نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

kiya. Price jo Wednesday ke daily open 0.6143 se shift hui thi, 0.6158 se neeche gir gayi. Sellers ne dominate karne ki koshish ki aur price ne 0.6144 area ko successfully penetrate kar diya aur neeche chali gayi. Resistance tab dikhayi di jab price EMA 36 H1 ke area ko touch kiya jo 0.6127 se 0.6132 ke numbers ke aas-paas cross kar raha tha. Kai baar price ne is area ko penetrate karne ki koshish ki, lekin EMA 36 H1 abhi bhi short-term dynamic support ki tarah kaam kar raha tha. Aakhir mein, price ek confirmed rejection ke baad upar ki taraf ghoom gayi. Upar jane ki koshish mein, price sirf 0.6172 ko touch kar paayi aur market Wednesday ke trading par 0.6149 pe close hui.
EMA 200 H1 abhi bhi price movement ke neeche hai aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upar hai, jinhon ne bullish current ke H1 trend mein koi significant changes nahi dikhaye hain. Lekin, current buyer’s push lagta hai ke kam ho raha hai, lekin EMA 36 H1 abhi bhi ek rukawat hai. Filhal price dekhne mein aise lagti hai ke woh daily open Thursday 0.6149 ke aas-paas support aur resistance ke beech upar neeche ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.6130 aur 0.6169 ke beech hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 thoda narrow ho raha hai. Agar dono choti EMAs cross karti hain, to ek nayi direction of movement realize ho sakti hai.
Kal, sellers ki distraction nazar aane lagi thi, jahan price ne Asian session mein negative move kiya. Price jo Wednesday ke daily open 0.6143 se shift hui thi, 0.6158 se neeche gir gayi. Sellers ne dominate karne ki koshish ki aur price ne 0.6144 area ko successfully penetrate kar diya aur neeche chali gayi. Resistance tab dikhayi di jab price EMA 36 H1 ke area ko touch kiya jo 0.6127 se 0.6132 ke numbers ke aas-paas cross kar raha tha. Kai baar price ne is area ko penetrate karne ki koshish ki, lekin EMA 36 H1 abhi bhi short-term dynamic support ki tarah kaam kar raha tha. Aakhir mein, price ek confirmed rejection ke baad upar ki taraf ghoom gayi. Upar jane ki koshish mein, price sirf 0.6172 ko touch kar paayi aur market Wednesday ke trading par 0.6149 pe close hui.

EMA 200 H1 abhi bhi price movement ke neeche hai aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upar hai, jinhon ne bullish current ke H1 trend mein koi significant changes nahi dikhaye hain. Lekin, current buyer’s push lagta hai ke kam ho raha hai, lekin EMA 36 H1 abhi bhi ek rukawat hai. Filhal price dekhne mein aise lagti hai ke woh daily open Thursday 0.6149 ke aas-paas support aur resistance ke beech upar neeche ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.6130 aur 0.6169 ke beech hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 thoda narrow ho raha hai. Agar dono choti EMAs cross karti hain, to ek nayi direction of movement realize ho sakti hai.

