نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

Aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya kar rahe hain. AUD/USD pair mein Friday ko buying activity dekhi gayi, aur daily chart upward trend ko show kar raha hai. Ahm sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh bullish movement barqarar rahegi ya humein kisi doosray scenario ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Isko samajhne ke liye, Monday ke liye technical analysis ka tajziya karte hain aur dekhte hain ke kya recommendations hain. Analysis ke mutabiq, moving averages active buying ko suggest kar rahe hain, technical indicators bhi buying recommend karte hain, aur overall output bhi buying ko support kar raha hai. Is analysis se Monday ke liye bullish outlook ka pata chal raha hai. Australia se koi significant updates expected nahi hain, magar U.S. apna index of leading economic indicators release karega, jiska forecast negative hai.

In sab factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, pair ka bullish trajectory mein rehna mumkin hai. Possible buying targets 0.6689 ke resistance level tak pohunch sakte hain, jabke selling opportunities 0.6654 ke qareeb support level pe mil sakti hain. Is liye, pair ka upward movement expected hai. Lekin agar bearish scenario ka imkaan ho, to yeh scenario bhi feasible hai aur unfold ho sakta hai, jahan pehle thodi si upward movement dekhne ko milay aur phir reversal ho jaye. Abhi tak jo bullish phase hai wo mukammal tor par develop nahi hui hai. Volume indicators ke mutabiq, recent price increases ne top liquidity ko ab tak poori tarah exhaust nahi kiya hai. Agar market khulne ke baad ek tez price rise dekhne ko milay aur wo high volumes ke sath ho, to iska matlab ho sakta hai ke price rise apni peak tak pohunch chuki hai aur top liquidity exhaust ho chuki hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to ek significant downward correction 0.6492 level ko target kar sakti hai, jahan accumulated volume majood hai.

NZD/USD currency pair abhi traders ke liye mushkil halat paish kar raha hai. Jabke daily charts bearish trend ko reflect kar rahe hain, recent market activity ne kuch dilchasp dynamics introduce kiye hain. Downtrend ke bawajood, pair ne Monday ko record hui low ke baad reversal ke kuch nishan dikhaye hain. Ye low lagta hai ke downtrend ka end mark kar raha hai, aur buying activity ke saath price 0.6000 level ke upar push hui hai. Ye price movement suggest karti hai ke market upward momentum ya temporary bullish phase mein ho sakti hai.
Magar, halat ab bhi complex hain. Jabke price abhi 0.6000 mark ke upar hai, overall bearish trend ab bhi broad perspective se bana hua hai. Isliye, in levels par selling ke liye cautious hoon. Price ke 0.5900 level ke neeche girne ka potential ab bhi hai, jo lower levels par buying ka mauka de sakta hai.

Filhal, NZD/USD pair ek mixed scenario dikhata hai. Broad bearish trend ke bawajood, market ne upar ki taraf push kiya hai aur significant support levels ke upar hold kiya hai. Ye kuch upward pressure ko indicate karta hai lekin market environment ki complexity ko bhi highlight karta hai. Is market ko effectively navigate karne ke liye patience aur diligent observation zaroori hai.

Technical front par, Envelopes indicator suggest karta hai ke support level around 0.5977 hai. Current price 0.5996 ke madde nazar, is support level tak retracement buying opportunity provide kar sakti hai. 0.5970 level ke neeche stop loss implement karna risk manage karne mein madadgar hoga. Is upward move ka target resistance level 0.6035 hoga. Technical indicators current levels se continued growth ko favor karte hain, jo upward cycle ke potential ko highlight karta hai

Fundamental perspective se, US Dollar ko ongoing geopolitical tensions, khaaskar Middle East mein, ke sabab se zyada pressure face karna pad sakta hai. Ye external factors dollar ko weak kar sakte hain, jo NZD/USD pair ke further upward movement ko support kar sakta hai

