usd/cad

USDCAD pair ki downward rally dekhne par, ek lower low - lower high price pattern structure ban raha hai. Yeh price ke downward movement ki possibility ko darshata hai, khas taur par jab trend bearish condition mein hai. Misal ke taur par, agar bearish trend ke beech mein upward correction phase hai, to price SBR 1.3794 area ko test kar sakti hai. Jab tak breakout nahi hota, price apni downward rally continue kar sakti hai. Abhi ke price 1.3726 ke range mein hai aur yeh low prices 1.3720 ko paar kar sakti hai, jo ek naya lower low pattern banayega. Agar iska ulta hota hai, to higher high banne ka mauka hai agar yeh successfully 1.3753 ke high prices ko paar kar leti hai. MACD indicator ke side par, bullish divergence signal tab aa sakta hai jab histogram volume falling price volume se match nahi karta, jo 1.3720 ke low prices ko paar karta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo oversold zone (20 - 10) mein enter kar rahe hain, yeh indicate karte hain ke price decline jald hi selling saturation point tak pohnch sakti hai. Trading recommendations ke liye, bearish trend direction ko follow karte rahiye, aur price ka SBR 1.3794 area ke aas-paas upward correction ka intezar karke SELL entry position place karein. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator parameters ka overbought zone (90 - 80) ko cross karna bhi zaroori hai. Indicator histogram ka volume pehle se zyada hona chahiye taake bullish divergence signal ko negative area mein break kiya ja sake. Target placement take profit ke liye low 1.3720 ke aas-paas aur stop loss high prices 1.3855 par rakha jaye. abhi ke liye sabhi chaar basement indicators ek sell signal de rahe hain. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke pehle ek upar ki taraf correction hogi, uske baad yeh pair H1 channel ke lower boundary ki taraf decline karega. H4 chart par, pair ne ek bade girawat ke baad thoda slow down kiya hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke iske baad upar ki taraf correction dekhne ko milegi. Pehle teen basement indicators ne buy signal de diya hai. Is chart ke base par, mujhe umeed hai ke price upar ki taraf correction karegi, MA100 tak aur shayad usse thoda zyada. Maine kuch minute pehle do buy positions khol di hain aur profit levels set kiye hain.
H4 chart par basement indicators mixed signals de rahe hain, jo ke itna valuable nahi hai. Lekin, upar ek target hai aur price ko us taraf move karna hoga jahan mere profit levels set hain. Summary yeh hai ke filhal pair ko present price par buy karna relevant hai, profit targets ke sath. Lekin, jab yeh targets achieve ho jayein, tab selling par switch karna sahi hoga (jaisa ke dotted line ke indication se hai) kyunki downtrend ab bhi intact hai aur expected growth sirf ek upward correction lagti hai. Yeh expected movement chart par clearly outlined hai.
Khud ko sambhal kar rakhna! Jaise price decline karti rahegi (ya shayad abhi bhi), humein closely monitor karna hoga kisi possible reversal ke liye. Agar price upward move karti hai, to hum 1.3560-1.3710 area tak growth dekh sakte hain, jo MA aur middle Bollinger band ke sath align karta hai. Abhi Canadian dollar ko buy karna jaldi hai, kyunki price side accumulation phase mein hai. Halanki hourly high promising lagta hai, humne abhi tak us level ke upar confirmed breakout nahi dekha. False breakout ki bhi possibility hai, jiske baad phir se accumulation phase mein wapas jaane ka chance hai

zaroori hai ke upcoming economic data aur central bank communications ko closely monitor kiya jaye, kyun ke kisi bhi surprise ke natije mein market mein ziataa volatility aa sakti hai. USD/CAD pair ki recent decline ek



