نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

Market is ke baad bhi correctiv decline continue karega; growth ho sakti hai. Agar aap 0.6130 range ka false breakout banate hain aur us ke baad growth continue hoti hai, jab hum 0.6195 ko todte hain aur us ke upar merge karte hain, to ye khareedari ka signal hoga. Agar aap 0.6130 range ko todte hain, to us ke baad growth continue hogi. 0.6131 range mein support hai aur growth wahan se continue hoti hai. Jab aap sirf breakout continue kar sakte hain. Strength aage continue ho sakti hai. 0.6130 range mein support hai aur growth wahan se continue ho sakti hai. Shayad agar hum 0.6195 ko todte hain aur us ke upar foothold gain karte hain, to ye rate raise ka signal hoga. Agar sellers price ko neeche le jaate hain, to main 0.6130 range ka false breakout allow karunga. Agar hum current se growth karte hain aur 0.6195 range ko todte hain, to ye rate increase ka signal hoga jab hum upar fix karenge. Iske baad ek slight decline bhi aa sakta hai. Is case mein, growth continue hogi, yeh zyada important hai. New Zealand ke positive GDP news ke bawajood, NZD/USD ke gains modest aur fleeting thay. Pair ka 0.6145 par key 20-day moving average ko chaar din tak breach na kar paana, uptrend ke potential stall hone ke baare mein concerns uthata hai, chahe technical indicators bearish lean karte hain. Sellers shayad wait-and-see approach apna rahe hain, action lene ke liye agar NZD/USD critical support zone 0.6085-0.6095 se neeche jata hai. Agar downtrend materialize hota hai, to 50-day aur 200-day moving averages jo 0.6060 ke aas paas hain, kuch support de sakte hain, ek steeper decline towards 0.5980-0.6000 area ko prevent kar sakte hain. Halanki, ek aur plunge ek sharper fall ko trigger kar sakta hai 0.5940 level par, jahan ek long-term uptrend line intersect hoti hai. Ye zone NZD/USD ke liye ek critical test hoga, jahan breach hone par ek significant depreciation ho sakta hai

Current market dynamics technical patterns aur unki implications ko samajhne ki importance ko illustrate karte hain. Broken channel retest pattern, rising red channel ke saath, market ke potential direction ka ek nuanced view deta hai. Jaise price in formations ke andar evolve hoti hai, traders ko informed aur adaptable rehna padega, naye developments ke liye ready rehna padega aur accordingly apni strategies ko adjust karna padega. Summary mein, price ek broken channel retest pattern ke andar move kar rahi hai, jo downward trend ke continuation ka suggestion karta hai. Is mahine ka emergence ek rising red channel ka, pichle mahine ke movements ko echo karta hai, jo market analysis ko ek layer of complexity deta hai. In patterns ko carefully monitor karke, traders future price actions ko better anticipate kar sakte hain aur apni positions ko effectively manage karne ke liye informed decisions le sakte hain. Short-term upward correction aur longer-term bearish trend ke darmiyan interplay, volatile market conditions mein trading ke liye ek comprehensive approach ki zarurat ko underscore karta hai

Yeh move aham thi kyunki yeh ek ahem maqam ka nishan thi jahan se market ke jazbat badal sakte thay. Is upar ke hadd ko chhoone ke baad, pair ne ek reversal ka samna kiya aur price ne niche ki taraf chalna shuru kar diya. Yeh shift pehle hi ek nishan tha ke price mazeed niche ja sakti hai is muqarar channel mein. Iss stage par, meri analysis yeh kehti thi ke price shayad apni downward trajectory ko jari rakhegi. Technical indicators aur market sentiment bhi isi umeed ke mutabiq thay. Maine project kiya tha ke price NZD/USD daily M30 timeframe chart ke downward channel ke lower border, level 0.6130 ko touch kar sakti hai. Yeh level ek aham support point identify kiya gaya tha, jahan price ko thodi dair ke liye rukawat ya reversal mil sakti thi, historical price movements aur technical analysis ke buniyad par. Magar, meri umeedon ke khilaf, price is lower level ko nahi pohnch saki. Is ke bajaye, ek unexpected reversal pehle hi ho


gaya. Pair ne turn liya aur upar ki taraf move karne laga, jo ke predicted path se hat kar tha. Yeh premature reversal ek ahem turning point thi, jo yeh indicate karti thi ke selling pressure kam ho gaya tha aur buyers ka control barh raha tha. Jab price ne ascend karna shuru kiya, yeh downward channel ke bahar nikal gayi, jo ek potential shift in overall trend ka signal tha. Downward channel se breakout ne yeh suggest kiya ke bearish momentum kamzor par gaya tha aur bulls control le rahe thay. Yeh upward movement market dynamics mein tabdeeli ko zahir karti thi, ke buying interest barh raha tha aur price ko upar push kar raha tha