kiya. Price jo Wednesday ke daily open 0.6143 se shift hui thi, 0.6158 se neeche gir gayi. Sellers ne dominate karne ki koshish ki aur price ne 0.6144 area ko successfully penetrate kar diya aur neeche chali gayi. Resistance tab dikhayi di jab price EMA 36 H1 ke area ko touch kiya jo 0.6127 se 0.6132 ke numbers ke aas-paas cross kar raha tha. Kai baar price ne is area ko penetrate karne ki koshish ki, lekin EMA 36 H1 abhi bhi short-term dynamic support ki tarah kaam kar raha tha. Aakhir mein, price ek confirmed rejection ke baad upar ki taraf ghoom gayi. Upar jane ki koshish mein, price sirf 0.6172 ko touch kar paayi aur market Wednesday ke trading par 0.6149 pe close hui.
EMA 200 H1 abhi bhi price movement ke neeche hai aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upar hai, jinhon ne bullish current ke H1 trend mein koi significant changes nahi dikhaye hain. Lekin, current buyer’s push lagta hai ke kam ho raha hai, lekin EMA 36 H1 abhi bhi ek rukawat hai. Filhal price dekhne mein aise lagti hai ke woh daily open Thursday 0.6149 ke aas-paas support aur resistance ke beech upar neeche ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.6130 aur 0.6169 ke beech hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 thoda narrow ho raha hai. Agar dono choti EMAs cross karti hain, to ek nayi direction of movement realize ho sakti hai.
Kal, sellers ki distraction nazar aane lagi thi, jahan price ne Asian session mein negative move kiya. Price jo Wednesday ke daily open 0.6143 se shift hui thi, 0.6158 se neeche gir gayi. Sellers ne dominate karne ki koshish ki aur price ne 0.6144 area ko successfully penetrate kar diya aur neeche chali gayi. Resistance tab dikhayi di jab price EMA 36 H1 ke area ko touch kiya jo 0.6127 se 0.6132 ke numbers ke aas-paas cross kar raha tha. Kai baar price ne is area ko penetrate karne ki koshish ki, lekin EMA 36 H1 abhi bhi short-term dynamic support ki tarah kaam kar raha tha. Aakhir mein, price ek confirmed rejection ke baad upar ki taraf ghoom gayi. Upar jane ki koshish mein, price sirf 0.6172 ko touch kar paayi aur market Wednesday ke trading par 0.6149 pe close hui.

EMA 200 H1 abhi bhi price movement ke neeche hai aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upar hai, jinhon ne bullish current ke H1 trend mein koi significant changes nahi dikhaye hain. Lekin, current buyer’s push lagta hai ke kam ho raha hai, lekin EMA 36 H1 abhi bhi ek rukawat hai. Filhal price dekhne mein aise lagti hai ke woh daily open Thursday 0.6149 ke aas-paas support aur resistance ke beech upar neeche ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.6130 aur 0.6169 ke beech hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 thoda narrow ho raha hai. Agar dono choti EMAs cross karti hain, to ek nayi direction of movement realize ho sakti hai.

Mujhe umeed hai ke aap ke paas thoda waqt hoga NZDUSD currency pair ko M5 timeframe par analyze karne ke liye. Relative Strength Index trading strategy aur market analysis mein, maine RSI ka istemal kiya hai. Analysis mein maine period fourteen ka use kiya, jo history ke backtests mein kaafi acha sabit hua hai. Indicator simple hai, magar kaafi effective hai. Jab RSI 70 zone mein enter karta hai, toh yeh trend ke jaldi khatam hone aur market situation mein tabdeeli ka ishara deta hai, jo ke analyzed instrument par bearish trend shuru hone ka signal hai. Future trend ki shuruaat price 0.59380 par hoti hai, aur main current price values par position open kar raha hoon. Kuch bhi complicate nahi karte, kyun ke simplicity, jese ke brevity, talent ki behen hai, is note par hum market ko sell karte hain. Profit ke liye, old standard ratios jo kaam karte hain aur apne aap ko justify karte hain, jaise ke 1/2 ya 1/3, unhein aur techniques ke sath supplement kiya ja sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, trailing ka istemal karke, taake position ko behtar determine kiya ja sake depending on the current volatility aur market ke aggressiveness ke mutabiq. Sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke badalte hue halaat ke mutabiq khud ko adapt karna aana chahiye. Main ek stop loss order current TF ke last extreme se place kar raha hoon, minimum fifteen points par. Aap ke waqt aur tawajjo ka shukriya! Tradi Technical analysis bhi kisi bari movement ka ishara de sakta hai. Agar NZD/USD kisi key support level ke qareeb hai, toh yeh bounce back kar sakta hai, jis se ek bullish correction ho sakti hai. Ulta agar yeh kisi significant support level ko break kar jata hai, toh yeh accelerated bearish trend mein tabdeel ho sakta hai. Traders aksar moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement levels jaise indicators ko dekhtay hain taake possible price movements ka andaza lagaya ja sake.
Market sentiment aur positioning bhi aham factors hain jo consider kiye jaane chahiye. Agar bohot sare traders NZD/USD par short positions le rahe hain, aur koi unexpected positive news aajati hai, toh yeh short squeeze trigger kar sakti hai, jo ke sharp upward movement ka sabab ban sakti hai. Wohi agar market participants ziada optimistic hain aur koi negative surprise hota hai, toh is se swift decline ho sa

