نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

NZD/USD currency pair main recently kuch interesting movements dekhne ko mili hain. Jaise ke anticipate kiya gaya tha, support level 0.5865 par bohot acchi tarah perform kiya hai, aur yeh level ek mazboot support point sabit hua hai. Yeh important hai ke hum samjhein ke yeh future movements ke liye kya imply karta hai. Is waqt, NZD/USD pair is support level ke aas paas notable activity show kar raha hai. Historical context aur recent trends ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke hum ek significant upward movement ke qareeb hain. Khaas tor par, yeh bohot zyada mumkin hai ke price resistance zone, jo ke 0.6350 se 0.6390 ke darmiyan hai, ko break karay aur is threshold ke upar consolidate karay. Agar NZD/USD pair successfully is resistance zone ko break karke upar consolidate karne main kamiyab ho jata hai, to yeh ek sustained upward trend ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Aise scenario main, hum 600 points tak ke additional rise ki umeed kar sakte hain, jo ke current levels se ek notable shift hoga. Yeh potential rise current market dynamics aur technical indicators ke zariye support kiya gaya hai. NZD/USD pair ki ability ke woh apni position key resistance level ke upar maintain kar sake, bohot crucial hogi. Agar yeh achieve ho jata hai, to market ek bullish trend ke continuation ko dekh sakta hai, aur yeh gains initial forecast se bhi zyada extend ho sakti hain. Agar hum current analysis ko dekhein, Moving Average (MA) jese technical indicators ka role bohot important hai traders ko informed decisions lene main madad dene ke liye. Is tool ka use karke trends ko detect karna aur un par trading decisions lena bohot asan ho jata hai. Hamari current analysis ke mutabiq, moving average signal karta hai ke market upward trajectory main hai. Isliye, meri recommendation yeh hai ke buying position maintain ki jaye ya trading language main kahen to upward movement ke liye position bana kar rakhi jaye

GBP/USD currency pair ne kal ki trading session mein ek significant bullish movement dikhayi. Is movement ka ek important indication woh crossover hai jo Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 50 aur EMA 100 ke darmiyan hua, jo trend mein bearish se bullish ki taraf tabdili ko zahir karta hai. Iske ilawa, pair ne important resistance level 1.28123 ko bhi tod diya, jo pehle price movement ki upper limit ka kaam karta tha. Yeh breakout yeh indicate karta hai ke buying pressure kafi mazboot hai jo ke price ko us level se paar push karne mein kamyab hua, aur ab yeh naya support banne ki potential rakhta hai. Aise significant resistance levels se breakouts aksar isi direction mein mazboot movements ke saath hotay hain, is case mein yeh bullish direction mein ho raha hai.

Filhal, GBP/USD apne latest high 1.287266 ke aas paas stuck hai, aur correction ke signs dikhana shuru kar diya hai. Yeh correction price movement ka ek natural hissa hai, jahan market aksar recently torey gaye support ya resistance levels ko retest karta hai, is se pehle ke woh main trend ke direction mein movement continue kare. Is context mein, yeh correction market mein calculated risks ke saath entry karne ka mauqa mana jaa sakta hai. Trading strategies ke liye yeh recommend kiya jata hai ke mazeed correction ka intezar kiya jaye aur dekha jaye ke price important levels ke aas paas kaisa behave karta hai. Agar price correct karta hai aur ek higher low banata hai, toh yeh aksar EMA 50 ya phir 1.28123 ke level ke aas paas hoga.




Aage chal kar, shayad GBP/USD ka main focus dobara 1.30 ke important area ko reach karne par hoga, lekin iske liye USD ki mazeed weakening ki zarurat hogi. Is soorat mein, mujhe shayad 1.290 area ke aas paas sell limit ka faida uthane ke liye phir se sell karne mein zyada dilchaspi hogi ya phir main dobara sell karunga agar GBP/USD pair mid BB ke niche se phir se penetrate kar paya, chahe price aur mid BB ke darmiyan abhi bhi distance door hi kyun na ho. Waisay SL ke liye, shayad main 1.295 ka faida uthane ki koshish karunga aur TP ke liye main 1.275 area ko chase karne ki koshish karunga, lekin abhi mujhe maloom nahi ke yeh is hafte ho bhi payega ya nahi.

NZD-USD Pair Forecast

Maine H4 timeframe chart par price movements ko monitor karne ki koshish ki, aur asal mein Monday ki trading session ke liye market downward correction movement se shuru hota hua nazar aaya, lekin Tuesday ko buyers ka asar mehsoos kiya gaya jinhon ne candlestick ko upar dhakelne mein kamyabi hasil ki, halan ke woh zyada nahi tha. Pehle ke hafte ki trading session mein market trend abhi bhi bullish trend ki direction mein hi tha, aur abhi ke market conditions ke saath iska matlab hai ke EURGBP currency pair ka trend apne major trend ke mutabiq abhi bhi upar ki taraf move kar raha hai.

