یورو / جاپانی ین: مارکیٹ کی تازہ ترین معلومات

EUR/JPY pair ki price ne kuch kami dekhi hai, lekin yeh sirf ek correction phase ho sakta hai. Abhi tak ka overall trend ab bhi bullish nazar aa raha hai, aur do Moving Average lines ke darmiyan distance zyada hai, jo ke strong trend ka indicator hai. Abhi price 163.18 ke low par hai aur SMA 200 ki taraf barh rahi hai. Agar yeh level par rejection hota hai, to price wapas bullish trend ko follow karte hue upar ja sakti hai.Lekin agar price ne bullish trend mein upar janay ki koshish ki lekin EMA 50 ke upar sustain nahi kar payi, to iska matlab yeh ho sakta hai ke price 166.65 ke high ko bhi touch nahi kar sakegi. Aise case mein, price dobara SMA 200 ko test karne aa sakti hai, jo ke bullish trend ko kamzor kar sakta hai, aur yeh price ko 161.82 ke low ki taraf le jaa sakta hai.MACD indicator bhi is waqt downtrend momentum show kar raha hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke EUR/JPY pair ka price rally decline kar sakta hai. Histogram volume 0 level se neeche negative area mein hai, jo ke bearish pressure ko dikhata hai. Agar price upar jati hai, to usay neutral level ke upar sustain karna padega taake bullish trend ko support mil sake. Lekin agar price badhne ke baad bhi histogram bearish momentum dikhata hai, to next price movement neeche ki taraf hi hogi.Bullish trend mein trading strategy ka focus buy opportunity par hona chahiye. Ideal entry point tab hona chahiye jab price 200-day simple moving average ko touch kar ke reject ho jaye. MACD volume histogram agar neutral level ke qareeb negative area mein hai, to iska matlab yeh hai ke bearish momentum kam ho raha hai. Take-profit target 50-day exponential moving average par hona chahiye, aur stop-loss 161.82 ke low par set karna chahiye.Agley Monday ki trading mein zyada chances hain ke sellers dominate karenge, jo price ko aur neeche bearish direction mein le jane ki koshish karenge. Sabse qareeb target 163.40-163.38 ke buyer support area ko test karna hoga. Agar yeh support area mazbooti se break ho gaya, to EUR/JPY pair ki price aur bhi weak ho kar agle support area 162.98 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh support area break nahi hota, to price wapas bullish momentum le kar 164.18 ke resistance area ki taraf move kar sakti hai.

EUR/JPY Weekly Technical Analysis
EUR/JPY ka weekly chart hai jo currency pair ki recent performance aur indicators ka hal batata hai. Ab tak EUR/JPY 165.505 aur 166.047 ke beech trade kar raha tha, lekin is hafte ka close 163.548 par hua hai. Yeh girawat ka ishara de raha hai, lekin overall trend aur indicators ki madad se hum mazeed andaza lagate hain. Yeh long-term trend ka ishara hai. Abhi price 200-MA ke upar hai, jo ke bullish (khareedari) sentiment ko zahir kar raha hai. Agar price is level ko neeche cross karti hai, to long-term mein bearish signal mil sakta hai.
Yeh short-term moving average hai, jo choti duration ke trends ko zahir karta hai. Yeh bhi price ke neeche hai, jo ke uptrend ka support kar raha hai. Bollinger bands ka istemaal volatility ko samajhne ke liye kiya jata hai. Is chart mein price ne lower band ko touch kiya lekin wapas middle band ki taraf move kiya. Agar yeh upper band ko cross kare to yeh ek bullish breakout ka ishara ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price middle ya lower band ke neeche jati hai to bearish sentiment mazid barh sakta hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ka istemaal market ka trend aur momentum samajhne ke liye hota hai. Is waqt MACD ne abhi signal line ko cross nahi kiya aur 0 se neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko indicate karta hai. Lekin agar MACD line signal line ko cross karti hai to yeh buy ka signal ban sakta hai, jo market mein positive change la sakta hai. EUR/JPY ka overall trend abhi bullish hai, lekin kuch bearish pressure bhi mojood hai. Moving averages aur Bollinger bands indicators suggest karte hain ke agar price 200-MA aur upper Bollinger band ke upar close hoti hai to uptrend continue ho sakta hai. MACD ka crossover aur price action mazid confirmation de sakte hain.

