usd/cad

Jummah ki subah ke initial trading session mein, currency pair apni upward movement ko continue karte hue 1.3900 ke significant resistance level ke qareeb pahunch gaya. Loonie pair ko strength mili jab US Dollar (USD) ne apne fresh three-day low of 104.41 se recovery ki, aur apne earlier intraday losses ka zyada hissa reverse kar diya. Fed Ki Cautious Approach Ne USD Ko Boost Diya; CAD Kamzor Raha Despite Strong Inflation

Federal Reserve (Fed) ke officials ne ek cautious outlook maintain kiya hai, jo Greenback ke liye near-term support provide karega. Pichle July se, Fed ne apni benchmark policy rate ko 5.25%-5.5% range mein rakha hua hai. Central bank ne indicate kiya hai ke jab tak inflation sustainable trajectory par 2% target ki taraf move nahi hota, tab tak rate cuts nahi honge.

Iske muqable mein, Canadian Dollar ne weakness show ki hai, bhale hi May ka inflation data expectations se exceed kiya ho. Yeh data Bank of Canada (BoC) ke imminent rate cuts ke predictions ko temper kar diya hai, jo June mein apni rate-cutting cycle start kar chuka tha. USD/CAD pair ab Thursday ke early high around 1.3888 se retreat kar raha hai, aur 1.3900 resistance level ki taraf move kar raha hai.
USD/CAD Ka Technical Analysis:
Agar pair May 3 ka low approximately 1.3600 ke neeche decisively drop karta hai, to further declines ka exposure ho sakta hai, jo potentially April 9 low around 1.3549 aur psychological support at 1.3600 tak pahunch sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar pair August 1 ke high near 1.3890 ko breakout kar jata hai, to ek new buying opportunity present hogi. Yeh pair ko apne all-time peak tak propel kar sakta hai aur potentially 1.4100 level ko test kar sakta hai.

USD/CAD pair ne haali mein downward pressure dekha hai, jo zyada tar WTI crude oil ke prices mein izafay ki wajah se hua, kyunke supply fears barh rahi hain. Canada, ek bara oil exporter hone ke nate, higher oil prices se faida uthata hai, jo Canadian dollar ko mazid mazbooti deta hai. Crude oil prices aur USD/CAD pair ke darmiyan yeh inverse relationship hota hai ke jab oil prices barhtay hain, to Canadian dollar ki value bhi barhti hai.

WTI crude oil $90 per barrel ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke chand mahino mein pehli dafa dekhnay ko mil raha hai. Geopolitical tensions aur supply disruptions jo major oil-producing regions se ho rahi hain, unki wajah se oil prices mein yeh izafa aya hai. In developments ne Canadian dollar ko mazid mazbooti di hai, jiski wajah se USD/CAD exchange rate mein kami hui hai.

Dusri taraf, U.S. dollar ne mixed economic data aur Federal Reserve ki future policy ke speculation ke bawajood apni resilience dikhayi hai. Halankeh yeh debate chal rahi hai ke Fed aglay rate hike karega ya cut, U.S. dollar abhi bhi potential hawkish hold ki umeedon se kuch support le raha hai.

Lekin, oil ki strong performance aur supply constraints ke continued rehne ke imkanat yeh dikhate hain ke Canadian dollar near term mein U.S. dollar ke muqable mein strong reh sakta hai. Traders ko U.S. aur Canada ke upcoming economic data par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunke yeh USD/CAD ke future price movements ko influence karenge.



Akhir mein, jabke USD/CAD pair abhi rising oil prices ke pressure mein hai, future direction oil markets aur dono mulkon ki central bank policies par depend karega. Investors ko in factors mein hone wale changes par alert rehna chahiye, kyunke yeh aglay hafton mein pair ki trajectory ko tay karenge. Hourly chart par, price abhi selling pressure mein hai, jo ke 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) se neeche dabba hua hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bearish outlook ko support kar raha hai. Agar hum zoom out karein, to 100-period aur 50-period SMA's bhi seller's strength ko reinforce kar rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke buy position enter karne se pehle wait karna behtar ho sakta hai

USD/CAD pair ne early Thursday ke Asian session mein thoda kam trade kiya, aur lagbhag 1.3755 par tha. Is decline ki wajah kuch market dynamics hain. Pehli baat, Bank of Canada (BoC) ne yeh concerns zahir kiye hain ke consumer spending 2025 aur 2026 mein significantly underperform kar sakti hai, jo ke potential economic headwinds ki taraf ishara karta hai. Iske ilawa, BoC ne labor market pressures mein kami aur working-age population mein slower job creation ka zikar kiya, jo ek mixed economic outlook ko underscore karta hai.