Indicators ke istemal ke hawale se dekhein toh Relative Strength Index (14) indicator par Lime Line waqayi level 70 ke kareeb phir se upar gayi hai, jo dikhata hai ke hafte ke shuru mein hui slight increase aage bhi continue ho sakti hai. MACD indicator ki histogram bar abhi bhi zero level se upar aram se move kar rahi hai, iska size thoda chhota hai Monday ke downward correction ke sabab se. Is hafte price upar move kar chuki hai aur candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke bhi upar hai.

Natija:

Market analysis ke results jo ke kaayi indicators se zahir ho rahe hain, woh dikhate hain ke NZDUSD currency pair ki price mein bullish trend ki taraf move karne ka abhi bhi potential hai. Khususan, agar hum H4 timeframe ko dekhein, toh price abhi bhi yeh potential rakhti hai ke woh yellow Simple 60 indicator ko break kare, is liye mumkin hai ke agle dinon mein candlestick movement dobara upar ki taraf ho sakti hai.




Market ki jo conditions hain woh abhi bhi bullish hain badi trend mein, toh ek kaafi potential choice yeh hai ke hum BUY trade karein initial target 0.6288 ke range mein. Shayad price hafte ke aakhir tak aur bhi upar move kar sake kyun ke buyers ka asar abhi bhi dominant hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY) aur NZD/USD ke Market Mein Tahqiq

US Dollar Index (DXY) filhaal ek beech ki aur lambi muddat ke sideways trend mein hai, jo kay kai saalon ke range ke andar hai. July ke aakhir se yeh steadily apne range ke andar neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, jo kay ceiling ke aas paas 105 se shuru ho kar, 100 ke range floor tak ja raha hai. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai, aur koi mazboot bullish reversal pattern nazar nahi aa raha, na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mazeed neeche jaane ka khatra hai. Agar yeh south ki taraf jaari rehta hai, toh DXY mumkin hai ke apne agle support level 99.57 tak pahunch jaye, jo kay July 2023 ka low hai. Yeh is range ka sab se neecha floor hai — is level ke neeche ek faisla kun break hona bohot hi bearish sign hoga.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator abhi daily aur weekly chart (jo dikhaya nahi gaya) dono par oversold zone mein hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara karta hai ke prices downside par bohot zyada extend ho chuki hain aur ek pull back hone ka zyada risk hai. Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi nikla hai, jo kay ek buy signal ke liye zaroori shart hoti hai. Filhaal, RSI ke oversold hone ka matlab sirf yeh hai ke bears ko apni short positions mein izafa nahi karna chahiye. Pura ulta hone ke liye, RSI ko oversold se upar nikalna zaroori hoga.

100 ka level bohot important hai. Yeh sirf ek psychological level nahi hai, balki ek major historical support level bhi hai jo kay 2023 se ab tak teen martaba girti hui prices ko safety net provide kar chuka hai (neeche daaira mein dikhaya gaya hai). Sawal yeh hai, kya is martaba bhi 100 phir se madad ko aayega?

NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne bahaar ke mausam mein shuru ki thi. August 20 ke high ke upar ek break ek higher high banayegi aur range se breakout ko confirm karegi. Aisi move se ummeed ki jaa sakti hai ke substantial upside follow-through hoga.

NZD/USD bar bar apne sideways range ki ceiling ko knock kar raha hai jo springtime se establish hui hai. August 20 ke high ke upar break hone par ek upside breakout ki tasdeeq hogi jiske baad zabardast gains ki umeed ki jaa sakti hai. Yeh pair temporarily range ki ceiling ko August 20 ko breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak chala gaya, lekin phir jaldi se neeche gir gaya aur is dauran ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bhi banayi. Iske baad ek red down candle bani jo yeh dikhata tha ke near-term mein mazeed weakness hogi, lekin pair sirf kuch points neeche aaya 0.6109 August 22 ke swing low tak.

NZD/USD tab se recover kar chuka hai aur abhi bhi range ceiling ko test kar raha hai.

Agar 0.6248 August 20 ke high ke upar break hota hai, toh yeh range ke confines se ek faisla kun breakout ka signal hoga. Aisi move ek upside target ko activate karegi, jo ke range ki height ke 0.618 ratio ko lekar aur usko extrapolate karke upar ki taraf calculate ki jaayegi. Yeh ek upside target degi 0.6448 (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 par hai (December 2023 high).




Aisi move se mumkin hai ke short-term trend sideways se bullish mein tabdeel ho jaye.

Lekin agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 low) ke neeche break hota hai, toh sideways trend phir se intact confirm hoga. Yeh pair ko mumkin hai ke wapas range floor ke aas paas 0.5850 ki taraf neeche le aaye.

US Dollar aur NZD/USD ka Market Mein Tajziya

US Dollar ne is hafta ke aaghaz mein apne aap ko sambhala hai, pichlay hafta ke 1.76% ki tezi se girnay ke baad, jo kay aik saal se zyada arsay mein sab se badtar thi. Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne apne Jackson Hole ki speech mein September mein interest rate cut ka wada kiya. Is waqt US Dollar Index 100.00 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jab ke is hafta kuch aham US data aane wale hain.

