota hai. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche aa raha hai aur uspe bhi bearish divergence hai.
Kal ki candle ne poori tarah se pehli bullish candle ko cover kar liya, jisse ek bearish engulfing candlestick pattern bana, jo ke sell signals ki confirmation hai. Is ke ilawa, price ne ek ascending wedge bhi banaya hai, jo ke ek girawat ka signal hota hai. Halanki trend abhi upar ki taraf hai, lekin overall situation ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke qareebi future mein price phir se neeche ki taraf press hoga, aur ascending line tak aa sakta hai jo puranay daily waves ke bottoms ke sath bani hai. Raat mein jo thoda growth nazar aaya, wo 0.6257 ke horizontal support level ki wajah se tha.

Mujhe lagta hai ke hume shorter time frame pe is growth ka end track karna chahiye aur wahan sell formation dekh kar neeche kaam karna chahiye. Aaj ke din 15:30 Moscow time pe kuch important news releases hain: US mein total log jo unemployment benefits le rahe hain, core orders for durable goods, core price index of personal consumption expenditures, durable goods ke orders ka volume, US GDP, GDP deflator, aur initial applications for unemployment benefits. 16:20 pe US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka speech bhi hai

hai ke kal ki koshish jo ke price ko neeche le jaane ki thi, kaafi kaamyaab rahi. Price mein ek khaas girawat hui, magar aaj phir se kuch growth nazar aa rahi hai. Kal ki ye girawat bhi us waqt market mein US dollar ke mazid mazboot hone ki wajah se hui thi. Agar hum wave structure ka analysis karein, to yeh ab bhi ek ascending (upar jaane wala) structure bana raha hai. MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line se upar hai. Lekin, MACD indicator par bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai - jo ke ek strong sell signal hai. CCI (Commodity Channel Index) indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche ja raha hai, aur is par bhi bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Kal ki candle ne poori tarah se pehle wali growing candle ko cover kar liya tha, jisse ek candlestick pattern bana - jo ke ek bearish engulfing kehlata hai. Yeh sell signals ka confirmation hai.

In sab ke ilawa, price ne ek khoobsurat ascending wedge banaya hai, jo ke decline ki ek shakal hai. Bhalay hi trend upar ja raha ho, lekin halat ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke aane wale waqt mein price ko phir se neeche dhaka diya ja sakta hai, aur yeh girawat un daily waves ke bottoms ke along banai gayi ascending line tak ja sakti hai. Aur jo raat mein growth dekhne ko mili hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhoti time frame par growth ke khatam hone ka intezar karna chahiye, sell formation ko dekhna chahiye, aur phir neeche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye.

Aaj 15:30 Moscow time par kaafi ahem news release hone wali hai, jismein shamil hai:
US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki total tadaad
US core orders for durable goods
US core price index of personal consumption expenditures
US durable goods orders ka volume
US gross domestic product (GDP)
US GDP deflator
US mein unemployment benefits ke liye naye applications ki tadaad

Aur 16:20 par Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka bhi ek speech hoga.

NZD/USD ka Taja Jaiza:

