نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein Thursday ke subah Asian trade ke doran taqat hasil ki, aur 0.6280 ke qareeb apni sab se unchi level tak pohnch gaya jo January 4 ke baad ki sab se unchi level thi. Ye surging zyada tar Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke expectations aur ANZ Bank ke business outlook survey ki wajah se hui. New Zealand mein August mein business confidence ek das saal ki unchi level par pohnch gaya, ANZ ke business outlook gauge ke mutabiq. Overall confidence index 51.0 par pohnch gaya, jabke expected private activity ka gauge saat saal ki unchi level 37.0 par tha. ANZ Bank ki chief economist, Sharon Zollner, ne survey ko "a wave of optimism" kaha, jo New Zealand Dollar ko US Dollar ke muqablay mein barhawa mila. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke recent bayan ne jo Fed ke interest rates ko cut karne ke liye tayar hai, US Dollar ko kamzor kar diya. Minneapolis Fed Governor Neel Kashkari, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musallam, aur Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ne bhi kamzor labor market ki wajah se rate cut par zyada discussion ki baat ki hai. Ye dovish comments short term mein dollar par downward pressure daal sakti hain. Thursday ko US GDP growth ka doosra andaza bhi dekha jayega. Agar result zyada strong hota hai to US Dollar ko barhawa mil sakta hai aur NZD/USD pair ke upside ko limit kar sakta hai.

NZD/USD pair ne Wednesday ko saat mahine ke high par trade kiya, aur August mein apne upward trend ko continue kiya. Lekin 0.6250 area par kuch resistance nazar aati hai, jahan ye ek long-term downtrend line se intersect karta hai. Jabke technical indicators bullish hain, ye near term mein positive momentum ki kami ko bhi suggest karte hain. Stochastic overbought territory mein flat trade kar raha hai, aur RSI 70 ke overbought mark ke just neeche hai. Agar rally rukti hai aur sell-off mein tabdeel hoti hai, to NZD/USD pair shuru mein 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level jo June-August downtrend ka hai, 0.6141 ki taraf slide kar sakta hai. Agar ye break hota hai, to 61.8% Fibonacci level jo 0.6079 hai, potential target ban sakta hai. 200-day aur 20-day simple moving averages bhi kareeb hain, jo bears ke liye yahan se significant progress banana mushkil bana sakti hain.

Monday ko stable hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke tezi se girawat ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura performance hai. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya hai.
US Dollar index 100.00 ke upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wala hai. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte June 2023 se ek bura performance dekhne ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo US Dollar ki value ko doosri currencies ke sath tulna karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, jo ke in losses ka zyada hissa US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole ke bayan se hua. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, to markets agle November mein Fed ki meeting aur aage ke plans ke baare mein speculate kar sakte hain.

Monday ko economic calendar par Durable Goods Orders ke numbers ke aane ki wajah se concerns shuru ho sakte hain. Agar overall US data resilient rahe ya pace pick up kare, to iska kya matlab hoga Fed ke September mein rate cut ke commitment ke liye? Strong data ek "one-and-done" rate cut ka scenario laa sakti hai, jo markets ke liye ek cold shower ki tarah hoga.

NZD/USD apne range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai aur higher break ki tayari mein hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh bullish breakout confirm kar sakta hai. Aise move se pair 0.6400s tak pohnch sakta hai.

NZD/USD sideways range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur substantial gains ki ummeed hai. Pair ne temporary taur par August 20 ko apne range ke ceiling ko breach kiya jab yeh 0.6248 tak ucha gaya, magar phir tezi se neeche gir gaya aur bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick banaya. Iske baad sirf ek chhoti si weakness dekhne ko mili jo 0.6109 August 22 ke swing low tak gayi, magar pair ne recover karke August 23 ko range se phir se bahar nikala.