JPY ke weekly chart

par, jab price ne 155.067 ke local support level ko upar se neeche tak test kiya, to yeh wapas palta aur taqatwar bullish momentum ke sath upar ki taraf chala gaya, jisse ek poora bullish candle bana jo pichle hafte ki range ko puri tarah absorb kar gaya, aur 158.387 ke local resistance level ke nazdeek band hua, is level ko upar ki taraf shadow ke sath test kiya. Agle hafte, mujhe umeed hai ke bechne wale dobara price ko neeche ki taraf push karne ki koshish karenge, aur is surat mein main 155.067 ke support level ko defend karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Is support level ke nazdeek do mumkinah scenarios hain. Pehla scenario reversal candle ki formation se juda hai aur upar ki taraf wapas aa jana. Agar yeh plan haqeeqat banta hai, to main price ke 158.387 ke resistance level par wapas aane ka intezar karunga. Agar price is resistance level ke upar rukne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to mujhe upar ki taraf further movement ki umeed hogi, jisse 161.245 ke resistance level tak pahuncha ja sakta hai. Is resistance level ke nazdeek, main ek trading setup ki formation ka intezar karunga jo aage ki trading ki disha tay karne mein madad karega. Yahan tak ke ek aur mumkinah plan hai jab price 155.067 ke support level ke neeche fix ho jaye aur phir neeche ki taraf chale. Agar yeh plan haqeeqat banta hai, to main price ke 153.115 ke support level tak jane ka intezar karunga. Is support level ke nazdeek, main bullish signals dhoondta rahunga, umeed karte hue ke price movement upar ki taraf recover karega.

Aam tor par, agar main choti si baat karun, to agle hafte main umeed karta hoon ke bechne wale price ko nazdeek ke support level tak push karne ki koshish karenge, aur wahan se, maujooda global northern trend ko dekhte hue, main bullish signals dhoondne ki koshish karunga, umeed karte hue ke upar ki taraf phir se rise ho

Thank you and Stay Blessed

EUR/JPY Weekly Technical Analysis


EUR/JPY ka weekly chart hai jo currency pair ki recent performance aur indicators ka hal batata hai. Ab tak EUR/JPY 165.505 aur 166.047 ke beech trade kar raha tha, lekin is hafte ka close 163.548 par hua hai. Yeh girawat ka ishara de raha hai, lekin overall trend aur indicators ki madad se hum mazeed andaza lagate hain. Yeh long-term trend ka ishara hai. Abhi price 200-MA ke upar hai, jo ke bullish (khareedari) sentiment ko zahir kar raha hai. Agar price is level ko neeche cross karti hai, to long-term mein bearish signal mil sakta hai.
Yeh short-term moving average hai, jo choti duration ke trends ko zahir karta hai. Yeh bhi price ke neeche hai, jo ke uptrend ka support kar raha hai. Bollinger bands ka istemaal volatility ko samajhne ke liye kiya jata hai. Is chart mein price ne lower band ko touch kiya lekin wapas middle band ki taraf move kiya. Agar yeh upper band ko cross kare to yeh ek bullish breakout ka ishara ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price middle ya lower band ke neeche jati hai to bearish sentiment mazid barh sakta hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ka istemaal market ka trend aur momentum samajhne ke liye hota hai. Is waqt MACD ne abhi signal line ko cross nahi kiya aur 0 se neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko indicate karta hai. Lekin agar MACD line signal line ko cross karti hai to yeh buy ka signal ban sakta hai, jo market mein positive change la sakta hai.