Chalo D1 period ka chart dekhtay hain - NZD/USD currency pair ka. Kal ka koshish karna ke qeemat ko kam kiya jaye kaamyaab raha, qeemat kaafi zyada gir gayi, lekin aaj phir se kuch barhawa dekhne ko mil raha hai. Kal ka girawat bhi market mein US dollar ki mazid mazbooti ki wajah se thi. Wave structure abhi tak upar ki taraf bana hua hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai - ek mazboot sell signal. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se niche ki taraf ja raha hai aur us par bhi bearish divergence hai. Kal ka candle puri tarah se pechlay barhnay walay candle ko cover kar gaya aur is tarah ek candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Ye sell signals ki tasdeeq hai. In sab ke ilawa, qeemat ne ek khubsurat ascending wedge banayi hai - jo ke ek decline figure hai. Chahay trend upar ki taraf hai, magar halat ko dekh kar lagta hai ke aglay chand dinon mein qeemat phir se niche ki taraf dabao mein aayegi, un ascending lines tak jo purani daily waves ke bottoms par bani hain. Aur raat bhar ka jo barhawa hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhote period mein growth ka end track karna chahiye, wahan koi sell formation dhoondhna chahiye aur niche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye. Aaj ka important news package Moscow time ke mutabiq 15:30 par aayega: US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki kul tadaad, US mein core orders for durable goods, US ka core price index of personal consumption expenditures, US ka volume of orders for durable goods, US ka gross domestic product (GDP), US ka GDP deflator, aur US mein unemployment benefits ki initial applications ka number. 16:20 par US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka khitaab hoga Agar NZD/USD 0.61500 ke support level ke niche break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to agay aur girawat ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, aur psychological level 0.61000 tak qeemat ja sakti hai, jahan agla significant liquidity zone majood hai. Ye sellers ke liye rasta khol sakta hai ke qeemat ko aur neeche le jayein, khaaskar jab market mein koi immediate upside catalyst nazar nahi aa raha. Doosri taraf, agar koi upside recovery hoti hai to usay 0.62500-0.63000 ke aas paas ke resistance zone par rukawat ka samna hoga, jo pehle se hi sellers ka interest dikha chuka hai aur bullish retracement ki koshish ko rokne wala hai. Kul mila kar sentiment bearish hi hai, aur mazeed downside pressure ka imkaan hai jab sellers market structure ko dominate karte rahenge Akhir mein, NZD/USD abhi ek critical support zone 0.61500 ke aas paas test kar raha hai. Agar ye level break hota hai to bearish move tezi se aage barh sakta hai, jabke koi bhi bullish koshish ko 0.62500-0.63000 ke range mein resistance ka samna karna parega, aur overall bearish outlook barqarar rahega
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NZD/USD pair ko consistent upward momentum mila hai.
Is ke ilawa, New Zealand ki stable economic performance ne bhi NZD ko mazid taqat faraham ki hai, jab ke doosri global economies mein zyada fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Economic indicators jese ke GDP growth aur employment figures bhi expectations se behtar aaye hain, jisse traders aur investors ka New Zealand economy par confidence barh gaya hai, aur yeh currency ki strength ko mazid support kar raha hai.
H4 chart par dekha jaaye, to NZD/USD pair upward trend dikhata hai, jahan price key moving averages ke upar stable hai. Yeh technical setup NZD/USD ke bullish trend ko mazid reinforce karta hai. Yeh pair ab next resistance level 0.6100 ko target kar raha hai, jo aik important area hai dekhne ke liye. Agar price is level ko break kar leta hai, to humein mazid gains dekhne ko mil sakte hain, aur pair mazeed upar ja sakta hai aanay walay sessions mein.
Lekin yeh baat bhi yaad rakhni chahiye ke jab ke NZD/USD ka outlook positive lag raha hai, global market conditions aur koi bhi change US monetary policy mein is pair par asar dal sakti hain. Agar US dollar Federal Reserve ke hawkish signals ki wajah se mazid strong hota hai, to NZD/USD par downward pressure asar انداز ho sakta hai.
Mukhtasir mein, NZD/USD pair abhi significant strength dikhata hai, jo ke New Zealand ke positive economic factors se supported hai, khaaskar commodity sectors mein. Traders ko is pair par closely nazar rakhni chahiye, aur kisi bhi potential breakout ko dekhna chahiye resistance levels ke upar, aur global economic events se waqif rehna chahiye jo price action ko influence kar sakte hain.

**NZD/USD Currency Pair ki Strength aur Economic Factors**

NZD/USD currency pair abhi considerable strength dikhata hai, jo ke kai favorable economic factors se supported hai. New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne high commodity prices ka faida uthaya hai, khaaskar dairy aur agricultural exports ka, jo New Zealand ki economy ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain.

**Reserve Bank of New Zealand ki Policy**

Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne aggressive stance apnayi hai, aur yeh dikhata hai ke yeh inflation se ladne ke liye interest rates badhane ke liye tayyar hai. Yeh strategy NZD ki US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein appeal ko mazid barhata hai, khaaskar jab Federal Reserve economic conditions ke badalte hue rate cuts ka soch raha hai.