nuanced economic landscape ko reflect karti hai, jo BoC ke cautious outlook aur Canadian consumer spending aur labor market conditions ke hawale se concerns se mutasir hai. Jab tak US dollar mazboot hai, traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye, kyun ke economic landscape lagataar evolve hota rahega.H1 timeframe ke current chart ka ghor se jaiza lene ke baad, hum yeh note kar sakte hain ke bearish trading ke liye market ki situation favorable Hi. Ek acha profit hasil karne ke liye deal open karne ke liye sabse munasib position chunnay ke liye kuch zaroori prerequisites ko pura karna bohot aham hai. Sabse pehle, yeh zaroori hai ke senior H4 timeframe par current trend ko durust tareeke se identify kiya jaye taake market sentiment ko predict karne mein koi ghalti na ho, jo ke financial losses ka sabab ban sakti hai. Chaliye, ab hum apne instrument ka 4-hour timeframe ka chart dekhte hain aur pehli condition check karte hain: H1 aur H4 timeframes par trend movements zaroor milti honi chahiye. Aaj, market humein ek behtareen mauqa de raha hai ek short deal karne ka. Aage ki analysis mein hum teen working indicators ke signals par focus karenge: HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color. Hum is waqt ka intezar karenge jab Hama aur RSI indicators red ho jayen, jo ke yeh main confirmation hoga ke sellers is waqt market mein dominate kar rahe hain. Jaise hi yeh hota hai, hum market mein entry karte hain aur ek sell trade open karte hain. Position se exit ka point hum magnetic level indicator ke mutabiq chunnenge. Aaj ke din ke liye sabse ziyata mumkin levels jo signal ko process karne ke liye hain wo yeh hain: 1.36591. Hum chart par ehitiyatan dekhte rahenge ke price selected magnetic level ke qareeb kis tarah behave kar raha hai aur phir yeh faisla karenge ke position ko market mein next magnetic level tak rehne dena hai ya phir jo profit achieve ho gaya hai usse fix kar lena hai. Agar potential earnings ko mazeed barhane ka irada ho, toh ek trailing stop ko connect kar

Is haftay ke market trading mein qeemat mein kafi zor daar izafa dekhne ko mila, aur Friday ko total range 82 pips tak pohnch gayi. Yeh izafa aik nayi high area banane mein kamyab raha, jo ke pichlay do hafton mein sab se zyada thi. Yeh is baat ki tasdeeq karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi market ko apne qaboo mein lene ki koshish kar rahe hain, jab ke sellers pehle qeemat ko neeche dhakelne mein nakam ho gaye. Pichlay chand hafton tak jo bearish movement thi, wo aakhir kaar 1.3443 area ko torne mein nakam rahi, aur iske baad qeemat mein khasa izafa dekhne ko mila. Agar hum dekhein, agar sellers ne is lowest level ko tor dia hota, toh mumkin tha ke qeemat aglay hafta mazeed neeche aik mazboot support level tak girti. Jo cheez dilchasp hai, wo yeh hai ke is haftay ka qeemati izafa pichlay haftay ke highest level ko paar kar gaya, jo ke is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke buyers ke liye market ko dominate karne ka mauqa abhi bhi zinda hai. Yeh ek mazboot signal hai ke buyers filhal market par kaafi hado tak qaboo mein hain. Aaj ke waqt mein jab market band hui, daily candlestick aik lambi bullish thi. Hum dekh saktay hain ke pichlay qeemati girawat ne mahwari support level ko torne mein kamyabi hasil nahi ki, aur buyers ne is moqa ka faida utha kar qeemat ko uske lowest area se kaafi upar dhakel diya. Agar hum ab monitor karain, toh stochastic indicator 5.3.3 ka line signal level 80 tak pohnch gaya hai, jo ke is baat ki taraf ishara hai ke buyers ka qaboo abhi bhi mazboot hai. Qeemat ab pichlay haftay ke sab se oonche area par hai, jo buyers ki market mein hakoomat ko dikhata hai. Mazid qeemat ke 1.3641 ke qareebi resistance level tak barhne ka imkaan hai, jo ke aik mazboot resistance level hai. Jaise ke technical analysis mein bataya gaya hai, hum dekh saktay hain ke ab ka trend kafi zyada buying push leh raha hai. Agle haftay ke trading plan ke liye, main BUY option ko tarjeeh doonga. Trading position enter karne ke liye, humay qeemat ke pehle 1.3541 area tak wapas aane ka intezaar karna chahiye taa ke ideal entry zone mil sake aur risk ko kam rakha ja sake. Agla entry zone ke liye, main pehla target level 1.3641 par rakhon ga, aur agar yeh area break ho gaya, toh doosra target 1.3699 par set karoon ga. Har position ke liye stoploss ka faasla taqriban 35 pips ka rakha ja sakta hai. Filhal, mujhe lagta hai ke USDCAD pair mein qeemat ke trend movement mein mazeed izafa ka imkaan hai, aur BUY option ko tarjeeh di ja sakti hai mazeed risk ko nape tol kar.

