یورو / جاپانی ین: مارکیٹ کی تازہ ترین معلومات

JPY kaafi dilchasp nahi lag raha agar hum isko H4 timeframe par dekhein. Yeh correction kafi lamba chala hai aur yeh expect karna ke market seedha collapse ho jaye, bilkul maqool nahi lagta. Hum dheere dheere upar ja rahe hain, smoothly aur bina kisi interruption ke, aur filhaal koi impulsive move ki zarurat bhi nahi hai. Recent price ka MA se bounce karna noteworthy hai, aur yeh recovery continue hone ka ek strong signal de raha hai. Haan, kuch bearish candles bhi hain lekin woh size ma kaafi choti hain aur unka koi significant impact nahi lagta, in par ziada dhyan dene ki zarurat nahi. Upar resistance bhi koi significant nahi hai, aur lagta nahi ke price yahan ruke ga. Ho sakta hai ke ek temporary halt aaye, lekin woh bhi ek ya do din se ziada nahi chale ga, bina kisi major pullback ke. Agar correction aata hai, aur wo bhi accha khasa, jaisay ke ek pin bar ya kuch bearish candles, to around 158.40 ke aas paas buying ka moka ban sakta hai. Yeh zone kaafi strong hai aur yahan se ek acha bounce expect kiya ja sakta hai, target 160.80 tak ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price wahan se reverse hota hai aur downward move continue karta hai, to pehla target 156.93 ke neeche ho ga. Agar bears 153.03 tak push karne mai kamiyab ho jate hain, to ek aur strong support test ho sakta hai. Filhaal, jab tak price MA 46 se neeche hai, sales relevant rahengi. Agar market wapas MA 46 ki taraf jata hai to sales ki relevance kam ho jayegi. Mai suggest karta hoon ke sales ko 156.93 ke neeche consider kiya jaye.
Inflation data ke baad, jo Eurozone ki expectations ke mutabiq tha, EUR/JPY ne 161.00 tak ka jump liya. Germany aur Spain se pehle data ne yeh bataya ke inflation kam ho rahi hai,
EUR/JPY market sellers ke haq mein move karega, aur ho sakta hai ke 155.80 level tak pohch jaye. Yeh forecast is assumption par mabni hai ke German ZEW Economic Sentiment release ek aisa market environment banayega jo downward move ke liye favorable ho. Yeh economic indicator bohot ahem hota hai, is liye jab yeh data release ho to ek strong news strategy adopt karna zaroori hai. Is strategy mein market reaction ko closely monitor karna, positions ko adjust karna, aur potential volatility ke liye tayar rehna shamil hai.

agle hafte mein nearest resistance level ka retest hone ki poori umeed hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh resistance level 170.53 par waqia hai. Yeh level crucial hai kyun ke yeh current bullish momentum ki strength ko test karega. Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh yeh further upward movement aur bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko break karne mein naakam rehti hai aur yahan se reject hoti hai, toh yeh is baat ka indication hoga ke bears ab bhi control mein hain aur ek potential reversal wapas support level ki taraf ho sakta hai. 170.53 resistance level ke qareeb do possible scenarios ho sakte hain: Bullish Breakout: Pehle scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, toh yeh ziata buyers ko attract karega, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega. Traders breakout ka confirmation dekhenge, jaise ke 170.53 level ka retest as new support. Agar price is level ke upar hold karti hai, toh yeh further rise kar sakti hai, higher resistance levels ko target karte hue, jo ke 171.00 aur beyond ho sakte hain. Yeh scenario un logon ke liye ideal hoga jo long positions hold kar rahe hain, kyun ke yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai Bearish Rejection: Dusre scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break karne mein naakam ho sakti hai. Agar price is level par reject hoti hai, toh yeh strong presence of sellers ka signal de sakti hai, jo ke potential bearish reversal ko lead karega. Phir price support level 170.217 ki taraf fall kar sakti hai, aur agar selling pressure intensify hota hai, toh aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai. Yeh traders ke liye ek key moment hoga bearish candlestick patterns ya doosre technical indicators ko dekhne ka jo rejection ko confirm kar sakein. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, EUR/JPY apni southward trajectory ko barqarar rakhta hai, to pehla defense line peechle high 171.55 pe hogi. Yeh level 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke sath coincide karta hai, jo iske potential support function ko mazeed m azbooti deta hai. Is point ke neeche break karne se bearish sentiment ka wave trigger ho sakta hai, jo price ko 50-day EMA pe 169.70 aur uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (around 169.50) tak push kar sakta hai, jo uptrend line ke qareeb hai. Dusri taraf, agar bulls control wapas hasil kar lete hain, to pair 174.60 resistance level ko