Investors ab US Initial Jobless Claims report ko closely dekh rahe hain taake US employment market ke bare mein kuch asar mil sake. Agar jobless claims mein izafa hota hai, to yeh labor market ki kamzori ka signal de sakta hai, jo USD ki strength ko impact kar sakta hai. Federal Reserve ke further interest rate actions ke expectations bhi is mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Market mein mazid aggressive rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo near term mein US dollar ke upside ko cap kar sakta hai.

Geopolitical tensions, khaaskar Middle East mein, aur US crude oil inventories mein girawat ne oil prices ko mazid support diya hai. Kyunke Canada ek bara oil exporter hai, isliye higher oil prices typically Canadian dollar ko support karte hain, jo ke USD/CAD pair ke softer note ka aik sabab hai. Lekin Canadian economic landscape ab bhi uncertain hai, aur aane wale employment data se yeh umeed hai ke unemployment 6.4% se 6.5% tak barh jayegi.



USD/CAD exchange rate ko domestic economic concerns, geopolitical factors, aur US interest rates ke hawale se market expectations ka mix influence kar raha hai. Traders ko mashwara diya jata hai ke yeh variables closely monitor karte rahein jab wo forex market mein navigate karte hain. H4 chart mein USD/CAD currency pair abhi correction phase mein hai. Isne double bottom ke saath SMA-100 ko break karke character mein tabdeeli dikhayi hai. Jab price wapas SMA-100 ke upar bounce karegi, to yeh is baat ka hint hogi ke correction phase khatam ho gaya hai aur hum buy entry ke liye dekh sakte hain

USDCAD pair ki downward rally dekhne par, ek lower low - lower high price pattern structure ban raha hai. Yeh price ke downward movement ki possibility ko darshata hai, khas taur par jab trend bearish condition mein hai. Misal ke taur par, agar bearish trend ke beech mein upward correction phase hai, to price SBR 1.3794 area ko test kar sakti hai. Jab tak breakout nahi hota, price apni downward rally continue kar sakti hai. Abhi ke price 1.3726 ke range mein hai aur yeh low prices 1.3720 ko paar kar sakti hai, jo ek naya lower low pattern banayega. Agar iska ulta hota hai, to higher high banne ka mauka hai agar yeh successfully 1.3753 ke high prices ko paar kar leti hai. MACD indicator ke side par, bullish divergence signal tab aa sakta hai jab histogram volume falling price volume se match nahi karta, jo 1.3720 ke low prices ko paar karta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo oversold zone (20 - 10) mein enter kar rahe hain, yeh indicate karte hain ke price decline jald hi selling saturation point tak pohnch sakti hai. Trading recommendations ke liye, bearish trend direction ko follow karte rahiye, aur price ka SBR 1.3794 area ke aas-paas upward correction ka intezar karke SELL entry position place karein. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator parameters ka overbought zone (90 - 80) ko cross karna bhi zaroori hai. Indicator histogram ka volume pehle se zyada hona chahiye taake bullish divergence signal ko negative area mein break kiya ja sake. Target placement take profit ke liye low 1.3720 ke aas-paas aur stop loss high prices 1.3855 par rakha jaye.
abhi ke liye sabhi chaar basement indicators ek sell signal de rahe hain. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke pehle ek upar ki taraf correction hogi, uske baad yeh pair H1 channel ke lower boundary ki taraf decline karega. H4 chart par, pair ne ek bade girawat ke baad thoda slow down kiya hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke iske baad upar ki taraf correction dekhne ko milegi. Pehle teen basement indicators ne buy signal de diya hai. Is chart ke base par, mujhe umeed hai ke price upar ki taraf correction karegi, MA100 tak aur shayad usse thoda zyada. Maine kuch minute pehle do buy positions khol di hain aur profit levels set kiye hain.
H4 chart par basement indicators mixed signals de rahe hain, jo ke itna valuable nahi hai. Lekin, upar ek target hai aur price ko us taraf move karna hoga jahan mere profit levels set hain. Summary yeh hai ke filhal pair ko present price par buy karna relevant hai, profit targets ke sath. Lekin, jab yeh targets achieve ho jayein, tab selling par switch karna sahi hoga (jaisa ke dotted line ke indication se hai) kyunki downtrend ab bhi intact hai aur expected growth sirf ek upward correction lagti hai. Yeh expected movement chart par clearly outlined hai.
Khud ko sambhal kar rakhna! Jaise price decline karti rahegi (ya shayad abhi bhi), humein closely monitor karna hoga kisi possible reversal ke liye. Agar price upward move karti hai, to hum 1.3560-1.3710 area tak growth dekh sakte hain, jo MA aur middle Bollinger band ke sath align karta hai. Abhi Canadian dollar ko buy karna jaldi hai, kyunki price side accumulation phase mein hai. Halanki hourly high promising lagta hai, humne abhi tak us level ke upar confirmed breakout nahi dekha. False breakout ki bhi possibility hai, jiske baad phir se accumulation phase mein wapas jaane ka chance hai.

