یورو / جاپانی ین: مارکیٹ کی تازہ ترین معلومات

inka bazaar par kafi asar ho sakta hai aur market ko kisi bhi direction mein push kar sakte hain. Aaj ka daily chart sellers ke haq mein rahega.Yeh bhi laazmi hai ke iss haftay ke news events ko madde nazar rakha jaye, kyunke yeh market ke behavior ko heavily influence kar sakte hain. News volatility introduce kar sakti hai aur market ko technical signals ke bagair kisi bhi direction mein le ja sakti hai. Is liye traders ko economic data releases ya significant geopolitical events ke mutaliq hamesha informed rehna chahiye jo currency values ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. Yeh events aam support aur resistance levels ko override kar ke unexpected price movements ko janam de sakte hain, is liye caution ka istamaal zaroori hai jab market mein trading ki jaaye.Aam tor par, EUR/JPY market mein abhi tak upward movement ka zyada rujhan hai. Market ka overall sentiment yeh zahir karta hai ke buyers abhi tak control mein hain, aur is wajah se price higher levels test kar sakta hai, jaise ke 162.65. Agar yeh level touch ho jata hai, toh yeh mazeed upside potential ko signal karega, jab tak koi significant negative events current trend ko disrupt na karen. General taur par, kuch log 162.35 ke support level par sell karne ka soch rahe honge, magar prevailing trend yeh suggest karta hai ke EUR/JPY market apni upward trajectory ko continue kare.News events par nazar rakhna zaroori hai risk ko manage karne ke liye, kyunke yeh bazaar ki direction ko achanak shift kar sakte hain. Is liye, agle kuch ghanton mein direction ka taayun karne ke liye price ko weekly pivot level ke saath monitor karna hoga, aur behtareen tareeqa yeh hai ke din ke doran trading se parheiz kiya jaye. Economic side par, Japanese yen ke price mein izafa aaj ke din is liye dekha gaya hai kyunke former Defense Minister Shigeru Ishiba ne Japan mein ruling party ki leadership jeet li hai, jo unko agla prime minister bana raha hai. Ishiba aur unke mukhalif Sanae Takaichi aggressive rate hikes ke khilaf awaaz uthate rahe hain, halan ke Ishiba un dono mein se kam dovish dekhe gaye hain. Magar woh economic stimulus aur expansionary fiscal policies ke haami hain. Iske ilawa, data ne show kiya ke Tokyo ka core inflation rate, jo nationwide price trends ka ek leading indicator hai, September mein 2% tak slow ho gaya, August ke 2.4% se, jo expectations ke mutabiq tha aur Bank of Japan ke cautious approach ko rate hikes ke hawalay se support karta hai.Alag se, Bank of Japan ke September ke meeting ke minutes ne show kiya ke members inflation risks ke against vigilance ki baat kar rahe hain, magar excessiv

waqt, market uptrend mein hai, jo resistance level 162.70 ko tor kar upar jaa raha hai. Is chart mein hum dekh sakte hain ke market resistance ko torne ke bajaye ek trend line ko follow kar raha hai. Market history dikhati hai ke market trend line ke upar move kar chuka hai. Yeh trend line market ko upar ki taraf guide karti rahegi. Market ne system level se break kiya, upar aur neeche gaya, resistance ko support mein badla, aur phir se upar chala gaya. Filhaal, 50-day simple moving average market ke 161.55 ke neeche hai, jo takreeban hamara support level hai. Hamara 200-day simple moving average market ke neeche hai, aur hamara pehla support 160.20 pe hai. RSI indicator 30 aur 70 ke darmiyan hai, yaani ke 75 ke aas-paas. Market waqai neeche ja raha hai, aur humare paas sahi indicators hain jo is baat ko sabit karte hain. Market mein mazeed growth ki umeed hai EUR/JPY currency pair ke prospects technical analysis ki buniyad pe. Hum resistance aur support levels, volumes, aur basement indicators par khaas tawajju dein ge. Chaliye chart ko dekhein: Pair ne aaj phir se thora neeche move kiya hai. Yeh jew growth nahi dikhana chahta, aur aaj phir se neeche ja raha hai. Chart dikhata hai ke pair ne support level 155.40 ko test kiya aur ab yeh 156.59 pe trade ho raha hai. RSI range ke beech mein hai aur neeche ki taraf bemani nazar aa raha hai, AO weak buy signal de raha hai, aur price peechlay din ki trading range se neeche hai. Signals weak hain, magar yeh thoda decline ki imkaniyat dikhate hain. Is liye, main yeh samajhta hoon ke pair support level 155.40 ko phir se test karega. Analysis ki buniyad pe, filhal ehtiyaat ke sath 155.50 ka target rakh kar sale karna behtar rahega. Lekin yaad rahe ke market achanak tabdeel bhi ho sakta hai, is liye apne risks ko ache tareeke se assess karein. Asal mein, hamara forecast current EUR/JPY asset ke liye lagbhag