Yeh option tab kaam aaya jab trend line break nahi hui thi, lekin ab yeh trend change hone ka option lag raha hai. Figurative similarity ke base par, maine ek matrix structure paya jo sabse zyada clear level dikhata hai jahan downward movement 100% Fibonacci ke hisaab se ja sakti hai. Isliye, maine local support ko break karne ke baad hi sale mein enter kiya taake 158.79 quote par profit ho sake. Mujhe pair ke linear decline par yakeen nahi hai, jo market recently demonstrate kar raha hai. Yeh smooth, rollback-free impulses market mein zyada manipulation dikhati hain na ke actual downward movement. Technical indicator MACD negative zone mein hai. Zyada mumkin hai ke agle hafte trading instrument ka price 155.00 tak niche chale. Sideways trend ki upper border kaam ho chuki hai aur price ne lower border par move kar liya hai. Lower side ko kaam karne ke baad, price wapas upper border ki taraf aa sakti hai. Chart par ek bara green zone bana hai, jo price work out kar sakti hai. Technically, pair oversold hai, but downside reversal ka potential ab bhi bana hua hai. Key support levels 166.15, 165.00, aur 200-day moving average par located below hain. In levels ke neeche break hona ek zyada sustained downtrend ka signal de sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, resistance 160.00 psychological level ke aas-paas expect kiya ja raha hai. Kul mila ke, EUR/JPY pair ek challenging outlook ka samna kar raha hai jo ke global economic uncertainties, geopolitical risks, aur diverging monetary policies ke combination ki wajah se hai. Jab tak short-term bounce ya consolidation ka possibility inkaar nahi kiya ja sakta, pair ke downside potential kaafi significant hai.
EUR/JPY currency pair aik neutral position mein hai, jaise aik nested dolls ka structure ho jahan har part clear nazar aa raha ho. Jo haalaat iss waqt chal rahe hain, unka khulasa kuch is tarah hai: February se main ek clear ascending channel ko track kar raha hoon, jahan zigzag peaks guideline ke tor pe kaam kar rahe hain. Lekin ab ek chhota channel bhi saamne aa raha hai, jo humein wapis uss upper band tak le ja raha hai jo 173.00 ke level par tha. Ab hum iss level par ek phase mein hain jahan aakhri paanch din ke daily candles 173.00 mark se neeche gaye hain. Ab ek clear support level identify ho gaya hai jo ke ascending guide ke sath dynamic taur par change ho raha hai, aur iss waqt 172.00 ka hai. Iss setup ke sath hum ek jaldi technical analysis kar sakte hain: ya toh hum 173.00 level par sell ka plan banayen, ya phir 172.00 support ke neeche break out ka intezaar karein. Agar neeche break hota hai toh hamara pehla target 170.00 ka hoga. Currency pair upar ja raha hai, 100-period moving average 10-degree ke angle par north ki taraf chal raha h

Fed Governor Lisa Cook ne Thursday ko kaha ke unhon ne pichle haftay 50 basis points (bps) ke interest rate cut ko support diya, jo ke rozgar ke liye barhte "downside risks" ki wajah se tha. US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Annualized ne dusre quarter mein 3.0% ki rate se izafa kiya, jo ke pehle andaze ke mutabiq hai, yeh US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne Thursday ko bataya. Is ke ilawa, GDP Price Index dusre quarter mein 2.5% barha.
US Department of Labor (DoL) ke mutabiq, September 20 tak khatam hone wale haftay ke liye Initial Jobless Claims 218K report hui, jo ke pehle ke 225K ke andaze se kam hai aur pichle haftay ke revised number 222K se bhi neeche hai (pichle tor par 219K report hua tha).

Thursday ko BoJ ke Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes mein members ka is baat par ijma tha ke inflation ke targets se zyada hone ke khatron par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Kai members ne is taraf ishara kiya ke rates ko 0.25% tak barhawa dena munasib hoga taake monetary support ka level adjust kiya ja sake. Kuch doosre members ne yeh bhi kaha ke moderate adjustment bhi theek rahega.

