نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

NZD/USD exchange rate ke liye intehai ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke New Zealand ki sakht monetary policy Kiwi ki qeemat ko support karti hai. Aalmi trade ke halaat aur geo-siyasi asrat bhi NZD ke performance par gehra asar dalte hain. New Zealand ka siyasi mahaul mustahkam hai aur uske China aur Australia ke sath mazboot tijarati talluqat hain, jo NZD ko market mein faida pohnchate hain. Lekin USD ab bhi aik pasandida safe-haven currency hai, jo gheir yaqeeni surat-e-haal mein taqat hasil karti hai. Is liye market ke shuraka ko aanewali maashi data jaise ke rozgaar ke adad-o-shumaar aur GDP growth ko qareebi tor par dekhna chahiye, jo sarmaaya daro'n ke jazbaat ko badal sakte hain aur NZD/USD pair ko asar andaz kar sakte hain.
Oopar ki taraf, yeh pair mumkin hai ke 0.6380 level tak barh jaye, jo ke chadhai ke channel ke upper boundary ke mutabiq hai. Agar is upper boundary ke ooper breakout hota hai, to yeh bullish bias ko mazeed mazboot kar sakta hai aur pair ko 15-maheenay ke high, jo December 2023 mein 0.6409 par tha, tak wapas le jaa sakta hai. Support ke hawalay se, EMA 0.6251 par hai. Agar yeh level tor diya jata hai, to bullish jazbaat ko nuqsan pohnch sakta hai aur pair ko 50-day moving average jo 0.6156 par hai, tak le ja sakta hai, aur aakhir mein 5-week low jo 0.6106 par hai, ko chhu sakta hai. Budh ke din, NZD/USD pair ne apne faiday ko barhaya aur 9-maheenay ka high 0.6354 ko chhoya, lekin iske baad thoda nuqsan hua. Pair August range ke upar break karne mein kaamyab raha, aur uska focus December 2023 ke high 0.6368 par hai. Magar rally mein slowdown ka khauf hai, kyun ke overbought signals RSI aur Stochastic indicators se zahir ho rahe hain. Agar 0.6368 ke level par decisively close hota hai, to aik naya upside wave trigger ho sakta hai, jo ke 161.8% Fibonacci extension level jo 0.6415 par hai, tak pohnch sakta hai. December 2022 se February 2023 ke darmiyan, 0.6465 ka ilaqa kuch resistance dikha sakta hai. Bullish trend ki tasdeeq ke liye, ek mazeed upward move zaroori ho sakta hai

NZD/USD
NZD/USD Currency Pair ka Jaiza (D1 Period Chart)

Agar hum D1 period chart par NZD/USD currency pair ka mutaala karein, to dekhne mein aata hai ke kal ki koshish jo ke price ko neeche le jaane ki thi, kaafi kaamyaab rahi. Price mein ek khaas girawat hui, magar aaj phir se kuch growth nazar aa rahi hai. Kal ki ye girawat bhi us waqt market mein US dollar ke mazid mazboot hone ki wajah se hui thi. Agar hum wave structure ka analysis karein, to yeh ab bhi ek ascending (upar jaane wala) structure bana raha hai. MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line se upar hai. Lekin, MACD indicator par bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai - jo ke ek strong sell signal hai.

CCI (Commodity Channel Index) indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche ja raha hai, aur is par bhi bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Kal ki candle ne poori tarah se pehle wali growing candle ko cover kar liya tha, jisse ek candlestick pattern bana - jo ke ek bearish engulfing kehlata hai. Yeh sell signals ka confirmation hai.

In sab ke ilawa, price ne ek khoobsurat ascending wedge banaya hai, jo ke decline ki ek shakal hai. Bhalay hi trend upar ja raha ho, lekin halat ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke aane wale waqt mein price ko phir se neeche dhaka diya ja sakta hai, aur yeh girawat un daily waves ke bottoms ke along banai gayi ascending line tak ja sakti hai. Aur jo raat mein growth dekhne ko mili hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhoti time frame par growth ke khatam hone ka intezar karna chahiye, sell formation ko dekhna chahiye, aur phir neeche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye.

