یورو / جاپانی ین: مارکیٹ کی تازہ ترین معلومات

EURJPY ne 23 July ko bullish se bearish trend ki taraf rukh kiya jab yeh is chadhai channel ke neeche ki taraf toot gaya aur moving average lines ko cross kar gaya. Aam tor par, pichle chand trading dinon mein bears is trading asset par zyada taqatwar rahe hain, jis ke natije mein qeemat ne girawat dekhi hai, saath hi bears ki shiddat bhi barh gayi. Is hafte ke Budh ko, EURJPY ne 164.28 ka support level toota. Agar yeh isi tezi se girta raha, to yeh jaldi se 158.10 aur 152.91 ke support levels ko test karega.
EURJPY pair ki movement ko monitor karte rahiye. Currency pair ne pullback ke baad apni downward movement ko resume kiya hai. Bears ne price ko neeche karna continue rakha hua hai. 4-hour chart par price Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke bearish momentum ko show karta hai. Iska matlab hai ke hum short position consider kar sakte hain. Stochastic indicator bhi isko suggest kar raha hai, jo neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. Last trading session ke dauran, pair ne neeche ki taraf move karna continue rakha aur players pivot level ke neeche consolidate hue. Bears ne girawat ko jari rakha aur ab 170.99 par trade kar rahe hain. Intraday sales targets classic Pivot levels ki support hain. Lagta hai ke bearish move current levels se continue karega, aur pehle support level ke break hone par ek fresh wave of decline aur continued bearish move hoga 169.00 region mein support line ke neeche. Agar buyers market mein wapas aate hain, toh unka reference point is period ke chart mein resistance level 174.53 hoga.
Hello dosto. Kal pair mein buying hui thi, lekin aaj south ki taraf achi movement hai. Dekhna hoga ke pair aage kaise move kar sakta hai, agar south ki movement continue hoti hai ya humein doosre options ka intezaar karna chahiye. Aayiye hum technical analysis dekhein pair ka din ke time frame par, aur dekhte hain kya recommendation milti hai. Moving averages - neutral, technical indicators - sell, conclusion - sell. Yahan technical analysis recommend karta hai south ki taraf move ko. Dekhte hain important news ka kya haal hai. Japan se koi important news expected nahi hai. Euro zone se important news nikal chuki hai, jo kaafi neutral hai, aur koi aur important news expected nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke pair south ki taraf move karega. Support level 170.55 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai. Buying resistance level 171.10 tak ja sakti hai. Iss tarah, south ki taraf movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai future mein. Yeh ek rough trading plan hai. Sab ko good luck!
USD/JPY ab bearish trend aur slow market movements ka samna kar raha hai, kayi factors nazr aa rahe hain jo significant changes ki sambhavna bata rahe hain. Economic conditions, central bank policies, geo-political events, market sentiment, aur technical analysis sabhi indicate karte hain ke aane wale dino mein volatility hosakti hai. Yeh depend karega ke in factors ka kaise unfold hota hai. Isliye zaroori hai

EUR/JPY ka price daily time frame chart par significantly gira hai recent bearish momentum ki wajah se, jo pichle kuch dino se present hai. Yeh price July 23 se gir raha hai aur moving average lines ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ek bearish primary trend ko indicate karta hai. Monday ko, maine notice kiya ki price sharply gira trade ke pehle kuch ghanton mein. Lekin, baad mein yeh 154.30 support level ko test karne ke baad upar chala gaya, jiske wajah se EUR/JPY ne ek pin bar candle form ki. Tuesday ko bhi, pin bar candle produce hui, jo yeh suggest karti hai ke din ke ant mein bears ka influence tha, lekin Monday ki candle mein buyers prominent the. Lekin abhi ke liye, price kaafi tezi se upar ja raha hai aur EUR/JPY ek robust bullish candle form kar raha hai. Yeh bullish activities RSI indicator ke oversold level ke neeche hone ka nateeja hain, jo yeh imply karta hai ke EUR/JPY ek price adjustment kar raha hai jo ke 164.26 resistance level ko test karne ki sambhavana ko badhata hai.
EUR/JPY ka price weekly time frame chart par ek ascending channel mein kaafi der tak move karta raha; lekin, pichle chaar hafton se price gir raha hai, jiske wajah se bears dominant rahe us waqt. Trend direction bearish raha hai pichle hafte se, kyunki EUR/JPY finally is ascending channel ke bottom ko break kar gaya aur moving average lines ko downside par cross kar gaya pichle hafte. Is hafte, maine expect kiya tha ke price decline karega severe bear momentum ki wajah se, aur mujhe yeh clearly dikh raha hai. Jaise hi EUR/JPY ne 154.19 support level ko touch kiya, yeh likely hai ke yeh kuch der ke liye upar jaye. Lekin, price overtime decline karega, isliye maine accompanying diagram mein agle kuch support levels dikhaye hain taaki bears ko madad mile.