Aaj humein high-impact news ka samna hai jo kay mukhtalif currencies ko involve karti hai. Humare paas kuch low aur medium-impact news bhi hain. Yeh sab currency pairs ke saath bohot ziada volatility la sakti hain jo neeche di gayi currencies se related hain. Traders ko is baat ka khayal rakhna chahiye aur trading karte waqt apne money management skills ka achi tarah se istemal karna chahiye. Forex market mein trading karte waqt ihtiyat se kaam lena bohot zaroori hai. News available ka detail nichay picture mein diya gaya hai, jise zaroor dekhiye.

USDCAD ANALYSIS

Kal, USDCAD pair ne higher areas mein trade kiya aur din ka aghaz karte hue kareeban 1.3805 par close kiya. Aaj, yeh upar ki taraf move karte hue 1.3820 price level tak pohnch gaya hai. Agar hum hourly chart par dekhein, to ye noticeable hai ke USDCAD abhi moving average line MA (200) H1 ke upar 1.3715 par trade kar raha hai. Aisi hi situation four-hour chart par bhi hai jahan USDCAD abhi moving average line MA (200) H4 ke upar trade kar raha hai. Is sab ke madde nazar, traders ko ye salah di jati hai ke woh correction ke baad achi buy entry point ke liye dekhain. Is analysis ka behtar tajziya picture aur chart mein diya gaya hai, jise zaroor dekhiye.

Resistance levels hain 1.3820, 1.3835, aur 1.3900.

Support levels hain 1.3775, 1.3755, aur 1.3735.

Kya expect karna chahiye: Hum USDCAD ke price mein rise dekh sakte hain jo ke next resistance level 1.3820 tak ja sakta hai.

Doosri surat mein, hum price ko moving average line MA (200) H4 ke neeche girte hue 1.3660 tak dekh sakte hain.

Filhal ke liye itna hi. Aap is analysis ke bare mein kya sochte hain? Apne thoughts aur contributions comments section mein zaroor share karein. Aap ka din acha guzray.

USD/CAD teesray din bhi neeche ja raha hai, lekin koi significant follow-through nahi dekh raha. Tel ki keemat mein izafa ne Loonie ko support kiya hai aur pair par pressure dala hai. USD ki demand mein acha pick-up kuch support dene aur losses ko limit karne mein madad karta hai.

USD/CAD pair European session ke shuru mein Wednesday ko modest intraday losses ke sath stick karta hai aur abhi 1.3775-1.3770 region ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Spot prices, halaanki, Tuesday ko touch kiye gaye do-week low se upar rehne mein kamyab rahe hain, jisse week's sharp retracement slide ke extension ke liye position karne se pehle thodi caution warrant hoti hai jo mid-1.3900s ke aas-paas ya lagbhag do saal ke high ke vicinity se shuru hua. Iske alawa, US Dollar (USD) demand mein acha pick-up, jo US Treasury bond yields mein izafa se bolster hua hai, ek aur factor hai jo USD/CAD pair ko kuch support deta hai. Waisay, equity markets ke ird-gird ek aam taur par positive tone aur dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations USD bulls ko aggressive bets lagane se rok sakti hain aur spot prices ke liye kuch meaningful downside ke prospects ko support kar sakti hain.

Upar diya gaya mixed fundamental backdrop, halaanki, Wednesday ko kisi bhi relevant market-moving US economic data ki absence mein aggressive directional bets lagane se pehle kuch caution warrant karta hai. Traders shayad sidelines par rukna pasand karein monthly Canadian employment details ke release se pehle, jo Friday ko aani hain. In the meantime, USD/Oil price dynamics USD/CAD pair ke ird-gird short-term trading opportunities produce kar sakti hain.

Scotiabank ke chief FX strategist Shaun Osborne note karte hain ke Canadian Dollar (CAD) ne thodi zyada progress ki hai raat bhar, jo risk assets ke liye bid ko reflect karta hai behtar market conditions ke dauran.

1.3725 se neeche break hona mumkin hai "Mera fair value estimate is subah spot (1.3723) se thoda neeche track kar raha hai, jo suggest karta hai ke CAD ko improve karne ke liye kuch additional scope hai. Filhaal, yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke CAD ki performance ka primary driver risk backdrop hai. BoC apne July policy decision discussion ki summary 13.30ET par release karta hai.

"Report ka CAD par koi major impact hone ki umeed nahi hai jab tak koi signs nahi milte ke CAD ki recent slide se policymakers ko kisi tarah ki concern hui hai."

"July ke end tak CAD ki relentless sell-off ke baad, rebound lagta hai—for now—charts par equally unrelenting hone ja raha hai. Daily aur weekly price signals USD/CAD ke liye bearishly shape le rahe hain aur short-term signals CAD gains ke liye zyada room suggest karte hain, spot 1.36/1.3950 rally (1.3768) ke 50% retracement ke neeche edge kar raha hai, towards 1.3675/1.3725. Resistance 1.3790 hai."