EUR/JPY ka overall trend abhi bullish hai, lekin kuch bearish pressure bhi mojood hai. Moving averages aur Bollinger bands indicators suggest karte hain ke agar price 200-MA aur upper Bollinger band ke upar close hoti hai to uptrend continue ho sakta hai. MACD ka crossover aur price action mazid confirmation de sakte hain.

Price ne 1-hour chart par kai ghanton se sideways trend mein trade kiya hai, jab se price ne chart par dikhaye gaye price triangle ko tod diya tha. White triangle descending aur ascending channels ke beech ka common area hai, jo pichlay do trading dinon mein pair ka general trend represent karta hai. Triangle ko upwards break kiya gaya tha, lekin price abhi bhi ENBI ke direction mein move kar raha hai, jahan rising ke dauran red channel line se resistance face ho raha hai, jo chart par dikhai de raha hai.Is liye, price ka sideways move continue karne ka imkaan hai, jab tak yeh channel ko upwards break nahi karta ya price triangle ke neeche nahi girta, jis se support level 162.48 tak pohanchne ka rasta khulta hai. Aaj, price ko sirf monitor kiya jaa sakta hai jab tak koi trading opportunity ban kar samne nahi aati.
Pehli opportunity buy ki hogi, jab price red channel ko upwards break karega, jahan se aap resistance level 165.37 tak buy kar sakte hain, aur agar price us resistance ke upar stabilize ho jata hai, to phir aap buy kar sakte hain, jahan price is case mein resistance level 167.16 tak pohanchne ki ummid rakhega.Selling opportunity tab milegi jab price triangle ke neeche aur weekly pivot level ke neeche gir jayega, jahan aap weekly support level 162.48 tak sell kar sakte hain.Current level par, jaise ki chart par dikhayi de raha hai, lagta hai ke price continue karega fluctuation ko, jo narrow trading framework hai, kyunki price zyada upar ya neeche nahi move kar raha, jo humein achha target dene ke liye zaroori hai.

EUR/JPY currency pair abhi 164.550 par trade kar raha hai, aur is waqt ka trend bearish hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke Euro (EUR) Japanese Yen (JPY) ke against apni value kho raha hai. Market slow movement dikhata hai, lekin kai factors hain jo suggest karte hain ke aane wale waqt mein significant price movement ho sakta hai. Is trend ko samajhna traders ko potential volatility ke liye prepare karne mein madad de sakta hai EUR/JPY ka primary driver Eurozone aur Japan ki economic policies aur conditions hain. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apni monetary policy frameworks mein farq rakha hai, jo directly EUR/JPY exchange rate ko influence karte hain.ECB pichlay kuch mahino se apni monetary policy tighten kar raha hai, taake Eurozone mein persistent inflation ko control kiya ja sake. Interest rate hikes ne Euro ko dusri currencies ke muqablay mein zyada attractive bana diya hai, jisse Euro ki value ko support mil rahi hai. Lekin is ke bawajood, inflation ab bhi high hai, aur ECB ne yeh signal diya hai ke shayad unhein inflationary pressures ko tame karne ke liye rates ko lamba samay tak elevated rakna padega. Wahin, Bank of Japan ne kai saalon se ultra-loose monetary policy maintain ki hai, interest rates ko zero ke aas-paas rakha hai aur economic growth stimulate karne ke liye aggressive bond-buying programs chalaye hain. Japan mein inflation thoda badh gaya hai, lekin BoJ ab bhi tightening mein cautious hai, kyunki Japanese economy fragile hai. ECB aur BoJ ke beech yeh policy divergence yeh support karta hai ke Euro ko Yen ke against zyada pressure face karna padega.Monetary policy ke ilawa, geopolitical events aur economic data releases bhi EUR/JPY ke outlook ko shape karenge. Eurozone se economic data, jaise GDP growth, employment figures, aur inflation, EUR/JPY pair ke direction ko influence kar sakte hain. Agar European economic data expectations se kam hota hai ya ECB apni stance ko dovish signal karta hai, to Euro Yen ke against zyada weaken ho sakta hai.
Dusri taraf, Japan ki economic health bhi zaroori hogi. Agar Japan ki economic recovery slow rahi ya wahan se data disappointing aaye, to JPY ko weakness ka samna karna pad sakta hai, jo EUR/JPY ke bearish trend ko reverse kar sakta hai.