Monday ko stable hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke tezi se girawat ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura performance hai. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya hai.
US Dollar index 100.00 ke upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wala hai. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte June 2023 se ek bura performance dekhne ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo US Dollar ki value ko doosri currencies ke sath tulna karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, jo ke in losses ka zyada hissa US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole ke bayan se hua. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, to markets agle November mein Fed ki meeting aur aage ke plans ke baare mein speculate kar sakte hain.

Monday ko economic calendar par Durable Goods Orders ke numbers ke aane ki wajah se concerns shuru ho sakte hain. Agar overall US data resilient rahe ya pace pick up kare, to iska kya matlab hoga Fed ke September mein rate cut ke commitment ke liye? Strong data ek "one-and-done" rate cut ka scenario laa sakti hai, jo markets ke liye ek cold shower ki tarah hoga.

NZD/USD apne range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai aur higher break ki tayari mein hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh bullish breakout confirm kar sakta hai. Aise move se pair 0.6400s tak pohnch sakta hai.

NZD/USD sideways range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur substantial gains ki ummeed hai. Pair ne temporary taur par August 20 ko apne range ke ceiling ko breach kiya jab yeh 0.6248 tak ucha gaya, magar phir tezi se neeche gir gaya aur bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick banaya. Iske baad sirf ek chhoti si weakness dekhne ko mili jo 0.6109 August 22 ke swing low tak gayi, magar pair ne recover karke August 23 ko range se phir se bahar nikala.

AUD/USD pair ne kuch arse se aik range mein trade kiya hai, aur meri analysis is baat ki nishandahi karti hai ke yeh pair support level 0.65209 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh level historically ek mazboot base provide karta hai, jo ke take-profit targets set karne ke liye bohot ahem hai. Yeh strategy market ke existing downward trend ke continuation ke expect karne ke mutabiq hai. Lekin, market mein kisi bhi unexpected shift ki surat mein stop-loss mechanisms ko activate karna bohot zaroori hoga taake possible losses se bacha ja sake. Forex markets ki dynamic nature ka demand hota hai ke trader flexible rahe, aur naye resistance levels ko samajhna ek strong trading strategy ka important hissa hota hai. Agar resistance aajata hai, to 0.65379 level pe buy karna ek viable option ban sakta hai
Main buy karne ka soch raha hoon, lekin market correction ka intezar karunga. Jab channel ke lower limit, 0.60205 level, tak pohanch jaye, tab main yeh soch raha hoon ke kahan se buy karna hai. Main market ke against short trades mein enter nahi karna chahta, aur jab tak channel grow kar raha hai, iski zaroorat bhi nahi hai. Mere liye market mein enter karne ka sabse sahi tareeqa yeh hoga ke main channel ke lower limit se correction ke saath enter karoon. Aisa entry loss ko minimize karne mein madad karega agar koi false entry ho jaye, jisme har trader ko mushkil hoti hai. Upper limit 0.60438 level par determine ki jayegi, aur upper part of the channel ko determine karne ke baad, ek possible decline in the correction ka sochna worth hoga. Correction ki buniyad wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain.
Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak, jo 0.60465 hai, grow karoon. Peaks pe kaam karte hue, bull apni benchmark tak pohanchega, aur phir ek decline ho sakta hai. Main us decline ko pass kar dunga. Aur phir se decline se, main growth ke direction mein purchases dekh raha hoon.
NZD/USD ke liye crucial resistance level 0.6077 hai. Agar market price is 0.6077 resistance level ko break karta hai, to price upar ja sakti hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.6543 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bullish movement ko resistance sector 0.7123 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, NZD/USD ke liye crucial support level 0.5984 hai. Agar market price yahan se neeche jata hai aur 0.5984 support level ko cross karta hai, to market price aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur market neeche ja sakta hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.5909 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bearish movement ko support sector 0.5545 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Larger time frame aksar forex market ke baare mein sahi signals predict karta hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke is haftay NZD/USD ka market price 0.5984 zone ko cross karega. Yeh baad mein ek continuation pattern bhi create kar sakta hai.