EUR/JPY cross apne aath hafton ke high 163.89 ke aas-paas explore kar sakta hai. Daily chart analysis ke mutabiq, currency cross upar ki taraf ja raha hai aur ascending channel ke andar bullish bias ko darshata hai.

Immediate support lower ascending channel boundary par 161.50 level par nazar aata hai. EUR/JPY apne chauthe consecutive din ke liye upar ja raha hai, aur Friday ko Asian session mein yeh 162.50 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair upar ki taraf move kar raha hai

Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh yeh further upward movement aur bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko break karne mein naakam rehti hai aur yahan se reject hoti hai, toh yeh is baat ka indication hoga ke bears ab bhi control mein hain aur ek potential reversal wapas support level ki taraf ho sakta hai. 170.53 resistance level ke qareeb do possible scenarios ho sakte hain: Bullish Breakout: Pehle scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, toh yeh ziata buyers ko attract karega, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega. Traders breakout ka confirmation dekhenge, jaise ke 170.53 level ka retest as new support. Agar price is level ke upar hold karti hai, toh yeh further rise kar sakti hai, higher resistance levels ko target karte hue, jo ke 171.00 aur beyond ho sakte hain. Yeh scenario un logon ke liye ideal hoga jo long positions hold kar rahe hain, kyun ke yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai Bearish Rejection: Dusre scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break karne mein naakam ho sakti hai. Agar price is level par reject hoti hai, toh yeh strong presence of sellers ka signal de sakti hai, jo ke potential bearish reversal ko lead karega. Phir price support level 170.217 ki taraf fall kar sakti hai, aur agar selling pressure intensify hota hai, toh aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai. Yeh traders ke liye ek key moment hoga bearish candlestick patterns ya doosre technical indicators ko dekhne ka jo rejection ko confirm kar sakein. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, EUR/JPY apni southward trajectory ko barqarar rakhta hai, to pehla defense line peechle high 171.55 pe hogi. Yeh level 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke sath coincide karta hai, jo iske potential support function ko mazeed m azbooti deta hai. Is point ke neeche break karne se bearish sentiment ka wave trigger ho sakta hai, jo price ko 50-day EMA pe 169.70 aur uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (around 169.50) tak push kar sakta hai, jo uptrend line ke qareeb hai. Dusri taraf, agar bulls control wapas hasil kar lete hain, to pair 174.60 resistance level ko retest karne ki koshish

yeh zaroori hai ke price consistently FR 38.2 level, jo 160.11 par hai, ke neeche rahe. Yeh level bearish trend ke liye aik potential continuation zone ka kaam karta hai. Agar price is level ke neeche nahi ja pati, to yeh downward momentum ki kamzori ka ishara hoga, aur yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke bearish rally apni taqat kho rahi ho. Agar 160.11 ke upar sustained move hota hai, to market sentiment shift hone ka ishara de sakta hai, aur shayad trend reversal shuru ho jaye.
Moving averages, khaaskar EMA 50 aur SMA 200, bhi bearish trend ko confirm kar rahe hain, lekin in do lines ke darmiyan ka faasla ziada nahi hai. Yeh narrowing distance yeh dikhata hai ke bearish trend abhi puri tarah established nahi hui, aur market ko aur confirmation ki zaroorat hai ke price aur neeche push ho. Agar price in moving averages ke neeche decisive move karti hai, to inke darmiyan faasla barh sakta hai, jo ke bearish case ko mazid mazboot karega.

Agar hum major market structure ki baat karein, to trend lower low - lower high formation mein hai. Yeh pattern ab tak invalidate nahi hua hai, kyun ke price ab tak key resistance level 163.81 ko break nahi kar saki, jo ke trend invalidation ka qareebi point hai. Jab tak yeh level breach nahi hota, broader structure bearish hi rahega. Traders ko kisi bhi break ke waqt ehtiyat baratni chahiye, kyun ke yeh market structure mein significant shift ka ishara hoga aur current downtrend ko invalidate kar dega