USDCAD currency pair ke daily timeframe mein pichle haftay ke trading session mein jo price movement dekhi gayi, usme trend zyada tar sellers ke influence se dominate ho gaya tha. Yeh condition candlestick movement se nazar aati hai, jo Monday se Tuesday tak consistently neeche ki taraf move karte hue dekhi gayi, phir haftay ke beech mein upar ki taraf gayi, aur phir kal raat bhi buyers ki taraf se further correction ki koshish hui. Agar hum trading session mein daily movement ko monitor karein, toh pichle kuch hafton mein ek row of bearish candlesticks bani thi, jo daily opening price se compare kiya jaye toh lower price par close hui thi. Yeh condition moderate volatility mein ek bearish situation ko darshati hai. Halaanke ek upward correction hui thi, lekin is hafte ki bearish movement pichle hafte ke market trend ka continuation thi, iska matlab hai ke market ka lean karna bearish trend ki taraf likely hai.
correction ka intezar karke SELL entry position place karein. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator parameters ka overbought zone (90 - 80) ko cross karna bhi zaroori hai. Indicator histogram ka volume pehle se zyada hona chahiye taake bullish divergence signal ko negative area mein



break kiya ja sake. Target placement take profit ke liye low 1.3720 ke aas-paas aur stop loss high prices 1.3855 par rakha jaye. abhi ke liye sabhi chaar basement indicators ek sell signal de rahe hain. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke pehle ek upar ki taraf correction hogi, uske baad yeh pair H1 channel ke lower boundary ki taraf decline karega. H4 chart par, pair ne ek bade girawat ke baad thoda slow down kiya hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke iske baad upar ki
Indicator conditions ki base par kiye gaye analysis results ke mutabiq, market analysis ke liye jo indicators use kiye gaye hain, unme Relative Strength Index Indicator (14) par Lime Line ki direction clear dikh rahi hai. Agar pehle line level 50 ke upar chal rahi thi, lekin ab yeh uske neeche ruk gayi hai. Dusre complementary indicators mein, MACD (12,26,29) ke histogram bar ki position zero level ke neeche girti hui nazar aa rahi hai, jo elongated shape mein hai, aur yeh market ke bearish path ki taraf jane ka signal hai. MACD signal ki dotted yellow line bhi neeche girti hui dikh rahi hai. Wahi candlesticks Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke neeche hai. Isliye, daily timeframe par market conditions yeh depict karte hain ke prices abhi bhi downward trend mein move ho rahi hain. Daily aur H4 timeframe charts ke analysis se, aur kai indicators ki madad se jo technical data obtain kiya gaya, uske mutabiq yeh conclude kiya ja sakta hai ke USDCAD currency pair abhi bhi sellers ke control mein hai. Correction movement jo Saturday raat tak hui thi, woh bhi higher level par SELL trading ke potential ko dikhati hai kyunke meri raaye mein agle market trend ka zyada ehtimal hai ke ab bhi seller's troops ke control mein raheg

Jo jor hai wo Friday ke subha US session ke doran 1.3570 ke qareeb dheela chal raha hai. US Dollar ki recent girawat, jo Federal Reserve ke rates ko barqarar rakhne ke faisle ke baad hui, ne is jor ko weekly lows tak push kar diya hai. Ab investors aane wale economic data, jisme US ISM Manufacturing PMI, weekly Initial Jobless Claims, aur final S&P Global Manufacturing PMI shamil hain, ki taraf dekh rahe hain taake agle raaste ka pata chal sake.

Geopolitical Tensions aur Negative Sentiment Canadian Dollar ko Daba Rahe Hain

Geopolitical tensions bhi market sentiment ko asar daal rahi hain. Israeli government ne report kiya hai ke unhone Beirut mein ek airstrike ke zariye Hezbollah ke sabse senior commander ko maar diya hai. Yeh action Israel par cross-border rocket attack ke jawab mein kiya gaya. Halanki US aur UN officials ke diplomatic efforts ke bawajood, Middle East mein bade conflict ka khatra ab bhi barqarar hai, Reuters ke mutabiq.

Shaun Osborne, Chief FX Strategist at Scotiabank, ne zikar kiya ke Canadian dollar negative sentiment ka shikaar hai. Unhone kaha ke Commodity Futures Trading Commission se aayi recent data ke mutabiq, dollar ke khilaf bearish positions mein kafi izafa hua hai. Yeh negative sentiment Bank of Canada's monetary policy ke stance ki wajah se hai, jo easing ki taraf jhukao rakhta hai.

USD/CAD 1.3600 Ko Todne Mein Mushkilat Ka Samna Kar Raha Hai

Filhal, yeh jor 1.3580 ke qareeb chalte hue, 2024 ke peak bids ke upar hai. Technical low 1.3496 aur 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se bounce karne ke baad, jor ne 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya hai. Lekin, bullish momentum lagta hai dheema pad raha hai kyunke yeh 1.3600 ke mark ko todne mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Iske bawajood, yeh jor teen hafton se jeet rahe hai, jo kuch resilience ko darshata hai.