Euro ne August main apni doosri sabse unchi satah hasil ki hai, jise sarmaayakaro ke darmiyan aam taur par optimistic jazbaat ka asar hai. Federal Reserve ka qareebi rujhan, jo zyada supportive lagta hai, ne yeh umeed barha di hai ke interest rates mein izafa ab khatam honay wala hai. Is badalte huye rujhan ne bazaar ka risk appetite kaafi barha diya hai. Zhishang Institute ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 18 September ko rate cut ke chances qareeban teen mein se ek hain. Federal Reserve ke afsaraan ne khud bhi is baat ka izhar kiya hai ke 25 basis point tak ki rate reduction ho sakti hai. Jackson Hole Economic Symposium main Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne tasleem kiya ke central bank ab apne benchmark interest rate ko kam karne par ghor kar raha hai.
Agle hafte ke economic data mein ziada ahmiyat nahi hogi, magar European Union aur United States ke inflation data ko qareebi se dekha jaye ga. US GDP growth ka data jo ke Thursday ko anay wala hai, bazaar ke jazbaat ko hilaa sakta hai, magar traders ki tawajju Friday ko aane wale dual inflation reports par hi rahe gi.

European Union ka preliminary inflation data (HICP) agle Jumme ko expected hai. United States main personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation index ke Fed ke target level par qaim rehne ki umeed hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke inflation pressures kam ho rahe hain. Kuch challenges ke bawajood, Euro ne Friday ko naya high hasil kiya, aur 1.1300 ke area ko test kiya. Trading sentiment mein kuch ikhtilaf ke bawajood, overall price trend upward hai, jo darshata hai ke Euro mazid taqat pakar raha hai. US dollar ka recent rebound apni 200-day moving average low se Euro ko mazeed support de raha hai. Euro-to-dollar exchange rate barh rahi hai, aur agar price 1.1300 ke upar convincing break kar leti hai, to bullish sentiment mazeed barh sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko maintain karne mein nakam hoti hai, to

NZD/USD Trading Strategy: Ichimoku Cloud aur Indicator Signals

NZD/USD currency pair ke liye trading mein, Ichimoku Cloud market ke halaat ke bare mein aham malumat deta hai. Cloud ki structure, jahan Senkou Span B 0.61092 par hai aur Senkou Span A 0.61417 par, support aur resistance ke aham level batate hain. Is waqt market price 0.61560 par hai, jo ke cloud ke upar hai. Yeh position yeh indicate karti hai ke cloud ek support level ke taur par kaam kar raha hai.

**Ichimoku Cloud Analysis**

Ichimoku Cloud ek mukammal indicator hai jo support aur resistance levels ko identify karne ke saath-saath trend ko bhi samajhne mein madad karta hai. Jab market price cloud ke upar hoti hai, toh aam tor par yeh bullish trend ka izhar karti hai, aur cloud ek support zone ke taur par kaam karta hai. Iss case mein, NZD/USD price cloud ke upar hai jo ke yeh batata hai ke market ek uptrend mein ho sakta hai aur cloud support kar raha hai.

Lekin bullish indication ke bawajood, Ichimoku system ke andar ek conflicting sell signal bhi hai. Yeh signal Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke cross hone se aata hai. Tenkan-sen, jo ke abhi 0.61512 par hai, Kijun-sen ke neeche cross kar gaya hai jo ke 0.61519 par hai. Yeh crossover aam tor par ek bearish signal hota hai, jo ke price mein girawat ke imkaan ko zahi karta hai.

Ichimoku Cloud ki support aur bearish crossover signal ke darmiyan is conflict ko resolve karne ke liye mazeed indicators ko shamil karna faidemand hota hai. Stochastic oscillator mazeed tasdeeq de sakta hai. Agar Stochastic upper region mein hai (80 se upar), toh yeh overbought conditions ka signal de sakta hai aur selling opportunity ka izhar kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar Stochastic lower region mein hai (20 se neeche), toh yeh oversold conditions ko zahi kar sakta hai, jo buying signal ko support karta hai.

