European currency aur JPY ke darmiyan iss waqt ek mushkil soorat-e-haal paida ho gayi hai, jo ke European aur Japanese maashi halat ke kai factors se mutasir ho rahi hai. European side par, European Central Bank (ECB) ne mehengai aur maashi istahkam ke hawalay se apni maali policies mein tabdeeliyan ki hain, jo ke Euro ki qeemat par asar daalti hain. Aakhri dino mein Euro par dabao hai, Eurozone mein sust maashi nashonuma ki fikron ki wajah se. Energy supply ki na yakini aur mehengai ko qabo mein rakhne ke liye uthaye gaye qadam se bhi maashi dabao mein izafa hua hai, jis se Euro kamzor ho gaya hai. Japan mein, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apni maali policy ke liye zyada loch rakhne wali strategy apnayi hui hai aur soodi shara ko neechay rakh kar maashi sargarim mein izafa ki koshish ki hai. Lekin, Japanese Yen bhi kuch kamzor raha hai kyun ke BoJ ne apni policies mein koi khaas tabdeeli nahi ki. Eurozone aur Japan ke darmiyan sood ki sharah mein farq aksar yen ki maang ko barhata hai kyun ke sarmaaya daar istahkam ki talash mein hotay hain. Lekin, aalami bazaar ki soorat-e-haal aur sarmaaya daaron ki pasand mein tabdeeli is joray mein utaar chadhaav paida kar sakti hai. Kul mila kar, bunyadi factors se Euro par mumkina dabao ka ishara milta hai, lekin yeh dono central banks ke ehtiyaati rawaiye ko bhi numayan karta hai, jo EUR/JPY ki tehreek ko mutasir karte reh sakte hain Tehkeeki nazariye se dekha jaye toh EUR/JPY pair ne mukhtalif trends dikhaye hain. Lambi muddat ke trend mein ab tak izafa dekha gaya hai, lekin abhi haal hi mein is par bearish pressure parh raha hai, jis ki wajah se correction aayi hai. Yeh qeemat aik low point par pohanchi, kareeb 154.35 ke aas paas, jab 12 July se correction phase ka aaghaz hua. Yeh bullish trend se ek pullback ki shuruat thi. Koshish ke bawajood, qeemat ko mukhtalif moving averages, jaise ke 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), ke resistance ka saamna karna pada. Yeh moving averages rukaawat ka kaam karte hain, aur qeemat ke liye in par se guzarna mushkil raha hai. Is sab ke natijay mein, qeemat wapas se usi low level par aayi hai jo 154.35 ke kareeb tha. Oscillator of Moving Averages (OsM) ne bhi bearish signal dikhana shuru kar diya hai, jo yeh warn karta hai ke bazaar mazeed neeche ki taraf jaa sakta hai. Aane wale waqt mein short term ke liye aur downwards pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai, kyun ke bechne walay lagta hai ke control mein hain. Agar bearish trend jari rehti hai, toh 154.35 se neeche ke support levels, jaise ke 153.00 ya us se bhi neeche ki taraf harkat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, agar khareedne walay wapas se mazbooti hasil karte hain aur qeemat moving averages ke upar chali jati hai, toh ek achanak reversal bhi ho sakta hai. Filhaal, EUR/JPY ka overall outlook bearish lagta hai, aur upward momentum mehdood nazar aata hai
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