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EUR/JPY Technical Analysis

EUR/JPY H1 time frame par, EUR/JPY currency pair ek consolidatoin ka doran guzar raha hai, jo ke resistance level 163.20 aur support level 162.05 ke darmiyan trade kar raha hai. Ye range-bound movement yeh darust karti hai ke na to buyers na sellers is waqt puri tarah se control mein hain, kyunki price in key boundaries ke andar oscillate kar rahi hai. Market kisi breakout ka intezar kar rahi hai, lekin filhal tak yeh pair in horizontal levels ka aehteram kar raha hai, jo ke broader trend mein indecision ko darust karti hai.

Is chart par ek notable feature 162.05 ka support level hai, jo do baar test kiya gaya hai aur dono martaba ye mazboot raha hai. Ye double-bottom formation ek aham technical pattern hai jo aksar reversal ya kam se kam kuch upward momentum ka signal deta hai. Yeh baat ke price is area se do baar rebound hui hai, yeh yeh darust karti hai ke 162.05 level ke aas paas strong buying interest maujood hai, jo is pair ke liye ek crucial support zone bana raha hai. Double bottoms ko aam tor par ek bullish reversal pattern ke tor par dekha jata hai, kyunki ye yeh darust karti hai ke selling pressure kam ho raha hai aur buyers is level par price ko defend karne ke liye aage aa rahe hain.

**EUR/JPY Technical Analysis**

Daily chart par EUR/JPY currency pair ek flat range mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke 163.58 aur 155.20 ke levels ke darmiyan hai. 155 ka level do baar test kiya gaya hai aur dono baar price ne rebound kiya hai, isliye isay double bottom mana ja sakta hai, jo upward momentum ki nishani hai. Price ka andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke yeh lagbhag 175.47 tak pahunch sakti hai; lekin, yeh outlook bina kisi confirmed buy signal ke sirf speculative hai.

Jab hum bullish engulfing pattern aur 155 level se do rebounds ko dekhte hain, tab agar 163.58 ke upar breakout hota hai aur is higher level par stable consolidation hoti hai, to yeh ek alag scenario ko darust karega, jo medium-term buy opportunities ka mauka dega bina significant risk ke. Filhal, prices Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke andar stagnant hain, jahan bulls pichle bullish trend ko regain karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yeh scenario puri tarah se realistic nahi hai, lekin ab bhi mumkin hai.

Price ab 162.40 par 25% resistance level ko todne ki koshish kar rahi hai, lekin maine jo upward trendline draw ki hai, usse neeche hai. Agar koi successful upward acceleration hoti hai, to yeh aur zyada bullish activity ko attract kar sakti hai. Isliye, main kuch consolidation ke baad northward movement ki anticipation karne ka risk lene ke liye tayyar hoon.

EUR/JPY Technical Analysis

EUR/JPY pair ne Monday ko 162.00 par apne 10-week range ke upar trade kiya, jahan euro apni taqat barqarar rakhta hai, kyunki European Central Bank (ECB) ke officials ke comments ne policy easing mein ek potential pause ka ishaara diya. Halankeh inflation data umeed se kam tha, ECB policymaker aur Slovakia ke central bank ke governor Peter Kazimir ne yeh bataya ke December ki policy meeting ka hona bohat mumkin hai aur sab options khuli hain.

Unhone yeh bhi zikar kiya ke agar naya information rising inflation risks ki taraf ishaara kare, to ECB apne easing ka pace slow kar sakta hai. Kazimir ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar deflation ka pace confirm hota hai, to ECB policy easing cycle ko continue karne ke liye favorable position mein hoga.

Unke comments ne eurozone interest rates ke path par ek zyada dovish assessment ko samne laya, jab ECB ne apni meeting mein pichle Thursday ko rates ko 25 basis points (0.25%) se kaatne ka faisla kiya. Bohat se analysts ka maanna hai ke ECB ka do baar ke liye rates kaatna iske easing cycle ki acceleration ka ishaara hai, jo is baat ko mumkin banata hai ke wo har agle meeting mein rates kaatne ka irada rakhe jab tak yeh "neutral level" tak nahi pohanchta.

**EUR/JPY Technical Analysis**

EUR/JPY pair ne doosri musalsal hafte girawat dekhi hai aur ab 155.15 ke support level ki taraf barh raha hai, jo ke saath mahine ke low se sirf upar hai. Technical taur par, price ek short-term decline ka shikar ho sakta hai kyunki RSI bearish hota ja raha hai aur 30 level ke qareeb pohanch raha hai, jabke MACD trigger line aur zero line ke neeche hai.