Aaj 15:30 Moscow time par kaafi ahem news release hone wali hai, jismein shamil hai:
US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki total tadaad
US core orders for durable goods
US core price index of personal consumption expenditures
US durable goods orders ka volume
US gross domestic product (GDP)
US GDP deflator
US mein unemployment benefits ke liye naye applications ki tadaad

Aur 16:20 par Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka bhi ek speech hoga.

NZD/USD ka Taja Jaiza:

NZD/USD pair ne halia trading sessions mein positive trajectory dikhai hai, jo zyada tar expectations ki wajah se hai ke Federal Reserve apni policy mein thodi dovish rahegi. Magar, upward momentum apni jagah pe mukammal nahi hai kyunke US aur New Zealand ke economic uncertainties in gains ko kum kar sakti hain. Market mein Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ke mutaliq baat chal rahi hai, jo ke 25 basis points se zyada ho sakta hai, aur ye expectation New Zealand dollar ke liye ek khaas faida ban gayi hai.

Recent US job growth mein girawat ke baad, yeh baat aur bhi mazid tasleem ho gayi hai. Jabke retail sales data mein contraction dekhne ko mila, is ne New Zealand economy ke hawalay se zyada nuksaan nahi pohchaya. Magar US recession ke potential concerns aur China ki economic challenges ne ek risk-averse environment bana diya hai, jo ke risk-sensitive New Zealand dollar ke liye negative asar la sakti hai.

RBNZ ke halia rate cut aur cautious outlook ne yeh dar paida kiya hai ke mazeed monetary easing ka imkaan hai, jo NZD/USD ke upside potential ko had tak mehdood kar sakta hai

NZD/USD ka downward trend abhi bhi qaim hai, aur market sentiment bhi isi direction mein hai. Jitni ziada price giregi, utni hi ziada selling ka imkaan hoga. Lekin agar recovery hoti hai, tou pehla ahem resistance level jo price ko rasta rokega, wo 0.62000 ke qareeb hoga. Agar price is level ke upar break karti hai, tou ye is baat ka ishara hoga ke NZD/USD recovery kar rahi hai. Agla ahem target liquidity zones ke qareeb hoga jo 0.62500 ke aas-paas hain. Ye zones traders ke liye ahem honge kyun ke ye additional buying interest attract kar sakte hain, jo price ko aur bhi upar le ja sakta hai. Market dynamics abhi selling pressure ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, lekin kisi bhi unexpected macroeconomic factors ya geopolitical developments ka asar price action par ho sakta hai. Agar New Zealand ya US se koi unexpected economic data release hota hai jo market sentiment ko badalta hai, tou price direction bhi badal sakti hai.
Nateejatan, jab tak price 0.62000 resistance level ke neeche rehti hai, bearish outlook barqarar rahegi. Agar price 0.61250 level se neeche break karti hai, tou mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai jo price ko 0.61000 ya us se neeche le ja sakti hai. Recovery ke liye pehla challenge 0.62000 resistance level ko paar karna hoga, us ke baad liquidity zones ke aas-paas 0.62500 ko target karna hoga jo traders ke liye ahem hoga. Traders ko market trends aur economic indicators par gehri nazar rakhni chahiye taake NZD/USD ko behtar tarike se trade kar sakein. Aapka plan hai ke channel ke growth ka faida uthaya jaye jab tak price upper part tak nahi pohchti, jo ke 0.60465 ke aas-paas hai. Jab bulls apni manzil tak pohchne ki koshish karenge, tou us ke baad girawat ka imkaan hai
NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aan hai