bazaar par kafi asar ho sakta hai aur market ko kisi bhi direction mein push kar sakte hain. Aaj ka daily chart sellers ke haq mein rahega.Yeh bhi laazmi hai ke iss haftay ke news events ko madde nazar rakha jaye, kyunke yeh market ke behavior ko heavily influence kar sakte hain. News volatility introduce kar sakti hai aur market ko technical signals ke bagair kisi bhi direction mein le ja sakti hai. Is liye traders ko economic data releases ya significant geopolitical events ke mutaliq hamesha informed rehna chahiye jo currency values ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. Yeh events aam support aur resistance levels ko override kar ke unexpected price movements ko janam de sakte hain, is liye caution ka istamaal zaroori hai jab market mein trading ki jaaye.Aam tor par, EUR/JPY market mein abhi tak upward movement ka zyada rujhan hai. Market ka overall sentiment yeh zahir karta hai ke buyers abhi tak control mein hain, aur is wajah se price higher levels test kar sakta hai, jaise ke 162.65. Agar yeh level touch ho jata hai, toh yeh mazeed upside potential ko signal karega, jab tak koi significant negative events current trend ko disrupt na karen. General taur par, kuch log 162.35 ke support level par sell karne ka soch rahe honge, magar prevailing trend yeh suggest karta hai ke EUR/JPY market apni upward trajectory ko continue kare.News events par nazar rakhna zaroori hai risk ko manage karne ke liye, kyunke yeh bazaar ki direction ko achanak shift kar sakte hain. Is liye, agle kuch ghanton mein direction ka taayun karne ke liye price ko weekly pivot level ke saath monitor karna hoga, aur behtareen tareeqa yeh hai ke din ke doran trading se parheiz kiya jaye. Economic side par, Japanese yen ke price mein izafa aaj ke din is liye dekha gaya hai kyunke former Defense Minister Shigeru Ishiba ne Japan mein ruling party ki leadership jeet li hai, jo unko agla prime minister bana raha hai. Ishiba aur unke mukhalif Sanae Takaichi aggressive rate hikes ke khilaf awaaz uthate rahe hain, halan ke Ishiba un dono mein se kam dovish dekhe gaye hain. Magar woh economic stimulus aur expansionary fiscal policies ke haami hain. Iske ilawa, data ne show kiya ke Tokyo ka core inflation rate, jo nationwide price trends ka ek leading indicator hai, September mein 2% tak slow ho gaya, August ke 2.4% se, jo expectations ke mutabiq tha aur Bank of Japan ke cautious approach ko rate hikes ke hawalay se support karta hai.Alag se, Bank of Japan ke September ke meeting ke minutes ne show kiya ke members inflation risks ke against vigilance ki baat kar rahe hain, magar excessiv

resistance level 162.70 ko tor kar upar jaa raha hai. Is chart mein hum dekh sakte hain ke market resistance ko torne ke bajaye ek trend line ko follow kar raha hai. Market history dikhati hai ke market trend line ke upar move kar chuka hai. Yeh trend line market ko upar ki taraf guide karti rahegi. Market ne system level se break kiya, upar aur neeche gaya, resistance ko support mein badla, aur phir se upar chala gaya. Filhaal, 50-day simple moving average market ke 161.55 ke neeche hai, jo takreeban hamara support level hai. Hamara 200-day simple moving average market ke neeche hai, aur hamara pehla support 160.20 pe hai. RSI indicator 30 aur 70 ke darmiyan hai, yaani ke 75 ke aas-paas. Market waqai neeche ja raha hai, aur humare paas sahi indicators hain jo is baat ko sabit karte hain. Market mein mazeed growth ki umeed hai EUR/JPY currency pair ke prospects technical analysis ki buniyad pe. Hum resistance aur support levels, volumes, aur basement indicators par khaas tawajju dein ge. Chaliye chart ko dekhein: Pair ne aaj phir se thora neeche move kiya hai. Yeh jew growth nahi dikhana chahta, aur aaj phir se neeche ja raha hai. Chart dikhata hai ke pair ne support level 155.40 ko test kiya aur ab yeh 156.59 pe trade ho raha hai. RSI range ke beech mein hai aur neeche ki taraf bemani nazar aa raha hai, AO weak buy signal de raha hai, aur price peechlay din ki trading range se neeche hai. Signals weak hain, magar yeh thoda decline ki imkaniyat dikhate hain. Is liye, main yeh samajhta hoon ke pair support level 155.40 ko phir se test karega. Analysis ki buniyad pe, filhal ehtiyaat ke sath 155.50 ka target rakh kar sale karna behtar rahega. Lekin yaad rahe ke market achanak tabdeel bhi ho sakta hai, is liye apne risks ko ache tareeke se assess karein. Asal mein, hamara forecast current EUR/JPY asset ke liye lagbhag wahi hai