Is ke ilawa, 50-day aur 200-day simple moving averages par bearish crossover bhi dekhne ko mila hai. Agar 155.15 ke support level par ek bounce hota hai, to yeh pair ko 158.00 par short-term downtrend line ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jiske baad 159.30-160.05 ka limit zone aata hai. Yeh zone 175.37 se 154.40 tak ke downtrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement bhi shamil karta hai, saath hi 20-day aur 160.05 daily moving average levels bhi is mein shaamil hain.

EUR/JPY Outlook Analysis:

EUR/JPY H4 time frame chart par market positive momentum dikhata hai, jahan buyers stability ka izhar kar rahe hain. Filhal, price ek critical resistance level 163.61 ke kareeb pohanch rahi hai, jo agar bullish momentum barqarar raha toh jald ya baad mein cross ho sakta hai. Haal hi ki price action yeh darust karti hai ke buyers dhirhe dhirhe control hasil kar rahe hain, aur agar yeh taqat barqarar rahe, toh pair is key level ko break karne ki salahiyat rakhti hai, jo aagey ke upward movement ke liye darwaza khol sakta hai.

Lekin, jabke market ka outlook buyers ke liye promising lag raha hai, yeh zaroori hai ke kisi bhi halat mein overconfidence na ho. Hamesha pullbacks ya reversals ka khatra hota hai, khaaskar agar key resistance levels jese 163.61 mazboot rahein ya agar market sentiment shift ho jaye. Technical indicators jese Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ko monitor karna continued bullish strength ke liye zaroori hai.

Iske ilawa, external factors jese economic data releases ya central bank policy updates bhi pair ke direction ko influence kar sakte hain, isliye traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye. Jabke buyers is waqt upper hand mein nazar aa rahe hain, phir bhi ehtiyaat zaroori hai.

EUR/JPY H1 time frame chart par, maine is currency pair ko kuch waqt ke liye alag rakha tha. Iska primary reason market ki clear direction ki kami thi, jo confidently trade karna mushkil bana raha tha. Jab market uncertain ya unclear hota hai, toh mein apni strategy ko overcomplicate karne se bachta hoon aur sirf un kuch pairs par focus karta hoon jahan trend ya price action zyada defined ho.

Lekin, jab maine EUR/JPY ko dobara dekha, toh kuch dilchasp developments nazar aaye jo potential trading opportunities ki nishani de sakte hain. Jabke pair kuch waqt se range mein tha, recent movements momentum mein possible shifts ka ishara deti hain, jo nazdeek ke mustaqbil mein clearer signals faraham kar sakti hain.

Jab market conditions evolve hoti hain, yeh zaroori hai ke flexible raha jaye aur un pairs ke sath dobara engage karne ke liye tayar raha jaye jo pehle clarity ki kami ka shikaar the, lekin ab naye mauqe pesh kar rahe hain. Resistance levels, market indicators, aur broader economic conditions par nazar rakhna EUR/JPY pair ke agle moves ko successfully navigate karne ke liye key hoga. Agar 163.61 level ko successfully breach kiya jata hai, toh buyers significant gains dekh sakte hain.

