usd/cad

Canadian Dollar Ka Movement Wednesday Ko Limited

Wednesday ko Canadian dollar ka movement limited dikhayi de raha hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, jo 0.08% ki girawat ko darshata hai. Bank of Canada (BoC) se umeed hai ke wo aaj apni rate decision announce karega. BoC ke teen baar lagataar rate cut karne ki umeed hai, jo kisi bhi major central bank se sabse zyada hai.

BoC se ye bhi umeed hai ke wo saal ke baaki hisson aur 2025 tak rates cut karta rahega taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Yeh bhi ke Federal Reserve se bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal baad rate cut ki umeed hai, BoC ko rate cuts continue karna asaan ho jayega bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.

Canadian dollar ne August mein greenback ke khilaf 2.2% ki taqat hasil ki, isse lagta hai ke BoC ko rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ka utna concern nahi hai. Investors aaj rate cut ki umeed rakhte hain, lekin wo naye rate cut cycle ki information bhi dekh rahe hain. Inflation moderate hui hai aur BoC ke target range (1% se 3%) ke andar rah gayi hai, jo ke saat consecutive mahine se hai.




Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ke kamzor hone ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation gir jaye bina labor market ko collapse kiye aur economy ko recession mein na dale. US employment data Fed ke decision ke liye key hai. US is week ke baaki hisson mein employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ki size ko determine karega.

CME's FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke chances 70% se girkar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke chances 30% se barhkar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj ke din US JOLT job vacancies release karega, jo July ke 8.18 million se girkar 8.10 million hone ki umeed hai.

Good morning!

Pichle hafte pair ke liye bearish raha, kyun ke price ek price triangle ke andar trade kar rahi thi jo ek bearish red channel ke convergence se bana tha, jo sirf pichle hafte ki price movement ko darshata hai. Blue upward channel dikhata hai ke price ne pichle do hafton mein kis direction mein movement ki hai. Ek upward trend aur ek downward correction hui hai, aur is hafte ke price behavior ke sath price triangle agle trend ko determine karega.

Yeh downward trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai, kyun ke price ne initially sideways move karne ke baad weekly support level 1.3580 tak pahuncha. Is hafte bhi bearish raha, to agle hafte aur declines dekhne ki umeed hai. Trading ke doosre level par, agar price current bottom level ke neeche break karti hai, to price continue karegi girna aur weekly close negative ho sakta hai. Lekin, trading Monday ko price channels ke neeche shuru hui thi aur phir se ascending blue channel ke andar close hui, to price ne upar ki taraf continue kiya.




Price ke pichle hafte ke bottom se rebound hone ke bawajood, intensity barkarar hai. 1.3655 par clear direction hona zaroori hai pehle weekly aur daily pivot levels 1.3780 ko break karne se. Jaise hi currency 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ke upar break karti hai, yeh immediately 100-day SMA ke upar break karne par Bollinger Bands ke neutral zone me resistance ka samna karegi 1.3485 par. Bullish momentum resistance se 1.0840 par ruk sakta hai, aur jaldi hi 1.3600 par downtrend line ka samna kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, rally 1.3715 ki taraf tez ho sakti hai.

USD/CAD: Price Movement Ka Jaiza

Aaj hum USD/CAD currency pair ke price action analysis par focus karenge. Aaj ki daily candle ke base par, ek significant correction ka imkaan hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke growth 1.3615 level ki taraf continue kar sakti hai, shayad 1.3678 tak bhi pahunche. Lekin is upward trend ke bawajood, mujhe lagta hai ke bears apni downward movement dobara shuru karenge. Main bearish scenario ko tabhi reconsider karunga agar USD/CAD pair 1.3678 resistance level ke upar establish ho jaye. Tab tak, main price action ko closely monitor karunga aur apni sell position se exit karne ka plan nahi hai. Price MA200 moving average ke neeche hai, jo bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Pichle din ke dusre half mein, pair ne din ke opening mark ke neeche trade kiya aur session ko bhi similarly close kiya. Din bhar, price ne lower Bollinger band ko top se bottom tak cross kiya, jo bearish sentiment aur continued decline ke imkaan ko reinforce karta hai.