EUR/JPY currency pair ne Tuesday ko subah ke European trade mein rebound dekha, jo ke previous din ke one-week high se thodi si pullback ke baad bargain hunting ki wajah se tha. Is pair ki gains zyada tar Japanese yen ki kamzori ki wajah se thi, jo ke kuch factors ki combination se faida utha rahi thi. Equity markets mein positive sentiment aur Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks ne yen ki demand ko kam kar diya. Uchida ke bayan ke mutabiq, central bank market instability ke dauran interest rates ko nahi barhaye ga aur former BOJ board member Makoto Sakurai ke March 2025 tak rate hike ke prediction ne yen ki girawat mein contribute kiya. Magar, BOJ ke July policy meeting ke minutes se ye pata chala ke kuch members further rate hikes aur policy normalization ke liye inclined hain, jo yen ke downside ko limit kar sakta hai. Middle East ke geopolitical tensions aur ongoing Russia-Ukraine war ne yen ki kamzori ko counter balance kiya, jisse significant losses ko roka gaya. Is backdrop ke saath EUR/JPY ke upside potential ko bhi limit kiya gaya, traders ko zyada pronounced price movement ka intezar karna chahiye pehle position establish karne se. Eurozone ka Q2 GDP data Wednesday ko release hone wala hai aur Japanese Q2 GDP report Thursday ko aayegi, jo pair ko fresh impetus de sakti hai. Geopolitical developments bhi short-term trading opportunities de sakti hain.




Technically, EUR/JPY filhal 159.64 level ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke August 5 ke low 154.38 se kaafi door hai. Pair ne BoJ ke unexpected rate hike aur US mein recession fears ke wajah se sharp decline ke baad apni footing regain karne ki koshish ki hai. Momentum indicators jaise RSI aur ADX downtrend ke potential weakening ka signal de rahe hain, lekin RSI multi-year lows ke kareeb hai, jo caution ka indication hai. Bulls EUR/JPY ko February 22, 2007 ke high 159.64 ke upar maintain karne ki koshish karenge aur dheere-dheere March 7, 2022 se July 11, 2024 tak ke downtrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 163.37 ki taraf recover karne ki koshish karenge. Agla significant resistance area 164.29 se 164.97 ke beech hai. Overall, EUR/JPY pair recovery ke signs dikhata hai, magar market abhi bhi uncertain hai. Traders ko caution barqarar rakhni chahiye aur trading decisions lene se pehle fundamental aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye.

Monday ko price action ne EMA 200 H1 aur daily open 0.9434 ke ird gird khaas movements dikhaye. Shuru mein, jab price EMA 200 H1 se door hoti gayi, to ek uptrend period mein chali gayi, jise EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 dono ke upar ke rukh ne support kiya. Yeh bullish momentum tab nazar aaya jab price ne majbooti ki taraf kadam badhaya, magar 0.9485 par significant resistance ka samna karna pada. Is level ko todne ke kai attempts ke bawajood rejection mila, jisse price 0.9485 ke ird gird consolidate kar gayi. Is ke natije mein, price ne retrace kiya aur Monday ke trading ko 0.9453 par close kiya. Is retreat ne pehle se upar ki taraf sloping EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ko flatten aur downward curve banane par majboor kar diya, jo market sentiment ke shift ko reflect karta hai.

Tuesday ko, buyers ne phir se price ko upar push karne ki koshish ki, aur dheere dheere daily open 0.9454 ke upar move kiya. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 phir se upar ki taraf pointing kar rahe the, jo potential renewed bullish pressure ko signal karta hai. In efforts ke bawajood, price 0.9485 ke resistance ko todne mein fail rahi, jisse price gradual decline ka shikar hui, aur EMA 36 H1 ab further downside movement ke liye ek barrier ban gaya, jo daily open ke upar thoda sa hai.