EUR/JPY market mein abhi tak upward movement ka zyada rujhan hai. Market ka overall sentiment yeh zahir karta hai ke buyers abhi tak control mein hain, aur is wajah se price higher levels test kar sakta hai, jaise ke 162.65. Agar yeh level touch ho jata hai, toh yeh mazeed upside potential ko signal karega, jab tak koi significant negative events current trend ko disrupt na karen. General taur par, kuch log 162.35 ke support level par sell karne ka soch rahe honge, magar prevailing trend yeh suggest karta hai ke EUR/JPY market apni upward trajectory ko continue kare.News events par nazar rakhna zaroori hai risk ko manage karne ke liye, kyunke yeh bazaar ki direction ko achanak shift kar sakte hain. Is liye, agle kuch ghanton mein direction ka taayun karne ke liye price ko weekly pivot level ke saath monitor karna hoga, aur behtareen tareeqa yeh hai ke din ke doran trading se parheiz kiya jaye. Economic side par, Japanese yen ke price mein izafa aaj ke din is liye dekha gaya hai kyunke former Defense Minister Shigeru Ishiba ne Japan mein ruling party ki leadership jeet li hai, jo unko agla prime minister bana raha hai. Ishiba aur unke mukhalif Sanae Takaichi aggressive rate hikes ke khilaf awaaz uthate rahe hain, halan ke Ishiba un dono mein se kam dovish dekhe gaye hain. Magar woh economic stimulus aur expansionary fiscal policies ke haami hain. Iske ilawa, data ne show kiya ke Tokyo ka core inflation rate, jo nationwide price trends ka ek leading indicator hai, September mein 2% tak slow ho gaya, August ke 2.4% se, jo expectations ke mutabiq tha aur Bank of Japan ke cautious approach ko rate hikes ke hawalay se support karta hai.Alag se, Bank of Japan ke September ke meeting ke minutes ne show kiya EUR/JPY pair ki future direction ka taayun karne ke liye crucial hai. Traders aur analysts is pair ke behavior ko closely monitor karenge jab yeh is barrier ke saath interact karega. Is support level ki ahmiyat bohot zyada hai, kyun ke yeh market mei overall trend ka critical indicator hai. Agar pair successfully is support level ko test karta hai aur iske upar rehta hai, to yeh ek potential rebound ya stabilization ko suggest kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar yeh level breach hota hai, to yeh mazeed declines aur corrective trend ke continuation ka signal de sakta hai. EUR/JPY pair mei recent decline kayi factors ki wajah se hua. Market sentiment ko economic data, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy expectations mei tabdeeli ki wajah se asar pada. Euro aur yen, dono major currencies hain, jo in developments ke liye sensitivity hai

**EUR/JPY ka Technical Analysis (Roman Urdu)**

EUR/JPY currency pair H1 time frame par consolidation phase mein hai, jahan yeh ek flat range ke andar trade kar raha hai. Yeh range resistance level 163.20 aur support level 162.05 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh range-bound movement yeh show karta hai ke buyers aur sellers dono mein se koi bhi poori control mein nahi hai, aur price in boundaries ke andar hi oscillate kar raha hai. Market ek breakout ka intezar kar raha hai, lekin filhal pair in horizontal levels ka ehtaraam kar raha hai, jo broader trend mein indecision ka izhaar hai.

Is chart ka ek noteworthy feature 162.05 ka support level hai, jo do martaba test hua hai aur har dafa yeh level mazbooti se hold karta raha. Yeh double-bottom formation ek significant technical pattern hai, jo aksar reversal ya upward momentum ka signal deta hai. Price ne do dafa is level se rebound kiya hai, jo yeh batata hai ke 162.05 ke aas-paas strong buying interest mojood hai. Yeh support zone EUR/JPY ke liye bohot crucial hai. Double bottoms aksar bullish reversal patterns kehlate hain, kyun ke yeh yeh dikhate hain ke selling pressure kam ho raha hai aur buyers price ko is level pe defend kar rahe hain.



**Daily Chart Analysis**

EUR/JPY daily chart par bhi flat range mein trade kar raha hai, jo 163.58 aur 155.20 levels ke darmiyan hai. 155 level do martaba test hone ke baad har dafa rebound karta raha hai, jo double bottom ka sign hai aur upward momentum ko show karta hai. Price ka target ab 175.47 ke aas-paas estimate kiya ja raha hai, lekin yeh projection tab tak speculative hai jab tak ek confirmed buy signal nahi milta.
Haal mein, hum bullish engulfing pattern aur 155 level se do rebounds observe kar rahe hain. Agar price 163.58 ke upar breakout kare aur us level pe consolidation dikhaye, toh medium-term buy opportunities mil sakti hain bina kisi bara risk ke.

Abhi price Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke andar stagnant hai, jahan bulls phir se bullish trend regain karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yeh scenario realistic nahi lagta, lekin phir bhi possible hai. Price 162.40 ke 25% resistance level ko todhne ki koshish kar raha hai, magar upward trendline ke neeche hai. Agar price mein koi upward acceleration dekhne ko milta hai, toh yeh ziada bullish activity ko attract kar sakta hai. Isi liye main thoda risk lena aur anticipate karna chahta hoon ke kuch consolidation ke baad price northward movement karega.