Recommendation

Maujooda mixed signals ke madde nazar, trading faisla karne se pehle saaf market direction ka intezar karna samajhdari hogi. Kisi faisla kun move ke liye nazar rakhein, jaise ke cloud ke through break ya Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines mein aham tabdeeli. Cloud ka break support level ki taqat ko tasdeeq kar sakta hai, jabke Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines mein tabdeeli trend mein tabdeeli ko signal kar sakti hai.

NZD/USD pair ek complex trading scenario pesh karta hai. Ichimoku Cloud support indicate karta hai jab current price uske upar hai, jo ke bullish outlook ka izhar karta hai. Lekin, Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke bearish crossover se potential sell signal milta hai. Achi trading decision lene ke liye, Stochastic indicator ko mazeed tasdeeq ke liye istemal karen. Agar Stochastic overbought conditions show karta hai, toh yeh bechne ka waqt ho sakta hai; agar yeh oversold conditions dikhata hai, toh yeh khareedari ko support kar sakta hai.




Is environment mein, sabr zaroori hai. Kisi wazeh market signal ka intezar karen, chahe woh cloud ka ek definitve break ho ya Ichimoku lines mein ek confirmed shift, trade execute karne se pehle. Yeh approach aapke trading decisions ko mazeed mazboot analysis par mabni karegi, jis se kamyab trades ke imkaanat barh sakte hain.

NZD/USD Currency Pair Trend Ka Tajziya

NZD/USD currency pair is waqt ek downward trend dikha rahi hai, jaisa ke TMA (Triangular Moving Average) indicator ke red slope se zahir hota hai. Yeh observation un traders ke liye bohot aham hai jo market ki dynamics ko samajhna chahte hain aur soch samajh kar trading decisions lena chahte hain.

TMA indicator ka red slope wazeh tor par yeh signal deta hai ke is waqt market ki direction neeche ki taraf hai. Yeh trend TMA indicator par channel ki red inclination se nazar aata hai. Traders aam tor par aise indicators par bharosa karte hain taake woh overall market sentiment ko samajh saken aur future price movements ke bare mein andaza laga saken.

Doosri taraf, MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator zero line ke upar hai aur green rang mein hai. MACD ek mashhoor tool hai jo kisi stock ki price mein trend ki taqat, direction, momentum, aur muddat mein tabdeelion ko identify karne ke liye istemal hota hai. Jab MACD zero line ke upar hota hai aur green rang dikhata hai, toh aam tor par yeh bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Lekin is case mein, MACD ka green rang TMA indicator se zahir hone wale downward trend se mutazad lagta hai.

Iske ilawa, OsMA (Oscillator of Moving Average) indicator dikhata hai ke pink line blue line ke upar hai. OsMA MACD aur iske signal line ke darmiyan farq ko maapne ke liye istemal hota hai, jo traders ko yeh samajhne mein madad deta hai ke mojuoda price trend mein tezi aayi hai ya ahista hua hai. Pink line ka blue line ke upar hona aam tor par yeh zahir karta hai ke mojuoda momentum positive hai, jo ek bullish sign ho sakta hai.

Indicators ke darmiyan yeh discrepancy traders ke liye ek mushkil soorat-e-haal pesh karti hai. TMA ek bearish trend zahir karta hai, jabke MACD aur OsMA bullish signals dikha rahe hain. Yeh divergence indicators ke darmiyan uljhan peda kar sakta hai, jis se sab se sahi trading strategy ka tayyun karna mushkil ho jata hai.