US Dollar (USD) abhi Monday ko lagbhag flat trade kar raha hai, pichlay hafta ke aik saal mein sab se badtar weekly performance ke baad. US Dollar Index, jo ke US Dollar ki qeemat ko dusri currencies ke mukablay mein tolta hai, pichlay hafta 1.75% gir gaya, aur yeh girawat Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole mein diye gaye bayan se hui. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka wada kar liya hai, toh markets yeh sochna shuru kar sakte hain ke is ka November ke Fed ke meeting aur mazeed aagey kya matlab hoga.

Pehli cheez jo Monday ko tashweesh ka sabab ban sakti hai wo hai economic calendar mein durable goods orders ke data ka ana. Agar US ka overall data mazboot rehta hai ya mazeed tez hota hai, toh iska matlab Fed ke September mein rate cut ke irade ke liye kya hoga? Majboot data ek aisa manzar pesh kar sakta hai jahan ek hi dafa cut ho, jo ke market ke liye ek bohot thanda shower hoga.

NZD/USD ka Tajziya

NZD/USD is waqt apni range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai aur buland hone ke liye taiyar hai. August 20 ke high ke upar ek move, bullish breakout ko confirm karegi. Aisi move se NZD/USD pair ke 0.6400s tak pahunchne ke imkaanaat hain.

NZD/USD bar bar apni sideways range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai. August 20 ke high ke upar break se ek upside breakout ki tasdeeq hogi, jis ke baad substantial gains ki umeed ki jaa sakti hai. Yeh pair temporarily range ki ceiling ko August 20 ko breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak chala gaya, lekin phir jaldi se neeche gir gaya aur is dauran ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bhi banayi. Iske baad sirf ek choti si weakness hui thi, jo 0.6109 August 22 ke swing low tak gayi, lekin uske baad pair recover kar gaya aur August 23 ko wapas range se bahar break kar gaya.

Tab se le kar ab tak, NZD/USD ne thora pull back kiya hai lekin agar yeh 0.6248 August 20 ke high ke upar break karta hai, toh ek higher high banayega, jo ek faisla kun breakout ka signal hoga. Aisa breakout ek upside target ko activate karega, jo range ke height ke 0.618 ratio ko upar extrapolate karke calculate kiya gaya hai. Yeh upside target deta hai 0.6448 (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 par hai (December 2023 high).




Aisi move se mumkin hai ke short-term trend sideways se bullish mein tabdeel ho jaye.

Lekin agar yeh 0.6109 swing low (August 23 low) ke neeche break karta hai, toh sideways trend phir se intact confirm hoga aur iske neeche ki taraf range ke lows tak, 0.5850s ke aas paas, move honay ke imkaanaat hain.

NZD/USD ka H4 timeframe chart dekh kar, maine price movements ko monitor kiya. Monday ki trading session mein market mein downward correction movement ka aghaz hua, lekin Tuesday ko buyers ka asar tha jo candlestick ko upar le gaya, halan ke zyada nahi. Pichlay haftay ki trading session mein market trend ab bhi bullish hi tha, aur abhi ke market conditions ke madde nazar EURGBP currency pair ka trend apni major trend ke mutabiq abhi bhi upwards hi move kar raha hai. Indicators ke developments par ghour karte hue, Relative Strength Index (14) indicator par Lime Line phir se rise hui hai aur level 70 ke qareeb hai jo is baat ki nishani hai ke haftay ke aghaz mein hui slight increase shayad dobara continue ho sake. MACD indicator ka histogram bar abhi bhi zero level ke upar move kar raha hai, lekin Monday ki downward correction ki wajah se uska size thoda chhota hua hai. Iss haftay price ne upar move kiya hai aur candlestick ka position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar hai.
NZD/USD pair ne H4 basis par bohat strong bearish engulfing signal banaya hai, aur saath hi bearish Three Drive signal bhi form hua hai, jiski wajah se in dono combinations se ek valid aur profitable sell conclusion nikalta hai. Lekin EMA50 Blue, EMA100 Purple, aur EMA200 Red ki arrangement upward aur open angle mein hai, jo dikhata hai ke ye bullish increase strong momentum rakhta hai. Iss liye girawat abhi bhi limited hai, aur yeh girawat EMA50 Blue ke qareeb 0.6125 - 0.6130 ke support area mein hi reh sakti hai, iss liye prospective sellers ko is par dhyan dena chahiye. Agar M15 basis par intraday movement dekha jaye to consistent breakout sell candle ab form ho chuki hai, aur aakhri position ne EMA100 Purple line ko penetrate kar diya hai, jis se price jaldi se EMA200 Red ko touch karega. Yahan se market response ek slight increase de sakta hai jo next reentry sell setup banane mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Technical analysis aur price movement scenarios ke support ke sath, main personally ab instant sell ko prefer karta hoon with a profit target H4 support area 0.6125 - 0.6130 mein. Agar M15 movement mein Red EMA200 ka penetration hota hai, to buy position dobara se ad