Wednesday ko NZD/USD ki currency price moving average support level se door chalai gayi. Phir bhi, iski daily position resistance area 0.6140 ke neeche chali gayi hai, jab ke isne ise successfully cross kiya. Yeh isliye hai ke yeh moving average support level ko correct kar sakti hai, jo ke 0.6220 hai, bullish engulfing pattern ka range hone ka estimate hai. Agar yeh resistance level tod deti hai, to price agle trading session mein supply area 0.6110 ki taraf barh sakti hai.
Pichhli position 0.6150 ne support area se H4 time frame intra-day par upper band area mein shift kar diya hai, jo ke price movement pattern se zahir hota hai. Is natije mein, yeh moving average support level ke aas paas behtar ho sakti hai, jo ke 0.6080 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh is area ke upar reflect hoti hai, to buy option khul sakti hai, jo ke price rise ke resistance area 0.6130 tak target karegi. Agar price 6190 ke neeche nahi girti, to dobara re-entry purchase consider ki jaye, jo ke support area 0.6070 ke aas paas price rise ko target karegi.

Lower RSI indicator mein price decline ke mumkin hone ke madde nazar, buy option tab khul sakti hai jab support area aur resistance area ka steady growth fail ho jaye. Yeh upper area se price move hone ke baad ka area ho sakta hai. Agar yeh zone mein enter ho chuki hai, to daily time frame par support area aur resistance area 0.6010 ke aas paas buy option ke saath revisit kiya ja sakta hai, jiska aim price ko jaldi barhawa dena hai

NZD-USD ki market Asian session mein 0.5865 par khuli. Price ne market opening area ke around limited way mein move kiya. Phir ek slight push aaya, jisne price ko slowly climb up karne mein madad ki. Isne price ko closest resistance 0.5880 par breakthrough karne mein bhi madad ki, jo is week ki weekly open 0.5882 ke close hai. Is area mein breakout ke saath, umeed hai ki price next closest resistance tak pahunch sakega, jo ki bullish target hai, 0.5905. Lekin price ne phir se consolidate kiya jab price ne 0.5894 ko touch kiya. Buyer ne di gayi push ne EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ko curve karne aur upward cross karne mein madad ki, jo ki positive movement ka indication ho sakta hai. Lekin current price behavior thoda doubtful hai. Aur do small EMAs ke crossing ko perfectly confirm nahi kiya gaya hai.

Trading Plan H1

Aaj ke transaction plan ke liye, kuch trading options taiyar kiye gaye hain market mein hone wale possibilities ko address karne ke liye. Planning to sell agar price support 0.5851 ko break karta hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 downward crossover form karte hain, take profit 0.5827 – 0.5794 par. Ek aur sell option hai EMA 200 H1 line ke around pullback momentum ka wait karna, weakening target ko real-time EMA 36 line ke position par adjust karna. Buy phir se attempt ki ja rahi hai agar EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 perfect crossover form karte hain, price 0.5881 area ko break karta hai ya 0.5905 area ko pass karne mein successful hota hai, strengthening target ko 0.5915 - 0.5938 tak calculate kiya jata hai. Buy pullback ek aur alternative hai agar price phir se weaken hoti hai aur 0.5791 area mein rejection hoti hai, bullish potential 0.5839 par. Stoploss 15 – 20 pips from order area

Halaat chahe bearish nazar aa rahe hon, trading mein ek well-defined risk management strategy ke sath agay barhna zaroori hai. Forex market apne andaaz mein hamesha volatile hoti hai, aur behtareen formed trends mein bhi achanak reversals aa sakte hain. Stop-loss orders ko theek jagah set karna bohot zaroori hai taake aap apne capital ko protect kar sakein. Misal ke taur par, ek recent swing high se thoda upar stop-loss rakhna aapke potential losses ko limit karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai agar market aapke position ke against move kare. Traders ko un economic events par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye jo NZDUSD pair par asar dal sakte hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices mein tabdeeliyan NZDUSD mein achanak movements ko trigger kar sakti hain, jo ke current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakta hai. Aapko informed rehna aur apni trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye jo ke successful trading ke liye bohot zaroori hai. NZDUSD currency pair H4 time frame par filhal sellers ke liye ek maqool opportunity nazar aa raha hai. Chalte huye downward trend, jo ke technical indicators aur price action se confirm hota hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke traders ke liye multiple opportunities hain taake pair ke further declines se faida uthaya ja sake. Retracement levels, volume, aur key technical signals ka gaur se analysis karke, traders strategic position le sakte hain taake is bearish trend ka faida uthaya ja sake. Lekin, hamesha ki tarah, risk ko effectively manage karna aur market dynamics par kisi bhi development ke liye alert rehna bohot zaroori hai. Agar sahi approach apnaayi jaye to NZDUSD market ke current conditions profitable opportunities de sakti hain un logon ke liye jo ke trend ke sath trade karna chahte