Maujooda soorat-e-haal ke madde nazar, jahan trading indicators mutabiqat mein nahi hain, traders ke liye zaroori hai ke woh kisi trade mein ghusne se pehle confirmation ka intezar karen. Traders ko yeh dekhna chahiye ke confirming indicators se aise signals mil rahe hain jo primary trend direction ke saath aligned hain. Confirmation mazeed technical signals ya kisi ek primary indicator se wazeh indication ki shakal mein aa sakta hai jo ke main trend ko support karta ho.

Trading mein, confirmation ek aham kirdar ada karta hai soch samajh kar faislay lene ke liye. Baghair confirmation ke, traders ke liye yeh khatra hota hai ke woh conflicting signals par trades karen, jo potential losses ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is liye, yeh salahiyat di jaati hai ke kisi bhi trading move karne se pehle TMA se zahir hone wale primary downward trend ko support karte hue ek clear signal ka intezar kiya jaye.




Kul mila kar, jabke TMA indicator ek downward trend zahir karta hai, MACD aur OsMA indicators is waqt bullish signals dikha rahe hain. Yeh inconsistency yeh wazeh karti hai ke mazeed indicators ya signals se confirmation lena kitna zaroori hai jo ke overall market trend ke saath aligned ho. Sirf ek confirmed trend direction ke sath hi traders ko apne trading decisions ko aage barhana chahiye.

US Dollar Index aur NZD/USD ki Halat par Roman Urdu Mein Tajziya

Budh ke din ke pehle aadhe hisse mein recovery ki koshish ke baad, US Dollar Index American session mein neeche ki taraf gya aur chauthay din bhi negative territory mein band hua. Jumeerat ke din European trading hours ke dauran, Germany aur Euro area ke liye August ke preliminary HCOB Manufacturing aur Services PMI data, aur saath hi S&P Global/CIPS PMI figures ko market ke participants ghoor se dekhenge. Din ke aakhri hisse mein, weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Existing Home Sales, aur S&P Global PMI data bhi US ke economic docket mein shamil honge.

NZD/USD pair iss waqt ascending channel pattern ke upper boundary ke andar hai. 14-day RSI 70 ke level ke kareeb pohanch gaya hai, jo ke ek potential correction ka izhaar karta hai.

9-day EMA 0.6092 par hai jo ke pair ke liye immediate support ke taur par nazar aa raha hai.

NZD/USD ne apni winning streak ko paanchwin lagataar session tak jaari rakha hai aur Jumeerat ko European hours ke dauran kareeb 0.6160 par trade kar raha hai. Daily chart ke analysis se yeh pata chalta hai ke pair ascending channel ke upper boundary ke andar upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ko reinforce kar raha hai.

Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) thora sa 70 level ke neeche hai, jo ke bullish sentiment ki tasdeeq karta hai. Aagey ki movement se yeh pata chalega ke currency pair overbought hai aur short term mein ek potential correction aa sakta hai.

9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) abhi 50-day EMA se upar hai, jo yeh batata hai ke NZD/USD pair short term mein upward momentum ka samna kar raha hai aur barh raha hai.

Agar hum upar ki taraf dekhein, toh NZD/USD pair ko ascending channel ki upper boundary ke aas paas, jo ke 0.6190 par hai, immediate resistance mil sakta hai. Agar yeh level break ho jaye, toh pair Wednesday ko mark kiye gaye do maheenay ke high 0.6247 level ko test kar sakta hai.

Support ki baat ki jaye toh, 9-day EMA 0.6092 par immediate support ke taur par nazar aa raha hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, toh yeh bullish bias ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur NZD/USD pair 50-day EMA ko 0.6045 level par test karne ke liye majboor ho sakta hai, jise ascending channel ki lower boundary 0.6030 par follow karti hai.




Agar yeh level bhi breach ho jaye, toh ek bearish sentiment saamne aa sakta hai, jo NZD/USD pair par dabao daal sakta hai ke woh 0.5850 ke level par "throwback support" ke aas paas ki region mein navigate kare.