Growth ka potential abhi bhi USD/CAD pair mein hai. Din bullish candle ke sath close hua, aur hourly chart confirm karta hai ke pair uptrend par hai. Price Ichimoku cloud ke upar position mein hai, jo upward solid momentum ko signal karta hai, aur Stochastic indicator resistance zone mein hai. Last trading session mein, pair ne apni upward trajectory continue ki, aur bulls ne pehle resistance level ke upar position secure ki, trading 1.3541 par. Intraday growth targets classic Pivot levels se align karte hain. Current levels se growth continue karni chahiye, aur agar 1.3555 resistance level ke upar break hota hai, to ek naye upward movement ka wave shuru ho sakta hai, jo pair ko 1.3596 resistance line ke upar bullish kar sakta hai. Agar market mein sellers wapas aate hain, to unka focus 1.3445 support level par shift ho sakta hai. Technical analysis ke perspective se H1 time frame par, market mein selling strategy ke sath enter karna appropriate lagta hai.

USD/CAD Ka Technical Analysis

Pichle trading haftay mein Canadian dollar kamzor hua, jo ek lambe waqt tak steady strengthening ka silsila tha. Girawat ke dauran, price ne 1.3443 level tak pahuncha, jahan usne significant support paya, wahan se bounce kiya aur grow karna shuru kiya, is tarah signal zone se nikal gayi. Isliye, pair ke girne ka expected scenario sach nahi hua. Saath hi, price chart ab super-trend green zone mein move karna shuru kar raha hai, jo buyers se barhati hui support ko indicate karta hai.

Technical nazariye se, aaj ke trade mein positive side ki taraf jhank rahe hain, 1.34470 support level par indicator ke successful rest, simple moving average se positive stimuli, aur 14-day momentum indicator se clear positive signal par bharosa karte hue. Isliye, din ke dauran ek uptrend ki umeed hai, pehla target 1.3650 hoga, jiska break hone se profits barh sakte hain aur seedha channel 1.3720 aur 1.3790 ki taraf khul sakta hai. Hum yaad dilana chahenge ke agar trading stability 1.3510 ke neeche break hoti hai to negative pressure index ko 1.3730 par retest ke liye majboor karega.




Price ab weekly highs se moderate rise dikha rahi hai. Saath hi, key resistance area par significant pressure hai, jo iski integrity ko threat kar raha hai, jo actually direction change hone ki possibility ko indicate karta hai kyunki current momentum ke continuation ka potential high hai. Isko confirm karne ke liye, price ko 1.3506 level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jahan key support area ab border kar raha hai. Ek retest aur subsequent rebound naye upar ke move ke liye opportunity provide karega, target 1.3664 aur 1.3735 ke area mein hoga.

Agar support level break hota hai aur price reversal level 1.3443 ke neeche girti hai, to current scenario cancel karne ka signal mil jayega.

USD/CAD

Filhal, hum USD/CAD currency pair ke price movement analysis ka jaiza le rahe hain. Is pair ne poore haftay ek narrow horizontal range mein trade kiya, lagbhag 901 points ke band mein fluctuate karte hue, Monday ko 1.35140 tak peak karte hue aur Tuesday ko 1.34384 tak gir gaya. U.S. consumer confidence data ke baad, Tuesday ko hi ek significant girawat dekhi gayi. Agle hafte, Canada kuch aham figures release karega, jaise purchasing managers' index aur employment data, jo dono positive hone ki ummeed hai. Iske ilawa, Bank of Canada ki interest rate decision Wednesday ko hai, jisme kisi bhi surprising change ki ummeed nahi hai. Iske mukable, U.S. data agle hafte ke liye zyada positive lag raha hai, sirf non-farm payrolls ke uncertain outlook ke sath, jahan new job creation ke decrease hone ki sambhavana hai. Pair ke is horizontal channel mein fluctuate karne ki ummeed hai, Friday tak recovery ki sambhavana hai, jab yeh channel se bahar nikal sakta hai, depending on Non-farm Payrolls report, jo breakout direction ko heavily influence karegi.



Friday ko, Canadian dollar (CAD) ne U.S. dollar ke khilaf tezi se kamzor ho gaya, din ke average ke nazdeek aakar aur opening levels ke paas ghoomta raha. CAD ke peechay bullish momentum dheere-dheere ek chhoti si pause se reversal ki taraf badal raha hai, jo USD/CAD pair ko 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ki taraf rebound karne ke liye set kar raha hai. Pair ne thodi si uptick dekhi jab traders ne commodity markets mein pullback par dhyan shift kiya. Broader time frame mein, currency pair ne phir se strong resistance face kiya aur decline hua. Achhe se samajhne ke liye, screen par Price Action method ne "bearish engulfing" candle pattern ko highlight kiya. Market ko jaldi correction phase ka samna karna pad sakta hai. U.S. aur Canada se agle mahine mein kuch high-impact events hone ki sambhavana hai, jo pair ke volatility ko significantly affect kar sakte hain. Intraday pivots exciting patterns dikha rahe hain, lekin yeh clear hai ki is strategy ka full potential abhi tak nahi dekha gaya hai.