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to recent price action ko ek bullish consolidation phase ke tor par interpret kiya jaa sakta hai, jo ke do hafte ki rally ke baad ho raha hai. Daily chart oscillators ne positive momentum show karna shuru kar diya hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke ek bullish breakout ho sakta hai. Lekin, bulls ko 161.00 level ke upar sustained strength aur break dekhna hoga, taake naye positions justify ho sakein. Agar EUR/JPY pair 161.00 ke upar break kar sakta hai, to yeh accelerate kar ke 161.40-161.45 ke intermediate resistance zone aur aakhir kar 162.00 round figuresakta hai, to yeh accelerate kar ke 161.40-161.45 ke intermediate resistance zone aur aakhir kar 162.00 round figure tak pohonch sakta hai. Mazeed upside se 162.45-162.50 region ko challenge kar sakta hai aur potentially monthly high ke qareeb 162.90 tak bhi ja sakta hai. 163.00 ke upar ka break bearish outlook ko negate karega aur near-term bias ko bulls ki taraf tak pohonch sakta hai. Mazeed upside se 162.45-162.50 region ko challenge kar sakta hai aur potentially monthly high ke qareeb 162.90 tak bhi ja sakta hai. 163.00 ke upar ka break bearish outlook ko negate karega aur near-term bias ko bulls ki taraf shift kar dega
Technical analysis ke mutabiq, immediate support 160.40 par hai, jabke mazeed support levels February ke low 158.06, January ke low 155.05, aur year-to-date low 154.34 par hain. Upside par, agar pair March ki resistance 165.34 ko tod deti hai, to ye June ke support-turned-resistance level 167.50 tak movement ka raasta khol sakti hai. Eurozone CPI (Consumer Price Index) data release se euro aur EUR/JPY pair dono par asar hoga. Agar inflation figure expected se zyada aati hai to euro mazid barh sakta hai, aur agar kam aati hai to euro kamzor ho sakta hai. Summary ye hai ke EUR/JPY pair ne strong upward momentum dikhaya hai, lekin traders ko economic aur geopolitical factors ko dekh kar hi bade investments karni chahiye. Interest rates, inflation data, aur global political dynamics future mein is currency pair ko shape dene mein important roles play karenge

/JPY pair mei recent decline kayi factors ki wajah se hua. Market sentiment ko economic data, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy expectations mei tabdeeli ki wajah se asar pada. Euro aur yen, dono major currencies hain, jo in developments ke liye sensitive hain, aur unka exchange rate broader economic landscape ko reflect karta hai.
Pichle kuch hafton mei forex market mei increased volatility dekhi gayi, jo ke interest rates, inflation, aur economic growth ke mutaliq varying expectations ki wajah se hui, khaaskar Eurozone aur Japan mei. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne mukhtalif monetary policy stances apnaayi hain. ECB rising inflation ke response mei apni policy gradually tighten kar raha hai, jabke BoJ apni more accommodative approach rakhta hai taake economic growth ko stimulate kar sake. In divergent policies ki wajah se EUR/JPY pair mei fluctuations dekhi gayi, jo iske recent downward movement ka sabab bana.

Jab traders apne agle steps ka taayun karte hain, EUR/JPY pair ka behavior 173.90-173.73 support level ke ird-gird critical hoga. Agar pair successfully is level se test hota hai aur rebound karta hai, to yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke pair ek floor dhoond raha hai, jo ke ek recovery ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh scenario suggest karega ke corrective phase apne end ke qareeb hai, aur pair apni upward trajectory resume

EUR/JPY ko tailwind provide kar raha tha. Magar, Bank of Japan aur European Central Bank ke darmiyan policy outlook ki farq ne is pair ke liye significant upward movements ko limit kar diya hai.
Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, haal ki price action ko bullish consolidation phase ke tor par samjha ja sakta hai, jo do hafton ki rally ke baad aaya. Daily chart oscillators ne positive momentum dikhana shuru kar diya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke bullish breakout shayad qareeb hai. Magar, bulls ko 161.00 level ke upar sustain strength aur break dekhna padega taake naye positions ka justification ho sake.

Agar EUR/JPY pair 161.00 ke upar break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to ye 161.40-161.45 intermediate resistance zone ki taraf tez ho sakta hai aur aakhir mein 162.00 ke gol figure tak pahuncha sakta hai. Aage ki taraf, is se 162.45-162.50 region ka challenge ho sakta hai aur shayad 162.90 ke aas-paas ke monthly high tak bhi pahuncha ja sakta hai. 163.00 ke upar break hone se bearish outlook negated ho jayegi aur near-term bias bulls ki taraf shift ho jayegi.