Euro ne August main apni doosri sabse unchi satah hasil ki hai, jise sarmaayakaro ke darmiyan aam taur par optimistic jazbaat ka asar hai. Federal Reserve ka qareebi rujhan, jo zyada supportive lagta hai, ne yeh umeed barha di hai ke interest rates mein izafa ab khatam honay wala hai. Is badalte huye rujhan ne bazaar ka risk appetite kaafi barha diya hai. Zhishang Institute ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 18 September ko rate cut ke chances qareeban teen mein se ek hain. Federal Reserve ke afsaraan ne khud bhi is baat ka izhar kiya hai ke 25 basis point tak ki rate reduction ho sakti hai. Jackson Hole Economic Symposium main Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne tasleem kiya ke central bank ab apne benchmark interest rate ko kam karne par ghor kar raha hai.

Agle hafte ke economic data mein ziada ahmiyat nahi hogi, magar European Union aur United States ke inflation data ko qareebi se dekha jaye ga. US GDP growth ka data jo ke Thursday ko anay wala hai, bazaar ke jazbaat ko hilaa sakta hai, magar traders ki tawajju Friday ko aane wale dual inflation reports par hi rahe gi.

European Union ka preliminary inflation data (HICP) agle Jumme ko expected hai. United States main personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation index ke Fed ke target level par qaim rehne ki umeed hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke inflation pressures kam ho rahe hain. Kuch challenges ke bawajood, Euro ne Friday ko naya high hasil kiya, aur 1.1300 ke area ko test kiya. Trading sentiment mein kuch ikhtilaf ke bawajood, overall price trend upward hai, jo darshata hai ke Euro mazid taqat pakar raha hai. US dollar ka recent rebound apni 200-day moving average low se Euro ko mazeed support de raha hai. Euro-to-dollar exchange rate barh rahi hai, aur agar price 1.1300 ke upar convincing break kar leti hai, to bullish sentiment mazeed barh sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko maintain karne mein nakam hoti hai, to

Maujuda market analysis ke mutabiq, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) upward trend show kar raha hai, jub price trading channel ke average level se above hai. Yeh NZD/USD currency pair ke liye bullish momentum ka continuation suggest karta hai. Lekin Quantum oscillator se potential warning signal hai, jo market momentum ko measure karta hai. Oscillator ki red line green line ke neeche cross ho rahi hai, jo bearish movement ki possibility ko indicate kar sakti hai. Phir bhi, overall trend upward hai, aur yeh wise ho sakta hai ki Quantum oscillator ko opposite direction mein signal dene ke liye wait karein, trading strategies consider karne se pehle. Yeh traders ko prevailing bullish trend ke saath align karne mein madad karega.

Maujuda Market Analysis

Upward Trend Confirmation: M30 (30-minute) chart par, NZD/USD clear upward trend mein hai. Recently, price ne 0.5978 ke significant resistance level ko break kiya, jo weekly resistance level bhi hai. Price ne is level ko break kiya aur uske above bhi hold kiya, jo temporary pullback se zyada hai. Yeh strong bullish momentum ko suggest karta hai.

Post-Breakout Behavior: Resistance level break karne ke baad, price ne is level ko dobara test kiya. Price ne is level ko dobara test kiya aur dono times, level ne hold kiya, price ne upward bounce kiya. Yeh successful test ne buyers ko strong dikha diya hai, jo price ko is level par defend karne mein successful rahe hain, upward trend ka continuation confirm karta hai.

Indicator Support: Arrow aur basement indicators currently further growth ko signal karte hain, upward movement ki expectation ko reinforce karte hain. Multiple indicators ka alignment bullish outlook ko confidence dete hain.