Trend lines, indicators, aur resistance aur support levels ka istemal karte hue, hum aaj ke H4 timeline mein market ke rukh ka taayun karain ge. Is waqt, market uptrend mein hai, jo resistance level 162.70 ko tor kar upar jaa raha hai. Is chart mein hum dekh sakte hain ke market resistance ko torne ke bajaye ek trend line ko follow kar raha hai. Market history dikhati hai ke market trend line ke upar move kar chuka hai. Yeh trend line market ko upar ki taraf guide karti rahegi. Market ne system level se break kiya, upar aur neeche gaya, resistance ko support mein badla, aur phir se upar chala gaya. Filhaal, 50-day simple moving average market ke 161.55 ke neeche hai, jo takreeban hamara support level hai. Hamara 200-day simple moving average market ke neeche hai, aur hamara pehla support 160.20 pe hai. RSI indicator 30 aur 70 ke darmiyan hai, yaani ke 75 ke aas-paas. Market waqai neeche ja raha hai, aur humare paas sahi indicators hain jo is baat ko sabit karte hain. Market mein mazeed growth ki umeed hai EUR/JPY currency pair ke prospects technical analysis ki buniyad pe. Hum resistance aur support levels, volumes, aur basement indicators par khaas tawajju dein ge. Chaliye chart ko dekhein: Pair ne aaj phir se thora neeche move kiya hai. Yeh jew growth nahi dikhana chahta, aur aaj phir se neeche ja raha hai. Chart dikhata hai ke pair ne support level 155.40 ko test kiya aur ab yeh 156.59 pe trade ho raha hai. RSI range ke beech mein hai aur neeche ki taraf bemani nazar aa raha hai, AO weak buy signal de raha hai, aur price peechlay din ki trading range se neeche hai. Signals weak hain, magar yeh thoda decline ki imkaniyat dikhate hain. Is liye, main yeh samajhta hoon ke pair support level 155.40 ko phir se test karega. Analysis ki buniyad pe, filhal ehtiyaat ke sath 155.50 ka target rakh kar sale karna behtar rahega. Lekin yaad rahe ke market achanak tabdeel bhi ho sakta hai, is liye apne risks ko ache tareeke se assess karein. Asal mein, hamara forecast current EUR/JPY asset ke liye lagbhag wahi hai, kyun ke main bhi four-hour time interval par 157.34 ke resistance zone tak correction ki umeed kar raha hoon, jo average Bollinger moving line ke range mein hai. Hamare paas ek southern downward trend hai jisme northern zigzag corrections ho rahi hain, aur global goal jo achieve hona chahiye wo 154.40 ka support level hai medium term mein, jo kuch kaam ke dinon mein mukammal ho sakta hai. Is tarah se, humare paas ek double bottom trader geometric figure hai jisse acha northern correction ya trend reversal dhoondha ja sakta

Haalya technical analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/JPY currency pair upward movement ki nishaniyan dikha raha hai aur aaj dopahar 161.70 se 162.30 ke darmiyan upar ja sakta hai. Traders aur investors is level par khud ko closely monitor kar rahe hain kyunki EUR/JPY ne H1 (hourly) time frame par bullish engulfing candlestick pattern bana liya hai. Bullish engulfing pattern ko aik bohot mazboot indicator mana jata hai jo upward trend ka signal deta hai, jo BUY positions kholne ke liye aik compelling signal hai.

Bullish engulfing candle yeh darshata hai ke buyers ne aik bechne ke pressure ke baad control wapas hasil kar liya hai, jiski wajah se price upar chali gayi hai. Ye candle pattern aam tor par reversal signal ke taur par dekha jata hai, jo darshata hai ke recent downtrend khatam hone wala hai aur aik naya uptrend shuru hone wala hai. Is wajah se, traders isay long positions ke liye aik strong entry point samajh rahe hain, taake expected price increase se faida utha sakein.

Candlestick pattern ke ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 14 indicator bhi mazeed gains ki potential ko support karta hai. EUR/JPY ka current price 161.75 se 162.00 ke ird gird hai, aur RSI reading yeh darshati hai ke pair overbought territory mein nahi hai. Jab RSI overbought territory mein nahi hota (amal tor par 70 level se neeche), to iska matlab hai ke upward movement ke liye abhi bhi jagah hai, jab tak price saturation point tak nahi pahuncha jata jahan reversal ho sakta hai. Is liye, RSI ke mutabiq, abhi koi immediate concern nahi hai ke pair current levels par heavy selling pressure ka samna karega, jo bullish momentum ko aur mazid mazboot karta