EUR/JPY Weekly Technical Analysis
EUR/JPY ka weekly chart hai jo currency pair ki recent performance aur indicators ka hal batata hai. Ab tak EUR/JPY 165.505 aur 166.047 ke beech trade kar raha tha, lekin is hafte ka close 163.548 par hua hai. Yeh girawat ka ishara de raha hai, lekin overall trend aur indicators ki madad se hum mazeed andaza lagate hain. Yeh long-term trend ka ishara hai. Abhi price 200-MA ke upar hai, jo ke bullish (khareedari) sentiment ko zahir kar raha hai. Agar price is level ko neeche cross karti hai, to long-term mein bearish signal mil sakta hai.
Yeh short-term moving average hai, jo choti duration ke trends ko zahir karta hai. Yeh bhi price ke neeche hai, jo ke uptrend ka support kar raha hai. Bollinger bands ka istemaal volatility ko samajhne ke liye kiya jata hai. Is chart mein price ne lower band ko touch kiya lekin wapas middle band ki taraf move kiya. Agar yeh upper band ko cross kare to yeh ek bullish breakout ka ishara ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price middle ya lower band ke neeche jati hai to bearish sentiment mazid barh sakta hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ka istemaal market ka trend aur momentum samajhne ke liye hota hai. Is waqt MACD ne abhi signal line ko cross nahi kiya aur 0 se neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko indicate karta hai. Lekin agar MACD line signal line ko cross karti hai to yeh buy ka signal ban sakta hai, jo market mein positive change la sakta hai. EUR/JPY ka overall trend abhi bullish hai, lekin kuch bearish pressure bhi mojood hai. Moving averages aur Bollinger bands indicators suggest karte hain ke agar price 200-MA aur upper Bollinger band ke upar close hoti hai to uptrend continue ho sakta hai. MACD ka crossover aur price action mazid confirmation de sakte hain.

EUR/JPY ka trend filhal uncertain aur mixed hai, lekin kuch ahem levels aur indicators hamen potential movements ka idea dete hain. Daily timeframe mein hum dekh sakte hain ke price abhi sideways move kar rahi hai, jisme bullish aur bearish dono ke elements shaamil hain.
Resistance Levels
Chart mein kuch significant resistance levels 168.015, 169.690 aur 173.910 par hain. Yeh woh areas hain jahan se price ne pehle resistance face kiya hai. Agar price in levels tak dobara pohanchti hai aur inhe breakout karti hai, toh yeh bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Yeh levels short sellers ke liye bhi important hain, kyunke agar price inke qareeb pohanchi aur wahan se gir gayi, toh selling opportunity mil sakti hai.
Support Levels
Niche ki taraf kuch important support zones bhi hain jo ke 162.120 aur 158.190 par hain. Yeh wo areas hain jahan buyers ne pehle interest show kiya tha aur price ko niche se support mil sakta hai. Agar price in support levels ko break karti hai, toh yeh further downside ka indication ho sakta hai aur hum price ko aur neeche dekh sakte hain, jo ke bearish trend ke liye signal ho sakta hai.
Indicators
Chart mein Ichimoku Cloud** aur **Moving Averages ka istemal ho raha hai. Filhal, price cloud ke paas hi hai jo ke uncertain trend ka signal hai. Agar price Ichimoku cloud ke upar breakout karti hai, toh bullish trend confirm ho sakta hai, aur agar niche break hoti hai, toh yeh bearish trend ka indication ho ga. Moving averages bhi mixed trend dikha rahe hain aur humein clear direction nahi de rahe. Bollinger Bands Bollinger Bands se hamein market ki volatility ka idea milta hai. Price abhi center line ke kareeb hai jo ke consolidation ya sideways movement ka indication hai. Agar price upper ya lower band tak pohanchi aur breakout ho, toh yeh trend continuation ya reversal ka signal ho sakta hai.
Agar aap trade plan kar rahe hain, toh in resistance aur support levels ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, breakout aur reversal ka intezar karna achha rahega. Confirmation ke bina trade lena risky ho sakta hai, lekin agar koi strong breakout milta hai toh uska faida uthaya ja sakta hai.