TRADING ANALYSIS AUGUST 21
NZD-USD PAIR

NZD/USD daily timeframe par dekha jaye to yeh nazar aata hai ke maujooda price ek significant resistance level ke qareeb pohonch rahi hai, jo ke 0.61547 se 0.62180 ke range mein hai. Yeh ek kaafi strong resistance zone hai, kyun ke guzashta mein jab bhi price is area ke qareeb ya touch hui, to market ka direction reverse hota raha. Dusri taraf, 0.58725 ke area ke aas-paas ek major support level hai jo ke significant price movements ka lower limit ka kaam karta hai. Yeh level pehle price decline ko roknay mein kaafi effective raha hai, jahan buying pressure nazar aaya aur price ne wapis upside ki taraf move karna shuru kiya.

Filhal, price ek uptrend mein move kar rahi hai jabke yeh neeche se rebound kar ke resistance ke qareeb aayi hai. Is movement pattern se yeh lagta hai ke market resistance ki strength ko test kar rahi hai. Agar price 0.62180 ke level ko tor ke upar close karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to kaafi imkaan hai ke bullish trend continue karega aur future mein mazid upper levels tak pohonchne ke chances barh jayenge. Magar agar price is resistance ko break karne mein nakam hoti hai, to selling pressure wapas aane ka imkaan hai, jo price ko neeche support level ke qareeb wapis le ja sakta hai.





Meri trading plan yeh hai ke main is correction ka intezaar karoon takay ek better buy momentum mil sake. Pehla buy area jo main ne identify kiya hai wo 0.61115 se 0.61246 ke beech hai. Yeh area ek demand zone ban sakta hai, jahan buyers wapas aa kar price ko correction ke baad phir se upar push kar sakte hain. Agar price is area mein aati hai aur reversal ke signs dikhati hai, jaise ke bullish candlestick patterns ya doosre technical indicators se confirmation, to yeh ek acha mauka ho sakta hai buy position open karne ka.

Iske ilawa, doosra buy area jo main dekh raha hoon wo 0.60817 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh level pehle ek swing high tha jo break ho chuka hai, aur ab yeh ek naya support level ban sakta hai. Agar price is level tak deeper correct karti hai, to buyers ke is level ko defend karne ka imkaan hai aur price ko wapas upar push kar sakte hain. Isliye, yeh area bhi ek acha mauka ho sakta hai buy opportunities dekhne ka agar wahan retracement hota hai.

Pichlay haftay New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against narrow range mein trade kiya aur 0.6010 par close kiya. Ye saatwain din hai jab price movement limited rahi, jo ke pair ke liye consolidation ka period suggest karta hai. Technical indicators mix signals de rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neutral level ke qareeb settle ho gaya hai, jo buying aur selling pressure ke darmiyan balance ka izhar karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) flat ho gaya hai, jo ke clear directional momentum ki kami ko zahir karta hai. Lekin MACD ke positive histogram aur green bars buying interest ki nishani hain.

NZD/USD pair ko foran resistance psychologically important 0.6000 level par face hai. Agar yeh level successful tor diya jata hai, to yeh rally ke liye rasta khol sakta hai jo 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) tak ja sakti hai, jo 0.6040 hai, aur shayad mazid upar 0.6150 tak bhi jasakta hai. Agar pair 20-day SMA ke neeche 0.5970 ke level par break karta hai, to yeh downtrend ka wapas shuru hona zahir karega, jahan potential targets 0.5900 tak ho sakte hain.