EUR/JPY ka H1 timeframe par jo currency pair hai, wo iss waqt consolidation phase mein hai, jahan price ek narrow flat range mein trade kar raha hai, jisme resistance 163.20 aur support 162.05 ke aas paas hai. Yeh range-bound movement yeh dikhati hai ke buyers aur sellers dono mein se kisi ne bhi poori tarah se control nahi liya, aur price in key boundaries ke beech mein fluctuate kar raha hai. Market ek breakout ka intezar kar raha hai, lekin abhi tak pair in horizontal levels ko respect kar raha hai, jo ke broader trend mein indecision ko reflect karta hai.Chart par ek noteworthy observation 162.05 ka support level hai, jo do martaba test kiya gaya aur dono martaba mazboot raha. Yeh double-bottom formation ek significant technical pattern hai, jo aam tor par bullish reversal ya kam az kam ek upward push ko signal karta hai. Yeh baat ke price do dafa is area se rebound hui, yeh dikhata hai ke 162.05 ke aas paas strong buying interest hai, jo iss level ko pair ke liye ek crucial support zone banata hai. Double bottoms ko aksar bullish reversal pattern samjha jata hai, kyunke yeh indicate karta hai ke selling pressure kam ho raha hai aur buyers price ko is level par defend kar rahe hain.Technical perspective se dekha jaye to 162.05 par double-bottom pattern ko aur bhi indicators support karte hain jo potential upward momentum ka ishara dete hain. H1 chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) ko dekha jaye to, yeh level ke recent tests ke dauran oversold territory mein jaane ke baad ab upward trend par hai. RSI ka yeh upward movement yeh signal deta hai ke bearish momentum ab kamzor ho raha hai aur yeh pair 163.20 ke resistance level ke kareeb ek reversal ke liye tayyar ho sakta hai.Traders moving averages, jaise ke 50-period aur 100-period Moving Averages (MAs) ko bhi closely dekh rahe hain. Filhal price in MAs ke thoda neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke short-term trend ki uncertainty ko dikhata hai. Magar agar price in levels ke upar jaane mein kamyab ho jata hai, to yeh bullish reversal ko aur bhi mazboot karega, kyunke yeh indicate karega ke buyers control mein aa rahe hain. Agar pair in moving averages ke upar break karta hai aur 163.20 ke resistance level ko cross karta hai, to yeh ek naye upward trend ki shuruaat ko signal kar sakta hai.Fundamental tor par dekha jaye to EUR/JPY pair

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girawat nahi hogi. Yeh option kuch zyada mumkina nahi lagta; ham smoothly upar ja rahe hain, baghair kisi interruption ke, aur kabhi kabhi impules ki zarurat bhi nahi hoti. Abhi kuch arsa pehle moving average se rebound dekhne ko mila, jo ke cross ke recovery ka ek acha ishara hai. Halanke kuch bearish candles bhi hain, lekin yeh zyada bari nahi hain aur zyada ahemiyat ki nahi hain. Mere khayal mein inhein dekhne ki zarurat nahi hai. Upar koi bari ya dar-miyani resistance nazar nahi aa rahi, aur lagta hai ke koi rokawat ab bhi nahi hogi, siwaye ek temporary stop ke jo aik do din ka ho sakta hai baghair kisi serious girawat ke. Agar koi correction aati hai, achi khaasi, jaise ke ek pin ya southern candles ke form mein, toh 158.40 ke aas paas se buying karne ka moqa ho sakta hai; yeh jagah achi hai aur correction ka size bhi mo’tadil hoga. Is se market ka rujhan nahi badle ga, aur price bhi buying ke liye munasib rahegi, target 160.80 ke saath. Is zone se ek reversal aur phir decline ki umeed hai. Is soorat mein, sabse qareebi potential target 101.12 ka support level hoga. Agar bears is mark ko push karne mein kamiyab ho gaye, toh hum quotes mein 153.03 ka support dekh sakte hain. Sales tab tak relevant rahengi jab tak price moving average MA 46 ke neeche hai. Is mark tak rollback sales ki relevance ko kam kar dega. Main recommend karoon ga ke sales ko 156.93 ke neeche consider karein. Profit wale positions ko waqt par breakeven par transfer kar lena chahiye taake kisi force majeure situation ya unwanted losses se bacha ja sake. Agar hum yeh jaante hain ke EUR/JPY currency pair ka trend bullish hai, toh agla qadam yeh hai ke hum buy option dhoondein kyunke yeh trend direction ke mutabiq hoga. Is kaam ke liye hum chhoti time frames, jaise M30 ya M15, par bane patterns ko use kar sakte hain taake buy options mil sakein, ya phir hum Stochastic indicator ke H4 time frame par pehli oversold area ka intezar kar sakte hain. Jab yeh ho jaye, toh humara buy option tayar ho jaye ga aur phir hum ideal area ke liye stop loss dhoondenge. Mein stop loss ke liye support area ko use karoon ga jo ke 158.32 ka price level hai, aur target ke liye resistance zone ka price level 162.90 use karoon ga. Agar aapko meri analysis samajhne mein mushkil ho rahi hai, toh aap meri attached image ko guide ke tor par dekh sakte hain jo EUR/JPY currency chart ko darshati hai. Yeh meri chhoti si analysis thi EUR