Long-term technical analysis ab bhi long positions ko support karti hai, kyunki spot price 50-day EMA 1.3511 ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Lekin, upward momentum kuch limit ho gaya hai kyunki jor ne is mahine ke shuruat mein 1.3950 ke peak ko paar karne mein naakam raha.

Hamari guftagu ka markaz USD/CAD currency pair ki real-time price action ki evaluation par hai. Main 4-hour chart par USD/CAD pair ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Pehle, maine ek downward move ka tajziya kiya tha kyunki yeh pair upper range limits ke qareeb tha. Pair ne lower boundaries ke qareeb approach kiya, aur wahan sellers ne volume accumulate karna shuru kiya, jo ke ek likely breakout downward ka ishara tha. Significant seller volume ke madde nazar, mujhe yaqeen tha ke yeh pair mazeed giray ga. Lekin, ek substantial pullback aaya jise stops ke removal ki wajah se hua. Ab main yeh samajhta hoon ke yeh pair apni decline ko resume karega aur 1.35552 ke support level ki taraf move karega.

USD/CAD is waqt 1.368 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jahan ek positive primary trend nazar aa raha hai. Ek ahem range 1.364 ka lower minimum hai, aur agar price is level par return kare, toh yeh market ko ek short position ki taraf shift kar sakta hai ya phir ek price test ka signal de sakta hai, jo ek achi buying opportunity ho sakti hai.

Yeh mashwara diya jata hai ke agar yeh instrument 1.364 ke resistance level ke upar rehta hai, toh ek buy position enter karna chahiye, jab moving averages ka convergence market signal ko confirm kare. Is surat mein, stop order 1.368 ke low se neeche hona chahiye, jo significant levels se mehfooz ho. USD/CAD pair ne apni near-term direction ka ta'ayun kar liya hai. Daily chart par, yeh pair ek long-term consolidation zone ke upper limit par pahunch gaya hai. Jab US dollar index gir gaya, toh USD/CAD ko 1.3601 ke mirror support level ke upar apni position maintain karne mein mushkil hui. Jab US dollar index ne ek corrective strengthening ka aghaz kiya, toh USD/CAD jaldi se upar chala gaya. Lower daily fractal already form ho chuka hai, jo suggest karta hai ke US dollar correction ke doran USD/CAD lagbhag 1.381 tak pahunch sakta hai. Magar, aane walay move ke bare mein abhi bhi kuch shakk o shubah hai.

Hum USD/CAD currency pair ke price movement ka ongoing study analyze kar rahe hain. Ye currency pair abhi consolidation phase mein hai aur lagta hai ke Monday ko ye trend jaari rakhega. Chart yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne recently 1.3511 resistance level ko test kiya hai aur abhi 1.3490 par trade kar raha hai. RSI apni range ke darmiyan mein hai aur upward trend par hai, jabke AO (Awesome Oscillator) ek weak sell signal dikha raha hai, aur pair pichlay din ke trading range ke ooper baitha hua hai. Halankeh signals faint hain, lekin yeh ek possible minor increase ko suggest karte hain. Price ek dafa phir se 1.3511 resistance level ko retest kar sakti hai. USD/CAD pair aakhirkaar decline karega, apne lows ko break karega aur naye support levels establish karega. Ek significant critical level weekly time frame mein hai, jisko main closely monitor kar raha hoon. Ek reversal pattern bhi nazar aa raha hai. Price ne ek crucial support level ko four-hour chart par break kiya, jo main ne weekly breakdown par identify kiya tha, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke bulls ke paas aage barhne ka mauqa hai.
Direction ka intekhab abhi uncertain hai, lekin ek lambi muddat tak kisi retracement ke na hone ke bawajood, current trend ke jaari rehne ka imkaan barh jata hai. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke Canadian dollar pair mein bearish trajectory mein koi significant tabdeeli nahi aayi hai, aur mazid downside potential abhi bhi baqi hai. Halankeh recent decline ruk gaya hai, ek koshish hui thi ke pair 1.351 ke upar chadh jaye, lekin pair is level ko sustain nahi kar saka. Khaas tor par, U.S. dollar ko kuch support mila hai bawajood is ke ke weak economic indices release hui hain. Sabse important sawal yeh hai ke Monday ko trading kis tarah unfold hogi, jab U.S. aur Canada dono chhutti mana rahe hain. In developments ke bawajood, mera stance unchanged hai, aur main bearish outlook ko prefer karta hoon. Agar pair pull back kar ke 1.3576 ke upar chadhne mein kaamyaab hota hai, tou main us point par selling opportunities consider karoon ga.

