EUR/JPY pair ne Monday ko 10-week range se upar trade kiya aur 162.00 par raha, jabke euro ne apni strength barqarar rakhi, halanke inflation data expectations se neeche tha. ECB ke policymaker aur Slovakia ke central bank governor Peter Kazimir ne ishara diya ke December mein policy conference hone ke chances kaafi zyada hain aur abhi sab options table par hain. Unhoon ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar naye data ne rising inflation risks ko highlight kiya, toh ECB easing ka pace slow kar sakti hai. Bohat se analysts ka maan'na hai ke ECB ka do dafa lagataar interest rates cut karna yeh signal karta hai ke easing cycle mein tezzi aa gayi hai, aur ab har aane wale meeting mein rates cut hone ke chances hain jab tak yeh "neutral level" tak nahi pohanch jata. Bloomberg ke mutabiq, opinion polls ne dikhaya ke ruling Liberal Democratic Party ka support kam hai aur opposition party se opposition ka risk hai, jo low-interest rate policies pursue kar sakti hai. Is se yen aur EUR/JPY par pressure ban sakta hai, kyun ke low interest rate expectations yen ke liye unfavorable ho sakte hain, jisse foreign capital inflows barh sakte hain.
October ke aghaz se euro-yen ek narrow horizontal range mein trade kar raha tha, lekin kuch dinon mein trend positive ho gaya hai. Stochastic oscillator barhta ja raha hai, jabke RSI 50 average level se thoda upar hai. Pehle Tuesday ko price 163.65 ke high tak nahi pohanch saki aur phir neeche gir gayi, jo ek kaafi weak process ko reflect karta hai. Agar multi-headed manager controls ko sambhalte hue continue karta hai, tab bhi 164.45-165.00 area ko break karna mushkil hoga. 200-day simple moving average (SMA) 164.46 par block hai, jabke 50% Fibonacci retracement level July se August tak 164.90 par hai. Saath hi, Ichimoku cloud ka top bhi 50% Fibonacci se overlap karta hai, jo resistance area ki importance ko emphasize karta hai.
EUR/JPY pair ka future direction kai factors par depend karega. ECB ki monetary policy stance, Japan ki siyasi surat-e-haal, aur technical indicators sab is pair ki performance ko effect kar rahe hain. Investors in factors ko closely monitor karenge taake EUR/JPY pair ke further gains ya losses ka potential samajh sakein.
October ke aghaz se euro-yen ek narrow horizontal range mein trade kar raha tha, lekin kuch dinon mein trend positive ho gaya hai. Stochastic oscillator barhta ja raha hai, jabke RSI 50 average level se thoda upar hai. Pehle Tuesday ko price 163.65 ke high tak nahi pohanch saki aur phir neeche gir gayi, jo ek kaafi weak process ko reflect karta hai. Agar multi-headed manager controls ko sambhalte hue continue karta hai, tab bhi 164.45-165.00 area ko break karna mushkil hoga. 200-day simple moving average (SMA) 164.46 par block hai, jabke 50% Fibonacci retracement level July se August tak 164.90 par hai. Saath hi, Ichimoku cloud ka top bhi 50% Fibonacci se overlap karta hai, jo resistance area ki importance ko emphasize karta hai.
EUR/JPY pair ka future direction kai factors par depend karega. ECB ki monetary policy stance, Japan ki siyasi surat-e-haal, aur technical indicators sab is pair ki performance ko effect kar rahe hain. Investors in factors ko closely monitor karenge taake EUR/JPY pair ke further gains ya losses ka potential samajh sakein.
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