Abhi market mein downward correction ka imkaan bhi nazar aata hai kyun ke recent increase thoda zyada ho chuka hai. Saath hi, candle abhi tak supply area mein blocked hai jo ke 0.6137 ke price level par hai. Jab tak supply area 0.6145 ke price par penetrate nahi hota, downward movement ka chance barqarar hai. Is liye, main apne doston ko yeh salah doonga ke is pair mein sirf sell positions open karen aur apne targets ko 0.6064 area ke aas-paas rakhain.

Wednesday ke din NZD/USD ki tez decline ne central bank policies aur market expectations ka currency movements par asar ko zyada highlight kiya. Reserve Bank of New Zealand ka dovish stance NZD ke liye downside risks ka imkaan barhata hai, jis se key support levels aham ho jate hain jo pair ke future movements ka taayun karenge. Traders ko in technical levels aur bank ke future statements par nazar rakhni chahiye taake evolving landscape ko behtar samjha ja sake.

Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne Asian session ke dauran Wednesday ki subah ke trading mein apni rise ko continue kiya. Yeh upward movement zyada tar kamzor hotay US Dollar aur global market sentiment ke behtari ki wajah se hai. Traders bhi ab US August S&P Global PMI report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo Wednesday ko expected hai aur yeh report NZD/USD pair ke direction par asar daal sakti hai.

NZD ko Support Karnay Walay Key Factors:
Kamzor US Dollar:Hal hi mein US Dollar ne apni strength mein kami mehsoos ki hai, jo ke yeh andazay lagaye jaane ki wajah se hai ke Federal Reserve apni interest rate hikes ko slow kar sakta hai. Fed officials ke recent bayanat se lagta hai ke rapid rate increases ka period jaldi khatam ho sakta hai. Yeh pressure US Dollar par aaya hai, jis ne New Zealand Dollar ko gain karne ka mauka diya hai.

Improved Market Sentiment: Global markets mein zyada positive outlook hai, jo ke is belief ki wajah se hai ke Fed rates ko barhane mein zyada aggressive approach nahi le raha. Saath hi, key economies se achi economic data ne mood ko lift kiya hai aur zyada risk-taking ko encourage kiya hai. New Zealand Dollar, jo aksar aise risk appetite se faida uthata hai, global trade par New Zealand ke reliance ki wajah se gains dekha raha hai.

Strong New Zealand Economy: New Zealand ki economy ne resilience dikhayi hai, global economy mein challenges ke bawajood. Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne ek mohtaat lekin optimistic stance rakha hai, jisme inflation ko manage karte hue economic growth ko support karna shamil hai. New Zealand se employment aur inflation ki positive reports ne NZD ke aas-paas ke upbeat sentiment ko aur barhawa diya hai.

Focus on Upcoming US Data – S&P Global PMI:
Traders ab US August S&P Global PMI report ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo Wednesday ko release hogi. Yeh report US manufacturing aur services sectors ki performance ka early indication degi. Agar data strong growth show karta hai, to yeh US Dollar ko strengthen kar sakta hai aur US economy par confidence barhane ka sabab ban sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar data weak aata hai, to Dollar mazid kamzor ho sakta hai, jo NZD ko apni rise ko continue karne ka mauka dega.

Market Sentiment:
Is waqt traders NZD/USD pair mein bade moves karte hue mohtaat hain, kyun ke woh mazid economic data ka intezaar kar rahe hain. NZD ka recent rise market trends aur strong fundamentals dono ke zariye support ho raha hai. Lekin yeh trend continue hoga ya nahi, yeh upcoming US data aur overall market conditions par depend karega.

Technical Outlook:
Agar technical charts ko dekha jaye, to NZD/USD ek key resistance level ke qareeb hai jo ke iska agla direction tay karega. Agar pair is level ko break karta hai, to yeh mazid upar ja sakta hai. Agar ismein nakami hoti hai, to yeh wapis neeche ke support levels ki taraf retreat kar sakta hai. Traders in levels ko closely dekh rahe hain jab woh apne aglay steps plan kar rahe hain.