USD/CAD currency pair Thursday ko Asian session ke dauran 1.3510 level ke aas paas trade kar raha tha. US dollar mazboot raha, jo ke higher US Treasury yields aur economic data releases se pehle market ke ehtiyaati rawaiye se support mila. US dollar index (DXY) abhi 101.30 level ke aas paas trade ho raha hai, jab ke 2-year aur 10-year US Treasury yields 3.76% aur 3.75% par hain. Lekin, US dollar ko kuch challenges ka samna karna pada jab July ke Jolts job openings report ka release hua, jisme job opportunities mein kami dikhaayi gayi, jo ke labor market mein slow down ka ishara deti hai. Bank of Canada (BoC) ne apni benchmark interest rate ko September meeting mein 25 basis points cut karke 4.25% par kar diya, jaisa ke umeed thi. Governor Tiff Macklem ne is baat ka ishara diya ke agar inflation slow down karta hai, to further rate cuts bhi mumkin hain. BoC ka faisla aur Fed ka interest rates par ikhtilaf exchange rate par koi khaas asar nahi daal saka.
USD/CAD pair Friday ko gir gaya, aur 1.3564 ka weekly high hasil karne mein nakam raha. Halankeh technical indicators ne behtari ke asar dikhaye, jahan RSI 30 oversold level se recover karta nazar aaya aur MACD apni red signal line ke ooper raha. Thursday ko ek green doji candle bani, lekin candle pattern ko abhi tak confirmation ki zaroorat hai. Agar prices ne 1.3480 aur December-July 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the uptrend ke neeche close diya, to selling pressure wapas aa sakta hai. Agar price 1.3437 low se neeche break karti hai, to yeh 50% Fibonacci retracement level par 1.3360 aur July-December 2023 ke lows ko connect karne wali supportive trend line 1.3300 tak girawat le kar ja sakti hai. Mazeed girawat 1.3200-1.3225 limit zone tak target kar sakti hai. Traders ko SMA breakout levels ko ghour se monitor karna chahiye taake week ke dauran previous divergence ko 1.3890 ke aas paas recover kar sake.

USD/CHF Market Analysis

H4 Period

Is haftay ke darmiyan, hum phir se USDCHF currency pair ka H4 period price chart dekhte hain. Naya trading week kuch growth ke sath shuru hua hai, jaise pehle se umeed thi. Wave structure abhi bhi downward direction main hai, magar MACD indicator upper zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. August ke shuruat ka minimum pehle update hua tha, aur yeh ek potential purchase zone tha. Growth ke liye signal mila tha - ek bullish divergence. Yeh confirm hua jab decline ke edge par 0.8454 ka mirror level bana, resistance support mein badal gaya, aur 0.8454 ka level palat gaya.

Price ne is level ko upar se test kiya, jo ek entry point tha purchase ke liye, aur stop loss low ke peeche rakha gaya. Uske baad, price dheere dheere upar chali gayi. Lekin, jis tarah se price gir rahi hai, lagta hai ke is level ka dobara upar se test hoga. Iske direct opponent pair, euro-dollar, mein mazeed decline ka imkaan hai, jo USDCHF ke liye favorable ho sakta hai. Mera khayal hai ke price mazeed barhgi aur jald hi waves ke upar se guzarne wali descending line ko choo le gi.

Aaj ke younger periods mein hum growth formations dekh rahe hain, bilkul waisa hi mirror level jahan resistance support mein badal raha hai, yeh M15 chart par bhi dekha ja sakta hai. Aaj ki noteworthy news mein shamil hai: Moscow time ke mutabiq 15:30 par US export volume, US import volume, aur US trade balance. Aur 17:00 par, US labor market mein open vacancies ki tadaad (JOLTS), aur US industrial orders volume.

Daily chart se bhi yeh confirm hota hai ke filhal purchases hi priority hain jab din ke andar kaam kiya jaye, kyun ke MACD aur CCI indicators par pehle se bullish divergence bani hui hai. Is signal ki mojoodgi ke bawajood ab selling allowed nahi hai.