NZD/USD ka downward trend abhi bhi qaim hai, aur market sentiment bhi isi direction mein hai. Jitni ziada price giregi, utni hi ziada selling ka imkaan hoga. Lekin agar recovery hoti hai, tou pehla ahem resistance level jo price ko rasta rokega, wo 0.62000 ke qareeb hoga. Agar price is level ke upar break karti hai, tou ye is baat ka ishara hoga ke NZD/USD recovery kar rahi hai. Agla ahem target liquidity zones ke qareeb hoga jo 0.62500 ke aas-paas hain. Ye zones traders ke liye ahem honge kyun ke ye additional buying interest attract kar sakte hain, jo price ko aur bhi upar le ja sakta hai. Market dynamics abhi selling pressure ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, lekin kisi bhi unexpected macroeconomic factors ya geopolitical developments ka asar price action par ho sakta hai. Agar New Zealand ya US se koi unexpected economic data release hota hai jo market sentiment ko badalta hai, tou price direction bhi badal sakti hai. Nateejatan, jab tak price 0.62000 resistance level ke neeche rehti hai, bearish outlook barqarar rahegi. Agar price 0.61250 level se neeche break karti hai, tou mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai jo price ko 0.61000 ya us se neeche le ja sakti hai. Recovery ke liye pehla challenge 0.62000 resistance level ko paar karna hoga, us ke baad liquidity zones ke aas-paas 0.62500 ko target karna hoga jo traders ke liye ahem hoga. Traders ko market trends aur economic indicators par gehri nazar rakhni chahiye taake NZD/USD ko behtar tarike se trade kar sakein. Aapka plan hai ke channel ke growth ka faida uthaya jaye jab tak price upper part tak nahi pohchti, jo ke 0.60465 ke aas-paas hai. Jab bulls apni manzil tak pohchne ki koshish karenge, tou us ke baad girawat ka imkaan hai
NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aan hai

higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aan hai

Zealand dollar (NZD) ko kaafi faida mila hai rising commodity prices se, khas tor par dairy aur agricultural exports jese key sectors mein, jo ke New Zealand ki economy ke liye nihayat ahem hain. Duniya ke sab se bara dairy products exporter hone ke natay, mulk ki economy inhi commodity sectors par zyada munhasir hai. Aur jab in maal ka demand barh raha hai, is ka asar NZD ke value par bhi hota hai. Is wajah se NZD/USD pair ko consistent upward momentum mila hai.
Is ke ilawa, New Zealand ki stable economic performance ne bhi NZD ko mazid taqat faraham ki hai, jab ke doosri global economies mein zyada fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Economic indicators jese ke GDP growth aur employment figures bhi expectations se behtar aaye hain, jisse traders aur investors ka New Zealand economy par confidence barh gaya hai, aur yeh currency ki strength ko mazid support kar raha hai.

H4 chart par dekha jaaye, to NZD/USD pair upward trend dikhata hai, jahan price key moving averages ke upar stable hai. Yeh technical setup NZD/USD ke bullish trend ko mazid reinforce karta hai. Yeh pair ab next resistance level 0.6100 ko target kar raha hai, jo aik important area hai dekhne ke liye. Agar price is level ko break kar leta hai, to humein mazid gains dekhne ko mil sakte hain, aur pair mazeed upar ja sakta hai aanay walay sessions mein.

Lekin yeh baat bhi yaad rakhni chahiye ke jab ke NZD/USD ka outlook positive lag raha hai, global market conditions aur koi bhi change US monetary policy mein is pair par asar dal sakti hain. Agar US dollar Federal Reserve ke hawkish signals ki wajah se mazid strong hota hai, to NZD/USD par downward pressure asar انداز ho sakta hai.

Mukhtasir mein, NZD/USD pair abhi significant strength dikhata hai, jo ke New Zealand ke positive economic factors se supported hai, khaaskar commodity sectors mein. Traders ko is pair par closely nazar rakhni chahiye, aur kisi bhi potential breakout ko dekhna chahiye resistance levels ke upar, aur global economic events se waqif rehna chahiye jo price action ko influence kar sakte hain.

interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine
ko cross kiya, lekin price

Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aan hai

NZD/USD lagbhag 95 pips ka izafa dekh chuka hai, aur is waqt is ki position 0.6142 par hai. Jab time frame ka tajziya kiya jaye to nazar aata hai ke Friday ko NZD/USD ne apne qareebi resistance ko 0.6123 par break kar diya, jo ke is ke upward movement ka natija tha. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke abhi bhi aur zyada upar janay ka mauqa hai. Lekin, mera khayal hai ke upar janay se pehle, is currency pair ko ek correction ka samna hoga. H1 timeframe par ek doji candle pattern ka zahoor is baat ka ishara deta hai ke jald he ek reversal aa sakta hai, jo NZD/USD ko neeche le aaye. Sath hi, candle ab tak supply area ko break nahi kar paayi hai, is liye ye area retracement ke liye munasib hai. Agar NZD/USD neeche jata hai, to mera target 0.6055 par hoga. Jab Ichimoku indicator ka istimaal kar ke dekha jaye, to is waqt candle ki position ab bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai, jo ke bullish trend ko zahir karti hai. Lekin indicator ab girawat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Magar, resistance supply area mein price ko girne se roke ga. Sath hi, dono lines is waqt ek doosre ke upar hain. NZD/USD D1 chart par dekha jaye to recent trading sessions mein kaafi dynamic market structure nazar aata hai, jahan pair abhi tak 0.62375 ke qareeb hai. 0.61400 ke lows se start karte hue, price ne September ke beech mein bounce dekhaya, jo ke double-bottom liquidity zone se support ho rahi thi. Fair value gaps (FVGs) aur distribution liquidity (DLiq) zones ne market ke key reaction points ko identify karne mein madad di. Support level se rally ne price ko upar wali liquidity areas mein dhakel diya, aur 0.62000 level par ek key FVG short-term target ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Jaise hi price ne is level ko cross kiya, wo thodi consolidation ke baad liquidity zone ke qareeb 0.62400 par breach hui, jo ke strong bullish momentum ka ishara tha. Is breach ne pair ko higher distribution liquidity ka test karne par majboor kiya, jo 0.62550–0.62600 region mein key resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Is zone se ek sharp rejection aaya, jab

NZD/USD ke buyers ko thodi si stability faraham ki. Yeh upward momentum bullish journey ko 0.6200 zone ki taraf le jaane ki salahiyat rakhta hai, jo un logon ke liye umeed afza hai jo buy positions hold kar rahe hain. Haal hi ki price action yeh zahir karti hai ke market mazid mazboot ho raha hai, jo ke mazeed fayda dila sakta hai agar haalaat mazeed behtar rahe. Magar traders ko sirf technical indicators par bharosa nahi karna chahiye, balki is haftay NZD/USD pair se mutaliq news events par bhi ghair mamooli tawajjo deni chahiye. Market ko mutasir karne wali news events currency pairs ke rujhan par khasa asar daal sakti hain, aur NZD/USD ke hawalay se, aane wali economic data yaNew Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. News events par nazar rakh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur achanak market shifts ke risks ko kam kar sakte hain. 0.6200 zone ki taraf ka raasta umeed afza lagta to mojooda bullish momentum ko barhawa de sakti hai ya usay challenge kar sakti hai. Is liye, har trader ke liye zaroori hai ke wo weekly economic calendar par barabar nazar rakhain, khaaskar wo high-impact events jo market sentiment ko badal sakte hain. Koi bara news release ya koi achanak economic report market ke trajectory ko foran tabdeel kar sakti hai, is liye weekly calendar ka detail mein jaiza lena intehai zaroori hai. Respectfully, NZD/USD ka market iss haftay buyers ke haq mein rehne ka imkaan hai, agar external conditions mein koi drasti tabdeeli nahi hoti. Market sentiment filhal buying bias ke saath aligned hai, aur yeh outlook barqarar reh sakta hai, khaaskar agar New Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai

ne dobara upar chadhna shuru kiya jab candle 0.6044 par pohonchi. Is ka sabab ye tha ke candle ab tak RBS area ko 0.6040 par cross nahi kar payi thi. NZD/USD ne Tuesday ko apni rise ko barqarar rakha aur ye trend Friday tak chalta raha. Kul mila kar, NZD/USD lagbhag 95 pips ka izafa dekh chuka hai, aur is waqt is ki position 0.6142 par hai. Jab time frame ka tajziya kiya jaye to nazar aata hai ke Friday ko NZD/USD ne apne qareebi resistance ko 0.6123 par break kar diya, jo ke is ke upward movement ka natija tha. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke abhi bhi aur zyada upar janay ka mauqa hai. Lekin, mera khayal hai ke upar janay se pehle, is currency pair ko ek correction ka samna hoga. H1 timeframe par ek doji candle pattern ka zahoor is baat ka ishara deta hai ke jald he ek reversal aa sakta hai, jo NZD/USD ko neeche le aaye. Sath hi, candle ab tak supply area ko break nahi kar paayi hai, is liye ye area retracement ke liye munasib hai. Agar NZD/USD neeche jata hai, to mera target 0.6055 par hoga. Jab Ichimoku indicator ka istimaal kar ke dekha jaye, to is waqt candle ki position ab bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai, jo ke bullish trend ko zahir karti hai. Lekin indicator ab girawat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Magar, resistance supply area mein price ko girne se roke ga. Sath hi, dono lines is waqt ek doosre ke upar hain. NZD/USD D1 chart par dekha jaye to recent trading sessions mein kaafi dynamic market structure nazar aata hai, jahan pair abhi tak 0.62375 ke qareeb hai. 0.61400 ke lows se start karte hue, price ne September ke beech mein bounce dekhaya, jo ke double-bottom liquidity zone se support ho rahi thi. Fair value gaps (FVGs) aur distribution liquidity (DLiq) zones ne market ke key reaction points ko identify karne mein madad di. Support level se rally ne price ko upar wali liquidity areas mein dhakel diya, aur 0.62000 level par ek key FVG short-term target ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Jaise hi price ne is level ko cross kiya, wo thodi consolidation ke baad liquidity zone ke qareeb 0.62400 par breach hui, jo ke strong bullish momentum ka ishara tha. Is breach ne pair ko higher distribution liquidity ka test karne par majboor kiya, jo 0.62550–0.62600 region mein key resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Is zone se ek sharp rejection aaya, jab sellers ne is level ko aggressively defend kiya, aur price ko wapas 0.62200–0.62300 region ki taraf dhakel diya, jahan is waqt consolidation ho rahi hai

NZD/USD ka current trend bullish nazar aa raha hai, aur ek aham resistance level jo traders ko dekhna chahiye wo 0.61764 hai. Agar price is level se upar jata hai, toh agla bada target 0.62787 ho sakta hai. Ye price level khaas taur pe significant hai kyun ke ye ek higher resistance ko dikhata hai, jo current bullish move ka peak ban sakta hai. Agar ye resistance break hota hai, toh iska matlab hoga ke NZD/USD mein momentum gain ho raha hai, jo short-term aur long-term traders ke liye bohot aham implications rakhta hai.
0.62087 level tak pohanchna bullish momentum ki taqat ko confirm karega. Is point ke upar breakout na sirf uptrend ke continuation ka signal dega, balki ye broader trend shift ko bhi dikhayega jo bulls ke haq mein ho sakta hai. Traders bariki se dekhenge ke koi sustained strength ke indications milte hain ya nahi, kyun ke is se aage ke dino ya hafton mein aur upward movement aasakti hai. Agar 0.62087 ke upar breakout hota hai, toh ye market participants ki nayi interest ko janam dega jo strong confirmation ka intezaar kar rahe hain ke bullish reversal ho gaya hai.

Is potential rise ke peeche ek main driver New Zealand ki economy ka outlook aur Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke decisions hain. RBNZ ki monetary policy decisions NZD ki taqat mein bara role ada karengi. Haal hi mein RBNZ ke stance ke hawale se optimism dekha gaya hai, jahan central bank ne inflation ko manage karne aur economic growth ko stimulate karne ke liye steps liye hain. Agar favorable policy decision hota hai, jaise ke interest rates ko barqarar rakhna ya barhana, toh NZD aur mazid mazboot ho sakta hai, jo NZD/USD pair ke bullish outlook ko support karega.