Tuesday ko price EMA 200 H1 ke upar hover kar rahi thi, jo ab 0.9446 ke aas paas trend kar rahi thi. Yeh qareeb hona ek critical point ko indicate karta hai, kyunki EMA 200 H1 ek significant support level hai. 0.9485 resistance ko todne ke ongoing struggle aur EMA 200 H1 ke upar rehne se yeh dikhata hai ke market ek pivotal juncture par hai. Bullish outlook ke liye, price ko 0.9485 resistance ko decisively break karna hoga. Dusri taraf, agar price EMA 200 H1 ke paas ya neeche trade karte rahi, to yeh potential bearish shift ko indicate kar sakta hai. EMA 200 H1 current trend ke continue hone ya reversal ke hone ka faisla karne mein crucial role play karega.

EUR/JPY apni downside ko 162.25 ke qareeb extend kar raha hai Thursday ki early European session mein. Yeh cross key 100-period EMA ke neeche hai aur RSI condition oversold hai. Key support level 162.00 psychological mark par dekha ja raha hai; pehla upside barrier 164.85 par ubhar raha hai.

EUR/JPY cross chaar consecutive din se negative territory mein trade kar raha hai aur 162.25 ke ird gird hai Thursday ki early European session mein. Japanese Yen (JPY) ne Euro (EUR) ke muqable mein momentum hasil kiya hai, jo ke Wednesday ko Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke surprise hawkish policy announcement se mazid mazboot hua hai.

BoJ ne apni short-term policy rate ko 0-0.1% se barhakar 0.25% kar diya, jo 2008 ke baad se sabse bara hai. Iske ilawa, Japanese central bank ne yeh bhi kaha hai ke yeh Japanese government bonds ko January se March 2026 quarter mein karib 3 trillion yen ($19.64 billion) per month tak taper karega.

EUR/JPY apna bearish vibe 4-hour chart par unchanged rakhta hai jab ke yeh key 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hold kar raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bearish territory mein midline ke neeche hold kar raha hai. Magar, oversold RSI condition yeh indicate karta hai ke aage consolidation ka imkaan hai pehle ke koi near-term EUR/JPY depreciation ke liye position li jaye.

Cross ke liye crucial support level 162.00 psychological mark par ubharayega. Extended losses se drop 161.00-161.10 region tak dekhi ja sakti hai, jo Bollinger Band ka lower limit aur round figure ko darsha rahi hai. Additional downside filter dekhne ke liye 160.22 hai, jo March 11 ka low hai.

Upside par, cross ke liye immediate resistance level 164.85 ke qareeb dekha ja raha hai, jo July 25 ka low hai. Further north, agla hurdle 167.88 par located hai, jo July 30 ka high hai. Is level ke upar follow-through buying 100-period EMA ko expose kar sakti hai jo 168.55 par hai, followed by the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band around 169.12.

Is analysis mein, Monday ke trading session ke dauran jo price EMA 200 H1 ke aas paas chal rahi thi aur Monday ke daily open 0.9434 ke qareeb se cross hui, woh dheere dheere upar uthne lagi. Jab price EMA 200 H1 se door hone lagi, to yeh price ek uptrend period mein daakhil hui, aur isko EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ke upar ke taraf stretch hone se support mila. Jab price apni mazid taqat ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish kar rahi thi, to 0.9485 ke resistance ko test karte waqt ek rejection dekhne ko mili, jo ke baad mein confirm hui. Kai martaba upar jaane ki koshish ke bawajood, price 0.9485 ke aas paas consolidate karte hue neeche gir gayi. Monday ka trading session 0.9453 par close hua, jis wajah se EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 jo ke pehle upar ki taraf stretch ho rahi thi, woh dobara neeche ki taraf jhuk gayi aur market ke price behavior ke mutabiq narrow ho gayi.

Tuesday ke trading session mein daakhil hote hi, buyers ne market par dobara ghulami karne ki koshish ki jahan price dheere dheere apne daily open 0.9454 ke upar jane ki koshish kar raha tha. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 bhi dobara upar ki taraf ishara kar rahe the. Lekin buyers ki push abhi itni taqatwar nahi thi ke woh 0.9485 ke area ko penetrate kar sake, isliye price jo ke is area ko paar karne mein nakam rahi, dheere dheere neeche girne lagi aur EMA 36 H1 isko mazid kamzor hone se rok raha tha, jo ke ab daily open ke thoda sa upar maujood hai.