American session khulne se pehle, NZD/USD market abhi bhi daily open aur kareebi support level ke darmiyan utar chadhav karta nazar aa raha hai. Market aaj 0.6242 par open hui, aur support level 0.6220 par hai, jab ke kareebi resistance 0.6262 par mapped hai. Monday se le kar ab tak, is pair ki price movement choti choti candlesticks mein dikhai de rahi hai. Upward trend kal se phir se ubharne laga hai, jab ke is se pehle ke din thodi correction hui thi. High bhi pehle se zyada level par hua. Shuru mein ye andaza tha ke price correction ko jari rakhegi, lekin Asian session se buyers ki maang barqarar nazar aai.

Price ne zinda rehne ki koshish ki aur dheere dheere positive move karti gayi. Weekly open jo ke 0.6217 par tha, usko breakout kar ke price aur ooper chali gayi. Buyers ki push ne price ko 0.6249 tak support kiya, uske baad price limited range mein move karne lagi. Kal ke trading conditions ko dekh kar lagta hai ke rally ka chance abhi bhi open hai, lekin is waqt price Wednesday ke daily open se neeche hai. H1 timeframe par price movements ko dekh kar yeh nazar aaya ke Thursday ki trading session ne downward correction se start kiya, lekin Tuesday ko buyers ki influence ne candlestick ko upar push kiya, lekin zyada nahi. Pichle week ki trading session mein market trend bullish hi tha, aur aaj ke market conditions ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke NZD/USD ka major trend abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai.

Indicators ki development ko dekhne par, Relative Strength Index (14) ka Lime Line dobara se level 70 ke kareeb pohanch gaya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke shuruat mein jo thoda sa increase hua, woh phir se continue ho sakta hai. MACD indicator ke histogram bars abhi bhi zero level ke ooper hai, lekin Monday ki downward correction ki wajah se size thoda chhota ho gaya hai. Is week price upar ki taraf move hui hai aur candlestick ka position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke ooper ki taraf badh raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot banata hai.

Aaj, main NZD/USD currency pair ke price movement ka tajziya karunga Triangular Moving Average (TMA) channel indicator ke istemal se, jo moving average analysis ki buniyad par insights faraham karta hai. Is waqt, TMA channel upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jo is baat ka signal deta hai ke buyers market mein dominate kar rahe hain aur sellers ke muqablay mein zyada taqatwar momentum dikha rahe hain. TMA channel ke andar yeh upward trend prevailing bullish sentiment ko reflect karta hai.

Haal hi mein kuch downward corrective movements nazar aaye hain, jo ke kisi bhi trending market mein ek fitri cheez hai, magar overall bullish forces ab bhi mazboot hain. Yeh corrections aam hain aur aksar buyers ke liye market mein mazeed munasib qeematon par wapas aane ke mauqay pesh karte hain. Bullish trend ki mazbooti yeh zahir karti hai ke yeh corrections arzi hain aur kisi wazeh reversal ki taraf ishaara nahi karte.

TMA channel is mawaqe mein khas tor par mufeed hai kyun ke yeh price fluctuations ko smooth karta hai, jo underlying trend ki ek wazeh tasveer pesh karta hai. Channel ka upward slant is baat ki tasdeeq karta hai ke market mazeed gains ki taraf jhuk rahi hai, aur bulls tab tak control mein rahne ke imkaan hain jab tak ke price channel ki hadood ke andar rahe. Traders dips par buying opportunities dekh sakte hain jo ke TMA channel ke lower edge ki taraf ho, jahan price aksar support dhoondti hai, uske baad apni upward trajectory ko dobara shuru karne se pehle.

Lekin, kisi bhi momentum shift ki nishaniyon par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Agar price TMA channel ki lower boundary se neeche break kar jaye, toh yeh bullish trend ki kamzori aur bearish phase ki taraf move hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Jab tak aisa breakdown nahi hota, upward momentum barqarar rahega.