USD/CAD currency pair ki pricing movements ke current analysis mein delving kar raha hoon. Technical analysis par focus karke ek structured approach milti hai, jo potential levels identify karne mein madad karti hai jahan price action ja sakti hai ya pause kar sakti hai. USD/CAD pair ke liye, maine ek weekly target broader scale par establish kiya hai, lekin deep downside mind mein rakhi hai. Short-term outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai. Hum ne recently ek significant level ko touch kiya, 61.7% Fibonacci retracement ko test kiya, aur iski importance confirm hui hai. Price is waqt iss level ke qareeb hover kar rahi hai. Agle steps clear nahi hain; Pullback aur correction jald shuru ho sakti hai, jaisa maine anticipate kiya tha pair ki decline ke dauran. Yeh bhi possibility hai ke USD/CAD aur neeche gir sakta hai. Summary mein, kayi sawalat baqi hain, aur ek closer target decision-making ko simplify kar sakta hai. Growth potential tab ho sakta hai agar buyers significant momentum ke sath 1.34719 ko break karne mein kamyaab ho jayein. Tab tak, mein sellers ke sath aligned hoon. Mera aim USD/CAD currency pair ki movements se capitalize karna hai. Jab hum four-hour chart observe karte hain, toh yeh baat wazeh hoti hai ke 1.35979 level sell positions initiate karne ke liye ek strategic point hai. Mera anticipate hai ke price previous low 1.34459 tak drop karegi, jahan profits ho sakte hain. Lekin agar market dynamics shift hon aur reversal signal emerge ho, toh trade loss par band karna par sakta hai. Agar 1.35979 level ko cross kar liya jaye, toh yeh ek naye support level ke taur par serve kar sakta hai, jise buy positions consider karne ke liye viable point samjha ja sakta hai. Analysis USDCAD pair ko M30 time frame use karke focus karta hai. Meri strategy mein Bollinger indicator aur vertical tick volume histogram shamil hai. Iss waqt USDCAD 1.34652 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, jahan selling ki taraf inclination zyada hai. Sell positions enter karne ke liye extreme limit about 1.34719 hai, jabke Bollinger indicator ki lower boundary 1.34591 ek appropriate profit target serve karti hai. Yeh naturally hai ke lower boundary thodi si shift ho sakti hai downward movement ke sath

USD/CAD:

Hum USD/CAD currency pair ke pricing movement ka ongoing study analyze kar rahe hain. Currency pair consolidation phase mein hai aur lagta hai ke yeh trend Monday ko bhi continue kar sakta hai. Chart se pata chalta hai ke pair ne recently 1.3511 resistance level ko test kiya hai aur abhi 1.3490 par trade kar raha hai. RSI apne range ke beech mein hai aur upward trend dikha raha hai, jabke AO ek weak sell signal de raha hai, aur pair previous day's trading range ke upar baitha hai. Halanki signals faint hain, yeh ek chhoti si increase ki possibility suggest karte hain. Price shayad 1.3511 resistance level ko phir se test kare. USD/CAD pair eventually decline karega, apne lows ko break karega, aur naye support levels establish karega. Weekly time frame mein ek significant critical level deep mein hai, jise main closely monitor karunga. Ek reversal pattern nazar aa raha hai. Price ne four-hour chart par ek crucial support level ko break kiya, jo ke weekly breakdown mein identify kiya gaya, jo indicate karta hai ke bulls ke paas advance karne ke liye space hai.

Direction ka chunav abhi bhi uncertain hai, lekin prolonged retracement ki kami ke madde nazar, current trend ke continuation ka chance barh gaya hai. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke Canadian dollar pair apni bearish trajectory mein koi significant changes nahi dekhi hain, aur downside potential ab bhi bana hua hai. Halanki recent decline ruk gaya hai, aur 1.351 se upar jane ki koshish ki gayi thi, lekin pair is level ko sustain nahi kar paya. U.S. dollar ko kuch support mila hai halan ke weak economic indices release hue hain.

Critical sawaal yeh hai ke Monday ko trading kaise unfold hogi, given ke dono U.S. aur Canada ek holiday observe karenge. In developments ke bawajood, meri stance bearish outlook par barqarar hai. Agar pair pull back karke 1.3576 ke upar chadh jata hai, to main us point par selling opportunities ko consider karunga.

Pair Friday ko early US session mein 1.3570 ke aas-paas softer note par trade kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ke rates ko unchanged rakhne ke faisle ke baad US Dollar ki recent dip ne pair ko weekly lows tak push kar diya hai. Investors ab upcoming economic data, including US ISM Manufacturing PMI, weekly Initial Jobless Claims, aur final S&P Global Manufacturing PMI, se further direction ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Geopolitical Tensions aur Negative Sentiment Canadian Dollar ko Weigh Kar Rahe Hain

Geopolitical tensions bhi market sentiment par asar daal rahi hain. Israeli government ne report kiya hai ke usne Hezbollah ke most senior commander ko Beirut mein aik airstrike ke zariye target karke maar diya hai. Ye action Israel par cross-border rocket attack ke jawab mein kiya gaya. US aur UN officials ke ongoing diplomatic efforts ke bawajood, Reuters ke mutabiq Middle East mein broader conflict ka risk ab bhi ek concern bana hua hai.