USDCAD pair ki downward rally dekhne par, ek lower low - lower high price pattern structure ban raha hai. Yeh price ke downward movement ki possibility ko darshata hai, khas taur par jab trend bearish condition mein hai. Misal ke taur par, agar bearish trend ke beech mein upward correction phase hai, to price SBR 1.3794 area ko test kar sakti hai. Jab tak breakout nahi hota, price apni downward rally continue kar sakti hai. Abhi ke price 1.3726 ke range mein hai aur yeh low prices 1.3720 ko paar kar sakti hai, jo ek naya lower low pattern banayega. Agar iska ulta hota hai, to higher high banne ka mauka hai agar yeh successfully 1.3753 ke high prices ko paar kar leti hai. MACD indicator ke side par, bullish divergence signal tab aa sakta hai jab histogram volume falling price volume se match nahi karta, jo 1.3720 ke low prices ko paar karta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo oversold zone (20 - 10) mein enter kar rahe hain, yeh indicate karte hain ke price decline jald hi selling saturation point tak pohnch sakti hai. Trading recommendations ke liye, bearish trend direction ko follow karte rahiye, aur price ka SBR 1.3794 area ke aas-paas upward correction ka intezar karke SELL entry position place karein. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator parameters ka overbought zone (90 - 80) ko cross karna bhi zaroori hai. Indicator histogram ka volume pehle se zyada hona chahiye taake bullish divergence signal ko negative area mein break kiya ja sake. Target placement take profit ke liye low 1.3720 ke aas-paas aur stop loss high prices 1.3855 par rakha jaye.
abhi ke liye sabhi chaar basement indicators ek sell signal de rahe hain. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke pehle ek upar ki taraf correction hogi, uske baad yeh pair H1 channel ke lower boundary ki taraf decline karega. H4 chart par, pair ne ek bade girawat ke baad thoda slow down kiya hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke iske baad upar ki taraf correction dekhne ko milegi. Pehle teen basement indicators ne buy signal de diya hai. Is chart ke base par, mujhe umeed hai ke price upar ki taraf correction karegi, MA100 tak aur shayad usse thoda zyada. Maine kuch minute pehle do buy positions khol di hain aur profit levels set kiye hain.
H4 chart par basement indicators mixed signals de rahe hain, jo ke itna valuable nahi hai. Lekin, upar ek target hai aur price ko us taraf move karna hoga jahan mere profit levels set hain. Summary yeh hai ke filhal pair ko present price par buy karna relevant hai, profit targets ke sath. Lekin, jab yeh targets achieve ho jayein, tab selling par switch karna sahi hoga (jaisa ke dotted line ke indication se hai) kyunki downtrend ab bhi intact hai aur expected growth sirf ek upward correction lagti hai.
jahan price ne guzra hua bounce back dikhaya hai. Is cheez ko samajhna traders ko market movements ko anticipate karne mein madad de sakta hai aur ye samajhne mein ke kab trades ko enter ya exit karna hai. Market ke kareeb lower boundary hai, ye aam baat hai ke traders growth ke signs ka intezar karein. Is case mein, target level dekhne wala 1.3850 hai. Ye level ek point hai jahan market resistance face kar sakti hai, jo ke ek correction ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Market mein correction ek temporary reversal hota hai price trend mein, jo aam tor par profit-taking ya market sentiment mein shift ke zariye hota hai. Is scenario mein, jab market 1.3680 tak pohnch jaye, to ek downward correction wapis lower boundary ke kareeb 1.3963 tak anticipate kiya jaata hai. Correction ka concept trading mein bohot zaroori hota hai, kyun ke ye market mein dobara enter hone ke possibility ko zyada favorable price point par dekhne ki guzarish karta hai. Agar market wapis lower boundary 1.3963 tak correct karti hai, to traders ko naye buying opportunities consider karne ke liye tayar hona chahiye. Ye approach ek aam trading strategy ke sath align karti hai, jahan traders defined range ke andar low buy aur high sell ke liye dekhta hai.