Halaanki price abhi tak EMA 200 H1 ke upar hai, magar price ab is area ke qareeb aane lagi hai jo ke ab 0.9446 figure ke aas paas cross ho rahi hai. Abhi yeh kehna jaldi hoga ke price upar ki taraf move karegi, 0.9485 ka resistance abhi bhi positive movement ke liye ek reference hai aur EMA 200 H1 ek trend barrier ke tor par kaam kar raha hai.

indication hoga ke bears ab bhi control mein hain aur ek potential reversal wapas support level ki taraf ho sakta hai. 170.53 resistance level ke qareeb do possible scenarios ho sakte hain: Bullish Breakout: Pehle scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, toh yeh ziata buyers ko attract karega, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega. Traders breakout ka confirmation dekhenge, jaise ke 170.53 level ka retest as new support. Agar price is level ke upar hold karti hai, toh yeh further rise kar sakti hai, higher resistance levels ko target karte hue, jo ke 171.00 aur beyond ho sakte hain. Yeh scenario un logon ke liye ideal hoga jo long positions hold kar rahe hain, kyun ke yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai Bearish Rejection: Dusre scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break karne mein naakam ho sakti hai. Agar price is level par reject hoti hai, toh yeh strong presence of sellers ka signal de sakti hai, jo ke potential bearish reversal ko lead karega. Phir price support level 170.217 ki taraf fall kar sakti hai, aur agar selling pressure intensify hota hai, toh aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai. Yeh traders ke liye ek key moment hoga bearish candlestick patterns ya doosre technical indicators ko dekhne ka jo rejection ko confirm kar sakein. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, un ke liye yeh signal ho sakta hai ke profits le lein ya stop-loss Aage dekhte hue, do main scenarios ka imkaan hai. Analysts ke mutabiq sabse zyada probable yeh hai ke current upward trend ka continuation hoga. Is mein price is period ke current local high jo ke 171.57 par hai, tak pohonch sakti hai. Market ka behavior correction process ko demonstrate karta hai, jo suggest karta hai ke possible downcast movement ho sakti hai EUR/JPY pair ka 172.62 ya 172.46 support zones ko test karna prudent hoga. Yeh support levels critical hain kyunki yeh market ki strength ka acha indication dete hain. Agar price ko support milta hai aur yeh levels hold kar leta hai, to yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish trend phir se resume ho sakta hai. Support levels ek floor ke tor par kaam karte hain jahan buying interest itna strong hota hai ke decline ko halt ya reverse kar sake. Price ka in support zones par reaction observe karna traders ko next course of action determine karne mein madad de sakta hai

EURJPY pair ka observation karte hue, jo ke is waqt bullish trend direction mein hai aur aik bullish triangle pattern form kar chuka hai, short term mein yeh upward rally ko continue karne ke imkanaat hain. Lekin, yeh yaad rakhein ke medium-term trend direction bhi abhi tak strong bullish hai, iska matlab yeh hai ke future prices ka probability wapis girne ka hai. Misal ke taur par, agar current price consistent rehti hai EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke upar, jo ke cross kar chuki hain aur golden cross signal de rahi hain, to price aur bhi upar ja sakti hai. Yeh confirm karne ke liye, price ko kareebi high prices 161.90 ke aas paas pass karna hoga taake bullish triangle pattern valid confirm ho sake.
Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ki perspective se dekha jaye to jiska volume histogram level 0 ke qareeb pohanch raha hai, to yeh momentum mein tabdeeli ka imkaan hai jo ke downtrend ki taraf ja sakti hai. Yeh EURJPY pair ki price ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Magar, Stochastic indicator ke parameters ko dekhte hue jo ke level 50 se guzarte hue overbought zone level 90 - 80 ki taraf ja rahe hain, dusri possibility yeh hai ke price upar ki taraf move karega. Japanese PPI y/y data report jo ke forecast ke mutabiq 3.0% result diya, woh Japanese Yen currency ke outlook ke liye kum supportive lagta hai. To iske natijay mein, fundamental taur par yeh EURJPY pair ki price ko kuch waqt ke liye support kar sakta hai

Setup entry position

Jab trend direction ko dekha jaye aur yeh pehle se hi bullish ho aur golden cross signal bhi nazar aa raha ho, to BUY moment ka intezar karein. Entry position ki placement tab karein jab price trendline ko successfully pass kar chuki ho ya jab bullish triangle pattern valid declare ho chuka ho. Stochastic indicator ke parameters ke cross hone ki confirmation jo ke level 50 par wapas aaye aur AO indicator ka volume histogram level 0 ya positive area ke upar wide ho. Take profit ka target resistance 162.80 par rakhein jabke stop loss do Moving Average lines ke aas paas rakhein