Haal hi ke trading activity mein aik ahem development hui jab ke price girti hui channel ke upper border ke qareeb pohanch gayi. Ye move ahem thi kyun ke is ne potential reversal ka critical point mark kiya, jo market sentiment mein tabdeeli ki nishani thi. Upper border ko chhoone ke baad, pair ne reversal experience kiya aur price downward move karne lagi. Ye shift anticipated thi aur further downward movement ka signal thi established channel ke andar. Iss stage par, meri analysis ne suggest kiya ke price apni downward trajectory ko continue karegi. Technical indicators aur overall market sentiment is expectation ke saath align ho rahe the. Maine project kiya tha ke price eventually NZD/USD daily M30 timeframe chart ke downward channel ke lower border tak decline karegi, 0.6130 ke level ko target karte hue. Ye level ek significant support point tha, jahan price temporary halt ya reversal find kar sakti thi, historical price movements aur technical analysis ke base par. Magar, meri expectations ke contrary, price ne is lower level ko nahi pohanch payi. Balkay, anticipated se pehle hi ek unexpected reversal hua. Pair ne turn around kiya aur upward move karne lagi, predicted path se deviate karte hue. Ye premature reversal aik crucial turning point tha, jo indicate karta tha ke selling pressure kam ho gaya tha aur buyers control hasil kar rahe the. Jab price ascend karne lagi, to usne downward channel ko chhor diya, jo potential trend shift ka signal tha. Downward channel se breakout ne yeh suggest kiya ke bearish momentum kamzor ho raha tha aur bulls control hasil kar rahe the. Ye upward movement market dynamics mein tabdeeli ko indicate kar rahi thi, zyada buying interest ke saath jo price ko upar push kar raha tha

Price upward move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, NZD/USD daily M5 timeframe chart ke ascending channel ke upper limit ko target karte hue jo ke 0.6131 level par hai. M5 chart par aik ascending channel dekhi ja sakti hai, jisme price abhi mojood hai. Anticipated hai ke price apni upward movement ko aaj continue karegi, is channel ke upper limit ko target karte hue. Upper target ko reach karne par, ek reversal ho sakta hai, jo price ko downward move karne lagegi. Agar pair decline karne lage, to price current levels se neeche gir sakti hai

Test

NZD-USD PAIR MOVEMENT

Nateejatan, NZD/USD market significantly drop hui hai aur abhi 0.6104 level par hai. Ye bearish trend sellers ke liye encouraging hai, kyunki unhein zyada profits earn karne ka moka milta hai. Lekin temporarily, ye market upar ja sakti hai aur ek daily high form kar sakti hai, phir wapas previous high se drop kar sakti hai. Asian session aur New Zealand session ke dauran, ye rise kar sakti hai aur 0.6132 level ko test kar sakti hai aur phir wapas previous high ke neeche aa sakti hai. Isliye, initially aapko buy position mein trade karna chahiye, phir close kar ke sell position mein switch karna chahiye Washington session open hone se pehle.

Main expect karta hoon ke sellers agle kuch dinon mein aur zyada strong ho sakte hain, potentially market ko 0.6072 level tak drive kar sakte hain. Presented chart par aap immediately dekh sakte hain ke first-degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo ke instrument direction aur current trend state show karti hai selected time frame (H1) mein, upward direction mein hai aur angle more than 30% hai, jo ke dominant trend movement north side ki taraf emphasize karta hai. Saath hi, nonlinear regression channel (convex lines), jo ke near future predict karne ke liye use hota hai, ne golden channel line ko neeche se cross kiya hai aur upward direction show karta hai.



Price ne linear regression channel 2 ki red resistance line cross ki aur LevelResLine ko bhi cross kiya, lekin maximum quote value (HIGH) 0.61770 par pohanchne ke baad, growth ruk gayi aur steady decline start ho gaya. Instrument abhi 0.60967 price level par trade kar raha hai. Sab kuch observe karne ke baad, main expect karta hoon ke market price quotes wapas aayenge aur channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (0.59588) consolidate karega below the FIBO level of 38.2% aur phir move down karega golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.58487 tak, jiska Fibo level 0% ke sath coincide karta hai. Sell transaction enter karne ki expediency aur validity RSI (14) aur MACD indicators se fully approved hai, kyunki yeh currently overbought zone mein hain.