Dusri taraf, U.S. Dollar (USD) ki relative weakness bhi NZD/USD ke liye bullish momentum ko support kar sakti hai. U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate hikes ke hawale se ehtiyaat se chal raha hai, aur inflation abhi bhi ek concern hai, magar aise signs hain ke Fed future mein zyada moderate approach le sakta hai. Agar USD aur soften hota hai, toh ye NZD ke liye aur bhi appreciation ka chance banayega, jo pair ko 0.62787 level ke qareeb le ja sakta ha

NZD/USD M15 chart

Aaj bohat si high impact news release hui hain jo market ko zyada crowded bana rahi hain. NZD/USD currency pair mein halka sa decline nazar aaya jab candle resistance ko 0.6163 ke price par breach karne mein naakam rahi. Abhi NZD/USD 0.6149 ke price par trade ho raha hai. H1 resistance jo 0.6163 par hai, iski strength ab test hogi. Agar yeh break ho jaye, toh NZD/USD mein izafa hone ka imkaan hai. Lekin agar breach nahi hota, toh NZD/USD aur bhi zyada upar jaa sakta hai. Upar di gayi analysis ke mutabiq, mujhe lagta hai ke NZD/USD upar jaye ga kyun ke candle position abhi bhi MA 100 line ke upar hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upward trend mein hai, jo aur ziada upward movement ke imkaanat ko support karta hai.

Agle kuch hafton mein, yeh pair kaafi volatile reh sakta hai, aur significant price movements expected hain, jinka asar RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data se hoga. Agar positive momentum barqarar rehti hai, toh yeh pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels, aur key moving averages ko shamil karta hai. Agar yeh resistance break ho jata hai, toh NZD/USD October 2019 ke low 0.6198 tak bhi jaa sakta hai.

Lekin, aaj ke liye meri prediction yeh hai ke NZD/USD pehle thoda giray ga kyun ke H1 support jo 0.6131 par hai, wo breach ho chuka hai. Support breach hone ka matlab hai ke NZD/USD aur zyada giray ga. Is liye, main yeh recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, wo pehle sell position kholain. Target ke liye aap nearest support ko 0.6060 par rakh sakte hain.

Sab ko shubba bakhair! Aaj ka market open hai lekin hum agle hafte ke liye naya trading plan bana sakte hain. Mere hisaab se, NZD/USD sharp decline karega aur support zone 0.6164 cross karega. NZD/USD market mein traders ke liye yeh bohat critical hai. Current trend shayad sellers ke liye favorable lag raha hai, lekin agar koi unexpected economic development hoti hai toh market sentiment jaldi se buyers ke haq mein jaa sakta hai. Jaise ke agar Federal Reserve koi achanak se announcement kare ya UK se unexpected economic data aaye, toh market sentiment mein jaldi reversal ho sakta hai. Is liye stop loss lagana bohot zaroori hai taake kisi bhi market reversal ke dauran traders loss mein na phans jayein.

Humay agle hafte ki news events ka analysis zaroor karna chahiye kyun ke NZD/USD market ke liye news data ki bohot ahmiyat hoti hai. News events kaafi influence karte hain currency prices ko, kyun ke yeh country ki economic health ke baray mein insights dete hain aur market sentiment ko shape karte hain.