Jo haalaat iss waqt chal rahe hain, unka khulasa kuch is tarah hai: February se main ek clear ascending channel ko track kar raha hoon, jahan zigzag peaks guideline ke tor pe kaam kar rahe hain. Lekin ab ek chhota channel bhi saamne aa raha hai, jo humein wapis uss upper band tak le ja raha hai jo 173.00 ke level par tha. Ab hum iss level par ek phase mein hain jahan aakhri paanch din ke daily candles 173.00 mark se neeche gaye hain. Ab ek clear support level identify ho gaya hai jo ke ascending guide ke sath dynamic taur par change ho raha hai, aur iss waqt 172.00 ka hai. Iss setup ke sath hum ek jaldi technical analysis kar sakte hain: ya toh hum 173.00 level par sell ka plan banayen, ya phir 172.00 support ke neeche break out ka intezaar karein. Agar neeche break hota hai toh hamara pehla target 170.00 ka hoga. Currency pair upar ja raha hai, 100-period moving average 10-degree ke angle par north ki taraf chal raha hai. Ichimoku cloud mein bullish rang dikhai de rahe hain, aur umeed hai ke agle period mein yeh 30-degree ke angle par ascend karega. 18-period moving average current price ke bilkul qareeb hai. Stochastic oscillator overbought region se bahar aa gaya hai, lekin abhi tak koi clear sell signal nahi mila. Dosri taraf, MACD ne sell signal de diya hai, jo ke potential downward correction ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. In tamam indicators ki mix aur complex combination ke ba-wajood, overall tasveer abhi tak unclear hai, aur koi definitive sell signal abhi tak nahi aaya. Iss waqt general situation stable hai: EUR/JPY 173.00-172.00 ke range mein oscillate kar raha hai. Hum iss range ke boundaries par nazar rakhenge aur dekhenge ke kab price iss range ko break karta hai. GBP/USD exchange rate US se positive economic figures ke release ke baad significantly gir gaya. Currency pair pehle 1.3122 par trade kar raha tha, aur technical analysis yeh indicate kar raha hai ke rebound ke baad downward-trending channel ke upper limit se further decrease ho sakti hai. Daily chart bullish trend ko suggest karta hai, jo buyers ke strong position ko dikhata hai. Yeh ongoing bullish momentum ko capitalize karne ka favorable opportunity provide karta hai. GBP/USD pair mein consistent growth ko dekhte hue, buyers is current upward trend ka faida utha sakte hain. Saath hi, upcoming elections ke sath, US dollar ki value mein potential decrease ka bhi andesha hai, kyun ke political developments financial markets mein uncertainty introduce karti hain

Mazid fayday ka imkaan barqarar hai, jahan aik ideal buy target 175 ke qareeb hai. Is haftay, meine dekha ke buyers ki taraf se bullish response jari raha, jisne prices ko 100 period ki simple moving average ki taraf dhakel diya. Kal raat ke trading mein ek significant bullish movement dekhne ko mili, jahan prices 172.06 zone se upar rahi, jo yeh zahir karti hai ke upward trend jari rehne ke imkaan hai. Halanki guzishta haftay aik bearish koshish hui thi ke prices ko 171.41 tak niche dhakel diya jaye, lekin mojuoda trend ke mutabiq higher price range, jo ke 172.66 ke qareeb ho sakti hai, ka imkaan barhta ja raha hai. Agle chand dino ke liye, tawajjoh ko buying opportunities talash karne par rakhna chahiye, chunanchah jari bullish trend ko dekhte hue yeh zaroori hai. Lekin yeh bhi zaroori hai ke possible price decline ke liye hamesha taiyar raha jaye, yeh baat alag hai ke abhi iski imkaaniat kam hai. Hamesha ki tarah, market ko closely monitor karein kisi bhi reversal ya unexpected movement ki alamat ke liye Technical perspective se, EUR/JPY pair abhi bhi ek overall uptrend mein hai, jo ke key moving averages ke zariye supported hai jo bullish momentum ko zahir karte hain. 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) abhi bhi upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jo ke 162.00 ke aas-paas ek mazboot support level provide kar raha hai. Is dauran, Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi neutral levels ke qareeb hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair abhi overbought nahi hua, aur mazid upside movement ke liye space mojood hai. Lekin, traders ko potential downside risks se hoshiyar rehna chahiye, khas kar agar pair 163.00 support level se upar nahi reh pata. Agar yeh level break ho jaye, to yeh ek deeper correction ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai, jo shayad 162.00 support area ka retest karne tak le jaye. Iske baraks, agar pair apna upward momentum regain karne mein kamyab hota hai aur 164.00 resistance level ke upar break kar leta hai, to yeh mazid gains ke liye raasta saaf kar sakta hai, jo ke 165.00 level ki taraf barh sakta hai. Khulasa yeh hai ke jabke EUR/JPY pair ne ek strong run ke baad kuch softness dikhayi hai, lekin iska overall bullish trend abhi bhi intact hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, aur Eurozone aur Japanese economic policies mein kisi bhi taraqi par, jo ke pair ke aglay imkaani move ko gauge karne mein madadg

