یورو / جاپانی ین: مارکیٹ کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Hello doston! Euro aur Japanese yen ka currency pair, jo pichle hafte gir gaya tha, ab dheere dheere apni positions wapas hasil kar raha hai. Pura market panic ke bawajood kaafi neeche chala gaya tha, is liye agar fundamentals isay support nahi karte, phir bhi mujhe lagta hai ke prices kaafi had tak apni decline ko recover kar sakti hain. Zahir hai ke bade timeframes par trend ab bhi downward hai, magar chhote timeframes par kuch buying opportunities mil sakti hain.
EURJPY pair ke liye, agar price support level 159.50 ke upar rehti hai, to long positions open ki ja sakti hain. Agar price is se neeche jati hai, to ek aur support level 157.26 hai, jo pichle Tuesday ka minimum tha, aur yahan buying ke liye entry points talash kiye ja sakte hain, behtar hoga agar yeh signal ke base par ho na ke limit order par.

Mujhe lagta hai ke price 161st Fibonacci level tak upar ja sakti hai, jo ke 163.80 par hai. Yeh analysis kehte hain ke market ab recovery phase mein hai aur chhote timeframes par kuch achi buying opportunities mil sakti hain. Lekin yaad rahe ke bade timeframes par downward trend kaafi strong hai, is liye buying karte waqt cautious rehna zaroori hai. Agar aap long position lete hain, to stop loss ko 157.26 ke neeche set karna behtar hoga taake potential losses ko manage kiya ja sake.

EUR/JPY pair mein analysis karte huye yeh zahir hota hai ke current trend bullish hai. Yeh trend is hafte bhi jaari hai, kyunki price H4 chart par mid Bollinger Band (BB) ke upar constant hai. Thursday ke movement mein kuch ihtiyaat dekhi gayi, jahan EUR/JPY 174.5 mark ko cross karne mein mushkilat mein tha—jo pehle target ke tor par set kiya gaya tha—lekin bullish sentiment abhi bhi qaim hai. Filhal, price dobara mid BB ke qareeb hai, jo ke potential declines ka darwaza khol sakta hai.Maujooda market haalaat ko dekhte huye, EUR/JPY mein ek downturn ka significant possibility hai. Main ek munasib selling opportunity ke intezaar mein hoon aur shayad sell position enter karoon, jiska ideal target 173.0 ke qareeb hoga, ya phir agar price EMA50 support ko breach kare to aur neeche tak bhi ja sakta hai. H4 timeframe par yeh zahir hota hai ke primary trend ab bhi bullish hai, lekin recent price action consolidation ka ishara de raha hai. Yeh consolidation phase short term mein kaafi ahem upward movements ko rok sakta hai.Pichle teen hafton mein, EUR/JPY ne ek noticeable uptrend dekha hai, jo ke aksar weakening JPY ki wajah se hua. Is trend ne pair ko 167 se 174 ke range tak push kiya hai. Aage aur gains ka potential qaim hai, jiska ideal buy target 175 ke qareeb hai.

Is hafte, buyers ka bullish response jaari hai, jo prices ko simple moving average (SMA) with a period of 100 ki taraf push kar raha hai. Kal raat ki trading mein ek significant bullish movement dekhi gayi, jahan prices 172.06 zone ke upar thi, jo ke upward trend ke jaari rehne ka indication hai. Pichle hafte ek bearish attempt tha prices ko 171.41 tak push karne ka, lekin current trend yeh suggest karta hai ke price range higher ja sakti hai, jo ke qareeb 172.66 ho sakti hai.Agle kuch dinon ke liye focus buying opportunities identify karne par hona chahiye, given ongoing bullish trend. Lekin price decline ka possibility ka dhyan rakhna zaroori hai, halanke is stage par yeh kam chances mein lagta hai. Hamesha ki tarah, market ko closely monitor karein kisi bhi reversal ya unexpected movements ke signs ke liye.

4-hour chart par, price dobara usi opening area mein trade kar raha hai jo hafte ki shuruaat ka resistance area hai, aur price upper channel lines ke neeche hai aur weekly pivot level ke neeche bhi. Hafte ki shuruaat mein, price descending price channels mein aur weekly pivot level ke neeche trade ho raha tha. Yeh ek strong wave mein gira jab tak ke yeh channels ko break karne mein kamiyab hua aur phir weekly level 154.24 se support mila, jo ke rise hone laga aur channels mein dobara trade hone laga. Price ne kuch koshishon ke baad red channel ko break kiya aur phir retest bhi kiya. Ab blue channel aur weekly pivot level ko break karne ki koshish ki ja rahi hai, jo agar successful hui to yeh pair ko ek positive close degi jo agle hafte mein further rise ko support karegi.Economic side par, Japanese yen ke gains baaki currencies ke khilaf barh gaye hain risk aversion ke saath, jab global stock markets collapse ho gayi hain US economic recession ke fears ke darmiyan. Stock trading platforms par Eurozone stocks 27 hafton ke lowest levels par pohnch gayi hain. Eurozone stocks ne Monday ko tezi se fall kiya, jo ke equity markets ke world-wide sell-off ke baad aaya hai, jab concerns barh gaye hain ke major economies prolonged high interest rates ke pressures mein aati ja rahi hain, jo ke recent mein weak U.S. labor market aur strong Japanese yen se badh gayi hai. Eurozone ka STOXX 50 index 3.5% gir kar 4,475 par aaya, jo ke pichle hafte ke 4.6% decline se extend hua hai, jabke pan-European STOXX 600 index 3.2% gir kar 480 par aaya, jo ke pichle hafte ke 2.5% decline se extend hua hai.