Current price 0.60696 bullish corridor ke north ko point kar raha hai. Market growth ke information se, main 50-0.60624, 61.8-0.60698, 76.4-0.60790 ke entrance point ko dekh raha hoon. In levels se rebounds aur breakthroughs pe kaam kiya ja sakta hai. Main 123.6-0.61088 ya 138.2-0.61180 ke senior profit se bahut satisfied hoon, jo mujhe khush karta hai. Sab kuch planned ke mutabiq nahi ho sakta, aur bear team interest dikhayegi, jo market scope ko 50-0-0.60624 bana degi. Aise losers ke baare mein pareshan hone ki zaroorat nahi, flexible rahkar sales pe shift karna chahiye. Fibonacci grid mukhtalif tareeqon se construct kiya ja sakta hai. Jitna steep tilt angle hoga, utne hi active sellers hain. Bears price ko target 0.60098 tak le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Ek baar target reach ho gaya, to wahan se ek pullback 0.60303 tak hoga jahan se sellers enter karenge. Yeh zaroori hai ke channel ke lower edge par sell na kiya jaye. Channel ka principle simple hai - hum lower edge se buy karte hain aur upper edge se sell karte hain. Abhi, buying interesting nahi lagti kyunki channel southwards trend kar raha hai aur buying asset ki movement ke against hogi. Continuous movements around the 0.60303 level sellers ki presence show karte hain, jo decline ke liye achi chance indicate karte hain. D1 chart, jo mera main chart hai, ek bearish channel dikhata hai. D1 chart par bears ki strength mein koi shak nahi hai. Isliye, jaise ke upar mention kiya, main selling par focus karunga. Abhi, sales enter karna better hoga upper border of the channel at 0.60785 se. Decline channel 0.60153 tak execute hoga. Ek criterion growth ke liye upper edge of the D1 channel at 0.60303 par hoga, ek breakout, market ko strong sellers ke saath hold karte hue, niche bounce karte hue aur bullish activity ke signals provide karte hue. Growth 0.60785 par fade hogi aur phir downward movement retire hogi, jo downside par powerful player ko dikhayegi jisse selling opportunities ke liye dekha jaye. Isliye, buyers ko lag sakta hai ke unki opportunities somewhat restricted hain is prevailing seller-oriented environment mein. Yeh scenario highlight karta hai cautious approach adopt karne ki importance ko, carefully entry points aur risk management strategies ko assess karte hue. Fundamental analysis aur authoritative sources, including updates from the US government, pertinent news data influx provide karte hain jo NZD/USD market ke trajectory

NZDUSD

Sab ko mera salam! Main NZDUSD currency pair mein yeh soorat-e-haal dekh raha hoon: Daily chart par linear regression channel ka slope ooper ki taraf hai, jo yeh dikha raha hai ke market mein buyers mazboot hain. Buyers ki activity ek behtareen moqa hai ke hum channel ki niche ki limit se, jo ke 0.62100 par hai, kharidari karne ka sochain. Phir main intezar karoon ga ke market 0.62742 ki level tak bare, jis ke baad ek correction aani chahiye. Correction niche ki limit tak ho gi, jahan se phir se kharidari par socha jana chahiye. Aur agar yeh limit toot jaati hai, toh hum mazeed neeche jaari rahenge, yahan par kharidari ko cancel kar diya jata hai. Yeh woh harakatein hain jisse market channels ke sath ooper ki taraf barhta hai. Channel ki ooper ki limit, jo ke 0.62742 par hai, se farokht (sales) honi chahiye, aur aap yahan enter kar sakte hain. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main pullback se enter karoon, jitna niche ki limit ke kareeb ho sakay.



High time D1 ko dekhte hue, mujhe nazar aa raha hai ke linear regression channel upar ki taraf ja raha hai. Mere liye D1 bohat ahm hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke bulls (kharidari karne wale) mazboot hain. D1 channel ka signal kharidari ka hai, jo meri kharidne ki khwahish ko barhata hai. Sirf is cheez ka intezar karen ke price sahi jagah par ho, aur wahan se kharidari karein. Is waqt ki soorat-e-haal mein jahan main kharidari ki talash kar raha hoon, woh lower channel 0.61481 hai. Wahan se main dobara kharidari karne ki koshish karunga 0.62291 par. Yeh ek khas target hai, jo mazeed barhawa aur tezi ki nishani hai. 0.62291 par sahi correction ka chance bohat zyada hai kyun ke upward movement ko chuna gaya hai. Phir bulls apni harakat ko bahal karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry mark 0.61481 neeche se cross ho jaata hai, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Yahan par yeh mumkin hai ke trading plan ko kharidari ki taraf dekh kar dobara socha jaye, aur market ki soorat-e-haal ka dobara jaiza liya jaye.

NZD/USD H4

Aaj main H4 chart ki buniyad par NZD/USD currency pair ka ek analytical review pesh kar raha hoon. Is waqt, yeh trading instrument 0.5920 par position mein hai. Aaj ki Asian trading session ke dauran, yeh pair 0.5956 par resistance ko face kar raha tha. Yeh level paar karne mein naakam raha, jis ke baad price neeche ki taraf chalne lagi aur aakhir kar 0.5918 tak gir gayi.