**USDCAD Technical Analysis:**
USDCAD ke D1 time frame par jo current price action hai, wo traders ke liye kaafi dilchasp scenario pesh kar raha hai jo is currency pair ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. USDCAD ne ek notable pattern dikhaya hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke agle kuch dinon mein bullish movement aane ka potential ho sakta hai. Jab hum recent price activity ka tajziya karte hain, to yeh saaf ho jata hai ke current setup aasani se ek upward trajectory ki taraf lead kar sakta hai, jo ke is pair ke liye near future mein ek mumkin outcome ho sakta hai.

USDCAD ne key support levels se rebound karne ke baad gradual decline experience kiya hai, jo ke current market dynamics ka ek aham pehlu hai. Is slow decrease in price ke bawajood, jo ke char significant levels se bounce karne ke baad aaya, yeh indicate karta hai ke market consolidation ke stage mein hai, jo ke bullish reversal ke liye stage set kar sakta hai.

D1 chart dikhata hai ke in support levels par pohanchne ke baad, pair ne aggressive selling pressure experience nahi kiya, jo ke ek early sign ho sakta hai ke bears apni grip lose kar rahe hain aur bulls control dubara hasil karne ke liye tayar hain. Bullish movement ka potential broader technical picture se bhi support hota hai. Jab koi currency pair jaise ke USDCAD multiple support levels par resilience show kare bina neeche break kiye, to yeh aksar signal hota hai ke market ek upward push ke liye strength gather kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, daily time frame strong indicator hota hai longer-term trends ka, aur current price action suggest karta hai ke pair ek base establish karne ki koshish kar raha hai jahan se yeh ek new rally launch kar sake.

**Fundamentally,** USDCAD mein potential bullish movement aane ka sabab oil prices mein tabdili ho sakti hai, jo ke Canadian dollar ko bohot zyada influence karti hain, ya phir U.S. aur Canada ke darmiyan interest rate expectations mein shifts ho sakti hain. Agar U.S. economy strong hoti hai aur Federal Reserve se zyada hawkish stance ki expectations rise hoti hain, to yeh USDCAD pair mein ek sustained rally ko support karne ke liye zaroori base provide kar sakti hain. Dosri taraf, agar Canada mein economic weakness ya global oil prices ke girne ke asar nazar aate hain, to yeh bullish momentum ko aur barha sakte hain.

USDCAD D1 time frame ek scenario present kar raha hai jo ke potential bullish movement ke liye ripe hai. Critical support levels se rebounds ke baad gradual decrease in price suggest karta hai ke market upward push se pehle consolidate kar raha hai. Technical indicators aur broader market factors bhi is outlook k



support karte hain, lekin traders ke liye zaroori hai ke positions lene se pehle additional confirmation ka intezar karein. Key resistance levels ko dhyan mein rakhte hue aur fundamental influences ko monitor karte hue, traders USDCAD pair ke evolving dynamics ko behtar navigate kar sakte hain aur anticipated bullish move se faida utha sakte hain.

USDCAD ke D1 time frame par current price action traders ke liye ek dilchasp scenario pesh kar raha hai, jo is currency pair ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. USDCAD ne ek notable pattern show kiya hai jo aane wale dino mein bullish movement ka potential suggest kar raha hai. Recent price activity ka tajziya karne par yeh wazeh hota hai ke current setup asaani se ek upward trajectory ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke near future mein is pair ke liye ek mumkin outcome ho sakta hai.

Key support levels se rebound karne ke baad, USDCAD ne ek gradual decline experience kiya hai, jo current market dynamics ka ek significant aspect hai. In 4 significant levels se bounces ke baad price mein yeh slow decrease yeh indicate karta hai ke market consolidation stage mein hai, jo ek potential bullish reversal ka scene set kar raha hai.

D1 chart reveal karta hai ke in support levels tak pohanchne ke baad, pair ne aggressive selling pressure experience nahi kiya, jo early sign ho sakta hai ke bears apni grip lose kar rahe hain, aur bulls control dobara hasil karne ki tayari mein hain. Bullish movement ka potential broader technical picture se bhi support hota hai. Jab ek currency pair, jaise ke USDCAD, multiple support levels par resilience show kare baghair downward break ke, to yeh aksar signal hota hai ke market upward push ke liye strength gather kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, daily time frame ek strong indicator hota hai longer-term trends ka, aur current price action yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ek base establish karne ki koshish kar raha hai jahan se yeh ek nayi rally launch kar sake.

USDCAD mein bullish movement ka potential oil prices mein changes se bhi effect ho sakta hai, jo ke Canadian dollar ko significant influence karte hain, ya phir U.S. aur Canada ke darmiyan interest rate expectations mein shifts se bhi. Agar U.S. economy strong rehti hai aur Federal Reserve se zyada hawkish stance ke expectations barhti hain, to yeh USDCAD pair mein ek sustained rally ke liye zaroori foundation faraham kar sakti hai. Dosri taraf, agar Canada mein economic weakness ke koi signs dikhai dete hain ya global oil prices mein declines hote hain, to yeh bullish momentum ko aur zyada amplify kar sakta hai.