**Interest Rate Differential ki Ahmiyat**

RBNZ aur Fed ke darmiyan interest rate differential NZD/USD exchange rate ke liye key hai, kyunki New Zealand mein tight monetary policy Kiwi ki value ko support karti hai.

**Global Trade aur Geopolitical Factors**

Global trade conditions aur geopolitical elements bhi New Zealand dollar ki performance par ahm asar dalte hain. New Zealand ka stable political climate aur China aur Australia ke sath mazboot trade links NZD ko market mein positive position dete hain.

**Safe-Haven Currency ka Role**

Lekin, USD ab bhi ek pasandida safe-haven currency hai, jo uncertainty ke doran taqat hasil karta hai. Isliye, market participants ko aane wale economic data releases, jaise employment statistics aur GDP growth, par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo investor sentiment ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur NZD/USD pair par asar daal sakte hain.

ke qeemat ko kam kiya jaye kaamyaab raha, qeemat kaafi zyada gir gayi, lekin aaj phir se kuch barhawa dekhne ko mil raha hai. Kal ka girawat bhi market mein US dollar ki mazid mazbooti ki wajah se thi. Wave structure abhi tak upar ki taraf bana hua hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai - ek mazboot sell signal. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se niche ki taraf ja raha hai aur us par bhi bearish divergence hai. Kal ka candle puri tarah se pechlay barhnay walay candle ko cover kar gaya aur is tarah ek candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Ye sell signals ki tasdeeq hai. In sab ke ilawa, qeemat ne ek khubsurat ascending wedge banayi hai - jo ke ek decline figure hai. Chahay trend upar ki taraf hai, magar halat ko dekh kar lagta hai ke aglay chand dinon mein qeemat phir se niche ki taraf dabao mein aayegi, un ascending lines tak jo purani daily waves ke bottoms par bani hain. Aur raat bhar ka jo barhawa hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhote period mein growth ka end track karna chahiye, wahan koi sell formation dhoondhna chahiye aur niche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye. Aaj ka important news package Moscow time ke mutabiq 15:30 par aayega: US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki kul tadaad, US mein core orders for durable goods, US ka core price index of personal consumption expenditures, US ka volume of orders for durable goods, US ka gross domestic product (GDP), US ka GDP deflator, aur US mein unemployment benefits ki initial applications ka number. 16:20 par US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka khitaab hoga Agar NZD/USD 0.61500 ke support level ke niche break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to agay aur girawat ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, aur psychological level 0.61000 tak qeemat ja sakti hai, jahan agla significant liquidity zone majood hai. Ye sellers ke liye rasta khol sakta hai ke qeemat ko aur neeche le jayein, khaaskar jab market mein koi immediate upside catalyst nazar nahi aa raha. Doosri taraf, agar koi upside recovery hoti hai to usay 0.62500-0.63000 ke aas paas ke resistance zone par rukawat ka samna hoga, jo pehle se hi sellers ka interest dikha chuka hai aur bullish retracement ki koshish ko rokne
a

USD Price ne haal hi mein 0.62500 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aan hai

Iska matlab hai ke New Zealand dollar (NZD) kamzor ho raha hai U.S. dollar (USD) ke muqable main. Is bearish sentiment ke peeche kai wajoohat ho sakti hain, jaise ke New Zealand ke kamzor economic data, commodity prices main utar charhao (khaaskar doodh aur agricultural products), aur Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policy main tabdeeliyan. Market abhi dheerey dheerey is bearish trend main chal raha hai, lekin traders ehtiyaat kar rahe hain aur aanay walay economic releases ke asraat ko tol rahe hain. Key indicators, jaise ke New Zealand ka GDP growth, employment figures, aur inflation rates, market expectations ko shape karne mein critical role ada karenge. Isi tarah, U.S. ke economic data, khaaskar inflation aur interest rates se mutaliq, U.S. dollar ki taqat ko asar andaz karenge. Agar U.S. economy main mazid mazbooti ke asar dikhayi diye, to yeh NZD/USD pair par mazid downward pressure dal sakta hai. Halaankeh abhi market dheere chal raha hai, lekin kai traders ek potential breakout ki umeed kar rahe hain. Yeh umeed market ke historical behavior se aati hai, jo aam tor par periods of consolidation ke baad significant volatility dikhata hai. Technical analysis se key support aur resistance levels ka pata chal sakta hai, aur indicators, jaise ke moving averages aur Relative Strength Index (RSI), se samajhne main madad mil sakti hai ke kab price movement ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, geopolitical developments aur global market sentiment jese external factors bhi volatility ko introduce kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, trade policies main tabdeeliyaan ya international events ki wajah se commodity prices ka farq NZD par asar dal sakta hai, kyun ke New Zealand exports par bohot zyada inhisar karta hai. Akhir mein, jabke NZD/USD filhal bearish hai aur dheerey se move kar raha hai, various economic indicators aur external factors is baat ki nishandahi karte hain ke qareebi future mein ek significant