Scotiabank ke Chief FX Strategist, Shaun Osborne, ne emphasize kiya ke Canadian dollar ko kafi negative sentiment ka samna karna pad raha hai. Unhone note kiya ke Commodity Futures Trading Commission ke recent data ke mutabiq bearish positions mein substantial increase aayi hai. Ye negative sentiment primarily Bank of Canada ke current monetary policy stance ki wajah se hai, jo easing ki taraf lean karta hai.

USD/CAD 1.3600 ko Break Karne Mein Struggle Kar Raha Hai Recent Gains ke Bawajood

Filhal, pair 1.3580 level ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, jo 2024 ke peak bids ke upper end ke nazdeek hai. Technical low 1.3496 aur 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se bounce karne ke baad, pair ne 2% se zyada gain kiya hai. Magar, bullish momentum fade hota dikh raha hai kyunki pair 1.3600 mark ko break karne mein struggle kar raha hai. Iske bawajood, pair teen hafton se winning streak par hai, jo kuch resilience ko indicate karta hai.

Long-term technical analysis abhi bhi long positions ko support karti hai, kyunki spot price 50-day EMA (1.3511) ke upar trade kar raha hai. Lekin, upward momentum constricted hai kyunki pair is mahine ke shuru mein 1.3950 ke peak ko surpass nahi kar paya.

Spot price ek remarkable ascent ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke apne ninth consecutive gain ko record kar raha hai jab pair US Dollar ke khilaf falter kar raha hai. Yeh steady rise, jo ke 1.3466 ke near-term low se 1.29% ka increase hai, ek rally ke baad hui hai jo ke 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) pe technical rejection ke baad shuru hui. Is waqt ka momentum US Dollar ke liye strong bullish phase ko indicate karta hai, jo ke naye highs ki taraf push kar raha hai.

Jab pair naye highs ko test karta rahega, traders ko market dynamics mein potential shifts ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye. Fed policy expectations, crude oil prices, aur technical indicators ka interplay future movements ko drive karega is currency pair mein. In factors ko close monitor karna zaroori hoga agar aap USD/CAD exchange rate ke evolving landscape ko navigate karna chahte hain.

USD/CAD ke Fundamentals:

Federal Reserve officials ne indicate kiya hai ke unhein confidence hai ke inflation apne 2% target ki taraf sustainably move kar raha hai. Lekin, central bank expected hai ke rising unemployment figures ko closely monitor karega, jo interest rate cuts ki possibility ko signal kar sakti hai. Is anticipation ne USD bulls ko cautious rakha hai, khas taur par ek do aur haftay purani high ke neeche. Current market sentiment ko Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke thoda overbought conditions dikhane ke wajah se aur complex banaya gaya hai, jo kuch traders ko recent rally ke baad profits lene ke liye prompt kar raha hai.

Girti hui crude oil prices pair par downward pressure daal rahi hain, jo commodity markets ke saath closely tied hai. Canada, jo ke United States ko crude oil ka leading exporter hai, oil prices mein shifts currency pair ko directly affect karte hain. Hal hi mein, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices $68.14 per barrel ke aas-paas hover kar rahe hain, jo teerhwe din ke liye decline mein hai. Yeh drop mainly China ki sluggish economic outlook aur Middle East mein tensions ke kam hone ke wajah se hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

In pressures ke bawajood, Canadian Dollar ke liye dominant DXY influence se chhutkaara milne ki ummeed short-lived hone ki sambhavana hai. USD/CAD pair apne upward momentum ko resume kar raha hai, mid-week dip ke baad 1.3550 ke neeche jaane ke baad 1.3581 region ko test kar raha hai. Pair 2024 high bids ke qareeb aa raha hai, jo ke 1.3945 pe set kiya gaya tha, aur agar bullish pressure barhata raha, to yeh jaldi hi August mein reach kiya gaya swing high 1.3900 ko challenge kar sakta hai.

Market participants dheere dheere yeh maan rahe hain ke Federal Reserve September mein rate-cutting cycle shuru kar sakta hai. Is ummeed ke chalte USD bulls cautious stance apna rahe hain, jo currency pair ki performance ko recent highs ke neeche navigate kar rahe hain. RSI ka overbought signal bhi scenario ko complex bana raha hai, jisse substantial rally ke baad, jo ke lagbhag 300 pips ki thi monthly swing low se, profit-taking ho rahi hai.