Maujooda market ki soorat-e-haal aur dekhay gaye movement ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke trading instrument ki price 0.5900 level se neeche gir sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke mazeed girawat ki gunjaish hai, jo ke bearish trend ke jaari rehne ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai. Jaise ke soorat-e-haal mein tabdili aayi, NZD/USD pair na sirf 0.5900 level tak pohanch gayi balki is se bhi neeche gir gayi hai, aur ab yeh 0.5876 par trade ho rahi hai. Iss waqt, ek reversal zone chart par ubhar aayi hai, jo ke 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh sochna zaroori hai ke agar price 0.5886 ke resistance level se ooper nikalti hai aur ek ghante ki candle is level ke ooper close hoti hai, toh yeh girawat sirf stop collection ho sakti hai. Yeh rebound ki gunjaish aur resistance level 0.5978 ki taraf mazeed izafa ka ishara deta hai. Is surat-e-haal mein, stop-loss orders lagana munasib hoga.



Maine ek sell position open ki hai kyun ke chalti hui price ne white box area mein entry le li hai jo ke 0.6213 par hai, aur agar nzdusd is area se ek bearish candlestick banane mein kamyab hoti hai, toh price 0.6060 ki taraf giray gi jo baad mein RBS area ka kirdar ada karegi aur hum isey TP1 level bana sakte hain. Phir agar price 0.6060 area ke neeche mazid kamzor hoti hai, toh hum sell position ko hold kar sakte hain jab tak ke 0.5835 zone mein girawat nahi aati, aur hum isey aglay hafte ki trading mein TP2 level bana sakte hain. Aage chal kar, buray halaat se bachne ke liye, agar white box area rejection dene mein naakam hota hai, toh bullish confirmation nzdusd ki shuruaat ho jati hai, aur humen sell position ko band karna zaroori ho jata hai. Phir recovery ke liye, humein buy position kholni hogi jismein resistance area 0.6330 ka target rakha jaye. Shukriya aap sab ka, jin logon ne meri tashreeh suni. Umeed hai ke hum aglay hafte NZD/USD ke movement se munafa maximize kar sakenge.

**NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis:**

NZD/USD pair ne jumma ke din saat hafton ki bulandi, 0.6236, par ponchnay ke baad wapas retreat kiya hai. Yeh girawat mumkin hai traders ke recent rally ke baad munafa hasil karne ke liye positions band karne ki wajah se hui ho. Lekin yeh girawat mehdoood ho sakti hai kyun ke yeh umeed barh rahi hai ke Federal Reserve September mein sudh ki sharaaein kam kar sakti hai. Yeh jazba Jackson Hole Symposium mein Fed ke Chair Jerome Powell ke bayanat se mazboot hua, jahan unhone policy mein tabdeeli ke mumkin izharat kiye. New Zealand Dollar ne pichlay hafta sab se buland satah haasil ki, jo ke saat hafton ke arsay mein US Dollar ke muqable mein sab se oonchi thi. Yeh izafa kai anasir ki wajah se tha, jismein behtar global market sentiment, US Dollar ka narmi, aur New Zealand se mutaliq mawafiq maashi data shamil hain. 0.6236 par ponchnay ke baad, chand traders ne apne munafe hasil karne ke liye farokht ki, jis se NZD/USD pair mein halki si girawat hui. Is pullback ke bawajood, wisaatwar ooper ki taraf trend abhi bhi baqi hai. Mazeed riyayat pasand US maali policy ki imkaanat ke bawajood, pair ke be-hadd girne ke imkaanaat kam hain.

**Fed Rate Reduction ki umeed:**

September mein Federal Reserve ke sudh ki sharaaein mein kami ke imkaanaat NZD/USD pair ko support kar rahe hain. Bohat se market participants ab yeh samajhte hain ke Fed ko US ki sust hoti maeeshat ki wajah se rate cut karni par sakti hai. Powell ke Jackson Hole mein bayanat, jahan unhone Fed ke rawaiye mein tabdeeli ki zaroorat ka ishara diya, ne is yakin ko mazboot kiya hai. Nateejaatan, US Dollar kamzor hua hai, jo ke New Zealand Dollar ki quwwat ko barkarar rakhne mein madad de raha hai aur NZD/USD pair ki downside ko mehdood kar raha hai.

**Jackson Hole Symposium ka Asar:**

Jackson Hole Symposium aalamgir bazaaron ke liye ek ahem event hai, jo aam tor par mustaqbil ki maali policy ki simt par raushan daalti hai. Powell ke khitaab ko bariki se parakha gaya, aur unke ihtiyat pasand lehje ka zaroori asar karansi bazaar par pada hai. Unka yeh kehna ke "ab waqt aa gaya hai ke policy mein tabdeeli laayein," is baat ka izhar hai ke Fed apni stance mein narmi laane par ghaur kar raha hai, mumkin hai rate cuts ke zariye. NZD/USD pair ke liye, yeh Fed ka ishara musbat hai, kyun ke yeh mazeed US Dollar ki kamzori ke imkaanaat barhata hai. Agar bazaar Fed rate cut ki tawakul karta hai, toh New Zealand Dollar mazboot reh sakta hai, jo ke pair ke aham girawat ko roke ga.