Kul mila kar, NZD/USD pair ki TMA channel analysis yeh suggest karti hai ke bullish trend ab bhi moujood hai, aur buyers ka upper hand hai. Choti moti corrections ki umeed hai, lekin overall market sentiment New Zealand dollar ki U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein mazeed izafa ki taraf jhuk rahi hai. Traders ko TMA channel par kisi bhi trend reversal ki nishaniyon ke liye nazar rakhni chahiye, lekin abhi ke liye, outlook positive hi nazar aa raha hai.

NZD/USD pair ki review karne par yeh wazeh hota hai ke price 0.6050 level ke upar mazbooti se qaim hone mein mushkilat ka saamna kar rahi hai, kyun ke recent mein yeh thoda neeche gir gayi hai. Is se yeh signal milta hai ke bullish momentum jo price ko aur ooper push karne ke liye zaroori hai, wo filhaal kami hai. Market dynamics ko behtar samajhne ke liye mein weekly timeframe par focus kar raha hoon, jo ke longer-term trends aur potential support ya resistance areas ko wazeh karne mein madad karta hai.

Is waqt, price narrow range mein oscillate kar rahi hai, jo ke moving averages (MA) aur middle Bollinger Band se defined hai. Price 0.6046/03 area ke kareeb hover kar rahi hai, jo ke consolidation ki period ko zahir karta hai. Yeh range dikhati hai ke market abhi wait-and-see mode mein hai, jahan na toh bulls aur na hi bears faisal kun faida haasil kar pa rahe hain. Moving averages aur middle Bollinger Band aam tor par dynamic support aur resistance levels ki tarah kaam karte hain, aur price ki is range mein mojooda position traders mein indecision ko zahir kar sakti hai.

Is context mein, 0.6046/03 area ko monitor karna bohat zaroori hai, kyun ke is range ke ooper ya neeche break signal kar sakta hai ke NZD/USD pair ka agla significant move kya hoga. Agar price 0.6050 level ke ooper break karke hold karne mein kamyab ho jati hai, toh yeh bullish momentum ki resurgence ko zahir kar sakti hai, jo ke higher resistance levels ko target karne ka sabab ban sakti hai. Iske baraks, agar price gir kar 0.6046/03 range ke lower bound ke neeche break karti hai, toh yeh aur downside ke liye raasta khol sakti hai, jahan aglay support levels focus mein aayenge.

Mukhtasir mein, NZD/USD pair filhaal consolidation phase mein hai, jahan price key moving averages aur middle Bollinger Band ke darmiyan weekly timeframe par phansi hui hai. 0.6046/03 ke ird-gird area critical hai, kyun ke is range se faisal kun move pair ki aglay direction ko tay kar sakta hai. Traders ko potential breakouts ya breakdowns ke liye dekhna chahiye, kyun ke yeh future trend aur trading opportunities ke bare mein clues de sakte hain.

kai saalon ke range ke andar hai. July ke aakhir se yeh steadily apne range ke andar neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, jo kay ceiling ke aas paas 105 se shuru ho kar, 100 ke range floor tak ja raha hai. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai, aur koi mazboot bullish reversal pattern nazar nahi aa raha, na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mazeed neeche jaane ka khatra hai. Agar yeh south ki taraf jaari rehta hai, toh DXY mumkin hai ke apne agle support level 99.57 tak pahunch jaye, jo kay July 2023 ka low hai. Yeh is range ka sab se neecha floor hai — is level ke neeche ek faisla kun break hona bohot hi bearish sign hoga.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator abhi daily aur weekly chart (jo dikhaya nahi gaya) dono par oversold zone mein hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara karta hai ke prices downside par bohot zyada extend ho chuki hain aur ek pull back hone ka zyada risk hai. Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi nikla hai, jo kay ek buy signal ke liye zaroori shart hoti hai. Filhaal, RSI ke oversold hone ka matlab sirf yeh hai ke bears ko apni short positions mein izafa nahi karna chahiye. Pura ulta hone ke liye, RSI ko oversold se upar nikalna zaroori hoga.