Downside par, agar price 160.00 ke psychological level se neeche girta hai, to isse 159.60-159.55 ke region mein support mil sakta hai aur phir 159.00 ke gol figure par bhi. 159.00 ke neeche break hona yeh signal karega ke haal ki uptrend ne momentum kho diya hai aur yeh EUR/JPY ko 158.20 ke area ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Aage ki downside se 158.00 ke gol figure aur shayad mid-157.00 ke level ka test bhi ho sakta hai
EUR/JPY currency pair ke prospects technical analysis ki buniyad pe. Hum resistance aur support levels, volumes, aur basement indicators par khaas tawajju dein ge. Chaliye chart ko dekhein: Pair ne aaj phir se thora neeche move kiya hai. Yeh jew growth nahi dikhana chahta, aur aaj phir se neeche ja raha hai. Chart dikhata hai ke pair ne support level 155.40 ko test kiya aur ab yeh 156.59 pe trade ho raha hai. RSI range ke beech mein hai aur neeche ki taraf bemani nazar aa raha hai, AO weak buy signal de raha hai, aur price peechlay din ki trading range se neeche hai. Signals weak hain, magar yeh thoda decline ki imkaniyat dikhate hain. Is liye, main yeh samajhta hoon ke pair support level 155.40 ko phir se test karega. Analysis ki buniyad pe, filhal ehtiyaat ke sath 155.50 ka target rakh kar sale karna behtar rahega. Lekin yaad rahe ke market achanak tabdeel bhi ho sakta hai, is liye apne risks ko ache tareeke se assess karein. Asal mein, hamara forecast current EUR/JPY asset ke liye lagbhag wahi hai, kyun ke main bhi four-hour time interval par 157.34 ke resistance zone tak correction ki umeed kar raha hoon, jo average Bollinger moving line ke range mein hai. Hamare paas ek southern downward trend hai jisme northern zigzag corrections ho rahi hain, aur global goal jo achieve hona chahiye wo 154.40 ka support level hai medium term mein, jo kuch kaam ke dinon mein mukammal ho sakta hai. Is tarah se, humare paas ek double bottom trader geometric figure hai jisse acha northern correction ya trend reversal dhoondha ja sakta hai,

EUR/JPY Ka Dhancha Aur Halaat
EUR/JPY ka jorha ek aham intraday palat gya, jo ke 16 August ke baad se apne unchaayee pe 450 pips ke qareeb gir gya. Yeh girawat asal mein Shigeru Ishiba ke ruling Liberal Democratic Party ka naya leader aur Japan ke Prime Minister banne ke faisle ki wajah se hui. Ishiba ki jeet ko yen ke supporter aur Bank of Japan ke haali mein shiddat se badhaye gaye byzti rate ke mukhalif logon ne acha samjha.

EUR/JPY par bechne ka pressure tab aur barh gaya jab France aur Spain se kamzor consumer inflation data ka elan hua. Is data ne yeh darshaya ke European Central Bank apne agle policy meeting mein interest rates ko kam kar sakta hai, jo euro par neechey ka pressure daal raha hai. Is doran, Tokyo mein core inflation ne September mein Bank of Japan ke 2% target ko haasil kar liya. Yeh tawaqqu, saath hi risk ki talash ne yen ke izafa ko roka aur isay euro ke muqable mein barhawa diya. Halankeh, is saal ke akhri mahine se pehle Bank of Japan se mazeed interest rate badhane ki umeed ne yen ko support kiya.



Technical Nigarani

Technical pehlu se dekha jaye toh daily chart par "death cross" ka banana, jahan 50-day SMA ne 200-day SMA ko cross kiya, EUR/JPY ke liye negative outlook ka tasdeeq karta hai aur mazeed girawat ki sambhavna ko support karta hai. In factors ke ilawa, kuch aur wajahain bhi hain jo EUR/JPY ke girne mein madadgar ho sakti hain. Barhati geopolitical tensions, jaise ke Ukraine ka jari conflict, safe havens ki taraf rujhan daal sakti hain, jo yen ko mazboot kar sakta hai. Global economic slowdown ya recession ke concerns bhi yen ko mazboot kar sakte hain. Bado mulkon ke darmiyan trade disputes bhi euro par bura asar dal sakti hain.