EUR/JPY karansi peir is waqt 159.77 par trade kar raha hai, aur yeh ek bearish trend ko reflect kar raha hai. Market abhi dheemi raftaar se chal raha hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke ya to consolidation ka period chal raha hai ya phir volatility kam ho gayi hai. Is waqt ke is susti ke bawajood, kuch aise factors hain jo is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke ane walay dinon mein EUR/JPY peir mein aham movement ho sakti hai.
### Economic Indicators

Economic indicators ka karansi peirs jese ke EUR/JPY par kafi asar hota hai. Euro ke liye, Eurozone se anay wale economic data, jese ke inflation rates, GDP growth figures, aur unemployment data kafi ahmiyat rakhte hain. Agar inflation report expected se zyada strong hui, to yeh euro ko mazid mustahkam kar sakti hai, jo ke current bearish trend ko ulat sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar economic data kamzor raha, to yeh euro ke against yen ko mazid kamzor kar sakta hai.

Japan ke hawalay se, yen par Japan ke economic indicators ka asar hota hai, jin mein inflation data, GDP growth, aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policy decisions shamil hain. Japan kai arsey se low inflation aur stagnant economic growth se do-char hai, jo aksar yen ko kamzor banata hai. Lekin agar Japan mein economic recovery ke koi asar nazar ayein, to yeh yen ko mazid mustahkam kar sakta hai, jiski wajah se EUR/JPY peir par mazid downward pressure par sakta hai.

### Central Bank Policies

Central bank policies, jaise ke European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ), EUR/JPY exchange rate ke key drivers hain. ECB ka interest rates ke hawalay se stance, khaskar Eurozone ke economic conditions aur inflationary pressures ke hawalay se, traders ke liye kafi ehmiyat rakhta hai. Agar ECB zyada hawkish stance apnati hai, jese ke aane wale waqt mein aur rate hikes ki indications, to euro mazid mustahkam ho sakta hai, jo ke current bearish trend ko offset kar sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, BoJ ne apni monetary policy ko kafi accommodative rakha hai, jisme negative interest rates aur yield curve control shamil hain. Lekin agar BoJ ki taraf se kisi tightening ke asar aayein, jese ke asset purchases ka kam karna ya interest rates ko barhawa dena, to yen mazid mustahkam ho sakta hai, jo ke EUR/JPY peir par pressure daal sakta hai.

### Global Economic Conditions

Global economic conditions bhi EUR/JPY peir ki movements par kafi asar daalti hain. Misal ke tor par, agar global economic growth ke hawalay se concerns ya trade tensions ho, to yeh investors ko safe-haven currencies jese ke yen ki taraf le kar jata hai, jo yen ko mazid mazboot aur EUR/JPY peir ko kamzor kar sakta hai.

Isi tarah, agar China ya United States jese major economies mein economic challenges badh jate hain, to yeh EUR/JPY peir par bhi asar daal sakta hai. Misal ke tor par, agar China ka slowdown hota hai, to investors safety ke liye yen ki taraf bhagte hain, jo yen ko mazboot aur euro ko kamzor kar sakta hai.

### Geopolitical Events

Geopolitical events bhi EUR/JPY peir mein ahm movements la sakte hain. Trade policies mein tabdeeli, Europe ya Japan mein political instability, ya koi bhi unexpected global event, market mein volatility ko barha sakta hai. Yen, jo ke traditionally ek safe-haven currency hai, aksar geopolitical uncertainty ke doran mazboot hota hai, jo EUR/JPY peir ko aur kamzor kar sakta hai.

Misal ke tor par, agar Eastern Europe ya Asia mein geopolitical tensions mein izafa hota hai, to yeh yen ko mazboot aur EUR/JPY peir ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar koi positive geopolitical developments hoti hain, to yeh euro ko mazboot kar sakti hain, jisse EUR/JPY peir mein bullish reversal ho sakta hai.

### Technical Analysis

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, EUR/JPY peir is waqt ek bearish trend mein hai, lekin kuch indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke ane wale dinon mein ahm movement ho sakti hai. Traders support aur resistance levels par kafi closely nazar rakhenge, taake potential entry aur exit points ko samajh sakein. 159.77 ka current level important support zones ke kareeb hai, aur agar yeh levels break hotay hain to mazid bearish momentum ka signal mil sakta hai.

Technical indicators jese ke moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) bhi important roles play karenge trends ko identify karne mein. Agar RSI yeh indicate karta hai ke pair oversold hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ko suggest kar sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar MACD bullish crossover ke asar dikhata hai, to yeh yeh baat indicate kar sakta hai ke bearish trend apni momentum kho raha hai aur reversal kar sakta hai.

