usd/cad

Guzaarish hote hue, maine is hafte ke USD/CAD jodi ke liye ek bullish trend ki basharat ki thi, aur hal hi mein hone wale tajziyati tabdiliyan mere ummedon ko tasdeeq kar rahi hain. Aaj, daily (D1) chart par, price naye local high tak pohanch chuki hai, jo mere yakeen ko mazboot karta hai ke jodi nazdeeki muddat mein apni uparward momentum ko barkarar rakhegi.
Kai wajohat is bullish nazar-e-aarai ke peechay hain USD/CAD ke liye. Sab se pehle, United States aur Canada ke darmiyan ma'ashi ikhtilaf ne barqrar kiya hai. Amreeki ma'ashi hawalaat ne istaqlal dikhai hai, mazeed taqatwar rozgar shumaray, mazboot istehqaq e kharch, aur Federal Reserve ke zyada aggressive monetary policy stance ke sath. Mukhalif taur par, Canada ko kuch ma'ashi challenges ka samna karna para hai, jin mein GDP ki kamzori aur housing market par aitraaz shamil hain. Yeh ma'ashi farq ne USD ko CAD ke khilaf mazboot kiya hai.

Ek aur masbat asar dalne wala factor hai haal hi mein oil prices mein movement. Canada, jo ke aik bara oil niryat karne wala mulk hai, uska currency oil market ke fluctuations se gehra talluq rakhta hai. Haal hi mein, oil prices mein volatility aur global supply concerns aur ma'ashi aftabhiyon ki wajah se neeche ki taraf dabao ka samna kiya hai. Is ne CAD par manfi asar dala hai, jo USD/CAD jodi ko aur bhi izafa diya hai.

Technically dekhte hue, daily chart bullish manzar ko support karta hai. Price action mein wazeh uptrend nazar aata hai, jahan higher highs aur higher lows dikhai dete hain. Pichli resistance levels ko toorna aur naye local high set karna taqatwar khareedari ki dilchaspi aur momentum ko darshaata hai. Jodi bhi key moving averages jaise ke 50-day aur 200-day SMAs ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo bullish trend ko mazeed tasdeeq karte hain.




Is ke alawa, oscillators jaise ke RSI (Relative Strength Index) bullish territory mein hain, jo is upward momentum ko jari rakhne ki soorat mein hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) histogram positive hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke upar hai, jo bullish nazar-e-aarai ko mazbooti deta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, agle muqami resistance levels 1.3300 aur 1.3400 ke aas paas hain. In levels ko paar karne se mazeed izafa 1.3500 aur is ke ooper ki taraf ho sakta hai. Niche ki taraf, ibtedai support levels ko qareeb 1.3100 aur 1.3000 par paya jayega, jo pichli breakout points aur moving averages ke saath milte hain.

Mukhtasar taur par, haal ki tabdiliyan ne meri USD/CAD jodi ke liye ek bullish trend ki basharat ko tasdeeq kiya hai. United States aur Canada ke darmiyan ma'ashi ikhtilaf, sath hi daily chart ke technical indicators, is nazriye ko support karte hain ke jodi nazdeeki muddat mein mazeed izafa kar sakti hai. Key resistance aur support levels par nazar rakhna, trades ko manage karte hue aur is upward momentum se faida uthane ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai.

Aaj ke discussion mein hum USD/CAD currency pair ke price trends ko analyze karenge. Chart ko broader scale par dekhte hue, trading ek lateral channel ke andar ho rahi hai. Entry points dhoondhna chahiye shorter timeframes se breakout ke liye intermediate levels se positions enter karne ke liye. Filhal, ek impulsive move ho rahi hai, jo 1.362 ki resistance ko break kar rahi hai. Agar price wapas aake 1.368 ke broken level ko test karti hai, to main buy positions enter karunga bullish movement continue karne ke liye. Stop order critical minimum 1.367 par hoga, jahan se impulse movement start hui thi. Agar price impulse level se neeche girti hai aur hold karti hai, to priorities short trend par shift ho jayengi.