### EUR/JPY تجزیہ 03 جولائی 2024

**روزانہ ٹائم فریم تجزیہ**

EUR/JPY کرنسی جوڑی روزانہ ٹائم فریم پر مضبوط خریداری کے دباؤ کا مظاہرہ کر رہی ہے۔ EMA 50 لیول پر قیمت نے واضح ریجیکشن دکھائی ہے جو 167.520 کے آس پاس ہے، جو اب مضبوط سپورٹ کے طور پر کام کر رہا ہے اور قیمت کو اوپر دھکیل رہا ہے۔ خریداروں نے 170.820 کی اہم مزاحمتی سطح سے اوپر کامیابی سے بریک آؤٹ کیا ہے، جو مارکیٹ میں ان کے مضبوط کنٹرول کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے۔ اہم اصلاحات کی عدم موجودگی سے پتہ چلتا ہے کہ bullish momentum اب بھی بہت مضبوط ہے۔ تاہم، تاجروں کو ممکنہ اصلاحات کے لیے چوکس رہنا چاہیے، جو کہ مارکیٹ کی نقل و حرکت کا ایک فطری حصہ ہے۔

**گھنٹہ وار ٹائم فریم تجزیہ**

گھنٹہ وار ٹائم فریم پر، EUR/JPY کرنسی جوڑی مضبوط bullish رجحان میں ہے۔ EMA 50 EMA 100 سے اوپر ہے، جو bullish momentum کی بالادستی کی تصدیق کرتا ہے۔ قیمت فی الحال 173.653 کی ایک سخت مزاحمتی سطح کا سامنا کر رہی ہے، جو اہم فروخت کے دباؤ کی نشاندہی کرتی ہے۔ کل، قیمت نے اصلاح کی لیکن 173.101 کی سطح کے ارد گرد مضبوط سپورٹ ملی، جس سے ظاہر ہوتا ہے کہ خریدار اب بھی کنٹرول میں ہیں اور عارضی کمی کے بعد قیمت کو اوپر دھکیلنے کے لیے تیار ہیں۔

**ٹریڈنگ پلان**

میرا ٹریڈنگ پلان 173.653 مزاحمتی سطح سے واضح بریک آؤٹ کا انتظار کرنا ہے اس سے پہلے کہ میں لمبی پوزیشن میں داخل ہوں۔ اگر اس سطح سے اوپر ایک مضبوط بریک آؤٹ ہوتا ہے، تو یہ bullish trend کے تسلسل کی تصدیق کرے گا اور مزید اوپر کی صلاحیت کو کھول دے گا۔ اس کے برعکس، اگر اصلاح ہوتی ہے اور قیمت دوبارہ گرتی ہے، تو میں 173.101 سپورٹ لیول تک پہنچنے کا انتظار کروں گا۔ اگر یہ سپورٹ لیول ٹوٹ گیا ہے، تو یہ ایک فروخت کی پوزیشن کا اشارہ دے سکتا ہے، اس توقع کے ساتھ کہ قیمت گرتی رہے گی۔ تاہم، یہ نوٹ کرنا ضروری ہے کہ 173.101 سپورٹ لیول کو دیکھنا ایک ممکنہ bounce back کے لیے اہم ہے اور اگر قیمت اس سے reverse ہوتی ہے تو خریدنے کا ایک موقع۔

E U R - J P Y P A I R F O R E C A S T

EUR/JPY pair ki qeemat dheere dheere upar ki taraf correction shuru kar rahi hai, jab ke yeh bohot hi impulsive decline ka samna karne ke baad 158.06 ke low prices tak pohanchi. Price ke upar ki taraf move karne ka potential, correction phase ke taur par, FR 50 - 160.75 ki taraf ho sakta hai, jo SBR area ke sath bhi hai, ya phir FR 61.8 - 161.38 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Iske ilawa, price ko EMA 50 ya SMA 200 ke neeche phir se move karna hoga taake bearish trend continue rahe. Kam se kam price ko FR 38.2 - 160.11 ke neeche consistently move karna chahiye, kyunki agar price downward rally ko continue karne mein nakam rahti hai, toh trend direction change hone ka andaza lagaya jata hai.

Bari structure ki baat karein, toh yeh abhi bhi lower low - lower high ki halat mein hai, kyunki high prices 163.81 par structure break nahi hua hai, jo ke sab se nazdeek invalidation level hai. Price jo kuch hafton tak upar gayi, sirf 163.43 ke high prices tak hi pahunche. Agar aap Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ko dekhein, jiska volume histogram ab bhi level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai, toh yeh uptrend momentum EUR/JPY pair ki upar ki taraf correction ko support karta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo overbought zone (level 90 - 80) ki taraf ja rahe hain, lekin level 50 ko cross karne mein nakam rahe, yeh bhi price ke upward correction phase ko support karte hain. Yeh is liye hai kyunki saturation point ab tak nahi pahuncha, kyunki parameters overbought zone ko cross nahi kiye hain.