### Market Sentiment

Market sentiment bhi EUR/JPY peir ki direction ko samajhne ke liye kafi ehmiyat rakhta hai. Agar sentiment euro ke liye bearish hai Eurozone economic data ya ECB policy ke concerns ki wajah se, to pair apni downward trajectory ko continue kar sakta hai. Lekin agar sentiment euro ke haq mein shift hota hai, shayad kisi stronger-than-expected economic data ya hawkish ECB ke stance ki wajah se, to pair mein bullish reversal dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Is waqt, market sentiment kaafi cautious lag raha hai, aur traders economic data aur central bank policies ke hawalay se zyada clarity ka intezar kar rahe hain. Lekin agar koi unexpected news ya data saamne aata hai, to sentiment jaldi se shift ho sakta hai, aur EUR/JPY peir mein ahm movements dekhne ko mil sakti hain.

### Conclusion

Akhir mein, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke EUR/JPY currency peir is waqt dheemi raftaar se chal raha hai aur bearish trend mein hai, lekin kuch factors yeh suggest karte hain ke ane wale dinon mein is peir mein significant movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Economic indicators, central bank policies, global economic conditions, geopolitical events, technical analysis, aur market sentiment sabhi EUR/JPY peir ki future direction ko determine karne mein crucial roles play karenge. Traders aur investors ko in factors par nazar rakhni chahiye, taake potential opportunities aur risks ka samna kiya ja sake forex market mein.

EURJPY ki qeemat daily time frame chart per kaafi gir gayi hai, pichlay kuch dino se mojood bearish momentum ki wajah se. 23 July se qeemat gir rahi hai aur moving average lines ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke bearish primary trend ko zahir karta hai. Is hafta, Monday ko, maine dekha ke qeemat pehlay kuch ghanton mein tezi se neeche gayi, lekin baad mein 154.30 support level ko test karne ke baad upar uth gayi, jis wajah se EURJPY ne pin bar candle banayi. Phir Tuesday ko bhi pin bar candle bani, jo yeh batata hai ke din ke aakhri mein bears ka asar tha, lekin Monday candle mein buyers zaida the. Abhi ke liye, qeemat bohat tezi se upar ja rahi hai aur EURJPY ek mazboot bullish candle bana rahi hai. Yeh bullish activities asal mein RSI indicator ke oversold level ke neeche hone ka natija hain, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke EURJPY ek price adjustment kar rahi hai jisse yeh umeed hai ke yeh 164.26 ke resistance level ko test karegi.
Weekly time frame chart outlook:
EURJPY ki qeemat weekly time frame chart per kaafi arsay se ek ascending channel mein move kar rahi thi; lekin pichlay chaar hafton se qeemat gir rahi hai, jis wajah se bears dominant hain. Pichlay hafta se trend direction bearish hai, kyunke EURJPY ne aakhir kar iss ascending channel ke bottom ko tod diya aur moving average lines ke neeche cross kar gayi. Is hafta, mujhe umeed thi ke qeemat giraygi shadid bear momentum ki wajah se, aur waqai mein aisa hi dekha. Jab EURJPY ne 154.19 support level ko chhua, to umeed hai ke yeh kuch dair ke liye upar uthaygi. Lekin waqt ke sath qeemat phir se giraygi, isliye maine diagram mein aglay kuch support levels dikhaye hain taake bears ki madad ho sake

j Drlevel mark 164.432, jo pattern ka base bhi serve karta hai. Model ke base ke neeche breakout aur consolidation, pattern potential ke realization ki prospect hai equal to vector (1-2, and), aur EURJPY ke exit ka area ascending channel ki support line. Yani intra-channel correction ka mechanism minimum par launch hota hai, aur medium term mein external correction ke conditions maximum par. Ek aur correction development ka option price ko channel resistance line tak extend karna hai, aur local maximum area elevation 171,590 mein strength test karna hai. Is variant mein, "Double Top" graphic pattern ka right shoulder formation hota haidata aur June ke pehle step pe reaction pe depend karta hai. Jab ke central bank almost entirely inflation data pe focus kar raha hai rate cut justify karne ke liye June mein, economic weakness ka bhi kuch impact zaroor hoga, khas taur pe Germany Haalat ko dekhte hue, mujhe agle hafte mein nearest resistance level ka retest hone ki poori umeed hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh resistance level 170.53 par waqia hai. Yeh level crucial hai kyun ke yeh current bullish momentum ki strength ko test karega. Agar price is




resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh yeh further upward movement aur bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko break karne mein naakam rehti hai aur yahan se reject hoti hai, toh yeh is baat ka indication hoga ke bears ab bhi control mein hain aur ek potential reversal wapas support level ki taraf ho sakta hai. 170.53 resistance level ke qareeb do possible scenarios ho sakte hain: Bullish Breakout: Pehle scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, toh yeh ziata buyers ko attract karega, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega. Traders breakout ka confirmation dekhenge, jaise ke 170.53 level ka retest as new support. Agar price is level ke upar hold karti hai, toh yeh further rise kar sakti hai, higher resistance levels ko target karte hue, jo ke 171.00 aur beyond ho sakte hain. Yeh scenario un logon ke liye ideal hoga jo long positions hold kar rahe hain, kyun ke yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai Bearish Rejection: Dusre scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break karne mein naakam ho sakti hai. Agar price is level par reject hoti hai, toh yeh strong presence of sellers ka signal de sakti hai, jo ke potential bearish reversal ko lead karega. Phir price support level 170.217 ki taraf fall kar sakti hai, aur agar selling pressure intensify hota hai, toh aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai. Yeh traders ke liye ek key moment hoga bearish candlestick patterns ya doosre technical indicators ko dekhne ka jo rejection ko confirm kar sakein. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, un ke liye yeh signal ho sakta hai ke profits le lein ya stop-loss orders ko adjust kar lein taake further downside