USDCAD ka D1 time frame ek scenario present kar raha hai jo potential bullish movement ke liye ripe hai. Critical support levels se rebounds aur uske baad price mein gradual decrease yeh suggest karta hai ke market ek upward push se pehle consolidate kar raha hai. Technical indicators aur broader market factors bhi is outlook ko support karte hain; lekin traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke wo positions enter karne se pehle additional confirmations ka intezaar karein. Key resistance levels ko madde nazar rakhte hue aur fundamental influences ko monitor karte hue, traders better navigate kar sakte hain evolving dynamics of the USDCAD pair aur anticipate hone wale bullish move se capitalize kar sakte hain.

USD/CAD pair ne hal hi mein neeche ki taraf pressure mehsoos kiya hai, zyada tar WTI crude oil ki prices mein izafa hone ki wajah se, jo supply ki kami ka dar hai. Kyun ke Canada ek bara oil exporter hai, is liye oil prices mein izafa Canadian dollar ko mazid mazbooti deta hai, jis se USD/CAD exchange rate mein kami hoti hai. Crude oil prices aur USD/CAD pair ke darmiyan yeh ulta talluq forex market mein acha khasa mashhoor hai.Abhi WTI crude oil $90 per barrel ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo kay kaafi mahino se nahi dekha gaya tha. Oil prices ka yeh izafa, geopolitics ke tensions aur bade oil producing regions se supply disruptions ki wajah se ho raha hai, jo Canadian dollar ko support kar raha hai aur USD/CAD exchange rate mein girawat ka sabab bana hai.
Doosri taraf, U.S. dollar ne kuch resilience dikhayi hai, jise mixed economic data aur Federal Reserve policies ke hawalay se speculation ki wajah se support mila hai. Market mein abhi yeh bahas chal rahi hai ke Fed rate hike kare ga ya rate cut, lekin hawkish stance ki possibility U.S. dollar ko kuch had tak stable rakhti hai.Lekin, crude oil ki strong performance aur supply constraints ke chalte, yeh umeed ki ja sakti hai ke Canadian dollar aglay kuch arsay tak U.S. dollar ke muqabley mein strong rahe ga. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke dono, U.S. aur Canada se anay wala economic data dhyaan se dekhen, kyun ke yeh USD/CAD pair ki future movements ko mutasir kar sakta hai.Kul mila kar, jabke USD/CAD pair is waqt oil prices mein izafa ki wajah se neeche pressure mehsoos kar raha hai, uska agla rukh oil markets aur central bank policies par depend kare ga. Traders ko in factors mein hone wali tabdeeli ko ghor se dekhna chahiye, kyun ke yeh pair ke trajectory mein aham kirdar ada karen ge aglay hafton mein.Hourly chart par, USD/CAD pair is waqt selling pressure mein hai, jaisa ke 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) price ko rok raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bearish outlook ko support kar raha hai. Jab hum chart ko zoom out karte hain, tou 100-period aur 50-period SMA’s dono sellers ki strength ko reinforce kar rahe hain, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke ek buy position lene se pehle mazeed clear signals ka intizar karna chahiye.

USD-CAD Pair Forecast

Filhaal, USDCAD consolidation phase se bahar nahi aa raha hai, kyunki kal se lekar aaj tak, iski movement ab bhi 1.3732 ke area mein upar neeche ho rahi hai. H1 timeframe se analyze karne par yeh nazar aata hai ke candle abhi bhi 1.3720 ke price par h1 support ko todne mein mushkilat ka samna kar rahi hai. Is wajah se USDCAD dheere dheere upar ki taraf badh raha hai, lekin itna zyada nahi. USDCAD ki sabse zyada increase 1.3758 ke price par dekhi gayi. Aapke upar diye gaye analysis se yeh nazar aata hai ke candle ne EMA 50 line ko break kar diya hai. Agar iske baad USDCAD upar ki taraf MA 200 line tak badhega, toh yeh decide karega ke USDCAD retrace karega ya nahi. Aaj main predict karta hoon ke USDCAD upar ki taraf badhega, kyunki h1 support 1.3715 ke price par abhi tak break nahi hua hai. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke aap sirf buy position kholne par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target sabse nazdeek resistance 1.3844 ke price par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko sabse nazdeek support 1.3711 ke price par place kar sakte hain.