### S E T U P E N T R Y P O S I T I O N:

Trading options ke liye re-entry SELL position tab rakhne ki koshish karni chahiye jab price ka upward correction FR 50 - 160.75 tak pahunche, jo SBR area ke sath bhi hai. Iska sabab yeh hai ke trend direction abhi bhi bearish hai aur death cross signal kaafi fresh nazar aata hai. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator ke parameters ke overbought zone (level 90 - 80) ko cross karne ka intezar karna hoga. AO indicator ka volume histogram jo uptrend momentum dikhata hai, level 0 ke nazdeek aur red hone par kamzor hona chahiye. FR 23.6 - 159.33 ko sab se nazdeek aur door take profit target ke taur par istemal kiya jayega, jabke stop loss FR 61.8 - 161.38 se FR 70.5 - 161.85 ke beech rakhna chahiye.

EUR/JPY Outlook Analysis:

EUR/JPY D1 time frame chart par, market abhi bhi sellers ka saath de rahi hai kyunki bearish momentum overall trend par dominate kar raha hai. Filhal, pair pressure mein hai, aur sellers ka control barqarar rehne ki sambhavana hai jab tak market mein koi significant shifts nahi hote. D1 chart par technical indicators is bearish outlook ko support karte hain, price key moving averages ke neeche chal rahi hai aur recent sessions mein steady decline dikhai de rahi hai.

Lekin, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke market sirf technical factors se nahi chalta. Is hafte ke scheduled news events price action ko shape dene mein aham role ada kar sakte hain. Fundamental developments, khaaskar European aur Japanese economies se related, yeh tay karne mein pivotal hongi ke kya yeh downtrend jari rahega ya reverses hoga. Major economic announcements, jaise ke central bank meetings, inflation reports, aur GDP figures, volatility ko barhane ki potential rakhte hain. News releases market sentiment ko jaldi shift kar sakti hain aur technical patterns ko disrupt kar sakti hain, market ko kisi bhi direction mein push karte hue, chahe prevailing trends kuch bhi hon.

Isliye, traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur in key events ke doran potential price swings ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Jab tak technical setup abhi sellers ka saath de raha hai, news ka asar nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta, aur traders ko technical aur fundamental aspects dono ka balance banaye rakhna chahiye.

**EUR/JPY H4 Time Frame Analysis:**

EUR/JPY H4 time frame chart par, currency pair strong bullish momentum dikhata hai, jo prevailing upward trend ke jari rehne ka ishara hai. Traders jo is movement ka faida uthane ki koshish kar rahe hain, unhe apne trades ko is bullish momentum ke sath align karna chahiye, taake wo optimal entry points par market mein shamil ho sakein aur potential gains ko maximize karte hue risks ko minimize kar sakein.

Jab pair apni upward trajectory ko continue rakhta hai, key support levels ko identify karna ideal entry points tay karne ke liye zaroori hai. Yeh levels, jo aksar technical indicators jaise moving averages, Fibonacci retracement levels, aur trend lines ke zariye identify kiye jate hain, traders ko un areas ko spot karne mein madad karte hain jahan price thodi der ke liye pull back kar sakta hai pehle ke upward movement ko resume karne se pehle. In levels par trades mein enter karna traders ko trend ka faida uthane ka mauka deta hai jabke wo aise price points par buying se bach sakte hain jo shayad overextended hain.

Technical indicators ke ilawa, traders ko momentum oscillators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ko bhi monitor karna chahiye. Yeh indicators yeh insights de sakte hain ke market overbought hai ya phir abhi aur upward movement ki jagah hai. Misal ke taur par, agar RSI overbought territory se neeche rehta hai jabke price upar ki taraf badhta hai, to yeh yeh darshata hai ke abhi bhi aur upside potential ho sakta hai pehle kisi correction ke hone se.

EUR/JPY Exchange Rate Analysis

Euro-yen (EUR/JPY) exchange rate apni upward trajectory par aage badhta raha, aur Tuesday ki subah European trading ke doran 160.70 level tak pohanch gaya. Yeh surge khas tor par naye Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke dovish comments ki wajah se tha, jo yen par bojh daal rahe hain. Is beech, investors euro zone ke harmonized consumer price index (HICP) for September ki release ka intezar kar rahe hain, jisse naye momentum ki umeed hai. Is ke ilawa, European Central Bank ke policymakers Luis de Guindos aur Isabel Schnabel ke speeches baad mein scheduled hain.

Shigeru Ishiba ke bayanon ne Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki is commitment ko mazid mazboot kiya hai ke wo loose monetary policy ko barqarar rakhenge taake fragile economic recovery ko support mil sake. Yeh stance European Central Bank (ECB) ke barhti hui confidence ke muqablay mein hai, jo apne 2% inflation target ko hasil karne ka iraada rakhta hai, jaisa ke President Christine Lagarde ne darshaya. Lagarde ke speech ne imminent interest rate cut ka ishara diya, jisne markets ko October meeting mein lower borrowing costs par bets barhane par majboor kiya.