EUR/JPY pair ko observe karte huay, jo abhi bullish trend mein hai aur ek bullish triangle pattern bana raha hai, ye mumkin hai ke ye near term mein apni upward rally continue karega. Lekin, ye bhi note karna zaroori hai ke medium-term trend direction ab bhi strongly bullish hai, jo ke future mein price ke girne ka possibility raise kar sakti hai. Misal ke taur pe, agar current price EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke upar rehti hai, jo ke pehle hi cross ho chuki hain aur ek golden cross ka signal de rahi hain, toh price aur bhi zyada upar ja sakti hai. Bullish triangle pattern ki validation confirm karne ke liye, price ka approximately 161.90 ka high cross karna zaroori hai.
Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke perspective se dekha jaye, jo ke volume histogram ko level 0 ke qareeb le ja raha hai, toh ek momentum shift downtrend ki taraf ho sakta hai. Ye EUR/JPY pair ki price ko neeche le aasakta hai. Magar Stochastic indicator ke parameters ko dekha jaye, jo ke level 50 ke upar chala gaya hai aur overbought zone (levels 90-80) ke qareeb hai, toh ek aur possibility ye bhi hai ke price upar ja sakti hai. Japanese PPI y/y data report ke forecast outcome 3.0% ke saath, Japanese Yen currency outlook ke liye zyada support nazar nahi aata. Iss tarah se, fundamentally ye EUR/JPY pair ke price movement ko support kar sakti hai kuch time ke liye

Trading options ko dekhte huay, jab trend direction already bullish ho aur ek golden cross signal aaye, toh BUY moment ka intezar karna chahiye. Entry position tab place karni chahiye jab price successfully trendline ko break kare ya bullish triangle pattern ko validate kare. Confirmation zaroori hai jab Stochastic indicator ke parameters wapas level 50 ko cross karein, aur AO indicator ka volume histogram level 0 ke upar ya positive territory mein chala jaye. Take profit target resistance level 162.80 pe set karni chahiye, jabke stop loss ko do Moving Average lines ke qareeb position karna chahiye.

Aane walay ghanton mein EUR/JPY currency pair buyer-friendly stance sustain karne ki umeed hai. Aise stable market climate mein, strategic mechanisms ka leverage karna increasingly crucial ho jata hai, jaise ke stop-loss aur take-profit orders. Yeh tools effective risk management aur profit optimization ke liye indispensable hain. Stop-loss order ek pre-determined price level hota hai jo traders set karte hain taake automatically trade close ho jaye agar market unki position ke against move kare. Yeh mechanism potential losses limit karne aur trader ke capital ko protect karne ke liye design kiya gaya hai. Practically, stop-loss order ek safeguard ki tarah function karta hai significant financial setbacks ke against.
Misal ke taur par, agar ek trader EUR/JPY par long position enter karta hai aur market suddenly decline hoti hai, toh stop-loss order automatically trigger ho kar position ko pre-set level par close kar dega, is tarah further losses prevent ho jati hain. Yeh particularly valuable hota hai volatile market conditions mein jahan prices unpredictably swing kar sakti hain, jo substantial drawdowns lead kar sakti hain agar unchecked chhod diya jaye.

Conversely, take-profit order gains lock in karne ke liye design ki gayi hai by automatically closing a trade once a specific profit level is reached. Yeh ensure karta hai ke trader apne profits secure karein pehle ke market reverse ho kar gains erode kar de. Misal ke taur par, agar ek trader take-profit order set karta hai ek certain price par jo unke entry point se upar hota hai EUR/JPY par, toh trade automatically close ho jayega jab wo price reach ho jaye. Yeh order type crucial hai for ensuring ke profits realize ho aur market fluctuations ki wajah se na lost ho jayein jo ke baad mein follow kar sakti hain.

Strategic use of both stop-loss aur take-profit orders enhance karta hai trader ke ability to manage risk aur maximize returns. In levels ko pre-set karke, traders disciplined trading approach adhere kar sakte hain aur decision-making ke emotional pitfalls avoid kar sakte hain under pressure