Aaj lagta hai ke EMA 200 H1 ko successfully break kiya gaya hai, jo buyers ke bullish price rate ke liye ek rukawat ban raha tha, aur ab price nazdeek ke resistance 161.63 ko test kar rahi hai. Kal price is area se reject hui thi jo EMA 200 H1 ke zariye cross kiya gaya tha. Ab dekhna hai ke kya price is level ko finally penetrate kar paati hai aur trend bullish ki taraf shift hota hai taake buy option kiya ja sake, ya phir kya yeh sellers ka dominance ke shuru hone ka waqt hai.

Agar price EMA 200 H1 ke upar move karti hai aur resistance 161.63 ko confirm karke break karti hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 bhi upward trend mein hain, toh strengthening target sabse nazdeek 162.92 ki taraf directed ho sakti hai.

Dusri taraf, agar price dynamic resistance ko pass nahi karti, toh sell option prepare kiya ja sakta hai agar price EMA 200 H1 ke neeche chali jati hai, aur support 159.95 par breakout hota hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ke beech downward cross banta hai, toh bearish price ka estimate 158.70 area ki taraf ho sakta hai.

Filhaal, USDCAD consolidation phase se nikal nahi pa raha hai kyun ke kal se ab tak iski movement 1.3732 area mein hi wapas aati ja rahi hai. Agar h1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, toh nazar aata hai ke candle ab tak h1 support ko 1.3720 ke price par break karne mein mushkilat mehsoos kar rahi hai. Is se yeh maloom hota hai ke USDCAD dheere dheere upar ki taraf badh raha hai, halan ke zyada upar nahi gaya. USDCAD ki highest increase 1.3758 ke price par thi. Aapke analysis se dekhte hue, nazar aata hai ke candle EMA 50 line ko break kar chuki hai. Misal ke tor par, agar USDCAD iske baad bhi badhta rahe, toh iska agla target MA 200 line hoga. Yeh decide karega ke USDCAD retrace karega ya nahi. Aaj mera andaza hai ke USDCAD upar jaega kyun ke h1 support 1.3715 ke price par ab tak pass nahi ho paaya hai. Isliye, main yeh recommend karta hoon ke aap sirf buy position open karne par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target najdeek resistance 1.3844 ke price par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss najdeek support 1.3711 ke price par place kar sakte hain.

Aaj aisa lagta hai ke EMA 200 H1 successfully pass ho gaya hai, jo ke buyers ke taraf se attempt ki gayi bullish price rate ka barrier tha, aur ab price 161.63 ke paas wale resistance ko test kar raha hai. Kal price ko is area se reject kar diya gaya tha, jo ke EMA 200 H1 ke through cross kiya gaya tha. Ab intezaar hai ke price akhirkar ise penetrate kar sakta hai ya nahi, aur agar trend mein change hota hai bullish ki taraf, toh buy option ko anjaam diya ja sakta hai ya yeh price ke sellers ke zariye dobara dominate hone ki shuruaat hai. Aur buy option tab kiya ja sakta hai agar price EMA 200 h1 ke upar move kare, resistance 161.63 ko break karne ke baad confirm ho jaye, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upar ki taraf ja rahe ho taake strengthening target ko kareeb se 162.92 par direct kiya ja sake. Dusri taraf, agar price dynamic resistance pass karne mein nakam ho jata hai, toh sell option prepare karna chahiye, is baat ko dekhte hue ke price EMA 200 h1 ke neeche move kar raha ho, support 159.95 par breakout ho, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ke darmiyan downward cross ban jaye, taake bearish price ka andaza lagaya ja sake ke yeh 158.70 area ki taraf jaega.

USD/CAD pair ki price movement bullish trend ko continue karne ki koshish mein hai. Aakhri raat ke trading session mein yeh is hafte ka sabse highest price level 1.3945 tak pohanch gaya tha. Lekin uske baad seller's troops ki taraf se kaafi significant pressure aaya, jo ke candlestick ko wapas neeche gira kar Simple Moving Average indicator ko break kar gaya. Pichle kuch dino mein, market zyada tar bullish direction mein move kar raha hai. Monitoring results se yeh zahir hota hai ke yeh currency pair July ke aaghaz mein bearish condition mein move hua, lekin yeh continue nahi hua aur bullish path ki taraf mud gaya.
Jab market Monday raat se Tuesday raat tak enter hui, bullish movement ko sellers se resistance milti rahi. Major trend ke liye, chart pe price movement pichle kuch hafton se consistent bullish condition mein hai kyunke price ko buyers ne successfully push kiya. Agar market condition ko larger timeframe se dekha jaye, market bullish condition mein hai, aakhri raat ke trading session mein price drop sirf ek temporary corrective movement lagta hai. Is haftay ke