NZD/USD, jo ke currently 0.6196 ke near hai, ek bearish trend face kar raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke New Zealand dollar (NZD) ki value United States dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein weaken ho rahi hai. Bearish trend general indicate karta hai ke capitalists NZD ko sell kar rahe hain aur USD ko buy kar rahe hain, jo aksar local economic performance, socioeconomic expectations, aur geopolitical conditions ki wajah se hota hai.

Bearish outlook ke neeche NZD/USD ke liye kuch hope hai. Pehle, New Zealand se aane wale mixed male data mein kuch indicators weakness show karte hain. For example, country ne apne export sector mein challenges face kiye hain, jo ke necessary hai kyunki uska commodities par huge dependence hai. Agar worldwide demand for these commodities decrease hoti hai, to iska negative impact NZD-USD par ho sakta hai.

ANALYSIS OF NZD/USD

Bazaar ke maahol ki map ke mutabiq, NZD/USD currency pair bechne wale ke asar mein bana hua hai, jiske kaaran iska price phir se girne ki koshish karte hue buyers use oopar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Is haftay ke trading session mein price ne ek baar phir girne ki koshish ki hai, aur saptahik candle abhi bhi ek bearish structure bana raha hai. Shaam ke trading session mein, bazar ne ek sudharatmak oopari gati ki anubhuti ki, jiske kaaran price level 0.6103 tak pahunch gaya hai.

Agar hum maahvarahi aur saptahik bearish dynamics ko mulyankan ki buniyaad maanein, to mere khyal mein price ke aur girne ki unchai ke aadharon mein adhik sambhavna hai, kam se kam 0.6000 ke star tak. Halaanki, iske ulte bhi ho sakta hai, arthath sudharatmak oopari gati ki bewahar hone ke baad, price aur oopar uth sakti hai aur vartaman price area se bahar bhi ho sakti hai.

Candle ki sthiti, jo abhi tak aaram se 60 aur 150 simple moving average indicators ke neeche hai, yah darshata hai ki bazar is haftay bhi bearish disha mein hai. Vartaman sthiti se spasht hai ki agla price movement niche ki taraf jaari rahega. MACD indicator ke histogram bar ki sthiti, jo lagatar zero level ke neeche gati kar rahi hai, yah darshata hai ki bazar ek bearish trend mein hai. Pramukh dhyaan yah hai ki bechne wale ki fauj agle haftay ke trading session tak bazar par niyantran banaye rakhenge. Halaanki, pehle 0.6030 ke star ko toorna hoga, uske baad price punah girne ke liye taiyar ho sakta hai, aur bearish movement agle kuch dinon tak jaari rahegi.

Service sector ki economic activity ka yeh crucial gauge expectations ko surpass kar gaya May mein, aur April ke figure 49.4 se barh kar 53.8 ho gaya. Yeh unexpected increase growth ko indicate karta hai aur US economy ki resilience mein confidence ko boost karta hai. PMI reading 50 se upar hone ka matlab expansion hota hai, aur 49.4 se 53.8 tak jump robust growth ko underscore karta hai, jis se investors mein nayi optimism paida hoti hai aur currency trends shape hote hain.
Iske ilawa, China se aane wale encouraging data ne bhi upbeat sentiment ko contribute kiya. Caixin Services PMI ka release, jo ke China ke service sector ka ek vital barometer hai, robust performance ko portray karta hai. Wednesday ko release hone wale is index ne New Zealand Dollar (NZD) par positive influence dala, jo aksar China ki economic well-being ka barometer maana jata hai due to New Zealand ke extensive trade ties with the Asian giant. China ke service sector ki strength global economy ke liye achi hai, given China ka pivotal role international trade mein. Yeh positive economic data NZD ko bolster karne mein madadgar sabit hota hai, kyunke enhanced Chinese economic performance typically New Zealand ke exports ke liye heightened demand mein translate hota hai.

Aage dekhte hue, NZD/USD pair ko agar recovery ki koshish karta hai toh kai key levels par potential resistance ka samna karna parega. Recent downtrend ka 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6170 par hai, iske baad February-March ka double top area 0.6215 par hai. In points ke upar break hone se mazid gains ho sakte hain. Magar, agar recovery momentum sluggish rehti hai, toh NZD/USD ko 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6109 par support mil sakti hai. Agar price is level se neeche girti hai, toh further selling pressure trigger ho sakta hai, jo pair ko 38.2% aur 23.6% Fibonacci levels 0.6048 aur 0.5972 ki taraf dhakel sakta hai.