Trading Strategy

Buying Opportunity: Maujuda market conditions mein, buy position ke saath short stop-loss support level ke neeche place karna viable strategy hai. Target 0.6033 ke around hai, jahan daily resistance level hai. Price ko yeh level reach karne mein difficulty ho sakti hai, current momentum ko dekhte hue.

Resistance Consideration: Lekin yeh important hai ki price ko yeh resistance level break karne mein difficulty ho sakti hai. 0.6033 level average daily range ke end par hai, jo price ko stall ya pullback kar sakti hai.

Post-Pullback Potential: Pullback ke baad, level break karne ki possibility hai, jo further gains ko lead kar sakti hai. Phir bhi, setup buying ke liye favorable hai, clear plan ke saath trade ko manage karne ke liye 0.6033 resistance level approach karte hue.

Conclusion

NZD/USD pair strong bullish signals show kar raha hai, price ne key resistance level ko break aur hold kiya hai. Indicators bhi upward movement ko support karte hain. Quantum oscillator se potential bearish signal hai, lekin overall trend upward hai. Buy position ke saath short stop aur target 0.6033 par reasonable strategy hai, pullback ki possibility ko resistance level par dekhte hue. Market currently buyers ke liye favorable hai, continued growth ke liye conditions favorable hain

NZD/USD Analysis

Assalamu alaikum! Aaj hum NZD/USD pair ki current situation ko M30 aur H4 charts ke saath, key technical indicators ke saath analyze karenge.

M30 Chart Analysis

M30 chart par, NZD/USD pair ne past few days mein uptrend show kiya hai. Recently, price ne 0.5958 ke significant daily resistance level ko break kiya. Iske baad, price ne continue kiya, lekin abhi tak level ko retest nahi kiya hai. Yeh common hai ki price strong levels ko test kare after such movements.

Currently, price ne weekly resistance level 0.6021 par reach kiya hai. Isne is level ko three times test kiya hai without successfully breaking above it, resulting in recent pullback. Yeh resistance strong previous uptrend aur average daily range ke exceed hone ke wajah se hai.

Technical Indicators

Arrow indicators aur oscillators pullback scenario ko confirm karte hain. Woh suggest karte hain ki price 0.5958 ke broken level par retrace ho sakti hai, jo ab support ke role mein hai. Agar price is level par reaction show karta hai, indicating bounce upwards, to yeh buying opportunity present kar sakta hai.

H4 Chart Analysis

H4 chart par, different picture emerge hota hai. Main ne upward movement ke liye expanding structure draw ki, lekin price ne lower boundary ke right side mein move kiya hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki current structure incorrect ho sakti hai aur upward movement paused ho sakti hai.

Expected Scenarios

Retracement to 0.59545: H4 chart par, likelihood hai ki price 0.59545 ke zone mein retrace ho sakti hai, jahan two opening levels concentrated hain: weekly aur monthly levels. Yeh key support area ho sakti hai retracement ke event mein.

Deeper Retracement to 0.5858: Agar price 0.59545 ke support level ko break karta hai, to next possible support zone 0.5858 ke around ho sakti hai, jahan last upward movement begin hui thi. Yeh deeper retracement ko indicate karta hai, jo buying opportunities present kar sakta hai lekin increased risk ke saat