Kul mila kar, Japan ke siyasi developments, kamzor European economic data, technical indicators, aur dusre factors ka milan EUR/JPY ke liye bearish outlook ko darshata hai. Investors ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur potential losses se bachaav ke liye apni positions ko hedge karna chahiye.

EUR/JPY Currency Pair Ke Liye Trading Strategy
EUR/JPY currency pair mein bullish momentum ko dekhte hue, traders ko chahiye ke wo apne trades ko maujooda upward trend ke sath align karein. Maqsad hai ke aise entry points dhoondhein jo reliable upward movement ka signal dein aur potential risks ko kam karein. Maujooda market halat ke mutabiq, sabse munasib entry point BUY trade ke liye 159.60 par hai. Yeh level ek aham marker samjha jata hai, kyunke yeh darshata hai ke price apne upward trajectory ko jaari rakh sakti hai.

Jab price 159.60 ke qareeb aati hai, toh yeh bullish momentum ke tasdeeq ka ek key threshold ban jata hai. Traders ko is level ko ek potential signal ke tor par dekhna chahiye ke yeh pair mazboot ho raha hai, jo buy position lene ka behtareen waqt hai. Iska reasoning yeh hai ke agar price is level ko break kare ya is taraf sustained movement ho, toh yeh buying pressure mein izafa ko darshata hai, yani price aage barh sakti hai.

Lekin, is target tak pahunchnay se pehle, traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur price ko 159.10 par monitor karna chahiye. Yeh ek important intermediate level hai jo market ki short-term behaviour ko samajhne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Agar price 159.10 par aati hai aur is point ke upar rukne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh yeh 159.60 level ki taraf barhne ki mazid possibilities ko darshata hai. Aam taur par, 159.10 bullish movement ke liye ek validation point ki tarah kaam kar sakta hai. Agar price yahan se upar ki taraf barhti hai, toh yeh bullish outlook ko mazid barhawa dega, aur 159.60 par buy entry ke liye confidence ko badha dega.



Technical Indicators Ka Istemal

In specific price levels ke ilawa, traders ko dusre technical indicators aur market signals ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye jo price action ko influence kar sakte hain. Tools jese ke moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), ya support aur resistance levels market conditions ko confirm karne mein madadgar hote hain, yeh dekhne ke liye ke kya buy trade ka mauka hai ya nahi. Market dynamics ka gehra samajh traders ko informed decisions lene aur potential risks ko kam karne mein madad dega.

Akhir mein, effective risk management strategies ka istemal karna bhi bohot zaroori hai, jese ke stop-loss levels set karna, jo ke achanak market reversal se bacha sakta hai. Koi bhi strategy bina risk ke nahi hoti, aur price drop ki sambhavna ko zaroor madde nazar rakhna chahiye.

Yeh EUR/JPY currency pair ke liye trading journal ka update hai. Traders ko chahiye ke wo vigilant rahein aur key price levels ko monitor karein jab market evolve hota hai. In indicators par nazar rakhne se wo bullish trend ka faida utha sakte hain aur apni trades mein informed decisions le sakte hain.