### Current Market Conditions Overview: Non-Farm Movements

Non-farm movements do din se zyada trend kar rahe hain aur aksar teen figures se zyada exceed kar rahe hain, jo aam tor par technical layouts se align nahi karte. Yeh observation mere liye is waqt khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai. Pehle, yeh asaan tha; hum Thursday aur Friday ke darmiyan pending orders place karte the, aur aksar in mein se koi na koi trigger ho jata tha. Filhaal, swing activity dono directions mein ho rahi hai, jiske natije mein end mein koi significant movement nahi hoti.
### EUR/JPY Decline

**Current Situation:**

Is waqt, EUR/JPY pair decline mein hai aur ascending channel se breakout kar chuki hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur Stochastic indicators weak hain aur conflicting directions show kar rahe hain, jo trading ke liye strong signals provide nahi karte. Aaj, EUR/JPY khaas tor par payroll data se impact hui hai, jo negative sentiment ko contribute kar raha hai. Yeh pair baghair kisi significant pullbacks ke decline kar rahi hai; jab pullbacks hote hain, to woh sirf narrow range mein hoti hain aur phir downward trend resume ho jata hai.

### Technical Analysis

**Hourly Chart Analysis:** Hourly chart par, currency pair do descending channels ke andar position mein hai, jo red aur green se highlight hain. Haal hi mein, yeh descending Junior Andrews Pitchfork mein re-enter hui hai aur downward movement continue kar rahi hai. Aise patterns aksar news releases ke around emerge hote hain, jahan ek taraf euro aur dusri taraf dollar-yen hota hai. Agar aap trading ka soch rahe hain, to minimal trading advise ki jati hai. Recent news release ke duran, ek significant drop of two figures observe hui thi, jiske baad targets, reference points, logic, aur relevant techniques significant ban gaye jab next candle 161 par return hui aur trading figure 159 par close hui.

### Current Trading Climate

**Market Sentiment:**

Yen-related currencies ki tarah, euro bhi trading ke liye unattractive ban gaya hai, jo sentiment kaafi arse se clear hai. Daily timeframe chart par, price ek ascending channel mein move kar rahi thi, jo ek bullish trend ko indicate karta hai with significant price increases. Lekin, EUR/JPY 23 July ko bullish se bearish trend mein shift hui, ascending channel ka bottom break karte hue aur moving average lines ke neeche fall kar gayi. General bearish momentum ne price ko neeche drive kiya.

### Key Support Levels

**Support Levels:** Is hafta ke Wednesday ko, EUR/JPY ne 164.28 support level ke neeche break kiya. Agar decline isi intensity se continue karta hai, to agle support levels jo test ho sakte hain woh 158.10 aur 152.91 hain.

**Historical Data:** Historically, market ne price ko 175.48 ke peak tak reach karte dekha. Last three weeks mein, prices weekly timeframe chart par decline kar rahi hain; lekin is hafta bears ne zyada strength demonstrate ki hai, jiske natije mein ek robust bearish candle form hui hai. Is bearish candle ki formation ke duran, mujhe notice hua ke EUR/JPY ne trend line break ki jo attached diagram mein displayed thi aur moving average lines ke neeche cross ki. Path ab bears ke liye clear hai, aur agle do potential support levels diagram mein shamil hain jo assistance offer karte hain.

EUR/JPY currency pair ne Wednesday ko rebound kiya aur 161.10 ke level ke aas-paas trade kiya. Yeh pichle saat din ki losing streak ka reversal tha. Japanese yen ne Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks ke baad kamzor hota gaya, jinhone indicate kiya ke central bank market instability ke bawajood apni accommodative monetary policy ko barqarar rakhega. Jabke four-hour chart par overall trend bearish hai aur price crucial 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai, Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne apni midline ko cross kar diya hai, jo near-term gains ke liye potential suggest karta hai. Immediate upside resistance Bollinger Band ke upper border par 162.18 ke aas-paas hai. Agla resistance level 162.90-163.00 ke region mein hai, jo psychological levels aur pehle August 1 ke high ka confluence hai. Neeche ki taraf, EUR/JPY pair ke liye initial support August 6 ke low 157.30 par hai. Pair ne 168.00 level aur downward-sloping trendline, jo February se resistance bana hua hai, ko break karne ki repeated attempts ki hai. Pichle failures ke bawajood, EUR/JPY ne is long-term trendline ke upar chaar consecutive din guzare hain, jo bullish breakout ke potential ko indicate karta hai. Technical indicators bhi oversold conditions ko suggest karte hain, jo upward move ki possibility ko support karta hai.
168.17 level ke upar decisive close ek extension ko 169.72 handle ki taraf confirm karega. Magar, ek strong bullish signal ke liye 20- aur 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) aur April high 171.56 ke upar move ki zarurat hai. Further upside momentum 172.55 ke area ke aas-paas capped ho sakta hai, jo mid-July mein price ko reject kar chuka hai. Agar is level ka successful breach hota hai, to July high 175.41 ki taraf rasta clear ho jayega. Overall, EUR/JPY pair Japanese yen ki kamzori ke darmiyan recovery ke signs dikhata hai. Jabke short-term outlook cautiously optimistic hai, pair ke key resistance levels ke upar gains ko sustain karne ki ability overall trend ko determine karne mein crucial hogi.