Price jo Wednesday ke daily open 0.6143 se shift hui thi, 0.6158 se neeche gir gayi. Sellers ne dominate karne ki koshish ki aur price ne 0.6144 area ko successfully penetrate kar diya aur neeche chali gayi. Resistance tab dikhayi di jab price EMA 36 H1 ke area ko touch kiya jo 0.6127 se 0.6132 ke numbers ke aas-paas cross kar raha tha. Kai baar price ne is area ko penetrate karne ki koshish ki, lekin EMA 36 H1 abhi bhi short-term dynamic support ki tarah kaam kar raha tha. Aakhir mein, price ek confirmed rejection ke baad upar ki taraf ghoom gayi. Upar jane ki koshish mein, price sirf 0.6172 ko touch kar paayi aur market Wednesday ke trading par 0.6149 pe close hui. EMA 200 H1 abhi bhi price movement ke neeche hai aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upar hai, jinhon ne bullish current ke H1 trend mein koi significant changes nahi dikhaye hain. Lekin, current buyer's push lagta hai ke kam ho raha hai, lekin EMA 36 H1 abhi bhi ek rukawat hai. Filhal price dekhne mein aise lagti hai ke woh daily open Thursday 0.6149 ke aas-paas support aur resistance ke beech upar neeche ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.6130 aur 0.6169 ke beech hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 thoda narrow ho raha hai. Agar dono choti EMAs cross karti hain, to ek nayi direction of movement realize ho sakti hai.
Kal, sellers ki distraction nazar aane lagi thi, jahan price ne Asian session mein negative move kiya. Price jo Wednesday ke daily open 0.6143 se shift hui thi, 0.6158 se neeche gir gayi. Sellers ne dominate karne ki koshish ki aur price ne 0.6144 area ko successfully penetrate kar diya aur neeche chali gayi. Resistance tab dikhayi di jab price EMA 36 H1 ke area ko touch kiya jo 0.6127 se 0.6132 ke numbers ke aas-paas cross kar raha tha. Kai baar price ne is area ko penetrate karne ki koshish ki, lekin EMA 36 H1 abhi bhi short-term dynamic support ki tarah kaam kar raha tha. Aakhir mein, price ek confirmed rejection ke baad upar ki taraf ghoom gayi. Upar jane ki koshish mein, price sirf 0.6172 ko touch kar paayi aur market Wednesday ke trading par 0.6149 pe close hui

Umeed hai sab log theek honge! 4-hour chart ek linear regression channel ko oopar ki taraf dikhata hai, jo buyer activity ko zahir karta hai. Main buying ka soch raha hoon magar market correction ka intezar karunga. Jab channel apni neeche wali hadd ko touch karega, khaas tor par 0.60205 par, tab main buy trade enter karne ka sochunga. Main market ke khilaaf short trades lene ka iraada nahi rakhta, aur jab tak channel oopar ki taraf move kar raha hai, shorting ki zarurat nahi. Ideal entry point tab hoga jab price correction ke dauran neeche wali hadd ko touch karega, jo false entries se nuksan ko kam karega. Channel ka upper limit 0.60438 par hai, aur trade karne se pehle correction ka intezar karna zaroori hoga jab ye upper section tak pohnch jaye. Correction ka base channel ke fluctuations par hoga. Hourly chart bhi ek oopar ki taraf linear regression channel ko dikhata hai, jo H4 chart ke sath milta hai aur bullish interest ko mazid mazboot karta hai.

Channel Analysis ke mutabiq dono channels buy trades par focus dena chahiye. Filhaal selling ke koi conditions nahi hain. Sell trades tab justified hongi agar H4 channel neeche ki taraf trend dikhaye, jo short trade entries ko allow kare. Magar dono charts filhaal upward trend dikhate hain, is liye short trades ke liye kam faida hai.

Buyers actively market ko upar le ja rahe hain; is liye 0.60024 par neeche wali hadd se connect karna samajhdari hogi, jo purchases ke liye ek ideal entry point hai. Is point se neeche sales kam hongi, jabke purchases barhein gi. Mera plan hai ke channel ka upper part 0.60465 tak barhe. Peaks par focus karke, bulls apni benchmark ko target karenge aur uske baad aik decline aa sakta hai