Wednesday ka NZD/USD ka currency price moving average support level se door chala gaya. Lekin phir bhi, iska daily position neeche ki taraf resistance area 0.6140 se neeche gaya, jo ke pehle isne cross kar liya tha. Ye is liye ke moving average support level ko theek kar sake pehle ke price ka izafa jari rakhe, jo ke 0.6220 hai, jo ke bullish engulfing pattern ke range ka andaaza hai from inside engulfing pattern. Agar ye resistance level break hota hai, toh price agle trading session mein supply area 0.6110 tak barh sakta hai.
Aakhri position 0.6150 se support area se upper band area tak chali gayi hai H4 time frame intra-day ke hisaab se, jo ke price movement pattern se zahir hai. Nateeja ye hai ke ye moving average support level ke aas paas 0.6080 ke qareeb behtari kar sakta hai. Agar price is area ke upar reflect karta hai, toh buy ka option khol sakte hain, jo ke resistance area ke price range 0.6130 mein izafa ka target karega. Agar price 6190 se dobara neeche girne mein nakam hota hai, toh dobara re-entry purchase ka socha ja sakta hai, jo ke 06070 ke aas paas support area mein price rise ka target karega.

Agar RSI indicator mein neeche girne ki possibility ho, toh buy ka option tab ho sakta hai jab support area aur resistance area confirm ho jaye ke wo barabar se grow nahi kar raha. Ye tab ho sakta hai jab price upper area se move ho chuka ho. Agar sure ho jaye ke zone mein dakhil ho gaya hai, toh buy option ke sath support area aur resistance area 0.6010 ke aas paas daily time frame pe revisit ho sakta hai. Iska aim future mein prices barhane ka hoga

Umeed hai sab log theek honge! 4-hour chart ek linear regression channel ko oopar ki taraf dikhata hai, jo buyer activity ko zahir karta hai. Main buying ka soch raha hoon magar market correction ka intezar karunga. Jab channel apni neeche wali hadd ko touch karega, khaas tor par 0.60205 par, tab main buy trade enter karne ka sochunga. Main market ke khilaaf short trades lene ka iraada nahi rakhta, aur jab tak channel oopar ki taraf move kar raha hai, shorting ki zarurat nahi.
Ideal entry point tab hoga jab price correction ke dauran neeche wali hadd ko touch karega, jo false entries se nuksan ko kam karega. Channel ka upper limit 0.60438 par hai, aur trade karne se pehle correction ka intezar karna zaroori hoga jab ye upper section tak pohnch jaye. Correction ka base channel ke fluctuations par hoga. Hourly chart bhi ek oopar ki taraf linear regression channel ko dikhata hai, jo H4 chart ke sath milta hai aur bullish interest ko mazid mazboot karta hai.

Channel Analysis ke mutabiq dono channels buy trades par focus dena chahiye. Filhaal selling ke koi conditions nahi hain. Sell trades tab justified hongi agar H4 channel neeche ki taraf trend dikhaye, jo short trade entries ko allow kare. Magar dono charts filhaal upward trend dikhate hain, is liye short trades ke liye kam faida hai.

Buyers actively market ko upar le ja rahe hain; is liye 0.60024 par neeche wali hadd se connect karna samajhdari hogi, jo purchases ke liye ek ideal entry point hai. Is point se neeche sales kam hongi, jabke purchases barhein gi. Mera plan hai ke channel ka upper part 0.60465 tak barhe. Peaks par focus karke, bulls apni benchmark ko target karenge aur uske baad aik decline aa sakta hai