USD/CAD ke weekly chart par, previous weekly range ke price low aur local support 1.3603 ko top se bottom tak test karne ke baad, price bounce hui hai aur ek clear turning candle form hui hai bullish direction mein. Agle hafte buyers price ko push kar sakte hain, targeting resistance levels at 1.3752 ya 1.3791. Canadian data important hogi, lekin USD/CAD pair ke liye primary focus aaj European Central Bank's (ECB) interest rate decision par hoga. Yeh decision global currency markets par significant impact daal sakta hai aur potentially USD/CAD pair ke liye moderate downward correction lead kar sakta hai trading day ke pehle half mein.USD/CAD pair ke trajectory ke liye aaj do main possibilities hain. Yeh upward movement resume kar sakti hai jo is hafte ke shuru mein start hui thi agar pair key support level 1.3625 ke upar hold karti hai. Bullish traders buy positions enter karne ke liye dekh sakte hain target price range 1.3725 se 1.3775 tak. Alternative scenario mein, agar USD/CAD pair 1.3625 level se neeche girti hai aur consolidate karna start karti hai, to yeh potential downward trend signal kar sakti hai, jahan pair 1.3600 ke around support levels aur shayad 1.3570 tak drop kar sakti hai.

Market ka direction crucial hai, downward shift ek critical reference point par lead kar sakti hai jo 1.3597 ka support level hai. Is level ke neeche consolidate karna current market dynamics par significant impact daal sakta hai. USD index ko closely monitor karne se USD/CAD pair ke movement ke baare mein valuable insights mil sakte hain. Aur, trading ko effectively navigate karne ke liye support aur resistance levels ka deep understanding hona zaroori hai.

Currency pair ka price apni upward trajectory ko reverse kar raha hai, bearish shift signal karte hue. Main foresee karta hoon ke yeh horizontal support level 1.2931 tak decline karegi, uske baad ek potential rebound hoga. Lekin, exhausted growth phase ki wajah se, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh level likely breach hoga, making any further upward movement improbable prior pullback. Agar 1.2931 support break hota hai, to yeh resistance level act kar sakta hai, potentially decline trigger karte hue primary support 1.2854 ki taraf. Nonetheless, significant further downward movement improbable hai, kyunke previous downtrend upward trend mein transition karti nazar aa rahi hai.

Thursday ko, USD/CAD pair 1.3815 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha Asian session ke dauran. Yeh indicate karta hai ke US Dollar (USD) Canadian Dollar (CAD), jo aksar Loonie kehlata hai, ke muqablay mein appreciate ho raha hai. Is trend ko drive karne wale kai factors hain. Sab se pehle, US economy ne second quarter mein expectations se outperform kiya. Recent data strong growth ko highlight karta hai, jo USD ki appeal ko investors ke liye barhata hai. Yeh positive economic news USD ki attractiveness ko enhance karti hai kyunki investors ko United States ki financial stability par zyada confidence hota hai.

Doosra, Bank of Canada (BoC) ke interest rates ko kam karne ke expectation barh rahi hai. Jab ek central bank interest rates ko cut karta hai, to typically uski currency kam appealing ho jati hai kyunki investors ke returns kam ho jate hain. BoC ke further rate cuts ke expectation Loonie par downward pressure exert kar rahi hai, jo usko USD ke muqablay mein depreciate kar rahi hai.

Recent reports indicate karti hain ke Canadian economy kai obstacles face kar rahi hai. Misaal ke taur par, disappointing retail sales figures aur doosre economic indicators slow growth ko suggest karte hain. Yeh scenario bhi Canadian Dollar ke weakened state ko contribute kar raha hai. Ek strong US economy aur Canada mein expected interest rate cuts ke combination se USD/CAD exchange rate upar ja raha hai. Investors superior economic prospects aur higher anticipated returns ki wajah se USD ko CAD par favor kar rahe hain.

Technical Outlook aur Trading Idea:
H4 chart ek long bearish candle show karta hai, jo strong selling pressure ko indicate karta hai. Magar, bulls ne jaldi respond kiya aur bullish candles form ki. Filhal, price long bearish candle ke beech mein hai, jo suggest karta hai ke USD/CAD fatigue show kar raha hai aur trend line ke saath retrace karne ki zaroorat ho sakti hai. Isliye, main point (A) ke liye short sell recommend karta hoon. Agar price uptrend line ko break kar sakti hai, to correction mazid neeche downtrend line ke qareeb 1.3730 tak extend ho sakti hai.

USD/CAD currency pair ne Friday ko thori der ke liye consolidation ka daura guzara, 1.3810 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha, jabke agle din pehle 1.3849 ka aath mahine ka high touch kiya tha. Ye temporary pullback mainly US Dollar (USD) ke halka kamzor hone ki wajah se tha, jo ke US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index ke ahem release se pehle hua. Is short-term correction ke bawajood, pair ke liye underlying bullish sentiment barqarar hai. Recent mein strong US economic data, jaise ke GDP growth aur resilient private sector, ne USD ko support diya aur Federal Reserve ke taraf se foran interest rate cut ki ummed ko kam kiya. Ye monetary policy ka farq US aur Canada ke beech, jahan Bank of Canada ne consecutive rate cuts kiye hain, ne USD/CAD ke upward trend ko kaafi support diya hai. Halankeh Canadian Dollar (CAD) ne BoC ke easing stance se faida uthaya hai, jo inflation ko control karne ke liye tha, lekin September mein mazeed rate reductions ka potential CAD ke upside ko limit kar sakta hai. Ye scenario USD/CAD pair ko continue favor kar sakta hai.

Technically, pair ne apne medium-term trading range ko break kar diya hai, jo ke mazeed gains ka potential suggest karta hai. Lekin, technical oscillators jaise ke Stochastic aur RSI ke zariye overbought conditions ka indication milta hai, jo short-term correction ka potential darshata hai. Immediate support levels 1.3790 aur 1.3755 par hain. Agar 20- aur 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke niche 1.3700 ke qareeb breakdown hota hai, to yeh zyada significant reversal ka signal ho sakta hai. Overall, jabke USD/CAD pair ne apni upward momentum mein ek temporary pause dekha hai, prevailing bullish trend ab bhi barqarar hai supportive macroeconomic backdrop ki wajah se. Investors ko US PCE data ki release par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh pair ki direction ko agle dinon mein significant impact de sakti hai.

Mai filhal USD/CAD currency pair ki dynamic pricing behavior ko assess kar raha hoon. Yeh currency pair meri nazar mein rehti hai, aur mai ise analyze aur trade karta hoon. Meri strategy intraday trading par focus karti hai jo ke price ki position ko Bollinger Bands ke relative dekh kar hoti hai. Filhal, Bollinger Bands ke teen buniyadi values hain: upper - 1.37727, middle - 1.37642, aur lower - 1.37556. USD/CAD pair ab 1.37659 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.37642 mark ke upar hai. Yeh favorable position suggest karti hai ke price upper level 1.37727 ki taraf upward move kar sakti hai profit target ke liye. Magar agar buyers aur sellers ke beech conflict hota hai ya price 1.37642 ke neeche girti hai, to mai apni strategy ko dobara consider karunga aur short trading par switch karunga, lower limit 1.37556 ko target banate hue. Adverse situations se bachne ke liye, mai vertical volume analysis ko bhi consider karta hoon. Volume ke spikes, rises, aur lows valuable insights provide karte hain trading decisions ke liye.

1-hour chart par, USD/CAD pair buying opportunities ke liye promising lag raha hai. Price MA 200 moving average ke upar positioned hai, jo ke upward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Pichle din ke akhir mein, instrument ne din ke opening se upar trade kiya aur higher level par close hua. Market quotes upper Bollinger Band ke nazdeek hain, jo ke growing trend aur asset ke aur upar jane ke high likelihood ko suggest karta hai. Mai Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ka use karta hoon 14 period ke saath aur trade avoid karta hoon agar yeh overbought (69 ke upar) ya oversold (29 ke neeche) state signal kare. Filhal, RSI buying ke liye suitable hai. Mera profit target 211% Fibonacci level par hai, jo ke price 1.38162 ke barabar hai. Additional profits ke liye, mai Fibonacci targets ko follow karunga.

Aaj ke din ke liye low aur medium-impact news hi hai. Forex market aaj shaant rehne ki umeed hai, magar agar koi breaking news aati hai to market zaroor hil sakti hai. Aaj itni volatility nahi milegi forex market mein, isliye trade karte waqt ehtiyaat baratna behtaar hoga. Hamesha aur aaj bhi money management skills ka behtareen istemal karein. Aaj ki news ke baray mein zyada maloomat ke liye niche di gayi picture dekhein.

Market ka direction bahut zaroori hai. Agar market niche ki taraf jata hai to yeh critical reference point 1.3597 ke support level tak pahunch sakta hai. Agar market is level ke neeche consolidate karta hai to isse current market dynamics par bada asar ho sakta hai. USD index ko dhyan se dekh kar USD/CAD pair ki movement ko samjha ja sakta hai. Support aur resistance levels par trading ka achha gyaan market ko effectively navigate karne mein madadgar sabit hota hai.

Currency pair ki price apne upward trajectory se reverse hoti nazar aa rahi hai, jo bearish shift ko indicate karta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh horizontal support level 1.2931 tak gir sakta hai, aur wahan se rebound ho sakta hai. Magar, agar growth phase exhaust ho gaya hai to mujhe lagta hai ke yeh level breach hoga aur further upward movement mushkil hogi. Agar 1.2931 support break hota hai to yeh ek resistance level ban sakta hai, jo decline ko trigger kar sakta hai primary support 1.2854 ki taraf. Phir bhi, ek significant further downward movement ki umeed kam hai, kyunki pehle ka downtrend ab upward trend mein badal gaya hai.

USDCAD pair ka H-4 time frame mein tajziya:

USDCAD pair abhi bhi kharidaron ke under hai, isliye bechne walon ke liye dabao banana mushkil hai. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price resistance (R2) 1.3816 tak pohnch gayi hai aur agar yeh jhooti break ya rejection hoti hai to price niche ki taraf correction ka shikaar ho sakti hai. Price R1 1.3770 tak correction kar sakti hai jo ke sab se qareeb RBS area hai. Canada Bank (BoC) ka monetary policy jo benchmark interest rate ko 25 bps se kam kar diya, yeh USDCAD pair ki udaan ko barqarar rakhne mein madadgar hai.

Jab se yeh rally shuru hui hai lagbhag do haftay ho chuke hain, lekin ab tak koi reversal signal nahi mila jo price ko niche ki taraf correct kare. Uptrend momentum jo Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator se nazar aa raha hai wo price rally ko support karta hai. Halankeh histogram abhi red hai, lekin volume level 0 ya positive area ke upar bohot wide hai. Trend direction jo ke bullish condition mein hai, kyunki EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ka crossing golden cross signal de raha hai, bhi price movement ke barhne ki prediction ko support karta hai. Iske ilawa, Stochastic indicator parameters hamesha level 50 ko paar karne mein nakam rahe hain aur oversold zone ki taraf ja rahe hain, jo ke overbought zone ki taraf phir se cross karte hain.

Entry position setup:

Trading options abhi bhi BUY moment pe focus karni chahiye, halankeh price niche correction ka potential rakhti hai lekin trending direction ke khilaf risky hai. Entry point ko resistance (R1) 1.3770 pe rakha ja sakta hai. Stochastic indicator parameters ka level 50 pe wapas aakar crossing ka confirmation. Red AO indicator histogram ka wapas green hona aur level 0 ya positive area ke upar hona zaroori hai. Take profit ko resistance (R2) 1.3816 pe rakhen aur cut loss ko EMA 50 ke touch hone par set karen.

Pichle do din ke doran, USDCAD currency pair ne ek saaf oobharne ka rukh dikhaya hai, jismein qeemat mein aham izafa hua hai. Monday ko, is pair ne lagbhag 65 pips ka faida uthaya, jabke Tuesday ko thora kam 30 pips ka izafa dekha. Halankeh Tuesday ko choti movement thi, USDCAD ne 1.3770 par nazdeeki resistance level ko break kar diya, jo ke aage ke izafe ke ishara de raha hai. Filhal, 1.3785 par trade karte hue, pair dikhata hai ke trend ke ulatne ke koi foran nishan nahi hain.

H1 timeframe ko dekhte hue, USDCAD ne 1.3760 par supply zone ko paar kar diya hai, jo ke aksar qeemat badhne mein rukawat hota hai, jo ke mazboot kharidari pressure ka darshak hai. Lekin, pair ab 1.3785 ke upper supply area ke qareeb aa raha hai, jo ek critical resistance level hai, aur agar ye level break nahi hota, toh ye ek potential reversal point bhi ban sakta hai. Iske ilawa, ek untested shoulder pattern bhi hai jo price pullback ke imkanat ko barhata hai.

Technical indicators bhi market dynamics ke bare mein aur roshni dalte hain. Ichimoku indicator bullish outlook ka ishara deta hai, jahan tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines intersect nahi ho rahi hain. Lekin, stochastic oscillator yeh darshata hai ke USDCAD ne overbought zone ko enter kar liya hai, jahan readings 80 tak pohnch gayi hain, jo ke ek potential price correction ka ishara hai. Ye overbought condition stochastic line crossover ke sath align karti hai, jo ek mumkinah decline ka signal hai.

Summary yeh hai ke short-term outlook USDCAD ke liye bearish lag raha hai kyunke supply area 1.3785 ko paar karne mein naakam raha aur stochastic oscillator ka overbought condition. Traders ko bechne ke moqe par gaur karna chahiye, take profit target 1.3715 ke aas-paas rakhna chahiye aur risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye stop loss 1.3790 par lagana chahiye. Traders ko real-time market conditions se updated rehna zaroori hai aur apni strategies ko latest technical signals aur price movements ke basis par adjust karna chahiye.

Pichle do din ke doran, USDCAD currency pair ne ek saaf oobharne ka rukh dikhaya hai, jismein qeemat mein aham izafa hua hai. Monday ko, is pair ne lagbhag 65 pips ka faida uthaya, jabke Tuesday ko thora kam 30 pips ka izafa dekha. Halankeh Tuesday ko choti movement thi, USDCAD ne 1.3770 par nazdeeki resistance level ko break kar diya, jo ke aage ke izafe ke ishara de raha hai. Filhal, 1.3785 par trade karte hue, pair dikhata hai ke trend ke ulatne ke koi foran nishan nahi hain.
H1 timeframe ko dekhte hue, USDCAD ne 1.3760 par supply zone ko paar kar diya hai, jo ke aksar qeemat badhne mein rukawat hota hai, jo ke mazboot kharidari pressure ka darshak hai. Lekin, pair ab 1.3785 ke upper supply area ke qareeb aa raha hai, jo ek critical resistance level hai, aur agar ye level break nahi hota, toh ye ek potential reversal point bhi ban sakta hai. Iske ilawa, ek untested shoulder pattern bhi hai jo price pullback ke imkanat ko barhata hai.

Technical indicators bhi market dynamics ke bare mein aur roshni dalte hain. Ichimoku indicator bullish outlook ka ishara deta hai, jahan tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines intersect nahi ho rahi hain. Lekin, stochastic oscillator yeh darshata hai ke USDCAD ne overbought zone ko enter kar liya hai, jahan readings 80 tak pohnch gayi hain, jo ke ek potential price correction ka ishara hai. Ye overbought condition stochastic line crossover ke sath align karti hai, jo ek mumkinah decline ka signal hai.

Summary yeh hai ke short-term outlook USDCAD ke liye bearish lag raha hai kyunke supply area 1.3785 ko paar karne mein naakam raha aur stochastic oscillator ka overbought condition. Traders ko bechne ke moqe par gaur karna chahiye, take profit target 1.3715 ke aas-paas rakhna chahiye aur risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye stop loss 1.3790 par lagana chahiye. Traders ko real-time market conditions se updated rehna zaroori hai aur apni strategies ko latest technical signals aur price movements ke basis par adjust karna chahiye.

**Technical Analysis of USD/CAD**

Canadian dollar pichle haftay ke doran stable raha. Hafte ke aghaz mein, price ne pichle din ki low 1.3616 se rebound kiya aur 1.3793 ke upper limit tak upar chali gayi. Pehle, quotations ne 1.3664 level ko tod diya, phir se strengthen hone lagi aur successful retest ke baad upar chali gayi. Lekin, ab tak yeh target area tak nahi pohnchi hai, jo ab bhi active hai. Sath hi, price chart abhi bhi green supertrend area mein hai, jo buyers ke increasing pressure ko indicate karta hai.

Technical tor par, aaj ki intraday movement ka indicator limited downward movement dikha raha hai kyunke overbought positions tak turant pohnch gaya hai. Dusri taraf, simple moving average daily upward price curve ko support kar raha hai aur relative strength index se positive signals mil rahe hain. Isliye, agar 1.3610 ka breakthrough confirm hota hai, to hum upar ki taraf trend dekh sakte hain jahan 1.3860 pe pehla target hai, assuming 1.3760 ka breakthrough profit-taking ke liye catalyst banega towards 1.3740. Yaad rahe, agar 1.38240 ke neeche break hota hai to bullish momentum khatam ho sakta hai aur hum 1.3910 ko retest karenge. Neeche chart dekhein:

Filhal, price apni weekly high se kaafi upar hai. Sath hi, ek key support area ko successfully test kiya gaya hai aur yeh hold hua hai, jo pehle ke upward vector ko relevant rakhta hai. Is situation ko continue rakhne ke liye, quote ko 1.3735 level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jo abhi main support area ko border kar raha hai. Yeh retest aur subsequent rebound ek aur upward move ka mauka dega jiska target 1.3793 aur 1.3862 areas mein ho sakta hai.

Agar price support level ke neeche break hoti hai aur 1.3664 ke turning point ke neeche chali jati hai, to current scenario ke cancel hone ka signal milega.

USD/CAD currency pair ne Friday ko ek brief consolidation phase dekha, jo ke 1.3810 level ke qareeb trade kar rahi thi, jab ke pichle din 1.3849 tak pohnch kar ek aath mahine ke high ko reach kiya tha. Yeh temporary pullback mainly US Dollar (USD) ke slight weakening ki wajah se tha, jo ke US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index ke crucial release se pehle hua. Is short-term correction ke bawajood, pair ke underlying bullish sentiment ko intact rakha gaya hai. Recent robust US economic data, jaise strong GDP growth aur resilient private sector, ne USD ko bolster kiya hai aur Federal Reserve ke imminent interest rate cut ke expectations ko dampen kiya hai.

US aur Canada ke darmiyan yeh monetary policy ka farq, jahan Bank of Canada ne consecutive rate cuts ka faisla kiya hai, USD/CAD ke upward trend ko significantly support kar raha hai. Jab ke Canadian Dollar (CAD) ne BoC ke easing stance se faida uthaya hai, jo inflation ko tame karne ke liye hai, September mein further rate reductions ke potential CAD ke upside ko limit kar sakte hain. Yeh scenario USD/CAD pair ko continue favor karne ke chances hain.

Technically, pair ne apni medium-term trading range ko upar break kar diya hai, jo ke further gains ke potential ko suggest karta hai. Magar, technical oscillators jaise Stochastic aur RSI ke zariye overbought conditions ka indication mil raha hai, jo ke short-term correction ka potential suggest karta hai. Immediate support levels 1.3790 aur 1.3755 par hain. Agar price 20- aur 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke neeche 1.3700 ke qareeb breakdown karti hai, to yeh ek zyada significant reversal ka signal ho sakta hai.

Overall, jab ke USD/CAD pair ne apni upward momentum mein temporary pause dekha hai, prevailing bullish trend ab bhi intact hai supportive macroeconomic backdrop ki wajah se. Investors ko US PCE data ke release ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki yeh aane wale dino mein pair ke direction par significant impact daal sakta hai.

USD/CAD Analysis 26 July 2024

H4 Hour Timeframe

USDCAD pair abhi bhi buyers ke control mein hai, isliye sellers ko press karne ka mauka nahi mil raha. Dekha ja sakta hai ke price resistance (R2) 1.3816 tak pahunch gayi hai aur agar koi false break ya rejection hoti hai toh price niche correct ho sakti hai. Price resistance (R1) 1.3770 ki taraf niche correct ho sakti hai, jo ke sabse closest RBS area hai. Bank of Canada (BoC) ki monetary policy, jo benchmark interest rate ko 25 bps se cut kiya hai, USDCAD pair ke liye rally ko upar ki taraf continue karne ke liye support kar rahi hai.

Jo rally chal rahi hai woh lagbhag do hafton se chal rahi hai lekin price ko niche correct karne ka koi reversal signal nahi mila hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator se dikhayi gayi uptrend momentum abhi bhi price rally ko support karti hai. Halanki histogram filhal red hai, volume level 0 ke upar ya positive area mein bohot wide hai. Trend direction jo abhi bullish condition mein hai, kyunke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ka crossing golden cross signal ko de raha hai, price movement ke increase ko support karta hai. Iske ilawa, Stochastic indicator ke parameters hamesha level 50 ko pass karne mein fail ho rahe hain, jo oversold zone ki taraf ja raha hai aur phir se overbought zone ki taraf cross kar raha hai.

Trading options abhi bhi BUY moment ka intezar karne par focus hain, halanki price ke niche correct hone ka potential hai lekin yeh trending direction ke khilaf bohot risky hai. Entry point resistance (R1) 1.3770 par rakha ja sakta hai. Confirmation ke liye, agar Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 par wapas aati hain aur crossing hoti hai. Red AO indicator histogram ko wapas green hona chahiye aur level 0 ya positive area ke upar hona chahiye. Target placement ko resistance (R2) 1.3816 par take profit rakhna chahiye aur cut loss tab karna chahiye jab price EMA 50 ko touch kare.

USD/CAD Analysis

USD/CAD currency pair ki pricing movement ka current study ek consistent bearish trend ko reveal karti hai daily chart par. Price ab tak Ichimoku cloud ke neeche hai, jo downward momentum ko indicate karti hai aur short positions ke potential ko suggest karti hai. Ye bearish sentiment stochastic indicator se bhi reinforce hota hai, jo bhi neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai.

Aakhri trading session mein, USD/CAD pair apne decline ko continue kiya, jahan bears ne reversal level ke neeche consolidate kiya. Abhi yeh 1.3638 par trade kar raha hai. Intraday benchmark for further decrease classic Pivot reversal level hai. Agar current levels se sustained decline hoti hai aur first support level 1.3573 ke neeche break hoti hai, toh ek naya wave of downward momentum trigger hoga, jo pair ko further bearish push karte hue 1.3510 ke qareeb le jaayega. Dusri taraf, agar buyers market mein wapas aate hain, toh resistance level 1.3725 critical reference point hoga current chart section ke liye.

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USD/CAD daily chart ko dobara dekhte hue, aaj ke market behavior ne ek narrowing triangle pattern form kiya hai. Yeh pattern last week breakdown hua jab US dollar ne doosri major currencies ke against weaken kiya. Pair ne ek robust downward breakout experience kiya, aur technical outlook smaller time frames se corroborated hota hai. Is dauran, EUR aur GBP pairs rise hue, aur USD/CHF pair, jo USD/CAD ka ek ally hai, decline hua.

Triangle pattern ka breakdown ek robust horizontal support level 1.3599 par reveal karta hai. Yeh level apni round number ki status ki wajah se significance gain karta hai, jo traders ke liye aksar ek psychological barrier ka kaam karta hai. Is support level ki significance uske historical role se heightened hoti hai, jahan yeh pehle ya to declines ko halt kar chuka hai ya rebounds ko trigger kar chuka hai.

Summary mein, USD/CAD pair ka bearish trend technical indicators aur chart patterns se achi tarah support hota hai. Price ka Ichimoku cloud ke neeche rehna aur downward-pointing stochastic indicator downward pressure ko suggest karte hain. Key levels dekhne ke liye include support at 1.3573 aur resistance at 1.3725. 1.3573 ke neeche break hone se further declines 1.3510 tak pave ho sakti hai, jabke koi upward movement 1.3725 ke qareeb resistance face kar sakti hai. In levels ko monitor karna crucial hoga traders ke liye jo ongoing bearish trend ko capitalize karna chahte hain.

currency pair ne Friday ko thori der ke liye consolidation ka daura guzara, 1.3810 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha, jabke agle din pehle 1.3849 ka aath mahine ka high touch kiya tha. Ye temporary pullback mainly US Dollar (USD) ke halka kamzor hone ki wajah se tha, jo ke US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index ke ahem release se pehle hua. Is short-term correction ke bawajood, pair ke liye underlying bullish sentiment barqarar hai. Recent mein strong US economic data, jaise ke GDP growth aur resilient private sector, ne USD ko support diya aur Federal Reserve ke taraf se foran interest rate cut ki ummed ko kam kiya. Ye monetary policy ka farq US aur Canada ke beech, jahan Bank of Canada ne consecutive rate cuts kiye hain, ne USD/CAD ke upward trend ko kaafi support diya hai. Halankeh Canadian Dollar (CAD) ne BoC ke easing stance se faida uthaya hai, jo inflation ko control karne ke liye tha, lekin September mein mazeed rate reductions ka potential CAD ke upside ko limit kar sakta hai. Ye scenario USD/CAD pair ko continue favor kar sakta hai.
Technically, pair ne apne medium-term trading range ko break kar diya hai, jo ke mazeed gains ka potential suggest karta hai. Lekin, technical oscillators jaise ke Stochastic aur RSI ke zariye overbought conditions ka indication milta hai, jo short-term correction ka potential darshata hai. Immediate support levels 1.3790 aur 1.3755 par hain. Agar 20- aur 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke niche 1.3700 ke qareeb breakdown hota hai, to yeh zyada significant reversal ka signal ho sakta hai. Overall, jabke USD/CAD pair ne apni upward momentum mein ek temporary pause dekha hai, prevailing bullish trend ab bhi barqarar hai supportive macroeconomic backdrop ki wajah se. Investors ko US PCE data ki release par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh pair ki direction ko agle dinon mein significant impact de sakti hai.

Technical analysis of the USDCAD pair

1-hour chart

Pichlay kuch dino mein, price upar ki taraf gayi jab tak yeh 1.3850 par nahi pohanchi kal. Phir, price ne neeche ki taraf wapas ghooma, ek hi din mein sabse neeche trading price tak pohanchkar, phir se upar ki taraf ghooma.

Aaj ki trading shuru hone par do channels mein thi, ek upar ki taraf aur doosri side ways, jo pichlay do dinon mein price movement ko darshati hai.

Ab tak, price ne mid-channel lines se resistance ka samna kiya hai, jo price ke girne ka sabab bana, aur weekly level 1.3817 toot gaya, lekin ab tak price channels ko neeche ki taraf todne mein kamiyab nahi hui, aur is tarah se channels price ke liye ek mazboot support level ke tor par kaam kar rahe hain.

Yeh ummeed hai ke price agle chand ghanton mein channels ko neeche ki taraf todne ki koshish karegi, aur yeh tooti hui soorat mein 1.3771 tak aur kami dekhi ja sakti hai.

Upar ki taraf ke scenario ki baat karein, yeh tab tak mumkin hai jab tak price 1.3817 ke level ke upar uthti hai aur ek ghante tak us par qaim rahti hai.

Aaj ke liye trading ke mauqe kuch yun hain:

Bechne ka mauqa, jo tab mil sakta hai jab price channels ko todti hai aur ek ghante tak un ke neeche qaim rehti hai, jahan aap bechne ka fayda utha sakte hain aur stop loss level ko 1.3817 ke upar set kar sakte hain, aur target level ko 1.3771 ke upar rakhein.

Khareedne ka mauqa, yeh ho sakta hai agar price 1.3825 par pohanchti hai, stop loss level ko 1.3825 par set karein, aur target level ko 1.3850 par rakhein.