EUR/JPY currency pair ne Wednesday ko rebound experience kiya, aur 161.10 level ke qareeb trade kar rahi thi. Yeh pichle saat dinon ke losing streak ka reversal tha. Japanese yen kamzor hui Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks ke baad, jinhon ne yeh indication di ke central bank apni accommodative monetary policy ko market instability ke bawajood maintain karega. Four-hour chart par overall trend abhi bhi bearish hai, price 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai, lekin Relative Strength Index (RSI) midline se upar chali gayi hai, jo near-term gains ka potential show karti hai. Immediate upside resistance Bollinger Band ke upper border ke qareeb 162.18 par hai. Agla resistance level 162.90-163.00 region mein hai, jo psychological levels aur pichle August 1 ke high ka confluence hai. Downside par, EUR/JPY pair ke liye initial support August 6 ke low 157.30 par hai. Yeh pair 168.00 level aur February se downward-sloping trendline ko break karne ke repeated attempts kar rahi hai, jo resistance ke tor par act kar rahi thi. Pehle ke failures ke bawajood, EUR/JPY chaar consecutive din tak is long-term trendline ke upar rahi, jo ek bullish breakout ka potential indicate karti hai. Technical indicators bhi oversold conditions suggest karte hain, jo upward move ki possibility ko support karte hain. Euro against Japanese yen pair, pichle hafte girne ke baad, dheere dheere apne positions recover kar rahi hai. Overall, markets panic mein kafi low drop hui thi, to even if fundamentals support na karein, mujhe lagta hai ke prices decline ka significant part recover kar sakti hain. Of course, higher timeframes par trend abhi bhi downward hai, lekin smaller timeframes par kuch buying opportunities mil sakti hain. EUR/JPY pair ke liye, agar price support level 159.50 ke upar rehne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to long positions khol sakte hain. Agar pair neeche jaati hai, to ek aur support level 157.26 par hai, jo pichle Tuesday ka minimum tha, aur buying ke liye entry points wahan dhoondhe ja sakte hain, preferably ek signal ki base par, na ke ek limit order par. Main abhi 161st Fibonacci level 163.80 tak rise consider kar raha hoon

**EUR/JPY Markazi Jaiza**

EUR/JPY currency pair filhal takreeban 161.18 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek bearish trend ko reflect karta hai jo recent market activity mein dekhne ko mila hai. Jabke market dheere dheere neeche ja rahi hai, aane wale dino mein bade movements ka potential nazar aa raha hai. Is currency pair ke dynamics ko samajhna traders aur investors ke liye zaroori hai jo ke potential opportunities ka faida uthana chahte hain.

### **Halaat-e-Markat Ka Jaiza**

161.18 ke current level par, EUR/JPY pair ek mazboot bearish trend mein hai. Yeh downward movement Eurozone aur Japan dono ke economic factors ke mix ka nateeja hai. Euro ko mixed economic data aur inflation aur European Central Bank (ECB) ki monetary policy ke concerns ka samna hai. Recent reports ne Eurozone ke mukhtalif sectors mein growth slow hone ki darustari di hai, jo ke ECB ke future actions ke bare mein speculations ko janam de rahi hai, aur yeh Euro ke around bearish sentiment ko janam de raha hai.

Dusri taraf, Japanese yen ne relative strength dikhayi hai, Japan ke stable economic conditions aur safe-haven currency ke status ke zariye. Yen aksar global uncertainty ke waqt faida uthatay hai jab investors Japanese assets mein safety dhoondte hain. Recent economic indicators ne yen ki confidence ko support diya hai.

### **Technical Analysis**

Technical perspective se, EUR/JPY pair ka 161.18 ka level ahmiyat rakhta hai. Pair ne consistently lower highs aur lower lows banaye hain, jo ke bearish trend ke classic indicators hain. 50-day aur 200-day moving averages bhi downward trend ko show kar rahe hain, jo market ke overall bearish sentiment ko reinforce karte hain. Jab tak market conditions mein koi notable shift nahi hota, prevailing downtrend ke barqarar rehne ke imkaan hain.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) ek aur crucial indicator hai jo monitor karna zaroori hai. Filhal RSI 30 ke around hai, jo ke market ke oversold territory ke qareeb honay ko darshata hai. Jabke yeh potential rebound ki indication de sakta hai, overall downward momentum jo ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator ke zariye indicate hota hai, bearish pressure ko strong dikhata hai.

EUR/JPY pair ke liye key support levels 160.50 aur 160.00 hain. In levels ke neeche break hona Euro ke liye yen ke muqablay mein aur nuksan ka sabab ban sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, immediate resistance levels 161.80 aur 162.00 ke aas-paas dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Agar pair in resistance levels ko break kar leti hai, to yeh potential reversal ya kam se kam bearish trend mein temporary halt ka indication ho sakta hai.