lagbhag 95 pips ka izafa dekh chuka hai, aur is waqt is ki position 0.6142 par hai. Jab time frame ka tajziya kiya jaye to nazar aata hai ke Friday ko NZD/USD ne apne qareebi resistance ko 0.6123 par break kar diya, jo ke is ke upward movement ka natija tha. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke abhi bhi aur zyada upar janay ka mauqa hai. Lekin, mera khayal hai ke upar janay se pehle, is currency pair ko ek correction ka samna hoga. H1 timeframe par ek doji candle pattern ka zahoor is baat ka ishara deta hai ke jald he ek reversal aa sakta hai, jo NZD/USD ko neeche le aaye. Sath hi, candle ab tak supply area ko break nahi kar paayi hai, is liye ye area retracement ke liye munasib hai. Agar NZD/USD neeche jata hai, to mera target 0.6055 par hoga. Jab Ichimoku indicator ka istimaal kar ke dekha jaye, to is waqt candle ki position ab bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai, jo ke bullish trend ko zahir karti hai. Lekin indicator ab girawat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Magar, resistance supply area mein price ko girne se roke ga. Sath hi, dono lines is waqt ek doosre ke upar hain. NZD/USD D1 chart par dekha jaye to recent trading sessions mein kaafi dynamic market structure nazar aata hai, jahan pair abhi tak 0.62375 ke qareeb hai. 0.61400 ke lows se start karte hue, price ne September ke beech mein bounce dekhaya, jo ke double-bottom liquidity zone se support ho rahi thi. Fair value gaps (FVGs) aur distribution liquidity (DLiq) zones ne market ke key reaction points ko identify karne mein madad di. Support level se rally ne price ko upar wali liquidity areas mein dhakel diya, aur 0.62000 level par ek key FVG short-term target ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Jaise hi price ne is level ko cross kiya, wo thodi consolidation ke baad liquidity zone ke qareeb 0.62400 par breach hui, jo ke strong bullish momentum ka ishara tha. Is breach ne pair ko higher distribution liquidity ka test karne par majboor kiya, jo 0.62550–0.62600 region mein key resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Is zone se ek sharp rejection aaya, jab sellers ne is level ko aggressively defend kiya, aur price ko wapas 0.62200–0.62300 region ki taraf dhakel diya, jahan is waqt consolidatio