Pichlay trading haftay, New Zealand dollar ne 0.5995 ke level se correction ke baad apni giraawat ko jari rakhne ki koshish ki. Price jaldi se 0.5845 ke level tak pohanch gayi magar phir achanak palat gayi aur resistance zone ki taraf chalne lagi, jahan us ne signal zone ko break kar liya. Is tarah, expected negative scenario pura nahi hua. Is doran, price chart ab bhi super-trend green zone mein hai, jo buyers ki activity ko zahir karta hai.
NZD/USD ne Thursday ko Wall Street ke khulnay par sideways trading mein entry ki, magar US economic data ki wajah se din ka ikhtitam higher levels par kiya. Price 0.6048 tak barh gayi, jo pichli session ki closing price 0.5937 ke muqablay mein zyada thi. Thursday ko, price ne intraday low 0.5930 aur intraday high 0.6023 hit kiya. Dusri quarter ki disappointing data ke baad, hukoomat ko apne 5% annual growth target ko pura karne ke liye policy support ko barhana par sakta hai. Growth ka matlab hai ke China ko domestic demand ko barhane ke liye mazeed policy efforts ki zarurat hogi.

Temporary assumption yeh hai ke upward trend abhi bhi market ko control karta hai, kyun ke agar is haftay ke trend pattern ko dekha jaye, to lagta hai buyers ka control hai, halan ke haftay ke darmiyan mein ek downward correction aayi thi jo mazboot nahi thi ya bearish correction ki koshish thi. Mera andaza hai ke price ka safar ab bhi Uptrend ki koshish karega taake bullish journey jari rahe. Aaj subah ka candlestick apni position simple moving average zone se upar band hua jo 100 period ke liye tha, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke market trend barhne ka chance rakhta hai. Agay, agar buyer candlestick ko 0.6080 ke price zone se upar lay jaye, to bullish trend aglay trading session mein market ko dominate kar sakta hai. Buy trading plan ko higher area ki taraf target ke sath consider kiya ja sakta h

NZDUSD currency pair mein yeh surat-e-haal dekh raha hoon: M15 chart par linear regression channel ka slope upward hai, jo ke is baat ki nishani hai ke buyers market mein strong hain. Buyers ki activity yeh behtareen moka deti hai ke lower channel border 0.61105 se purchases ko consider kiya jaye. Phir main market ka intizar karunga ke yeh 0.61194 level tak bade, jiske baad ek correction hona chahiye. Correction lower border tak hoga, jahan se phir se purchases ko consider karna chahiye, aur agar yeh neeche toot jata hai, toh hum further girte hain, is surat mein purchases cancel ki jati hain. Yeh woh movements hain jisme market channel ke saath grow karta hai jab yeh upward dekhta hai. Channel ke upper border 0.61194 se sales honi chahiye, aap enter kar sakte hain. Mere liye important hai ke mein rollback se enter karun jitna close lower border ke mumkin ho. High time H1 dekhte hue, mujhe yeh lagta hai ke linear regression channel upward direction mein hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada important hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke bulls strong hain. M15 channel par signal purchases ka hai, jo ke mere buying ke irade ko aur barhata hai. Sirf price ka intizar karna hai sahi jagah par aur wahan se buys dekhna hai. Jo jagah mujhe purchases ke liye sahi lag rahi hai, wo hai channel ki lower border 0.60864. Is jagah se mein phir se buy karne ki koshish karunga 0.61465 tak. Agar target poora ho jata hai aur uske baad growth hoti hai, toh yeh strong growth ka indicator hai. 0.61465 se correction hone ka chance zyada hai, kyunki bullish movement ko pasand kiya gaya hai. Phir bulls apne movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry mark 0.60864 downward cross ho jata hai, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Is case mein trading plan towards purchases ko revise karna zaroori hoga aur market situation ko dobara evaluate karna hoga. NZDUSD prices upar jayein. Market mein purchases activate karne ki koshish worth trying lagti hai, profit ko lagbhag 0.61567 level par achieve karne pe focus karte hue. Earning prospects kaafi achi lag rahi hain. Filhal 0.61339 price par trading ho rahi hai. Jab tak hum 0.61291 level ke upar hain, main additional buy orders open karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Sellers ke tamam attempts ab tak price ko reduce karne mein kamyab nahi hue hain. Agar price 0.61291 ke level ke neeche chali jati hai, to mujhe losses accept karke trade ko end karna hoga. Lekin abhi bhi bulls ke liye potential hai aur mujhe upar ki taraf ziada bullish efforts ki umeed hai. Is waqt main sell transactions open karne ke possibility consider nahi kar raha, lekin theoretically 0.61015 level short positions ke liye target

New Zealand Dollar ne Wednesday ke subah ke Asian session mein apni upar chadhai ko barhaya hai. Halka US Dollar aur positive risk sentiment NZD/USD ko support de rahe hain. Investors ki nazar US ke August ke pehle reading S&P Global PMI par hogi, jo ke Wednesday ko aayegi.