Euro aur Yen ka ek tense currency battle chal raha hai. Euro (EUR) steadily rise kar raha hai against Yen (JPY) poore din, naye highs break karne ki koshish karte hue. Magar, yeh lagta hai ke ek wall se takra gaya hai, aur previously established resistance level ko push nahi kar pa raha. Yeh bears ko embolden kar raha hai, jo believe karte hain ke Euro weaken hoga. Woh price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Lekin analysts short-selling bandwagon par jump karne mein cautious hain. One-hour chart par, technical indicators, jo future price movements predict karne ke tools hain, abhi bhi Euro ko upar jaane ke favor mein hain.
Magar, ek warning sign saamne aaya hai. Yeh indicators shorter timeframes par weakness ke signs dikhate hain, jo overall uptrend se potential divergence ka signal hai. Problem? Yeh bearish signals pehle bhi bohot baar aayi hain, sirf Euro ki continued strength se defy hone ke liye. Traders yeh warnings se indifferent ho rahe hain. Lekin, ek different indicator chart par eyebrows raise kar raha hai. Bollinger Bands, jo price volatility measure karte hain, narrow ho rahi hain. Yeh suggest karta hai ke ek potential period of consolidation aa sakta hai, jahan price kuch waqt ke liye sideways trade kar sakti hai. Agar Euro comfortably lower Bollinger Band ke andar settle karta hai, jo traditionally bearish zone mana jata hai, to yeh ek aane wale reversal ka zyada convincing sign ho sakta hai. Yeh consolidation woh opportunity ho sakti hai jiski bears intezar kar rahe hain. Agar Euro iss lower zone mein phas jata hai, to yeh short positions open karne ka acha time ho sakta hai, essentially betting on the Euro to fall. Lekin analysts warn karte hain ke bulls ko underestimate na karein, jo believe karte hain ke Euro rise karta rahega. Woh bears ko surprise karne ke liye kuch tricks apni sleeve mein rakh sakte hain before any significant

EUR/JPY mein positive momentum dikhai de raha hai, jab ke European Central Bank (ECB) ke faislay se pehle Japanese yen thoda kamzor hai, jo ek mahine ke low se recover kar raha hai. ECB se umeed hai ke wo apne September monetary policy meeting ke baad 25 basis points ka rate cut announce karega, jo ke current easing cycle mein doosri dafa hoga.
Traders ko updated economic forecasts par bhi tawajjo deni chahiye aur ECB ki President Christine Lagarde ke comments ko post-meeting press conference mein gehra dekhna chahiye, kyun ke yeh short-term mein common currency aur EUR/JPY pair ki trajectory par asar daal sakte hain. Eurozone central bank ke aane wale events se pehle, Japan ka kamzor Producer Price Index (PPI) data Bank of Japan ki hawkish stance ko kamzor kar raha hai, jis se Japanese yen par bechnay ka pressure hai.

Asal mein, Japan ka core PPI August mein 0.2% gir gaya, aur annual rate bhi ummeed se zyada gira, July ke 3.0% se 2.5% par aa gaya. EUR/JPY pair abhi bearish trend mein hai, jo 157.72 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Lekin, technical aur fundamental dono factors yeh darust karte hain ke aage aur neeche ki taraf movement ho sakti hai.

Japanese yen ki recent kamzori aur ECB ke agle rate cuts ki sambhavana ke saath, traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye kyun ke bazar qareeb ke doran volatile reh sakta hai. Summary mein, 160.30 ka level EUR/JPY pair mein bearish pressure ka key marker hai. Agar yeh level sustain nahin hota, khaaskar 159.57 ke neeche, to yeh darust karega ke bechne walay control mein hain, jo aur declines ki taraf ishara karega.

