variant mein, "Double Top" graphic pattern ka right shoulder formation hota haidata aur June ke pehle step pe reaction pe depend karta hai. Jab ke central bank almost entirely inflation data pe focus kar raha hai rate cut justify karne ke liye June mein, economic weakness ka bhi kuch impact zaroor hoga, khas taur pe Germany Haalat ko dekhte hue, mujhe agle hafte mein nearest resistance level ka retest hone ki poori umeed hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh resistance level 170.53 par waqia hai. Yeh level crucial hai kyun ke yeh current bullish momentum ki strength ko test karega. Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh yeh further upward movement aur bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko break karne mein naakam rehti hai aur yahan se reject hoti hai, toh yeh is baat ka indication hoga ke bears ab bhi control mein hain aur ek potential reversal wapas support level ki taraf ho sakta hai. 170.53 resistance level ke qareeb do possible scenarios ho sakte hain: Bullish Breakout: Pehle scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, toh yeh ziata buyers ko attract karega, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega. Traders breakout ka confirmation dekhenge, jaise ke 170.53 level ka retest as new support. Agar price is level ke upar hold karti hai, toh yeh further rise kar sakti hai, higher resistance levels ko target karte hue, jo ke 171.00 aur beyond ho sakte hain. Yeh scenario un logon ke liye ideal hoga jo long positions hold kar rahe hain, kyun ke yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai Bearish Rejection: Dusre scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break karne mein naakam ho sakti hai. Agar price is level par reject hoti hai, toh yeh strong presence of sellers ka signal de sakti hai, jo ke potential bearish reversal ko lead karega. Phir price support level 170.217 ki taraf fall kar sakti hai, aur agar selling pressure intensify hota hai, toh aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai. Yeh traders ke liye ek key moment hoga bearish candlestick patterns ya doosre technical indicators ko dekhne ka jo rejection ko confirm kar sakein. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, EUR/JPY apni southward trajectory ko barqarar rakhta hai, to pehla defense line peechle high 171.55 pe hogi. Yeh level 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke sath coincide karta hai, jo iske potential support function ko mazeed mazbooti deta hai. Is point ke neeche break karne se bearish sentiment ka wave trigger ho sakta hai, jo price ko 50-day EMA pe 169.70 aur uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (around 169.50) tak push kar sakta hai, jo uptrend line ke qareeb hai. Dusri taraf, agar bulls control wapas hasil kar lete hain, to pair 17
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