Friday ko European session ke doran, USD/CAD ne apni recent uptrend ko reverse kar diya, aur 1.3480 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. USD/CAD exchange rate ke girne ki wajah zyada tar commodity-linked Canadian dollar ki strength thi, jo higher crude oil prices se support mili. Canada, jo ke United States ko sabse bada oil exporter hai, isliye crude oil ke price ke barhne se Canadian dollar ko bhi faida hota hai. Jab ke Canadian dollar ne support diya, US dollar bhi strong nazar aa raha hai kyunki Thursday ko release hone wale economic data expectations se behtar the. Lekin, Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ne US dollar ke upside potential ko limit kar diya. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, jo ke Federal Open Market Committee ke hawk hain, ne kaha ke recent inflation ki slowdown aur unemployment ke barhne ke bawajood ek rate cut appropriate ho sakta hai. Unho ne zyada economic data ka intezar karne ki zarurat par zor diya. Investors US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index ki July ke liye release ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke US interest rates ke future direction par valuable insights provide karegi. Agar PCE reading softer than expected aayi, to rate cut ka case aur bhi mazboot ho sakta hai, jo US dollar ko weight kar sakta hai.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, USD/CAD pair ne 1.3600 ke round number aur 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke upar strong selling pressure ke baad ground regain kiya hai. Pair ne 1.3440 level ke aas-paas support paya, jo ke ek chhati mahine ka low hai. Market ab 1.3480 level ke upar rukne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur technical oscillators agle upside ke liye potential indicate kar rahe hain. Stochastic bullish crossover dikha raha hai, aur RSI oversold territory mein bottom out ho gaya hai. Agar USD/CAD pair upar ki taraf barhta raha, to agla significant resistance level psychological 1.3600 hoga. Uske baad, 20-day aur 50-day moving averages jo ke 1.3635 aur 1.3685 par hain, additional challenges create kar sakti hain. Overall, USD/CAD pair Canadian dollar ke strength aur US dollar ke potential gains ke beech mein phansa hua hai. Aane wale PCE price index ki release is pair ki future direction tay karne mein ek key factor hogi

USD/CAD ke price ke hawale se analysis yeh hai ke currency pair ka daily chart ek mazboot bullish candle ko zahir kar raha hai, jo yeh signal deta hai ke shayad trading day ke khatam honay se pehle 1.3591–1.3609 ke resistance zone ko test kiya ja sakta hai. Agar yeh zone clear breakout dekhay, toh us se mazeed upar ke targets ke liye rasta saaf ho sakta hai. Pehle maine yeh anticipate kiya tha ke 1.3591 tak pohanchne ke baad yeh pair apna safar 1.3691 tak jaari rakh sakta hai. USD/CAD ki price ek ascending price medium mein push kar rahi hai. Aaj ke din yeh pair channel ke upper boundary 1.3532 tak pohanch gayi. Yeh peak hit karne par growth ruki hui lagti hai, jo yeh suggest karti hai ke reversal mumkin hai. Agar decline hota hai, toh price wapas channel ki lower boundary ke paas, jo ke 1.3497 ke kareeb hai, retreat kar sakti hai.

Oil aur is trading instrument ko dekhte huay, ek bullish direction-based jump ki umeed thi, lekin abhi tak yeh nahi hua, shayad U.S. dollar ki taqat ki wajah se. Technically, mujhe lagta hai ke 1.3428 support level ko test karne ki koshish ki jaaegi, lekin market dynamics tabdeel ho sakte hain. Koi bara market participant behtar insights rakh sakta hai. Hum daily time frame mein critical 1.3591–1.3609 level ko probe karte rehain. Agar confirm ho jaye, toh ek bearish trend-based correction ho sakta hai. Lekin oil prices ke hawale se uncertainty ki wajah se ek aur push 1.3591–1.3609 ke upar ho sakta hai. Pair apni alignment bullish trajectory ki taraf kar raha hai. Agar yeh 1.3577 ke upar break karta hai, toh main buy karne ka sochunga, aur mera target 1.3705 hoga, aur phir 1.3646 se pullback par mazeed buys karne ka irada hai, jiska aim 1.3784–1.3834 hai. Aakhir mein, main 1.3941 ke upar market mein northward entry karne ka irada rakhta hoon, is liye main closely watch karunga ke price 1.3705 ke qareeb trend line ke upar break hoti hai ya nahi.