**Market Sentiment aur Aindah Ka Manzar:**

Maujooda soorat-e-haal mein NZD/USD pair ke liye jazba mix hai. Haali pullback ko aam correction samjha ja raha hai na ke downtrend ki ibtida. Jab tak traders Fed rate cut ki umeed rakhte hain, pair ko support milne ki imkaanaat hain.

Market ke shuraka aainda aane wale US maashi data par bariki se nazar rakhenge, khas taur par mehngai aur rozgaar ki reports par, kyun ke yeh Fed ki agli harkat ka taqdeer karne mein ahem sabit honge. Fed ke mazeed officials ke izharat bhi US maali policy ke mustaqbil ke hawale se mazeed tafseelat faraham kar sakte hain.



NZD/USD pair saat hafton ki bulandi se wapas retreat kar gayi hai, lekin downside mahdoood hone ki tawakul hai, Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ke imkaan ke barhte huay. Jackson Hole Symposium mein Powell ke bayan ne mazeed riyayat pasand US maali policy ki tawakul ko mazboot kiya hai, jo ke New Zealand Dollar ko qareeb arsa mein support kar sakta hai. Pair ki mustaqbil simt aainda aane wale US maashi data aur Fed ke isharaat par bazaar ke radd-e-amal par munhasir karegi.

**NZD/USD H1 Chart**

Kal, sellers ki dikkat pesh aani shuru hui, jahan price ne Asian session mein manfi harakat dikhayi. Price jo ke budh ke din ke open 0.6143 se shift hui thi, 0.6158 se neeche chali gayi. Sellers ne jo dominate karne ki koshish ki thi, unhon ne 0.6144 ke area ko successfully breach kiya aur price mazeed neeche chali gayi. Resistance tab saamne aaya jab price EMA 36 H1 area ko chhua, jo 0.6127 - 0.6132 ke aas paas cross kar rahi thi. Kai baar price ne is area ko breach karne ki koshish ki, lekin EMA 36 H1 ne abhi bhi short-term dynamic support ke taur par apna kirdar ada kiya. Aakhirkar, confirmed rejection ke baad price upar ki taraf palti. Buland hone ki koshish karte hue, price sirf 0.6172 tak chhu saki aur budh ke trading session ke aakhir mein market 0.6149 par band hui. EMA 200 H1 abhi bhi price movement ke neeche hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 uske upar hain, jinhon ne abhi tak koi bhi behavior mein tabdeeli nahi dikhayi jo yeh ishaara karein ke bullish trend abhi bhi H1 mein jaari hai. Halaanke, buyer ka current push kam hota nazar aa raha hai, lekin EMA 36 H1 abhi bhi rukaawat hai. Kyun ke abhi bhi price Thursday ke daily open 0.6149 ke qareeb support aur resistance ke darmiyan upar neeche hoti nazar aa rahi hai, jo 0.6130 aur 0.6169 ke darmiyan hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 thodi si narrow hoti hui nazar aa rahi hain. Agar yeh do choti EMAs cross banate hain, toh ek nai direction ki movement haasil ho sakti hai.



Is haftay ki trading session mein, NZDUSD currency pair ka rujhan bullish raaste par hai, jahan prices phir se barh kar 0.6172 ki range mein pahunch gayi hain. Bazaar ke muaina ke natayij ke mutabiq, yeh wazeh hai ke bazaar ki soorat-e-haal abhi bhi khareedne walon ki quwwat se dominate ho rahi hai, aur yeh pichlay teen hafton se jari hai. July mein price ne bearish direction mein khelne ki koshish ki thi, lekin aakhirkar woh bullish hone ke liye palat gayi aur pichli raat ko dobara se upar ud gayi, halaanke abhi bhi woh sideways phase se guzar rahi hai. Ab hum dekh sakte hain ke market ki soorat-e-haal mein halki si behteri aani shuru ho gayi hai. Yeh nazar aata hai ke aaj subah market ke khulne ke baad se buyers ki team ne market mein price increase ko jari rakhne ki koshish ki hai. Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime Line ki position jo ke level 70 tak barh gayi hai, is baat ki nishani hai ke market trend abhi bhi bullish phase mein hai. Is waqt, buyers abhi bhi prices ko mazeed upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur hum ek chhoti timeframe mein dekh sakte hain, khas tor par H4 timeframe mein, ke price Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke upar se ud gayi hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karti hai ke market mein abhi bhi bullish potential hai. Main khud samajhta hoon ke agle chand ghanton mein ek izafa hone ka imkaan hai, aur main khud bhi bazaar mein sirf BUY trading ke potential ko talash karne ki koshish karunga. Baad mein, buyer army aksar koshish karegi ke price ko mazeed barhaya jaye taa ke woh dobara 0.6200 ke level range tak pohnch sake.