Euro zone mein, kamzor German CPI inflation data ne ECB ke agle policy meeting mein 25 basis point rate cut ki umeedon ko barha diya. Yeh potential rate cut euro ke liye upside ko limit kar sakta hai. Lekin, euro ki strength yen ke muqablay mein zyada tar yen ki kamzori ki wajah se hai, jo naye Japanese Prime Minister ke dovish comments se chalu hui.

EUR/JPY Technical Analysis

Technical tor par, EUR/JPY pair ne short-term bearish signals dikhaye hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 level ke kareeb pohanch gaya hai, jo oversold conditions ko darshata hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) apni trigger line aur zero line se neeche hai, jo mazeed girawat ki sambhavnayein darshata hai. Iske ilawa, 50-day aur 200-day simple moving averages ke darmiyan bearish crossover ne potential downtrend ka ishara diya hai.

In short-term bearish indicators ke bawajood, 155.15 support level par ek bounce pair ko recover karne ka mauqa faraham kar sakta hai. Short-term downtrend line 158.00 par hai, aur 159.30-160.05 limit zone, jo 175.37 se 154.40 tak ke downtrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement aur 20-day moving average ko shamil karta hai, potential resistance levels ki tarah kaam kar sakta hai.

Nateejay ke tor par, euro ka yen ke muqablay mein izafa zyada tar yen ki kamzori ki wajah se hai, jo naye Japanese Prime Minister ke dovish comments se asar daal rahi hai. Jabke short-term technical indicators downward correction ka potential darshate hain, overall trend ab bhi upward hai. Investors euro zone aur Japan mein hone wale developments, jese ke economic data ki release aur central bank ke policy decisions, ko nazar rakhte rahenge taake EUR/JPY exchange rate ki aane wali direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Market history dikhati hai ke market trend line ke upar move kar chuka hai. Yeh trend line market ko upar ki taraf guide karti rahegi. Market ne system level se break kiya, upar aur neeche gaya, resistance ko support mein badla, aur phir se upar chala gaya. Filhaal, 50-day simple moving average market ke 161.55 ke neeche hai, jo takreeban hamara support level hai. Hamara 200-day simple moving average market ke neeche hai, aur hamara pehla support 160.20 pe hai. RSI indicator 30 aur 70 ke darmiyan hai, yaani ke 75 ke aas-paas. Market waqai neeche ja raha hai, aur humare paas sahi indicators hain jo is baat ko sabit karte hain. Market mein mazeed growth ki umeed hai EUR/JPY currency pair ke prospects technical analysis ki buniyad pe. Hum resistance aur support levels, volumes, aur basement indicators par khaas tawajju dein ge. Chaliye chart ko dekhein: Pair ne aaj phir se thora neeche move kiya hai. Yeh jew growth nahi dikhana chahta, aur aaj phir se neeche ja raha hai. Chart dikhata hai ke pair ne support level 155.40 ko test kiya aur ab yeh 156.59 pe trade ho raha hai. RSI range ke beech mein hai aur neeche ki taraf bemani nazar aa raha hai, AO weak buy signal de raha hai, aur price peechlay din ki trading range se neeche hai. Signals weak hain, magar yeh thoda decline ki imkaniyat dikhate hain. Is liye, main yeh samajhta hoon ke pair support level 155.40 ko phir se test karega. Analysis ki buniyad pe, filhal ehtiyaat ke sath 155.50 ka target rakh kar sale karna behtar rahega. Lekin yaad rahe ke market achanak tabdeel bhi ho sakta hai, is liye apne risks ko ache tareeke se assess karein. Asal mein, hamara forecast current EUR/JPY asset ke liye lagbhag wahi hai, kyun ke main bhi four-hour time interval par 157.34 ke resistance zone tak correction ki umeed kar raha hoon, jo average Bollinger moving line ke range mein hai. Hamare paas ek southern downward trend hai jisme northern zigzag corrections ho rahi hain, aur global goal jo achieve hona chahiye wo 154.40 ka support level hai medium term mein, jo kuch kaam ke dinon mein mukammal ho sakta hai. Is tarah se, humare paas ek double bottom trader geometric figure hai jisse acha northern correction ya trend reversal dhoondha ja sakta hai, magar ziada chances hain ke choti si correction ke baad downward southern trend jaari rahega jab tak global ya medium term trend ke reversal ke liye wazeh asbaab nazar nahi aate. Filhal, priority southern fall ki taraf hai

EUR-JPY PAIR FORECAST
EURJPY pair ki price dheere dheere upar ki taraf correct karna shuru hui jab ke ek bohot tez girawat ka samna karke 158.06 ke low prices tak pohanchi thi. Ab price ke upar jaane ke imkaanat hain, aur correction ka phase FR 50 - 160.75 tak ho sakta hai jo SBR area ke sath confluent hai ya FR 61.8 - 161.38 tak upar jaa sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, price ko wapas EMA 50 ya SMA 200 ke neeche girna hoga taake bearish trend jaari reh sake. Kam az kam price FR 38.2 - 160.11 ke neeche consistency ke sath move kare, kyun ke agar price neeche jaane ka silsila jaari na rakh sake toh trend ka rukh badalne ka andesha hota hai. Dono Moving Average lines ke darmiyan ka faasla jo bearish trend ka rukh confirm kar raha hai, abhi zyada wide nahi lagta, is liye price ko dobara neeche jaane ki zarurat hai taake trend mazid mazboot ho sake.