price 0.60696 hai. Pechle din ka extreme use kiya ja sakta hai. Is structure se, range 100-0.60939 aur 50-0.60624 hai. Current price 0.60696 bullish corridor ke north ko point kar raha hai. Market growth ke information se, main 50-0.60624, 61.8-0.60698, 76.4-0.60790 ke entrance point ko dekh raha hoon. In levels se rebounds aur breakthroughs pe kaam kiya ja sakta hai. Main 123.6-0.61088 ya 138.2-0.61180 ke senior profit se bahut satisfied hoon, jo mujhe khush karta hai. Sab kuch planned ke mutabiq nahi ho sakta, aur bear team interest dikhayegi, jo market scope ko 50-0-0.60624 bana degi. Aise losers ke baare mein pareshan hone ki zaroorat nahi, flexible rahkar sales pe shift karna chahiye. Fibonacci grid mukhtalif tareeqon se construct kiya ja sakta hai. Jitna steep tilt angle hoga, utne hi active sellers hain. Bears price ko target 0.60098 tak le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Ek baar target reach ho gaya, to wahan se ek pullback 0.60303 tak hoga jahan se sellers enter karenge. Yeh zaroori hai ke channel ke lower edge par sell na kiya jaye. Channel ka principle simple hai - hum lower edge se buy karte hain aur upper edge se sell karte hain. Abhi, buying interesting nahi lagti kyunki channel southwards trend kar raha hai aur buying asset ki movement ke against hogi. Continuous movements around the 0.60303 level sellers ki presence show karte hain, jo decline ke liye achi chance indicate karte hain. D1 chart, jo mera main chart hai, ek bearish channel dikhata hai. D1 chart par bears ki strength mein koi shak nahi hai. Isliye, jaise ke upar mention kiya, main selling par focus karunga. Abhi, sales enter karna better hoga upper border of the channel at 0.60785 se. Decline channel 0.60153 tak execute hoga. Ek criterion growth ke liye upper edge of the D1 channel at 0.60303 par hoga, ek breakout, market ko strong sellers ke saath hold karte hue, niche bounce karte hue aur bullish activity ke signals provide karte hue. Growth 0.60785 par fade hogi aur phir downward movement retire hogi, jo downside par powerful player ko dikhayegi jisse selling opportunities ke liye dekha jaye. Isliye, buyers ko lag sakta hai ke unki opportunities somewhat restricted hain is prevailing seller-oriented environment mein. Yeh scenario highlight karta hai cautious approach adopt karne ki importance ko, carefully entry points aur risk management strategies ko assess karte hue. Fundamental analysis aur authoritative sources, including updates from the US government, pertinent news data influx provide karte hain jo NZD/USD market ke trajectory ko shape karte hain. Yeh insights essential context provide karte hain, investor sentiment ko influence karte hain, aur strategic decisions ko guide karte hain evolving market conditions ke response mein. Broader economic landscape bhi market ke complexity ko contribute karta hai. Factors raise interest rate differentials between New Zealand and the United States, geopolitical developments, and global economic indicators contribute to nuanced fluctuations observed in NZD/USD trading

Roman Urdu mein:

NZD/USD currency pair ke liye traders ke liye complex scenario hai. Daily charts mein bearish trend hai, lekin recent market activity ne intriguing dynamics introduce ki hai. Broader downtrend ke baad, pair ne recent low ke baad reversal ka sign dikha hai. Yeh low ne downtrend ka end mark kiya hai, aur buying activity ne price ko 0.6000 level ke upar push kiya hai. Yeh price movement upward momentum ya temporary bullish phase ka sign hai. Lekin, situation abhi bhi intricate hai. Price 0.6000 mark ke upar hai, lekin broader perspective se bearish trend abhi bhi hai. Is liye, main selling ke liye cautious hoon. Price 0.5900 level ke neeche drop kar sakti hai, jo buying ke liye opportunity present kar sakti hai.

Technical front par, Envelopes indicator ne support level 0.5977 dikha hai. Current price 0.5996 hai, to yeh support level par retracement buying opportunity present kar sakta hai. Stop loss 0.5970 level ke neeche rakhna risk ko manage karne mein madad karega. Upward move ka target resistance level 0.6035 hai. Technical indicators continued growth ko favor karte hain, upward cycle ka potential dikha rahe hain.

Fundamental perspective se, US Dollar geopolitical tensions ke karan pressure face kar sakta hai, jo weaker dollar ko support kar sakta hai. Yeh external factors NZD/USD pair mein upward movement ko support kar sakte hain.