inka bazaar par kafi asar ho sakta hai aur market ko kisi bhi direction mein push kar sakte hain. Aaj ka daily chart sellers ke haq mein rahega.Yeh bhi laazmi hai ke iss haftay ke news events ko madde nazar rakha jaye, kyunke yeh market ke behavior ko heavily influence kar sakte hain. News volatility introduce kar sakti hai aur market ko technical signals ke bagair kisi bhi direction mein le ja sakti hai. Is liye traders ko economic data releases ya significant geopolitical events ke mutaliq hamesha informed rehna chahiye jo currency values ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. Yeh events aam support aur resistance levels ko override kar ke unexpected price movements ko janam de sakte hain, is liye caution ka istamaal zaroori hai jab market mein trading ki jaaye.Aam tor par, EUR/JPY market mein abhi tak upward movement ka zyada rujhan hai. Market ka overall sentiment yeh zahir karta hai ke buyers abhi tak control mein hain, aur is wajah se price higher levels test kar sakta hai, jaise ke 162.65. Agar yeh level touch ho jata hai, toh yeh mazeed upside potential ko signal karega, jab tak koi significant negative events current trend ko disrupt na karen. General taur par, kuch log 162.35 ke support level par sell karne ka soch rahe honge, magar prevailing trend yeh suggest karta hai ke EUR/JPY market apni upward trajectory ko continue kare.News events par nazar rakhna zaroori hai risk ko manage karne ke liye, kyunke yeh bazaar ki direction ko achanak shift kar sakte hain. Is liye, agle kuch ghanton mein direction ka taayun karne ke liye price ko weekly pivot level ke saath monitor karna hoga, aur behtareen tareeqa yeh hai ke din ke doran trading se parheiz kiya jaye. Economic side par, Japanese yen ke price mein izafa aaj ke din is liye dekha gaya hai kyunke former Defense Minister Shigeru Ishiba ne Japan mein ruling party ki leadership jeet li hai, jo unko agla prime minister bana raha hai. Ishiba aur unke mukhalif Sanae Takaichi aggressive rate hikes ke khilaf awaaz uthate rahe hain, halan ke Ishiba un dono mein se kam dovish dekhe gaye hain. Magar woh economic stimulus aur expansionary fiscal policies ke haami hain. Iske ilawa, data ne show kiya ke Tokyo ka core inflation rate, jo nationwide price trends ka ek leading indicator hai, September mein 2% tak slow ho gaya, August ke 2.4% se, jo expectations ke mutabiq tha aur Bank of Japan ke cautious approach ko rate hikes ke hawalay se support karta hai.Alag se, Bank of Japan ke September ke meeting ke minutes ne show kiya

hai. Yeh level crucial hai kyun ke yeh current bullish momentum ki strength ko test karega. Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh yeh further upward movement aur bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko break karne mein naakam rehti hai aur yahan se reject hoti hai, toh yeh is baat ka indication hoga ke bears ab bhi control mein hain aur ek potential reversal wapas support level ki taraf ho sakta hai. 170.53 resistance level ke qareeb do possible scenarios ho sakte hain: Bullish Breakout: Pehle scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, toh yeh ziata buyers ko attract karega, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega. Traders breakout ka confirmation dekhenge, jaise ke 170.53 level ka retest as new support. Agar price is level ke upar hold karti hai, toh yeh further rise kar sakti hai, higher resistance levels ko target karte hue, jo ke 171.00 aur beyond ho sakte hain. Yeh scenario un logon ke liye ideal hoga jo long positions hold kar rahe hain, kyun ke yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai Bearish Rejection: Dusre scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break karne mein naakam ho sakti hai. Agar price is level par reject hoti hai, toh yeh strong presence of sellers ka signal de sakti hai, jo ke potential bearish reversal ko lead karega. Phir price support level 170.217 ki taraf fall kar sakti hai, aur agar selling pressure intensify hota hai, toh aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai. Yeh traders ke liye ek key moment hoga bearish candlestick patterns ya doosre technical indicators ko dekhne ka jo rejection ko confirm kar sakein. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, EUR/JPY apni southward trajectory ko barqarar rakhta hai, to pehla defense line peechle high 171.55 pe hogi. Yeh level 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke sath coincide karta hai, jo iske potential support function ko mazeed m azbooti deta hai. Is point ke neeche break karne se bearish sentiment ka wave trigger ho sakta hai, jo price ko 50-day EMA pe 169.70 aur uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (around 169.50) tak push kar sakta hai, jo uptrend line ke qareeb hai. Dusri taraf, agar bulls control wapas hasil kar lete hain

EUR/JPY Currency Pair Ka Halat
Filhal, euro Japanese yen ke muqable mein kamzori dikhata hua nazar aa raha hai, jahan EUR/JPY jorha 160.70 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh girawat asal mein Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke dovish bayanat ki wajah se hai, jinhone yen ko mazboot kar diya hai aur euro ko kamzor kiya hai. Ueda ne yeh dobara keh diya hai ke agar inflation 2% ke target se upar rahta hai, toh wo interest rates ko barhane ka irada rakhte hain. Economists is saal interest rate mein izafa hone ki umeed rakhte hain, lekin yeh zyada tar December mein hone ki sambhavna hai, October ke muqable mein. BOJ ke mazeed monetary tightening ke speculation ne yen ko support diya hai, jo euro par pressure daal raha hai.

Dusri taraf, Eurozone mein investors August ke Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) data ka intezaar kar rahe the. Yeh inflation report European Central Bank (ECB) ke September mein interest rate faislay par roshni dalne ki umeed thi. Umeed hai ke August mein inflation saalana 2.3% tak slow ho jayega, jo yeh darshata hai ke ECB shayad is saal ke baqi hisson mein interest rates ko kam karta rahe. Is anticipation ne euro par bechne ka pressure daala hai. ECB Governing Council ke member Olli Rehn ne bhi yeh baat ki, kehkar ke kamzor Eurozone economy aur slow hoti inflation ECB ko mazeed interest rates ghatane ke liye majboor kar sakti hai.

EUR/JPY jorha July mein ek tez bechne ka shikar hua, jo 32 saal ke unchaai 175.41 se gir kar 6 August ko 154.34 tak pahuncha. Tab se yeh jorha recovery ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin iska upward momentum 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke nazdeek ruk gaya hai. Agar bearish jazbaat jari rahe, toh 160.40 par nazdeek ka support level rukawat ka kaam kar sakta hai. Mazeed nuksan February ke low 158.06 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar jorha 158.06 ke upar rukne mein nakam raha, toh yeh January ke low 155.05 ko challenge kar sakta hai aur shayad 2024 ke low 154.34 ko dobara test karega, jo 6 August ko bana tha.



Dusri taraf, agar jorha 200-day SMA ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh recovery ke liye darwaza khol sakta hai. March ka resistance level 165.34 bulls ke liye ek aham rukawat hai. Is rukawat ko paar karne ke liye, bulls ko jorhe ko June ke support level 167.50 se upar push karna hoga, jo sustained upward movement ka signal de sakta hai.

Nateeja

Akhir mein, EUR/JPY jorha mixed outlook ka samna kar raha hai, jahan technical levels aur central bank policies iska mustaqbil tay karengi. Traders ko in factors ko nazar mein rakhna hoga taake wo potential opportunities ka faida utha sakein.

EUR/JPY currency pair ka daily chart dekha jaye toh yeh do levels 163.58 aur 155.20 ke darmiyan flat lagta hai. 155 ka level do dafa test kiya gaya hai, aur har dafa price upar ki taraf chali gayi, jo ke ek double bottom ka ishara hai. Yeh price ko upar ki taraf dhakel raha hai, aur lagta hai ke yeh kam az kam 175.47 tak pohanch sakti hai. Lekin yeh sab kuch itna aasaan nahi lagta, kyun ke ab tak purchases ka koi wazeh confirmation nahi hai.

Haan, humein ek bullish engulfing aur double rebound ka signal zaroor milta hai 155 ke level se, magar agar price 163.58 ka level tod kar ooper consolidate kar leti, toh phir yeh alag baat hoti. Aise mein medium term ke liye buy karna samajhdaari hoti aur risk kam hota. Is waqt tak price flat zone mein trade kar rahi hai aur Ichimoku Cloud ke andar hai. Bulls apne purane upward trend ko wapas lane ki koshish kar rahe hain, magar abhi tak yeh poori tarah realistic nahi lagta, lekin namumkin bhi nahi.

Chart pe price koshish kar rahi hai ke 162.40 ka 25% resistance level tod le, lekin abhi ascending line se neeche hai jo maine draw ki hai. Mere khayal mein agar bulls ka upward momentum successful hota hai, toh wo is ascending line ke qareeb aa sakte hain. Is liye mein yeh kehne ka risk le raha hoon ke agle chand dinon mein thodi consolidation ke baad ek northern movement ki umeed ki ja sakti hai.

Market mein iss waqt ek neutral position confirm hoti hai. Agar price 163.58 se rebound karti hai aur ek bearish engulfing shuru hota hai, toh phir hamara rukh wapas 155 ki taraf ho sakta hai, aur agar halat mazeed bigadte hain toh 153.30 ka level bhi test ho sakta hai. Is point se hum wapas upar 175 ke figure ki taraf move kar sakte hain.

CCI indicator daily timeframe pe upar ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jo bulls ki strength ko confirm karta hai. Lekin price is waqt ek level pe ruk gayi hai, aur humein dekhna hoga ke is level pe kya reaction hota hai. Kyun ke CCI indicator aur bullish engulfing ke madad se umeed hai ke price 163.58 ke level se ooper ja sakti hai, magar yeh sab depend karta hai ke aane wale dinon mein market ka rukh kya hota hai.