NZD/USD pair mein buyers ke excess ka matlab hai ke zyada tar log is waqt buy positions hold kar rahe hain, jo ke market ko temporarily overbought zone mein le jata hai. Is situation mein downside potential strong hota hai kyun ke market apni peak pe hota hai aur jaldi hi reverse hone ke chances barh jate hain. Main price level 0.6170 se short position open karne ka soch raha hoon kyun ke yeh level pe buyers ki strong presence hai. Is level se downside momentum gain hone ke chances hain, jo ke meri short strategy ko support karte hain. Pehla profit target 0.6075 ka level set karna realistic hai kyun ke yeh previous support level ke qareeb hai. Stop loss 0.6200 ke upar set karna zaroori hai taake unexpected price spikes se bach sakein. Agar price 0.6200 ke level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to yeh indication hoga ke market sentiment change ho raha hai aur bullish momentum gain kar raha hai. Is scenario mein, alternative strategies consider karni hongi. Yeh strategy flexible hai aur longer timeframes pe bhi apply ho sakti hai, lekin zaroori hai ke rules strictly follow kiye jayein. RSI ka 70 mark ke upar jaana ek clear signal hai ke market overbought zone mein hai. Yeh signal is baat ka indicator hai ke uptrend ab weak hone wala hai aur reversal ke chances hain. Yeh un traders ke liye bohot important signal hai jo sell positions ke liye mauke dhoond rahe hain. Click image for larger version strategic decision hai. Entry point decide karne ke liye market conditions aur price movements ko closely monitor karna hoga. Current timeframe mein hi enter karna efficient hai kyun ke yeh waqt barbad kiye bagair market opportunities ko capitalize karne ka mauka deta hai. Is strategy ka focus market dynamics aur technical indicators pe hai, jo ke trading decisions ko inform karte hain aur profit potential ko maximize karte hain.

Iska natija yeh hai ke NZD/USD market mein significant drop aaya hai aur abhi yeh 0.6104 level par hai. Yeh bearish trend sellers ke liye encouraging hai, kyun ke is se unhe zyada profit kamaane ka mauka milta hai. Magar, temporarily, yeh market upar jaa sakta hai aur ek daily high bana sakta hai aur phir dobara se gir sakta hai. Asian session aur New Zealand session ke dauran, yeh 0.6132 level ko test kar sakta hai aur phir pehle ke high se neeche aa sakta hai. Isliye, aapko initially buy position mein trade karna chahiye, phir us position ko close karke Washington session khulne se pehle sell position mein shift ho jana chahiye. Mujhe umeed hai ke aanewale dinon mein sellers aur zyada strong ho jayenge, jo market ko 0.6072 level tak le jaa sakte hain.
Presented chart par, aap foran dekh sakte hain ke first-degree regression line (golden dotted line) jo instrument ki direction aur selected time frame (H1) mein current trend state ko show kar rahi hai, upward direction mein aur 30% se zyada angle par hai, jo dominant trend movement ko north side ki taraf emphasize karta hai. Saath hi, nonlinear regression channel (convex lines), jo near future ko predict karne ke liye use hota hai, ne golden channel line ko neeche se cross kiya hai aur upward direction show kar raha hai.

Price ne linear regression channel 2 ki red resistance line ko cross kiya aur LevelResLine ko bhi cross kiya, magar maximum quote value (HIGH) 0.61770 ko reach karne ke baad, apni growth ko stop karke steadily decline karna shuru kar diya. Abhi instrument 0.60967 price level par trade kar raha hai. Sab kuch observe karne ke baad, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes dobara aayenge aur channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (0.59588) FIBO level ke 38.2% se neeche consolidate hoga aur phir linear channel ke golden average line LR 0.58487 tak move karega, jiska Fibo level 0% ke saath coincide karta hai. Sell transaction mein enter karne ki expediency aur validity ko RSI (14) aur MACD indicators poori tarah se approve karte hain, kyun ke yeh abhi overbought zone mein hai. NZD/USD jo abhi 0.6196 ke qareeb hai, bearish trend face kar raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke New Zealand dollar (NZD) ki value United States dollar (USD) ke muqable mein kamzor ho rahi hai. Bearish trend generally indicate karta hai ke capitalists NZD ko sell kar rahe hain aur USD ko buy kar rahe hain, jo aksar local economic performance, socioeconomic expectations, aur geopolitical conditions ki wajah se hota hai.

NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar) karansi pair iss waqt 0.6112 par trading kar raha hai, aur market trend bearish hai. Iska matlab hai ke New Zealand dollar ki qeemat US dollar ke muqablay mein gir rahi hai. Lekin, abhi ke sust market movement ke bawajood, aane walay dino mein significant price action ka mazid imkan hai. Is outlook ko kai factors support karte hain, jo economic indicators se le kar geopolitical events tak hain.
Iss waqt, NZD/USD pair bearish trend ka samna kar raha hai, jo broader market sentiment ko reflect karta hai jo US dollar ko New Zealand dollar par favor kar raha hai. Ye bearish trend mukhtalif factors se mutasir hua hai, jin mein United States aur New Zealand ke mukhtalif economic conditions shamil hain.

Economic data karansi ki strength ko determine karne mein crucial role ada karti hai. United States ke liye, non-farm payrolls, GDP growth rates, aur Federal Reserve interest rate decisions jaise indicators US dollar ki qeemat ko heavily influence karte hain. Haal hi mein, US economy ne resilience dikhai hai, strong job growth aur stable economic expansion ke sath. Is se US dollar mazid mazboot ho gaya hai.

Iske bar'aks, New Zealand ke economic indicators itne mazboot nahin ho sakte. Misal ke taur par, New Zealand ka GDP growth slow ho sakta hai, aur iska trade balance bhi pressure mein ho sakta hai due to weaker demand for its exports. Ise ke sath, Reserve Bank of New Zealand ki monetary policy decisions, jo ke economy ko stimulate karne ke liye interest rates ko maintain ya lower karne par mabni ho sakti hain, New Zealand dollar ko kamzor kar sakti hain.

Monetary policy divergence jo Federal Reserve aur Reserve Bank of New Zealand ke darmiyan hai, wo bhi ek significant factor hai. Agar Federal Reserve inflation concerns ki wajah se rate hikes ya hawkish stance signal karte rahay, to is se US dollar mazid mazboot ho ga. Iske bar'aks, agar Reserve Bank of New Zealand dovish rahe ya rates cut kare, to is se NZD mazid kamzor ho ga

Geopolitical events bhi currency markets mein achanak aur significant movements cause kar sakti hain. Trade tensions, political instability, ya government policies mein changes jaise issues se increased volatility aa sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, US-China trade relations mein koi nai developments ya New Zealand ke trade agreements mein changes ke major partners ke sath immediate impacts ho sakti hain NZD/USD pair par

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) aik choti si rok ke baad phir se sale ke pressure ka shikar hai. NZD/USD ke spot prices filhal pichle teen maheenon ke record low level par trade kar rahe hain, sirf critical 0.6000 level ke upar. Ye charts par ek bearish breakout ko confirm karta hai, kyunke price 50-day moving average se neeche gir gaya hai. Ye US dollar ki resurgence ki wajah se hai. Recent baaton ke mutabiq Federal Reserve ne US mein foran interest rate cuts ki tayyari ke bajaye, ab umeed hai ke Fed rates ko stable rakhe aur US Treasury yields ko boost kare. Iske ilawa, investors ahm US inflation data ke samnay aane se pehle strategically position le rahe hain, jo USD ko mazeed mazboot kar raha hai. Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke aanay wale interest rate cut ke wajood mein NZD par abhi bhi bohot pressure hai. Ye market sentiment ko depress karta hai aur risk-sensitive Kiwi dollar ko kamzor banata hai. NZD/USD ke liye sabse aasan raasta neeche ki taraf hai. Halankeh, kuch traders mazeed selling se pehle dekhne ka intezar kar rahe hain.



Isi waqt, nonlinear channel jo qareebi mustaqbil ki peshgoi karne ke liye istimaal hota hai, yellow-green color ka hai aur instrument ke quotes mein mazeed izafa darsha raha hai, kyunke ye north ki taraf directed hai. Price ne linear regression channel 2-nd LevelResLine ki red resistance line ko cross kar liya, lekin 0.61770 ki maximum quote value (HIGH) tak pahunch gaya, jiske baad iska growth ruk gaya aur steadily decline karne laga. Instrument filhal 0.61355 ke price level par trade kar raha hai. Upar zikar ki gayi tamam cheezon ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes wapas aayengi aur channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (0.59588) ke neeche consolidate karengi jo ke FIBO level 38.2% hai aur further neeche move karengi golden average line LR of linear channel 0.58487 tak, jo ke Fibo level 0 % ke sath coincide karta hai. Auxiliary indicators RSI (14) aur MACD, jo market mein entry point ke sahi intikhab ko confirm karte hain, overbought area mein hain aur instrument ke price ke kam hone ka high probability bhi show karte hain.