USD/CAD currency pair pichle trading sessions mein sustained downward trend ka samna kar raha hai, jo zyada tar Federal Reserve ke dovish hone ke expectations aur US dollar pe uske asar ki wajah se hai. Lekin, is pair ki girawat ko kuch challenges ka samna hai, jaise oil price dynamics aur technical factors jo Canadian dollar ko kuch support de sakte hain. Market mein Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ki umeed barh gayi hai, jo ke aam 25 basis points se zyada ho sakta hai, jo US dollar ke liye ek significant headwind ban gaya hai. Yeh umeed recent US job growth data ke revision se aur barh gayi hai jo weak labor market ko suggest karta hai. Crude oil prices ke barhne ki wajah se, jo increased demand aur geopolitical tensions ki wajah se hain, Canadian dollar ko kuch support mila hai, kyunke yeh commodity se closely linked hai.
Agar 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke upar break kiya jaye aur daily chart oscillators par negative readings dekhi jayein, toh USD/CAD pair ke liye strong downward bias ka indication hai. Is level ke neeche break hone se decline accelerate ho sakti hai aur multi-month lows ke paas 1.3440 area tak ja sakti hai. Yeh level March ke monthly swing lows ko represent karta hai aur further downside support de sakta hai. Overnight swing highs recovery attempts ko limit kar sakte hain. Yeh level weekly highs ko represent karta hai aur resistance barrier bhi ban sakta hai. 200-day moving average, jo ab resistance ban gaya hai, kisi bhi upside move ke liye significant hurdle ban sakta hai. USD/CAD pair abhi downward trend mein hai, jo zyada tar dovish Federal Reserve ke expectations ki wajah se hai. Jab ke oil price dynamics aur technical factors Canadian dollar ko short-term support de sakte hain, pair ke liye overall outlook bearish hai. Traders ko caution baratni chahiye aur potential downside risks ko dhyan mein rakhna chahiye, kyunki pair continue to decline kar sakta hai multi-month lows ki taraf. Lekin, agar 1.3590 resistance level ke upar break hota hai, toh yeh ek potential reversal signal de sakta hai aur short-covering rally ko lead kar sakta hai.

Main dollar-Canadian dollar pair ko four-hour chart pe dekh raha hoon. Yeh pair weekly chart pe opposite range boundaries se bounce ho gaya. Bechne walon ke limits ne 1.39116 ke resistance se kaam kiya aur pair neeche chala gaya. 1.37478 ka support break ho gaya, aur bechne walon ne bhi volume barhaya, isliye mujhe laga ke girawat aur aage barhegi.
Mujhe lagta hai ke girawat weekly chart ke lower range boundaries tak chalegi aur ho sakta hai ke pair aur bhi neeche jaye. Main Canadian dollar ke mazboot hone ka intezar kar raha hoon, aur ummed hai ke dollar sasta hona shuru ho jayega. Dollar kuch waqt se market ko dominate kar raha hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke ab yeh apni positions chhod dega. Isliye, sab currencies ki qeemat girne ka imkaan hai, aur banks apni currencies ki qeemat kam karengi, is liye zyada tar yeh pair girta rahega.

Main H1 chart pe jo meri primary chart hai, wahan ek descending channel dekh raha hoon. Jaise M15 chart pe bhi, yeh bears ki strength ko confirm karta hai. Isliye, jaise maine pehle bataya, main sales pe focus karunga. Is waqt bechne ke liye upper border of the channel 1.35555 se entry behtar hai. Girawat channel ke lower border 1.34726 tak ho sakti hai.

H1 channel ke upper edge tak growth benchmark 1.35031 ka level hoga. Agar strong sellers hain, toh yeh market ko rok sakta hai aur neeche rebound de sakta hai. Lekin agar consolidation is level ke upar hoti hai, toh bullish activity ke signs milte hain. Growth 1.35555 pe fade hona shuru ho jayegi aur downward movement phir se restore ho jayegi, jo ke downtrend ke strong player ka indication hai. Iske sath hi, main bechne ke liye mauka dekhunga.