EUR/JPY Weekly Technical Analysis


EUR/JPY ka weekly chart hai jo currency pair ki recent performance aur indicators ka hal batata hai. Ab tak EUR/JPY 165.505 aur 166.047 ke beech trade kar raha tha, lekin is hafte ka close 163.548 par hua hai. Yeh girawat ka ishara de raha hai, lekin overall trend aur indicators ki madad se hum mazeed andaza lagate hain. Yeh long-term trend ka ishara hai. Abhi price 200-MA ke upar hai, jo ke bullish (khareedari) sentiment ko zahir kar raha hai. Agar price is level ko neeche cross karti hai, to long-term mein bearish signal mil sakta hai.


Yeh short-term moving average hai, jo choti duration ke trends ko zahir karta hai. Yeh bhi price ke neeche hai, jo ke uptrend ka support kar raha hai. Bollinger bands ka istemaal volatility ko samajhne ke liye kiya jata hai. Is chart mein price ne lower band ko touch kiya lekin wapas middle band ki taraf move kiya. Agar yeh upper band ko cross kare to yeh ek bullish breakout ka ishara ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price middle ya lower band ke neeche jati hai to bearish sentiment mazid barh sakta hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ka istemaal market ka trend aur momentum samajhne ke liye hota hai. Is waqt MACD ne abhi signal line ko cross nahi kiya aur 0 se neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko indicate karta hai. Lekin agar MACD line signal line ko cross karti hai to yeh buy ka signal ban sakta hai, jo market mein positive change la sakta hai. EUR/JPY ka overall trend abhi bullish hai, lekin kuch bearish pressure bhi mojood hai. Moving averages aur Bollinger bands indicators suggest karte hain ke agar price 200-MA aur upper Bollinger band ke upar close hoti hai to uptrend continue ho sakta hai. MACD ka crossover aur price action mazid confirmation de sakte hain.

EUR/JPY currency pair abhi 162.642 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai aur hal hi mein ek bearish trend dikhaya hai. Yeh gradual decline market mein hesitation ko zahir karta hai, jahan traders mukhtalif economic factors aur sentiment shifts ko samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hain jo future movements ko influence kar sakte hain. Is waqt ka bearish downtrend hone ke bawajood, kuch aise indications hain jo ye batate hain ke significant change karib ho sakta hai, is liye EUR/JPY pair par aane walay dinon mein nazar rakhna zaroori hai.Fundamental aur technical factors mil kar is outlook ko shape karte hain. Economic perspective se dekha jaye to, traders Eurozone aur Japan ki key developments par ghoor kar rahe hain. Euro ko economic growth se mutaliq challenges ka samna hai, jo inflationary pressures, GDP growth ka slow hona, aur geopolitical tensions ke natijay mein samne aaye hain. Yeh elements Euro ko pressure mein laate hain, jo EUR/JPY pair ke bearish trend mein contribute kar rahe hain.Dusri taraf, Japanese Yen mein kuch stability dekhne ko mili hai, jo Bank of Japan ki policy stance aur Yen ka safe-haven currency hone ki wajah se support hoti hai. Lekin Japan ki economy bhi challenges se mubtala hai, jaise ke sluggish wage growth aur deflationary pressures, jo historically Yen ki strength ko limit karte hain. Kisi bhi tarah ki Bank of Japan ki policy mein shift ya economic data releases ke natijay mein volatility trigger ho sakti hai, jo EUR/JPY pair ko bade price movements ki taraf le jaa sakti hai.
Technical analysis bhi upcoming volatility ke hints de raha hai. 161.50 ke qareeb key support levels aur 164.00 par resistance ka hona short-term trajectory ko shape karne mein important role play kar sakta hai. Agar price resistance level ke upar breakout kare, to yeh bearish trend ke khatam hone ki taraf ishara karega aur ek bullish movement ka darwaza khol sakta hai. Wahan agar price support ke neeche break karti hai, to further downside movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur moving averages ko monitor karna chahiye taake divergence ya convergence ke signs ka pata lag sake jo kisi major price action se pehle aa sakte hain.Is waqt ke EUR/JPY pair ka bearish trend cautious market behavior ko reflect karta hai, lekin underlying economic factors aur technical indicators yeh batate hain ke significant movement ke chances hain. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur economic releases, central bank ke commentary, aur technical signals par focus rakhna chahiye jo pair ke next major direction ke clues de sakte hain. Aane walay din strategic opportunities la sakte hain short-term aur long-term positioning ke liye, kyun ke market sentiment shifts EUR/JPY ke path mein pronounced changes la sakte hain.