USD/CAD currency pair ke trading conditions ko monitor karna jo ke abhi tak downward move kar raha hai, lekin kal ka price increase candlestick ko upar le jaane mein kamiyab raha.
Aaj ke trading session tak, buyers ko push karne ki koshish abhi bhi jaari hai taake prices continue rise kar sakein. USD/CAD currency pair ke phir se increase hone ki umeed hai. Yeh pichle teen hafton ke price movements ke structure se zahir hota hai jinhone candlesticks ko bullish banaya hai aur meri raaye mein yeh abhi bhi higher level tak upar jaane ki potential rakhta hai. Price shaayad 1.3900 level range ko target karte hue upar move karega.
Is hafte ke early market session mein increase ko continue karne ke liye kaafi open lagta hai aur candlestick weekly low 1.3792 ko chhodne ki koshish karega. Agar price red Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke neeche nahi break kar sakta, toh yeh trend ko wapas bullish path pe potentially move hone ke liye ek reference ke tor par istamal kiya ja sakta hai.
USD/CAD chart timeframe H4 ke monitoring se zahir hota hai ke buyers se push aa rahi hai jo candlestick ko wapas upar le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain taake yeh Simple Moving Average 60 indicator (yellow) ke upar penetrate kar sake.

USD/CAD currency pair ke price action ke real-time evaluation ke gird ghoomti hai. Maine is trading instrument ke price movement ko observe kiya aur dekha ke yeh oil ke movement se disconnected hai. Aam tor par, yeh movements correlate karte hain, lekin is case mein nahi. 1.3897 ke high par false breakout ke sath ek long bullish shadow yeh suggest karta hai ke oil ko strengthen karne ke liye use kiya ja raha hai, lekin khud oil yeh trend nahi dikha raha. Main 1.3897 par consolidation ke sath bullish trend ko continue karne ki evaluation kar raha hoon. Agar bullish shadow false breakout hai, toh oil mazid strong ho sakta hai, jo Canadian dollar ko support karega aur support level 1.3599-09 ki taraf decline lead karega. Hum is range mein kaafi arse se hain. Kal ka surge 1.3943 tak peak tha, khas kar jab yeh ek pin ke sath khatam hua, lekin abhi conclude karna jaldi hoga kyunki upward trend abhi tak intact hai. 1.389 ka breakout false tha; aaj ki situation sirf thodi si aage barhti hai.
Technical picture ke ilawa, US dollar ko last Friday's news par strength mili. Canada's core retail sales index expected se worse aayi. Aur Canada mein retail sales volume gir gaya. Is wajah se, Canadian dollar kuch weaken ho gaya aur price target tak, yani descending resistance line tak, pohonch gayi. Short-term M15 chart par ek sell formation nazar aayi, aur yeh mirror level ko resistance mein badalne aur line ke neeche wapas aane ki koshish mein thi. Aap market se online sale open kar sakte hain, lekin yeh short-term confirmations se dekhne se kam reliable hai.
Investors weekly US Initial Jobless Claims report ko closely dekh rahe hain taake US employment market ke indications mil sakein. Jobless claims mein rise weak labor market ko signal kar sakta hai, jo USD ki strength ko impact kar sakta hai. Federal Reserve ke further interest rate actions ki expectations bhi crucial role play karti hain. Market aggressive rate cuts anticipate kar raha hai jo near term mein US dollar ke upside ko cap kar sakta hai.
Geopolitical tensions, khaaskar Middle East mein, aur US crude oil inventories ke girne se oil prices buoy hui hain. Canada ek significant oil exporter hai, aur higher oil prices Canadian dollar ko support karti hain, jo USD/CAD pair ki softer note ko contribute karti hain. Lekin, Canadian economic landscape uncertain hai, aur upcoming employment data unemployment ko 6.4% se 6.5% dikhane ki umeed hai.
USD/CAD exchange rate domestic economic concerns, geopolitical factors, aur US interest rates ki market expectations se influenced hai. Traders ko yeh variables closely monitor karne ka mashwara diya jata hai jab wo forex market navigate karein. H4 chart par USD/CAD currency pair correction par hai. Yeh change of character bhi dikha raha hai jab price ne double bottom aur SMA-100 ko break kiya. Jab price SMA-100 ke upar bounce back karegi, toh yeh hint hoga ke correction phase khatam ho gaya aur buy entry ka waqt hai.

ne attached diagram mein dikhaya hai. Magar, buyers kabhi bhi itne taqatwar nahi thay ke kaamyab ho sakein, hatta ke apni recent koshish mein bhi 5 August ko. Qeemat ek candle mein 5 August ko bohot tez barhi, lekin significant bear pressure ki wajah se gir gayi, isliye USDCAD ne ek mazboot pin bar candle banaya. Halanke bears ka qabza tha, USDCAD ne kal is time frame chart par moving average lines ko cross kiya, trend ki direction badal di aur inhe dobara touch bhi kiya, jo ye zahir karta hai ke qeemat ka correction ho chuka tha. USDCAD ki qeemat ne kuch ghanton pehle 1.3755 support level ko hit kiya, isliye kuch ghanton se qeemat ki activity range zone ke andar thi. Magar, qeemat phir se gir kar 1.3682 aur 1.3588 support levels ko test karegi.
Agar hum is hafte ke daily time frame chart ka tajziya karain, hum dekh sakte hain ke Monday ko USDCAD ki qeemat bohot barhi. Natijan, yeh apni tareekh ke highest resistance level 1.3945 tak pohanchi, aur phir bearish move karne lagi. Yeh is wajah se hai ke Monday ko USDCAD ne jo candle banayi wo ek mazboot bearish pin bar thi. Halanke qeemat kal bohot gir gayi thi, is time frame chart par main trend ab bhi bullish hai kyun ke qeemat ab bhi 50 EMA line ke upar hai. Magar trend direction tab badlegi jab qeemat 50 EMA line ko neeche ki taraf cross karegi, us waqt aap USDCAD ko support levels tak sell kar sakte hain jo main ne diagram mein indicate kiye hain.