Doosri taraf, ECB ke policy decisions aur economic forecasts, saath hi Lagarde ke comments, pair ki agle moves tay karne mein ahm role ada karenge. Traders ko in events ke doran bazar ki soch mein tabdeeli ke kisi bhi nishan par hamesha alert rehna chahiye

EUR/JPY ka chart dekhte hue, 155.15 ka level ek critical support point hai. Yeh level 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ko bhi shamil karta hai, jo downtrend ke shuru hone se lekar 175.37 tak calculate kiya gaya hai aur yeh low 154.40 tak extend hota hai. Is level ko multiple dafa test kiya ja chuka hai, aur yeh pehle downward movement ke khilaf ek mazboot defense ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai.
Agar price is level par buying interest dikhata hai, to yeh ek rebound ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo higher levels tak retracement ka moka de sakta hai. Support levels, jaise ke 155.15, wo points hote hain jahan traders yeh expect karte hain ke price girna band kar de aur shayad reverse ho, jo demand ke confluence ki wajah se hota hai.

Agar yahan se bounce hota hai, to yeh is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke buyers market mein wapas aa rahe hain aur pair ko higher resistance areas tak push kar sakte hain. Support ki taqat 155.15 par is baat se bhi tasdeek hoti hai ke yeh level doosray technical indicators ke saath milta hai, jaise ke momentum oscillators mein oversold conditions (e.g. RSI).

Agar upward movement hoti hai, to pehla target short-term downtrend line par 158.00 ho sakta hai. Yeh level is liye significant hai ke yeh wo point hai jahan bearish trend ya to continue karega ya phir aur reversal ka moka paida karega. Downtrend line ek dynamic resistance ka kaam karti hai, jo waqt ke saath downward move karti rehti hai.

Agar price is level ko approach karta hai, to traders ghore se dekhenge ke kya yeh break hoga ya reject. Agar price downtrend line ke upar break karti hai, to yeh bearish momentum ke kamzor hone ki nishani hogi, aur yeh ek larger correction ka aghaaz kar sakta hai jo higher levels ki taraf jaa sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level par reject hota hai, to yeh bearish trend ko aur reinforce kar sakta hai aur pair ko phir se lower levels ki taraf dhakel sakta hai.

Is tarah, EUR/JPY ke liye 155.15 support level par ek potential bounce ka asar market par kaise padh sakta hai, iski gehrai mein jaakar samjha ja

EUR/JPY pair ne Monday ko 10-week range se upar trade kiya aur 162.00 par raha, jabke euro ne apni strength barqarar rakhi, halanke inflation data expectations se neeche tha. ECB ke policymaker aur Slovakia ke central bank governor Peter Kazimir ne ishara diya ke December mein policy conference hone ke chances kaafi zyada hain aur abhi sab options table par hain. Unhoon ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar naye data ne rising inflation risks ko highlight kiya, toh ECB easing ka pace slow kar sakti hai. Bohat se analysts ka maan'na hai ke ECB ka do dafa lagataar interest rates cut karna yeh signal karta hai ke easing cycle mein tezzi aa gayi hai, aur ab har aane wale meeting mein rates cut hone ke chances hain jab tak yeh "neutral level" tak nahi pohanch jata.
Bloomberg ke mutabiq, opinion polls ne dikhaya ke ruling Liberal Democratic Party ka support kam hai aur opposition party se opposition ka risk hai, jo low-interest rate policies pursue kar sakti hai. Is se yen aur EUR/JPY par pressure ban sakta hai, kyun ke low interest rate expectations yen ke liye unfavorable ho sakte hain, jisse foreign capital inflows barh sakte hain.

October ke aghaz se euro-yen ek narrow horizontal range mein trade kar raha tha, lekin kuch dinon mein trend positive ho gaya hai. Stochastic oscillator barhta ja raha hai, jabke RSI 50 average level se thoda upar hai. Pehle Tuesday ko price 163.65 ke high tak nahi pohanch saki aur phir neeche gir gayi, jo ek kaafi weak process ko reflect karta hai. Agar multi-headed manager controls ko sambhalte hue continue karta hai, tab bhi 164.45-165.00 area ko break karna mushkil hoga. 200-day simple moving average (SMA) 164.46 par block hai, jabke 50% Fibonacci retracement level July se August tak 164.90 par hai. Saath hi, Ichimoku cloud ka top bhi 50% Fibonacci se overlap karta hai, jo resistance area ki importance ko emphasize karta hai.

EUR/JPY pair ka future direction kai factors par depend karega. ECB ki monetary policy stance, Japan ki siyasi surat-e-haal, aur technical indicators sab is pair ki performance ko effect kar rahe hain. Investors in factors ko closely monitor karenge taake EUR/JPY pair ke further gains ya losses ka potential samajh sakein.