100 ka level bohot important hai. Yeh sirf ek psychological level nahi hai, balki ek major historical support level bhi hai jo kay 2023 se ab tak teen martaba girti hui prices ko safety net provide kar chuka hai (neeche daaira mein dikhaya gaya hai). Sawal yeh hai, kya is martaba bhi 100 phir se madad ko aayega?

NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne bahaar ke mausam mein shuru ki thi. August 20 ke high ke upar ek break ek higher high banayegi aur range se breakout ko confirm karegi. Aisi move se ummeed ki jaa sakti hai ke substantial upside follow-through hoga.

NZD/USD bar bar apne sideways range ki ceiling ko knock kar raha hai jo springtime se establish hui hai. August 20 ke high ke upar break hone par ek upside breakout ki tasdeeq hogi jiske baad zabardast gains ki umeed ki jaa sakti hai. Yeh pair temporarily range ki ceiling ko August 20 ko breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak chala gaya, lekin phir jaldi se neeche gir gaya aur is dauran ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bhi banayi. Iske baad ek red down candle bani jo yeh dikhata tha ke near-term mein mazeed weakness hogi, lekin pair

US Dollar Index (DXY) ek medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai, jo kai saalon se chala aa raha hai. Late July se ye steady taur par down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY agle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai
Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega
NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pair kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai
Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target deta hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) breach hota hai, toh yeh range ka sideways trend dobara confirm karega. Iske baad pair phir se range floor ke aas paas, jo 0.5850 hai, move kar sakta hai

/USD market ki latest situation mein buyer ka control hi chal raha hai, aur aisa lagta hai ke wo price ko steadily upar push karna chahte hain. Mere observation ke mutabiq, buyer control ne price ko 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar le jaane mein kamiyabi hasil ki hai. Agar aap week ke shuruat ke trading situation ko monitor karein to lagta hai seller ne market ko control karne ki koshish ki taake price ko 0.5845 position tak le jayein. Lekin Tuesday ke baad downward trend continue nahi ho sakta, aur price upar dikhai diya. Ab tak price 0.6028 area tak bullish chal rahi hai, aur aisa lagta hai ke market mein ab bhi bullish trend ki journey ke liye chance hai. 4-hour time frame chart se monitor karte hue lagta hai ke buyer ka control abhi bhi dominant hai. Candlestick ko 0.6068 zone ki taraf raise karne ki koshish abhi bhi dikhai de rahi hai. Abhi ke candlestick position ne 100-period simple moving average zone ko cross kar liya hai, jo market ko agla moka de sakta hai ke wo bullish side par continue kare. Personal tor par, main umeed karta hoon ke market apni Uptrend journey ko continue kare, taake main Buy option par concentrate kar sakoon jo technical analysis ke results ke mutabiq hai. NZDUSD, yeh pair green resistance 0.5968 - 0.5976 ko tor kar usay support yaani RBS mein tabdeel karne mein kamiyab raha. Breakout process mein ek baray aur solid bullish engulfing candle ka nashur hua, is liye yeh izafa baray volume se support hota hai. Aakhri chand ghanton mein 0.6028 ke minor resistance par rejection dekha gaya hai aur kuch pinbar candles banayi gayi hain, jo ke is baat ki mazboot indication hai ke qeemat green RBS level ko retest karne ke liye gir sakti hai. Ab mein dekhunga ke qeemat kaise react karti hai, agar ek mazboot bullish rejection aata hai, to yeh ek strong buy signal hoga, aur NZ central bank ke cash rate ke announcement ke bawajood, yeh lagta hai ke qeemat soar karegi agar yeh green RBS level ke upar rehne mein kamiyab hoti hai. Economic aur technical data ke support ke sath, aglay

agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pair kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai
Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega,