یورو / جاپانی ین: مارکیٹ کی تازہ ترین معلومات

EURJPY: Potential for Correction
The recent increase in EURJPY reached only 90 pips after approaching the resistance level, indicating a potential concern. The price movement appears to be finding balance after the previous spike, as shown by the formation of a bearish candle. This suggests an early sign of a possible correction. Although not yet significant, the presence of the bearish candle may signal that selling pressure is starting to increase, particularly around the previously tested resistance area. This response is natural in market dynamics that often react to supply and demand pressures.
Engulfing Pattern and Trend Channel
Currently, the price pattern shows an attempt to form an engulfing pattern, which is often a signal of a reversal, but further confirmation is needed. Considering the trend channel, the price still exhibits an upward trend, suggesting that the market sentiment is not entirely bearish. Conversely, buying pressure may remain dominant if the price fails to break through critical support. The combination of the engulfing pattern and the rising channel trend creates an interesting situation for traders to monitor the next critical point





Parabolic SAR Indicator
The Parabolic SAR indicator is now starting to move away from the price, reflecting the impact of yesterday's rally. The SAR moving away may suggest that the upward momentum is starting to weaken, but it has not completely disappeared. In this situation, we should be cautious about the possibility of a larger pullback or reversal if the bearish momentum continues to strengthen.
Moving Average and Trend
The Moving Average is showing signs of a steady increase, indicating that the overall trend remains bullish, even though the price is currently in a consolidation phase. However, the distance between the price and the Moving Average is still relatively large, which can create challenges. In such cases, it's often better to wait for the price to approach the Moving Average as a stronger entry signal. If the price continues to move away from the Moving Average without any reversal, the opportunity to add long positions may be more limited.
Donchian Channel and Volatility
The Donchian Channel indicator shows a narrowing in the high and low ranges, reflecting a decrease in volatility after a previous significant increase. In this type of market condition, the market is usually waiting for a new catalyst to determine the next direction. This period often signals an impending significant change. People who are perceptive commonly use this opportunity to get ready to make a move, particularly in regions near key price levels that could influence the market.
I hope this Roman Urdu English version is clear and informative

European Central Bank (ECB) ki taraf se interest rates kam karne ka faisla aane ke baad Euro Yen ke muqable me pressure ka shikar raha. American session ke doran EUR/JPY kaafi volatile raha aur price 164.50 region ke andar close hua. ECB ki dovish policy stance Eurozone ki economic stability ke bare me concerns paida kar rahi hai, aur traders ab aglay central bank ke action par nazar rakhe hue hain.Japan ke economic data ka EUR/JPY pair par bara asar hota hai.Agar Japan ki economic reports weak rahin toh Yen ka pressure barqarar rahega, jo EUR/JPY pair ke liye bullish hai. Lekin agar economic recovery ke asar dikhai diye aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka hawkish stance samne aya, toh currency pair me girawat aasakti hai. Inflation GDP aur employment data jaise indicators par nazar rakhna zaruri hai kyun ke ye BoJ ki policy aur Yen ke future direction ka signal de sakte hain. EUR/JPY pair ki resistance level pehli dafa 164.81 par hai, jo Friday ka high hai. Agar price is level se upar nikal jaye, toh yeh 165.00 tak ja sakta hai, jo ascending trend channel ka upper boundary hai Agli important resistance 165.22 par hai, jo pair ki bullish momentum ka ek critical benchmark hai.Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke hisaab se traders ko ehtiyaat karni chahiye. RSI abhi oversold zone me hai, jo short sellers ke liye nayi positions lena risky banata hai. RSI ka yeh reading is baat ka indication hai ke price pullback kar sakta hai aur EUR/JPY me recovery ho sakti hai.
1-hour timeframe ke chart me market price abhi uptrend me hai aur 50-day simple moving average ke upar close hui hai.Agar market ka structure dekha jaye toh price 166.26 resistance level tak pauch sakta hai.Lekin agar trendline fail hui, toh market me bearish continuation ka signal mil sakta hai. Dusri taraf agar support level break hua toh market aglay support zone se rebound kar sakta hai.Is liye traders ko technical indicators aur macroeconomic factors dono par nazar rakhni chahiye.

Euro vs Japanese Yen Analysis (EUR/JPY)
Aj ke din EUR/JPY ka trend kaafi interesting hai. Chart ke mutabiq, price abhi 164.43 ke qareeb chal rahi hai. Yeh level abhi ek important resistance zone ke pass hai, jo 164.94 ke aas-paas locate hai. Agar price is level ko todti hai, to agla target 166.00 ka ho sakta hai.
Chart par Ichimoku Cloud ka analysis dekhein, to price filhal cloud ke upar chal rahi hai, jo bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Yeh indication deta hai ke buyers filhal market mein dominate kar rahe hain. Saath hi, moving averages (red aur blue lines) ne bullish crossover diya hai, jo mazeed upward momentum ka signal deta hai.
Support levels ke liye, sabse pehla strong support 161.50 par nazar aa raha hai. Agar price niche girti hai to yeh level buyers ke liye acha entry point ban sakta hai. Uske baad 159.62 ka level agla important zone hoga. Yeh dono levels trend ke reverse hone ki nishani bhi ho sakte hain agar price inhe todti hai.
Bollinger Bands ka analysis bhi confirm karta hai ke price abhi upper band ke qareeb hai, jo overbought condition ko zahir kar raha hai. Yeh potential pullback ya consolidation ka ishara de raha hai. Agar price upar jane mein fail hoti hai, to correction expected hai.
Short-term traders ke liye, 164.94 ke upar breakout par buy positions dekhni chahiye, aur stop loss 164.00 ke niche lagana behtar hoga. Long-term traders ke liye, agar price 161.50 ke kareeb aaye, to buy karna acha moka hoga.
Aakhir mein, market kaafi volatile hai, aur Eurozone aur Japan ki economy se related news ko zaroor monitor karein, jo price par direct asar daal sakti hain. Yeh levels aur indicators abhi ke liye kaafi relevant hain, lekin hamesha apna risk management ka plan saath rakhain.
Conclusion: EUR/JPY abhi bullish phase mein hai, lekin resistance aur overbought signals ke wajah se pullback ka bhi khatra hai. Apne trades ko soch samajh kar plan karein.

EUR/JPY currency pair ne European trading session ke doran Friday ko 162.00 ke critical resistance level ke neeche narrow trading range dikhayi. Ye consolidation phase un market participants ki wajah se hai jo Germany aur Eurozone ke December ke Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) ke preliminary readings ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Monday aur Tuesday ko release hongi. In inflation figures ka ECB ki aane wali policy meeting mein interest rate adjustments ke hawale se market expectations par aham asar hoga.Filhal market sentiment 25-basis point rate cut ki taraf hai, magar agar inflationary pressures mein tez girawat dekhne ko mili toh 50-basis point reduction ki umeed barh sakti hai. Yeh bhi noteworthy hai ke lagbhag sab ECB policymakers market expectations ke sath mutmaeen hain, jo Eurozone mein economic risks ke hawale se unki fikr ka izhar karta hai.Euro ka trajectory US trade policy ke potential changes ki market speculation par bhi munhasir karega, jo nayi administration ke under ho sakte hain.Campaign ke doran aane wale President ne Eurozone se imports par tariffs barhane ki dhamki di thi, jo trade imbalances ke hawale se thi. Agar yeh threats implement hoti hain, toh euro ke exchange rate par significant asar ho sakta hai.Asia-Pacific region mein, Japanese yen relatively stable raha kyun ke New Year holidays ki wajah se Japanese markets band thi.Lekin foreign exchange market mein yen ke excessive volatility ko control karne ke liye Japanese government ki intervention ka khatra barqarar hai. Japanese Finance Minister ne hal hi mein foreign exchange trends ke monitoring aur zaroori measures lene ke azm ko dohraya hai.Technically, EUR/JPY ne 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (175.37 se 154.40 ke recent downtrend ka) ke qareeb resistance ka samna kiya, jo 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke sath lagbhag 162.30 par coincide karta hai.Agar price is critical level ke neeche girta hai, toh traders 20-day Moving Average par 159.90 ko target kar sakte hain, jo 23.6% Fibonacci level ke qareeb 159.30 par hai. Zyada girawat medium-term uptrend line ko 156.80 par test kar sakti hai.

EUR/JPY Daily Chart Analysis
Aaj ka EUR/JPY chart dikhata hai ke price ne abhi 161.813 ka level touch kiya hai. Price ka movement abhi Ichimoku Cloud ke andar hai, jo market ke liye ek critical zone mana jata hai. Yeh zone aksar support aur resistance ka kaam karta hai, aur traders ke liye yeh waqt decision-making ka hota hai.
Price ne apna recent high 163.535 ke aas-paas banaya tha, lekin wahan se correction start hui. Ab market 161.813 ke level ke paas hai, jo short-term support hai. Agar yeh level tod diya jaye, to agla major support 161.105, 159.187, aur phir 157.042 par hoga. Yeh levels market ke liye critical hain agar downtrend continue hota hai.
Dusri taraf, agar price recover kare aur bounce kare, to 162.320 aur 163.535 ke levels resistance ka kaam karenge. Agar price in resistances ko todta hai, to agla target 167.003 tak ja sakta hai, jo ek strong resistance zone hai.
Chart par moving averages ka intersection bhi nazar aa raha hai, jo short-term bearish signal deta hai. Lekin Ichimoku Cloud ke andar hone ki wajah se market abhi consolidation phase mein lag rahi hai.
Aapko trading karte waqt yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke yeh critical levels market ke trend ka faisla karenge. Agar price support zone todta hai, to yeh bearish momentum barh sakta hai. Lekin agar support se bounce hota hai, to buyers market ko phir upward direction mein le ja sakte hain.
Risk management ka khayal rakhein aur hamesha apni strategy ke mutabiq kaam karein. Stop loss lagana zaroori hai, khas kar jab market uncertain ho.
Trading ke liye ye waqt careful analysis ka hai. Fundamental aur technical dono factors ka khayal rakhein aur impulsive decisions na karein.

"EUR/JPY currency pair ne Friday ke European trading session mein 162.00 ke critical resistance level ke neechay ek tang trading range ko display kiya. Yeh consolidation phase mukhtalifan market participants ke taraf se muhim economic data ke release ka intezar karne se peda hua tha: Germany aur Eurozone dono se December ke Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) ki preliminary readings, jo Monday aur Tuesday ko respectively release hone wali hain. In inflation figures se European Central Bank (ECB) ki upcoming policy meeting mein potential interest rate adjustments ke bardad market expectations ko kaafi asar parne ki umeed hai. Currently, market sentiment 25-basis point rate cut ki taraf jhuk raha hai. Lekin, inflationary pressures mein tez



deceleration ka shaheed agar mila to 50-basis point reduction ki ziyada mutasir expectations ko barh sakti hai. Khaas taur par, taqreeban tamam ECB policymakers ne monetary easing ke jari rakhne ki current market expectation se khushi zahir ki hai, jo Eurozone ke andar economic risks ke barhte hue concerns ko reflect karta hai. Euro ki trajectory market mein potential changes in US trade policy under the incoming administration ke bardad speculation se kaafi asar andaz hoga. Apni campaign ke doran, incoming President ne trade imbalances ke wajah se Eurozone se imports par tariffs badhane ki dhamki di thi. In threats ka kitna tak materialize hoga, usse euro ki exchange rate par kaafi asar parega."
"Asia-Pacific region mein, Japanese yen relatively stable raha kyunke New Year holidays ki wajah se Japanese markets bandh the. Lekin, foreign exchange market mein excessive yen volatility ko mitigate karne ke liye potential Japanese government intervention ke bardad concerns bani hui hain. Japanese Finance Minister ne recently reiterate kiya hai ke authorities foreign exchange trends ko closely monitor kar rahi hain aur yen ko stabilize karne ke liye zaruri kadam uthayenge. Technically, EUR/JPY pair ne recent downtrend 175.37 se 154.40 tak ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke kareeb significant resistance ka samna kiya, jo 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke sath coincide karta hai, dono 162.30 level ke as-pas maujood hain. Is crucial level ke neechay decline hone se traders ko 23.6% Fibonacci level 159.30 ki bajaye 20-day Moving Average 159.90 ko target karne ke liye provoke kar sakta hai. Ziada mutasir downward movement potentially 156.80 par medium-term uptrend line ko test kar sakta ha

"EUR/JPY Outlook
As we enter 2025, the EUR/JPY currency pair is once again in focus, reflecting the ongoing struggle between Europe's economic resilience and Japan's weak currency policies. Currently trading around ¥163.17, the pair is experiencing slight fluctuations, with traders trying to gauge the next direction based on key economic and monetary developments. Let's dive into the fundamental and technical factors influencing this pair.
Fundamental Analysis:
1. European Central Bank’s (ECB) Hawkish Stance
Inflation Control: The euro has recently gained strength, largely due to the European Central Bank's (ECB) commitment to tightening monetary policy to combat high inflation across the Eurozone. The ECB has been aggressively hiking interest rates to curb inflationary pressures, particularly in major economies like Germany, France, and Italy. Although inflation remains above the ECB's target, the central bank's hawkish stance has provided support to the euro.





Growth Concerns in Europe: Despite these efforts, growth concerns continue to weigh on the euro. Germany, the Eurozone's economic powerhouse, has shown signs of stagnation, largely due to energy supply issues, high production costs, and a sluggish global demand for exports. While the ECB's hawkish stance has helped the euro, the economic slowdown in the region is a concern, particularly as recession risks linger. If the ECB is forced to pivot towards a more dovish stance due to economic slowdowns, this could put downward pressure on the euro.
Eurozone Recovery and Risks: While the eurozone faces challenges, the inflation control measures and monetary tightening could gradually stabilize inflation, supporting the euro in the medium term. Traders are watching closely to see whether the ECB will continue its hawkish tone or shift to a more cautious approach in response to weaker growth.
Technical Analysis:
1. Support Levels
¥162.55 Support Zone: The EUR/JPY pair is currently testing ¥163.17, which is just above a crucial support zone at ¥162.55. If the pair breaks below ¥162.55, it could signal further downside pressure, with the next key support level at ¥162.00. A failure to hold above this support level would suggest that bearish momentum could continue, potentially driving the pair lower.
¥162.00: This level is a key psychological support, and a break below it could signal a deeper retracement, possibly towards the ¥160.00 mark.
2. Resistance Levels
¥164.00 and ¥164.65 Resistance: The EUR/JPY pair faces resistance around ¥164.00 and ¥164.65. A break above ¥164.65 could trigger a fresh wave of buying interest, potentially pushing the pair towards ¥165.00 and beyond. However, for this to happen, there would need to be strong bullish momentum, likely driven by a shift in market sentiment or a positive economic catalyst for the eurozone.
Conclusion:
As 2025 begins, the EUR/JPY pair remains in a battle between Europe’s economic resilience and Japan's weak currency policies. The euro is supported by the ECB’s hawkish stance on inflation, while the yen continues to struggle under the BOJ's ultra-loose monetary policy. The key levels at ¥162.55 (support) and ¥164.00 (resistance) will be crucial in determining the next move for the pair.
- Bullish Scenario: A break above ¥164.65 could signal further upside potential, with the pair potentially testing ¥165.00 and beyond. This would require strong euro support and a continuation of inflation control efforts by the ECB.
- Bearish Scenario: A break below ¥162.55 and ¥162.00 would suggest continued downward momentum, potentially leading the pair to test ¥160.00.
Traders should remain alert to developments in global risk sentiment, ECB and BOJ policy shifts, and economic data releases that could influence the EUR/JPY outlook in the coming weeks."
Note

EUR-JPY PAIR REVIEW
Current price movement kaafi interesting hai, khas tor par isliye kyunke yeh ek critical area mein hai jis mein next trend ki direction tay karna mumkin hai. Aaiye is par aur ziyada detail se baat karte hain.
Currently, EUR/JPY 164.76 ke level par hai, 164.97 - 165.28 range mein ek strong resistance zone ke qareeb hai jo chart par blue area se mark kiya gaya hai. Yeh zone woh area hai jo pehlay price reversal point tha aur aisa lagta hai ke isse bullish trend, jo December ke mid se dominant hai, dubara test kar raha hai. Overall, current trend ek pattern dikhata hai jo bullish hone ki taraf jhukta hai, Moving Average (MA) 50 aur MA 100 lines ke upar price movements se support milta hai, jo strong buying momentum ko reflect karta hai. Iske ilawa, market structure higher highs aur higher lows dikhata hai jo is bullish direction ko aur ziyada mazboot karta hai.
Lekin, humein support aur resistance zones par bhi dhyan dena chahiye jo ban chuke hain. Main support 162.13 aur 159.48 par dekha jata hai, jo pehlay consolidation aur price rebound points ke areas the jab market selling pressure ke neechay tha. Dusri taraf, main resistance 164.97 - 165.28




zone mein located hai, jo yeh tay karne ke liye ek critical area hai ke bullish trend jari rahega ya rejection ka samna karega. Agar price is resistance ko significant volume ke sath break karne mein kamyab ho jata hai, to next level 166.50 tak badhne ka bara potential hai. Lekin, agar is zone mein rejection hoti hai, to price support 163.13 ki taraf wapis girne ka potential rakhta hai.
Trading strategy ke tor par, do approaches par ghor kiya ja sakta hai. Pehla, agar price 165.28 resistance area ko break karne mein kamyab ho jata hai, to hum us level ke upar candle close ki confirmation ka intezar karke ek breakout strategy apply kar sakte hain. Increase ka next target 166.50 hai, safe stop loss 164.50 ke neechay risk ko kam karne ke liye. Dusra, agar price is resistance zone mein pin bar ya bearish engulfing jaisa bearish pattern dikhata hai, to hum selling karke ek reversal strategy par ghor kar sakte hain. Downside target ko support 163.13 tak direct kiya ja sakta hai, stop loss ko 165.30 level ke upar place karke.
Nateeja mein, EUR/JPY currently ek critical zone mein hai, aur 164.97 - 165.28 area mein price reaction next movement ki direction tay karne ki kunji hoga