Summary mein, NZD/USD pair mein bullish potential hai, lekin broader bearish trend ke liye aware rehna zaroori hai. Price action ko key support aur resistance levels par monitor karna informed trading decisions ke liye essential hai. Agar price support level 0.5977 par retrace karta hai, to yeh buying opportunity present kar sakta hai. Market trends aur technical indicators ko observe karna complex market ko effectively navigate karne ke liye key hai

US Dollar Index (DXY) ek medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai, jo kai saalon se chala aa raha hai. Late July se ye steady taur par down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY agle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai

Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega

NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pair kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai

Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target deta hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) breach hota hai, toh yeh range ka sideways trend dobara confirm karega. Iske baad pair phir se range floor ke aas paas, jo 0.5850 hai, move kar sakta hai

Main aap sab ko achi mood ki dua karta hoon! 4-hour chart par linear regression channel ab bhi upward position mein hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke buyers abhi active hain. Main buy karne ka soch raha hoon, lekin market correction ka intezar karunga. Jab channel ke lower limit, 0.60205 level, tak pohanch jaye, tab main yeh soch raha hoon ke kahan se buy karna hai. Main market ke against short trades mein enter nahi karna chahta, aur jab tak channel grow kar raha hai, iski zaroorat bhi nahi hai. Mere liye market mein enter karne ka sabse sahi tareeqa yeh hoga ke main channel ke lower limit se correction ke saath enter karoon. Aisa entry loss ko minimize karne mein madad karega agar koi false entry ho jaye, jisme har trader ko mushkil hoti hai. Upper limit 0.60438 level par determine ki jayegi, aur upper part of the channel ko determine karne ke baad, ek possible decline in the correction ka sochna worth hoga. Correction ki buniyad wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak, jo 0.60465 hai, grow karoon. Peaks pe kaam karte hue, bull apni benchmark tak pohanchega, aur phir ek decline ho sakta hai. Main us decline ko pass kar dunga. Aur phir se decline se, main growth ke direction mein purchases dekh raha hoon.
NZD/USD ke liye crucial resistance level 0.6077 hai. Agar market price is 0.6077 resistance level ko break karta hai, to price upar ja sakti hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.6543 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bullish movement ko resistance sector 0.7123 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, NZD/USD ke liye crucial support level 0.5984 hai. Agar market price yahan se neeche jata hai aur 0.5984 support level ko cross karta hai, to market price aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur market neeche ja sakta hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.5909 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bearish movement ko support sector 0.5545 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Larger time frame aksar forex market ke baare mein sahi signals predict karta hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke is haftay NZD/USD ka market price 0.5984 zone ko cross karega. Yeh

Market conditions ka assessment - NZD/USD. Fibonacci grid mere favorite tools mein se aik hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke market kitna door ja sakta hai, kahan wapas aayega, aur kis level par movement jaari reh sakti hai. Har koi Fibonacci tool ka istimaal apne tareeke se karta hai. Fibonacci installation ko illustrate karte hue, bina market distortion ke, kabhi kabhi yeh samajhna mushkil hota hai ke isay sahi tarah se kaise install karna hai. Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain.

Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon.

US Dollar Index (DXY medium aur long-term mein ek sideways trend mein hai, jo ek multi-year range ke andar hai. Late July se yeh steadily ek down leg unfold kar raha hai, ceiling se jo ke 105 ke aas-paas hai, range floor tak jo ke 100 level hai. Price action ab bhi bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nahi ban rahe – na to shape ke aur na hi candlestick ke form mein. Yeh zyada downside ka risk suggest karta hai. Agar south ki continuation hoti hai, to DXY shayad agle support level 99.57 tak pahunche, jo ke July 2023 ka low hai. Yeh range ka lowest floor hai – is level ke neeche decisive break hona bohot bearish sign hoga.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily chart aur weekly chart (jo ke yahan nahi dikhaya gaya) par oversold hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke prices downside par overextended hain aur pullback hone ka zyada risk hai.