#2 Collapse Trade_ZonNZDUSD Technical Chart Analysis:

NZD ko ek riskier currency ke tor par dekha jata hai aur yeh tab barhta hai jab market sentiment upbeat hota hai. Doosra, New Zealand ne Monday ko apni inflation figures reveal ki jo analysts ki expectations se behtar thi. High inflation, in turn, Reserve Bank of New Zealand ko policy tighten karne par majboor kar sakta hai, jo NZD ko upar push karega. Halanki New Zealand un chand mulkon mein se ek hai jahan iska agricultural sector poori tarah se international economy ke liye exposed hai (no subsidies ya tariffs), NZD/USD pair ko mukhtalif financial reasons ke liye trade kiya ja sakta hai jo local economy ya uske products se taluq nahi rakhta. New Zealand markets naye trading day ko sabse pehle kholta hai, aur banks aur traders kabhi kabar is fact ka faida uthate hue trades ko position karte hain aane wale din ke events ke anticipation mein.

NZD/USD par wo factors bhi asar dalte hain jo New Zealand dollar aur U.S. dollar ki value ko ek doosre ke muqablay aur doosri currencies ke muqablay mein affect karte hain. Reserve Bank of New Zealand aur U.S. Federal Reserve ke darmiyan interest rate differential in currencies ki value ko ek doosre ke muqablay mein affect karta hai. Jab Fed open market activities mein intervene karta hai taake U.S. dollar ko strong banaya ja sake, for example, to NZD/USD cross ki value decline kar sakti hai, U.S. dollar ke strengthening ke wajah se jab uska muqablay New Zealand dollar se hota hai. New Zealand dollar ko ek carry trader currency mana jata hai kyun ke yeh relatively high yielding currency hai. Is wajah se, investors aksar NZD ko buy karte hain aur isko lower yielding currency jaise ke Japanese yen ya Swiss franc ke saath fund karte hain.

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Price of NZD/USD is forming a bearish candle this morning, thereby indicating possible concerns among market participants at the beginning of a week full of important economic news: decision on interest rates will be published. There will also be a press conference by the leadership of the Central Bank. On the same day, at 16:30 GMT+3, news about US GDP is expected. On Thursday, at 16:30 GMT+3, inflation data in the United States will be published, namely Core PCE Price Index GMT+3. Technical analysis of the NZD/USD price chart provides confirmation of bearish sentiment in the form of a test of the 0.62 level — which showed support in early January and now appears to be resisting. If the news acts as a driver for downward momentum, the price of NZD/USD may fall towards the trend line shown in black. It is enhanced by the psychological level of 0.61. This could result in a strategic reversal downwards from the area where the upper border of the red channel lies. Be prepared for spikes in volatility. The Daily Chart showed the NZD/USD sitting below the $0.6397 – $0.6380 resistance band. However, the EMAs sent bullish signals.

Is ka nateeja yeh hai ke NZDUSD market ne kafi girawat dekhi hai aur is waqt 0.6104 level par hai. Yeh bearish trend sellers ke liye encouraging hai kyunke woh zyada faida kama sakte hain. Magar, temporarily yeh market upar ja sakti hai aur aik daily high bana kar phir se previous high se gir sakti hai. Asian session aur New Zealand session ke doran, yeh upar ja sakti hai aur 0.6132 level ko test karke wapas previous high se niche aa sakti hai. Is liye, aap ko shuru mein buy position mein trade karna chahiye, phir usay close karke Washington session ke khulne se pehle sell position mein switch karna chahiye. Mujhe umeed hai ke aanewale dinon mein sellers aur zyada strong ho jayenge, jo market ko 0.6072 level tak le jayenge. Presented chart par aap foran dekh sakte hain ke pehli degree regression line (golden dotted line) jo instrument ka direction aur current trend state ko selected time frame (H1) mein upward direction mein aur 30% se zyada angle par show kar rahi hai, jo dominant trend movement ko north side ki taraf emphasize kar rahi hai. Saath hi, nonlinear regression channel (convex lines), jo near future predict karne ke liye use hota hai, ne golden channel line ko niche se cross karke upward direction show ki hai
Price ne red resistance line of linear regression channel 2 ko cross kar ke LevelResLine ko bhi cross kiya hai, lekin maximum quote value (HIGH) 0.61770 par pohanch kar apni growth rok di aur steadily decline hona shuru ho gaya. Instrument is waqt 0.60967 price level par trade kar raha hai. Sab kuch dekhne ke baad, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes wapas ayengi aur channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (0.59588) FIBO level 38.2% se niche consolidate karegi aur phir linear channel 0.58487 ke golden average line LR tak move karegi, jis ka Fibo level 0% ke sath coincide karta hai. Sell transaction mein enter karne ki expediency aur validity ko RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ne puri tarah se approve kiya hai, kyunke yeh overbought zone mein hai. NZD/USD, jo ke is waqt 0.6196 ke kareeb hai, ek bearish trend face kar raha hai. Is ka matlab hai ke New Zealand dollar (NZD) ki value United States dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein kamzor ho rahi hai. Bearish trend aam tor par yeh indicate karta hai ke capitalists NZD bech rahe hain aur USD khareed rahe hain, jo aksar local economic performance, socioeconomic expectations, aur geopolitical conditions ki wajah se hota hai