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) Wednesday ko thoda upar gaya hai jab USD Index (DXY) ne apni girawat ko saal ke nishan tak pohncha diya. Risk sentiment mein behtari aur China ke real estate sector ko support dene ke liye naye measures ke baad NZD ko faida hua hai kyun ke China New Zealand ka sabse bara trading partner hai.

Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ki dovish remarks aur pichle hafte ke surprise rate cut se NZD/USD ki upar chadhai ko limit mil sakti hai. Investors US ke preliminary S&P Global PMI for August par nazar rakhenge, jo Wednesday ko aayega. Sab ki nazar Fed Chair Powell ke Jackson Hole symposium ke speech par hogi jo Friday ko hai. Agar Powell ke remarks dovish hue, to USD ko nuksan ho sakta hai aur NZD/USD ko faida ho sakta hai. People's Bank of China (PBOC) ne Tuesday ko one-year aur five-year Loan Prime Rates (LPR) ko 3.35% aur 3.85% par steady rakha.

China ne real estate sector ko boost dene ke liye naye measures implement kiye hain. Kam se kam 10 sheheron ke governments ne naye gharon ke price guidelines ko relax ya scrap kar diya taake market demand ko zyada role mil sake, Bloomberg ke mutabiq.

New Zealand ke Trade Balance ne July mein NZD -$9.29B YoY ka figure diya, jo pichle $-9.5B se behtar hai. Exports July mein $6.15B tak gir gaye, jo pichle $6.17B se kam hai, jabke Imports $7.11B tak barh gaye, jo pehle ke $5.45B se zyada hai.

Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michelle Bowman ne Tuesday ko kaha ke woh policy mein kisi bhi shift ke baare mein cautious hain kyunki unka kehna hai ke inflation ke liye upside risks ab bhi hain. Unhone warned ki kisi bhi single data point par overreact karne se pehle se hui progress khatre mein padh sakti hai, Reuters ke mutabiq.

Markets ab September meeting mein 25 basis points (bps) Fed rate cut ki 67.5% chances ko price kar rahe hain, jo ke Tuesday ke 77% se kam hai, CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq.

Technical Analysis: New Zealand Dollar ka constructive outlook dobara shuru
New Zealand Dollar aaj ke din mein stronger note par trade kar raha hai. NZD/USD pair daily chart par bullish trend mein hai kyunki pair descending trendline aur key 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar hai. Upward momentum ko 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi support kar raha hai, jo ke midline ke upar 65.60 ke nazdeek hai, isse aage upside favorable lagta hai.

Immediate resistance level 0.6222 hai, jo 12 June ka high hai. Iske aage next hurdle 0.6279 par hai, jo 12 January ka high hai. Additional upside filter 0.6360 par dekha ja sakta hai, jo 29 December 2023 ka high hai.

Niche, 0.6130 psychological mark initial support level ke roop mein kaam karti hai. Next contention level 0.6070 ke nazdeek hai, jo pehle resistance ban chuka tha aur ab support ban gaya hai. Agar trading is level ke niche sustained rahi, to 0.5974 tak girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo 15 August ka low hai.