Hum USD/CAD currency pair ke price movement ka jaiza le rahe hain. Yeh pair abhi consolidation phase mein hai aur lagta hai ke Monday ko bhi yeh trend continue kar sakta hai. Chart yeh dikhata hai ke pair ne 1.3511 resistance level ko test kiya hai aur abhi 1.3490 pe trade kar raha hai. RSI apne range ke beech mein hai aur upward trend dikha raha hai, jabke AO ek kamzor sell signal de raha hai, aur pair pichle din ke trading range ke upar hai. Yeh signals faint hain, lekin yeh chhoti si increase ka ishara dete hain. Price shayad 1.3511 resistance level ko dobara test kare.
USD/CAD pair eventually decline karega, apne lows ko break karega, aur naye support levels establish karega. Weekly time frame mein ek significant critical level hai, jo main nazar rakhoonga. Ek reversal pattern nazar aa raha hai. Price ne four-hour chart par ek crucial support level ko break kiya hai, jo main ne weekly breakdown par identify kiya tha, jo indicate karta hai ke bulls ko aage badhne ka space mila hai.

Direction ka faisla abhi bhi uncertain hai, lekin prolonged lack of retracement ki wajah se current trend ke continue hone ka chance barh gaya hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke Canadian dollar pair ke bearish trajectory mein koi significant changes nahi hue hain, aur further downside potential abhi bhi hai. Lekin recent decline thodi si pause ho gayi hai, aur 1.351 ke upar chadhne ki koshish ki gayi hai, lekin pair us level ko sustain nahi kar saka. Notably, U.S. dollar ko kuch support mila hai halanke economic indices weak the. Critical sawal yeh hai ke Monday ko trading kis tarah se chalegi, jabke U.S. aur Canada dono holiday par hain. In developments ke bawajood, mera stance bearish outlook hi hai. Agar pair pull back karke 1.3576 ke upar chadh jaata hai, toh main us point par selling opportunities ko consider karunga.

USD/CAD currency pair ke ongoing price action ka mutala kar raha hoon. USD/CAD pair ke liye hourly chart par ek uptrend nazar aa raha hai, aur price 134-period moving average se upar hold kar raha hai, jo is trend ki tasdeeq karta hai. Lekin, chhote timeframe par, price 134-period moving average se niche close hua hai, jo ek potential correction ko zahir karta hai. Price 1.3811 se niche consolidate karega, isliye bechne ka sochna munasib hoga. Agar price 1.3866 se upar stabilize ho jaye, toh ek alternative purchase option consider kiya jayega. Abhi, hourly uptrend mein sales priority hain. USD/CAD chart mein bearish formation nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke agar price 1.3878 accumulation area ke upar maintain nahi karta, toh price decline kar sakta hai. Agar price yahan stabilize nahi hota, toh yeh pehle upar ki taraf test karne ke liye 1.3878 ko rise kar sakta hai. Agar Price Is Level Ko Cross Nahi Karta

Agar price is level ko cross nahi karta, toh yeh accumulation zone 1.3732 ke aas-paas descend kar sakta hai. Chart yeh indicate karta hai ke USDCAD upward push kar sakta hai, khususan jab sellers unload kar chuke hain. Lekin, support zone 1.3776-1.3806 se niche drop karne ke liye kafi balance hona chahiye, aur sellers achhe price ke liye hesitate kar rahe hain. Isliye, humay ye monitor karna chahiye ke kya ek broad range form hota hai ya koi maneuver market participants ko attract karta hai. 1.3776-1.3806 ke niche ek false break sell orders ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo growth momentum provide karega. Trend solid aur stable hai. Agar buyers is support zone se enter karte hain, toh price 1.361 tak drop kar sakta hai. Isliye, buyers ko bhi attract karne ka chance hai agar breakout 1.3881-96 ke upar hota hai. USD/CAD pair range formation mein delay ho sakta hai. Agar support break hota hai, toh market ki reaction observe karein.

USD/CAD
Main abhi USD/CAD currency pair ke dynamic price behavior ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Apne analysis ki buniyad par, main USD/CAD ko sell kar raha hoon. Kal main ne mention kiya tha ke price 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level par ruk gaya tha aur kaafi arsay se yeh level barqarar hai. Yeh level CCI indicator ke saath bhi match kar raha hai, jo is support area ko mazid mazboot banata hai. Lekin is price behavior ka yeh matlab nahi ke buyers price ko zyada barhane ka iraada rakhtay hain. Balki, ek mazboot chance hai ke USD/CAD is support area ko tor kar neeche giray ga.