Jahan tak major structure ka taluq hai, woh abhi tak lower low - lower high ka nazar aa raha hai kyun ke ab tak high prices ke 163.81 ka structure break nahi hua jo ke sab se qareebi invalidation level hai. Price jo ke kuch hafton se upar ja rahi thi, sirf 163.43 tak ke high prices ko chhoo payi thi. Agar hum Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ko dekhen toh uska volume histogram abhi bhi level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai, jo ke uptrend momentum ko support kar raha hai aur EURJPY pair ki price ka upward correction dikhata hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke 50 ka level cross karne mein nakam rahe aur ab overbought zone ki taraf level 90 - 80 ke qareeb hain, ye bhi price ke upward correction phase ko support karte hain. Is ka matlab hai ke saturation point abhi tak nahi aaya kyun ke parameters overbought zone ko ab tak cross nahi kar sake.

Setup Entry Position:

Trading options yeh suggest karti hain ke jab price ka upward correction FR 50 - 160.75 tak pohanch jaye jo ke SBR area ke sath confluent hai, tab re-entry SELL position lagai ja sakti hai. Iska reason yeh hai ke trend ab tak bearish hai aur death cross signal bhi kaafi fresh hai. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator ke parameters ka intezar karna hoga jab wo overbought zone level 90 - 80 ke qareeb pohanch kar cross karen. AO indicator ka volume histogram jo uptrend momentum ko dikhata hai, usko kamzor pad kar level 0 ke qareeb aana chahiye aur red dikhna chahiye. FR 23.6 - 159.33 ko sab se qareebi aur sab se door take profit target ke tor par use kiya ja sakta hai jab ke stop loss FR 61.8 - 161.38 se le kar FR 70.5 - 161.85 ke darmiyan lagai ja sakti hai.

EUR/JPY: Yeh level kafi ahem hai kyun ke yeh uss waqt ka aik bara point hai jab market ne pehle support li thi. Agar sellers market ko neeche le jane ka irada kar rahe hain, to 159.37 aik logical target ho ga, aur agar yeh level break ho gaya to iska matlab ho ga ke bearish momentum mazeed tez ho sakta hai. Agar EUR/JPY 159.50 ka support maintain nahi kar paata, to traders ko agle critical support level, jo ke January ka low 159.37 hai, par focus karna chahiye.

Aik bara indicator jo bearish pressure ke barhne ka pata de sakta hai wo 160.30 ke level ka break hai. Yeh level pehle bhi significance rakhta tha, aur agar iske neeche break hota hai to iska matlab ho ga ke sellers ka control mazid barh raha hai. Iss area mein price action ko traders ke liye dekhna bohot zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh next downward movement ka ishara de sakta hai.



Agar EUR/JPY 160.30 se neeche break karta hai aur girna jari rakhta hai, to iska matlab ho sakta hai ke bearish momentum barh raha hai, aur aglay girawat ka imkaan zyada hai. Agar yeh trend 159.57 se bhi neeche jata hai, to mazeed deeper losses ka pata chalta hai. Jo traders downtrend ki confirmation dhoondh rahe hain, unke liye 159.57 se neeche ka sustainable move ek strong signal ho ga mazeed selling pressure ka. Sath hi, agar 159.50 ke upar sustain nahi hota to yeh bearish market sentiment ki confirmation de ga, jo ek lambay downtrend ki taraf ishara karega.

Technical side par, traders ko dusre indicators par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye jo bearish outlook ko confirm kar sakte hain. Maslan, moving averages ya momentum oscillators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka dekhna bhi zaroori ho sakta hai, jo downward movement ki strength ko mazid explain kar sakta hai. Agar yeh indicators price action ke sath align karte hain, to yeh bearish scenario ko mazid support karenge.

Magar yeh bhi zaroori hai ke 159.50 ya 159.37 ke aas paas bounce ka imkaan bhi rakha jaye. Yeh levels historically strong support zones rahe hain, aur yeh mumkin hai ke buyers in areas ko defend karne ke liye aage aa jayein. Agar price in support levels par hold karta hai, to EUR/JPY mein reversal ho sakta hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega.

Akhir mein, EUR/JPY ke liye key levels 160.30, 159.50, aur 159.37 hain. Agar 160.30 se neeche break hota hai to bearish momentum barhne ka signal ho ga, jab ke 159.50 aur 159.37 ke breach se further downside ka pata chalega. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye aur mazeed technical analysis tools ka istemal karna chahiye taake market sentiment aur direction ko sahi tareeke se judge kiya ja sake.

Hourly chart par, EUR/JPY ne Monday ka aghaz decline se kiya, jahan price ne support level 155.630 ko break kiya, jo aik false sell signal tha. Lekin, is false break ke baad Monday ko aik buy signal dubara nazar aaya, jo resistance level 158.574 ko target kar raha tha. Yeh buy signal Tuesday ko realize hua.

Wednesday ko price resistance level ke aas paas trade kar rahi thi, aur Thursday ko price ne is resistance ko successfully break kiya, aur aik aur buy signal generate hua, jo resistance level 160.319 ki taraf tha. Yeh signal bhi Thursday ko realize ho gaya. Thursday ko price is level se bounce hua, aur Friday ko yeh 158.574 support level tak pohoncha. Lekin, price ne is support level se rebound kar ke dubara 160.319 resistance level ko break kiya, aur is break ki confirmation de di.

Ab aik naya buy signal nikal kar aya, jo aglay resistance level 162.885 ko target kar raha hai, aur yeh signal Monday tak relevant hai. EUR/JPY ne week ka aghaz downward movement ke sath kiya, jahan 155.630 support level break hua. Pehli reaction is break ke baad aik false sell signal tha, jo dikhata tha ke sellers ke paas price ko neeche dhakailne ki momentum nahi thi. Thori dair baad price reverse hui aur 158.574 resistance level ki taraf move hui, jahan aik buy signal nikal kar aya. Monday ka yeh buy signal realize ho gaya jab price 158.574 resistance level tak pohonch gayi. Yeh level week ke aghaz par price ko aur barhne se rok raha tha.

Price resistance level ke aas paas ruki hui thi, aur koi clear breakout nahi ho raha tha. Is consolidation phase ne is baat ka ishara diya ke market ek bari move ke liye tayar ho rahi thi, jo dono directions mein ja sakti thi. Jab resistance level 158.574 break hua, aik naya buy signal aaya, jo price ko aglay resistance level 160.319 tak le gaya. Yeh buy signal usi din realize hua jab price 160.319 resistance level ko pohonchi aur test kiya. Price thori se pull back hui magar higher levels par strength barqarar rahi.

Price ne 158.574 support level ko dubara test kiya aur phir se rebound kar ke 160.319 resistance level ko break kiya, aur is breakout ki confirmation mil gayi. Ab aik naya buy signal aya, jo aglay resistance level 162.885 ko target kar raha hai. Yeh buy signal Monday tak valid hai, aur agla target resistance level 162.885 hai. Traders further buying opportunities dekh sakte hain, khaaskar agar price 160.319 level ke upar strength dikhati hai, jo ek bullish continuation ko confirm karega.

EURJPY Pair ki Technical Analysis



4-hour chart par humein ab ek bohot hi bearish candle nazar aa rahi hai, jisse price ussi upward wave mein gir gayi jo ke is haftay ke dauran dekhi gayi thi. Is haftay ke aghaz mein price ne ascending price channels ke andar trading shuru ki thi jo ke pichlay do hafton ke dauran price trend ko zahir karte hain. Shuru mein price ko in channels aur weekly pivot level se support mili, aur price ne upper blue channel line tak pohanch kar usay break karne ki koshish ki, jo ke pichli candle ke dauran kamiyab hui thi.

Lekin ab price ko 162.78 level se mukhalifat ka samna hai, jo ke ek strong decline ka sabab bana, aur yeh decline sirf tabhi ruka jab price weekly pivot level tak pohanch gayi, jahan par ab price trading kar rahi hai.

Is liye, agle chand ghanton mein price ka rukh maloom karne ke liye humein price ko weekly pivot level ke saath observe karna hoga. Aaj ke din mein trading karna behtar nahi hoga.

Economic side par dekha jaye to, aaj Japanese yen ke price mein izafa hone ki waja Japan ke former Defense Minister Shigeru Ishiba ka ruling party ki leadership jeetna hai, jo ke unhein agla Prime Minister bana raha hai. Ishiba aur unke mukhalif Sanae Takaichi, aggressive rate hikes ke khilaf hain, halan ke Ishiba ko thoda kam dovish samjha jata hai. Lekin, Ishiba ko economic stimulus aur expansionary fiscal policies ka supporter samjha jata hai. Doosri taraf, data ne dikhaya ke Tokyo ka core inflation rate, jo ke mulk bhar ke price trends ka aik ahem indicator hai, September mein 2% tak slow ho gaya hai jo ke August mein 2.4% tha, aur yeh expectations ke mutabiq hai. Is se Bank of Japan ke liye interest rates mein ehtiyat se izafa karne ka case mazid mazboot hota hai. Bank of Japan ki September meeting ki minutes mein yeh samne aya ke members ne inflation risks ke barhtay huay khatray ko dekhne ka kaha, magar sath hi yeh bhi bataya ke rate hikes ki excessive market expectations ko paida karne se ehtiyat baratni chahiye.