### **Mustaqbil Mein Movements Ko Affect Karne Wale Factors**

EUR/JPY pair mein aane wale waqt mein significant movements ke liye kuch factors ahmiyat rakhte hain:

1. **Economic Data Releases**: Eurozone aur Japan dono se aane wale economic data EUR/JPY pair ke agle move ko determine karne mein critical honge. Japan se stronger-than-expected economic data yen ko support de sakta hai, jo EUR/JPY pair ko niche kar sakta hai. Conversely, agar Eurozone economic data upside surprise deti hai, to yeh Euro ko support de sakta hai aur current trend ka reversal bhi ho sakta hai.

2. **Central Bank Policies**: European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policies EUR/JPY pair ke future direction mein crucial role play karengi. Agar ECB cautious approach ko continue rakhe aur BoJ apna accommodative stance maintain kare, to Euro ko aur pressure ka samna karna par sakta hai. Magar, agar ECB ka interest rates par aggressive approach ka indication milta hai, to yeh Euro ko yen ke muqablay mein support de sakta hai.

3. **Global Economic Conditions**: Global economic conditions bhi EUR/JPY pair ko impact karengi. Economic slowdown ya increased geopolitical tensions ke signs yen ke liye safe-haven assets ki demand ko barha sakte hain, jo Euro par aur pressure daal sakta hai. Conversely, agar global economic conditions improve hoti hain, to Euro ko support mil sakta hai aur EUR/JPY pair ke recovery ka potential ho sakta hai.

4. **Market Sentiment**: Market sentiment currency movements ka key driver hai. Agar investors Eurozone ke economic outlook ko weak perceive karte hain, to woh apni Euro holdings ko kam kar sakte hain, jo EUR/JPY pair par continued downward pressure daal sakta hai. Conversely, agar sentiment change hota hai, shaayad better-than-expected economic data ya central bank policy changes ki wajah se, to yeh pair mein significant upward movement lead kar sakta hai.

### **Badi Movement Ka Potential**

Halaanki current slow pace hai, lekin aane wale dino mein EUR/JPY pair mein significant movement ka strong potential hai. Economic data releases, central bank policies aur global economic conditions ka combination is potential movement ko drive karega. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki kisi bhi significant shift se currency pair mein sharp movements aa sakti hain.

### **Nateejah**

Nateejah ke taur par, jabke EUR/JPY pair filhal 161.18 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai aur bearish trend dikhata hai, lekin aane wale waqt mein significant movement ka potential high hai. Traders aur investors ko economic indicators, central bank policies aur global economic developments par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh pair ki agle direction ko determine karenge. Current market conditions ke madde nazar, informed rehna aur potential volatility ke liye tayyar rehna zaroori hoga trading opportunities ka faida uthaanay ke liye.

EURJPY
**EUR/JPY Tajziya - 03 July 2024**

**Muqaddima**
03 July 2024 ko EUR/JPY ki trading ke dauran market mein khas utaar chadhaav dekhne ko mila. Yeh pair apni range-bound situation se kuch hatt kar neechay ki taraf pressure mehsoos kar raha hai. Is report mein hum currency pair ke technical aur fundamental factors ka tajziya karain ge jo market ki direction ko mutasir kar rahe hain.

**Fundamental Factors**
Eurozone mein inflation ki paimana hai aur European Central Bank (ECB) ki monetary policy mein sakhti ke asaar ne Euro ko support diya hai. ECB ki taraf se hawkish stance Euro ke liye supportive sabit ho raha hai, lekin doosri taraf Japan mein Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni dovish policy ko barkarar rakha hai. Japan ki weak economic recovery aur low interest rates ne Yen ko kamzor banaya hai, jiske natayij me EUR/JPY pair upward bias ko barkarar rakhne ki koshish kar raha hai.

**Technical Tajziya**
Technical indicators ko dekha jaye to EUR/JPY daily chart par 50-day moving average se upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish signal hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) bhi 60 ke qareeb hai, jo buying momentum ko zahir kar raha hai. Lekin, agar price action ko dekha jaye, to 157.50 ka resistance level pair ke liye ek strong hurdle hai. Is level ke upar breakout aur sustain na karne ki surat mein, price 156.00 tak retreat kar sakti hai.

**Support aur Resistance Levels**
Key support levels 156.00 aur 154.75 par mojood hain, jabke upside mein 157.50 aur 158.20 resistance levels ke taur par dekhe ja sakte hain. Agar 158.20 ka level breach hota hai to yeh pair 160.00 ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo agla psychological resistance level hai.