Main ne kal raat ek sell order place kiya, lekin is se kam fayda hua. Aaj jab prices thori si gir gayi hain, toh maine doosri position enter ki hai. Mera target 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai, jo ek significant bullish trend se derived hai. Mera khayal hai ke price is level tak gire gi aur wahan rukne ka imkaan hai.

Main apni technical analysis ke zariye USD/CAD currency pair ke mustaqbil ke movement ka tajziya karta hoon, aur yeh abhi bhi 1.34950 tak girne ke chances hain. Yeh is liye ke H1 time frame par USD/CAD pair ne ek bearish engulfing candle form ki hai, jo ek bohot strong signal hai SELL ka, 1.34950 tak. Lekin humein Monday ko USD/CAD ke upward correction ka khayal rakhna hoga kyun ke meri observation ke mutabiq, RSI 14 indicator ke hisaab se jab price 1.3500 ko touch karti hai, toh yeh zone oversold hota hai, yaani ke bohot zyada sell ho chuka hota hai. Is liye Monday ko 10-40 pips ka upward correction ho sakta hai.

BUY USD/CAD ka signal bhi SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke zariye support hota hai, kyun ke jab price 1.35000 par hoti hai, toh yeh RBS area (Resistance Become Support) mein hoti hai, jo ke price ko 1.35400 tak correction dikhane ke imkaan ko barhata hai. Aaj ke liye, meri technical analysis ka natija yeh hai ke main USD/CAD ko 1.35400 tak buy karne ka faisla kiya hai.

USD/CAD daily breakdown ke qareeb hai Broadening Triangle chart pattern ka. 1.3600 se neeche, yeh asset horizontal support ke qareeb hai. Overall trend negative hai kyun ke yeh 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.3630 ke aas-paas hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) downward trend dikhata hai, jo ke negative 20.00-40.00 ke area mein hai. Agar yeh asset 9 April ke low 1.3540 ke neeche break karta hai, toh aur girawat aayegi. Yeh asset ko 21 March ke low 1.3456 tak le jayegi aur phir psychological support 1.3500 ki taraf move kare gi.


Aik alternative yeh hai ke agar price 12 August ke high 1.3750 ke upar rebound karti hai, toh asset 1.3800 ke resistance aur 17 April ke high 1.3840 ki taraf ja sakta hai.

USD/CAD ki price movement ka jaiza lete hue, H4 time frame par currency pair ka trajectory mein aik nihayat aham tabdeeli nazar aa rahi hai. Indicators ko ghor se dekhne par yeh wazeh hota hai ke USDCAD ek noticeable downtrend mein chala gaya hai. Yeh downward movement sirf ek choti si haadsa nahi hai, balke technical indicators ke primary aur secondary signals isay support karte hain. H4 time frame ko analyze karte waqt, trend confirm karne ke liye mukhtalif factors ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Indicators, jo ke moving averages, RSI, MACD, aur doosre technical tools ko shamil karte hain, sab is baat ki taraf ishaara karte hain ke bears market ka control le chuke hain. Price action consistently lower highs aur lower lows bana raha hai, jo ke classic bearish trend ka nishan hai. Iske ilawa, volume indicators bhi selling pressure ka izafa dikhate hain, jo ke downtrend ko further confirm karta hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) bhi bearish crossover dikhata ho sakta hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke neeche cross karti hai, jo downtrend narrative ko mazid barhata hai. Yeh indicators mil kar market ki halat ka comprehensive picture provide karte hain. H4 time frame par is shift ko dekhte hue traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur short positions ka ghoor se mulahiza karna chahiye, kyun ke prevailing signals sab further downward movement ki taraf ishaara karte hain. H4 chart par yeh technical signals ka convergence yeh darshata hai ke downtrend aane wale waqt tak barqarar reh sakta hai, jab tak market mein kisi unforeseen fundamental shift ka samna na ho. Isliye, USD/CAD pair ko asar daal sakne wale kisi bhi economic data releases ya geopolitical events par nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo ke current trend ko reverse kar sakte hain.
USD/CAD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis ba'zi discussions ka shikaar hai. Currency pair ne haali mein naye lows ko touch kiya hai, support level 1.3654 ko break karte hue, aur ab 1.3634 par trade kar raha hai. CCI buy zone ki taraf ja raha hai aur downward point kar raha hai, jab ke Awesome Oscillator sell signal de raha hai, aur pair previous day's trading range se neeche hai. Yeh indicators high likelihood dikhate hain ke further decline ho sakti hai. Price support level 1.3619 ko test karegi. Overall technical outlook pair ka bearish trend ko continue karne ka signal de raha hai, jo ke medium indicator se clearly nazar aa raha hai. Zigzag, MACD, aur RSI indicators overbought zone mein hain jo short selling ka potential mazid barhate hain. Bears ki current strength aur activity ko dekhte hue, main plan kar raha hoon ke jab price 78.6% Fibonacci target, jo ke 1.35159 par mark hai, tak pohnche gi to ek open position secure kar loon. Lekin ehtiyaat ke tor par, main order ko break-even par le aaoonga jaise hi yeh positive territory mein enter karegi