NZD/USD currency pair ka mutaala karein, to dekhne mein aata hai ke kal ki koshish jo ke price ko neeche le jaane ki thi, kaafi kaamyaab rahi. Price mein ek khaas girawat hui, magar aaj phir se kuch growth nazar aa rahi hai. Kal ki ye girawat bhi us waqt market mein US dollar ke mazid mazboot hone ki wajah se hui thi. Agar hum wave structure ka analysis karein, to yeh ab bhi ek ascending (upar jaane wala) structure bana raha hai. MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line se upar hai. Lekin, MACD indicator par bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai - jo ke ek strong sell signal hai. CCI (Commodity Channel Index) indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche ja raha hai, aur is par bhi bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Kal ki candle ne poori tarah se pehle wali growing candle ko cover kar liya tha, jisse ek candlestick pattern bana - jo ke ek bearish engulfing kehlata hai. Yeh sell signals ka confirmation hai.
In sab ke ilawa, price ne ek khoobsurat ascending wedge banaya hai, jo ke decline ki ek shakal hai. Bhalay hi trend upar ja raha ho, lekin halat ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke aane wale waqt mein price ko phir se neeche dhaka diya ja sakta hai, aur yeh girawat un daily waves ke bottoms ke along banai gayi ascending line tak ja sakti hai. Aur jo raat mein growth dekhne ko mili hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhoti time frame par growth ke khatam hone ka intezar karna chahiye, sell formation ko dekhna chahiye, aur phir neeche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye.
Aaj 15:30 Moscow time par kaafi ahem news release hone wali hai,
NZD/USD pair ne halia trading sessions mein positive trajectory dikhai hai, jo zyada tar expectations ki wajah se hai ke Federal Reserve apni policy mein thodi dovish rahegi. Magar, upward momentum apni jagah pe mukammal nahi hai kyunke US aur New Zealand ke economic uncertainties in gains ko kum kar sakti hain. Market mein Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ke mutaliq baat chal rahi hai, jo ke 25 basis points se zyada ho sakta hai

fluctuate kar raha hai. Chart se lagta hai ke price apni current range se break out karne mein muskil ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke sharp market movements ke baad consolidation phase ko reflect karta hai. Mid-August se, is pair ne ek rally dekhi, jisme price 0.5900 se upar uth kar 0.6240 area tak gaya, jahan ek significant deep liquidity (DLiq) zone se resistance ka samna hua. Yeh resistance, 0.6240 ke aas paas kai liquidity levels ki wajah se, upside ko cap kar diya, aur ek temporary consolidation period shuru hua Is phase ke dauran, price action ne higher lows ka silsila dikhaya, jo ke ongoing buying interest ko zahir karta hai. Lekin, resistance ko break na kar pana ye dikhata hai ke sellers active ho gaye hain, ya to profit le rahe hain ya short positions le rahe hain. Late August mein jab price 0.6260 level tak pohancha, to ek prominent FVG aur doosra DLiq zone se mazeed resistance ka samna hua. Is level ke upar momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ne ek turning point ko zahir kiya, aur NZD/USD pair ne apni pehle wali gains ko retrace karna shuru kar diya. Jab price ne retrace kiya, to yeh 0.6140 level tak gira, liquidity gaps ko fill kiya aur previous support levels ko test kiya. August ke end tak, price 0.6140 aur 0.6240 ke darmiyan oscillate karta raha, ek range-bound structure banata raha. Is range ko upper aur lower bounds ke frequent tests ne define kiya, jisme price ko 0.6140 ke aas paas support mila, jo ke pehle ek DLiq zone tha jo resistance se support mein flip ho gaya. Lekin, 0.6240 ke upar move ko sustain na kar pana bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai, jisme sellers abhi bhi market pe dominate kar rahe hain September ke shuru mein, pair 0.6200 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo ek potential momentum shift ko zahir karta hai. Price action ne lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila banana shuru kiya, jo ek bearish trend ke development ko dikhata hai. Abhi ke waqt mein, NZD/USD pair 0.6184 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke consolidation ke baad market ko direction dhoondhne ki koshish dikhata hai. Chart pe multiple DLiq zones aur FVGs ki mojoodgi yeh zahir karti hai ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab tak market ek breakout ke liye catalyst ka intezaar kar raha hai NZD/USD ka 4-hour chart ek market ko dikhata hai jo tight range mein phansa hua hai, aur liquidity zones aur FVGs heavily price movements ko dictate kar rahe hain. Is se lagta hai ke market ek uncertain state mein hai, aur ek breakout ka