inflation data pe focus kar raha hai rate cut justify karne ke liye June mein, economic weakness ka bhi kuch impact zaroor hoga, khas taur pe Germany Haalat ko dekhte hue, mujhe agle hafte mein nearest resistance level ka retest hone ki poori umeed hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh resistance level 170.53 par waqia hai. Yeh level crucial hai kyun ke yeh current bullish momentum ki strength ko test karega. Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh yeh further upward movement aur bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko break karne mein naakam rehti hai aur yahan se reject hoti hai, toh yeh is baat ka indication hoga ke bears ab bhi control mein hain aur ek potential reversal wapas support level ki taraf ho sakta hai. 170.53 resistance level ke qareeb do possible scenarios ho sakte hain: Bullish Breakout: Pehle scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, toh yeh ziata buyers ko attract karega, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega. Traders breakout ka confirmation dekhenge, jaise ke 170.53 level ka retest as new support. Agar price is level ke upar hold karti hai, toh yeh further rise kar sakti hai, higher resistance levels ko target karte hue, jo ke 171.00 aur beyond ho sakte hain. Yeh scenario un logon ke liye ideal hoga jo long positions hold kar rahe hain, kyun ke yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai Bearish Rejection: Dusre scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break karne mein naakam ho sakti hai. Agar price is level par reject hoti hai, toh yeh strong presence of sellers ka signal de sakti hai, jo ke potential bearish reversal ko lead karega. Phir price support level 170.217 ki taraf fall kar sakti hai, aur agar selling pressure intensify hota hai, toh aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai. Yeh traders ke liye ek key moment hoga bearish candlestick patterns ya doosre technical indicators ko dekhne ka jo rejection ko confirm kar sakein. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, EUR/JPY apni southward trajectory ko barqarar rakhta hai, to pehla defense line peechle high 171.55 pe hogi. Yeh level 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke sath coincide karta hai, jo iske potential support function ko mazeed m azbooti deta hai. Is point ke neeche break karne se bearish sentiment ka wave trigger ho sakta hai, jo price ko 50-day EMA pe 169.70 aur uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (around 169.50) tak push kar sakta hai, jo uptrend line ke qareeb hai. Dusri taraf, agar bulls control wapas hasil kar lete hain, to pair 174.60 resistance level ko retest karne ki koshishClick image for larger version

indications ke liye. Market mein anticipation hai ke price increase hogi, targeting the resistance level of 161.50-161.72. Yeh resistance level critical hai kyunki yeh potential further price action ke liye benchmark ka kaam karta hai. Agar EUR/JPY pair is level ko break kar leti hai aur iske upar fixate ho jati hai, toh yeh bullish momentum signal karegi, jo price ki further growth ka direction open karegi. 161.50-161.72 resistance level ke upar break aur sustain karna bullish trend ko confirm karne ke liye crucial hai. Yeh level historically barrier ka kaam karta hai, aur isko overcome karna strong buying interest aur continued upward movement ka indication hoga. Market ka attention uske baad next target range of 161.62-162.18 pe shift ho jayega. Yeh range significant hai kyunki yeh subsequent resistance levels ko represent karti hai jo price ko surpass karna hoga bullish trajectory maintain karne ke liye. Traders ko yeh key levels ke around price action ko closely observe karna chahiye. EUR/JPY pair ka behavior 161.50-161.72 range pe valuable insights provide karega market sentiment ke baare mein. A successful breakout aur consolidation is range ke upar zyada buyers ko attract karega, reinforcing the bullish outlook. Conversely, agar price break karne mein fail hoti hai aur retreat karti hai, toh yeh insufficient buying pressure aur possible reversal ya consolidation phase ka indication ho sakta hai. Various technical indicators aur chart patterns ko consider karna essential hai jab EUR/JPY pair ke potential movements ko analyze kar rahe hon. Indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Averages, aur candlestick patterns additional confirmation provide kar sakte hain trend aur potential entry ya exit points ke. For instance, RSI reading above 70 overbought conditions ko indicate kar sakti hai, suggesting a potential pullback, jab ke reading below 30 oversold conditions ko indicate kar sakti