USD/CAD
Aakhri kuch trading sessions mein, currency pair mein kaafi utar chadhav dekha gaya hai. Budh ke din, US trading session ke dauran, yeh pair 1.3501 tak gir gaya, jo ke no din tak lagatar girne ke baad apni November 2023 ke baad ki sabse unchi satah par tha. Is temporary downturn ke bawajood, pair ne apni position qaim rakhi aur abhi ke liye 1.3512 ke ird gird trade kar raha hai. Magar abhi bhi ek badi corrective decline ki koi pakki surat nazar nahi aa rahi.

Kul mila kar, USD/CAD pair ko short-term challenges aur bearish signals ka samna hai, lekin technical indicators aur underlying bullish momentum ko dekhte hue, koi bari reversal foran expected nahi hai. Traders ko aanewali economic updates aur central bank ke faislon par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh market ki future movements ko influence kar sakti hain.

### USD/CAD ke Fundamentals:

Canadian dollar ne US dollar ke muqable mein kaafi pressure face kiya hai, aur lagatar no trading sessions se girawat dekhne mein aa rahi hai. Is girawat ka bara sabab Bank of Canada ka haal ka rate cut hai. Is wajah se traders yeh umeed kar rahe hain ke September mein ek aur rate cut aa sakta hai, lekin abhi odds balanced hain.

US mein, Federal Reserve (Fed) market ke liye is haftay ka bara asar daalney wala hai. Halankeh Fed ka current rate qaim rakhne ka faisla fully expected hai, traders Chairman Jerome Powell ke comments ka intezar kar rahe hain taake September ke rate strategy ke hawale se koi ishara mile. Fed ki taraf se aane wale kisi bhi signal ka USD/CAD pair par aur overall market sentiment par bara asar ho sakta hai.

### Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technical outlook ke mutabiq pair ko kuch challenges ka samna ho sakta hai. Agar pair Wednesday ke low 1.3501 ki taraf girta hai, toh yeh ek Evening Star candlestick pattern bana sakta hai. Yeh pattern, jo ke ek strong bearish reversal signal maana jata hai, April 16, 2023 ki horizontal resistance level ke qareeb ubhar raha hai, jo ke 1.3847 par hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai, toh bearish signal ko validate kar sakta hai.


Lekin bearish potential ke bawajood, abhi poori reversal ka andaza lagana jaldbazi ho sakta hai. USD/CAD pair abhi tak 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar hai, jo ke abhi 1.3514 ke qareeb position mein hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bullish range 60.00-80.00 mein hai.

**USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis:**
Amerikan currency aur Canadian currency pair dono ki economic factors se mutasir hai. Canadian dollar ne nine consecutive trading sessions ke liye kamzori dekhi hai, jo ke recently Bank of Canada ke rate cut ki wajah se hai. Traders agle mahine September me ek aur rate reduction ki umeed kar rahe hain, jo Canadian dollar par bechne ka pressure barha raha hai. Is ke muqablay me, US dollar ko Federal Reserve ke interest rate strategy ke hawale se speculations ka faida mil raha hai. Jabke Fed ki taraf se rates ko stable rakhe jane ka tajwez hai, traders Chairman Jerome Powell se agle months me possible rate changes ke signals dekh rahe hain. Ye fundamental factors USD/CAD pair ko buyers ke liye supported rakh rahe hain, dono central banks ke actions market ke future direction mein key role ada kar rahe hain.