NZD/USD H1

Salam, azeez forum ke members! Aaj main NZD/USD currency pair ki H1 chart par mabni ek tajziati jaiza pesh kar raha hoon. Is waqt, trading instrument 0.5920 par positioned hai. Aaj ke Asian trading session ke dauran, is pair ne 0.5956 par resistance ka saamna kiya. Yeh level paar na kar paane ki wajah se, price ne neeche ki taraf harakat shuru ki aur aakhir kar 0.5918 tak gir gayi.

Maujooda market ki soorat-e-haal aur dekhi gayi movements ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke trading instrument ki price 0.5900 ke level se neeche gir sakti hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai, jo ke bearish trend ke jari rehne ko zahir karta hai.

Haalat ke mutabiq, NZD/USD pair na sirf 0.5900 ke level tak pohanch gaya balki is se bhi mazeed gir gaya aur ab 0.5876 par trade kar raha hai. Is waqt, chart par ek reversal zone samne aya hai, jo 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke darmiyan mehdood hai. Yeh sochnay ki baat hai: agar price 0.5886 ke resistance level se upar jaaye aur ek ghante ki candle is level ke upar band ho, toh mojooda girawat sirf ek stop collection ho sakti hai. Yeh rebound ke imkaan aur baad mein 0.5978 ke resistance level ki taraf uthan ko zahir karegi. Is soorat mein, stop-loss orders lagana munasib hoga.



H1 chart ke bar-aks, 4-hour timeframe par linear regression channel mein ek upward movement hai, jo ke buyer activity ko zahir karta hai. Buyer ki kamzori dikhayi deti hai jab woh 0.59421 ke level ko chhod dete hain jab uska sellers ke zariye breakthrough hota hai. Yeh market mein bears ke mazeed dilchaspi ko zahir karta hai, jo ke H1 channel ko neeche ki taraf badalne ki koshish kar sakte hain ek specific target ke sath. Is tarah, uptrend ko khatra ho sakta hai. Jab channel neeche ki taraf move karta hai, yeh dominating sellers ko zahir karta hai aur trend ke tabdeeli ko dikhata hai. Strong bears 0.58630 ke level tak pohanchne ki koshish karenge taake apne target ko hasil kar sakein. Lekin agar 4-hour chart par sharaait puri hoti hain, jab market 0.59704 aur 0.59421 ke levels ko break karta hai, toh bulls apne trend movement ko bahal karenge, jo trading karte waqt sochne ki baat hai.

NZD/USD Currency Pair Analysis H1 Timeframe ke liye Recent Price Action

NZD/USD currency pair ne Asian trading session mein 0.5960 aur 0.5970 ke beech support area level ko penetrate karne mein struggle kiya. Lekin, August 16, 2024 ko, trading instrument ne bullish rally ka experience kiya, moving average indicators ke saath golden cross pattern successfully form kiya. Is analysis mein use kiye gaye moving averages 7-period close exponential aur 14-period close exponential hain. Yeh development Monday ko trading decisions mein significantly aid kar sakta hai.

Potential Trading Scenarios

Golden cross pattern ki formation ke baad H1 timeframe par aur 0.6010 aur 0.6020 ke beech resistance area level ko buyers ne successfully penetrate kiya, NZD/USD currency pair Monday ko substantial upside potential rakhata hai. Lekin, agar newly established resistance area 0.6050 to 0.6040 ke around se breakout nahi hota hai candlestick pattern ke through, to price correction ki possibility bhi hai. Isliye, NZD/USD currency pair mein Monday ko trading session ke during do potential scenarios surface kar sakte hain:

Buy Order

Agar resistance area level 0.6050 to 0.6040 ko bullish trend candlestick pattern ke through successfully break out kiya jata hai, to buy order place ki ja sakti hai.

Sell Order

Conversely, agar bearish reversal trend candlestick pattern resistance area level par forms, to sell order place ki ja sakti hai.

Buy Limit Order

Buy limit order RBS area (Resistance Becomes Support) par place ki ja sakti hai, jo 0.6010 to 0.6000 ke around located hai.

Current Market Sentiment

Currently, NZD/USD ki price apni bullish movement ko continue kar rahi hai aur MA 100 (Blue area) se upar cross kar chuki hai. Friday ko trading session mein, buyers ne price ko higher push karne ki koshish ki, MA 50 (Red area) se breakout karne ki koshish ki, taaki further bullish opportunities ko open kiya ja sake, jo upcoming target ki taraf hai, jo MA 200 (Yellow area) hai. Solid bullish candlestick ki formation ne buyers ko substantial opportunity provide ki hai apne targets ko achieve karne ke liye

NZD/USD H1 Chart

Sir, bonus update please mujhe mere bonus ke sath bhejein.