159.16 par thi. Bina kisi major distractions ke, price ne iss area ko perfectly penetrate kiya, aur yeh weakening resistance 158.62 aur 158.08 ko support 156.62 tak cross kar gayi. Sellers ke strong pressure ki wajah se, price ne iss area ko bhi pass kiya aur aur neeche gir gayi. Sirf jab price ne 154.63 ko touch kiya, tab ek reversal aaya jo ke trend mein zaroori correction phase ka hissa hai. Price jo wapas turn hui thi, usne 156.62 area ko penetrate karne ki koshish ki. Magar yeh condition zyada dair tak nahi rahi, aur EMA 12 line ke cross hone ke baad, price phir se weaken hui aur ab narrow range mein 155.62 - 155.13 ke aas paas move kar rahi hai. H1 time frame mein bearish trend kaafi arsay se chala aa raha hai, jahan EMA 200 H1 position price movement se kaafi upar hai. Isi tarah, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 bhi neeche ki taraf hanging hain jo price flow ki strength ko indicate karte hain. Iss condition ke madde nazar, price further move karne ki sambhavana hai, isliye sell option ko maintain kiya ja sakta hai. Aaj ke daily time frame par ek temporary bearish candle form hui hai jo ke subah ke Asian session se European session tak ke price movement se kaafi lambi hai. Yeh candle Friday ko form hone wali bearish candle se kaafi lambi hai, jahan us din high aur low 161.54 aur 159.66 par the. Seller ki badhti hui strength ne price ko directly Friday ke low price ke neeche le aayi hai, 159.85 resistance ko break karte hue jo aaj ke positive aur negative movement ka limiter tha.
Seller ke support se price ne kaafi daily supports ko ek din mein break kar diya hai jo unke last limits se bhi aage nikal chuki hain, jo ke 158.56 aur 156.56 hain. Yeh estimate kiya jata hai ke price ab bhi EMA 633 daily line ko reach karne ki koshish karegi, isliye weakening ka silsila continue hone ka mauka hai. Daily time frame par trend bearish indicate hoti hai. Price EMA 200 daily ke neeche move kar rahi hai. Magar, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ab bhi EMA 200 ke upar hain, lekin dono ne ek cross form kar liya hai aur neeche ki taraf point kar rahi hain. Agar price EMA 633 ko reach karne aur break out karne mein kamiyab hoti hai aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 EMA 200 ko cross karne mein kamiyab hoti hain, to bearish trend daily par phir se validate ho jayegi. Lekin, abhi daily stochastic market conditions ko oversold indicate kar raha hai, isliye yeh mumkin hai ke price pehle correction experience kare. Yeh EMA 633

JPY currency pair ne Wednesday ko rebound kiya aur 161.10 ke level ke aas-paas trade kiya. Yeh pichle saat din ki losing streak ka reversal tha. Japanese yen ne Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks ke baad kamzor hota gaya, jinhone indicate kiya ke central bank market instability ke bawajood apni accommodative monetary policy ko barqarar rakhega. Jabke four-hour chart par overall trend bearish hai aur price crucial 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai, Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne apni midline ko cross kar diya hai, jo near-term gains ke liye potential suggest karta hai. Immediate upside resistance Bollinger Band ke upper border par 162.18 ke aas-paas hai. Agla resistance level 162.90-163.00 ke region mein hai, jo psychological levels aur pehle August 1 ke high ka confluence hai. Neeche ki taraf, EUR/JPY pair ke liye initial support August 6 ke low 157.30 par hai. Pair ne 168.00 level aur downward-sloping trendline, jo February se resistance bana hua hai, ko break karne ki repeated attempts ki hai. Pichle failures ke bawajood, EUR/JPY ne is long-term trendline ke upar chaar consecutive din guzare hain, jo bullish breakout ke potential ko indicate karta hai. Technical indicators bhi oversold conditions ko suggest karte hain, jo upward move ki possibility ko support karta hai. 168.17 level ke upar decisive close ek extension ko 169.72 handle ki taraf confirm karega. Magar, ek strong bullish signal ke liye 20- aur 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) aur April high 171.56 ke upar move ki zarurat hai. Further upside momentum 172.55 ke area ke aas-paas capped ho sakta hai, jo mid-July mein price ko reject kar chuka hai. Agar is level ka successful breach hota hai, to July high 175.41 ki taraf rasta clear ho jayega. Overall, EUR/JPY pair Japanese yen ki kamzori ke darmiyan recovery ke signs dikhata hai. Jabke short-term outlook cautiously optimistic hai, pair ke key resistance levels ke upar gains ko sustain karne ki ability overall trend ko determine karne

trade kiya. Yeh pichle saat din ki losing streak ka reversal tha. Japanese yen ne Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks ke baad kamzor hota gaya, jinhone indicate kiya ke central bank market instability ke bawajood apni accommodative monetary policy ko barqarar rakhega. Jabke four-hour chart par overall trend bearish hai aur price crucial 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai, Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne apni midline ko cross kar diya hai, jo near-term gains ke liye potential suggest karta hai. Immediate upside resistance Bollinger Band ke upper border par 162.18 ke aas-paas hai. Agla resistance level 162.90-163.00 ke region mein hai, jo psychological levels aur pehle August 1 ke high ka confluence hai. Neeche ki taraf, EUR/JPY pair ke liye initial support August 6 ke low 157.30 par hai. Pair ne 168.00 level aur downward-sloping trendline, jo February se resistance bana hua hai, ko break karne ki repeated attempts ki hai. Pichle failures ke bawajood, EUR/JPY ne is long-term trendline ke upar chaar consecutive din guzare hain, jo bullish breakout ke potential ko indicate karta hai. Technical indicators bhi oversold conditions ko suggest karte hain, jo upward move ki possibility ko support karta hai.
168.17 level ke upar decisive close ek extension ko 169.72 handle ki taraf confirm karega. Magar, ek strong bullish signal ke liye 20- aur 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) aur April high 171.56 ke upar move ki zarurat hai. Further upside momentum 172.55 ke area ke aas-paas capped ho sakta hai, jo mid-July mein price ko reject kar chuka hai. Agar is level ka successful breach hota hai, to July high 175.41 ki taraf rasta clear ho jayega. Overall, EUR/JPY pair Japanese yen ki kamzori ke darmiyan recovery ke signs dikhata hai. Jabke short-term outlook cautiously optimistic hai, pair ke key resistance levels ke upar