EUR/JPY pair ne Monday ko 162.00 par 10-week range ke upar trade kiya, jabke euro apni taqat ko barkarar rakhta hai halanke inflation data ummeed se kam raha. ECB ke policymaker aur Slovakia ke central bank ke governor Peter Kazimir ne yeh bataya ke December mein policy conference hona bohot mumkin hai aur sab options open hain. Unhone ye bhi kaha ke agar naye maloomat se inflation ke khatarat barh jaate hain, to ECB easing ki raftaar ko dheere kar sakta hai.

Kai analysts ka ye maan-na hai ke ECB ka do martaba interest rates ko ghatana apne easing cycle ke tezi ka ishara hai, jo ye darust karta hai ke wo har agle meeting mein rates ghatane ka irada rakhta hai jab tak wo "neutral level" tak nahi pahunchta. Bloomberg ke mutabiq, opinion polls ne dikhaya hai ke ruling Liberal Democratic Party ko support ki kami hai aur isse opposition party ke khilaf khatrat ho sakti hai, jo low-interest rate policies ko ikhtiyar kar sakti hai. Ye yen aur EUR/JPY par dabao dalta rahega, kyunki lower interest rate expectations yen ke liye nafratmand ho sakti hain, jo foreign capital inflows ko barhati hai.

October ke shuru se, euro-yen ek tang horizontal range mein trade kar raha tha, lekin pichle kuch dinon mein iska direct trend positive ho gaya hai. Stochastic oscillator barh raha hai, jabke RSI 50 ke average level se thoda upar hai. Tuesday ko, price 163.65 ke high tak nahi pahunchi aur phir gir gayi, jo bohot kamzor process ko darshata hai. Agar multi-headed manager controls sambhal le, to bhi 164.45-165.00 area ko todna bohot mushkil hoga.

200-day simple moving average (SMA) 164.46 par hai, jabke July se August tak ka 50% Fibonacci retracement level 164.90 par hai. Iske ilawa, Ichimoku cloud ka top 50% Fibonacci ke saath overlap karta hai, jo resistance area ki ahmiyat ko darshata hai.

EUR/JPY pair kai factors ka samna kar raha hai jo iski mustaqbil ki disha par asar daal sakte hain. ECB ka monetary policy stance, Japan ki siyasi surat-e-haal, aur technical indicators sab is pair ki performance mein ahmiyat rakhte hain. Investors in factors par nazar rakhenge taake EUR/JPY pair mein aage ke fayde ya nuqsan ka andaza laga sakein.

Weekly and Daily Forecast

EUR/JPY ke weekly chart par, jab price ne 155.067 ke local support level ko upar se neeche tak test kiya, to yeh wapas palta aur taqatwar bullish momentum ke sath upar ki taraf chala gaya, jisse ek poora bullish candle bana jo pichle hafte ki range ko puri tarah absorb kar gaya, aur 158.387 ke local resistance level ke nazdeek band hua, is level ko upar ki taraf shadow ke sath test kiya. Agle hafte, mujhe umeed hai ke bechne wale dobara price ko neeche ki taraf push karne ki koshish karenge, aur is surat mein main 155.067 ke support level ko defend karne ka plan bana raha hoon.

Is support level ke nazdeek do mumkinah scenarios hain. Pehla scenario reversal candle ki formation se juda hai aur upar ki taraf wapas aa jana. Agar yeh plan haqeeqat banta hai, to main price ke 158.387 ke resistance level par wapas aane ka intezar karunga. Agar price is resistance level ke upar rukne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to mujhe upar ki taraf further movement ki umeed hogi, jisse 161.245 ke resistance level tak pahuncha ja sakta hai. Is resistance level ke nazdeek, main ek trading setup ki formation ka intezar karunga jo aage ki trading ki disha tay karne mein madad karega.

Yahan tak ke ek aur mumkinah plan hai jab price 155.067 ke support level ke neeche fix ho jaye aur phir neeche ki taraf chale. Agar yeh plan haqeeqat banta hai, to main price ke 153.115 ke support level tak jane ka intezar karunga. Is support level ke nazdeek, main bullish signals dhoondta rahunga, umeed karte hue ke price movement upar ki taraf recover karega.

Aam tor par, agar main choti si baat karun, to agle hafte main umeed karta hoon ke bechne wale price ko nazdeek ke support level tak push karne ki koshish karenge, aur wahan se, maujooda global northern trend ko dekhte hue, main bullish signals dhoondne ki koshish karunga, umeed karte hue ke upar ki taraf phir se rise hoga.