Bearish outlook ke neeche NZD/USD ke liye umeed hai. Pehle, New Zealand se aane wale mixed male data mein kuch indicators weakness show karte hain. Misal ke tor par, mulk ne apne export sector mein challenges ka samna kiya hai, jo zaroori hai kyunke commodities par bohot zyada depend karta hai. Agar in commodities ki demand worldwide decrease hoti hai, to yeh NZD-USD par negative impact dal sakti hai

NZD/USD daily M30 timeframe chart ki recent trading activity mein ek ahem tabdeeli dekhi gayi jab qeemat ne descending channel ke upper border tak pohancha. Ye harkat isliye ahem thi kyunki yeh ek mazboot nishaan tha ke market sentiment mein tabdeeli aa sakti hai. Upper border ko chhune ke baad, pair ne ek reversal ka samna kiya aur qeemat ne neeche ki taraf rawana hona shuru kiya. Yeh shift ek potential signal tha ke mazeed neeche ki taraf ja sakti hai jaisa ke established channel ke andar expect kiya gaya tha. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, is stage par qeemat ki aur neeche ki taraf rawani jaari rahegi. Technical indicators aur overall market sentiment bhi is tawaqo ke sath miltay jultay lag rahe thay. Main ne yeh projection kiya ke qeemat muntazir hai ke woh aakhirkaar 0.6130 level tak giray gi jo ke NZD/USD daily M30 timeframe chart ke downward channel ke lower border hai. Is level ko ek ahem support point ke taur par pehchana gaya tha, jahan qeemat temporary rukawat ya phir reversal ka bhi imkaan tha, itihasi qeemat ke harkaton aur technical analysis ke mutabiq.

Lekin meri expectations ke khilaf, qeemat ne is lower level tak nahi pohancha. Balkay meri tawaqo se pehle hi ek ghair mutawaqaa reversal a gaya. Pair ne palat kar upar ki taraf rawana hona shuru kiya aur meri predictions se alag ho gaya. Is premature reversal ne ek ahem turning point darj kiya, jo ke yeh dikhata tha ke selling pressure kam ho gayi hai aur buyers control mein aa gaye hain. Jab qeemat buland honay lagi, woh downward channel ke hadood se bahar nikal gayi, jo ke ek overall trend mein tabdeeli ki nishani thi. Downward channel se bahar nikalna yeh dikhata tha ke bearish momentum kamzor ho raha hai aur bulls apna dabao barha rahe hain. Is upward movement ne market dynamics mein tabdeeli ki alamat di, jahan buying interest ke izafa se qeemat ko buland kiya gaya.

NZD/USD daily M5 timeframe chart par qeemat ka yeh rukh hai ke woh upper limit of ascending channel ko nishana banay gi jo ke M5 chart par 0.6131 level par hai. M5 chart par ek ascending channel nazar aa raha hai, jiske andar qeemat abhi moujood hai. Tawaqo hai ke qeemat aaj apni upward movement jari rakhegi aur is channel ke upper limit ko nishana banayegi. Jab yeh upper target pohnchay, ek reversal mumkin hai jo ke qeemat ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Agar pair ne girna shuru kar diya to qeemat maujooda levels se neeche bhi ja sakti hai.

Agar aapko image dekhni hai to mujhe batain, main aapko image ka description bhi de sakta hun

Teknical Analysis New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar ka
Pichlay trading hafta mein, New Zealand Dollar apni modest girawat ko jari rakha aur 0.6126 ka signal level burqarar rakhna mein nakam raha. Qeemat 0.6082 tak gir gayi aur is level ke uper janay ki koshish ki, jo pehlay ke bullish scenario ko takreeban cancel kar diya. Magar, indicators foran hi recover hona shuru hogaye, jo ek reversal ka signal diya. Is doran, price chart super-trending red zone mein sthithi ko dikhata raha, jo selling pressure ko wazeh karta hai.