**Technical Analysis & Forecast:**
Technical standpoint se, USD/CAD pair bullish position mein hai, kyunki ye 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar trade kar raha hai jo ke 1.3587 ke aas-paas hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bullish range 60-80 mein hai, jo strong buying momentum ko indicate kar raha hai. Hourly chart par resistance 1.35831 par hai, jahan traders long positions par profit tak lene ka soch sakte hain. Key entry levels 1.34987 aur 1.34977 hain, aur stop losses 1.34952 par set kiye gaye hain. Agar price 1.3527 se upar breakout karti hai to ye agle target 1.3628 tak ke liye upward movement ko trigger kar sakti hai. Lekin, 1.3565 par ek false breakout dekha gaya hai, aur agar is level ke upar consolidation nahi hoti to selling pressure barh sakta hai, jo pair ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Agar price 1.3435 se neeche girti hai, to downtrend continue ho sakta hai, magar pair ka overall position 100-day EMA ke upar bullish strength
Technical standpoint se, USD/CAD pair bullish position mein hai, kyunki ye 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar trade kar raha hai jo ke 1.3587 ke aas-paas hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bullish range 60-80 mein hai, jo strong buying momentum ko indicate kar raha hai. Hourly chart par resistance 1.35831 par hai, jahan traders long positions par profit tak lene ka soch sakte hain. Key entry levels 1.34987 aur 1.34977 hain, aur stop losses 1.34952 par set kiye gaye hain. Agar price 1.3527 se upar breakout karti hai to ye agle target 1.3628 tak ke liye upward movement ko trigger kar sakti hai. Lekin, 1.3565 par ek false breakout dekha gaya hai, aur agar is level ke upar consolidation nahi hoti to selling pressure barh sakta hai, jo pair ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Agar price 1.3435 se neeche girti hai, to downtrend continue ho sakta hai, magar pair ka overall position 100-day EMA ke upar bullish strength ko signal karta hai.

**USD/CAD Price Behavior Analysis:**
USD/CAD currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya kiya ja raha hai. Ye currency pair recently naye lows tak pohanch gaya hai, aur 1.3654 ka support level tod diya hai, aur ab 1.3634 par trade kar raha hai. CCI buy zone ki taraf ja raha hai aur downward point kar raha hai, jabke Awesome Oscillator sell signal de raha hai, aur pair pichle din ke trading range ke neeche positioned hai. Ye indicators aage decline ke high likelihood ko suggest karte hain. Price support level 1.3619 ko test karegi. Overall technical outlook bearish trend ki continuation ko indicate karta hai, jo medium indicator se clearly dikhai de raha hai. Zigzag, MACD, aur RSI indicators overbought zone mein hain jo short selling ke potential ko reinforce karte hain. Current bears ki strength aur activity ko dekhte hue, main plan kar raha hoon ke open position secure kar loon jab price 78.6% Fibonacci target, jo ke 1.35159 par marked hai, tak pohanchti hai. Magar cautious rehne ke liye, main order ko break-even par move kar dunga jab ye positive territory mein enter kare.

**Market Price Situation for This Week:**

Agar aap market ke 4-hour time frame ko monitor karein, to meri raaye ke mutabiq trend bearish side ki taraf correct ho raha hai. USD/CAD market mein zyada tabdeeli nahi hui kyunki dominant price apne bearish trend mein move kar rahi hai. Ye situation previous week ke market conditions ke mutabiq hai kyunki trend ab bhi downtrend mein nazar aata hai. Buyers ne August ke shuruat mein candlestick ko upar lane ki koshish ki thi. Lekin, aakhri teen weeks se le kar aaj subah tak price ne niche bounce kiya hai. Price journey niche ki taraf hai, bilkul jaise June ke shuruat mein. Mere mutabiq, agle hafte ke trading period ke liye, price journey ab bhi uptrend ki taraf ja sakti hai. Stochastic indicator 5,3,3 kal raat ko neeche ki taraf turn hona shuru ho gaya jo sellers ke market ko control karne ko indicate karta hai. Isliye, agle hafte ke trend ke bullish side jane ka mauka hai, main predict karta hoon ke market apni upward journey ko continue kar sakta hai, magar anticipate karna hoga



ke next trade mein GBP/CAD pair ke against large volume mein sale transaction ho sakti hai. Mere liye, agle hafte ka trend prediction still market situation ke correction down ka intezaar hai. Agar seller price ko 1.3482 zone tak neeche push kar sakta hai, to main Sell position lene ka plan kar raha hoon jab tak target 1.3441 area tak pohanchti hai. Humein bhi jo signals appear ho rahe hain unka faida uthana chahiye aur market position ko maximize karna chahiye taake bearish rally se positive reaction mil sake.