**Akhir Kalam**
EUR/JPY ka trend mix hai, magar overall sentiment bullish hai jab tak pair 156.00 ke upar trade kar raha hai. Fundamental aur technical factors dono ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko chahiye ke yeh level observe karain. Short-term mein, pair ek range-bound scenario mein reh sakta hai magar long-term mein trend Euro ke haq mein rehta nazar aa raha hai, jab tak ECB apni hawkish policy barkarar rakhta hai.

morning, fellow InvestSocial traders. Jaisa ke hum dekh sakte hain, EURJPY ka overall trend bullish hai, aur yeh trend is hafte ke doran barqarar raha hai. Filhaal, price mid Bollinger Band ke upar hai H4 timeframe par. Lekin, Thursday ko movement kaafi dheemi thi, aur price 174.5 level ko break nahi kar paayi, jo ke mera pehla target tha. Market ke current dynamics ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke price phir se mid Bollinger Band ke paas aa rahi hai, isliye pullback ka chance ho sakta hai. Main soch raha hoon ke selling opportunity ko explore karoon aur sell position enter karoon, targeting 173.0 level ya agar zaroorat pesh aaye to EMA50 ke neeche bhi.
Pichle do hafton se EURJPY market zyada tar bullish note par close hota raha hai. Lekin, kal raat se market mein ek corrective downward movement chal rahi hai, aur buyers abhi control wapas nahi le paaye, jis se sellers market mein dominate kar rahe hain. Filhaal, sellers pressure daal rahe hain, jis se prices downward trend dikha rahi hain. Monthly perspective se, buyers ne significant entry ki hai, jo ke prices ko 174.46 zone tak le ja sakti hai. Bullish trend abhi bhi strong lag raha hai, aur aaj raat tak price increase ka chance hai.

Jaise ke price 173.72 level tak correct ho gayi hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers market mein abhi bhi mojood hain, isliye further upward movement ka possibility kaafi promising lagti hai. Mere overall trading strategy ke hisaab se, main buy position lene ko prefer karunga. Agar buyer strength barhti hai, to EURJPY price 174.26 level tak barh sakti hai. Bullish trend tabhi zyada evident hoga jab price 174.01 level ko break karegi. Isliye, buy position open karne ke liye, main price ke current zone ke upar move karne ka intezar karunga ya price ki correction continue hone ka intezar karunga.

weakness ka bhi kuch impact zaroor hoga, khas taur pe Germany Haalat ko dekhte hue, mujhe agle hafte mein nearest resistance level ka retest hone ki poori umeed hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh resistance level 170.53 par waqia hai. Yeh level crucial hai kyun ke yeh current bullish momentum ki strength ko test karega. Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh yeh further upward movement aur bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko break karne mein naakam rehti hai aur yahan se reject hoti hai, toh yeh is baat ka indication hoga ke bears ab bhi control mein hain aur ek potential reversal wapas support level ki taraf ho sakta hai. 170.53 resistance level ke qareeb do possible scenarios ho sakte hain: Bullish Breakout: Pehle scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, toh yeh ziata buyers ko attract karega, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega. Traders breakout ka confirmation dekhenge, jaise ke 170.53 level ka retest as new support. Agar price is level ke upar hold karti hai, toh yeh further rise kar sakti hai, higher resistance levels ko target karte hue, jo ke 171.00 aur beyond ho sakte hain. Yeh scenario un logon ke liye ideal hoga jo long positions hold kar rahe hain, kyun ke yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai Bearish Rejection: Dusre scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break karne mein naakam ho sakti hai. Agar price is level par reject hoti hai, toh yeh strong presence of sellers ka signal de sakti hai, jo ke potential bearish reversal ko lead karega. Phir price support level 170.217 ki taraf fall kar sakti hai, aur agar selling pressure intensify hota hai, toh aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai. Yeh traders ke liye ek key moment hoga bearish candlestick patterns ya doosre technical indicators ko dekhne ka jo rejection ko confirm kar sakein. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, EUR/JPY apni southward trajectory ko barqarar rakhta hai, to pehla defense line peechle high 171.55 pe hogi. Yeh level 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke sath coincide karta hai, jo iske potential support function ko mazeed m azbooti deta hai. Is point ke neeche break karne se bearish sentiment ka wave trigger ho sakta hai, jo price ko 50-day EMA pe 169.70 aur uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (around 169.50) tak push kar sakta hai, jo uptrend line ke qareeb hai. Dusri taraf, agar bulls control wapas hasil kar lete hain, to pair 174.60 resistance level ko retest karne ki koshish for larger version