NZDUSD daily timeframe par dekhne se yeh pata chalta hai ke current price ek aham resistance level ke qareeb hai jo 0.61547 se 0.62180 ke range mein hai. Yeh level kaafi mazboot resistance zone hai kyunki price pehle bhi is area ke qareeb aane ya lagne ke baad direction reverse karti rahi hai. Dusri taraf, ek major support level 0.58725 ke qareeb hai jo significant price movements ka lower limit hai. Yeh level past mein price declines ko rokne mein effective raha hai, aur yahan buying pressure dikhayi deti hai jiski wajah se price upar ki taraf wapas modti hai. Filhal, price ek lower level se rebound karte hue uptrend mein hai aur resistance ke qareeb ja rahi hai. Yeh movement pattern yeh indicate karti hai ke market shayad resistance ki strength ko test kar rahi hai. Agar price 0.62180 level ko break karke uske upar close karti hai, to bullish trend continue hone ke high chances hain, jo future mein aur higher levels ki taraf increase ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is resistance ko break nahi karti, to selling pressure dekhne ko mil sakti hai jo price ko support level ke qareeb le aayegi.

Meri trading plan yeh hai ke main is correction ka intezar karunga taake ek behtar buy momentum mil sake. Pehla buy area jo maine identify kiya hai wo 0.61115 se 0.61246 ke base ke qareeb hai. Yeh area ek demand zone ban sakta hai jahan buyers wapas aa sakte hain aur price ko dobara upar push kar sakte hain. Agar price is area tak pohnchti hai aur reversal ke signs dikhati hai jaise ke bullish candlestick patterns ya kisi aur technical indicators ka confirmation milta hai, to yeh buy position open karne ke liye ek achi opportunity ho sakti hai.

Is ke ilawa, doosra buy area jo main dekh raha hoon wo 0.60817 level ke qareeb hai. Yeh level pehle swing high ke tor par kaam aayi thi jo ab ek naya support level ban sakti hai. Agar price is level tak correction karti hai, to buyers is level ko defend kar sakte hain aur price ko wapas upar push kar sakte hain. Isliye, agar price wahan retracement karti hai to yeh bhi buy opportunities dekhne ke liye achi jagah ho sakti hai.

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NZDUSD daily timeframe par dekhne se yeh pata chalta hai ke current price ek aham resistance level ke qareeb hai jo 0.61547 se 0.62180 ke range mein hai. Yeh level kaafi mazboot resistance zone hai kyunki price pehle bhi is area ke qareeb aane ya lagne ke baad direction reverse karti rahi hai. Dusri taraf, ek major support level 0.58725 ke qareeb hai jo significant price movements ka lower limit hai. Yeh level past mein price declines ko rokne mein effective raha hai, aur yahan buying pressure dikhayi deti hai jiski wajah se price upar ki taraf wapas modti hai. Filhal, price ek lower level se rebound karte hue uptrend mein hai aur resistance ke qareeb ja rahi hai. Yeh movement pattern yeh indicate karti hai ke market shayad resistance ki strength ko test kar rahi hai. Agar price 0.62180 level ko break karke uske upar close karti hai, to bullish trend continue hone ke high chances hain, jo future mein aur higher levels ki taraf increase ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is resistance ko break nahi karti, to selling pressure dekhne ko mil sakti hai jo price ko support level ke qareeb le aayegi.

Meri trading plan yeh hai ke main is correction ka intezar karunga taake ek behtar buy momentum mil sake. Pehla buy area jo maine identify kiya hai wo 0.61115 se 0.61246 ke base ke qareeb hai. Yeh area ek demand zone ban sakta hai jahan buyers wapas aa sakte hain aur price ko dobara upar push kar sakte hain. Agar price is area tak pohnchti hai aur reversal ke signs dikhati hai jaise ke bullish candlestick patterns ya kisi aur technical indicators ka confirmation milta hai, to yeh buy position open karne ke liye ek achi opportunity ho sakti hai.

Is ke ilawa, doosra buy area jo main dekh raha hoon wo 0.60817 level ke qareeb hai. Yeh level pehle swing high ke tor par kaam aayi thi jo ab ek naya support level ban sakti hai. Agar price is level tak correction karti hai, to buyers is level ko defend kar sakte hain aur price ko wapas upar push kar sakte hain. Isliye, agar price wahan retracement karti hai to yeh bhi buy opportunities dekhne ke liye achi jagah ho sakti hai.