Lekin, RSI ne abhi tak oversold zone se exit nahi kiya hai, jo buy signal ke liye zaroori hai. Jaisa ke situation hai, RSI ka oversold hona bas bears ke liye ek warning hai ke apni short positions ko na badhayein; RSI ko fully oversold se bahar nikalna zaroori hai taake reversal signal mil sake.

100 level important hai. Key psychological level hone ke ilawa, 100 ek major historical support level bhi hai jo ke 2023 ke baad teen baar girti hui prices ko ek safety net provide kar chuka hai (neeche circled hai). Sawal yeh hai, kya 100 is dafa bhi rescue karega?

NZD/USD bar-bar ek range ke ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo spring ke waqt se establish hui thi. August 20 ki high ko break karna ek higher high banaega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega. Aise move se substantial upside follow-through ki expectation hai.

NZD/USD springtime se establish hui sideways range ke ceiling ko knock kar raha hai. August 20 ki high ko break karna shayad ek upside breakout ko confirm karega aur uske baad substantial gains ki expectation hai. Pair temporarily August 20 ko range ke ceiling ko breach kar gaya jab yeh 0.6248 tak ucha, lekin phir jaldi neeche gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick banaya. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo further near-term weakness ko indicate karna chahiye thi, lekin pair 0.6109 August 22 ke swing low tak kuch points gir gaya.

Agar 0.6248 August 20 ki high ke upar break hota hai, to yeh range ke confines se decisive breakout ka signal hoga. Aise move se upside target activate hoga, jo range ke height ka 0.618 ratio lekar aur usse extrapolate karke calculate kiya jayega. Yeh upside target 0.6448 (bold rectangle) hoga. Ek aur, zyada conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai.

Aise move se short-term trend sideways se bullish mein badal sakta hai.

Lekin, agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) ke neeche break hota hai, to yeh sideways trend ko phir se confirm karega ke intact hai. Isse pair shayad phir se niche range floor ke taraf move karega, jo ke around 0.5850 ke aas-paas hai.

NZD/USD Pair Review

Aaj hum D1 period ke chart ko consider karenge - NZD/USD currency pair. Kal price ne jagah par hi sawed kiya, aur pichle hafte price mein growth dekhi gayi, lekin sirf New Zealand dollar ke muqablay mein nahi, American dollar poore market spectrum mein sharply kamzor hua. Ek descending line banayi gayi thi purane weekly waves ke tops par decline develop karne ke liye, lekin yeh tab tak tha jab tak US se important news nahi aayi Friday ko. Us din US Federal Reserve System ke head Jerome Powell ki speech thi aur saath hi US mein naye housing sales ke figures bhi aaye. Is news ke wajah se price sharply upar chali gayi, aur purane waves ke tops par banayi gayi descending line bhi break ho gayi. Filhal price resistance level 0.6221 ke just upar ruk gayi hai. Jab price is level se bahar chali gayi, toh yeh potential sales zone ban gaya hai. Ek saath zyada door nahi jayegi, ascending wave already lambi ho gayi hai aur correction ki zaroorat hai.

Iske ilawa, CCI indicator upper overheating zone mein bend ho raha hai aur isse bahar nikalne ke liye tayyar hai. Agar aap younger four-hour period par dekhein, toh MACD indicator par bearish divergence ka presence dikhayi deta hai, jo decline ke liye ek strong signal hai, mujhe lagta hai yeh kaam karega. Yeh isliye bhi kaam karega kyunki doosre currency pairs bhi US dollar ke khilaf chal rahe hain aur corrective rollback ki zaroorat hai. Is top se bahar nikalne ke baad, mujhe lagta hai aap ek mirror level ka formation dekh sakte hain, for example, hourly chart par, jahan support resistance mein tabdeel hota hai aur neeche work kiya jata hai. Downward correction ka minimum target support level 0.6159 hai jo closing prices par build kiya gaya hai. Shayed itni lambi growth ke baad, hum deeper down jayenge, lekin yeh minimum target sabse zyada achieve hone ki umeed hai. Aaj ke liye ek news note ki ja sakti hai - 17:00 par US Consumer Confidence Index from CB.