Kal, seller ki distraction nazar aani shuru hui, jahan Asian session mein price ne negative move kiya. Wednesday ke daily open 0.6143 se price 0.6158 se neeche ki taraf gayi. Jo sellers dominate karne ki koshish kar rahe the, unhon ne 0.6144 area ko successfully penetrate karwa kar price ko aur neeche le jaya. Resistance us waqt samne aayi jab price ne EMA 36 H1 area ko touch kiya jo ke 0.6127 - 0.6132 ke numbers ke kareeb cross karta hai. Kai baar price ne is area ko penetrate karne ki koshish ki, lekin lagta hai EMA 36 H1 ne apna short-term dynamic support ka kirdar nibhaaya. Aakhir mein, ek confirmed rejection ke baad price ne upar ki taraf turn kiya. Upar jaane ki koshish mein, price sirf 0.6172 ko touch kar saki aur market Wednesday ke trading mein 0.6149 par band hua. EMA 200 H1 abhi bhi price movement se neeche hai aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 iske upar hain jo ke abhi tak koi behavior mein tabdeeli nahi dikha rahe hain, yeh zahir karta hai ke H1 mein bullish current abhi bhi apne uptrend mein barqaraar hai. Lekin, abhi jo buyer ka push hai woh kam hota nazar aa raha hai, lekin EMA 36 H1 abhi bhi ek rukawat hai. Is waqt price abhi bhi daily open Thursday 0.6149 ke sab se kareeb support aur resistance ke darmiyan move hoti hui nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke 0.6130 aur 0.6169 ke darmiyan hai EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ke thoda sa tang hone ke sath. Agar yeh do choti EMAs ek cross banaein, toh ek nai harakat ki direction samne aayegi.



Mahine ke shuru se, NZD/USD pair mein lagataar recovery hoti rahi hai jab ke 2024 ke nai lows 0.5848 par ek mazboot paker banayi gayi. Pair ke recent break ne 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke upar aur ek fresh do-mahina high hasil karke bullish outlook ko mazeed mazboot kiya. Qareebi muddat mein, pair ka foran resistance 0.6170 par expect kiya gaya, jo ke 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level hai downtrend se 0.6368 se 0.5851. Is hurdle ko paar karne ke liye, bullish forces ko June ke high 0.6220 ko todna hoga. Uske upar, 78.6% Fibonacci level 0.6257 par mazeed upside attempts ke liye ek aur obstacle present kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar downside move hoti hai toh pair ko neeche le jaa sakta hai 50.0% Fibonacci level 0.6109 ki taraf. Is area se neeche break karne se raasta mil sakta hai 38.2% Fibonacci level 0.6048 ki taraf, jo ke pehle January aur June mein mazboot rahi thi. Agar price 38.2% level se neeche girti hai, toh 23.6% Fibonacci level 0.5972 par mazeed support mil sakta hai.

Aaj main NZD/USD currency pair ka H4 chart par aik analytical review de raha hoon. Is waqt trading instrument 0.5920 par position mein hai. Aaj subah Asian trading session ke dauran, pair ne 0.5956 par resistance face kiya. Yeh level cross karne mein naakam rehne ke baad, price ne downward movement shuru ki aur eventually 0.5918 tak gir gaya.

Maujooda market conditions aur observed movements ke madde nazar, aisa lagta hai ke trading instrument ki price 0.5900 level se neeche ja sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke further decline aur bearish trend ke continuation ka imkaan hai. Halat yeh hai ke NZD/USD pair ne sirf 0.5900 level hi nahi balki isse neeche gir kar 0.5876 par trade karna shuru kar diya hai. Filhal, chart par aik reversal zone dekhne mein aa raha hai, jo 0.5859 aur 0.5886 levels ke darmiyan hai. Aapko yeh baat madde nazar rakhni chahiye ke agar price resistance level 0.5886 se upar ja kar aik one-hour candle close kar leti hai, to yeh current decline sirf stop collection ho sakta hai. Is soorat mein, rebound aur resistance level 0.5978 ki taraf aik rise ka imkaan hai. Aise mein, stop-loss orders lagana zaroori hoga.

Maine aik sell position open ki hai kyunke running price white box area mein enter ho chuki hai level 0.6213 par, aur agar NZD/USD is area se aik bearish candlestick create karne mein kaamyaab hota hai, to price 0.6060 ki taraf gir sakta hai jo baad mein RBS area ke tor par kaam karega aur hum isse TP1 level bana sakte hain. Phir agar price 0.6060 area ke neeche kamzor hoti hai, to hum sell position hold kar sakte hain jab tak price 0.5835 zone tak gir nahi jata, aur hum isse trading ke liye agle hafte ka TP2 level bana sakte hain.

Worse case scenario ke liye, agar white box area rejection provide karne mein naakam hota hai, to NZD/USD ka bullish confirmation start ho jata hai aur humein sell position close karni hogi. Uske baad recovery ke liye humein buy position open karni chahiye, target increase resistance area 0.6330 par rakhte hue. Aapka shukriya, jo aapne meri explanation suni. Umeed hai ke hum NZD/USD ke movement par agle hafte profit optimize kar sakenge.