mein naakam rehti hai aur yahan se reject hoti hai, toh yeh is baat ka indication hoga ke bears ab bhi control mein hain aur ek potential reversal wapas support level ki taraf ho sakta hai. 170.53 resistance level ke qareeb do possible scenarios ho sakte hain: Bullish Breakout: Pehle scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, toh yeh ziata buyers ko attract karega, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega. Traders breakout ka confirmation dekhenge, jaise ke 170.53 level ka retest as new support. Agar price is level ke upar hold karti hai, toh yeh further rise kar sakti hai, higher resistance levels ko target karte hue, jo ke 171.00 aur beyond ho sakte hain. Yeh scenario un logon ke liye ideal hoga jo long positions hold kar rahe hain, kyun ke yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai Bearish Rejection: Dusre scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break karne mein naakam ho sakti hai. Agar price is level par reject hoti hai, toh yeh strong presence of sellers ka signal de sakti hai, jo ke potential bearish reversal ko lead karega. Phir price support level 170.217 ki taraf fall kar sakti hai, aur agar selling pressure intensify hota hai, toh aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai. Yeh traders ke liye ek key moment hoga bearish candlestick patterns ya doosre technical indicators ko dekhne ka jo rejection ko confirm kar sakein. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, un ke liye yeh signal ho sakta hai ke profits le lein ya stop-loss orders ko adjust kar lein taake further downside

JPY karansi peir is waqt 159.77 par trade kar raha hai, aur yeh ek bearish trend ko reflect kar raha hai. Market abhi dheemi raftaar se chal raha hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke ya to consolidation ka period chal raha hai ya phir volatility kam ho gayi hai. Is waqt ke is susti ke bawajood, kuch aise factors hain jo is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke ane walay dinon mein EUR/JPY peir mein aham movement ho sakti hai. ### Economic Indicators

Economic indicators ka karansi peirs jese ke EUR/JPY par kafi asar hota hai. Euro ke liye, Eurozone se anay wale economic data, jese ke inflation rates, GDP growth figures, aur unemployment data kafi ahmiyat rakhte hain. Agar inflation report expected se zyada strong hui, to yeh euro ko mazid mustahkam kar sakti hai, jo ke current bearish trend ko ulat sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar economic data kamzor raha, to yeh euro ke against yen ko mazid kamzor kar sakta hai.

Japan ke hawalay se, yen par Japan ke economic indicators ka asar hota hai, jin mein inflation data, GDP growth, aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policy decisions shamil hain. Japan kai arsey se low inflation aur stagnant economic growth se do-char hai, jo aksar yen ko kamzor banata hai. Lekin agar Japan mein economic recovery ke koi asar nazar ayein, to yeh yen ko mazid mustahkam kar sakta hai, jiski wajah se EUR/JPY peir par mazid downward pressure par sakta hai.

### Central Bank Policies

Central bank policies, jaise ke European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ), EUR/JPY exchange rate ke key drivers hain. ECB ka interest rates ke hawalay se stance, khaskar Eurozone ke economic conditions aur inflationary pressures ke hawalay se, traders ke liye kafi ehmiyat rakhta hai. Agar ECB zyada hawkish stance apnati hai, jese ke aane wale waqt mein aur rate hikes ki indications, to euro mazid mustahkam ho sakta hai, jo ke current bearish trend ko offset kar sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, BoJ ne apni monetary policy ko kafi accommodative rakha hai, jisme negative interest rates aur yield curve control shamil hain. Lekin agar BoJ ki taraf se kisi tightening ke asar aayein, jese ke asset purchases ka kam karna ya interest rates ko barhawa dena, to yen mazid mustahkam ho sakta hai, jo ke EUR/JPY peir par pressure daal sakta hai.

### Global Economic Conditions

Global economic conditions bhi EUR/JPY peir ki movements par kafi asar daalti hain. Misal ke tor par, agar global economic growth ke hawalay se concerns ya trade tensions ho, to yeh investors ko safe-haven currencies jese ke yen ki taraf le kar jata hai, jo yen ko mazid mazboot aur EUR/JPY peir ko kamzor kar sakta hai.

Isi tarah, agar China ya United States jese major economies mein economic challenges badh jate hain, to yeh EUR/JPY peir par bhi asar daal sakta hai. Misal ke tor par, agar China ka slowdown hota hai, to investors safety ke liye yen ki taraf bhagte hain, jo yen ko mazboot aur euro ko kamzor kar sakta hai.