apni rise ko barqarar rakha aur ye trend Friday tak chalta raha. Kul mila kar, NZD/USD lagbhag 95 pips ka izafa dekh chuka hai, aur is waqt is ki position 0.6142 par hai. Jab time frame ka tajziya kiya jaye to nazar aata hai ke Friday ko NZD/USD ne apne qareebi resistance ko 0.6123 par break kar diya, jo ke is ke upward movement ka natija tha. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke abhi bhi aur zyada upar janay ka mauqa hai. Lekin, mera khayal hai ke upar janay se pehle, is currency pair ko ek correction ka samna hoga. H1 timeframe par ek doji candle pattern ka zahoor is baat ka ishara deta hai ke jald he ek reversal aa sakta hai, jo NZD/USD ko neeche le aaye. Sath hi, candle ab tak supply area ko break nahi kar paayi hai, is liye ye area retracement ke liye munasib hai. Agar NZD/USD neeche jata hai, to mera target 0.6055 par hoga. Jab Ichimoku indicator ka istimaal kar ke dekha jaye, to is waqt candle ki position ab bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai, jo ke bullish trend ko zahir karti hai. Lekin indicator ab girawat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Magar, resistance supply area mein price ko girne se roke ga. Sath hi, dono lines is waqt ek doosre ke upar hain. NZD/USD D1 chart par dekha jaye to recent trading sessions mein kaafi dynamic market structure nazar aata hai, jahan pair abhi tak 0.62375 ke qareeb hai. 0.61400 ke lows se start karte hue, price ne September ke beech mein bounce dekhaya, jo ke double-bottom liquidity zone se support ho rahi thi. Fair value gaps (FVGs) aur distribution liquidity (DLiq) zones ne market ke key reaction points ko identify karne mein madad di. Support level se rally ne price ko upar wali liquidity areas mein dhakel diya, aur 0.62000 level par ek key FVG short-term target ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Jaise hi price ne is level ko cross kiya, wo thodi consolidation ke baad liquidity zone ke qareeb 0.62400 par breach hui, jo ke strong bullish momentum ka ishara tha. Is breach ne pair ko higher distribution liquidity ka test karne par majboor kiya, jo 0.62550–0.62600 region mein key resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Is zone se ek sharp rejection aaya, jab sellers ne is level ko aggressively defend kiya, aur price ko wapas 0.62200–0.62300 region ki taraf dhakel diya, jahan is waqt consolidation

fluctuate kar raha hai. Chart se lagta hai ke price apni current range se break out karne mein muskil ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke sharp market movements ke baad consolidation phase ko reflect karta hai. Mid-August se, is pair ne ek rally dekhi, jisme price 0.5900 se upar uth kar 0.6240 area tak gaya, jahan ek significant deep liquidity (DLiq) zone se resistance ka samna hua. Yeh resistance, 0.6240 ke aas paas kai liquidity levels ki wajah se, upside ko cap kar diya, aur ek temporary consolidation period shuru hua Is phase ke dauran, price action ne higher lows ka silsila dikhaya, jo ke ongoing buying interest ko zahir karta hai. Lekin, resistance ko break na kar pana ye dikhata hai ke sellers active ho gaye hain, ya to profit le rahe hain ya short positions le rahe hain. Late August mein jab price 0.6260 level tak pohancha, to ek prominent FVG aur doosra DLiq zone se mazeed resistance ka samna hua. Is level ke upar momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ne ek turning point ko zahir kiya, aur NZD/USD pair ne apni pehle wali gains ko retrace karna shuru kar diya. Jab price ne retrace kiya, to yeh 0.6140 level tak gira, liquidity gaps ko fill kiya aur previous support levels ko test kiya. August ke end tak, price 0.6140 aur 0.6240 ke darmiyan oscillate karta raha, ek range-bound structure banata raha. Is range ko upper aur lower bounds ke frequent tests ne define kiya, jisme price ko 0.6140 ke aas paas support mila, jo ke pehle ek DLiq zone tha jo resistance se support mein flip ho gaya. Lekin, 0.6240 ke upar move ko sustain na kar pana bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai, jisme sellers abhi bhi market pe dominate kar rahe hain September ke shuru mein, pair 0.6200 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo ek potential momentum shift ko zahir karta hai. Price action ne lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila banana shuru kiya, jo ek bearish trend ke development ko dikhata hai. Abhi ke waqt mein, NZD/USD pair 0.6184 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke consolidation ke baad market ko direction dhoondhne ki koshish dikhata hai. Chart pe multiple DLiq zones aur FVGs ki mojoodgi yeh zahir karti hai ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab tak market ek breakout ke liye catalyst ka intezaar kar raha hai NZD/USD ka 4-hour chart ek market ko dikhata hai jo tight range mein phansa hua hai, aur liquidity zones aur FVGs heavily price movements ko dictate kar rahe hain. Is se lagta hai ke market ek uncertain state mein hai, aur ek breakout ka

NZD/USD Pair Analysis

NZD/USD pair kuch waqt se bearish trend ka shikar hai, khaaskar jab qeemat 0.62000 ke critical resistance level ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Yeh level ek mazboot rukawat hai, aur isko todne mein na-kamyabi ne pair par pressure bana rakha hai. Jab tak qeemat is threshold ke neeche rahegi, outlook negative rahega.