Hum hamesha Allah Ta'ala ki hifazat mein hain. Mera maqsad aaj USD/CAD currency pair ka technical analysis bayan karna hai. USD/CAD is waqt 1.3774 par trade kar raha hai. Mojooda waqt mein, USD/CAD bearish trend par hai aur traders sell positions open karne ki sifarish kar rahe hain. Aaj qeemat ke dobara bearish hone ka mauqa kafi bara lag raha hai, lekin humein pehle indicators ke diye gaye instructions ko monitor karna chahiye, aisa lagta hai ke MACD indicator ka signal line downwards point kar raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) thoda neeche hai aur 37.5332 scale reading dikhata hai. Agar hum is time frame ko dekhein, aisa lagta hai ke USD/CAD is waqt 20 EMA aur 50 EMA ke neeche move kar raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke abhi tak USD/CAD is time frame mein bearish trend mein hai. Isi dauran, 1.3816 ko primary resistance level ke taur par dekha ja sakta ha

H1 timeframe ke current chart ka ghor se jaiza lene ke baad, hum yeh note kar sakte hain ke bearish trading ke liye market ki situation favorable hai. Ek acha profit hasil karne ke liye deal open karne ke liye sabse munasib position chunnay ke liye kuch zaroori prerequisites ko pura karna bohot aham hai. Sabse pehle, yeh zaroori hai ke senior H4 timeframe par current trend ko durust tareeke se identify kiya jaye taake market sentiment ko predict karne mein koi ghalti na ho, jo ke financial losses ka sabab ban sakti hai.

Chaliye, ab hum apne instrument ka 4-hour timeframe ka chart dekhte hain aur pehli condition check karte hain: H1 aur H4 timeframes par trend movements zaroor milti honi chahiye. Aaj, market humein ek behtareen mauqa de raha hai ek short deal karne ka. Aage ki analysis mein hum teen working indicators ke signals par focus karenge: HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color. Hum is waqt ka intezar karenge jab Hama aur RSI indicators red ho jayen, jo ke yeh main confirmation hoga ke sellers is waqt market mein dominate kar rahe hain. Jaise hi yeh hota hai, hum market mein entry karte hain aur ek sell trade open karte hain.

Position se exit ka point hum magnetic level indicator ke mutabiq chunnenge. Aaj ke din ke liye sabse ziada mumkin levels jo signal ko process karne ke liye hain wo yeh hain: 1.36591. Hum chart par ehitiyatan dekhte rahenge ke price selected magnetic level ke qareeb kis tarah behave kar raha hai aur phir yeh faisla karenge ke position ko market mein next magnetic level tak rehne dena hai ya phir jo profit achieve ho gaya hai usse fix kar lena hai. Agar potential earnings ko mazeed barhane ka irada ho, toh ek trailing stop ko connect kar sakte hain.

USD/CAD ke thore se dip ke bawajood, yeh pair broader bullish trend mein hai. U.S. dollar ki mazbooti aur Canadian economy ke hawale se concerns yeh suggest karte hain ke near term mein USD/CAD ke downside limited reh sakta hai. Lekin, pair ki recent decline yeh indicate karti hai ke traders ehtiyatan position le rahe hain agle economic data releases aur central bank policies mein possible shifts ke pehle.

Haalat ko dekhte hue, traders ko ehtiyat se aage barhna chahiye. USD/CAD ke slight pullback se buying opportunities mil sakti hain, khaaskar agar pair ko 1.3730-1.3750 region ke aas paas support milta hai. Lekin, yeh bohot zaroori hai ke upcoming economic data aur central bank communications ko closely monitor kiya jaye, kyun ke kisi bhi surprise ke natije mein market mein ziada volatility aa sakti hai. USD/CAD pair ki recent decline ek nuanced economic landscape ko reflect karti hai, jo BoC ke cautious outlook aur Canadian consumer spending aur labor market conditions ke hawale se concerns se mutasir hai. Jab tak U.S. dollar mazboot hai, traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye, kyun ke economic landscape lagataar evolve hota rahega.