### Geopolitical Events

Geopolitical events bhi EUR/JPY peir mein ahm movements la sakte hain. Trade policies mein tabdeeli, Europe ya Japan mein political instability, ya koi bhi unexpected global event, market mein volatility ko barha sakta hai. Yen, jo ke traditionally ek safe-haven currency hai, aksar geopolitical uncertainty ke doran mazboot hota hai, jo EUR/JPY peir ko aur kamzor kar sakta hai.

Misal ke tor par, agar Eastern Europe ya Asia mein geopolitical tensions mein izafa hota hai, to yeh yen ko mazboot aur EUR/JPY peir ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar koi positive geopolitical developments hoti hain, to yeh euro ko mazboot kar sakti hain, jisse EUR/JPY peir mein bullish reversal ho sakta hai.

### Technical Analysis

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, EUR/JPY peir is waqt ek bearish trend mein hai, lekin kuch indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke ane wale dinon mein ahm movement ho sakti hai. Traders support aur resistance levels par kafi closely nazar rakhenge, taake potential entry aur exit points ko samajh sakein. 159.77 ka current level important support zones ke kareeb hai, aur agar yeh levels break hotay hain to mazid bearish momentum ka signal mil sakta hai.

Technical indicators jese ke moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) bhi important roles play karenge trends ko identify karne mein. Agar RSI yeh indicate karta hai ke pair oversold hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ko suggest kar sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar MACD bullish crossover ke asar dikhata hai, to yeh yeh baat indicate kar sakta hai ke bearish trend apni momentum kho raha hai aur reversal kar sakta hai.

### Market Sentiment

Market sentiment bhi EUR/JPY peir ki direction ko samajhne ke liye kafi ehmiyat rakhta hai. Agar sentiment euro ke liye bearish hai Eurozone economic data ya ECB policy ke concerns ki wajah se, to pair apni downward trajectory ko continue kar sakta hai. Lekin agar sentiment euro ke haq mein shift hota hai, shayad kisi stronger-than-expected economic data ya hawkish ECB ke stance ki wajah se, to pair mein bullish reversal dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Is waqt, market sentiment kaafi cautious lag raha hai, aur traders economic data aur central bank policies ke hawalay se zyada clarity ka intezar kar rahe hain. Lekin agar koi unexpected news ya data saamne aata hai, to sentiment jaldi se shift ho sakta hai, aur EUR/JPY peir mein ahm movements dekhne ko mil sakti hain.

### Conclusion

Akhir mein, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke EUR/JPY currency peir is waqt dheemi raftaar se chal raha hai aur bearish trend mein hai, lekin kuch factors yeh suggest karte hain ke ane wale dinon mein is peir mein significant movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Economic indicators, central bank policies, global economic conditions, geopolitical events, technical analysis, aur market sentiment sabhi EUR/JPY peir ki future direction ko determine karne mein crucial roles play karenge. Traders aur investors ko in factors par nazar rakhni chahiye, taake potential opportunities aur risks ka samna kiya ja sake forex mark

JPY currency pair ne Wednesday ko rebound experience kiya, aur 161.10 level ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Yeh pichlay saat din ki girawat ka ulat tha. Japanese yen kamzor hui jab Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ne dovish remarks diye, jinhon ne central bank ki accommodative monetary policy ko market instability ke bawajood barqarar rakhne ka indication diya. Four-hour chart pe overall trend ab bhi bearish hai, kyun ke price crucial 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neechay hai, magar Relative Strength Index (RSI) apni midline se ooper chala gaya hai, jo ke near-term gains ka potential suggest karta hai. Immediate upside resistance Bollinger Band upper border 162.18 ke kareeb hai. Ek doosri resistance level 162.90-163.00 region mein hai, jo psychological levels aur previous August 1 high ka confluence hai. Downside pe, initial support EUR/JPY pair ke liye August 6 low 157.30 par milta hai. Pair ne bar bar 168.00 level aur February se downward-sloping trendline ko todne ki koshish ki hai, jo resistance ke tor pe kaam kar rahi hai. Pichli failures ke bawajood, EUR/JPY ne chaar musalsal din se is long-term trendline ke upar rehne ko maintain rakha hai, jo bullish breakout ka potential indicate karta hai. Technical indicators bhi oversold conditions suggest karte hain, jo upward move ke possibility ko support kartay hain.Agar 168.17 level ke upar ek decisive close hota hai, to yeh 169.72 handle tak extension ko confirm karega. Magar, ek mazid bullish signal ke liye 20- aur 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) aur April high 171.56 ke upar move zaroori hoga. Further upside momentum ko 172.55 area ke kareeb capped kiya ja sakta hai, jahan mid-July mein price reject hui thi. Agar yeh level successfully breach ho jata hai, to July high 175.41 tak ka rasta saaf ho jayega. Overall, EUR/JPY pair recovery ke signs dikhata hai amidst ek weakening Japanese yen. Jab ke short-term outlook cautiously optimistic hai, pair ka key resistance levels ke upar gains ko sustain karna overall trend ko determine karne ke liye