Agar 0.61250 level ke neeche breakdown hota hai, to yeh bearish sentiment ko gehra kar sakta hai, aur pair 0.61000 zone ki taraf ja sakta hai, shayad is se bhi neeche agar neeche ki taraf momentum bana raha. Technical nazariye se, 0.62000 ke aas paas ke levels kisi bhi potential recovery ke liye crucial hain. Agar NZD/USD is resistance ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai, to ise 0.62500 ke aas paas liquidity zones ko target karna hoga. Yeh area zyada sustained bullish run ke liye zaroori momentum de sakta hai.

Lekin, is resistance ko todna aasaan nahi hoga given current market sentiment, kyunke NZD global economic factors se headwinds ka samna kar raha hai, khaaskar US dollar ki taqat, jo hawkish Federal Reserve aur higher interest rates se faida utha raha hai.

Bearish trend ke bawajood, kuch potential reversal ya kam se kam bulls ke liye kuch rahat ke asar hain, jaisa ke non-linear regression channels ke zariye darust kiya gaya hai. Convex lines, jo near-term price movement ko forecast karne ke liye tools hain, ne lower channel ki golden line ka upward cross dikhaya hai. Yeh technical indicator darust karta hai ke NZD/USD near-term upward movement ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo current levels par potential buy entry ka support de raha hai, agar resistance levels ko overcome kiya jaye.

Non-linear regression channels is scenario mein khaas tor par useful hain kyunki yeh traders ko aise price trends identify karne mein madad karte hain jo traditional indicators ke zariye foran nazar nahi aate. Is case mein, golden line ka upward cross momentum shift ka ishara deta hai, lekin pair abhi bhi critical resistance level ke neeche hai. Yeh cautious traders ko long positions enter karne ka mauqa de sakta hai, lekin sirf tab jab qeemat 0.62000 mark ke upar strength dikhana shuru kare.

NZD/USD pair kuch waqt se bearish trend ka shikaar hai, khaaskar jab price 0.62000 ke critical resistance level ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Yeh level ek mazboot rukawat ka kaam karta hai, aur isko todne mein na-kamiyabi ne pair ko dabao mein rakha hai. Jab tak price is threshold ke neeche hai, tab tak outlook negative hai.

Aik aham factor jo bearish sentiment ko gehra kar sakta hai, woh 0.61250 level ke neeche girawat hai, jo pair ko 0.61000 zone ki taraf le ja sakta hai, shayad usse bhi neeche agar downward momentum jari raha. Technical nazariye se, 0.62000 ke aas-paas ke levels pair ke liye kisi bhi potential recovery ke liye bohot zaroori hain. Agar NZD/USD is resistance ko todta hai, to isay 0.62500 ke aas-paas liquidity zones ko target karna hoga. Yeh area ek sustained bullish run ke liye zaroori momentum faraham kar sakta hai.

Lekin, is resistance ko todna aasaan nahi hoga, kyunki is waqt ke market sentiment ke mad-e-nazar, NZD ko global economic factors se kaafi mushkilat ka saamna hai, khaaskar US dollar ki taqat se, jo hawkish Federal Reserve aur higher interest rates se faida utha raha hai.

Bearish trend ke bawajood, potential reversal ya kam se kam bulls ke liye kuch rahaat ke nishan hain, jo non-linear regression channels se zahir hote hain. Convex lines, jo near-term price movement ki forecasting ke liye tools hain, ne lower channel ki golden line ka upward cross dikhaya hai. Yeh technical indicator yeh darust karta hai ke NZD/USD shayad near-term upward movement ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ke current levels par potential buy entry ki idea ko support karta hai, agar resistance levels ko tod diya jaye.

Non-linear regression channels is scenario mein khaaskar madadgar hain kyunki yeh traders ko un price trends ko pehchanne mein madad karte hain jo traditional indicators se foran zahir nahi hote. Is case mein, golden line ka upward cross momentum shift ka nishan hai, halanke pair abhi bhi critical resistance level ke neeche hai. Yeh cautious traders ko long positions mein ghusne ka reason deta hai, lekin sirf tab jab price 0.62000 ke mark ko todne ki koshish kare.