EUR/JPY ne Monday ki subah European trading ke dauran buying interest mein izafa dekha, jo pair ko 163.00 level ki taraf le gaya. Yeh upward move zyada tar Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policy mein badlaav ke hawale se uncertainty ki wajah se hua. BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne yeh kaha ke potential rate hike ka waqt economic factors, jaise inflation aur financial conditions, par depend karega. Ueda ne December rate hike ka confirmation nahi diya, magar external risks ke kam hone par is possibility ka ishara kiya, jo Japanese yen par downward pressure aur EUR/JPY ke liye support ka sabab bana. European Central Bank ke officials, jin mein Governing Council member Piero Cipollone bhi shamil hain, ne monetary policy ke liye ehtiyaat ka mashwara diya aur kaha ke eurozone ki economic recovery ko support karne ke liye aur rate cuts zaroori ho sakte hain, jo short term mein euro ko weaken kar sakte hain. Pair ne abhi kuch hi din pehle ek short-term support trend line aur key moving averages ke neeche break kiya, jo bearish trend ka pata deta hai. Technical indicators jaise RSI aur MACD bhi bearish bias ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo aur downside ke liye potential ko dikhate hain. Stochastic oscillator oversold zone mein hai, jo rebound ka signal de sakta hai, magar overall technical scenario bearish lagta hai. Yeh upward move zyada tar BoJ ki monetary policy uncertainty ki wajah se hai, lekin ECB ki dovish tones aur bearish technical indicators pair ki upside potential ko limit kar sakte hain. Traders ko dono regions ki economic developments aur central bank officials ke further comments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake EUR/JPY ke aindah direction ko samajha ja sake.

EUR/JPY
EUR/JPY Ka Overview
EUR/JPY ek popular currency pair hai jo Euro (EUR) aur Japanese Yen (JPY) ka exchange rate represent karta hai. Yeh pair Europe aur Japan ki economies ko connect karta hai, aur trading mein kaafi liquidity aur volatility rakhta hai, khas taur par European aur Asian trading sessions mein. EUR/JPY ko traders bohot zyada pasand karte hain kyunke yeh pair international economic conditions aur interest rate differentials par strong reaction show karta hai.

EUR/JPY Par Asraat Daalne Walay Factors

EUR/JPY par bohot si cheezen asar daalti hain. Sab se pehle, European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policies aur interest rate decisions EUR/JPY ko direct asar daalte hain. Agar ECB apne interest rates increase karta hai to Euro ki demand barh sakti hai, jo EUR/JPY ko upar le ja sakta hai. Wahi agar BoJ koi naya stimulus ya interest rate reduction announce karta hai to Yen ki demand gir sakti hai aur EUR/JPY aur bhi strong ho sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, economic data jaise GDP growth, inflation rates, aur employment statistics bhi EUR/JPY ki value ko influence karte hain. Japan ek export-oriented economy hai, aur yen ki value global trade aur risk sentiment par bhi depend karti hai. Agar global risk aversion increase hoti hai to Yen ki safe-haven demand barh jaati hai aur EUR/JPY neeche aasakta hai. Magar agar market mein risk appetite strong hai, to investors high-yielding assets ki taraf jaate hain, jo Euro ko support kar sakta hai.

Technical Analysis aur Trading Strategy

Technical analysis ke point of view se, EUR/JPY mein support aur resistance levels, trend lines, aur moving averages ko track karna important hota hai. Yeh indicators trading mein potential entry aur exit points ko define karte hain. Fibonacci retracement aur RSI (Relative Strength Index) bhi bohot se traders use karte hain taake trend aur momentum ko samajh sakein.

Agar EUR/JPY ek bullish trend follow kar raha hai aur kisi key resistance level ko breach karta hai, to yeh bullish continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Wahi agar bearish momentum strong hai aur pair kisi support level par breakout karta hai to downtrend continuation ka bhi chance hota hai.

Conclusion

EUR/JPY ek interesting aur dynamic currency pair hai jo European aur Japanese economic developments se directly influence hota hai. Trading mein faida hasil karne ke liye traders ko ECB aur BoJ ke policy decisions, economic indicators, aur global market sentiment par focus rakhna zaroori hai. Dono countries ke political aur economic changes EUR/JPY par asar daalte hain, isliye trading ke liye fundamental aur technical analysis ka mix samajhna bohot zaroori hai.

EUR/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke Asian trading session mein decline face kiya, jab Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthen hua due to geopolitical tensions aur Japanese government ki FX market mein intervention ke speculation ke wajah se. Russia-Ukraine conflict ka escalate hona, jisme US ne Ukraine ko long-range missiles use karne ki authorization di hai, ne global tensions ko barhaya. Iske saath, Japanese authorities ke FX market mein intervene karne ke possibility ne JPY ki safe-haven appeal ko kamzor banaya aur EUR/JPY pair par downward pressure dala. Dusri taraf, Euro (EUR) challenges face kar raha hai due to European Central Bank (ECB) ki aggressive interest rate cuts, jo Eurozone ke deteriorating economic outlook ka response hain. Saath hi, US administration ke protectionist trade policies ke negative impact ke concerns ne Euro ko further pressure mein daal diya hai.Uncertainty surrounding Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke next rate hike aur positive market sentiment thodi support de sakte hain EUR/JPY pair ko, lekin bearish factors abhi bhi pair ke liye negative outlook suggest karte hain. 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ek critical support level ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to pair further downward pressure face karega aur recent multi-year highs ko retest kar sakta hai.Technically, EUR/JPY pair recently March 7, 2022, ke uptrend line aur 200-day SMA se resistance face kar raha hai. Japanese government officials ke verbal interventions, jo yen ki appreciation ko curb karne ke liye hain, ne bearish sentiment ko aur mazboot kiya hai. Agar 100-day SMA aur 163.37-163.49 support area break hota hai, to downward trend aur accelerate hone ke chances hain.

EUR/JPY currency pair abhi 164.550 par trade kar raha hai, aur is waqt ka trend bearish hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke Euro (EUR) Japanese Yen (JPY) ke against apni value kho raha hai. Market slow movement dikhata hai, lekin kai factors hain jo suggest karte hain ke aane wale waqt mein significant price movement ho sakta hai. Is trend ko samajhna traders ko potential volatility ke liye prepare karne mein madad de sakta hai EUR/JPY ka primary driver Eurozone aur Japan ki economic policies aur conditions hain. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apni monetary policy frameworks mein farq rakha hai, jo directly EUR/JPY exchange rate ko influence karte hain.ECB pichlay kuch mahino se apni monetary policy tighten kar raha hai, taake Eurozone mein persistent inflation ko control kiya ja sake. Interest rate hikes ne Euro ko dusri currencies ke muqablay mein zyada attractive bana diya hai, jisse Euro ki value ko support mil rahi hai. Lekin is ke bawajood, inflation ab bhi high hai, aur ECB ne yeh signal diya hai ke shayad unhein inflationary pressures ko tame karne ke liye rates ko lamba samay tak elevated rakna padega. Wahin, Bank of Japan ne kai saalon se ultra-loose monetary policy maintain ki hai, interest rates ko zero ke aas-paas rakha hai aur economic growth stimulate karne ke liye aggressive bond-buying programs chalaye hain. Japan mein inflation thoda badh gaya hai, lekin BoJ ab bhi tightening mein cautious hai, kyunki Japanese economy fragile hai. ECB aur BoJ ke beech yeh policy divergence yeh support karta hai ke Euro ko Yen ke against zyada pressure face karna padega.Monetary policy ke ilawa, geopolitical events aur economic data releases bhi EUR/JPY ke outlook ko shape karenge. Eurozone se economic data, jaise GDP growth, employment figures, aur inflation, EUR/JPY pair ke direction ko influence kar sakte hain. Agar European economic data expectations se kam hota hai ya ECB apni stance ko dovish signal karta hai, to Euro Yen ke against zyada weaken ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, Japan ki economic health bhi zaroori hogi. Agar Japan ki economic recovery slow rahi ya wahan se data disappointing aaye, to JPY ko weakness ka samna karna pad sakta hai, jo EUR/JPY ke bearish trend ko reverse kar sakta hai.
Click image for larger version

EUR/JPY ki value Wednesday ko European trading ke doran 164.30 tak barh gayi, jo Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke future interest rate hikes ke hawale se clarity ki kami ki wajah se hua. Japanese Yen ki weakness ke bawajood, Russia-Ukraine conflict ke tensions ki wajah se Yen ki safe-haven appeal barh rahi hai, jo pair ki upside ko limited rakh sakti hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/JPY ne apna uptrend dobara shuru kiya hai aur 4-hour chart par 100-period EMA ke upar break kiya hai. RSI ka level 50 se upar hai, jo short-term mein aur ziada upward momentum ka ishara karta hai. Immediate resistance 164.55 par hai, aur agar yeh level tod diya jata hai, toh price 165.00-165.05 ki psychological resistance ki taraf jaa sakti hai. Niche ki taraf, support 100-period EMA ke qareeb 164.17 par hai, aur agar price is level ke neeche girti hai, toh November 8 ke low 163.21 tak decline ho sakta hai.Momentum indicators, jaise ke RSI aur MACD, filhal neutral hain, jo market mein clear directional bias ki kami ko dikhata hai. Stochastic Oscillator downward trend kar raha hai, jo downward pressure ka signal hai. Agar 50-day Moving Average tod diya jata hai, toh current uptrend khatam ho sakta hai, aur price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 163.37-163.49 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh retracement March 7, 2022 se July 11, 2024 ke downtrend ka hai. February 22, 2007 ke high 159.64 tak decline hone se pehle 50-day Moving Average ek barrier ban sakta hai.

Fundamentally, Eurozone ke improving economic data se euro ki support barh rahi hai. October ki inflation 3.1% tak slow hui, jo European Central Bank (ECB) ke rate hikes pause karne ke faisle ko justify karti hai aur euro ko stable rakhti hai. Doosri taraf, Japanese Yen Bank of Japan ke dovish stance ki wajah se struggle kar raha hai. Governor Ueda ka loose monetary policy ka izhaar aur weak Japanese GDP figures ne Yen par aur ziada pressure dala hai. Market sentiment neutral lagta hai, jahan geopolitical concerns aur Eurozone aur US economic optimism balance mein hain, jo abhi ke liye euro ko yen par favour karta hai.