Aaj ke teknical tasveer ko H-4 chart par dekhte huwe, yeh dekha gaya hai ke Simple Moving Average positive crossover signals deta raha hai jab ke Relative Strength Index daily uptrend ko defend karta raha hai. Isliye, agar day trading support ko 0.5930 se upar rakhti hai, to uptrend intakt rahega jab tak hum 0.61390 ka psychological barrier se upar resistance na dekhein. Yeh wo triggering factor hai jo uptrend ki strength ko barhata aur tez karta hai ek possible extension ke sath 0.62303 tak, jiska target 0.6299 aur phir 0.6334 par rukao hai. Niche dekhtay huwe, agar hourly chart par 0.5990 se niche close hota hai to upside delay ho sakti hai magar eliminate nahi hogi, aur hum 0.5893 ko retest karte hue neechay ki move dekh saktay hain. Deewar ke neeche chart dekhein:




Ye pair is waqt apni weekly lows se thora neeche trade kar raha hai. Key support area ne heavy pressure ko jhela hai aur 0.6082 pivot level ke neeche consolidation rok diya hai, ek possible collapse ko avoid karke upward vector ko relevant rakha hai. Mazeed faiday ko confirm karne ke liye, qeemat jaldi hi 0.6126 level ke uper break karni chahiye, jo main support area ke barabar hai. Is level ko opposite direction mein retest karte hue, aur ek confident rebound ke sath, upar momentum ko barhane ka mauqa milega 0.6249 aur 0.6303 areas ki taraf.

Agar qeemat akhirkar 0.6082 pivot level ko break kar leti hai, to ek signal milega ke current scenario cancel ho gaya hai.

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf sakht bohotari ka samna hai, jahan NZD/USD pair apni 20-day simple moving average (SMA) se upar rehne mein mushkilat mehsoos kar raha hai. Is week akela hi, yeh ahem support level chaar martaba reject ho chuka hai, aur pair ko 0.6122 tak dhakel diya hai. Losses ko recover karne ki koshishain ki gayi hain, lekin technical indicators ek bearish outlook ko zahi karte hain jo mazeed girawat ki taraf ishaara karte hain. Daily chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) market momentum ka ek ahem indicator hai. Filhaal 49 par baitha hua hai, jo neutral zone se zara neechay hai, RSI is week ke pehle 51 se gir chuka hai, jo buying power mein kamzori ka ishara hai. Abhi tak oversold nahi hai, lekin yeh downtrend market sentiment mein tabdili ko darshata hai. Maa siwa iske, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi barhati hui laal bars ko dikhata hai, jo selling activity mein izafa ko tasdeeq karta hai. Aage dekha jaye, to NZD/USD ke liye foran support 0.6100 par hai. Ek gehra support zone 100-day aur 200-day moving averages ke milne ke point par hai, jo takreeban 0.6069 aur 0.6062 ke aas paas hai. Yeh levels buffer ke taur par kaam kar sakte hain agar downtrend intensify hota hai. Lekin, agar yeh confluence point toot jata hai, to yeh ek mazid bearish signal hoga, jo ke mazeed gehray girawat ko le kar aa sakta hai.




Is bearish trend ko bohot se aasaar se mansoob kiya ja sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar Namibia ko US ke muqable mein zyada inflation ka samna ho, to yeh NAD ke purchasing power ko kam kar dega, jo ke depreciation ka sabab banega. Isi tarah, agar Bank of Namibia ke interest rates Federal Reserve ke muqablay mein kam hain, to yeh capital outflows ko sabab banenge jab investors USD-denominated assets mein zyada returns ki talash mein nikalenge. Iske ilawa, agar trade deficit hai, jahan Namibia zyada import aur kam export karta hai, to yeh foreign currency ki demand ko barhata hai, aur NAD ko mazeed kamzor karta hai.

Maujooda bearish trend ke bawajood, foreign exchange market apni volatility ke liye jaana chahta hai, aur achanak movements ghair mamooli baat nahi hai. Bohot se scenarios NAD/USD exchange rate mein significant shift ko lead kar sakte hain. Masalan, Namibia ke ahem economic sectors mein positive developments NAD ko boost kar sakti hain. Agar mining sector, jo Namibia ke GDP mein aham hissa rakhta hai, commodity prices mein surge ya production mein izafa dekh raha ho, to yeh trade balance ko behtar kar sakta hai aur NAD ko mazid mazboot bana sakta hai.